Significance
We investigate the effectiveness of nonprice incentives to motivate conservation behavior. We test whether tailored information about environmental and health damages produces behavior change in the residential electricity sector. In a randomized controlled trial with real-time appliance-level energy metering over 8 mo, we find that environment and health-based information strategies outperform monetary savings information to drive energy conservation. Environment and health-based messages, which communicate the environmental and public health externalities of electricity production—such as pounds of pollutants, childhood asthma, and cancer—motivated 8% energy savings versus control. This strategy was particularly effective on families with children, who achieved 19% energy savings. However, we do not study the persistence of these behavioral changes after the conclusion of the study.
Keywords: energy conservation, decision making, health information disclosure, environmental behavior, randomized controlled trials
Abstract
In the electricity sector, energy conservation through technological and behavioral change is estimated to have a savings potential of 123 million metric tons of carbon per year, which represents 20% of US household direct emissions in the United States. In this article, we investigate the effectiveness of nonprice information strategies to motivate conservation behavior. We introduce environment and health-based messaging as a behavioral strategy to reduce energy use in the home and promote energy conservation. In a randomized controlled trial with real-time appliance-level energy metering, we find that environment and health-based information strategies, which communicate the environmental and public health externalities of electricity production, such as pounds of pollutants, childhood asthma, and cancer, outperform monetary savings information to drive behavioral change in the home. Environment and health-based information treatments motivated 8% energy savings versus control and were particularly effective on families with children, who achieved up to 19% energy savings. Our results are based on a panel of 3.4 million hourly appliance-level kilowatt–hour observations for 118 residences over 8 mo. We discuss the relative impacts of both cost-savings information and environmental health messaging strategies with residential consumers.
In the electricity sector, energy conservation through technological and behavioral change is estimated to have a savings potential of 123 million metric tons of carbon per year, which represents 20% of US household direct emissions (1). Although some scholars contend that improvements in energy-generation technologies offer the greatest potential for carbon emission reductions (2), others argue that household-level behavioral changes can also produce significant and immediate emission reductions (1). In residential electricity markets, however, promoting conservation through behavior change is particularly challenging. Traditional economic incentives for household energy conservation are typically small and subject to problems of inattention or imperfect information, which economists often classify as information or market failures (3–7). Tailored information strategies could solve problems of imperfect information in markets—by disclosing the unobserved costs of individual consumption decisions to consumers (8). However, because electricity demand is relatively price inelastic (9), nonprice information strategies using normative, intrinsic, or social motivations might prove effective alternatives (10, 11). In this article, we compare the effectiveness of environmental and health information disclosures on residential energy consumption to more traditional cost-based information strategies.
Public environmental and health damages from energy generation, which include premature mortality and morbidity (such as cancer, chronic bronchitis, asthma, and other respiratory diseases), have not traditionally been the focus of energy conservation policies. However, decades of research on environment and health effects of air pollution have shown electricity generation to be one of the most important sources of pollution and with recognized impacts on global health such as childhood asthma and cancer. Since the 1990s, prospective cohort studies, time-series studies, and rigorous epidemiological data have provided strong causal evidence of the associated health effects of ambient air pollution (12). These include both “somatic effects”—for example, those occurring in the persons exposed—along with “genetic effects”—those occurring in at-risk populations (12). Global health damages are by far the most prominent externalities, primarily due to air pollution from coal and natural gas, which constitute a majority of the current energy system. Health damage estimates already exceed $120 billion in 2005 US dollars (13), with electricity price structures that do not necessarily reflect these costs.
Health Externalities: A Missing Link in Consumer Choice
The link between individual electricity use and the resulting impacts on human health (via energy-related industrial emissions) remains elusive for most consumers. Household electricity use is typically “invisible,” meaning consumers have limited information about the external effects of their individual electricity consumption. In this article, we investigate whether information about the environmental health effects of energy consumption could impact conservation behavior.
Behavioral theory suggests that disclosing environment and health-based externalities to consumers can be effective at shifting conservation preferences and reducing the perceived costs and/or moral benefits of individual consumption (14). Prior literature also points to important differences in the effectiveness of environmental cues, according to the type of information provided and the context in which the information is communicated (15–17). In the context of energy consumption, we argue that policies that correct information asymmetries between individual consumption and pollution externalities can encourage conservation by reframing and creating new mental accounts on the perceived costs and benefits of household actions to conserve energy. In pursuing tailored information disclosures related to environment and health externalities, we examine whether moral norms and moral choice can affect how individual consumption decisions are made and subsequently evaluated by consumers.
There is a rich literature on the importance of moral payoffs and moral norms on household consumption decisions. Research in psychology (18–23), economics (24–27), marketing (28–30), sociology (31–34), philosophy (35, 36), and neuroscience (37, 38) has shown that normative strategies can motivate human behavior in the interests of the long-term benefits of the social group rather than the short-term, self-interested behavior of one person. Learning that one’s marginal consumption imposes social costs on others can lead to different moral sensitivities to external health damages. However, moral sensitivity to reducing harm in others is to be distinguished from purely altruistic motivations such as in philanthropy or charitable giving, as the benefits of individual conservation actions bestow not only social benefits onto others but also private benefits on the individual (i.e., lower costs, reduced pollution, cleaner air, etc.).
We consider two psychology-based mechanisms: The first is amplification of prosocial conservation preferences that is motivated by a need to reduce harm on others (or activate behavior that aids others); the second is amplification of private benefits from reduced marginal consumption, which also provide private benefits to the individual (e.g., fewer emissions leading to known health damages). This amplification strategy serves dual purposes and could apply equally to populations with greater sensitivities to the greater good and to those households who also stand to gain from cleaner air and the reduction of health externalities, which could represent a broad segment of the population. Particular examples of such study subjects could be urban communities and, in particular, affected populations such as the elderly or families with children. Targeting urban communities and families with children, we test the effectiveness of environment/health-related social messaging on household energy conservation in a real market setting.
Experimental Evidence
A large number of energy conservation studies have been conducted using various information strategies to reduce energy use (10, 39–45). These studies provide users with energy-saving tips, historical individual use, real-time energy use, and peer use, including social comparisons. Despite a growing body of literature on nonprice strategies with tailored information campaigns, researchers have not yet tested the effectiveness of consumer information disclosures based on environment and health externalities (45). Therefore, the empirical evidence of moralized consumer choice using environmental health cues remains as yet largely undetermined. Expanding the ensemble of large-scale behavioral strategies, we present experimental field evidence with residential electricity customers in a major US city. We demonstrate that nonprice-based environment and health messaging can have substantial and economically meaningful reductions in demand at the household level. Our central contribution is to test the role of information disclosure about environment and health damages as a new class of nonprice strategies for household energy conservation.
Measuring Conservation Behavior
In the energy conservation context, prior field studies have been limited in their ability to measure high frequency behavior and to provide residents with timely feedback about their electricity use. Prior studies often use data obtained from long or infrequent residential billing cycles, indirectly using energy modeling techniques or self-reported surveys about intentions to conserve. More generally, the lack of appliance-level energy metering data in US households and businesses has been a long-standing problem for modeling and understanding consumer behavior in residential and commercial buildings (46). In the current study, new technology developments allow us to observe kilowatt–hour (kWh) electricity behavior in real time, at the appliance level (47). A kWh is the most common unit of electricity used by electric utilities in residential and commercial billing.
Behavioral experiments in energy research are now transitioning from small-scale laboratory experiments to large-scale field studies (48–50), with randomized controlled trials (RCTs) emerging as a powerful approach for policy evaluation of information treatments. RCTs enhance the credibility of findings by modeling actual consumer behavior at scale and, under realistic settings, often in contrast to controlled laboratory studies. However, RCTs are usually more costly to conduct versus nonexperimental observational studies. This is because archival data are often cheaper per unit of observation, so it is possible to have more observations for the same unit cost over a broader setting or population than might be available in a RCT, particularly in cases when there are limits to sampling, measurement error, or treatment imbalance. For a discussion of strengths and limitations of RCT, see refs. 51 and 52. Sound inference comes from triangulating multiple sources of evidence. This is why we combine RCTs with survey data, not only to provide richer evidence of the effects of a treatment before and after an intervention but also as a way to optimize the treatment itself. In the current study, we conduct a high-frequency, high time-resolution RCT study at a multiple-building, family apartment residential field site. We observe consumer behavioral responses to information treatments in real time with appliance-level metering capabilities not previously available. We integrate a behavioral science-based consumer messaging strategy, which connects the causal chain between energy use and associated environment and health consequences at the individual household level.
Our sample consists of Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) customers who pay their electricity bills, and our experimental results represent outcomes of real-life consumption decisions in their natural settings. Our field experimental site, University Village, is a large family housing community in Los Angeles with 1,102 units. On a per capita electricity basis, University Village residents are typical of California multifamily renter populations (SI Appendix, Table S9) and are only slightly below the national average (due to the milder climate in the State of California). (For more information on the characteristics of our sample, please see SI Appendix.) Our 118 participating households consist of single, married, and domestically partnered graduate college students with and without children in the home. Residents are younger and more educated than the US population but are typical of users of information devices. Our target population represents the next generation of homeowners who are used to working with mobile electronic devices and increasingly rely on electronic communications in their consumption habits. Thus, our experimental results are indicative of how future residential electricity consumers can respond to high-frequency information, especially as electric utilities begin using smart metering data with information and communication technologies.
Building an intelligent, wireless sensor network, we gave consumers real-time access to detailed, appliance-level information about their home electricity consumption. Our results are based on a panel of 440,059 hourly kWh observations (or 3.43 million underlying appliance-level kWh observations) for 118 residences over a time span of 8 mo. We also conducted the analysis at higher frequency toward the limit of the technology (metering and data processing) at 1/30 Hz—for example, one reading every 30 s—to evaluate the optimal span of inference. Our optimal unit of observation in this study is hourly, which balances several competing requirements and considerations, not the least of which are the span of decision making for conservation behavior, the technical capabilities of the metering equipment, the precision of the estimates, computational burdens, and other practical considerations. We provided treated households with high-resolution information about costs (weekly cost estimates as opposed to monthly billing) or environmental and health impacts (weekly emissions and listing of particular health consequences; e.g., childhood asthma and cancer). Informational messages were delivered via a specialized, consumer-friendly website with monitored page views and analytics and weekly accessible emails by personal computer and portable electronic devices (SI Appendix, Fig. S1). Information feedback was specific to each consumer. Once randomly assigned to receive either cost savings or environment- and health-related information, households could not cross over between treatments. Building on previous literature and to provide all treated households with a reference point for their consumption, we compared our participants to the top 10% most energy efficient-similar neighbors in the complex. (Households were provided with factual evidence-based numbers that depended on their weekly kWh electricity consumption. Equivalent cost savings were calculated using household consumption data and the published LADWP electric rate schedules for residential customers. LADWP is the nation’s largest public utility. Equivalent non–base-load emissions were calculated using emission factors from the Emissions & Generation Resource Integrated Database maintained by the US Environmental Protection Agency.) After a 6-mo baseline monitoring period, the treatment period was ∼100 d, which is the typical duration of an information campaign during peak summer or winter months. Our treatment period is also greater than 60% of comparable studies from 1975 to 2012 (45).
Results and Discussion
We find that health and environment messages, which communicate the public health externalities of electricity production such as childhood asthma and cancer, outperform monetary savings information as a driver of behavioral change in the home. Participants who received messages emphasizing air pollution and health impacts associated with energy use reduced their consumption by 8.2% over the 100-d experimental monitoring period versus control (Fig. 1 and SI Appendix, Table S4, column 1). These net energy savings, which invoke considerations of health damages as a psychological mechanism, are at the high end of prior nonprice strategies using social comparisons (39, 40). To give a practical sense for what these savings mean for a typical two-bedroom family apartment, an 8% conservation effect would be equivalent to plugging out a laptop computer for an additional 87 h/wk, plugging out a flat-screen TV for an additional 36 h/wk, or turning off one standard 60-W light bulb for an additional 72 h/wk. [For these equivalencies, we used nameplate wattages for typical household consumer appliances compiled by the US Department of Energy (available at http://energy.gov/energysaver/articles/estimating-appliance-and-home-electronic-energy-use).] Using published price elasticities for California (53, 54), this conservation effect on the treated is equivalent to a long-run electricity price increase of 20.5% or a 60-d short-run price increase between 30% and 60%. Consistent with our predictions, health and environment messaging was particularly effective on families with children, who collectively achieved up to 19% energy savings (Fig. 1) in our target population. Our results are robust to various estimation procedures and specifications. [We estimate treatment effects by difference-in-differences panel regression. The full set of statistical controls for observable characteristics include hourly weather controls (e.g. heating and cooling degree hours), time fixed effects, apartment size, and occupancy characteristics, including a proxy for household environmental leaning. Any unobserved characteristics common to the community are captured in the control group monitoring. Supporting materials and methods and further robustness checks are available in SI Appendix.] In particular, our results are robust to sampling frequency, and we do not rely on our panel’s high time dimension to achieve statistical significance (SI Appendix, Table S12). Although we expect some attenuation of these effects across larger study populations, we demonstrate the behavioral principle of using health damages and moralized consumer choice as a promising behavioral strategy for residential energy consumption. By contrast, participants who received messages informing them about monetary savings did not produce significant conservation by the end of the experimental period, net of all statistical controls (materials and methods are available in SI Appendix). This result of conservation in one group and no net conservation in another leads us to seek a deeper understanding of the underlying heterogeneity and individual behaviors driving household actions.
The lack of a significant conservation effect with cost savings information, which might initially be a surprising result, is consistent with over 35 y of experimental evidence in the behavioral literature in energy conservation (45). Although cost savings has historically been an important economic incentive for household energy conservation, in practice the actual realizable dollar savings for most US households, compared with the top 10% most energy efficient-similar neighbors, is typically small. In the current experiment, for example, household cost savings potential for a two-bedroom family apartment with an average consumption was US$5.40 to US$6.60/mo in direct kWh charges, which is roughly equivalent to a fast food combo meal or two gallons of fortified whole milk, based on the consumer price index average price data. [The consumer price index average price data, published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, provides monthly data on prices paid by urban consumers for a representative basket of goods and services (available at www.bls.gov/cpi/).] On an annual basis, the savings estimate for the current multifamily residential housing complex, which is at the midrange of national per capita electricity consumption (55), is a modest $65 to $80/y. These energy savings in dollar terms, although small relative to the US household budget, are realistic for most US households, suggesting that information about small monetary savings, especially over longer time horizons (weeks to months), may not sufficiently motivate household behavioral change and may be heavily discounted by consumers or subject to energy rebounds. Gneezy et al. (56) provide other examples on when and why monetary incentives do not work to modify behavior. Further work is needed to understand the thresholds that prompt informed consumers to change behavior, to disentangle the level of the incentive from incentive type.
Heterogeneous Effects on Households.
Although average treatment effects vary for households with and without children (Fig. 1), we also investigated whether heterogeneous effects could be uncovered for different household use patterns. Heterogeneous responses to information treatments are well known in the behavioral literature on energy conservation. Using cross-sectional quantile regression, we evaluated the distributional impact of informational messages on treated households (Fig. 2 and SI Appendix, Table S8). We find that health and environment messaging produced statistically significant conservation effects in all but the lowest decile of household electricity use (e.g., households who are already the most energy efficient). Weekly cost savings messages, on the other hand, led to increased electricity use relative to control (Fig. 2). These deviations from mean treatment effects and positive splurging behaviors were particularly striking among families with children (Fig. 1) and the highest deciles of household electricity use (Fig. 2), whereas in contrast to health-based messages, monetary savings information was ineffective for the most energy-intensive households. To further understand what changes in behavior may be driving these results, we evaluated the experimental treatment effects by appliance and by time of day.
Appliance-Level Behavior.
The average electricity consumption across all households is 0.3157 kWh/h or ∼230.4 kWh/mo across one-, two-, and three-bedroom units ranging from 595 to 1,035 square feet. Because we have separately metered appliances, we can further decompose the appliance-level consumption. In Fig. 3, we provide the breakdown of the appliance-level readings for all apartments in the study. Major appliances (e.g., refrigerator, dishwasher), the plug load (e.g., charging devices, consumer electronics, etc.), and lighting make up a significant share of household direct energy use (73%). The results shown in Fig. 3 represent experimentally observed appliance-level electricity readings and are not the result of survey estimates or modeling as in traditional approaches to obtain such data. By the current state of technology, there is no centralized appliance-level metering capability in US homes or residential electricity markets (46). This study is one of the first, to our knowledge, to have experimentally measured appliance-level data in a large energy study.
For decades, heating and cooling (e.g., space conditioning) was considered to be the major source of household electricity use, based on national data from the Residential Energy Consumption Survey. Estimates from the most recent Residential Energy Consumption Survey suggest that the share of residential electricity use for heating and cooling is declining nationally in the United States, down to 48% in 2009 from 58% in 1993 (55). In California, due to the milder climate, the share of heating and cooling makes up a smaller fraction of energy use (31%), across all single and multifamily households, and only 19% in our multifamily residential field site (Fig. 3). Although space heating and cooling is declining nationally, the share of energy use for appliances and electronics continues to rise. Consistent with these estimates, by direct measurement, we show that plug load is already the largest share (36%) of appliance-level electricity consumption for residential apartments at our field site (Fig. 3).
For households randomly assigned to receive health messages, energy conservation occurs primarily through plug load and lighting behavioral changes (SI Appendix, Table S5). Whereas our environment and health strategy was most effective in reducing plug load, we observe markedly different appliance behavior with the monetary savings strategy. For households randomly assigned to receive cost savings information, we identify conservation effects at the appliance level only in lighting (SI Appendix, Table S5). However, as lighting is only a minor share of total household energy consumption (15%), any observed behavioral changes in lighting conservation are not enough to overcome observed splurging behavior in other consumption categories such as heating and cooling, resulting in no net conservation with monetary savings information by the end of the experiment, and in some cases increasing electricity use relative to control. This empirical result of conservation in one or more appliances (e.g., lighting) but no net conservation in the household aggregate energy use motivates further research into dynamic responses to information treatments and habit formation. Results from our focus group indicated that people were unclear on how to operate the refrigerator controls, for example, and we observed an 8% increase in refrigerator use (SI Appendix, Table S5), which could be an opportunity for manufacturers to improve designs. The recent work of Attari et al. highlights the importance of consumer perception and cognitive ability on the effectiveness of environmental cues (17, 57). One could ask the obvious question: Why should health-based information lead to different observed appliance-level behaviors? One explanation for this empirical result is that health-based strategies lead morally sensitized consumers to be more cognizant of household energy uses that might be perceived as “wasteful” sources of electricity—for instance, unused lights, phantom loads, or standby power sources. Consistent with this hypothesis, in poststudy participant interviews, the most commonly reported behavioral changes in the health information group were turning off unused lights, unplugging electronics, and charging devices when not in use. Our metering technology has opened the possibility to study behavioral phenomena at very high resolution.
Implications for Load Shifting.
We also decompose the appliance-level treatment effects by time of day to evaluate implications of our information treatments on possible load-shifting behavior. Load shifting of household electricity use from peak hours to off-peak hours is desirable for electric utilities to manage system power loads and reduce the risk of blackouts, brownouts, or overvoltages on the grid. For households randomly assigned to environment and health messages, we observe daily conservation effects, versus control households, beginning from about 12:00 AM (midnight) through 12:00 PM (noon). In-treatment energy savings persist overnight and during peak morning demand hours (SI Appendix, Table S6), where a local peak load period occurs for the community at ∼9:00 AM (SI Appendix, Fig. S3). These changes in electric consumption patterns via appliance-level reductions in plug load and lighting behavior, particularly during morning peak hours, offers some evidence for habituation within treatment. Conservation treatment effects for our environment and heath group are also maintained overnight, consistent with our evidence of plug load conservation, suggesting both load-shifting behavior and conservation. By contrast, we find limited evidence of any load-shifting behavior with cost savings information treatments by the end of the experiment.
The Attitude–Behavior Gap.
In the conservation literature, there is often a dichotomy between what people say they do and what they actually do (58). This so-called attitude–behavior gap is uniquely revealed in this field setting. Before the study, we conducted a stated preference survey asking independent, random samples of participants to choose messages that would be most likely to change their behavior and motivate conservation in the home. When pushed to state their energy preferences, we find that consumers do state a willingness to change behavior and that financial savings are at the top of their concerns. However, when faced with decision making in an actual market setting, only our nonmonetary, environment, and health strategy produced a lasting conservation effect. This distance between what people say they would do and what they actually do is referred to as hypothetical bias. As long argued by psychologists and behavioral economists, monetary savings, which by standard accounts should motivate rational decision making in the home, can often fail with ordinary consumers (11, 14, 56). The idea that a nonmonetary, information strategy centered on environment and health could produce energy conservation without a significant change in existing economic incentives advances our understanding of the range of large-scale behavioral science-based interventions that can be carefully applied at scale. Energy conservation strategies can be guided not only by traditional economic incentives such as rebates and price-based incentives but also by nonprice-based consumer disclosures concerning environmental and health damages not necessarily reflected in prices for electricity services.
Our study shows that nonprice incentives can effectively induce energy conservation, but it is not without limitations. First, our experiment provides both novel and repeated information to participants, making it difficult to separate the effect of learning from salience. Our participants acknowledged learning about appliance-level use and indicated that the appliance-level information was the most useful piece of information provided on the website. Most of them conveyed that they were surprised by how much or little electricity-specific appliances were being used. In addition, the information provided on the dashboard was updated in real time, and participants received weekly emails. Further research should seek to disentangle the effect of learning about the energy use of different appliances from the saliency of the information we provided, which reminded them repetitively about their energy consumption. This raises the important question of how often should people be reminded about their electricity use to form energy conservation habits. Our exit survey indicates that the combination of weekly emails with the possibility to access real-time data on a website was sufficient in our setting. Further research is needed to understand energy use habit-forming behavior with repeated information provision. Second, we report behavioral outcomes within the 100-d treatment period but do not study the persistence of these household behavior changes after the conclusion of the experiment. We therefore do not know whether energy conservation persisted after the end of the experiment. However, the results from the exit survey indicate that some actions undertaken during the experiment could have potential lasting effects on energy consumption. Indeed, the majority of the participants described that they achieved reduced energy use by unplugging electronics, changing the power savings settings of their computer or other electronics, or programming different temperature settings on their thermostat. This is important because it suggests that the savings resulting from these changes could persist even without taking further action.
Policy Implications.
The relationship between electricity use and impacts on the environment and global health remains an elusive concept for many consumers. The generation of fine particulate air pollution and its effects on health are usually removed from ordinary daily consumer decision making. This low consumer awareness stands in contrast to strides in our scientific understanding. We show that providing consumers specific, tailored, and scientifically verifiable information about the associated environmental and health effects of their electricity consumption can influence and motivate behavioral decision making about daily electricity use. More generally, this research advances our understanding of the effectiveness of information-based policies for conservation based on the principle that making information about the external damages of activities more salient to consumers can encourage conservation through household behavioral changes (59, 60). It has been argued that given the relative price inelastic behavior of electricity consumers in both the United States and the European Union, public policies to encourage energy conservation will require more than increases in electricity retail prices (9). Consumer information strategies can inform environmental policy about conservation efforts and can be used particularly where price-based strategies may not be politically feasible or effective. We argue that behavioral strategies in household electricity markets can be complements rather than substitutes for regulatory or price-based solutions. Energy conservation is desirable in the economy as an alternative to costly capital investments in new power generation and can help delay managerial investment decisions for new generation capacity. Although nonprice behavioral strategies can be viable alternatives to new capital projects by promoting peak load shifting and conservation, they can also be implemented immediately, at scale and at relatively low cost (11). Behavioral strategies enabled through information technologies can be an effective component of sustainable development pathways and do not require long lead times typical of new capital investments in energy generation, distribution, and storage.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
We thank William Kaiser and his engineering team, specifically Victor Chen. Without their continuous support, this study would not have been possible. We thank Miriam Fischlein for her instrumental contribution to this project. We also thank Ken Mackenzie at University Village for supporting this study. We acknowledge funding by National Science Foundation Awards 0903720 and SES-125718 and California Air Resources Board Contract 10-332.
Footnotes
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
This article is a PNAS Direct Submission.
See Commentary on page 1654.
This article contains supporting information online at www.pnas.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1073/pnas.1401880112/-/DCSupplemental.
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