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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: Obstet Gynecol. 2015 May;125(5):1095–1100. doi: 10.1097/AOG.0000000000000832

Uterine Rupture Risk After Periviable Cesarean Delivery

Sophia M R Lannon 1, Katherine A Guthrie 2, Jeroen P Vanderhoeven 3, Hilary S Gammill 1,4
PMCID: PMC4418026  NIHMSID: NIHMS666259  PMID: 25932837

Abstract

Objective

To compare risk of uterine rupture in women with prior periviable cesarean versus prior term cesarean, independent of initial incision type.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective longitudinal cohort study using Washington State birth certificate data and hospital discharge records, identifying primary cesareans performed at 20-26 weeks and 37-41 weeks of gestation with subsequent delivery between 1989-2008. We compared subsequent uterine rupture risk in the two groups considering both primary incision type and subsequent labor indication and augmentation.

Results

We identified 456 women with index periviable cesarean and 10,505 women with index term cesarean. Women with index periviable cesarean were younger, more frequently of non-white race, more likely to smoke, and more likely to have hypertension. Women in the periviable group had more index classical incisions (42% versus 1%, p<0.001) and fewer subsequent inductions and augmentations (8% vs. 16%, p<0.001). Uterine rupture in the subsequent pregnancy occurred more frequently among women in the index periviable group than those in the index term group (8/456 [1.8%] versus 38/10,505 [0.4%], OR 4.9, 95% CI 2.3-10.6). This relationship persisted among women with a low transverse incision (4/228 [1.8%] versus 36/9,558 [0.4%], OR 4.7, 95% CI1.7 – 13.4).

Conclusion

Cesarean at periviability compared to term is associated with an increased risk for uterine rupture in a subsequent pregnancy, even after low transverse incision. These data support judicious use of cesarean at periviable gestational ages and inform subsequent counseling.

Introduction

Over the last several decades, improved neonatal survival at extremely premature gestational ages has repositioned the demarcation of “periviability.” With this shift, the acceptable gestational age for neonatal resuscitation is moving earlier in pregnancy(1). As a result, the rate of cesarean delivery at periviability has increased dramatically over recent years(2-5). This is in part due to a higher incidence of traditional indications for cesarean, including malpresentation and other fetal indications, at periviability than at term(6).

Preterm cesarean deliveries are associated with higher risks both immediately and in the subsequent delivery than term cesarean deliveries(7, 8). Much of the increased risk in the subsequent delivery is attributed to the type of uterine incision(9). Classical uterine incisions occur in approximately 30% of cesarean deliveries prior to 28 weeks of gestation(7). The risk of uterine rupture in women varies by prior incision type, with the risk of uterine rupture after classical cesarean approximating 1-12%(10).

Prior studies comparing uterine rupture risk after term cesarean delivery versus preterm cesarean delivery have focused on late preterm gestational ages. Some studies suggest increased risk of subsequent rupture after preterm cesarean delivery, estimating between a 1.6 and 5 fold increase(11, 12), while other studies show no association(13-15). The specific risk for uterine rupture after cesarean delivery at periviability remains unknown.

We sought to compare the risk of uterine rupture and its comorbidities after a prior periviable cesarean delivery compared to prior term cesarean delivery.

Materials and Methods

We conducted a longitudinal retrospective cohort study of primary singleton cesarean deliveries linked to subsequent singleton births by the same mother. We identified women according to Washington state birth certificate and fetal death certificate files for the years 1989-2008, provided by the Washington State Department of Health through the University of Washington. Data were linked to maternal and neonatal hospital discharge diagnosis International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification (1CD-9-CM) for both the index and subsequent births and provided as a de-identified dataset. The Human Subjects Division at the University of Washington determined this study exempt from review due to use of de-identified data.

For inclusion, women were required to have two singleton deliveries in the state of Washington between 1989 and 2008. We refer to the exposure pregnancy as “index” and outcome pregnancy as “subsequent.” Subsequent pregnancies were the next documented pregnancy in the Washington State birth certificate files through 2008. Subjects with cesarean section prior to the index pregnancy were excluded. We broadly defined periviability to include gestational ages between 20 0/7 and 26 6/7 weeks of gestation, choosing a lower gestational age limit consistent with the Periviable Birth: Executive Summary(1). All qualifying women identified with a periviable cesarean delivery during the study period were included in the exposure (periviable) group. The comparison (term) group included randomly selected women with an index term cesarean between 37 0/7 and 41 6/7 weeks of gestation. As an additional factor to validate gestational age in the dataset, index periviable deliveries were limited to birth weights of 250 grams to 1500 grams, and index term delivery birth weights were limited to 2500-6500 grams. No limitations were placed on subsequent delivery gestational ages or birth weights.

Maternal and neonatal demographics and characteristics were evaluated for the index delivery as well as the subsequent delivery. The primary outcome was uterine rupture in the subsequent delivery (defined as birth certificate variable for uterine rupture or ICD-9-CM codes 665.0, 665.1). The cohort sample sizes of 456 periviable deliveries and 10,505 term deliveries were determined by including all qualifying deliveries during the time period. Secondary outcomes for the subsequent delivery included a composite measure of maternal morbidity and maternal length of stay. Composite morbidity included hemorrhage, infection, hysterectomy, obstetric injury and death (defined as birth certificate variable for transfusion, bleeding, coagulopathy, chorioamnionitis, sepsis, maternal infection, hysterectomy or maternal death or ICD-9-CM codes 641.3, 641.8, 641.9, 666.0, 666.1, 666.2, 666.3, 285.1, 286.6, 75.8, 99.0, 659.2, 659.3, 670, 672, 995.9, 68.3, 68.4, 68.8, 68.9, 665.3, 665.4, 665.5, 665.6, 665.8, 665.9, 998.2, 57.8, 69.29, 69.49, 75.5, 75.61, 761.6, or 798). Missing values for dichotomous outcome variables were assumed to represent negative values.

Differences in maternal demographics between groups according to gestational age at index cesarean delivery were assessed via t-tests and chi-squared tests. Binary outcomes were compared across groups via logistic regression models; continuous outcomes were analyzed via linear regression models. A logarithmic transformation was applied to length of hospital stay to accommodate modeling assumptions. Because our primary outcome is rare, we limited our covariates to two preset variables: index incision type and labor induction or augmentation. These two covariates were included one at a time in the primary outcome model to assess for confounding. A factor was defined as a confounder if there was a difference of 10% or more in the estimated coefficient of interest between the multivariable model including the factor and the model without it.

Index incision is determined by diagnosis code used for the index delivery and induction or augmentation is defined by ICD-9-CM codes for induction (73.1, 73.4, 73.99, 96.49) and birth certificate variables for induction and augmentation of labor in the subsequent pregnancy. For secondary outcomes with sufficient events we adjusted for confounding considering the a priori variables index incision type and labor induction or augmentation, as well as other potential confounders during the subsequent delivery including mother's race, mother's age, obesity, smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, birth weight, gestational age and delivery mode. Odds ratios (OR) are presented with 95% confidence intervals (CI). For all analyses, a two-sided significance level of <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Analyses were performed using SAS version 9 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, N.C.).

Results

We identified 456 index periviable primary cesarean deliveries and 10,505 index term primary cesarean deliveries. Index periviable deliveries occurred at 20 (N=5), 21 (N=10), 22 (N=9), 23 (N=27), 24 (N=94), 25 (N=144), 26 (N=167) weeks of gestation. Of women with an index periviable delivery, 163 (42%) underwent an index classical incision., Of women with an index term delivery, 61(1%) underwent an index classical incision.

Table 1 compares characteristics for the index and subsequent pregnancies among women in the periviable group and the term group. Women in the periviable group were younger at both pregnancies, more likely to be non-white, smokers, hypertensive, and more likely to have a lower income at the subsequent pregnancy than women in the term group. The distribution of number of prior live births (an approximation of parity) also varied significantly across groups.

Table 1. Demographic and pregnancy characteristics by gestational age group of index cesarean delivery.

Periviable
(20 – 26 weeks)
N=456
Term
(37 – 41 weeks)
N=10,505
p-value1
Index pregnancy
Maternal age (years) <0.001
 Mean (SD) 23.7 (5.8) 25.7 (6.1)
 Missing: N (%) 0 (0) 12 (<1)
Maternal race: N (%)2 <0.001
 White 310 (68) 8022 (76)
 Non-white 125 (27) 1986 (19)
 Missing 21 (5) 497 (5)
Gestational age (weeks)
 Median (IQR) 25 (24 – 26) 40 (39 – 40)
 Missing N (%) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Birth weight (grams)
 Mean (SD) 756 (202) 3589 (499)
 Missing N (%) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Incision type: N (%) <0.001
 Low transverse 228 (50) 9558 (91)
 Classical 163 (36) 61 (<1)
 Other 1 (<1) 11 (<1)
 Missing 64 (14) 875 (8)
Subsequent pregnancy
Maternal age (years) <0.001
 Mean (SD) 26.7 (6.0) 28.9 (6.0)
 Missing: N (%) 0 (0) 2 (<1)
Maternal obesity: N (%) 0.08
 No 253 (55) 6152 (58)
 Yes 63 (14) 1968 (19)
 Missing 140 (31) 2385 (23)
Prior live births: N (%) <0.001
 0 71 (16) 198 (2)
 1 225 (49) 8552 (81)
 2 89 (20) 1031 (10)
 3 or more 51 (11) 508 (5)
 Missing 20 (4) 216 (2)
Inter-delivery interval (months) 0.07
 Median (IQR) 28 (18 – 45) 32 (23 – 47)
 Missing N (%) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Maternal smoking: N (%) <0.001
 No 346 (76) 8903 (85)
 Yes 91 (20) 1316 (12)
 Missing 19 (4) 286 (3)
Maternal income (× 103) <0.001
 Median (IQR) 37.9 (30.7 – 47.6) 42.5 (33.5 – 54.6)
 Missing: N (%) 18 (4) 215 (2)
Hypertension: N (%) 75 (16) 670 (6) <0.001
Diabetes: N (%) 0.64
 No 423 (93) 9712 (92)
 Gestational 25 (5) 651 (6)
 Established 8 (2) 142 (1)
Gestational age (weeks) <0.001
 Median (IQR) 37 (35 – 38) 39 (38 – 40)
 Missing: N (%) 7 (2) 150 (1)
Birth weight (grams) <0.001
 Mean (SD) 2763 (841) 3509 (542)
 Missing: N (%) 5 (1) 53 (<1)
Induction/augment: N (%) <0.001
 No 420 (92) 8824 (84)
 Yes 36 (8) 1681 (16)
Delivery mode: N (%) 0.01
 Vaginal 92 (20) 2681 (26)
 Cesarean 364 (80) 7822 (74)
 Missing 0 (0) 2 (<1)
1

Analyses exclude missing values

2

SD = Standard deviation and IQR = Interquartile range.

3

Race was categorized as white or non-white using data collected at both first and subsequent pregnancies. We assumed that a person's race did not vary over time, so that if race was missing for a subject's first pregnancy we could use a non-missing race value from the subsequent pregnancy, and vice versa.

4

Data on maternal income at the subsequent pregnancy was missing and filled in with data from the first pregnancy for 273 patients, 259 (2.5%) in the term and 14 (3.6%) in the periviability delivery group (p=0.17).

Mean gestational age for the subsequent delivery was lower for the periviable group than the term group (36.0 weeks versus 38.8 weeks, respectively, p<0.001). Women in the periviable group were less likely to have had an induced or augmented subsequent delivery. The majority of women in this cohort delivered the subsequent pregnancy by repeat cesarean, over 70% in both exposure groups. There were fewer successful vaginal deliveries in the periviable group compared to the term group (20% versus 26%, respectively, p=0.01).

Our primary outcome, uterine rupture in the subsequent pregnancy, occurred more frequently among women in the periviable group than those in the term group (1.8% versus 0.4%, OR 4.9, 95%CI 2.3-10.6, p<0.001, Table 2). The relationship was not confounded by index incision type nor by subsequent induction or augmentation. Among the subset of women with a low transverse incision in the index pregnancy, uterine rupture remained more common in the periviable group compared to the term group (OR 4.7, 95% CI 1.7-13.4, p=0.004).

Table 2. Risk of uterine rupture by gestational age group of index cesarean delivery.

Periviable Term Unadjusted

(20-26 weeks) (37-41 weeks) OR (95% CI) p-value
All patients 8/456 (1.8%) 38/10,505 (0.4%) 4.9 (2.3 – 10.6) <0.001
By incision type
 Classical 4/163 (2.5%) 0/61 (0%) 1
 Low transverse 4/228 (1.8%) 36/9,558 (0.4%) 4.7 (1.7 – 13.4) 0.004
 Other2 0/1 (0%) 0/11 (0%) 1
 Missing 0/64 (0%) 2/875 (<0.1%) 1
By induction or augmentation
  No 8/420 (1.9%) 23/8,824 (0.3%) 7.4 (3.3 – 16.7) <0.001
  Yes 0/36 (0%) 15/1,681 (0.9%) 1
1

OR could not be estimated for classical, other, and missing incision types or for womenwith induction/augmentation, due to lack of events.

2

other incision types as determined by ICD-9-CM procedure code 74.4 or 74.9

The incidence of our secondary maternal morbidity composite outcome was similar across groups (14.0% in the periviable group and 10.0% in the term group, p=0.68 in adjusted model). Analyses are presented in Table 3. The composite component maternal infection in the subsequent delivery occurred more often in the periviable group than the term group, although this difference was not statistically significant in an adjusted model (6.6% versus 3.8%, OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.6-1.9, p=0.74, Table 3). The composite components hemorrhage, hysterectomy, obstetric injury, and death were similar between the two groups (Table 3). The unadjusted mean maternal hospital stay was longer in the index periviable group than in the index term group (3.6 days, 95% CI 3.2 – 4.1 vs. 2.5 days, 95% CI 2.4 – 2.6, p<0.001).

Table 3. Results for secondary outcome: maternal composite morbidity by gestational age group of the index pregnancy.

Periviable Term Adjusted2

N=456 N=10,505 OR (95% CI) p-value
Composite morbidity1 64 (14.0%) 1047 (10.0%) 1.1 (0.7 – 1.6) 0.68
Hemorrhage 24 (5.3%) 442 (4.2%) 1.0 (0.5 – 1.7) 0.89
Infection 30 (6.6%) 403 (3.8%) 1.1 (0.6 – 1.9) 0.74
Hysterectomy 2 (0.4%) 17 (0.2%) 2.7 (0.6 – 11.8) 0.18
Obstetric injury 15 (3.3%) 271 (2.6%) 1.3 (0.8 – 2.2) 0.37
Maternal death 0 0
1

Maternal composite includes: death, hemorrhage, infection, obstetric injury, and hysterectomy.

2

Composite morbidity, hemorrhage, and infection models adjusted for maternal race, incision type, gestational age, induction or augmentation and mode of delivery in the subsequent delivery and excludes missing values (N=9,395). Analyses of hysterectomy, obstetric injury, and maternal death were unadjusted due to insufficient events.

Notably, uterine rupture cases in our cohort occurred with a substantial amount of morbidity. Of uterine ruptures occurring after index periviable cesarean, 7/8 (88%) had an associated morbidity or clinical sign such as hemorrhage, infection, obstetric injury (including bladder injury), abnormal fetal heart rate or fetal death. Among ruptures occurring after index term cesarean, 28/38 (74%) occurred with at least one of these associated clinical signs. Detailed clinical information on all uterine rupture cases is shown in Table 4 (included as supplementary digital content).

Table 4.

Uterine rupture case descriptions.

Case INDEX PREGNANCY Inter-
delivery
Interval
(month)
SUBSEQUENT PREGNANCY
Weeks of
Gestation
Indication Incision Birth
weight
(gm1)
Complications Weeks
Gestation
Intrapartum
Risk Factors
Birth
weight
(gm1)
Obese Complications
INDEX PERIVIABLE CASES
1 21 Preterm PROM1, cord prolapse, malpresentation Low transverse 312 Perinatal stillbirth 13 382 1814 .3 Maternal hemorrhage, obstetric injury, respiratory complication, retained placenta
Neonatal respiratory disease
2 22 Preterm labor, puerperal infection, cord prolapse Classical 454 Neonatal death, low Apgar4 12 34 2098 Yes Maternal placental abruption, obstetric injury, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization, respiratory disease, jaundice
3 24 Puerperal infection, previa with hemorrhage, cord prolapse, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 623 Maternal anemia, transfusion, retained foreign body
Neonatal death, low Apgar3, ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization, cutaneous hemorrhage
20 .3 . .3 Maternal anemia, transfusion
Perinatal stillbirth
4 24 Puerperal infection, placental abruption, abnormal fetal heart rate Classical 695 Neonatal death, low Apgar3, ventilation 12 36 3385 Yes Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, transfusion, puerperal infection, ileus, failed operative vaginal delivery
Neonatal ventilation, hemolytic disease, jaundice, respiratory disease
5 25 Preterm PROM1, malpresentation Classical 822 Neonatal death, respiratory disease, ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization 13 36 2665 No Maternal obstetric injury
Neonatal temperature dysregulation, hypoglycemia, jaundice observation for infection
6 25 Preterm labor, puerperal infection, oligohydramnios, malpresentation Low transverse 790 Neonatal ventilation, retinopathy, anemia, jaundice 63 38 3075 No Maternal obstetric injury
7 25 Puerperal infection, hypertensive disorder Classical 595 Maternal pulmonary edema
Neonatal death, ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization, necrotizing enterocolitis, intraventricular hemorrhage, feeding problems, jaundice, electrolyte disturbance
22 38 3275 No Maternal wound complication
8 26 Preterm labor, puerperal infection malpresentation Low transverse 709 Neonatal low Apgar3, ventilation 56 223 Intraamniotic infection 1219 No Maternal placental abruption, puerperal infection, obstetric injury
Neonatal ventilation, respiratory disease, pneumonia, parenteral nutrition, metabolic acidosis, fluid overload, electrolyte disturbance, jaundice
INDEX TERM CASES
9 37 Oligohydramnios malpresentation Low transverse 2807 33 38 2892 No
10 37 PROM1, hypertensive disorder, malpresentation, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3334 31 38 3502 No Maternal wound complication, abnormal fetal heart rate
11 37 Abnormal fetal heart rate, failed operative vaginal delivery Low transverse 4110 Neonatal ventilation 55 38 Induction 3666 No
12 37 Previa with hemorrhage Low transverse 3543 22 41 Induction 3968 No Maternal obstetric injury, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal hypoglycemia, observation for infection
13 38 Labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 2775 Neonatal feeding problems, jaundice 30 36 3655 .3 Placenta previa with hemorrhage
Neonatal respiratory disease, observation for infection
14 38 Labor dystocia Low transverse 3713 Neonatal respiratory disease, observation for infection 15 37 3090 No Maternal hemorrhage, transfusion, obstetric injury, hysterectomy, bladder injury, respiratory complication, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal ventilation
15 38 Hypertensive disorder, suspected macrosomia, labor dystocia Low transverse 4054 Maternal hemorrhage
Neonatal temperature dysregulation, observation for infection, spinal tap
21 38 Induction, labor dystocia 3883 .3 Maternal hypertensive disorder, complication of anesthesia, respiratory complication, vascular complication
16 38 PROM1, puerperal infection, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3742 Neonatal respiratory disease, hypoglycemia 25 39 3572 No Neonatal temperature dysregulation
17 38 Labor dystocia Low transverse 3798 Neonatal patent ductus arteriosus 44 40 3402 No Maternal anemia, obstetric injury, abnormal fetal heart rate
18 39 Low transverse 3061 37 37 Labor dystocia 3231 .3 Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, obstetric injury, bladder injury, abnormal fetal heart rate
19 39 Hypertensive disorder, other abnormal labor, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3144 33 40 Induction, labor dystocia 3423 .3 Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, obstetric injury, hypertensive disorder, abnormal fetal heart rate
20 39 Malpresentation Low transverse 3619 34 40 3785 No Maternal obstetric injury
21 39 Malpresentation Low transverse 3883 Maternal anemia 37 40 Labor dystocia 4167 No Maternal obstetric injury
Neonatal metabolic acidosis
22 40 Labor dystocia .3 3713 52 38 3118 Yes Abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal observation for infection
23 40 Hypertensive disorder, labor dystocia Low transverse 3224 24 39 3314 .3
24 40 Hypertensive disorder, labor dystocia Low transverse 3459 Maternal hepatorenal syndrome
Neonatal umbilical vessel catheterization, respiratory disease
19 39 Labor dystocia, augmentation 4706 .3 Neonatal hemorrhagic disease
25 40 Cord prolapse, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3856 26 39 Augmentation 2750 No
26 40 Hypertensive disorder, labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate, failed operative vaginal delivery Low transverse 3175 Neonatal hemolytic disease, jaundice 30 40 Labor dystocia, augmentation 3770 No Maternal anemia, hemorrhage
27 40 Hypertensive disorder, malpresentation Low transverse 2835 24 40 Labor dystocia, augmentation 3175 No Abnormal fetal heart rate
28 40 Malpresentation Low transverse 3997 30 40 Augmentation 3798 .3 Abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal low Apgar3, ventilation, respiratory disease, non-mechanical resuscitation, seizures, observation for infection
29 40 Puerperal infection, other abnormal labor Low transverse 3521 30 40 3827 .3 Maternal bladder injury, abnormal fetal heart rate
30 40 Puerperal infection, hypertensive disorder, labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3835 29 40 Labor dystocia 4110 Yes Abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal jaundice
31 40 PROM1, labor dystocia Low transverse 3402 28 41 Induction, prostaglandin use, labor dystocia, intraamniotic infection 3969 .3 Maternal bladder injury, puerperal infection, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal respiratory disease, acute tubular necrosis, observation for infection
32 40 Previa with hemorrhage Low transverse 3373 19 41 Labor dystocia, augmentation 4167 No Maternal obstetric injury, puerperal infection, wound complication, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal jaundice
33 40 Labor dystocia Low transverse 3969 Maternal obstetric injury, puerperal infection 23 41 intraamniotic infection 3515 No Maternal puerperal infection, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal tachycardia
34 40 Malpresentation, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3374 18 .3 Labor dystocia 3374 .3 Neonatal respiratory disease, non-mechanical resuscitation, scalp injury
35 41 Puerperal infection, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3941 Maternal 3rd degree laceration
Neonatal ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization
17 38 3714 .3 Maternal obstetric injury, bladder injury
36 41 Puerperal infection, labor dystocia Low transverse 3799 22 38 Labor dystocia, augmentation, intraamniotic infection 3289 .3 Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, puerperal infection, Abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal observation for infection, spinal tap
37 41 Labor dystocia Low transverse 3968 15 38 2636 .3 Maternal hemorrhage, hysterectomy, abnormal fetal heart rate
38 41 Labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3770 64 39 Augmentation 2485 No Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, transfusion, postpartum exploratory laparotomy, obstetric injury, retained placenta, hypertensive disorder, precipitate labor
Neonatal Temperature dysregulation, hypoglycemia, jaundice
39 41 Malpresentation Low transverse 3374 57 39 Induction, prostaglandin use 3395 No Abnormal fetal heart rate
40 41 Labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3611 Maternal anemia 29 39 4140 No Maternal anemia
41 41 Labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 3856 21 39 Induction, labor dystocia 3771 No Maternal pelvic floor abnormality, abnormal fetal heart rate
42 41 Suspected macrosomia Low transverse 4706 45 40 Augmentation 4195 Yes Maternal obstetric injury, puerperal infection, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal low Apgar3, ventilation, umbilical vessel catheterization
43 41 Herpes simplex virus Low transverse 3799 23 41 Labor dystocia 3742 No Maternal obstetric injury
44 41 Labor dystocia Low transverse 3685 21 41 Augmentation 4309 No Maternal anemia, hemorrhage
45 41 Labor dystocia, abnormal fetal heart rate Low transverse 4479 15 41 Labor dystocia 3713 Yes Maternal anemia, hemorrhage, obstetric injury, failed operative vaginal delivery, abnormal fetal heart rate
Neonatal cutaneous hemorrhage, jaundice
46 41 .3 .3 3572 37 42 Induction 3455 No Abnormal fetal heart rate
1

gm = grams, PROM = premature rupture of membranes.

2

Gestational age based on best clinical estimate. For this patient, we noted discordance with birth weight and concordance with alternative gestational age estimation by last menstrual period of 32 weeks.

3

. = missing data

4

Low Apgar defined as less than <5 at 5 or 10 minutes of life.

Discussion

Our data show an increased risk of uterine rupture after periviable cesarean delivery compared with term cesarean delivery. This risk was consistent across prior periviable classical and low transverse uterine incision types, reflected by a nearly fivefold increased risk after index periviable low-transverse cesarean delivery compared with index term low-transverse cesarean delivery. Overall, uterine rupture occurred in approximately 2% of women with a prior periviable cesarean delivery.

Our findings add to an extensive literature describing uterine rupture risk after cesarean delivery(9, 11-15). Some studies have demonstrated a higher risk of uterine rupture after preterm cesarean delivery, and our data support this risk after periviable cesarean. Sciscione et al reported higher uterine rupture risk after prior birth <37 weeks of gestation with an adjusted OR of 1.6 among index “nonclassic” cesarean deliveries(11). In this study, first delivery birth weight was considered a surrogate for gestational age and was not associated with subsequent uterine rupture risk. Similarly, Rochelson et al demonstrated an association of uterine rupture with preterm low transverse cesarean <36 weeks of gestation compared with term cesarean (OR 5.39)(12). However, the majority (80%) of women with a prior preterm cesarean delivery were >31 weeks of gestation, leaving uncertainty about risk after cesarean at earlier gestational ages.

Several additional studies found no heightened uterine rupture risk after preterm cesarean(13-15), though some studies were limited by relatively small cohort sizes(13, 14). Harper et al compared uterine rupture risk after cesarean delivery before or after 34 weeks of gestation and found no difference in risk among women undergoing a subsequent trial of labor. However, a subset analysis of women with a prior cesarean delivery at <28 weeks of gestation (n=55) compared to prior term cesarean showed a non-significant increased risk, with frequencies of uterine rupture of 1.8% and 0.9%, respectively (RR 2.1, 95% CI 0.3-15.0), similar in magnitude to our current findings.

While our study population is large and carefully defined, the limitations of our study design should be considered in interpretation of its findings. With a rare but important outcome, a population-based study is the most feasible way to identify important risk factors. This study uses birth certificate data which carry inherent limitations including concerns for accuracy and inconsistencies in data collection(16, 17). We carefully selected variables for clarity, prior validation, and conservative estimation of risk; for example we did not assess spontaneous labor, because a reliable variable was not available. Not all variables used in the current study were specifically assessed in validation studies, nor were we able to directly validate our findings with a chart review in the current study. However, while misclassification bias remains a concern in both directions, the additional information gleaned from hospital discharge data minimizes this issue. Specifically, our database of WA state birth certificate variables is enhanced by linked ICD-9-CM codes, which has been shown to improve accuracy in validation studies(18, 19). Lydon-Rochelle et. al. demonstrated that the true positive rate of several variables improves without increasing the false-positive rate when combining birth certificate data with hospital discharge data compared to medical chart review(18, 19). In addition, the association of uterine rupture with maternal and neonatal morbidity demonstrates clinical relevance and appropriate classification (Table 4).

We conclude that the risk of subsequent uterine rupture after periviable cesarean delivery, including low transverse uterine incisions, may be greater than previously estimated. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and direct clinical management. However, in the absence of prospective studies, these data highlight the need for caution in the management of pregnancy after prior periviable cesarean delivery, regardless of incision type.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the Washington Department of Health for data access and Mr. William O’Brien for programing assistance.

Supported by NICHD HD-067221.

Footnotes

Presented at the 2013 Society for Gynecologic Investigation (SGI) 60th Annual Scientific Meeting, March 20-23, 2013 in Orlando, FL.

Financial Disclosure: The authors did not report any potential conflicts of interest.

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