Table 2.
PRCC for each model parameter at different combinations of treatment and vaccination coverages. Higher absolute values indicate that a parameter contributes a greater amount to the uncertainty in Re.
30% Vaccinated | 35% Vaccinated | 51% Vaccinated | 60% Vaccinated | |||||||
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Parameter | PRCC | p-Value | PRCC | p-Value | PRCC | p-Value | PRCC | p-Value | ||
30% treated | Secondary attack rate | θ | 0.996 | <0.001 | 0.996 | <0.001 | 0.996 | <0.001 | 0.995 | <0.001 |
Antiviral treatment efficacy | εT | −0.862 | <0.001 | −0.860 | <0.001 | −0.845 | <0.001 | −0.826 | <0.001 | |
Vaccine efficacy | εV | −0.353 | <0.001 | −0.422 | <0.001 | −0.623 | <0.001 | −0.727 | <0.001 | |
Contact rate | c | 0.354 | <0.001 | 0.350 | <0.001 | 0.328 | <0.001 | 0.304 | <0.001 | |
1/(Duration of infectious period) | δ | −0.098 | <0.001 | −0.097 | <0.001 | −0.091 | <0.001 | −0.085 | <0.001 | |
Proportion of infected individuals hospitalized | pH | −0.029 | 0.003 | −0.030 | 0.002 | −0.033 | 0.001 | −0.033 | 0.001 | |
37% treated | Secondary attack rate | θ | 0.994 | <0.001 | 0.994 | <0.001 | 0.994 | <0.001 | 0.993 | <0.001 |
Antiviral treatment efficacy | εT | −0.871 | <0.001 | −0.870 | <0.001 | −0.861 | <0.001 | −0.849 | <0.001 | |
Vaccine efficacy | εV | −0.286 | <0.001 | −0.346 | <0.001 | −0.551 | <0.001 | −0.661 | <0.001 | |
Contact rate | c | 0.284 | <0.001 | 0.282 | <0.001 | 0.268 | <0.001 | 0.254 | <0.001 | |
1/(Duration of infectious period) | δ | −0.079 | <0.001 | −0.078 | <0.001 | −0.075 | <0.001 | −0.072 | <0.001 | |
Proportion of infected individuals hospitalized | pH | −0.024 | <0.017 | −0.025 | 0.013 | −0.027 | 0.006 | −0.029 | <0.001 | |
50% treated | Secondary attack rate | θ | 0.988 | <0.001 | 0.988 | <0.001 | 0.987 | <0.001 | 0.987 | <0.001 |
Antiviral treatment efficacy | εT | −0.887 | <0.001 | −0.886 | <0.001 | −0.883 | <0.001 | −0.878 | <0.001 | |
Vaccine efficacy | εV | −0.204 | <0.001 | −0.250 | <0.001 | −0.425 | <0.001 | −0.540 | <0.001 | |
Contact rate | c | 0.199 | <0.001 | 0.198 | <0.001 | 0.192 | <0.001 | 0.185 | <0.001 | |
1/(Duration of infectious period) | δ | −0.057 | <0.001 | −0.060 | <0.001 | −0.055 | <0.001 | −0.054 | <0.001 | |
Proportion of infected individuals hospitalized | pH | −0.018 | 0.072 | −0.019 | 0.064 | −0.021 | 0.037 | −0.023 | 0.023 |