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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America logoLink to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
. 2015 Jan 26;112(6):E597–E601. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1500047112

Correction for Barcellos et al., Preparedness of Americans for the Affordable Care Act

PMCID: PMC4330727  PMID: 25624504

ECONOMIC SCIENCES Correction for “Preparedness of Americans for the Affordable Care Act,” by Silvia Helena Barcellos, Amelie C. Wuppermann, Katherine Grace Carman, Sebastian Bauhoff, Daniel L. McFadden, Arie Kapteyn, Joachim K. Winter, and Dana Goldman, which appeared in issue 15, April 15, 2014, of Proc Natl Acad Sci USA (111:5497–5502; first published March 24, 2014; 10.1073/pnas.1320488111).

The authors note that, due to a coding error, multiple sections of the article appeared incorrectly. The coding error caused income as percent of the Federal Poverty Line (FPL) to be calculated based on Alaska's guidelines for the entire sample of respondents, irrespective of the respondents' actual state of residence. As Alaska's guidelines are higher than those in all other states, too few respondents were classified as having income higher than 400% of the FPL. Correcting this error resulted in small changes to our numeric results and did not influence any of the main conclusions of the paper. The corrections to figures, tables and main text are listed below.

Figs. 3 and 4 appeared incorrectly. The corrected figures and their legends appear below.

Fig. 3.

Fig. 3.

ACA subjective and objective knowledge. Point estimates of odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals after logit estimation, full models are displayed in columns 1 and 2 of SI Appendix, Table A1. An odds ratio smaller than 1 indicates that people who have the stated condition are less likely to score above the median on ACA knowledge questions than people who do not have the stated condition when everything else is equal.

Fig. 4.

Fig. 4.

Health insurance subjective and objective knowledge. Point estimates of odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals after logit estimation, full models are displayed in columns 3 and 4 of SI Appendix, Table A1. An odds ratio smaller than 1 indicates that people who have the stated condition are less likely to score above the median on health insurance knowledge questions than people who do not have the stated condition when everything else is equal.

The authors also note that Tables 1, 2 and 3 appeared incorrectly. The corrected tables appear below.

Table 1.

Descriptive statistics

Variable ALP (%) CPS (%)
Health Insurance
 Yes 81 79
 No 19 21
Income
 <100% of FPL 18 16
 100-250% of FPL 27 26
 251-400% of FPL 20 22
 >400% of FPL 35 36
Education
 No degree 11 12
 High school or equivalent degree 28 29
 Some college 20 20
 Associate degree 10 10
 Bachelor's degree 20 19
 More than Bachelors' degree 10 10
Gender
 Male 49 49
 Female 51 51
Age
 Younger than 26 15 18
 26-44 41 40
 45 and older 44 42
Marital Status
 Not married 37 47
 Married 63 53
Race
 White 75 78
 Nonwhite 25 22
Ethnicity
 Non-Hispanic 79 84
 Hispanic 21 16
Health
 Excellent/very good/good 86 88
 Fair/poor 14 12
State of residence
 Red state in 2012 election 38 38
 Blue state in 2012 election 62 62
 Federal exchange 51 54
 State exchange 37 36
 Partnership exchange 12 11
State likely to expand Medicaid
 Yes 58 54
 No 42 46
Number of observations 3,414 122,296

Weighted averages using ALP survey 356 and 2012 March CPS, individuals younger than 65.

Table 2.

Knowledge about the Affordable Care Act, health insurance, and financial literacy

Income in % of FPL
All (%) Uninsured (%) <100 (%) 100–250 (%) 251–400 (%) >400 (%)
Knowledge about Affordable Care Act (ACA)
 Knows a great deal/fair amount 24 17 16 18 26 33
 Average number correct ACA knowledge questions 4.46 3.26 2.57 3.76 4.68 5.85
 More than median correct ACA knowledge questions 50 34 24 39 55 68
 Has heard of healthcare reform 78 64 51 72 86 93
 Knows about new exchanges 51 36 33 42 48 68
 Knows about penalty 63 52 41 59 69 75
 Knows about subsidy 46 31 27 39 48 60
Health Insurance Literacy
 Strongly agrees to be confident in financial matters 46 34 24 41 46 61
 Strongly agrees to be good at mathematics 28 25 21 25 26 35
 Average number correct HI knowledge questions 4.84 3.70 3.06 4.44 5.22 5.84
 More than median correct HI knowledge questions 49 27 15 35 57 72
 Can describe a deductible 58 42 27 51 66 76
 Knows about deductible/premium trade-off 61 42 29 51 70 80
 Knows that HMO greater provider restriction than PPO 38 19 19 27 37 56
Average expected changes in health care
 Family will be better off (1), no change (0), worse off (−1) −0.23 −0.09 −0.08 −0.16 −0.32 −0.30
 Average Index for different dimensions −1.44 −0.83 −0.73 −1.24 −1.72 −1.79
 Expects access to care to increase (1), stay unchanged (0),  decrease (−1) −0.23 −0.05 −0.03 −0.13 −0.34 −0.34
 Expects waiting times decrease (1), no change (0), increase (−1) −0.36 −0.28 −0.24 −0.31 −0.39 −0.43
 Expects quality of care increase (1), no change (0), decrease (−1) −0.25 −0.13 −0.07 −0.23 −0.30 −0.32
 Expects out-of-pocket decrease (1), no change (0), increase (−1) −0.33 −0.18 −0.20 −0.31 −0.34 −0.40
 Expects ER costs decrease (1), no change (0), increase (−1) −0.28 −0.19 −0.19 −0.26 −0.34 −0.31
 Number of observations 3414 698 781 1003 634 996
Financial Literacy (FL)
 Numeracy 85 71 66 82 83 95
 Inflation 73 55 41 64 77 87
 Risk diversification 62 42 33 48 63 81
 Average FL Index 2.20 1.68 1.39 1.94 2.23 2.63
 Number of observations 2246 401 398 638 458 752

ALP survey 356, individuals younger than 65, raking weights used. Financial literacy is only available for a subset of respondents that have also answered ALP survey 243. FL index is the sum of correct answers to the three financial literacy questions.

Table 3.

Expected changes due to health reform

Specific Dimension Overall
OLS Ordered Logit OLS Ordered Logit
(1) (2) (3) (4)
No health insurance 0.350*** (0.103) 0.283*** (0.082) 0.114*** (0.032) 0.311*** (0.088)
Income <100% of FPL 0.334** (0.134) 0.228** (0.109) 0.071* (0.040) 0.196* (0.117)
Income 100–250% of FPL 0.178 (0.112) 0.106 (0.091) 0.060* (0.034) 0.160 (0.098)
Income 251–400% of FPL 0.008 (0.114) −0.018 (0.094) −0.010 (0.034) −0.028 (0.101)
Younger than 26 0.262* (0.156) 0.264** (0.130) −0.111** (0.046) −0.270* (0.139)
26–44 0.059 (0.082) 0.041 (0.067) −0.025 (0.025) −0.058 (0.072)
Female −0.016 (0.077) −0.018 (0.063) 0.004 (0.024) 0.021 (0.069)
Not married 0.339*** (0.080) 0.279*** (0.066) 0.094*** (0.025) 0.272*** (0.072)
Nonwhite 0.579*** (0.089) 0.452*** (0.075) 0.318*** (0.028) 0.891*** (0.081)
Hispanic 0.452*** (0.097) 0.348*** (0.080) 0.188*** (0.030) 0.557*** (0.086)
No degree −0.200 (0.175) −0.205 (0.159) −0.211*** (0.059) −0.598*** (0.173)
High school or equivalent −0.363*** (0.139) −0.307*** (0.117) −0.240*** (0.043) −0.672*** (0.127)
Some college −0.529*** (0.130) −0.469*** (0.108) −0.207*** (0.040) −0.575*** (0.116)
Associate degree −0.721*** (0.154) −0.616*** (0.123) −0.210*** (0.045) −0.573*** (0.131)
Bachelor's degree −0.456*** (0.130) −0.402*** (0.107) −0.123*** (0.041) −0.351*** (0.115)
Fair/poor health 0.037 (0.107) 0.035 (0.087) 0.010 (0.033) 0.035 (0.093)
State likely to expand Medicaid 0.155 (0.130) 0.111 (0.109) 0.109** (0.042) 0.311*** (0.120)
Federal exchange −0.233* (0.127) −0.157 (0.107) −0.030 (0.042) −0.087 (0.118)
Partnership exchange −0.416*** (0.131) −0.308*** (0.108) −0.184*** (0.040) −0.504*** (0.119)
Blue state in 2012 election 0.341*** (0.097) 0.291*** (0.080) 0.120*** (0.030) 0.359*** (0.087)
Constant −1.734*** (0.181) −0.316*** (0.058)
Number of observations 3414 3414 3414 3414

 Coefficients and SEs after OLS and ordered logit estimation respectively. Estimates of cutpoints for ordered logit models not reported. Columns 1 and 2 use an index that averages information on expected changes in five different dimensions (access to care, quality of care, waiting times, out-of-pocket costs, and costs for emergency care) as dependent variables. The index counts 1 for improvement, 0 for no change, and −1 for deterioration. Columns 3 and 4 use expected overall changes for the family as dependent variables. 1 indicates that family will be better off, 0 not much change, and −1 that family will be worse off. *P < 0.10, **P < 0.05, ***P <0.01.

The authors also note that, in the Abstract, the following text appears incorrectly: in lines 12–15, “correctly answered, on average, 4 out of 11 questions about health reform and 4.6 out of 7 questions about health insurance. This compares with 6.1 and 5.9 correct answers” should instead appear as “3.8 out of 11 questions about health reform and 4.4 out of 7 questions about health insurance. This compares with 5.9 and 5.8 correct answers;” and in line 16, “a low-income person is 31% less likely” should instead appear as “a low-income person is 33% less likely.”

Also, on page 5499, right column, the first full paragraph should instead appear as: “Table 1 presents weighted descriptive statistics of the ALP sample; column 2 presents similar statistics using the 18–64 sample from the 2012 March CPS. Eighteen percent of the sample had incomes below 100% of the FPL and are likely eligible for Medicaid, 47% had incomes 100–400% of FPL and may be eligible for subsidies in the exchanges, and 19% were uninsured. Overall, the figures in our ALP sample correspond well to those in the CPS. The only exception is marital status, for which the discrepancies might be explained by differences in survey questions. While the ALP question includes cohabitating partners as married, the CPS does not include them.”

Also, on page 5500, left column, second full paragraph, lines 5–12 “Approximately 58% of those earning 100–250% of FPL have not heard about the exchanges or subsidies, and 44% do not know or have an incorrect understanding of the relationship between deductibles and premiums. Those earning 100–250% of FPL correctly answered, on average, 4 out of 11 questions about health reform and 4.6 out of 7 questions about health insurance. This compares with 6.1 and 5.9 correct answers, respectively, for those in the top income category (P = 0.00)” should instead appear as “Approximately 60% of those earning 100–250% of FPL have not heard about the exchanges or subsidies, and 59% do not know or have an incorrect understanding of the relationship between deductibles and premiums. Those earning 100–250% of FPL correctly answered, on average, 3.8 out of 11 questions about health reform and 4.4 out of 7 questions about health insurance. This compares with 5.9 and 5.8 correct answers, respectively, for those in the top income category (P = 0.00).”

Also, on page 5500, left column, fourth full paragraph, the following text appears incorrectly: lines 11–15 “A person in the lowest income category is 53% less likely to score above the median on ACA knowledge than a person in the top income category [odds ratio (OR) = 0.47, P = 0.00]; this figure is 31% (OR = 0.69, P = 0.00) for a person with income 100–250% of FPL” should instead appear as “A person in the lowest income category is 54% less likely to score above the median on ACA knowledge than a person in the top income category [odds ratio (OR) = 0.46, P = 0.00]; this figure is 33% (OR = 0.67, P = 0.00) for a person with income 100–250% of FPL;” and in lines 22–23 “20% less likely (OR = 0.80, P = 0.05)” should instead appear as “21% less likely (OR = 0.79, P = 0.08).”

Also, on page 5500, right column, second full paragraph, lines 4–10 “The odds of scoring above the median on health insurance knowledge questions are 70% lower for an individual in the bottom income category (OR = 0.30, P = 0.00), 54% lower for an individual at 100–250% of FPL (OR = 0.46, P = 0.00), and 26% lower for an individual at 251–400% of FPL (OR = 0.74, P = 0.05), relative to an individual in the top income category” should instead appear as “The odds of scoring above the median on health insurance knowledge questions are 74% lower for an individual in the bottom income category (OR = 0.26, P = 0.00), 54% lower for an individual at 100–250% of FPL (OR = 0.46, P = 0.00), and 31% lower for an individual at 251–400% of FPL (OR = 0.69, P = 0.00), relative to an individual in the top income category.”

Also on page 5500, right column, third full paragraph, lines 14–17 “Two exceptions are the results using the questions on plan standardization and benefits for undocumented immigrants, where income and education (the latter only in the case of the standardization question) do not predict knowledge” should instead appear as “Two exceptions are the results using the questions on plan standardization and benefits for undocumented immigrants, where income does not predict knowledge.”


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