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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jan 22.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Trials. 2014 Jul 22;11(4):391–392. doi: 10.1177/1740774514536001

Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania 6th annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Dynamic Treatment Regimes

Jonas H Ellenberg 1, Susan S Ellenberg 1
PMCID: PMC4303558  NIHMSID: NIHMS590039  PMID: 25053775

This issue of Clinical Trials contains the proceedings of the sixth in a series of symposia held at the University of Pennsylvania on current statistical issues in clinical trials. This symposium, held in spring 2013, focused on dynamic treatment regimes, a topic highly relevant to the ever-increasing concerns about evaluation of treatment strategies in chronic diseases.

The concept of dynamic treatment regimes is an entirely new way of approaching trial design. Instead of focusing on a question that may address only a very small window of time in a patient’s treatment, the dynamic treatment regime (or Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomization Trials (SMART)) considers long-term treatment strategies for individuals who may regularly require new treatment options over time. The goal is to optimize treatment for individual patients while allowing assessment of different strategies over time. Use of such designs in medical research is in its infancy; the most experience has been in the area of substance abuse, but it has potential applications in many areas of medicine, as discussed by the speakers. The presentations and panel discussions offer a very broad spectrum of viewpoints and emphases from both long-time and more recent researchers, and from methodologists as well as potential users of such study designs (see Table). Expert panels provided thoughtful commentary on the presentations, and there were provocative and insightful questions and comments from the floor; these discussions are included along with the papers.

Table.

2014 Conference on Emerging Statistical Issues in Biomarker Validation for Clinical Trials

Faculty Institution Topic
Phil Lavori Stanford University Introduction to Dynamic Treatment Strategies and Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomization
Yingqi Zhao University of Wisconsin-Madison Estimation of optimal dynamic treatment regimes
Bibhas Chakraborty Columbia University Inference about the expected performance of a data- driven dynamic treatment regime
Discussion Panel Keaven Anderson (Merck); Marshall Joffe (Penn); Michael Kosorok (UNC)
Linda Collins Pennsylvania State University Optimization of behavioral dynamic treatment regimens based on the sequential multiple assignment randomized trial (SMART)
Erica Moodie McGill University Simulating Sequential Multiple Assignment Randomized Trials to Generate Optimal Personalized Warfarin Dosing Strategies
Kelley Kidwell University of Michigan SMART Designs in Cancer Research: Past, Present and Future
Discussion Panel Christy Chuang-Stein (Pfizer); Dean Follman (NIAID); Estelle Russek- Cohen (FDA); Rick Chappell (Wisconsin)
Closing Remarks Susan Ellenberg (University of Pennsylvania)

The Penn conference series is aimed at facilitating advances in approaches to the statistical design, implementation and analysis of clinical trials. Earlier conferences in this series focused on proof-of-concept studies and ‘go–no go’ decision making [1], development of targeted therapies [2], comparative effectiveness studies [3], emerging statistical issues in the conduct and monitoring of clinical trials [4], and biomarker validation [5]

Acknowledgments

The Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics at the University of Pennsylvania provided scientific and logistical support and the American Statistical Association and the Society for Clinical Trials provided in-kind support for the conference.

Funding

Funding for the conference was made possible (in part) by award CA132565-06 from the National Cancer Institute. The views expressed in written conference materials or publications and by speakers and moderators do not necessarily reflect the official policies of the Department of Health and Human Services; nor does mention by trade names, commercial practices, or organizations imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

Footnotes

Conflict of Interest

None declared.

References

  • 1.Ellenberg JH, Mick R, Ellenberg SS, editors. Stat Med; Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Early, translational and proof of concept studies: The ‘go/no go’ decisions; 2010. May 10, pp. 1059–60. Foreword. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Ellenberg JH, Ellenberg SS, editors. Clin Trials; Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Statistical issues in developing targeted therapies; 2010. pp. 513–15. Foreword. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Ellenberg JH, Ellenberg SS, editors. Clin Trials; Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Statistical issues in comparative effectiveness research; 2012. p. 5. Foreword. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Ellenberg JH, Ellenberg SS, editors. Clin Trials; Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: Emerging statistical issues in the conduct and monitoring of clinical trials; 2012. p. 5. Foreword. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Ellenberg JH, Ellenberg SS. Clin Trials; Proceedings of the University of Pennsylvania 5th annual conference on statistical issues in clinical trials: emerging statistical issues in biomarker validation for clinical trials; 2013. pp. 645–6. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

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