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. 2014 Sep 9;9(6):421–427. doi: 10.1159/000366438

Prognostic Factors in Operated Stage IIIC, Pathological N3a Breast Cancer Patients

Ibrahim Turker a,*, Ulku Y Arslan a, Ozan Yazici b, Ummugul Uyeturk c, Berna Oksuzoglu a, Burcin Budakoglu a, Nuriye Özdemir b, Ozlem U Sonmez d, Kaan Helvaci a, Onur Esbah a, Oznur Bal a, Ahmet S Ekinci a, Nurullah Zengin b
PMCID: PMC4317680  PMID: 25759625

Summary

Background

The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the prognostic factors in patients operated for stage IIIC breast carcinoma who had > 10 positive axillary lymph nodes (pN3a).

Patients and Methods

The medical records of 302 operated N3a breast cancer patients without distant metastasis followed up in 2 medical oncology clinics in Ankara between January 1998 and June 2013 were evaluated retrospectively.

Results

The median age was 50 (21–83) years. The median follow-up time was 43 (5–191) months. The patients were divided into 4 subgroups according to hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status. There were 151 (50.0%) patients in the HR+/HER2– group, 80 (26.5%) patients in the HR+/HER2+ group, 42 (13.9%) patients in the HR–/HER2+ group, and 29 (9.6%) patients in the triple negative (TN) group. At the time of analysis, 155 (51.3%) patients had recurrent disease and 117 (38.7%) patients had died. The median disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) times were 46.0 and 78.0 months, respectively. Both the DFS and OS in the HR+/HER2– group were longer than in the other groups (log-rank p = 0.034 and p = 0.016, respectively). Menopausal status, progesterone receptor (PgR) status, and lymph node ratio (LNR; defined as the number of positive lymph nodes compared to the total number of removed lymph nodes) were found to be independent prognostic factors (p = 0.019, p = 0.001, and p = 0.012, respectively).

Conclusion

Menopausal status, PgR status, and LNR were independent prognostic factors in operated N3a breast cancer patients, who are underrepresented in breast cancer trials.

Keywords: Breast cancer, Lymph node metastasis, Prognostic factor, Survival, Treatment strategies

Introduction

Breast cancer (BC) is the most common cancer among Turkish women [1]. There is a certain percentage of women who are still diagnosed at a later stage in Turkey [2].

The disease stage is an important clinical prognostic factor affecting both the disease-free survival (DFS) and the overall survival (OS) in BC [3]. Tumor size and nodal metastasis were significantly correlated to its malignant capacity [4]. According to molecular studies, there are at least 5 molecular subtypes with variable prognosis [5]. However, in routine clinical practice, BC subtypes are not determined by microarray, but surrogate markers such as the estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PgR), and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status are frequently used in the decision on the optimal treatment.

There is no prospective study to evaluate the prognosis of operable stage IIIC BC depending on its subtypes. These patients constitute only a small subset of the study population in large-scale prospective BC trials [6]. Retrospective studies usually have nonhomogeneous patient populations [7, 8, 9, 10]. A recent study noted that, unlike early recurrence, the tumor biology may have a more important role than the tumor load (positive lymph nodes) for late recurrence in ER-positive disease [11, 12]. The aim of this retrospective study was to evaluate the prognostic factors in operated stage IIIC, pN3a BC patients.

Patients and Methods

Among 3,297 women with BC followed up in 2 medical oncology clinics in Ankara between January 1998 and June 2013, 302 operated BC patients with ≥ 10 involved axillary lymph nodes were included in this retrospective study. None of these cases had received neoadjuvant systemic therapy. The clinicopathologic data were collected through examination of the medical records of the patients. The ER and PgR status were determined by immunohistochemistry (IHC) and both of them were avaible for all patients. Since the Ki-67 proliferation index was not studied for the large majority of the patients, we used the tumor grade instead.

The patients were divided into 4 subgroups: hormone receptor (HR) positive/HER2 negative (ER+ and/or PgR+, HER2–), HR positive/HER2 positive (ER+ and/or PgR+, HER2+), HR negative/HER2 positive (ER– and PR–, HER2+), and triple negative (TN; ER–, PgR–, HER2–).

The lymph node ratio (LNR) was previously defined as the number of positive lymph nodes compaired to the total number of removed lymph nodes [10, 11]. In the present study, we used 0.75 as the cut-off point because the largest DFS and OS differences were found when 0.75 was taken as the cut-off point.

DFS was defined as the time until the first event, including local and regional relapse, distant metastasis, and death. Overall survival (OS) was calculated from the date of diagnosis until death for any reason or the date of last contact.

Statistics

Fisher's exact test was used to compare the patient characteristics and tumor factors between populations. The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used to compare and analyse the survival data. The determination of independent prognostic factors influencing survival was performed by Cox's proportional hazard model. The 95% confidence interval (CI) was calculated. A p value less than 0.05 was considered to be statistically significant. All statistical analyses were performed with SPSS for Windows, version 15.0 (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA).

Results

All patients were women. The median age was 50 (21–83) years. 157 (52.0%) patients were premenopousal. 87% of the patients had invasive ductal carcinoma. 262 (86.8%) of the patients had grade 2 or 3 tumors. The proportions of BC subgroups were as follows: 50.0% HR+/HER2–, 26.5% HR+/ HER2+, 13.9% HR–/HER2+, and 9.6% TN. The demographic characteristics of the patients are shown in table 1.

Table 1.

Basic characteristics of the patients

Characteristic n (%)
Median age, years 50 (21–83)
 < 40 years 55 (18.2%)
 40–49 years 92 (30.5%)
 50–59 years 90 (29.8%)
 ≥ 60 years 65 (21.5%)
Menopausal status
 Premenopausal 157 (52.0%)
 Postmenopausal 145 (48.0%)
Type of histology
 Invasive ductal 264 (87.4%)
 Invasive lobular 18 (6.0%)
 Mixed 11 (3.6%)
 Others 9 (3.0%)
Grade of histology
 I 13 (4.3%)
 II 110 (36.4%)
 III 152 (50.3%)
 Unknown 27 (8.9%)
Tumor size
 I 23 (7.6%)
 II 145 (48.0%)
 III 121 (40.1%)
 IV 13 (4.3%)
ER status
 Positive 218 (72.2%)
 Negative 84 (27.8%)
PgR status
 Positive 183 (60.6%)
 Negative 119 (39.4%)
HER2 status
 Positive 122 (40.4%)
 Negative 180 (59.6%)
Subgroups
 HR+/HER2- 151 (50.0%)
 HR+/HER2+ 80 (26.5%)
 HR–/HER2+ 42 (13.9%)
 TN 29 (9.6%)
Metastatic lymph nodes 15 (10–53)
 10–15 159 (52.6%)
 » 16 143 (47.4%)
Dissected lymph nodes 23 (10–60)
Lymph node ratio, median (range) 0.75 (0.18–1.0)
 ≤ 0.75 157 (52.0%)
 » 0.75 145 (48.0%)

ER = estrogen receptor, PgR = progesterone receptor,

HER2 = human epithelial growth factor receptor 2,

HR = hormone receptor, TN = triple negative.

285 (94.4%) of the patients had modified radical mastectomy (MRM). Adjuvant radiotherapy was administered in 280 (92.7%) patients. All HR-positive patients were treated with adjuvant hormonotherapy. 60 (49.2%) of the HER2+ patients received adjuvant trastuzumab. Detailed treatment information according to the tumor subgroups is given in table 2.

Table 2.

Treatment characteristics of the patients according to tumor subgroup

Adjuvant chemotherapy HR+/HER2–, n = 151 (50%) HR+/HER2+, n = 80 (26.5%) HR–/HER2+, n = 42 (13.9%) TN, n = 29 (9.6%) Total, n (%) (100%)
Antracycline 22 (7.3%) 8 (2.6%) 4 (1.3%) 4 (1.3%) 38 (12.6%)
Antracycline-taxane 123 (40.7%) 37 (12.3%) 16 (5.3%) 25 (8.3%) 201 (66.6%)
Antracycline-taxane and trastuzumab 32 (10.6%) 20 (6.6%) 52 (17.2%)
CMF 4 (1.3%) 2 (0.7%) 6 (2.0%)
Adjuvant hormone therapy (% of HR+)
 Tmx 65 (29.5%) 34 (15.5%) 99 (45.0%)
 AI 33 (15.0%) 28 (12.7%9 61 (27.7%)
 Switch (Tmx to AI) 20 (9.1%) 9 (4.1%) 29 (13.2%)
 Extended adjuvant 5 (2.3%) 5 (2.3%)
 Tmx + LHRH agonists 21 (9.5%) 5 (2.3%) 26 (11.8%)
Adjuvant trastuzumab (% of HER2+)
 Yes 37 (30.3%) 23 (18.9%) 60 (49.2%)
 No 43 (35.2%) 19 (15.6%) 62 (50.8%)
First-line palliative chemotherapy (% of received)
 Taxane containing 20 (14.8%) 3 (2.2%) 2 (1.5%) 3 (2.2%) 28 (20.7%)
 Platin doublet 11 (8.2%) 1 (0.7%) 5 (3.7%) 17 (12.6%)
 Trastuzumab combinations 27 (20.0%) 14 (10.4%) 41 (30.4%)
 Hormone therapy 24 (17.8%) 3 (2.2%) 27 (20.0%)
 Lapatinib, capecitabine 2 (1.5%) 4 (3.0%) 6 (4.5%)
 Others 11 (8.2%) 2 (1.5%) 3 (2.2%) 16 (11.9%)

HR = Hormone receptor, HER2 = human epithelial growth factor receptor 2, TN = triple negative, CMF = cyclophosphamide/methotrexate/fluorouracil, LHRH = luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone, Tmx = tamoxifen, AI = aromatase inhibitor.

Survival Analysis

The median duration of follow-up was 43.0 (5–191) months. The median DFS and OS were 46.0 (95% CI: 37.7–54.3) and 78.0 (95% CI: 68.3–87.7) months, respectively.

Disease-Free Survival

Patients with HR+/HER2– status had a significantly longer 5-year DFS than the HR+/HER2+ and HR–/HER2+ groups (49.2%, 31.2%, and 19.1%, respectively; p = 0.034), but we did not find any significant differences between the TN patients and the other groups according to DFS. The DFS curves by tumor subgroup are displayed in figure 1a. Treatment with an adjuvant aromatase inhibitor in the postmenopausal HR+subgroup was correlated with a better DFS than treatment with tamoxifen (p < 0.001; fig. 2a).

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

DFS (A) and OS (B) curves by tumor subgroup. HR = Hormone receptor, HER2 = human epithelial growth factor receptor 2, n = number of cases included at time 0 and number of cases still under observation at the end of the study.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

DFS (A) and OS (B) curves by hormone therapy type. AI = Aromatase inhibitor, Tmx = tamoxifen, n = number of cases included at time 0 and number of cases still under observation at the end of the study.

Univariate analysis showed that PgR positivity, HER2–status, time of diagnosis (after June 2007), and HR+/HER2–tumor subgroup were correlated with better DFS (p = 0.003, p = 0.013, p = 0.040, and p = 0.034, respectively). We did not find any correlation between age, histology, grade, ER status, surgery type, and DFS (table 3). A higher LNR (LNR > 0.75) was also correlated with worse DFS (p = 0.006; fig. 3a).

Table 3.

Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors associated with DFS and OS

Variables Median DFS, months Univariate p Multivariate p HR (95% CI) Median OS, months Univariate p Multivariate p HR (95% CI)
Age 0.366 0.058 0.877
 » 50 years 68.0
 ≤ 50 years 87.0
Menopausal status 0.135 0.006* 0.019* 0.641 (0.442–0.929)
 Premenopausal 93.0
 Postmenopausal 66.0
Histological type 0.804 0.737
ER status 0.394 0.109
PgR status 0.003* 0.026* 0.621 (0.408–0.943) 0.001* 0.001* 0.527 (0.364–0.762)
 Negative 32.0 66.0
 Positive 53.0 104.0
HER2 status 0.013* 0.813 0.037* 0.103
 Negative 53.0 84.0
 Positive 35.0 60.0
T stage 0.859 0.835
Grade 0.293 0.095
Time of diagnosis 0.040* 0.051 0.709 (0.502–1.001) 0.620
 Before June 2007 38.0
 After June 2007 69.0
Lymph node ratio 0.006* 0.010* 1.530 (1.105–2.120) 0.010* 0.012* 1.611 (1.108–2.341)
 ≤ 0.75 67.0 93.0
 » 0.75 40.0 70.0
Subgroups 0.034* 0.054 0.016* 0.377
 HR+/HER2– 53.0 87.0
 HR+/HER2+ 38.0 0.028* 1.561 (1.050–2.320) 60.0
 HR–/HER2+ 28.0 0.189 51.0
 TN 101.0 0.536 67.0

DFS = Disease-free survival, OS = overall survival, HR = hazard ratio, ER = estrogen receptor, PgR = progesterone receptor, HER2 = human epithelial growth factor receptor 2, HR = hormone receptor, TN = triple negative.

*

p < 0.05.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3

DFS (A) and OS (B) curves by LNR (number of positive lymph nodes compaired to total number of removed lymph nodes). n = Number of cases included at time 0 and number of cases still under observation at the end of the study.

In multivariate Cox regression analysis, PgR status (p = 0.026, hazard ratio (HR): 0.621, 95% CI: 0.408–0.943), tumor subgroup (p = 0.028, HR: 1.561, 95% CI: 1.050–2.320), and LNR (p = 0.010, HR: 1.530, 95% CI: 1.105–2.120) were found to be independent prognostic factors with a significant influence on the DFS (table 3).

Overall Survival

Patients with HR+/HER2– staus had a significantly longer 5-year OS rate than HR+/HER2+ and HR–/HER2+ patients (71.5%, 49.4%, and 38.5%, respectively; log-rank p = 0.016). We did not find any significant differences between TN patients and the other groups according to OS. The OS curves by tumor subgroup are displayed in figure 1b. Treatment with an adjuvant aromatase inhibitor in the postmenopausal HR+ subgroup was correlated with a better OS than treatment with tamoxifen (p = 0.024; fig. 2b).

Univariate analysis showed that premenopausal status, PgR positivity, HER2– status, and HR+/HER2– tumor subgroup were correlated with a better OS (p = 0.006, p = 0.001, p = 0.037, and p = 0.016, respectively; table 3). We did not find any correlation between histology, grade, ER status, surgery type, and OS (table 3). A higher LNR (LNR > 0.75) was also corralated with worse outcome (p = 0.010; fig. 3b).

In multivariate Cox regression analysis, premenopausal status (p = 0.019, HR: 0.641, 95% CI: 0.442–0.929), PgR status (p = 0.001, HR: 0.527, 95% CI: 0.364–0.762), and LNR (p = 0.012, HR: 1.611, 95% CI: 1.108–2.341) were found to be independent prognostic factors with a significant influence on OS (table 3).

Discussion

Our centers are tertiary reference centers mostly accepting patients from rural areas of Central Anatolia. We have a high percentage (10%) of women diagnosed at later stages of BC.

Women with HR-positive BC have a better prognosis due to a slower growth rate compared to TN tumors [13]. Similarly, we found that the HR+/HER2– group in this cohort lived significantly longer than the HER2+ and TN patients.

Most of the patients in this study have been treated with sequential anthracycline- and taxane-based regimens. Chemotherapy was less efficient for HR+ tumors than for HR– ones [14]. Recent studies noted a higher and earlier peak of recurrences in patients receiving tamoxifen [15] than in patients who switched to anastrozole following 2 or 3 years of tamoxifen [16]. An additional 5-year course of letrozole also resulted in improved DFS and OS [16]. In our study, in patients diagnosed with BC before 2004, tamoxifen rather than aromatase inhibitors had been mostly used in postmenopausal women.

As a limitation of our study, the Ki-67 proliferation index results were not available for the large majority of the patients. We thus classified our patients only according to ER, PR, and HER2 status and histological grade. Ferguson et al. [17] suggested using the tumor grade in the absence of the Ki-67 proliferation index in Caucasian women. We also used the tumor grade instead of the Ki-67 proliferation index since the tumor grade was available in 91.1% of our patients. The percentage of histological grade I cases was only 4.3% in our patient population, although we double checked the histological stage in both biopsy and mastectomy materials in most cases; we think this might be related to the higher disease stage.

It has been reported that the HER2 positivity rates increase with increasing disease stage [18]. In the current study, the HER2 positivity rate was 40.4%. This was also consistent with a previous retrospective study in Turkey [10]. The proportion of operable stage IIIC BC was approximately 13% in 2 large randomized adjuvant trastuzumab trials [19, 20]. Trastuzumab has maintained its efficacy after adjustment for nodal status. But it was difficult to interpret these results for stage IIIC patients.

According to a meta-analysis, 1 year of trastuzumab was better than 2 years or 6 months of trastuzumab [21]. Only half of the HER2+ patients received adjuvant trastuzumab in our study because adjuvant trastuzumab had been approved by the Ministary of Health of Turkey in June 2007. The relatively poor outcome of the HER+ subgroup could be explained by inadequate use of adjuvant trastuzumab in our study.

The TN subgroup constitutes less than 10% of our study population (n = 29). This is consistent with a previous study [22]. The correlation between prognosis and the number of metastatic lymph nodes has not been precisely determined in node-positive TN BC [23]. As opposed to the above-mentioned study, we found relatively better DFS and OS rates. We think this paradoxical clinical outcome might be due to the limited size of our TN patient group.

According to the 13th St Gallen International Breast Cancer Conference, the panel suggested to use a requirement for ≥ 20% PgR positivity in the definition of ‘luminal A-like’ cancer and a threshhold of ≥ 20% Ki-67 status in the definition of ‘luminal B-like’ cancer, without using molecular tests but on the basis of gene array data [24]. Therefore, the lack of substantial PgR positivity was associated with a less endocrine-sensitive, more aggressive and worse prognostic subtype of BC. We also found that PgR positivity was the strongest independent prognostic factor for both DFS and OS in this patient group. But we did not consider the PgR+ or PgR-status of HR-positive patients to select different endocrine therapies.

In recent studies, the LNR, which has been defined as ‘positive lymph nodes compaired to total removed lymph nodes’, has been proposed as a new prognostic tool [10, 25]. Several cut-off points ranging between 0.2 and 0.9 were found to be related with survival in different studies [10, 25]. In the present study, the largest DFS and OS differences were found when 0.75 was taken as the cut-off point. We also confirmed that the LNR was an independent prognostic factor for both DFS and OS in our patient group.

In conclusion, HR+/HER2-BC patients still have a better prognosis than HER2+ and TN BC patients, even if they had extensive axillary lymph node metastasis. Menopausal status, PgR positivity, and LNR were also independent prognostic factors. Determination of these prognostic factors together with tumor subgroups might be a practical guide for these patients who are underrepresented in BC trials.

Disclosure Statement

The authors declare that they have no financial relationship regarding the commercial matters and/or no conflict of interest.

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