Abstract
Objective
Nutritious yet inexpensive foods do exist. However, many such foods are rejected by the low-income consumer. Is it because their use violates unspoken social norms? The present study was designed to assess the variety and cost of the lowest-cost market basket of foods that simultaneously met required dietary standards and progressively stricter consumption constraints.
Design
A mathematical optimisation model was used to develop the lowest-cost food plans to meet three levels of nutritional requirements and seven levels of consumption constraints. Subjects: The nationally representative INCA (National Individual Survey of Food Consumption) dietary survey study of 1332 adults provided population estimates of food consumption patterns in France. Food plan costs were based on retail food prices.
Results
The lowest-cost food plans that provided 9204 kJ/d (2200 kcal/d) for men and 7531 kJ/d (1800 kcal/d) for women and met specified dietary standards could be obtained for ,1?50 h/d. The progressive imposition of consumption constraints designed to create more mainstream French diets sharply increased food plan costs, without improving nutritional value.
Conclusions
Minimising diet costs, while meeting nutrition standards only, led to food plans that provided little variety and deviated substantially from social norms. Aligning the food plan with mainstream consumption led to higher costs. Food plans designed for low-income groups need to be socially acceptable as well as affordable and nutritious.
Introduction
“By necessaries I understand, not only the commodities which are indispensably necessary for the support of life, but whatever the custom of the country renders it indecent for creditable people, even of the lowest order, to be without.”
Adam Smith, 1776, The Wealth of Nations, Book V, Chapter II, Part II1
Lower-income groups have poor diets2 and suffer from higher rates of obesity and chronic disease3. Food, health, and incomes may be linked through food prices and diet costs4. Refined grains, fats, and sweets are affordable, accessible, and convenient5. By contrast, many nutrient-rich foods cost more and are consumed by more affluent persons2. One barrier to the adoption of healthful diets by lower income groups may be diet cost6;7.
Arguably, not all healthful foods cost more8. Some nutrient-rich foods can be obtained at very low cost. Recipes and tips for healthy thrifty meals have featured ground turkey, chickpeas, and condensed or powdered milk9. Home-cooked lentil soup and inexpensive rice and beans have been proposed as suitable staple diets for the US poor10. Nuts, seeds, legumes, cereals, carrots, potatoes and cabbage offer good nutrition at an affordable cost11. The search for affordable nutrient rich foods is being aided further by the new techniques of nutrient profiling12 and by the new metrics of nutrients per calorie and nutrients per unit cost11.
However, many low-cost yet nutritious foods are rejected by the consumer. The present hypothesis is that such foods deviate from the current consumption standards; fail to meet cultural requirements, and may be socially or culturally inappropriate. The custom of the country - to borrow a phrase from Adam Smith – may place such foods or diets outside the accepted social norms. In striving to meet nutrient requirements at minimum cost, the search for lowest cost healthful diets may have ignored the current eating habits of the population.
Mathematical optimization models have shown from a long time that nutritious diets could be obtained at very low cost13;14. The USDA Thrifty Food Plan (TFP) model creates a diet that is as similar as possible to the current diet of low income Americans, while simultaneously meeting a fixed set of nutritional and cost constraints15;16. Upper and lower bounds on food energy are based on the Institute of Medicine energy requirements, whereas nutrient and food group constraints are based on the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and on MyPyramid, respectively. The cost constraint keeps computer-generated diets below the target cost. To arrive at the optimization solution, the TFP tolerates up to 10-fold deviations from the current eating habits.
The present study reversed the situation in that the model minimized cost, while meeting different sets of nutritional and social acceptability constraints. Instead of meeting a single set of nutrition constraints, the model created food plans that met 3 sets of nutritional constraints of progressive severity. The intent was to determine whether healthier diets cost more. Furthermore, significant deviations from the mainstream French diet were progressively disallowed. Seven levels of increasingly stringent social acceptability constraints ensured that the final model had little tolerance for any deviation from the French mainstream eating habits. The intent was to estimate the cost of healthful diets that were also consistent with French cultural expectations and societal norms.
Methods
Dietary data, food composition database and food prices
The input data used in this analysis were based on data collected in a cross-sectional dietary survey of a nationally representative sample of 1,985 French adults (INCA survey), aged 15-92 y, conducted in 1999 by the French National Agency for Food Safety17. Usual food intakes were estimated using a 7-day food record completed by all participants, aided by a photographic manual of portion sizes18. Subjects who under- or over- reported their energy intake (284 men and 312 women) according to the method of Black19 were removed from the sample. The physical activity level assumed in the calculation of the threshold was 1.55, corresponding to seated work with low walking and leisure activity. The final sample15 of 1,332 participants aged between 15 y and 92 y old included 596 men and 736 women.
After excluding diet beverages, tea, coffee, dietary supplements and drinking water, a total of 614 different foods were declared as consumed by the participants. Their nutritional composition, expressed per 100 g of edible portion, and their edible conversion factors, were computed from the INCA food composition database20, the Suvimax food composition database21 or from other databases22-25. A column of French mean national 1997 retail prices primarily obtained from marketing research (SECODIP) was added to this table. The prices were those paid by a representative panel of French consumers (SECODIP), therefore the mean price reflected the most frequently purchased forms of each food. The prices were obtained for the foods “as purchased” whereas the nutrient contents were based on the food “as consumed”. To adjust for preparation and waste and to have a common mode of expression for price and for nutrients, retail prices were converted into prices per 100 g of edible food, based on the edible conversion factors of each food.
The foods were aggregated into 7 major food groups (meat, fruit and vegetables, mixed dishes and snacks, dairy, starches and grains, sweets and salted snacks and added fats), 20 subgroups (for example, subgroups in the fruit and vegetable group were: fruits, vegetables and dried fruits) and 36 families (for example, families in the fruit subgroup were: fresh fruits, fruit juices and other processed fruits). The recipes used to calculate the nutrient composition of mixed dishes were derived from the SUVIMAX food composition database21.
Mathematical diet optimization model
The principle of diet modelling with linear programming has been explained before26 and the characteristics of the optimization models specifically used in the present study were also published12.
All linear programming models and statistical analyses were done using the Operational Research Package of SAS software (release version 9.2, SAS Institute Inc.).
Creation of 21 food plans per gender
Linear programming models were used to create 21 different food plans for men and women, meeting 3 sets of nutritional and 7 sets of social acceptability constraints. All diets were iso-caloric as the model fixed dietary energy at 9,196 kJ/d (i.e. 2,200 kcal/d) for men and 7,524 kJ/d (i.e. 1,800 kcal/d) for women. The optimization process yielded a suggested food plan that consisted of quantities of different foods selected into the market basket from a pool of 614 foods (i.e. the number of foods in the food database). Total diet cost was minimized to obtain the lowest cost food plans that fulfilled all the constraints introduced in each linear programming models were presently developed to select 21 isocaloric diets for each gender at minimal cost which differed in the nutritional (3 sets) and social acceptability (7 sets) constraints.
Objective function
The chosen ‘objective function’ of the model ensured that the food plan basket was at minimal cost. Variables in the objective function were represented by the quantity of the 614 foods. Each food was linked to the nutrient composition and cost database.
The objective function Z was minimized:
With:
Qj was the quantity of food j in the modeled food basket plan
cj was the cost of 1g of food j
Nutritional constraints
Table 1 shows 3 levels of progressively more stringent nutritional constraints. Level A ensured that the food plans were consistent with guidelines for macronutrients. Level B ensured that the food plans were consistent with guidelines for macronutrients and with the French estimated average requirements (EAR) for 25 additional nutrients27. Level C ensured that the food plans were consistent with the macronutrient guidelines and with the recommended dietary allowances (RDA) for each of 25 nutrients. Levels B and C introduced additional limits on the consumption of saturated fats, added sugars, and sodium, and set safe upper limits on the consumption of 9 additional nutrients.
Table 1.
Nutrients | Constraints | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Men | Women | |||||
Energy, kJ/d | = 9196abc | = 7524ab | ||||
Proteins, g/d | ≥ 70abc | ≥ 50abc | ||||
Carbohydrates, g/d | ≥ 275abc | ≥ 250abc | ||||
Lipids, g/d | ≤ 85.6abc | ≤ 70abc | ||||
SFA, g/d | ≤25bc | ≤20bc | ||||
Added sugars, g/d | ≤55bc | ≤ 45bc | ||||
Sodium, mg/d | ≤ 2365bc | ≤ 2365b | ||||
EARbc | RDAc | Safety limitsbc | EARbc | RDAc | Safety limitsbc | |
Fiber, g/d | ≥ 19 | ≥ 25 | ≥ 19 | ≥ 25 | ||
Linoleic acid, g/d | ≥ 7.7 | ≥ 10 | ≥ 6.2 | ≥ 8.0 | ||
Linolenic acid, g/d | ≥ 1.5 | ≥ 2.0 | ≥ 1.2 | ≥ 1.6 | ||
DHA, g/d | ≥ 0.09 | ≥ 0.12 | ≥ 0.08 | ≥ 0.1 | ||
Vitamin A, μg/d | - | - | ≤ 1800 | - | - | ≤ 1800 |
Retinol, μg/d | 308 | ≥ 400 | ≥ 231 | ≥ 300 | ||
b-carotene/6, μg/d | ≥ 308 | ≥ 400 | ≥ 231 | ≥ 300 | ||
Thiamin, mg/d | ≥ 1 | ≥ 1.3 | ≥ 0.85 | ≥ 1.1 | ||
Riboflavin, mg/d | ≥ 1.2 | ≥ 1.6 | ≥ 1.2 | ≥ 1.5 | ||
Niacin, mg/d | ≥ 11 | ≥ 14 | < 47 | ≥ 8.5 | ≥ 11 | < 47 |
Vitamin B5, mg/d | ≥ 3.9 | ≥ 5 | ≥ 3.9 | ≥ 5 | ||
Vitamin B6, mg/d | ≥ 1.4 | ≥ 1.8 | ≤ 6.8 | ≥ 1.2 | ≥ 1.5 | ≤ 6.8 |
Folates, μg/d | ≥ 254 | ≥ 330 | ≤ 1500 | ≥ 231 | ≥ 300 | ≤ 1500 |
Vitamin B12, μg/d | ≥ 1.8 | ≥ 2.4 | ≥ 1.8 | ≥ 2.4 | ||
Ascorbic acid, mg/d | ≥ 85 | ≥ 110 | ≤ 1110 | ≥ 85 | ≥ 110 | ≤ 1110 |
Vitamin E, mg/d | ≥ 9.2 | ≥ 12 | ≤ 52 | ≥ 9.2 | ≥ 12.0 | ≤ 52 |
Vitamin D, μg/d | ≥ 2.3 | ≥ 5.0 | ≤ 30 | ≥ 2.3 | ≥ 5.0 | ≤ 30 |
Calcium, mg/d | ≥ 693 | ≥ 900 | ≥ 693 | ≥ 900 | ||
Potassium, mg/d | ≥ 2387 | ≥ 3100 | ≥ 2387 | ≥ 3100 | ||
Iron, mg/d | ≥ 6.9 | ≥ 9.0 | ≥ 12 | ≥ 16.0 | ||
Magnesium, mg/d | ≥ 323 | ≥ 420 | ≥ 277 | ≥ 360 | ||
Zinc, mg/d | ≥ 9.2 | ≥ 12 | ≤ 50 | ≥ 7.7 | ≥ 10 | ≤ 50 |
Copper, mg/d | ≥ 1.5 | ≥ 2.0 | ≥ 1.2 | ≥ 1.5 | ||
Iodine, mg/d | ≥ 116 | ≥ 150 | ≥ 116 | ≥ 150 | ||
Selenium, μg/d | ≥ 46 | ≥ 60 | ≤ 350 | ≥ 39 | ≥ 50 | ≤ 350 |
constraint included in level A (achievement of macronutrient recommendations)
constraint included in level B (achievement of macronutrient recommendations plus estimated average requirements)
constraint included in level C (achievement of macronutrient recommendations plus recommended dietary allowance).
Social acceptability constraints
Table 2 shows 7 levels of progressively more stringent social acceptability constraints, based on the observed distribution of food intakes in the referent INCA population, calculated for men and for women separately. These constraints were progressively applied to the 7 major food groups, 20 food subgroups, and 36 food categories.
Table 2.
Levels | Added constraints |
---|---|
1 | None |
2 | The energy contributed by each food group was limited to between the 5th and 95th percentiles of the population distribution. |
3 | The energy contributed by each food sub-groups were limited to between the 5th and 95th percentiles of the population distribution. |
4 | The energy contributed by each food families were limited to between the 5th and 95th percentiles of the population distribution. |
5 | The amount of each food does not exceed the 95th percentile of quantities consumed by adults (men or women) who consumed the food. |
6 | Exclusion of foods consumed by less than 2.5% of the population (i.e. 326 foods among 614) |
7 | Exclusion of foods consumed by less than 5% of the population (i.e. 409 foods among 614) |
For a given level i of social acceptability (with i varying from 1 to 7), the constraints included the level i-1 are retained, and the constraint specific to level i is added
Level 1 imposed no constraints on food choice. Level 2 constraint was that the amount of energy provided by each of the 7 major food groups fit between the 5th and the 95th percentiles of intake for that food group by the reference population. Levels 3 and 4 cumulatively extended that constraint to the 20 food subgroups and to the 36 food categories, respectively. Level 5 placed the upper bound on consumption, such that the amount of food in the optimized food plan could not exceed the 95th percentile limit for that food in the referent population. Level 6 introduced the additional constraint that foods consumed by only a small minority of the French population and therefore, by definition, not a part of mainstream eating habits, could not be a part of the optimized food plans. Assuming that the percentage of consumers is a good estimation of the popularity and accessibility of a given food, foods consumed by less than 2.5% of the referent French population were removed. This led to the removal of 314 of the original 614 foods. Level 7 imposed the final and most stringent constraint that foods consumed by less than 5% of the referent French population were removed from consideration by the optimization model. That led to the removal of 429 of the 614 foods. All the constraints, cumulatively imposed at each higher level, ensured that the resulting computer-optimized food plan would closely resemble the mainstream French diet, with progressively less tolerance for any deviation from the current patterns of consumption.
Results
Figure 1 shows, separately for women and men, that the progressive application of nutritional recommendations increased the lowest achievable food plan costs. Plans that met the more rigorous nutritional constraints did cost more. Although food plans fulfilling all the RDA requirements (level C diets) could be obtained for as little as 1.50 €/d, that low cost was achieved only if social acceptability constraints were ignored altogether (Consumption Level 1).
Entering the increasingly stringent social acceptability constraints into the model led to dramatic changes in the resulting cost and variety of the optimized food plans. Not only did the food plans become more costly, but the cost of a market basket of foods that was consistent with the mainstream French diet far outweighed the cost of meeting the nutritional constraints alone. The cost of food plans meeting social acceptability level 7 constraints (C7) was several times that of plans that tolerated more substantial deviations from current consumption patterns. The lowest achievable cost of level C7 food plans was 3.40 €/d for men and 3.20 €/d for women, almost 10 times the amount calculated for the lowest cost level A1.
Furthermore, as indicated in Figure 1, there was an interaction between nutritional and social acceptability constraints. As long as the model imposed no social acceptability constraints or tolerated a high degree of deviation, the difference in cost between the less nutritious and more nutritious food plans did not exceed 100%. Once more stringent social acceptability constraints were imposed and the diet resembled more what people actually eat, the cost of healthier diets more than doubled relative to less healthy ones.
The variety of foods in the market basket was also affected by the two sets of constraints (Figure 1). The number of foods always increased from A to C, at each level of social acceptability constraints so that the higher-quality food plans were always associated with greater variety. For each level of nutritional constraint, the imposition of social acceptability constraints led to a greater variety of foods until level 5 with a drop observed at levels 6 and 7. It was then that the foods consumed by less than 2.5% and 5% of the total population were excluded, respectively. In most lowest-cost food plans, whole grains, lean meats, seafood, whole fruit and salad greens were missing altogether.
Table 3 shows the market baskets for women at different levels of nutrition and social acceptability constraints. In general, food plans that deviated most from the usual eating habits were composed of a small number of foods, provided in large amounts. Typically those plans were based on grains, cereals, vegetable oils, and sweets. Thus, the minimal cost level A1 plan for women was composed of only 3 foods: porridge, sugar, and vegetable oil (Table 3). The minimal cost level C1 plan was composed of 12 foods (porridge, pasta, semolina, mashed potatoes, wheat germ, carrots, radishes, chicken livers, grilled herring, low-fat milk and vegetable oil). In other plans, nutritional adequacy was assured through large quantities of inexpensive carrots and low-fat milk, as well as organ meats (liver, brains) and herring, except when those foods were excluded from the food variables because the percentage of consumers was lower than specified by social acceptability constraints.
Table 3.
First level of required nutritional constraints (A) | Third level of required nutritional constraints (C) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Social acceptability constraints 1, 5, 7 | Social acceptability constraints 1, 5, 7 | |||||
Food groups | A1 | A5 | A7 | C1 | C5 | C7 |
Added fats | Oil | Oil (2), butter, margarine, mayonnaise, salad dressing | Oil, butter, margarine, mayonnaise, salad dressing | Oil (2) | Oil (2), butter, margarine, salad dressing | Butter, margarine, salad dressing |
Refined grains | Porridge | Porridge, toast, rusk, pasta, semolina | Toast, rusk, pasta, semolina | Porridge, pasta, semolina | Porridge, toast, rusk, pasta, semolina | Toast, rusk, pasta, semolina |
Starches and whole grains | Peas (dry), potatoes (2) | Potatoes (2) | Potatoes, wheat germ | Peas (dry), potatoes (2), wheat germ, brown rice, haricot bean (canned) | Potatoes (2), beans (haricot, flageolet), bread (whole grain) | |
Vegetable | Peanuts, avocado, coconut (dry) | Peanuts, avocado | Carrot, radish | Radish, chard, spinach, mixed vegetables (canned), tomato sauce (canned) | Avocado, carrot, spinach, cucumber, broccoli, zucchini, mixed vegetables (canned), tomato sauce (canned) | |
Fruits and nuts | - | - | - | - | Banana, orange juice, walnuts | Banana, walnuts, kiwi fruit |
Meats, eggs, fish | Eggs, fish cake, pork liver pate, beef heart, sausage | Eggs (2), pork, sausage | Chicken livers, herring | Herring, mackerel (canned), sardine (canned), lamb liver, pork liver pate, meat pate, beef stew, shellfish (frozen) | Eggs, salmon, meat pate, ground beef 15% fat | |
Dairy | - | Low fat powdered milk, low fat milk | Low fat milk | Low fat milk | Low fat milk, skim milk, powdered skim milk | Low fat milk, plain yogurt |
Sweets | Sugar, white | Sugar (2), cookie, pancake, chocolate spread | Sugar, cookie, pancake | - | Sugar (2), pancake, chocolate (2), sweetened condensed milk, cashews | Pancake, chocolate (3) |
Mixed dishes | - | Pasta w/cheese | - | - | Pasta w/cheese, cassoulet | Paella, cassoulet |
Discussion
Diet optimization programs are mathematical tools that are used to create healthful food plans at an affordable cost13;28;29. In the US, such programs have been used to set the official estimates of the lowest cost of a nutritious diet. For example, the official USDA food plans are generated by an optimization program that selects a diet that closely resembles the observed consumption patterns of the low income population, while simultaneously meeting cost targets as well as nutrition and other constraints15;16. The lowest cost USDA Thrifty Food Plan, most recently updated in 2007, is then used to set the benefit levels for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), previously known as food stamps. In 2007, the TFP cost per week was estimated at $32.20 for women and $35.80 for men30.
Mathematical models, faced with multiple constraints, do not always achieve a perfect fit. The new TFP market baskets are no exception: the USDA documentation acknowledges that they did not meet the vitamin E and potassium recommendations for some age-gender groups and did not meet the sodium recommendation for many age-gender groups16. In order to do so, the low cost market baskets would have had to deviate very substantially from typical consumption patterns (in the case of vitamin E and potassium) or would have required changes in food manufacturing practices (in the case of sodium)16. According to the USDA documentation, it was practically impossible to develop low cost TFP market baskets that met the sodium recommendation.
While nutrition and cost constraints of optimization models have received most research attention, social acceptability constraints have not. In the TFP, the lower bound for consumption was set close to zero for most good groups, whereas the upper bound varied by food category, depending on average consumption16. Generally, the upper bounds were three to 10 times average consumption. This was done, in part, to accommodate policy goals. For example, although the population average consumption for whole grains was near zero, the 2005 Dietary Guidelines for Americans specified that half of all grain consumption should be from whole grains. As a result, the TFP had to tolerate high deviance from the usual eating patterns. According to the USDA documentation, the TFP basket for the family of four contained more vegetables (137 percent), milk products (125 percent), fruits (115 percent), and grains (16 percent) and less fats, oils, and sweets (-83 percent) than the observed consumption patterns of the referent group.
The present study set out to determine the cost of market baskets that were not only nutritious but were also consistent with mainstream French diet. The present innovation was to let social acceptability constraints vary over a wide domain (7 levels), coming closer each time to the average French population diet. The upper bounds were not permitted a 10-fold increase from average consumption; instead the upper bound was the 95th percentile limit for the population intakes. These limits were progressively applied to food groups, food subgroups, and food families for a much tighter fit between the optimized food plan and the typical French diet. At the strictest level, foods consumed by less than 5% of the population were excluded from the model.
Systematically reducing the distance between current consumption and the optimized food plans led to higher monetary costs. What is more, those higher costs far exceeded those of a more nutritious diet. Nutritious market baskets that corresponded to the population eating habits cost several times more than market baskets that provided nutrition but ignored cultural requirements and social norms. It turns out that maintaining cultural norms was just as, if not more, expensive than improving the nutritional quality of the diet. The question arises whether other lowest cost market baskets achieve their cost targets by ignoring or tolerating large differences from social norms?
Some similarities and differences with the official USDA food plans must be noted. Similar to the USDA food plans31, the study was based on retail food prices and not expenditures. Unlike the TFP, the objective function minimized diet cost instead of minimizing the difference between the modelled diet and existing food habits. Unlike the TFP, the present model used only nutrient-based constraints and did not employ MyPyramid food category standards. Unlike the TFP's use of 58 food categories, the present market basket was based on >600 individual foods. In reality, each participant in the INCA survey consumed <50 different foods per week17. Tailoring the food plan to the eating habits of each individual is an alternative and more sophisticated approach32 that could yield different results. In the present study social acceptability constraints were introduced and progressively reinforced whereas in the TFP consumption constraints were fixed and it was the cost constraint that was introduced at different levels of severity.
The present data shed new light on the argument whether nutritious diets cost more than less nutritious ones. Food choices are a part of social identity and the ability to adhere to a socially acceptable diet is one of the necessities of life33. All too often, the low cost of powdered milk, ground pork, organ meats, beans, lentils, carrots and cabbage is cited as proof that low-income groups have full access to inexpensive yet nourishing foods. Persistent failures by low-income households to construct staple diets based around such foods have been explained in the past by a lack of motivation34;35, lack of nutrition knowledge36, lack of education or time, or simply bad lifestyle choices by the poor10. The present data suggest that the low cost of such diets is achievable only by tolerating a departure from social norms.
Studies on dietary change ought to take such norms into account. For example, intervention studies have persistently claimed that more healthful diets need not cost more and might even cost less37-40. On the other hand, observational studies of populations have associated freely-chosen healthful diets with higher energy adjusted diet costs41-48. It would be good to see if the low cost healthy diets that are introduced by researchers into schools and workplaces are sustainable in the long term.
Other factors, not covered in this study, may involve time poverty and food preference. Studies have noted that many of the USDA recipes were time consuming when cooked from scratch, a situation remedied in the 2006 TFP that included more convenience foods16. Interestingly, the premise underlying the official USDA food plans is that all foods are purchased at stores and cooked and prepared at home. Arguably, using lowest cost food plans to calculate food assistance for the poor does not take into account time constraints and the need (or right) to eat away from home, consistent with broader societal trends.
Food budgets of the poor are often insufficient to obtain a balanced diet49-51. Even with efficient purchasing strategies52-55, the food budget may not suffice for a diet that is both socially acceptable and nutritious. Indeed, both in France29 and in the US56, the lowest cost required to achieve a nutritionally adequate diet is higher that the actual spending on food at home by low income households. Although good nutrition can be obtained at a minimum cost, those wishing to remain within the same cultural sphere must be prepared to pay more. Exclusion from mainstream society should not be the price paid for affordable nutrition.
Acknowledgments
Financial Support
The present study was carried out with the financial support of the French National Research Agency under the projects ANR-07-PNRA-018, ALIMINFO and ANR-05-PNRA, 012, POLNUTRITION and with support from USDA CSREES Grant 2004-35215-14441 and NIH grant R01 DK076608.
Footnotes
Conflicts of interest
There are no conflicts of interest.
Author contributions
MM and ND conceived the study. MM conducted data modeling and statistical analyses. All authors participated in the interpretation of the results and AD took the lead in writing the report.
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