Abstract
Introduction
To evaluate the association between head injury and Parkinson’s disease (PD), focusing on the timing of head injury, and to explore potential interactions between head injury and genetic factors in PD etiology.
Methods
The analysis included 507 PD cases and 1,330 controls, all non-Hispanic Whites. Head injury was retrospectively asked, and genotyping was performed mainly as part of previous GWAS.
Results
We found a positive association between head injury and PD risk. Compared with no previous head injury, the odds ratio (OR) was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00–1.94) for one and 2.33 (95% CI: 1.25–4.35) for two or more head injuries (P for trend=0.0016). We further found that the higher risk was largely attributed to head injuries before age 30. Compared with no previous head injury, the OR was 2.04 (95% CI: 1.33–3.14) for head injury that occurred before age 18, 1.39 (95% CI: 0.81–2.36) for head injury between ages 18-<30, and 1.04 (95% CI: 0.58–1.87) for head injury that occurred at age 30 or older (P for trend=0.001). Exploratory interaction analyses showed a significant interaction between head injury and a SNP at the RBMS3 locus (rs10510622, uncorrected P =0.0001). No interaction was found with GWAS tag SNPs at or near the MAPT, SNCA, LRRK2, and HLA loci.
Conclusion
Our study suggests that head injury early in life may be an important risk factor for PD. The potential interaction with RBMS3 needs confirmation.
Keywords: Parkinson’s disease, Head injury, Gene-environment interactions, Genome-wide association study
Parkinson’s disease (PD) is the second most prevalent neurodegenerative disease, affecting approximately one million Americans. The causes of PD are complex and may involve both genetic and environmental factors with interactions among risk factors. Head injury has been hypothesized to increase the risk of PD. Although not entirely consistent (1), the overall epidemiological evidence appears to be supportive for a positive association (2). Compared to adults, children and adolescents are much more likely to have head injuries and suffer from long-term consequences (3). However, few studies have investigated the timing of head injury in relation to PD, although a long lag time has been suggested (4, 5). We therefore examined the hypothesis that early-life head injury was associated with a higher risk for PD in the Parkinson’s Genes and Environment (PAGE) study. Further, we conducted an exploratory analysis to examine potential interactions of head injury in PD with genetic variants, using SNPs from the confirmation genotyping of a recent GWAS (6).
METHODS
Study population and PD case recruitment
The PAGE is a case-control study nested in the large prospective NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study. Details of study design have been published elsewhere (7, 8). Briefly, the cohort was assembled in 1995–1996 with detailed baseline information on dietary habit and lifestyle (9). We first identified self-reported PD cases from the cohort’s follow-up survey in 2004–2006, then contacted surviving self-reported cases in 2008–2009 to verify diagnosis and to collect saliva samples for genetic analysis. After obtaining patients’ permission, we contacted their treating physicians, mostly neurologists, and asked them to complete a diagnostic questionnaire and to send a copy of the patient’s medical records. A PD case was confirmed if the diagnosis was considered clinically definitive or probable by the treating neurologist, or if the medical record included a final PD diagnosis or evidence of 2 or more cardinal signs (with one being rest tremor or bradykinesia), a progressive course, responsiveness to dopaminergic treatments, and absence of features that suggest an alternative diagnosis (10). The present analysis included only PD cases with diagnoses confirmed by this process. Controls were randomly selected from cohort participants who did not report PD on the follow-up questionnaire, and were frequency matched to cases by gender, ethnicity, and year of birth. We also requested dates of diagnosis and first symptoms for PD cases and family history of PD defined as having at least one first-degree blood relative with physician-diagnosed PD. For both PD cases and controls, we further retrospectively collected additional exposures of interest in 2009–2010 that had not been collected at the cohort’s baseline survey, including head injury. The response rate for this retrospective data collection was 75.0% for cases and 82.2% for controls. A total of 611 PD cases and 1,389 controls provided data on head injury. To avoid population stratification in the genetic analysis, we excluded 27 cases and 59 controls who were not Non-Hispanic Whites or did not report ethnicity. We further excluded 77 patients whose PD diagnoses were before 1995 to reduce the potential impact of reverse causality on the analysis. The final analysis included a total of 507 PD cases and 1,330 controls.
Assessments of head injury and other environmental exposures
In the retrospective case-control data collection via structured questionnaire by mail, we asked if the participant had ever had a head injury prior to 1995 that resulted in unconsciousness, concussion or hospitalization (see Appendix). For those who answered yes, we further asked the number of head injuries, and the year of first and last head injuries before 1995. Information on other covariates such as cigarette smoking and consumption of caffeinated drinks was obtained from the cohort’s baseline survey in 1995–1996 (9). Participants were asked whether they had ever smoked more than 100 cigarettes. For ever smokers, we further asked the typical amount of smoking, smoking status at baseline; and for past smokers, years since last smoking (10). Caffeine intake was calculated from consumption of coffee and other caffeine containing drinks and foods in the past year as part of a food frequency questionnaire (11). We previously reported that both smoking and caffeine intake were inversely associated with the risk for PD in this study population (10, 11). In addition, the baseline survey also collected information on date of birth, sex, and ethnicity.
Genotyping
Genotyping data were from a previous GWAS (6) which were primarily performed by our collaborators at the National Institute on Aging (NIA). A total of 384 SNPs showing the lowest P values at the discovery screening were further selected for the confirmation genotyping. PAGE samples were the primary replication samples in that previous GWAS (6). The selected 384 SNPs were genotyped with customized GoldenGate assays (Illumina, San Diego, CA) with an overall call rate of 97% (6), including tag SNPs at or near the known PD loci (SNCA, MAPT, and LRRK2) that showed GWAS associations with PD. Of these, 357 SNPs passed strict quality control procedures and were included in the current analysis. More recently, our NIA collaborators further genotyped PAGE cases and controls using the NeuroX array that covers >240,000 exonic variants on the Illumina Infinium HumanExome BeadChip and an additional ~24,000 variants proven or hypothesized to be relevant in neurodegenerative disease (12). Details of this effort were published as part of large scale GWAS meta-analysis that confirmed a total of 28 PD GWAS SNPs (12), of which 22 are available for the current analysis. In addition to these GWAS SNPs, we further genotyped a SNP at the HLA locus (rs3129882) that showed genome-wide association with PD in a later GWAS study (13). This SNP was genotyped by BioServe Biotechnologies, Ltd. (Beltsville, MD) using MassARRAY iPLEXTM platform with a call rate of 97%.
Statistical analyses
We calculated odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) from multivariate logistic regression models, adjusting for year of birth, sex, smoking status (never, past and current smokers), daily caffeine intake (≤ or > median), and family history of PD (yes or no). In the analysis, we first analyzed head injury as ever or never and then according to the number of head injuries before 1995. In the analysis, we combined participants with two or more head injuries as few reported more than two head injuries (n=44). Most (66.8%) head injuries occurred before age 30, and therefore in the temporal relationship analysis, we defined head injuries as before age 18, age 18–30, and after age 30 for sample size considerations. In the analysis, we tested the statistical significance for a linear trend by assigning a value to each category of the head injury variable and including it as a continuous variable in the regression model. In our survey, participants were instructed to recall head injuries occurred in the distant past. To indirectly assess the potential impact of recall bias, we further conducted stratified analyses by median age at the cohort’s baseline survey.
In the gene-environment interaction analysis, we first focused on SNPs at or near known PD loci: SNCA (n=3), MAPT (n=3), LRRK2 (n=3), and HLA (n=1), and then we conducted exploratory analysis with other SNPs that were included in the GWAS confirmation. For each SNP, we first examined the main effect based on log-additive model, and then its interactions with head injury. Statistical significance for interaction was examined by including a multiplicative term between environmental exposure and each SNP. The main effects of SNPs were saturated in the model to ensure the validity of tests on gene-environment interactions. For the SNP that showed a statistical interaction after Bonferroni correction, we conducted stratified analyses by genotypes. In this analysis, we combined the heterozygous with homozygous variants to maintain reasonable sample sizes. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.2 (SAS Institute Inc, Cary, NC) and Plink v1.07.
Standard protocol approvals, registrations, and patient consents
Participants consented to the study by returning survey questionnaires. The study protocol was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences and the Special Studies Institutional Review Board of the National Cancer Institute.
RESULTS
Population characteristics of PD cases and controls are listed in Table 1. Cases and controls were matched by year of birth and gender and for cases the average age of PD diagnosis was 68.3 (SD, 5.8) years. Compared with controls, PD cases were less likely to smoke and had lower caffeine intake, they were however more likely to report a family history of PD and head injury. After adjusting for potential confounders, ever head injury was associated with a 59% higher risk for PD (OR=1.59, 95% CI: 1.18, 2.13). Further, PD cases tended to report first head injury at a younger age than controls (P=0.04). Among cases, the average lag time between first head injury and PD diagnosis was 45.4 (SD, 15.4) years.
Table 1.
Population characteristics of PD cases and controlsa
| PD Cases (n=507) | Controls (n=1,330) | |
|---|---|---|
| Men, % | 75.5 | 79.0 |
| Year of Birth | 1932.6 (5.0) | 1932.1 (4.8) |
| Smoking, % | ||
| Never | 45.6 | 35.8 |
| Former | 51.1 | 58.1 |
| Current | 2.2 | 5.3 |
| Missing | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Caffeine intake, mg/day | 310.4 (327.0) | 353.3 (357.4) |
| Family history of PD, % | ||
| No | 84.8 | 85.6 |
| Yes | 14.8 | 5.6 |
| Missing | 0.4 | 8.8 |
| Age at PD diagnosis, years | 68.3 (5.8) | |
| Head injury before 1995, % | ||
| No | 82.5 | 87.9 |
| Yes | 17.6 | 12.1 |
| Age at first head injury, years | 22.0 (14.6) | 26.5 (16.7) |
| Years between first head injury and PD | 45.4 (15.4) | N/A |
Abbreviations: PD, Parkinson disease.
Means (standard deviations) are presented for continuous variables and percentage for categorical variables.
Figure 1 showed a positive association between the number of head injuries and PD risk. The OR was 1.39 (95% CI: 1.00, 1.94) for participants with one previous head injury and 2.33 (95% CI: 1.25, 4.35) for those with two or more head injuries, with a dose-response relationship (P for trend=0.0016). Analysis on the timing of head injury showed the importance of head injury in early life as a risk factor for PD (Figure 2). The OR was 2.04 (95% CI: 1.33, 3.14) for head injury before age 18 and 1.39 (95% CI: 0.81, 2.36) for head injury between ages 18 and 29. In contrast, head injury that occurred at age 30 or older was not related to PD risk (OR=1.04, 95% CI: 0.58, 1.87). This analysis also showed a significant trend (P for trend = 0.001). Similar results were obtained in age-stratified analyses (Supplementary Figures 1 and 2).
Figure 1.
Number of head injuries before 1995 and PD risk after 1995. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls): no head injury: 418/1,169; 1 head injury: 64/130 ; two or more head injuries: 20/24. Five cases and 7 controls with head injuries did not provide information on the number of head injuries.
Figure 2.
Year of first head injury before 1995 and PD risk after 1995. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls): no head injury: 418/1,169; before age 18: 41/55; age 18–<30: 24/47; age 30 and older: 17/50. Seven cases and 9 controls with head injuries did not provide information on the year of first head injury.
The main effects of 10 GWAS tag SNPs at or near the MAPT, SNCA, LRRK2, and HLA loci in the PAGE study were published previously (8). We did not see any significant gene-environment interactions between head injury and these SNPs (Supplementary Table 1), nor did we observe any significant interactions with any of the 22 SNPs reported by the recent GWAS meta-analysis (12) (Supplementary Table 2).
In the exploratory analysis with other SNPs included in the previous GWAS confirmation genotyping (Supplementary Table 3), a SNP (rs10510622) at the RBMS3 locus (RNA binding motif, single stranded interacting protein 3) showed a significant P for interaction (uncorrected P=0.0001, Bonferroni significance threshold P < 0.00014). Stratified analyses showed that head injury was only related to a higher risk of PD among CT or CC carriers (Figure 3). Compared to TT-carriers without head injury, variant carriers (CT or CC) with previous head injury had more than three-fold higher risk for PD (OR=3.12, 95% CI: 1.88, 5.19). In contrast, the OR was 0.99 (95% CI: 0.68, 1.45) for TT carriers with head injury or 0.91 (95% CI: 0.71, 1.17) for variant carriers without head injury.
Figure 3.
Potential interactions of head injury and RBMS3- rs10510622 on PD risk. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls): TT and no head injury: 279/757; TT and head injury: 45/123; CT/CC and no head injury: 126/372; CT/CC and head injury: 38/35.
DISCUSSION
In this large case-control study, we found that head injury was related to a higher risk of PD with a dose-response relationship with the number of head injuries; the risk elevation was however largely limited to head injuries that occurred before age 30. Overall, we did not identify any significant interactions in PD for head injury with GWAS SNPs from known PD susceptibility loci; yet an exploratory analysis suggests a statistically significant interaction with a SNP at the RBMS3 locus.
There has been a long-standing interest in understanding whether head injury increases PD risk. This hypothesis is biologically plausible as head injury and the subsequent repair processes involve neuroinflammation and release of oxidative radicals that may trigger chronic and progressive neuronal degeneration. For example, a recent study using positron emission tomography scan demonstrated microglia activation in various brain areas up to 17 years after traumatic head injury (14). Further, head injury may disrupt the blood-brain barrier and thus directly expose brain to neurotoxicants or inflammatory agents which may in turn induce neuroinflammation (15). Head trauma may also disrupt mitochondrial function and induce glutamate excitotoxicity, both of which may contribute to neurodegeneration (16, 17).
The hypothesis that head trauma increases PD risk has been examined in about two dozen epidemiological studies (1, 2). A recent meta-analysis (2) showed that head injury was associated with a higher risk of PD with a pooled OR of 1.57 (95% CI: 1.35, 1.83), an estimate that is very close to ours. However, substantial heterogeneity was identified, with individual study results ranging from a few inverse or null associations to positive associations in more than half of the publications (2). Although multiple factors may have contributed to this heterogeneity, one possible explanation is the timing of head injury. This factor has not been the focus of previous studies; however, results from multiple studies suggest a long lag-time between head injury and PD diagnosis. For example, the Rochester Epidemiology Project reported an average lag time of 21 years between head injury and PD diagnosis (4) and a later twin study suggested a lag time over 30 years (5). On the other hand, two recent registry-based studies found only head injuries close to the index date was associated with PD, which was likely explained by reverse causality (17, 18). Unlike the other two afore-mentioned studies (4, 5), these registry-based studies did not have information on head injury in the distant past.
The present study explicitly examined the hypothesis that head injuries in early life are associated with a higher risk for PD. The OR was the highest for head injuries before age 18, followed by head injuries between age 18 and 29; in contrast, heads injury at age 30 or older was not associated with the risk for PD. These results suggest that head injuries early in life may be more important in determining PD risk than those occurred later. PD may take decades to develop (20) and accumulative evidence suggests that prenatal or early life environmental insults might have long lasting effects on neurodegeneration (21, 22). Therefore, the hypothesis that head injury early in life may initiate a lasting neurodegeneration should be further investigated in future experimental and epidemiological studies.
Both genetic and environmental factors have been implicated in the development of PD, and interaction of head injury with other factors have been reported (23, 24). Interestingly, a recent study identified a significant interaction between the SNCA REP1 repeats and head injury on PD risk (24). We did not specifically genotype this microsatellite repeat; instead we examined potential interactions of head injury with tag SNPs at the SNCA locus as well as other SNPs that were discovered from previous PD GWAS studies (6, 13). One of these SNPs was in modest linkage disequilibrium with the SNCA REP1 (rs3857059 - R2=0.37). We did not identify any significant interactions of these SNPs with head injury on PD risk.
In an exploratory analysis of 384 SNPs that were selected for confirmation genotyping in the previous GWAS study, we found a possible interaction of head injury with a SNP at the RBMS3 locus (rs10510622), with a significant P value for interaction surviving Bonferroni correction. The RBMS3 gene encodes a RNA-binding protein that is involved in diverse biological functions such as DNA replication, gene transcription, cell cycle progression and apoptosis (OMIM: 605786), but it has never been examined as a candidate gene for PD. Therefore, this finding is yet to be confirmed in future studies.
Our study is among the largest population-based studies on head injury and PD, and is unique in that it focused on the timing of head injury as well as potential interactions with genetic factors. However, our current study has several limitations. First, we used a working definition of head injury without specifying the definitions of loss of consciousness or concussion; further, data on head injury were retrospectively collected and therefore recall bias was likely. Although we could not directly assess the potential impact from recall bias, we conducted age-stratified analyses and identified similar results. Further, we suspect that PD patients were more likely to over-report recent injuries that occurred close to PD diagnosis than events in the distant past. Second, we did not assess cognitive status of survey participants and therefore were unable to evaluate potential impacts of cognitive status on data collection and analyses. Third, despite the sample size, the statistical power for gene-environment interaction was limited, and we lacked independent data to confirm or refute the potential interaction we identified. Last, we did not directly genotype the SNCA REP1 which showed an interaction with head injury in a recent report (24), and therefore we could not exclude the possibility that SNCA REP1 modifies the association of head injury with PD.
In conclusion, data from this large case-control study suggest the importance of early life head injuries in the development of PD. We also found a possible interaction for head injury in PD with a SNP at the RBMS3 locus which awaits confirmation from future studies.
Supplementary Material
Supplementary Figure 1. Number of head injuries before 1995 and PD risk after 1995, by median age at the cohort’s baseline survey. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age <64: no head injury: 203/519; 1 head injury: 33/64; two or more head injuries: 12/11; missing information on the number of head injuries: 3/3. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age ≥64: no head injury: 215/650; 1 head injury: 31/66; two or more head injuries: 8/13; missing information on the number of head injuries: 2/4.
Supplementary Figure 2. Year of first head injuries before 1995 and PD risk after 1995, by median age at the cohort’s baseline survey. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age <64: no head injury: 203/519; before age 18: 22/23; age 18 or older: 22/50; missing information on year of first head injury: 4/5. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age ≥64: no head injury: 215/650; before age 18: 19/32; age 18 or older: 19/47; missing information on year of first head injury: 3/4.
Supplementary Table 1. Head injury in relation to PD risk in subgroups of genotypes of SNPs near or at SNCA, MAPT, LRRK2 and HLAa
Supplementary Table 2. Head injury in relation to PD risk in subgroups of genotypes of SNPs near or at susceptible PD loci based on data from NeuroX genotypinga
Supplementary Table 3. Top 5 findings for potential interactions between head injury and SNPs from the PD GWAS confirmation samplea
Highlights.
We found a positive association between head injury and PD risk.
Head injury early in life may be an important risk factor for PD.
The higher risk for PD was largely attributed to head injuries before age 30.
No interactions with GWAS tag SNPs at or near the MAPT, SNCA, LRRK2 and HLA loci.
Exploratory analyses showed a potential interaction with a SNP at the RBMS3 loci
Acknowledgments
The authors are grateful to the continuous contribution of the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study participants.
Funding: This study was supported by the intramural research program of the National Institute of Health, the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences [Z01-ES-101986], National Institute on Aging [Z01 AG000949-02], the National Cancer Institute [Z01 CP010196-02], and a National Institute of Health extramural grant [R01 NS060722 to X.H.]
APPENDIX Parkinson’s, Genes & Environment Study (PAGE) Life Experience Form

Footnotes
Conflict of interest: None of the authors have financial conflict of interest for this work.
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Associated Data
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Supplementary Materials
Supplementary Figure 1. Number of head injuries before 1995 and PD risk after 1995, by median age at the cohort’s baseline survey. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age <64: no head injury: 203/519; 1 head injury: 33/64; two or more head injuries: 12/11; missing information on the number of head injuries: 3/3. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age ≥64: no head injury: 215/650; 1 head injury: 31/66; two or more head injuries: 8/13; missing information on the number of head injuries: 2/4.
Supplementary Figure 2. Year of first head injuries before 1995 and PD risk after 1995, by median age at the cohort’s baseline survey. Odds ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) were adjusted for year of birth, sex, smoking status, daily caffeine intake, and family history of PD. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age <64: no head injury: 203/519; before age 18: 22/23; age 18 or older: 22/50; missing information on year of first head injury: 4/5. Sample sizes for analyses (cases/controls) for median age ≥64: no head injury: 215/650; before age 18: 19/32; age 18 or older: 19/47; missing information on year of first head injury: 3/4.
Supplementary Table 1. Head injury in relation to PD risk in subgroups of genotypes of SNPs near or at SNCA, MAPT, LRRK2 and HLAa
Supplementary Table 2. Head injury in relation to PD risk in subgroups of genotypes of SNPs near or at susceptible PD loci based on data from NeuroX genotypinga
Supplementary Table 3. Top 5 findings for potential interactions between head injury and SNPs from the PD GWAS confirmation samplea



