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Journal of Women's Health logoLink to Journal of Women's Health
. 2014 May 1;23(5):420–427. doi: 10.1089/jwh.2013.4516

Perceived Versus Objective Breast Cancer, Breast Cancer Risk in Diverse Women

Julia Fehniger 1,,2, Jennifer Livaudais-Toman 1, Leah Karliner 1,,3, Karla Kerlikowske 3,,4,,5, Jeffrey A Tice 1,,3, Jessica Quinn 1, Elissa Ozanne 6, Celia P Kaplan 1,,3,
PMCID: PMC4011422  PMID: 24372085

Abstract

Background: Prior research suggests that women do not accurately estimate their risk for breast cancer. Estimating and informing women of their risk is essential for tailoring appropriate screening and risk reduction strategies.

Methods: Data were collected for BreastCARE, a randomized controlled trial designed to evaluate a PC-tablet based intervention providing multiethnic women and their primary care physicians with tailored information about breast cancer risk. We included women ages 40–74 visiting general internal medicine primary care clinics at one academic practice and one safety net practice who spoke English, Spanish, or Cantonese, and had no personal history of breast cancer. We collected baseline information regarding risk perception and concern. Women were categorized as high risk (vs. average risk) if their family history met criteria for referral to genetic counseling or if they were in the top 5% of risk for their age based on the Gail or Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium Model (BCSC) breast cancer risk model.

Results: Of 1,261 participants, 25% (N=314) were classified as high risk. More average risk than high risk women had correct risk perception (72% vs. 18%); 25% of both average and high risk women reported being very concerned about breast cancer. Average risk women with correct risk perception were less likely to be concerned about breast cancer (odds ratio [OR]=0.3; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.2–0.4) while high risk women with correct risk perception were more likely to be concerned about breast cancer (OR=5.1; 95%CI=2.7–9.6).

Conclusions: Many women did not accurately perceive their risk for breast cancer. Women with accurate risk perception had an appropriate level of concern about breast cancer. Improved methods of assessing and informing women of their breast cancer risk could motivate high risk women to apply appropriate prevention strategies and allay unnecessary concern among average risk women.

Introduction

Many physicians do not discuss breast cancer risk with their patients, despite the availability of risk assessment tools that are easily available for administration in the clinic setting. The Gail model, for example, uses clinical variables including family history of breast cancer to generate a 5-year estimate of individual risk.1 More recently developed models include mammographic breast density, which is independently associated with breast cancer risk.2,3 Family history-based assessments, including BRCAPRO are available to determine breast cancer genetic susceptibility, although BRCAPRO has proven difficult to implement in the primary care setting.4 In response, shorter assessments including the breast/ovarian cancer genetics referral screening tool (RST) have been successfully validated and somewhat incorporated into clinical practice.5

Estimating and informing women of their breast cancer risk is an essential first step when tailoring appropriate screening and risk reduction strategies. Risk perception has been identified as a strong motivator for women to engage in preventive and screening behaviors,6,7 yet prior research suggests that many women misperceive their breast cancer risk.8–14 If average risk women perceive their risk to be higher than it actually is, they may experience unnecessarily high levels of concern or anxiety, leading to overuse of breast cancer screening and risk reduction options.8,15 In contrast, an optimistic perception of risk among those at high risk may lead to inappropriate screening and missed opportunities to utilize risk reduction options such as genetic counseling and chemoprevention.16–18

Although for many women, improving risk perception among those at high risk is crucial for promoting screening and use of risk reduction strategies, a potential unintended consequence of informing these women about their breast cancer risk is to increase worry or concern. Increased risk perception may be associated with increased breast cancer concern; however, this relationship has not been firmly established in a diverse study population.11

Results from the literature are mixed regarding the impact of risk perception and cancer concern on screening behaviors.19,20 While higher perceived risk and worry have been found to predict greater odds of mammography use among whites and African American women, the same may not be true for Latina women which strengthens the need for further investigation in multiethnic samples.20

To address some of the gaps in the literature, our study had two objectives. First, we aimed to assess the personal factors associated with correct perception of risk and breast cancer concern among a sample of multiethnic women at high and average breast cancer risk. Second, we aimed to determine the relationship between correct perception of risk and breast cancer concern. We hypothesized that correct risk perception among those at average risk would not be associated with concern, while correct perception among those at high risk would be associated with concern.

Materials and Methods

Sample

Potential participants for this study were identified through the BreastCARE Study, a randomized controlled trial designed to evaluate a tablet-based intervention providing multiethnic women and their primary care physicians with tailored information about each woman's breast cancer risk. Participants were recruited from two General Internal Medicine clinics in urban San Francisco (one academic practice, and one academic safety-net hospital practice) between June 2011 and August 2012. Women were eligible to participate in the study if they had an appointment at one of the participating clinic sites during the study period, had a working telephone number, were able to complete a telephone survey, were between the ages of 40 and 74, spoke English, Spanish, or Cantonese, and had no personal history of breast cancer or ductal carcinoma in situ.

As part of the BreastCARE study, women with upcoming primary care doctor's appointments were mailed a recruitment letter and an opt-out postcard. One week later, a BreastCARE recruiter called these women. Those women who were reached prior to their doctor's appointment and agreed to participate in the study completed a baseline telephone interview. During this phone call they were randomized into either the intervention or the comparison group. The comparison group completed a breast cancer risk assessment over the telephone, while the intervention group completed a tablet-based version of the assessment at the clinic immediately preceding their primary care appointment. All participants provided written informed consent when they presented for their clinic appointment. The research protocol was reviewed and approved by the institutional review boards of the participating institutions.

Measures

Baseline demographic information collected included age at survey (40–50 years, 51–65 years, 66–74 years), self-reported race/ethnicity (non-Latina white, Latina, black or African American, Asian Pacific Islander), marital status (married or living with a partner versus other), years of schooling (high school diploma or less, some college, college or greater), medical insurance coverage (private, public, no insurance), employment status (working full- or part-time versus other), and clinic site (site 1 or site 2).

Health information collected at baseline included self-reported general health (excellent/very good versus good/fair/poor), self-reported number of primary care visits in the past year (0–1, 2–3, 4+), and self-reported number of comorbidities (0–1, 2–3, 4+) using a validated survey instrument.21

Breast cancer risk assessment indicators

We collected data on the following breast cancer risk factors: age at menarche, age at first birth, age at menopause, breast biopsy history, tamoxifen or raloxifene use, Ashkenazi Jewish ancestry, history of ovarian cancer, and number of relatives who have been diagnosed with breast and/or ovarian cancer.

Objective assessment of risk

To estimate objective risk for breast cancer, we used three measures: the RST,5 the Gail Model,1 and the Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium Model (BCSC).2 These measures and risk-level thresholds were chosen by a consensus panel of experts convened for the BreastCARE study. The rationale for all thresholds was to choose clinically actionable cut-points; in other words, thresholds above which a woman would be referred for genetic counseling or high risk evaluation for chemoprevention. Women were considered to be high risk if they met at least one of two criteria: (1) positive family history based on the RST (≥2 risk categories checked), (2) Gail score in the top 5% estimated 5-year risk for their age group,1 or BCSC score in top 5% of estimated 5-year risk for their age group when mammographic breast density data was available (age groups included 40–44, 45–49, 50–54, 55–59, 60–64, 65–69, and 70–74 years).2 In addition, women between the ages of 40 and 50 years were considered to be high risk if their Gail or BCSC score was ≥1.67.16 Some women were high risk according to RST score but not according to Gail/BCSC score while others were high risk according to Gail/BCSC score but not according to RST score. For the BreastCARE intervention, recommendations for women were tailored to their specific high risk type. Women who were high risk according to both indicators received screening/prevention recommendations based on RST score. All other women were classified as average risk.

Outcomes

We examined two outcome variables. The first outcome, correct perception of risk, was defined as a match between objective and perceived risk of developing breast cancer, relative to other women of the same age. We considered high risk women who reported that their chance of getting breast cancer was “higher than other women of the same age” to have correct risk perception. Similarly, we considered average and risk women who responded that their chance of getting breast cancer was “the same or lower than other women of the same age” to have correct risk perception. The second outcome variable was breast cancer concern (survey question: “How concerned are you about getting breast cancer?”). This variable was dichotomized as “very concerned” versus “somewhat,” “a little,” or “not at all” concerned, in bivariate and multivariate analyses.

Analysis

Chi-square tests were used to determine bivariate associations between covariates and measures of correct risk perception and breast cancer concern. Separate multivariable logistic regression models were constructed to examine factors associated with (a) correct perception of breast cancer risk relative to other women of the same age, and (b) breast cancer concern. These models were stratified by objective breast cancer risk (dichotomized as average versus high risk). Variables were selected for inclusion in the multivariate models based on bivariate associations (p<0.2) or a priori hypotheses. Models of correct perception of risk controlled for race/ethnicity, age, marital status, education, language of interview, insurance status, study site, number of comorbid conditions, and any blood relatives with breast cancer (among average risk women). Models of breast cancer worry controlled for race/ethnicity, age, marital status, education, language of interview, insurance status, study site, number of comorbid conditions, correct perception of risk and any blood relative with breast cancer (among average risk women). Analyses were performed in STATA 11.2 (Stata Corp LP).

Results

Description of sample

Among 4,029 women who were reached during the study recruitment period, a total of 556 (14%) were ineligible to participate. Of the 3,473 eligible women, 1,635 (47%) agreed to participate, completed baseline surveys, and were randomized to one of the two study arms, while 1,838 (53%) declined to participate. Among 1,635 women who completed the baseline survey, 1,278 (78%) signed a study consent form at the clinic site. Of this total, 1,261 women were included in our analysis, based on race/ethnicity (17 women who described themselves as Native American or Other were excluded due to low numbers).

Baseline demographic and health characteristics for all participants are shown in Table 1. Over a third of the participants (35%) were non-Latina white, 24% were Latina, 22% were black or African American, and 19% were Asian Pacific Islanders (API). Twenty-five percent of the women were classified as high risk; of these women, 16% were classified as high risk based on the Gail or BCSC models, and 9% were high risk based on the RST. Of 947 average risk women, 179 (14%) reported having at least one relative with breast cancer.

Table 1.

Baseline Demographic and Health Characteristics Among 1,261 Participants

  Total n (%)*
Race/ethnicity
 Non-Latina white 441 (35.0%)
 Latina 301 (23.9%)
 Black or African American 281 (22.2%)
 Asian/Pacific Islander 238 (18.9%)
Age at survey
 40–50 379 (30.0%)
 51–65 668 (53.0%)
 65–74 214 (17.0%)
Marital status
 Married/living with partner 565 (45.1%)
 Other 688 (54.9%)
Education
 High school diploma or less 405 (32.4%)
 Some college 322 (25.8%)
 College graduate or more 522 (41.8%)
Employment status
 Full time 340 (27.0%)
 Part time 244 (19.4%)
 Retired 219 (17.4%)
 Not working 455 (36.2%)
Insurance
 Private insurance 603 (47.8%)
 Public insurance 625 (49.6%)
 No insurance 33 (2.6%)
Language of interview
 English 1,098 (87.1%)
 Spanish or Cantonese 163 (12.9%)
Clinic site
 Site 1 (academic) 865 (68.6%)
 Site 2 (safety net) 396 (31.4%)
Randomization group
 Intervention 596 (47.2%)
 Comparison 665 (52.8%)
Number of comorbid conditions
 0 86 (6.8%)
 1–2 504 (40.0%)
 3 or more 671 (53.2%)
Number of primary care visits in last year
 0–1 357 (28.7%)
 2–3 429 (34.4%)
 4+ 460 (36.9%)
Self-perceived general health
 Excellent/very good 426 (34.0%)
 Good/fair/poor 828 (66.0%)
Breast cancer risk
 High risk – Gail/BCSC 202 (16.0%)
 High risk – RST 112 (8.9%)
 Average risk – relatives with BC 179 (14.2%)
 Average risk – no relatives with BC 768 (60.9%)
*

Percentages based on non-missing values.

BC, breast cancer; BCSC, Breast Cancer Surveillance Consortium Model; RST, referral screening tool.

Correct risk perception

Among average risk women, the majority (72%) correctly perceived themselves to be at average or less than average risk for breast cancer compared to other women their age. In contrast, only 18% of high risk women correctly perceived themselves to be at increased risk.

The proportions of women with correct risk perception, according to demographic and health characteristics, are shown in Table 2. Among average risk women, older age, and no blood relatives with breast cancer were significantly associated with correct risk perception in bivariate analyses. Among high risk women, younger age was associated with correct risk perception.

Table 2.

Predictors of Correct Perception of Breast Cancer Risk, Stratified by Objective Breast Cancer Risk*

  Average risk women High risk women
  Correct perception of risk, n (%) p aOR (95% CI) p Correct perception of risk, n (%) p aOR (95% CI) p
Race/Ethnicity   0.08       0.41    
 Non-Latina white 233 (85.4%)   Reference 42 (25.3%)   Reference
 Latina white 212 (82.8%)   0.89 (0.47–1.7) 0.71 10 (22.7%)   0.65 (0.21–2.1) 0.47
 Black/African American 177 (76.6%)   0.75 (0.44–1.3) 0.30 18 (36.0%)   1.5 (0.68–3.3) 0.31
 Asian Pacific Islander 153 (83.2%)   0.73 (0.42–1.3) 0.26 16 (30.2%)   1.3 (0.62–2.7) 0.48
Age (years)   0.008       0.003    
 ≤50 247 (78.4%)   0.32 (0.17–0.62) 0.001 26 (40.6%)   4.3 (1.7–10.9) 0.002
 51–65 390 (81.9%)   0.47 (0.25–0.88) 0.02 52 (27.5%)   2.4 (1.0–5.5) 0.04
 Over 65 138 (90.2%)   Reference 8 (13.3%)   Reference
Marital status   0.22       0.46    
 Married/living with a partner 340 (84.0%)   Reference 40 (25.5%)   Reference
 Other 431 (80.9%)   1.2 (0.79–1.7) 0.47 45 (29.2%)   0.78 (0.42–1.4) 0.42
Education   0.29       0.99    
 High school graduate or less 272 (80.5%)   Reference 18 (26.9%)   Reference
 Some college 192 (80.7%)   1.2 (0.76–1.9) 0.42 23 (27.7%)   1.2 (0.54–2.7) 0.65
 College graduate or more 303 (84.6%)   1.4 (0.87–2.4) 0.15 45 (28.0%)   1.3 (0.59–2.9) 0.51
Number of comorbid conditions   0.10       0.23    
 0 63 (90.0%)   Reference 6 (40.0%)   Reference
 1–2 304 (83.3%)   0.48 (0.20–1.1) 0.09 32 (23.2%)   0.51 (0.16–1.6) 0.26
 3 or more 408 (80.2%)   0.40 (0.17–0.95) 0.04 48 (30.0%)   0.67 (0.21–2.2) 0.51
Any blood relative with breast cancer   <0.001   <0.001    
 No 653 (85.3%)   Reference   N/A   N/A  
 Yes 122 (68.5%)   0.36 (0.24–0.53)   N/A   N/A  

Bold numerals denote statistically significant values with p<0.05.

*

Average risk women who responded that their lifetime risk was the same or lower than other women of the same age were considered to have correct perception of their breast cancer risk, as were high risk women who responded that their lifetime risk was higher than other women of the same age.

All multivariate models controlled for race/ethnicity, age, marital status, education, language of interview, insurance status, study site, and number of comorbidities. Multivariate models only controlled for any blood relative with breast cancer for average-risk women, as the Gail, BCSC, and RST models all incorporate family history of breast cancer.

This variable was only examined in average risk women as the Gail, BCSC, and RST models all incorporate family history of breast cancer.

aOR, adjusted odds ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval.

In multivariate analyses, age remained a statistically significant predictor of correct risk perception among average and high risk women (Table 2). Compared with women over age 65, average risk women under age 65 had significantly lower odds of correctly perceiving their breast cancer risk. In contrast, high risk women under age 65 were significantly more likely to correctly perceive their breast cancer risk when compared with women over age 65. Among average risk women, those with four or more comorbidities and a family history of breast cancer also had lower odds of correctly perceiving their breast cancer risk compared with those with 0–1 comorbidities and no family breast cancer history, respectively.

Breast cancer concern

Twenty-four percent of average risk women and 26% of high risk women reported being very concerned about breast cancer.

Table 3 shows the proportions of women who indicated they were very concerned about developing breast cancer according to demographic and health characteristics. In bivariate analyses, both average and high risk participants who were African American and ≤50 years old were more likely to report increased concern than their counterparts. Among average risk women, those with some college education, at least one relative with breast cancer and incorrect perception of risk were more likely to report concern than their counterparts.

Table 3.

Predictors of Concern About Developing Breast Cancer, Stratified by Objective Breast Cancer Risk*

  Average risk women High risk women
  Very concerned about breast cancer, n (%) p aOR (95% CI) p Very concerned about breast cancer, n (%) p aOR (95% CI) p
Race/ethnicity   <0.001       0.41    
 Non-Latina white 32 (11.7%)   Reference 22 (13.2%)   Reference
 Latina white 59 (23.0%)   2.1 (1.1–4.0) 0.02 15 (34.1%)   2.5 (0.79–8.0) 0.12
 Black/African American 97 (42.2%)   4.6 (2.7–7.8) <0.001 28 (56.0%)   7.2 (3.0–17.1) <0.001
 Asian Pacific Islander 39 (21.3%)   2.3 (1.3–4.0) 0.004 18 (34.0%)   3.7 (1.6–8.5) 0.002
Age   <0.001       0.003    
 ≤50 94 (29.8%)   2.4 (1.3–4.5) 0.005 25 (39.1%)   2.3 (0.84–6.2) 0.11
 51–65 115 (24.2%)   1.7 (0.94–3.1) 0.08 48 (25.3%)   1.3 (0.54–3.0) 0.57
 Over 65 18 (11.8%)   Reference 10 (16.7%)   Reference
Marital status   0.02       0.46    
 Married/living with a partner 82 (20.3%)   Reference 29 (18.4%)   Reference
 Other 144 (27.1%)   0.90 (0.62–1.3) 0.58 54 (35.1%)   0.47 (0.24–0.93) 0.03
Education   <0.001       0.99    
 High school graduate or less 93 (17.8%)   Reference 28 (41.8%)   Reference
 Some college 75 (31.4%)   1.0 (0.67–1.6) 0.89 24 (28.9%)   0.63 (0.26–1.5) 0.30
 College graduate or more 57 (15.9%)   0.57 (0.35–0.93) 0.03 31 (19.1%)   0.57 (0.24–1.3) 0.19
Number of comorbid conditions   0.32       0.23    
 0 12 (16.9%)   Reference 4 (26.7%)   Reference
 1–2 92 (25.3%)   1.7 (0.82–3.6) 0.15 28 (20.3%)   0.98 (0.22–4.3) 0.97
 3 or more 123 (24.2%)   1.3 (0.64–2.9) 0.43 51 (31.7%)   1.2 (0.29–5.4) 0.77
Any blood relative with breast cancer   <0.001          
 No 163 (21.3%)   Reference N/A   N/A
 Yes 64 (36.0%)   2.0 (1.3–2.9) 0.001 N/A   N/A
Correct perception of risk**   <0.001       <0.001    
 No 85 (50.3%)   Reference 40 (17.6%)   Reference
 Yes 142 (18.4%)   0.26 (0.18–0.39) <0.001 43 (50.0%)   5.1 (2.7–9.6) <0.001

Bold numerals denote statistically significant values with p<0.05.

*

Concern about breast cancer was dichotomized into “very concerned” about getting breast cancer vs. “somewhat/a little/not at all” concerned.

All models controlled for race/ethnicity, age, marital status, level of education, language of interview, insurance status, study site, number of comorbid conditions, and correct perception of risk. Multivariate models only controlled for any blood relative with breast cancer for average risk women, as the Gail, BCSC, and RST models all incorporate family history of breast cancer.

This variable was only examined in average risk women as the Gail, BCSC, and RST models all incorporate family history of breast cancer.

**

Average risk women who responded that their lifetime risk was the same or lower than other women of the same age were considered to have correct perception of their breast cancer risk, as were high risk women who responded that their lifetime risk was higher than other women of the same age.

In multivariate analyses, non-white race/ethnicity and younger age were associated with increased breast cancer concern for both average and high risk participants (Table 3). Average risk women with at least a college degree had greater odds of breast cancer concern than those with less than a college degree, while those with ≥1 blood relative with breast cancer had greater odds of breast cancer concern than women with no family history of breast cancer. Average risk women with correct perception of breast cancer risk had lower odds of concern about breast cancer than those with an incorrect perception of risk. In contrast, the odds of breast cancer concern were five times higher among high risk women who correctly perceived their breast cancer risk compared with those who incorrectly perceived their risk.

Correct perception of risk and concern about breast cancer

Average risk women who were very concerned about breast cancer were less likely to correctly perceive their breast cancer risk than average risk women who were not very concerned about breast cancer (Fig. 1, 62.6% vs. 88.2%; p<0.001). High risk women who were very concerned about breast cancer were more likely to correctly perceive their breast cancer risk than those who were not very concerned about breast cancer (51.8% vs. 18.7%; p<0.001).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1.

Relationship between correct breast cancer risk perception and breast cancer concern.

Discussion

We aimed to assess the relationship between correct perception of risk and concern about breast cancer. While prior research has explored factors associated with breast cancer risk perception and concern, these topics have not been well explored in multiethnic populations, or in populations of women with varying levels of risk. To address some of the gaps in the literature, our study examined factors associated with each of these measures in a multiethnic sample.

We found correct risk perception varied by actual cancer risk. The vast majority of women at high risk underestimated their risk, whereas the majority of average risk women were informed that their risk was not higher than other women their age. This contrasts with literature that suggests women tend to overestimate their breast cancer risk,7 although some women may exhibit an optimistic bias toward their personal risk.22 While many women at high risk had strong family histories of breast cancer, family history alone is not sufficient to increase breast cancer risk perception: in one study, women perceived themselves to be at lower risk if they were not emotionally close to family members with breast cancer.22 In addition, our survey measures asked participants to report their comparative, rather than absolute, breast cancer risk. Several studies have shown this decreases the likelihood of risk overestimation compared with asking participants for a specific numeric estimate.14,23

The relationship between age and correct risk perception in our population varied by actual risk. High risk women of younger age tended to correctly perceive themselves to be at high risk compared to high risk older women, while older average risk women were more likely to correctly estimate their risk. This may be explained by a tendency to overestimate the likelihood of developing breast cancer at younger ages compared to older ages, although older women may not understand how their risk of breast cancer changes as they age.24–26 Lower levels of breast cancer knowledge have been identified in older women in other studies;25,26 this may explain our findings, but we were unable to explore this relationship, as our baseline questionnaire did not assess breast cancer knowledge.

African American and API women in our population were more likely to be concerned about breast cancer than non-Latina white or Latina women, regardless of objective breast cancer risk. Previously published studies with African American, Latina, and non-Latina white women have yielded mixed results on the influence of race/ethnicity on breast cancer concern, leading some authors to attribute observed differences to income and education rather than race/ethnicity.20,27,28 In addition, the few published studies of women with API ancestry have focused on specific populations rather than a diverse sample of Asian American women.29–32 Our analyses controlled for household income and years of education, but unmeasured differences in breast cancer knowledge may account for increased concern among African American and API participants relative to Latinas and non-Latina whites.

We found the relationship between correct perception of risk and concern about breast cancer differed between average and high risk women in our study. Among average risk women, correct perception of risk was associated with decreased concern, while high risk women with correct risk perception reported increased concern. Breast cancer concern has been associated with willingness to initiate breast cancer risk reduction and preventive strategies in certain populations.33

Accurate risk perception is crucial for women at all levels of breast cancer risk, as average risk women who incorrectly perceive themselves to be at high risk tend to be very concerned when they need not be, while high risk women who incorrectly perceive themselves to be at average risk tend not to be concerned about getting breast cancer, when perhaps they should be. To the extent that correct perception of risk among high risk women leads to increased concern and subsequent initiation of preventive action, our findings suggest that high risk women benefit from efforts to educate them about their objective risk of breast cancer. Average risk women who incorrectly perceive their risk to be high and are very concerned about breast cancer as a result, also benefit from efforts to educate them about their objective breast cancer risk, which may reduce unnecessary anxiety. However, it is important to note that the literature has mixed findings regarding the impact of risk perception and cancer concern on screening practices.20 Higher perceived risk and cancer worry have been found to predict greater odds of mammography use among non-Latina white and African American women but not among Latina women.

Strengths of this study include our large, racially and ethnically diverse study population, broad study inclusion criteria, and comprehensive survey measurements. Sixty-five percent of our survey population was non-white, and the distribution of racial and ethnic groups in this study reflects the patient population at the two participating clinic sites. In addition, our population was selected from primary care clinics, allowing for the inclusion of women from diverse backgrounds representing diverse levels of risk.

Our study has several limitations. We considered risk to be a binary, rather than continuous, variable, which may have decreased our power to detect differences between demographic and clinical variables included in our survey. This binary risk construct did not differentiate between average and low risk women, however, which may have led us to overestimate correct risk perception among average risk women who perceived themselves to be at lower than average risk. Women who did not speak English, Spanish, or Cantonese were excluded, although these three languages represent the vast majority of patients seen in the participating clinics (only 47 screened women were considered ineligible due to language).

Our study had a response rate of 47%, which may impact the generalizability of the results. In addition, subjects participating in a randomized clinical trial may not constitute a representative sample of the female population. Women who chose to participate in our study were relatively well educated; while our study population was racially and ethnically diverse, our findings may not be generalizable to women with lower levels of education or those seen in other clinical settings. Some racial/ethnic groups may also be less likely to recall or openly discuss breast cancer family history and therefore more likely to underestimate their risk.

In addition, the study population was unintentionally enriched with high risk women. Although our designated thresholds for high risk women were designed to only include the top 5% in each 5-year age group, 16% of our population qualified as high risk based on the Gail or BCSC models, and an additional 9% of participants qualified based on the RST. Finally, the objective risk models we applied to a diverse sample of women may provide better estimates of breast cancer risk for certain racial/ethnic groups (e.g., non-Latina whites) than for others, although the Gail model has been validated in diverse populations.34–37

Conclusions

In our study population, the majority of women at high risk of developing breast cancer incorrectly perceived their risk, while a significant minority of average risk women perceived themselves to be at higher risk than other women their age. Breast cancer concern is prevalent among both high and average risk women, and most common among non-white women and those who perceive themselves to be at high risk of developing breast cancer. Accurate perception of breast cancer risk among average risk and high risk women was directly related to appropriate concern about breast cancer, suggesting improved methods of assessing and informing women of their breast cancer risk could motivate women to apply appropriate prevention strategies. Our findings point to the need for interventions designed to improve correct perception of risk across a range of absolute risk to facilitate meaningful discussions between providers and patients regarding breast cancer screening and prevention practices.

Acknowledgments

This research was supported by grants from the Susan G. Komen for the Cure Foundation (KG090504) and the California Breast Cancer Research Program (150B-0158).

Disclosure Statement

No competing financial interests exist.

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