Abstract
Objective
The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to evaluate cancer risk among rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients in California.
Methods
The study cohort derived from statewide patient discharge records was followed via linkage with cancer registry data over the period 1991–2002. Age and sex adjusted standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals were calculated to compare observed to expected numbers of cancers based on age, race, and sex specific incidence rates in the California population.
Results
Among the 84,475 RA patients, who were observed for 405,540 person-years, 5,533 incident cancers were diagnosed during the observation interval. The risk of developing lymphohematopoietic cancer was significantly higher in the cohort for both sexes. Males had significantly higher risks of lung, liver, and esophageal cancer, but a lower risk of prostate cancer. Females were at significantly decreased risk for several cancers including breast, ovary, uterus, cervix, and melanoma, with the risk reduction ranging from 15 to 57% lower than the general population. Hispanics had increased risks of leukemia, vagina/vulva, lung, and liver cancers.
Conclusion
Studies investigating the mechanisms that underlie the reported associations between RA and specific cancer types are needed.
Introduction
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is the most common systemic autoimmune disease, affecting an estimated 1% of the population over 18 years of age [1]. The disease is characterized by inflammation of the synovial membrane of multiple joints, often leading to joint destruction, deformity, and loss of function [2]. Epidemiologic studies have estimated the frequency of various cancers in patients with RA to range from 2 to 15% [3]. Overall, the incidence of cancer does not appear to be significantly elevated among RA patients, and over the past 30 years, cancer risk estimates reported by large cohort studies of RA patients have ranged from 0.96 to 1.7% [4–7]. However, there is a growing body of evidence which suggests that risk for specific types of cancers may be elevated in the RA population [4–7].
Individuals with RA appear to have higher risks for developing lymphohematopoietic malignancies, with some studies reporting two to eightfold increases in risk of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) [8], leukemia [9, 10], and multiple myeloma [11]. With respect to solid tumors, increased risks of lung cancer [12] and melanoma [13] have been reported. Several studies have observed lower risks of colon and stomach cancers among people with RA [4, 5, 14, 15], supporting the hypothesis that the use of aspirin or other nonsteroidal anti-anflammatory drugs may protect against colorectal cancer occurrence [16].
Whether the development of malignancies in RA patients is the result of the immunologic imbalances, the inflammatory process, or the use of cytotoxic agents that are frequently used in the treatment of the disease remains controversial. Several small studies which have examined the effects of various treatments such as cyclophosphamide, azathioprine, cyclosporine, and methotrexate on the development of lymphomas in RA patients have reported differing results [17–22].
The objective of this retrospective cohort study was to evaluate both overall cancer risk and risk for specific cancer types in a large population of RA patients in California. This study builds on previous work in this area in part because of its unique ability to examine differences in cancer risk by race/ethnicity. To our knowledge, the present study is the largest such study to date that has examined this question.
Materials and methods
Definition of study cohort and outcomes
The study cohort was derived from the statewide patient discharge data set produced annually by California's Office of Statewide Planning and Health Development (OSHPD). This dataset includes a record for each inpatient discharged from all licensed acute care hospitals and includes information on patient demographics, diagnoses, and procedures. The International Classification of Diseases (ICD-9) coding system is used to record diagnostic and procedural information in the patient discharge data set [23]. Individuals hospitalized during the period 1991–2002 with ICD-9 codes 714.0–714.2 designated in any of the 25 diagnostic fields (principal diagnosis and up to 24 other diagnoses) were included in the analysis. When an individual had multiple hospitalizations, only the first hospitalization for an individual with an RA diagnosis was included in the analysis.
Individuals with RA were followed forward in time to assess patterns of cancer development. Information on subsequent cancer outcomes was obtained through electronic linkage of the patient discharge data set to the California Cancer Registry (CCR) data set for the period 1991–2002. The CCR is a high quality data source, with standardized reporting procedures that have been described in several previous publications [24–29]. The CCR data-base contains information on basic demographic factors, tumor characteristics, and cancer directed surgeries and treatment. Follow up for vital status on patients in the database is conducted through routine linkages with several administrative databases, the primary one being the California statewide mortality file. Based on our current definition of loss to follow-up (no identification of patient through passive follow-up methods for 22 months from date of dataset creation), we estimate that ~ 3–5% of our cases are lost to follow up.
The two data sets were electronically linked using Integrity software [30] and a combination of deterministic and probabilistic linkage strategies. The primary variables used to link the two data sets were social security number, date of birth, sex, and residential zip code. Based on prior linkages of these data sets, we estimate that our algorithm identified 95–99% of the cancer cases among RA patients [31].
Statistical analysis
Descriptive statistics were generated for both the entire cohort and those that were diagnosed with cancer during the study period. Person-years at risk were calculated for each individual. Time from the first hospitalization with a diagnosis of RA to one of the following three events (whichever occurred first) was calculated: date of cancer diagnosis, date of death, or the end of the calendar year 2002. Cases lost to follow-up were also censored 22 months after diagnosis if they had no updated identification data. The expected number of cancers was calculated by sex, race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander) and 5-year age group using rates from the general California population for the same time period. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs), or the ratio of observed to expected cancers, and their 95% confidence intervals were calculated for all major cancer types. Estimates were generated assuming that the numbers of observed cancers follows a Poisson distribution [32]. All estimates were adjusted by sex, age, and race/ethnicity. SIRs for each cancer type were calculated separately for males and females as there were some differences in risk estimates between the groups. Additionally race and age-group specific SIRs were calculated for selected cancer types.
Cancers which occurred within six months of the date of hospitalization were excluded from the analysis in an attempt to establish a temporal sequence between the RA diagnosis and subsequent cancer development. When this period was expanded to one year, we observed minimal differences in the results and, therefore, we chose to exclude only the first six months of follow up to increase statistical power.
In order to assess the internal consistency of our RA diagnoses across multiple hospitalizations, we examined the number of hospitalizations for each individual that recorded a diagnosis of RA after the initial hospitalization for RA, relative to the total number of times an individual was hospitalized.
Results
The cohort consisted of 84,475 individuals with RA who were observed for a total of 405,540 person-years. The average length of follow-up was 4.8 years. Over 98% of individuals in our cohort, who were hospitalized more than once, had an RA diagnosis recorded for every hospitalization (data not shown). Approximately 60% of individuals had RA listed as the primary or secondary diagnosis for their hospitalization. A total of 5,533 patients were diagnosed with cancer during the study period. As shown in Table 1, 77% of the cohort was female and the majority of individuals were 60 years of age or older and non-Hispanic white. The largest minority group was Hispanic, comprising approximately 14% of the study population.
Table 1.
Variable | Whole cohort (n = 84,475) n (%) |
RA patients diagnosed with cancer (n = 5,533) n (%) |
---|---|---|
Sex | ||
Female | 65,236 (77.2) | 3,717 (67.2) |
Male | 19,239 (22.8) | 1,816 (32.8) |
Age -at hospitalization | ||
<40 | 5,616 (6.7) | 75 (1.4) |
40–59 | 20,970 (24.8) | 931 (16.8) |
60–79 | 43,316 (51.3) | 3,741 (67.6) |
80+ | 14,573 (17.2) | 786 (14.2) |
Race | ||
Non-Hispanic White | 60,883 (72.1) | 4,306 (77.8) |
Non -Hispanic Black | 6,517 (7.7) | 392 (7.1) |
Hispanic | 11,651 (13.8) | 596 (10.8) |
Non-Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander | 3,693 (4.4) | 194 (3.5) |
Other/Unknown | 1,731 (2.0) | 45 (0.8) |
Period of hospitalization | ||
1991–1994 | 33,354 (39.5) | 3000 (54.2) |
1995–1998 | 28,266 (33.5) | 1,894 (34.2) |
1999–2001 | 22,855 (27.0) | 639 (11.6) |
Period diagnosed with cancer | ||
1991–1994 | 808 (14.6) | |
1995–1998 | 1,919 (34.7) | |
1999–2002 | 2,806 (50.7) |
A larger proportion of males (9.4%) were diagnosed with cancer compared to females (5.7%), but the overall cancer risk in the men was not significantly different from that observed in the general population (Table 2). The overall age-adjusted incidence of cancer among females in the cohort was 15% lower than that in the general California population. Both men and women had significantly greater risks of being diagnosed with NHL, and leukemia, with the risk estimates for males being substantially greater compared to females. Only males had a statistically significant increased risk of Hodgkin's disease. Males had a two and threefold greater risk of NHL and Hodgkin's disease, respectively, compared to men in the general population. We did examine NHL by two subtypes: large B-cell and follicular. We found no significant differences by subtype for either males or females. With respect to solid tumors, males had significantly increased risk of lung (SIR = 1.65, 95% CI: 1.49, 1.81), liver (SIR = 1.85, 95% CI: 1.26, 2.61), and esophageal cancer (SIR = 1.78, 95% CI = 1.24, 2.46), but lower risk of prostate cancer (SIR = 0.67, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.74). Females also had increased risk for lung cancer (SIR = 1.28, 95% CI = 1.19, 1.38), but significantly decreased risk for several cancers including breast, ovary, uterus, cervix, and melanoma, with the risk reduction ranging from 15 to 57% lower than the general population. Both males and females had a lower incidence of colon cancer relative to the general California population.
Table 2.
Cancer type | Females (n = 65,236) | Males (n = 19,239) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% C | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | |
Breast | 842 | 1343.5 | 0.63 | 0.59–0.67 | ||||
Ovary | 89 | 142.3 | 0.63 | 0.50–0.77 | ||||
Uterus | 126 | 237.3 | 0.53 | 0.44–0.63 | ||||
Vagina/vulva | 56 | 56.6 | 0.99 | 0.75–1.29 | ||||
Cervix | 47 | 1100 | 0.43 | 0.31–0.57 | ||||
Prostate | 407 | 609.6 | 0.67 | 0.60–0.74 | ||||
Lung | 762 | 593.7 | 1.28 | 1.19–1.38 | 416 | 252.3 | 1.65 | 1.49–1.81 |
Esophagus | 27 | 25.3 | 1.07 | 0.70–1.55 | 36 | 20.3 | 1.78 | 1.24–2.46 |
Stomach | 72 | 67.1 | 1.07 | 0.84–1.35 | 41 | 36.0 | 1.14 | 0.82–1.54 |
Colon/rectum | 415 | 545.5 | 0.76 | 0.69–0.84 | 137 | 196.7 | 0.70 | 0.58–0.82 |
Liver | 36 | 25.5 | 1.41 | 0.99–1.96 | 32 | 17.3 | 1.85 | 1.26–2.6 1 |
Pancreas | 115 | 117.0 | 0.98 | 0.67–1.03 | 35 | 35.9 | 0.97 | 0.68–1.36 |
Bladder | 90 | 107.3 | 0.84 | 0.74–1.14 | 108 | 112.7 | 0.96 | 0.79–1.16 |
Kidney | 82 | 69.6 | 1.18 | 0.94–1.46 | 43 | 38.7 | 1.11 | 0.80–1.50 |
Thyroid | 26 | 37.1 | 0.70 | 0.46–1.03 | 3 | 5.8 | 0.52 | 0.11–1.52 |
Brain/CNS | 29 | 39.3 | 0.74 | 0.49–1.06 | 10 | 15.8 | 0.63 | 0.30–1.16 |
Non-Hodgkin 's lymphoma | 208 | 151.9 | 1.37 | 1.19–1.57 | 117 | 56.6 | 2.07 | 1.71–2.48 |
Hodgkins disease | 15 | 9.2 | 1.62 | 0.91–2.68 | 10 | 3.6 | 2.76 | 1.32–5.08 |
Leukemia | 110 | 86.9 | 1.27 | 1.03–1.51 | 68 | 41.1 | 1.65 | 1.29–2.07 |
951.6 | ||||||||
Myeloma | 41 | 51.6 | 0.79 | 0.57–1.08 | 23 | 19.3 | 1.19 | 0.75–1.78 |
Melanoma | 107 | 170.5 | 0.63 | 0.51–0.76 | 77 | 96.3 | 0.80 | 0.63–1.00 |
Risks for selected cancer types by race/ethnicity are summarized in Table 3. Both Hispanic women and non-Hispanic white women had significantly decreased risks of breast cancer, with risk reduction ranging from 24 to 38%. However, Hispanic women had an almost threefold higher risk of vagina/vulva cancer compared to the general population (SIR = 2.71, 95% CI: 1.48, 4.55). Lung cancer risk was significantly elevated for all non-Hispanic white and Hispanic patients, as well as for Asian males. The risk of esophageal cancer was significantly increased only among non-Hispanic white males (SIR = 1.79, 95% CI: 1.20, 2.57). Both Hispanic males and Hispanic females had over double the risk of liver cancer relative to their counterparts in the general population. Although Hispanic and non-Hispanic white women had increased risks of NHL, the magnitudes of the SIRs for NHL among males of all race/ethnicities were higher, ranging from 2.01, for non-His-panic whites, to 3.08, among non-Hispanic blacks. With respect to Hodgkin' disease, only non-Hispanic white males were at significantly increased risk. All Hispanic patients, non-Hispanic white males, and Asian females had elevated risks of leukemia.
Table 3.
Cancer type | Females (n = 65,236) | Males (n = 19,239) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | |
Breast | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 662 | 1076.4 | 0.62 | 0.57–0.66 | ||||
Non-Hispanic black | 67 | 82.9 | 0.81 | 0.63–1.03 | ||||
Hispanic | 79 | 104.3 | 0.76 | 0.60–0.94 | ||||
Asian/PI | 27 | 30.2 | 0.89 | 0.59–1.30 | ||||
Vagina/Vulva | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 33 | 39.4 | 0.84 | 0.58–1.17 | ||||
Non-Hispanic black | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47 | 0.48–3.42 | ||||
Hispanic | 14 | 5.2 | 2.71 | 1.48–4.55 | ||||
Asian/PI | 2 | 0.9 | 2.19 | 0.26–7.9 | ||||
Lung | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 632 | 501.4 | 1.26 | 1.16–1.36 | 350 | 209.5 | 1.67 | 1.50–1.86 |
Non-Hispanic black | 51 | 40.4 | 1.26 | 0.94–1.66 | 23 | 17.0 | 1.35 | 0.86–2.03 |
Hispanic | 63 | 32.7 | 1.93 | 1.48–2.47 | 24 | 13.8 | 1.75 | 1.12–2.60 |
Asian/PI | 160 | 12.4 | 1.29 | 0.74–2.10 | 18 | 9.1 | 1.98 | 1.17–3.12 |
Esophagus | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 20 | 20.1 | 0.99 | 0.61–1.54 | 29 | 16.2 | 1.79 | 1.20–2.57 |
Non-Hispanic black | 4 | 2.74 | 1.46 | 0.40–3.74 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34 | 0.16–4.85 |
Hispanic | 3 | 1.63 | 1.84 | 0.38–5.39 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.54 | 0.69–6.51 |
Asian/PI | 0 | 0.55 | 0.6 | 1.54 | 0.04–8.59 | |||
Liver | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 12 | 14.2 | 0.84 | 0.44–1.47 | 17 | 10.2 | 1.67 | 0.97–2.68 |
Non-Hispanic black | 7 | 2.2 | 3.19 | 1.28–6.58 | 4 | 1.3 | 3.19 | 0.87–8.18 |
Hispanic | 13 | 5.1 | 2.56 | 1.36–4.38 | 8 | 3.0 | 2.70 | 1.17–5.33 |
Asian/Pl | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14 | 0.31–2.92 | 3 | 2.7 | 1.13 | 0.23–3.30 |
NHL | ||||||||
Non -Hispanic white | 165 | 116.8 | 1.41 | 1.21–1.65 | 92 | 45.7 | 2.01 | 1.62–2.47 |
Non-Hispanic black | 12 | 6.8 | 1.75 | 0.91–3.06 | 6 | 2.0 | 3.08 | 1.13–6.69 |
Hispanic | 26 | 15.4 | 1.69 | 1.10–2.48 | 11 | 4.5 | 2.45 | 1.22–4.38 |
Asian/Pl | 4 | 4.4 | 0.92 | 0.25–2.35 | 6 | 2.0 | 2.96 | 1 .09–6.44 |
Hodgkin's disease | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 11 | 6.8 | 1.62 | 0.81–2.90 | 8 | 2.8 | 2.86 | 1.22–5.58 |
Non-Hispanic black | 1 | 0.6 | 1.67 | 0.04–8.98 | 0 | 0.2 | ||
Hispanic | 3 | 1.3 | 2.31 | 0.48–6.87 | 0.5 | 2.00 | 0.06–12.30 | |
Asian/PI | 0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 10.00 | 0.31–68.45 | |||
Leukemia | ||||||||
Non-Hispanic white | 80 | 69.6 | 1.15 | 0.92–1.42 | 56 | 34.2 | 1.64 | 1.25–2.11 |
Non-Hispanic black | 9 | 5.1 | 1.76 | 0.86–3.23 | 4 | 1.6 | 2.50 | 0.79–6.03 |
Hispanic | 13 | 7.0 | 1.85 | 1.03–3.10 | 6 | 2.4 | 2.50 | 1.01–5.20 |
Asian/PI | 7 | 1.9 | 3.68 | 1.61–7.29 | 2 | 2.2 | 0.90 | 0.15–3.00 |
Table 4 presents risks of selected cancers stratified by age group and sex. Analysis of breast cancer risk by sex revealed disparate results. Women under 40 years of age had significantly increased of breast cancer (SIR = 2.19, 95% CI: 1.39, 3.28), while those in the older age groups had significantly decreased risks relative to the general population, with risk reduction ranging from 23 to 64%. Women under 40 years of age also had significantly decreased risks of vagina/vulva cancer (SIR = 4.94, 95% CI: 2.00, 10.18). Individuals in the 40–59 and 60–79 age groups had significantly increased risks of lung cancer, esophageal cancer, NHL, and leukemia. Individuals in the 40–59 age groups exhibited three to fourfold increased risk of liver cancer.
Table 4.
Cancer type | Females (n = 65,236) | Males (n = 19,239) | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | Observed | Expected | SIR | 95% CI | |
Breast | ||||||||
<40 | 23 | 10.5 | 2.19 | 1.39–3.28 | ||||
40–59 | 87 | 242.8 | 0.77 | 0.66–0.89 | ||||
60–79 | 550 | 860.9 | 0.64 | 0.59–0.70 | ||||
80+ | 82 | 229.2 | 0.36 | 0.28–0.45 | ||||
Vagina/Vulva | ||||||||
<40 | 7 | 1.4 | 4.94 | 2.00–10.18 | ||||
40–59 | 14 | 1 1.5 | 1.22 | 0.67–2.05 | ||||
60–79 | 27 | 32.2 | 0.84 | 0.55–1.22 | ||||
80+ | 8 | 11.5 | 0.70 | 0.30–1.37 | ||||
Lung | ||||||||
<40 | 0 | 0.6 | - | - | 1 | 0.2 | 6.38 | 0. 16–35.5 |
40–59 | 122 | 46.6 | 2.62 | 2.17–3.12 | 50 | 21. 1 | 2.37 | 1.76–3.12 |
60–79 | 553 | 429.6 | 1.29 | 1.18–1.40 | 329 | 185.6 | 1.77 | 1.59–1.97 |
80+ | 87 | 116.8 | 0.75 | 0.60–0.92 | 36 | 45.5 | 0.79 | 0.55–1.10 |
Esophagus | ||||||||
<40 | 0 | 0 | - | - | 1 | 0 | - | - |
40–59 | 6 | 1.7 | 3.47 | 1.27–7.55 | 6 | 2.2 | 2.62 | 0.96–5.71 |
60–79 | 19 | 17.0 | 1.12 | 0.67–1.75 | 24 | 14.4 | 1.67 | 1.07–2.48 |
80+ | 2 | 6.6 | 0.30 | 0.03–1.10 | 5 | 3.6 | 1.40 | 0.45–3.27 |
Liver | ||||||||
<40 | 0 | 0.1 | - | - | 1 | 0.0 | - | - |
40–59 | 6 | 2.0 | 3.00 | 1.08–6.40 | 11 | 2.6 | 4.29 | 2.14–7.68 |
60–79 | 20 | 17.3 | 1.16 | 0.71–1.78 | 18 | 12.0 | 1.50 | 0.89–2.37 |
80+ | 10 | 6.1 | 1.65 | 0.79–3.03 | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73 | 0.09–2.65 |
NHL | ||||||||
<40 | 4 | 1.1 | 3.61 | 0.98–9.25 | 2 | 0.7 | 3.06 | 0.37–11.04 |
40–59 | 39 | 15.I | 2.58 | 1.83 –3.52 | 20 | 8.2 | 2.44 | 1.49–3.76 |
60–79 | 141 | 96.2 | 1.47 | 1.23–1.73 | 92 | 36.5 | 2.52 | 2.03–3.09 |
80+ | 24 | 39.4 | 0.61 | 0.39–0.91 | 3 | 11.2 | 0.27 | 0.06–0.78 |
Hodgkin's Disease | ||||||||
<40 | 0 | 0.9 | - | - | 0 | 0.2 | - | - |
40–59 | 6 | 1.6 | 3.71 | 1.36–8.09 | 2 | 0.9 | 2. 17 | 0.26–7.87 |
60–79 | 9 | 5.3 | 1.7 1 | 0.78–3.24 | 7 | 2.0 | 3.49 | 1.40–7.19 |
80+ | 0 | 1.5 | - | - | 1 | 0.5 | 2.09 | 0.05–11.62 |
Leukemia | ||||||||
<40 | 0 | 0.6 | - | - | 0 | - | - | - |
40–59 | 19 | 7.5 | 2.53 | 1.57–3.88 | 6 | 3.9 | 1.54 | 0.62–3.20 |
60–79 | 67 | 51.1 | 1.31 | 1.01–1.67 | 51 | 26.9 | 1.90 | 1.43–2.47 |
80+ | 24 | 27.6 | 0.87 | 0.57–1.27 | 11 | 10.2 | 1.08 | 0.57– 1.87 |
Discussion
Consistent with several prior cohort studies [3, 5, 6, 14, 33–35], the risk of developing a lymphohematopoietic cancer including NHL, Hodgkin's disease, and leukemia was significantly higher in our cohort relative to the general population, with a higher relative risk observed among males than females. The higher risk among male RA patients compared to female RA patients has been previously reported [4, 5, 13, 33, 34]. Gridley et al. reported an SIR of 2.6 for lymphohematopoietic cancers among males with RA and no increased risk for females [5]. Isomaki et.al had similar findings with a 2.5-fold increase in leukemia among male RA patients and no significant increase for females [4].
It has been hypothesized that the risk of lymphohematopoietic disorders in RA is associated with increased disease activity [36, 37]. A nested case-control study conducted in a Swedish population identified RA patients with high inflammatory activity and reported an odds ratio of 25.8 for lymphoma compared to individuals with lower disease activity [36]. A study of RA patients with Felty's syndrome (a complication of seropositive RA) found a 12-fold increase in NHL among men [13].
The role of RA therapies in the development of lymphoma, leukemia, and other cancer types has been a subject of much debate and study [21, 38–41]. Although some studies have associated the use of these immunosuppressive drugs with an increased risk of malignancies [21, 38, 42], others have not found any significant differences between RA patients treated with these agents and the control groups [18, 19, 43, 44]. Many of these studies had serious methodologic deficiencies, including lack of an appropriate control group and insufficient statistical power to draw conclusions. The issue is further confounded by the fact that RA patients with the most severe disease are the patients who are most likely to be treated with a cytotoxic agent, which makes it difficult to distinguish the increased risk of cancer due to the natural history of the disease from the risk conferred by the use of medications. Because we had no treatment information available for our cohort, we were not able to evaluate the potential effect of treatment on cancer risk.
The increased risk of lung cancer observed among both males and females in our cohort were similar to the results of several other large studies [4, 5, 13, 33]. Case reports have postulated that RA patients with interstitial lung disease may be at increased risk of lung cancer [45]. The observed increase in lung cancer among RA patients may be due to the shared risk factors. Recent studies have suggested that smokers are at greater risk for developing RA [46–48]. We had no information on smoking history or current smoking status for our study population and therefore were not able to compare smoking rates in our cohort with statewide rates. The increased risks of esophageal and liver cancer that were observed in male patients with RA have not been previously reported. It is possible that the observed increase in esophageal cancer may be due to higher smoking rates in our cohort, although we had no information about this. The observed increased risk of liver cancer may be associated with hepatitis B or C virus infection. The lower risk of developing colon cancer that we observed in our cohort is consistent with many other studies in terms of magnitude and direction [4, 5, 33], and has been attributed to the use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs [49, 50].
Rheumatoid arthritis patients in our cohort had decreased risks of several hormone driven cancers relative to the general California population. Among men, the risk of prostate cancer was reduced. Women had a lower risk of all gynecologic cancers as well as melanoma. Recent studies suggest that RA patients treated with immunosuppressive agents such as methotrexate are actually at increased risk of melanoma [51], which is counter to our finding if we assume that many of our hospitalized patients have severe RA and are being treated with these agents. Although only one previous large cohort study reported a significantly decreased breast cancer risk among RA patients similar to ours [33], other studies have reported results that are suggestive of such an association [5, 7, 35, 52]. The reasons for these decreased risks are unclear. One possible explanation is that the cohort members had fewer of the known risk factors for these cancers than the referent group. Unfortunately, we had no information on risk factors such as smoking, diet, obesity, or reproductive history in order to evaluate this finding. A growing body of evidence suggests that the widespread use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory agents may have a protective effect on cancers of the breast, prostate, and uterus [53–58], which is another possible explanation for our results. The lower risks of hormone-related cancers could also be related to endogenous hormone levels, which have also been implicated in RA risk and disease severity [59–62]. The risk of several cancer types were elevated among Hispanics in our study, compared to the statewide Hispanic population in California. Since no previous research has stratified cancer risk among RA patients by race/ethnicity, further analysis of factors that influence differences in cancer risk across race/ethnic groups is needed.
As individuals in our study aged, their risk of developing several types of cancer decreased relative to their counter-parts in the general population, with individuals 80 years of age or older having a lower risk of cancer in many cases than people of the same age in the statewide population. This finding can probably be attributed to the healthy cohort effect. Given that these RA patients survived past age 80 years, their overall health may be better than the general population. Conversely, the high risks seen in younger patients with respect to cancers of the breast, vagina/vulva, and liver may be due to the fact that they represent a sicker population of individuals than the general statewide population, or that they have more of the risk factors for these particular cancer types. An alternative explanation is that younger RA patients may be treated more aggressively and thus exhibit greater immunosuppression.
Our study has several strengths, including the use of a large and diverse population to study cancer risk among RA patients. We were able to confirm the risks of various cancers types with more precise estimates than previous studies which did not have the ability to detect risk differences for rarer cancers. In addition, ours is the first study with the statistical power and diverse population to be able to stratify cancer risk in RA patients by cancer type, sex, race/ethnicity, and age group.
The present study does have some important limitations. Only individuals who required a medical hospitalization were included in this RA cohort, which may limit the generalizability of our results. However, the fact that the observed SIRs of several cancers, with lymphohematopoietic malignancies in particular, are comparable to other studies that analyzed non-hospitalized RA patients supports the assumption that the cohort we analyzed is representative of RA patients in general. Also, despite the large size of this study, it should be acknowledged that the sample size was small for examining associations with certain cancers. This limited power may also account for statistically significant findings in some race/ethnic subgroups, but not others. It is also possible that multiple comparisons or chance may account for some of the findings.
Although we were not able to verify the RA diagnoses in the hospital discharge data, the diagnosis codes had very high levels of internal consistency among repeat hospitalizations for the same individuals. One validation study using Medicare physician claims data reported 90% sensitivity for RA claims using the medical record as the gold standard [63]. In addition, the use of hospitalization data raises the issue of surveillance bias; this does not appear to be an issue in the present study, however, as the risk estimates for screenable cancers such as prostate, breast, and cervix were actually lower than the risk for the general population. There is also the potential for selection bias if prevalent or undiagnosed RA cases were hospitalized for symptoms caused by an unrecognized neoplastic disease [64, 65]. We attempted to address this by excluding cancers that occurred within six months of the follow up period. We were also limited to examining differences by age at hospitalization, rather than age at initial RA diagnosis; it is possible that some patients in the cohort may have been diagnosed with RA prior to 1991, which would affect person-time estimates. Finally, we did not have detailed information about risk factors or RA disease and treatment characteristics.
This study confirmed previous findings that patients with RA have an increased risk of developing lymphoma, leukemia, and lung cancer, and that the risk of being diagnosed with one of these cancers was strongly associated with younger age. Males with RA were at greater risk for several cancer types compared to females in our study. A new and important finding was that women with RA had a lower risk of developing cancer than women in the general population, and this was particularly true for breast, ovary, uterine, and cervical cancer. For several cancer types, the risk of developing cancer decreased with increasing age. Large longitudinal studies, which collect detailed risk factor and treatment information, are needed to investigate the mechanisms that underlie the associations between RA and specific cancer types.
Acknowledgment
This work was funded by grant 1R21CA100759-01A2 from the National Cancer Institute. The collection of cancer incidence data used in this study was supported by the California Department of Health Services as part of the statewide cancer reporting program mandated by California Health and Safety Code Section 103885; the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results Program under contract N01-PC-35136 awarded to the Northern California Cancer Center, contract N01-PC-35139 awarded to the University of Southern California, and contract N02-PC-15105 awarded to the Public Health Institute; and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Program of Cancer Registries, under agreement #U55/CCR921930-02 awarded to the Public Health Institute.
Footnotes
Disclaimer The ideas and opinions expressed herein are those of the author(s) and endorsement by the State of California, Department of Health Services, the National Cancer Institute, and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention or their Contractors and Subcontractors is not intended nor should be inferred.
Contributor Information
A. Parikh-Patel, California Cancer Registry, Public Health Institute, 1825 Bell Street, Suite 102, Sacramento, CA 95825
M. Allen, California Cancer Registry, Public Health Institute, 1825 Bell Street, Suite 102, Sacramento, CA 95825
R. Cress, California Cancer Registry, Public Health Institute, 1825 Bell Street, Suite 102, Sacramento, CA 95825 Department of Public Health Sciences, University of California, Davis, CA, USA.
R. H. White, Department of Internal Medicine, University of California, Davis, CA, USA
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