Abstract
Background: Prospective data on the relation of magnesium, potassium, and calcium intakes with stroke risk are inconsistent, and to our knowledge, the effect of a combined mineral diet score has not been examined.
Objective: We examined associations between intakes of magnesium, potassium, and calcium and risk of incident stroke in 86,149 women in the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) I and 94,715 women in the NHS II.
Design: In this prospective cohort study, we calculated HRs of stroke by quintiles of intake for each mineral and for a combined diet score of all 3 minerals by using multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. In addition, we updated meta-analyses on dietary intakes of these minerals and risk of stroke.
Results: During follow-up (30 y in the NHS I; 22 y in the NHS II) a total of 3780 incident stroke cases were documented. Pooled multivariate RRs of total stroke for women in the highest compared with the lowest quintiles were 0.87 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.97) for total magnesium, 0.89 (95% CI: 0.80, 0.99) for total potassium, and 0.97 (95% CI: 0.87, 1.09) for total calcium intake. Pooled RRs for women in the highest compared with the lowest quintiles of a combined mineral diet score were 0.72 (95% CI: 0.65, 0.81) for total stroke, 0.78 (95% CI: 0.66, 0.92) for ischemic stroke, and 0.80 (95% CI: 0.61, 1.04) for hemorrhagic stroke. In the updated meta-analyses of all prospective studies to date, the combined RR of total stroke was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.92) for a 100-mg/d increase in magnesium intake, 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.94) for a 1000-mg/d increase in potassium intake, and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.02) for a 300-mg/d increase in calcium intake.
Conclusions: A combined mineral diet score was inversely associated with risk of stroke. High intakes of magnesium and potassium but not calcium were also significantly associated with reduced risk of stroke in women.
Keywords: calcium, magnesium, potassium, stroke, ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke
INTRODUCTION
Magnesium is an essential mineral and cofactor for >300 enzymatic reactions in the body (1). Magnesium is the second most-abundant intracellular cation next to potassium (2). Calcium is the most-abundant mineral in the body. Like magnesium and potassium, calcium is critically involved in cardiovascular functions (3). High dietary intakes of each of these minerals were reported to lower risk of hypertension (4–7), which is the principal modifiable stroke risk factor. However, only a few prospective studies examined the relation between dietary and supplemental intakes of these minerals and risk of stroke in women, and results have been inconsistent. Prospective studies in Europe showed magnesium intake, but not intake of potassium or calcium, was significantly associated with reduced risk of stroke (7, 8). In the United States, intakes of potassium and magnesium, but not of calcium, were associated with reduced stroke risk in men (9), whereas calcium and potassium intakes, but not magnesium intake, were associated with reduced stroke risk in women (10). Also, one study showed no overall association between any of these minerals and risk of stroke (11).
The few prospective observational studies that were conducted did not include follow-up beyond 15 y and had a relatively small number of incident stroke events, and in most studies, the independent effect of each mineral intake from supplements and stroke types was not examined. In this article, we provide evidence on the association of each mineral intake from diet and supplements with risk of total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic incident strokes. In addition, we hypothesized that a combined diet score of all 3 minerals may be associated with reduced stroke risk because these minerals exist together in foods, and intakes are strongly correlated. We addressed these aims in US women who were followed prospectively in the 2 large cohorts the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS)5 I and II.
METHODS
Study population
The NHS I is a prospective cohort of 121,700 female registered nurses residing in the United States who were 30–55 y old at enrollment in 1976 (12). The NHS II is also a prospective cohort; it was established in 1989 when 116,671 female registered nurses, who were aged 25–42 y and residing in the United States, were enrolled. All women provided information on their medical histories and lifestyles. Every 2 y, follow-up questionnaires were sent to update this information. Detailed dietary intake was assessed by using a semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) in 1980, 1984, 1986, and every 4 y thereafter in the NHS I and in 1991 and every 4 y thereafter in the NHS II. We excluded participants with prevalent cancer, stroke, or ischemic heart disease (IHD) at baseline, implausibly low or high energy intakes, and lack of diet information. After these exclusions, 86,149 women in the NHS I were eligible and followed up from 1980 until 2010 for stroke incidence, and 94,715 women in the NHS II were eligible and followed up from 1989 until 2011 for stroke incidence.
Ethics
The study was approved by the Committee on the use of Human Subjects in Research at Brigham and Women’s Hospital. The return of a questionnaire was considered to imply consent.
Ascertainment of diet
The FFQ asked about average frequency of intake during the previous year of specified portions of 131 foods and use of vitamin and mineral supplements. In addition, we asked about the use of specific supplements of magnesium, potassium, and calcium. The reproducibility and validity of this questionnaire was reported elsewhere (13–15). In a validation study in 200 nurses in NHS I cohort participants conducted in 1986, correlations between mineral intake assessed by the expanded dietary questionnaire and by 2 1-wk diet records were 0.62 for calcium, 0.61 for potassium, and 0.76 for magnesium after the within-person variation in diet records was taken into account (16).
Ascertainment of stroke
The primary endpoint was incident stroke that occurred after the return of the 1980 FFQ but before June 2010 for the NHS I and after the return of the 1989 FFQ but before June 2011 for the NHS II. Participants who reported an incident stroke on a follow-up questionnaire were asked for permission to review their medical records. Medical records were reviewed by study physicians with no knowledge of the self-reported risk-factor status of the participants. Strokes were confirmed if characterized by a typical neurologic defect of sudden or rapid onset that lasted >24 h and was attributable to a cerebrovascular event. Strokes were classified according to the criteria of the National Survey of Stroke as being due to ischemia (embolic or thrombotic), hemorrhage (subarachnoid or intracerebral hemorrhage), or an unknown cause (17). Nonfatal strokes for which confirmatory information was obtained by interview or letter but for which no medical records were available were designated as probable and assigned to a stroke of unspecified type because of the lack of primary data for review. In total, 24% of the women with stroke in NHS I and 32% in NHS II did not give permission to review their medical records, and 6% in the NHS I and 8% in the NHS II gave permission for a review of their medical records, but the records could not be obtained.
Deaths were reported by next of kin, coworkers, postal authorities, or the National Death Index. Fatal strokes were confirmed by medical records or autopsy reports or were considered probable if these were not obtainable, and stroke was listed as the underlying cause on the death certificate.
Covariates
Information was obtained on potential confounding factors, including medical history, other aspects of dietary intake, and lifestyle behaviors that could be associated with intake of these minerals and risk of stroke. These variables were updated biennially and included cigarette smoking (never, past, or current), physical activity (<3, 3 to <9, 9 to <18, 18 to <27, or ≥27 metabolic equivalent tasks per week), menopausal status (premenopausal or postmenopausal), postmenopausal hormone therapy use (never, past, or current), parental history of early myocardial infarction (before age 60 y), multivitamin use (yes or no), thiazide use (yes or no), aspirin use at least 2 times/wk (yes or no), and history of hypertension, diabetes, or hypercholesterolemia (yes or no). Height and weight were self-reported at baseline, and weight was updated from follow-up questionnaire responses. BMI (in kg/m2) was calculated as weight divided by height squared. BMI was divided into 3 categories (i.e., <25, 25 to <30, and ≥30). Quintiles were calculated for total energy intake (kcal), and we used alcohol consumption categories of 0, 0 to <5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, and ≥15 g/d.
Statistical analyses
To examine associations between diet and stroke, we used Cox proportional hazards models stratified by age (mo) and follow-up cycle to estimate RRs and 95% CIs. Participants were divided into quintiles of cumulative average intake of magnesium, potassium, and calcium to reduce the within-person variation and best represent long-term intake (18). A combined mineral diet score of magnesium, potassium, and calcium were computed by assigning points to each quintile and summing the points. Participants in the lowest quintile (quintile 1) of magnesium, potassium, or calcium intake received 1 point for each mineral, participants in the next quintile (quintile 2) received 2 points, and so forth. We summed points to create the overall mineral diet score, which ranged from 3 to 15. Cumulative averages were calculated by taking the mean of all reported FFQ intakes up to the beginning of each 2-y follow-up interval. The cumulative average intake was used to predict stroke incidence from the time of the last returned questionnaire until the next follow-up cycle.
Multivariate models were adjusted for age (mo) and calendar time (2-y time intervals) and included intakes of total energy (kcal), alcohol (g/d), cigarette smoking, BMI, physical activity, parental history of early myocardial infarction, postmenopausal hormone therapy use, thiazide use, aspirin use, multivitamin use, and history of diabetes, hypertension, and hypercholesterolemia at baseline. To test for a linear trend, we assigned each quintile the median value and modeled this variable as a continuous variable. We examined the potential deviation from linearity by using a likelihood ratio test for comparison of a model with the linear term with a model including the linear term plus restricted cubic spline transformations (19). We also conducted analyses that included all 3 minerals simultaneously. Magnesium and potassium intakes were highly correlated (r = 0.79 in the NHS I; r = 0.73 in the NHS II), and correlations between calcium and potassium intakes (r = 0.49 in the NHS I; r = 0.41 in the NHS II), whereas between calcium and magnesium intakes (r = 0.54 in the NHS I; r = 0.56 in the NHS II) were moderate. The Q test was used to test for the heterogeneity between the NHS I and NHS II. RRs (±SEs) for each quintile from each cohort were pooled in fixed-effects models to calculate summary estimates (20). Similarly, the updated meta-analysis followed standard practice (20) of testing for heterogeneity by using the Q test and using fixed effects model to produce summary estimates when no between-studies heterogeneity was evident; otherwise a random-effects model was used.
To examine the potential effect modification of the association between dietary minerals and stroke risk by age, hypertension, and diabetes, we stratified our multivariate model on age (<60 compared with ≥60 y), hypertension (yes compared with no), and diabetes (yes compared with no) and separately tested the significance of an interaction by using a likelihood ratio test for the comparison of the model with interaction terms to the model with only main effects. All P values were 2-sided, and analyses were conducted with SAS 9.2 software (SAS Institute Inc.).
RESULTS
During 30 y of follow-up from 1980 through 2010 in the NHS I and 22 y of follow-up from 1989 through 2011 in the NHS II, a total of 3780 incident stroke cases were ascertained. Of these cases, 3237 incident strokes were documented in the NHS I (including 1664 ischemic, 544 hemorrhagic, and 1029 unspecified strokes), and 543 incident strokes were documented in the NHS II (including 186 ischemic, 92 hemorrhagic, and 265 unspecified strokes). Age-standardized characteristics of study participants at midpoint during follow-up in 1994 for the NHS I and in 1995 for the NHS II are shown in Table 1. Women with higher mineral intake were more likely to use aspirin, multivitamins, and postmenopausal hormone therapy, more physically active, less likely to be current smokers than were women with lower mineral intake. Data for women in the NHS I and NHS II were combined because we did not observe a significant between-study heterogeneity (Q-statistic P > 0.05).
TABLE 1.
Magnesium |
Potassium |
Calcium |
||||||||||||||||
NHS I |
NHS II |
NHS I |
NHS II |
NHS I |
NHS II |
|||||||||||||
Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | Quintile 1 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 5 | |
n | 14,962 | 17,543 | 15,534 | 22,349 | 18,811 | 15,695 | 14,393 | 17,271 | 17,189 | 21,177 | 18,369 | 17,747 | 27,825 | 16,002 | 9134 | 24,456 | 18,164 | 14,491 |
Age, y | 58 ± 7 | 60 ± 7 | 62 ± 7 | 40 ± 5 | 41 ± 5 | 41 ± 5 | 58 ± 7 | 60 ± 7 | 62 ± 7 | 40 ± 5 | 41 ± 5 | 42 ± 4 | 60 ± 7 | 60 ± 7 | 62 ± 7 | 41 ± 5 | 40 ± 5 | 41 ± 5 |
BMI, kg/m2 | 26.7 ± 5.5 | 26.5 ± 5.2 | 26.0 ± 5.0 | 26.2 ± 6.5 | 25.5 ± 5.7 | 25.3 ± 5.5 | 26.4 ± 5.5 | 26.4 ± 5.1 | 26.5 ± 5.2 | 26.0 ± 6.5 | 25.6 ± 5.7 | 25.6 ± 5.5 | 26.5 ± 5.3 | 26.5 ± 5.2 | 26.1 ± 5.0 | 26.0 ± 6.1 | 25.7 ± 5.8 | 25.4 ± 5.6 |
Physical activity, METs/wk | 14.6 ± 20.7 | 19.1 ± 22.5 | 21.4 ± 28.7 | 14.0 ± 19.11 | 19.0 ± 22.9 | 24.9 ± 28.6 | 14.8 ± 22.0 | 18.7 ± 22.1 | 25.2 ± 30.0 | 14.4 ± 19.7 | 18.0 ± 21.5 | 25.0 ± 28.8 | 15.8 ± 21.7 | 19.6 ± 24.2 | 22.6 ± 26.9 | 16.1 ± 21.5 | 19.6 ± 23.9 | 21.3 ± 25.5 |
Smoking, % | ||||||||||||||||||
Never | 48 | 44 | 41 | 69 | 64 | 62 | 47 | 45 | 41 | 71 | 66 | 58 | 42 | 44 | 47 | 63 | 66 | 67 |
Past | 35 | 42 | 47 | 18 | 25 | 29 | 36 | 42 | 46 | 18 | 24 | 30 | 37 | 43 | 44 | 22 | 24 | 25 |
Current | 17 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 21 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
Aspirin use, % | 20 | 28 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 31 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Thiazide use, % | 6 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
Multivitamin, % | 22 | 39 | 59 | 26 | 39 | 58 | 30 | 41 | 46 | 33 | 40 | 45 | 20 | 40 | 59 | 26 | 42 | 57 |
PMH therapy, % | 29 | 37 | 41 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 37 | 37 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 36 | 46 | 8 | 8 | 12 |
Calcium, mg/d | 685 ± 245 | 913 ± 246 | 1184 ± 348 | 767 ± 292 | 1040 ± 339 | 1334 ± 459 | 703 ± 266 | 908 ± 285 | 1141 ± 339 | 826 ± 342 | 1032 ± 366 | 1225 ± 441 | 513 ± 80 | 867 ± 50 | 1433 ± 234 | 608 ± 98 | 1027 ± 58 | 1722 ± 350 |
Magnesium, mg/d | 226 ± 21 | 297 ± 8 | 387 ± 38 | 240 ± 25 | 321 ± 9 | 434 ± 57 | 238 ± 35 | 297 ± 34 | 364 ± 48 | 256 ± 50 | 321 ± 48 | 394 ± 57 | 258 ± 45 | 300 ± 46 | 343 ± 58 | 274 ± 54 | 328 ± 58 | 377 ± 82 |
Potassium, mg/d | 2361 ± 297 | 2930 ± 271 | 3452 ± 406 | 2451 ± 341 | 3070 ± 330 | 3521 ± 512 | 2247 ± 210 | 2880 ± 69 | 3590 ± 271 | 2315 ± 240 | 2999 ± 70 | 3261 ± 317 | 2568 ± 423 | 2927 ± 406 | 3222 ± 466 | 2710 ± 495 | 3045 ± 469 | 3266 ± 533 |
Alcohol, g/d | 5.3 ± 10.7 | 5.3 ± 9.2 | 4.6 ± 8.1 | 2.5 ± 5.8 | 3.7 ± 6.9 | 3.6 ± 6.6 | 6.0 ± 11.8 | 5.1 ± 8.9 | 4.2 ± 7.4 | 2.8 ± 6.8 | 3.6 ± 6.7 | 3.5 ± 6.0 | 6.4 ± 11.8 | 5.1 ± 8.9 | 3.9 ± 7.3 | 3.6 ± 7.4 | 3.4 ± 6.1 | 2.9 ± 5.8 |
Diabetes, % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Hypertension, % | 39 | 37 | 35 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 37 | 36 | 38 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 39 | 37 | 35 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
High cholesterol, % | 47 | 48 | 48 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 47 | 48 | 48 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 45 | 48 | 49 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
Parental history of heart disease, % | 20 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 |
Means ± SDs are given for continuous variables, and percentages of population are given for dichotomous variables. Nutrients except alcohol were calorie-adjusted. MET, metabolic equivalent task; NHS, Nurses’ Health Study; PMH, postmenopausal hormone.
In the multivariate analyses, total and dietary magnesium intakes were inversely associated with risk of total but ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke (Table 2). The pooled multivariate RR for total stroke was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.78, 0.97; P-trend = 0.07) for the comparison of women in the highest with lowest quintiles of total magnesium intake; whereas the pooled multivariate RR for the comparison of highest with lowest quintiles of dietary magnesium intake was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.94; P-trend = 0.001) for total stroke. Total potassium intake was inversely associated with risk of total but not ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke (Table 3). For comparison of women in the highest with lowest quintiles of total potassium intake, the pooled multivariate RR for total stroke was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.80, 0.99; P-trend = 0.01). Multivariate RRs for both magnesium and potassium were attenuated when all 3 minerals were included in the models simultaneously (multivariate model 2). There was no significant association between total or dietary calcium intake and total, ischemic, or hemorrhagic stroke (Table 4). Multivariate RRs for total magnesium (Supplemental Table 1), total potassium (Supplemental Table 2), total calcium (Supplemental Table 3), dietary magnesium (Supplemental Table 4), dietary potassium (Supplemental Table 5), and dietary calcium (Supplemental Table 6) and risk of total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic strokes for each cohort separately are shown in the supplemental material.
TABLE 2.
Quintile 1 | Quintile 2 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 4 | Quintile 5 | P-linear trend | |
Total magnesium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 662 | 679 | 735 | 836 | 868 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.84 (0.75, 0.93) | 0.82 (0.73, 0.91) | 0.83 (0.75, 0.92) | 0.77 (0.70, 0.86) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.87 (0.78, 0.97) | 0.88 (0.79, 0.98) | 0.91 (0.82, 1.01) | 0.87 (0.78, 0.97) | 0.07 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.89 (0.79, 1.01) | 0.92 (0.80, 1.05) | 0.97 (0.84, 1.11) | 0.93 (0.79, 1.08) | 0.69 |
Ischemic stroke | 299 | 341 | 379 | 404 | 427 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) | 0.91 (0.78, 1.07) | 0.87 (0.75, 1.06) | 0.83 (0.71, 0.96) | 0.01 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.90 (0.77, 1.06) | 0.93 (0.80, 1.09) | 0.90 (0.77, 1.05) | 0.87 (0.75, 1.02) | 0.13 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.94 (0.79, 1.12) | 1.00 (0.82, 1.21) | 0.99 (0.81, 1.22) | 0.99 (0.79, 1.25) | 0.85 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 129 | 116 | 122 | 134 | 135 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.79 (0.61, 1.02) | 0.78 (0.60, 1.00) | 0.81 (0.63, 1.03) | 0.75 (0.58, 0.96) | 0.06 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.81 (0.63, 1.05) | 0.81 (0.63, 1.05) | 0.85 (0.66, 1.09) | 0.80 (0.62, 1.03) | 0.15 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.84 (0.63, 1.12) | 0.88 (0.65, 1.21) | 0.94 (0.67, 1.31) | 0.84 (0.58, 1.22) | 0.51 |
Dietary magnesium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 718 | 709 | 733 | 839 | 781 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) | 0.76 (0.69, 0.84) | 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) | 0.72 (0.65, 0.80) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.85 (0.77, 0.95) | 0.82 (0.74, 0.91) | 0.89 (0.81, 0.99) | 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) | 0.001 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.85 (0.75, 0.96) | 0.83 (0.72, 0.95) | 0.92 (0.79, 1.06) | 0.82 (0.69, 0.97) | 0.08 |
Ischemic stroke | 329 | 354 | 357 | 429 | 381 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.87 (0.75, 1.01) | 0.79 (0.68, 0.92) | 0.89 (0.77, 1.02) | 0.75 (0.64, 0.87) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.88 (0.76, 1.03) | 0.82 (0.70, 0.95) | 0.94 (0.81, 1.08) | 0.81 (0.69, 0.94) | 0.03 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.91 (0.76, 1.08) | 0.87 (0.71, 1.06) | 1.03 (0.83, 1.28) | 0.91 (0.71, 1.15) | 0.71 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 134 | 112 | 131 | 126 | 133 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.74 (0.57, 0.95) | 0.80 (0.63, 1.02) | 0.74 (0.58, 0.95) | 0.75 (0.59, 0.96) | 0.05 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.76 (0.59, 0.98) | 0.83 (0.65, 1.06) | 0.78 (0.60, 1.00) | 0.79 (0.61, 1.01) | 0.11 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.78 (0.59, 1.04) | 0.91 (0.66, 1.25) | 0.88 (0.62, 1.25) | 0.87 (0.59, 1.29) | 0.69 |
Values are the n of cases. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate RRs and 95% CIs. Model 1 was adjusted for age, calendar year, total calories (quintiles of kcal), BMI (in kg/m2; <25, 25 to <30, or ≥30), parental history of heart disease (aged ≤60 y), alcohol intake (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, or ≥15 g/d), physical activity (<3, 3 to <9, 9 to<18, 18 to <27, or ≥27 metabolic equivalent tasks/wk), smoking, postmenopausal hormone therapy, oral contraceptive use (never, past, or current), menopausal status (premenopausal or postmenopausal), aspirin (0 to <2 or ≥2 pills/wk), multivitamin, history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes at baseline, and thiazide use (yes or no). Model 2 was adjusted as for model 1 and for intakes of potassium and calcium (quintiles of g/d). NHS, Nurses’ Health Study.
TABLE 3.
Quintile 1 | Quintile 2 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 4 | Quintile 5 | P-linear trend | |
Total potassium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 647 | 723 | 732 | 795 | 883 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.92 (0.83, 1.02) | 0.84 (0.75, 0.93) | 0.82 (0.74, 0.92) | 0.83 (0.75, 0.93) | 0.0003 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.97 (0.87, 1.08) | 0.89 (0.80, 0.99) | 0.89 (0.80, 0.99) | 0.89 (0.80, 0.99) | 0.01 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.00 (0.89, 1.12) | 0.92 (0.81, 1.05) | 0.91 (0.79, 1.05) | 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) | 0.16 |
Ischemic stroke | 298 | 349 | 381 | 384 | 438 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.95 (0.81, 1.11) | 0.93 (0.80, 1.08) | 0.85 (0.73, 0.99) | 0.87 (0.75, 1.01) | 0.03 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.96 (0.82, 1.12) | 0.93 (0.80, 1.09) | 0.86 (0.73, 1.00) | 0.87 (0.75, 1.02) | 0.04 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.98 (0.82, 1.16) | 0.95 (0.79, 1.15) | 0.87 (0.71, 1.07) | 0.89 (0.72, 1.11) | 0.23 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 128 | 135 | 114 | 117 | 142 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.94 (0.73, 1.19) | 0.74 (0.57, 0.95) | 0.71 (0.55, 0.91) | 0.80 (0.63, 1.02) | 0.02 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.97 (0.76, 1.24) | 0.79 (0.61, 1.02) | 0.76 (0.59, 0.98) | 0.85 (0.67, 1.10) | 0.08 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.99 (0.76, 1.30) | 0.79 (0.58, 1.07) | 0.74 (0.53, 1.03) | 0.81 (0.56, 1.16) | 0.16 |
Dietary potassium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 666 | 736 | 746 | 782 | 850 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.91 (0.82, 1.02) | 0.84 (0.76, 0.94) | 0.80 (0.72, 0.89) | 0.81 (0.73, 0.90) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.96 (0.87, 1.07) | 0.90 (0.81, 1.00) | 0.87 (0.78, 0.96) | 0.88 (0.79, 0.98) | 0.006 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.05 (0.93, 1.18) | 1.01 (0.88, 1.16) | 0.96 (0.82, 1.12) | 1.00 (0.84, 1.18) | 0.76 |
Ischemic stroke | 311 | 354 | 384 | 383 | 418 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.93 (0.80, 1.08) | 0.91 (0.78, 1.06) | 0.82 (0.71, 1.96) | 0.83 (0.71, 0.96) | 0.004 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.94 (0.81, 1.10) | 0.92 (0.79, 1.07) | 0.84 (0.72, 0.98) | 0.86 (0.74, 1.00) | 0.02 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.00 (0.84, 1.19) | 1.00 (0.82, 1.21) | 0.88 (0.71, 1.10) | 0.92 (0.72, 1.18) | 0.38 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 130 | 132 | 122 | 114 | 138 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.90 (0.70, 1.14) | 0.78 (0.61, 1.00) | 0.68 (0.53, 0.88) | 0.78 (0.61, 1.00) | 0.01 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.93 (0.73, 1.19) | 0.84 (0.65, 1.08) | 0.73 (0.56, 0.94) | 0.84 (0.66, 1.08) | 0.06 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.98 (0.74, 1.30) | 0.86 (0.62, 1.19) | 0.73 (0.51, 1.05) | 0.82 (0.55, 1.22) | 0.22 |
Values are the n of cases. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate RRs and 95% CIs. Model 1 was adjusted for age, calendar year, total calories (quintiles of kcal), BMI (in kg/m2; <25, 25 to <30, or ≥30), parental history of heart disease (aged ≤60 y), alcohol intake (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, or ≥15 g/d), physical activity (<3, 3 to <9, 9 to<18, 18 to <27, or ≥27 metabolic equivalent tasks/wk), smoking, postmenopausal hormone therapy, oral contraceptive use (never, past, or current), menopausal status (premenopausal or postmenopausal), aspirin (0 to <2 or ≥2 pills/wk), multivitamin, history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes at baseline, and thiazide use (yes or no). Model 2 was adjusted as for model 1 and for intakes of magnesium and calcium (quintiles of g/d). NHS, Nurses’ Health Study.
TABLE 4.
Quintile 1 | Quintile 2 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 4 | Quintile 5 | P-linear trend | |
Total calcium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 646 | 710 | 728 | 789 | 907 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.94 (0.84, 1.05) | 0.89 (0.79, 0.99) | 0.86 (0.77, 0.95) | 0.82 (0.74, 0.92) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.01 (0.90, 1.12) | 0.97 (0.87, 1.08) | 0.97 (0.87, 1.08) | 0.97 (0.87, 1.09) | 0.57 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) | 1.02 (0.91, 1.14) | 1.03 (0.91, 1.15) | 1.04 (0.92, 1.17) | 0.67 |
Ischemic stroke | 307 | 347 | 354 | 408 | 434 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.96 (0.82, 1.12) | 0.89 (0.76, 1.04) | 0.92 (0.79, 1.07) | 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) | 0.01 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.98 (0.84, 1.15) | 0.90 (0.77, 1.06) | 0.94 (0.80, 1.10) | 0.86 (0.74, 1.01) | 0.08 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.00 (0.85, 1.17) | 0.93 (0.79, 1.10) | 0.97 (0.82, 1.15) | 0.90 (0.76, 1.08) | 0.30 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 118 | 119 | 124 | 131 | 144 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.94 (0.72, 1.21) | 0.95 (0.74, 1.23) | 0.95 (0.73, 1.22) | 0.93 (0.72, 1.20) | 0.66 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.03 (0.79, 1.33) | 1.07 (0.83, 1.39) | 1.11 (0.85, 1.44) | 1.12 (0.86, 1.46) | 0.34 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.11 (0.85, 1.45) | 1.20 (0.91, 1.57) | 1.27 (0.95, 1.68) | 1.31 (0.98, 1.76) | 0.06 |
Dietary calcium intake | ||||||
Total stroke | 754 | 780 | 688 | 799 | 759 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.93 (0.84, 1.03) | 0.78 (0.70, 0.87) | 0.89 (0.81, 0.99) | 0.85 (0.76, 0.94) | 0.006 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.99 (0.90, 1.10) | 0.85 (0.77, 0.95) | 0.98 (0.88, 1.08) | 0.92 (0.83, 1.02) | 0.20 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.03 (0.93, 1.14) | 0.90 (0.80, 1.00) | 1.04 (0.93, 1.17) | 0.99 (0.88, 1.12) | 0.75 |
Ischemic stroke | 367 | 390 | 338 | 394 | 361 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.95 (0.82, 1.10) | 0.79 (0.68, 0.91) | 0.91 (0.78, 1.05) | 0.82 (0.71, 0.95) | 0.01 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.98 (0.85, 1.13) | 0.83 (0.71, 0.96) | 0.95 (0.82, 1.10) | 0.86 (0.74, 1.00) | 0.06 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.01 (0.87, 1.17) | 0.86 (0.74, 1.01) | 1.00 (0.85, 1.17) | 0.92 (0.77, 1.10) | 0.47 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | 130 | 126 | 121 | 132 | 127 | — |
Age-adjusted model | 1.0 (reference) | 0.92 (0.72, 1.18) | 0.87 (0.68, 1.11) | 0.94 (0.73, 1.20) | 0.89 (0.70, 1.14) | 0.50 |
Multivariate model 1 | 1.0 (reference) | 0.99 (0.77, 1.27) | 0.96 (0.75, 1.24) | 1.05 (0.82, 1.35) | 0.99 (0.77, 1.27) | 0.95 |
Multivariate model 2 | 1.0 (reference) | 1.06 (0.82, 1.37) | 1.07 (0.82, 1.40) | 1.20 (0.92, 1.58) | 1.15 (0.86, 1.54) | 0.27 |
Values are the n of cases. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate RRs and 95% CIs. Model 1 was adjusted for age, calendar year, total calories (quintiles of kcal), BMI (in kg/m2; <25, 25 to <30, or ≥30), parental history of heart disease (aged ≤60 y), alcohol intake (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, or ≥15 g/d), physical activity (<3, 3 to <9, 9 to<18, 18 to <27, or ≥27 metabolic equivalent tasks/wk), smoking, postmenopausal hormone therapy, oral contraceptive use (never, past, or current), menopausal status (premenopausal or postmenopausal), aspirin (0 to <2 or ≥2 pills/wk), multivitamin, history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes at baseline, and thiazide use (yes or no). Model 2 was adjusted as for model 1 and for intakes of potassium and magnesium (quintiles of g/d). NHS, Nurses’ Health Study.
Because of the relatively high degree of correlation between these minerals, we also examined a combined magnesium, potassium, and calcium diet score (Table 5). For comparison of women in the highest with lowest quintiles of combined magnesium, potassium, and calcium diet score, the pooled multivariate RR for total stroke was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.72, 0.91; P-trend = 0.003). Findings were similar for ischemic but not hemorrhagic stroke.
TABLE 5.
Quintile 1 | Quintile 2 | Quintile 3 | Quintile 4 | Quintile 5 | P-linear trend | |
Median combined diet score | ||||||
NHS I | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 14 | — |
NHS II | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 14 | — |
Total stroke | ||||||
Age-adjusted model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.81 (0.71, 0.91) | 0.76 (0.67, 0.86) | 0.87 (0.67, 0.87) | 0.72 (0.64, 0.82) | <0.001 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.75 (0.56, 0.99) | 0.82 (0.61, 1.09) | 0.75 (0.57, 0.98) | 0.71 (0.53, 0.94) | 0.05 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.80 (0.71, 0.89) | 0.77 (0.69, 0.87) | 0.77 (0.69, 0.86) | 0.72 (0.65, 0.81) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.85 (0.75, 0.96) | 0.83 (0.73, 0.94) | 0.86 (0.76, 0.96) | 0.81 (0.72, 0.92) | 0.007 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.78 (0.59, 1.04) | 0.88 (0.66, 1.18) | 0.83 (0.63, 1.09) | 0.78 (0.58, 1.05) | 0.25 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.84 (0.75, 0.94) | 0.84 (0.74, 0.94) | 0.85 (0.76, 0.95) | 0.81 (0.72, 0.91) | 0.003 |
Ischemic stroke | ||||||
Age-adjusted model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.81 (0.68, 0.96) | 0.81 (0.67, 0.96) | 0.80 (0.68, 0.95) | 0.74 (0.62, 0.87) | 0.002 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.74 (0.46, 1.19) | 0.75 (0.46, 1.24) | 0.69 (0.44, 1.08) | 0.66 (0.41, 1.08) | 0.12 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.80 (0.68, 0.94) | 0.80 (0.68, 0.95) | 0.79 (0.69, 0.92) | 0.73 (0.62, 0.85) | <0.001 |
Multivariate model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.83 (0.70, 0.99) | 0.83 (0.69, 0.99) | 0.85 (0.72, 1.00) | 0.78 (0.66, 0.93) | 0.03 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.79 (0.49, 1.28) | 0.82 (0.49, 1.36) | 0.77 (0.48, 1.25) | 0.75 (0.45, 1.25) | 0.34 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.83 (0.71, 0.97) | 0.83 (0.70, 0.98) | 0.84 (0.72, 0.98) | 0.78 (0.66, 0.92) | 0.01 |
Hemorrhagic stroke | ||||||
Age-adjusted model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.76 (0.57, 1.00) | 0.71 (0.53, 0.96) | 0.69 (0.53, 0.91) | 0.73 (0.55, 0.96) | 0.04 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.90 (0.44, 1.81) | 1.03 (0.50, 2.11) | 0.92 (0.47, 1.81) | 0.74 (0.36, 1.56) | 0.50 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.78 (0.60, 1.01) | 0.75 (0.57, 0.99) | 0.72 (0.56, 0.93) | 0.73 (0.56, 0.95) | 0.03 |
Multivariate model | ||||||
NHS I | 1.0 (reference) | 0.93 (0.71, 1.22) | 0.69 (0.51, 0.94) | 0.86 (0.64, 1.14) | 0.69 (0.52, 0.91) | 0.25 |
NHS II | 1.0 (reference) | 0.83 (0.41, 1.68) | 0.95 (0.46, 1.97) | 0.83 (0.41, 1.65) | 0.66 (0.31, 1.39) | 0.35 |
Pooled | 1.0 (reference) | 0.81 (0.62, 1.05) | 0.61 (0.61, 1.06) | 0.77 (0.60, 1.00) | 0.80 (0.61, 1.04) | 0.15 |
Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate RRs and 95% CIs. The multivariate model was adjusted for age, calendar year, total calories (quintiles of kcal), BMI (in kg/m2; <25, 25 to <30, or ≥30), parental history of heart disease (aged ≤60 y), alcohol intake (0, 0 to <5, 5 to <10, 10 to <15, or ≥15 g/d), physical activity (<3, 3 to <9, 9 to<18, 18 to <27, or ≥27 metabolic equivalent tasks/wk), smoking, postmenopausal hormone therapy, oral contraceptive use (never, past, or current), menopausal status (premenopausal or postmenopausal), aspirin (0 to <2 or ≥2 pills/wk), multivitamin, history of hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes at baseline, and thiazide use (yes or no). NHS, Nurses’ Health Study.
We examined separately the relation between intakes of magnesium, potassium, and calcium from supplements and risk of stroke. There was no significant association between supplemental magnesium or calcium intake and risk of total, ischemic, or hemorrhagic stroke in the pooled analyses. We observed a significant inverse association between supplemental potassium intake and risk of ischemic but not total or hemorrhagic stroke. The pooled multivariate RR for comparison of highest with lowest quintiles of supplemental potassium intake was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.56, 0.89, P-trend < 0.01) for ischemic stroke. Pooled multivariate RRs for supplemental magnesium (Supplemental Table 7), supplemental potassium (Supplemental Table 8), and supplemental calcium (Supplemental Table 9) and risk of total, ischemic, and hemorrhagic strokes are shown in the supplemental material.
We examined total and dietary intakes of each mineral and risk of stroke to determine any potential nonlinear association by using restricted cubic splines; however, no significant deviation from linearity was observed. In addition, we explored the potential effect modification by age, hypertension, or diabetes on the relation between total intake of all 3 minerals and risk of total stroke. No significant effect modification was observed by these factors.
We updated the meta-analyses of prospective studies of dietary magnesium (21), potassium (22), and calcium (23) intakes and risk of stroke. Previous meta-analyses included results from previous analyses in the NHS (10); these results were replaced by the results in the current study. In addition, the literature was searched, and recent prospective studies (8, 24) were included in these updated meta-analyses. No between-studies heterogeneity was observed for any of the 3 minerals. The combined RR of total stroke was 0.87 (95% CI: 0.83, 0.92) for a 100-mg/d increase of magnesium intake, 0.91 (95% CI: 0.88, 0.94) for a 1000-mg/d increase of potassium intake, and 0.98 (95% CI: 0.94, 1.02) for a 300-mg/d increase of calcium intake.
DISCUSSION
In these analyses of mineral intakes from 2 large prospective cohort studies of women, we showed higher dietary and total intakes of magnesium and potassium were inversely associated with risk of total stroke. A higher combined mineral diet score of magnesium, potassium, and calcium intakes was associated with ∼20% reduced risk of total stroke.
To our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the association between a combined magnesium, potassium, and calcium diet score and stroke risk. Foods sources rich in these minerals include green leafy vegetables, whole grains, legumes, fruits, nuts, and milk. Diets such as the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension diet and Mediterranean diet, which have high content of these minerals, have been reported to be associated with reduced risk of stroke (25, 26), hypertension (27, 28), and diabetes (29–32). Moreover, some prospective studies reported an inverse association between moderate consumption of coffee, a rich source of magnesium, and risk of stroke (33, 34). A prudent dietary pattern characterized by higher intakes of fruits, vegetables, legumes, fish, and whole grains, was previously shown to be associated with reduced stroke risk in women in this study population (35).
The inverse association between magnesium intake and risk of stroke is consistent with findings from several prospective studies (7–10, 36). The updated meta-analysis of prospective studies also supported the finding of significant 13% reduced risk of stroke associated with each 100-mg/d increase in magnesium intake. Total potassium intake was inversely associated with risk of total stroke in the current study. These results are consistent with the results from the NHANES I Epidemiologic Follow-up Study (37). In some (9, 10) but not all (8) prospective studies, there was an inverse association between potassium intake and stroke risk. The updated meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies showed that a 1000-mg/d increase of dietary potassium intake was associated with 8% reduced risk of total stroke.
Some epidemiologic studies have suggested that high calcium intake may reduce risk of stroke, but the evidence has been inconsistent. Although several prospective studies reported no association between dietary calcium intake and risk of stroke (7, 9, 11), other prospective studies showed an inverse association with ischemic stroke risk (10, 38, 39), and no between-study heterogeneity was evident for this association in the meta-analysis. In the updated meta-analysis of prospective studies, the association between calcium intake and risk of total stroke was minimal and NS.
Mechanisms for effects of magnesium, potassium, and calcium on stroke risk have not been well elucidated. The antihypertensive effects of these minerals may be a potential mechanism. In previous prospective studies of the association between dietary magnesium intake and risk of hypertension, results have been inconsistent (9, 40). In a previous randomized trial within the NHS II, potassium supplements reduced blood pressure, but supplements of calcium and magnesium did not (41). Meta-analyses of randomized trials that assessed the blood pressure response to changes in mineral intake reported a modest reduction in blood pressure with magnesium (42) and potassium (43). Also, intake of calcium was inversely associated with risk of hypertension in middle-aged and older women in a randomized trial (40). Meta-analyses of randomized trials that assessed the blood pressure response to changes in calcium intake should be conducted. Other possible mechanisms by which these minerals may reduce risk of stroke include the inverse association between magnesium supplementation and endothelial dysfunction (44), dietary potassium and the formation of free radicals (45), and dietary calcium and the inhibition of fatty acid synthesis and activation of lipolysis (34) in humans.
The relation between intakes of magnesium, potassium, and calcium and risk of stroke shown in the current study is similar to the relation between intake of these minerals and risk of IHD. In prospective studies, dietary intake of magnesium and potassium were inversely associated with risk of IHD (46, 47), but there was no relation with calcium intake and risk of IHD in women (48). Also, intakes of magnesium and calcium but not potassium were associated with lower risk of CVD mortality in some (24, 46, 49) but not all (50) studies.
Our study has several strengths and limitations. The prospective design reduced the possibility of recall and selection biases, and the high rate of retention reduced bias because of a loss to follow-up. Diet was assessed multiple times during follow-up, which took into account changes in eating behaviors and reduced measurement error; however, some error was inevitable. Although strokes were self-reported, study physicians, with no knowledge of the self-reported risk factor status of participants, reviewed participants’ medical records to confirm the stroke diagnosis and classify the stroke type. However, because 24% of women with stroke in the NHS I and 32% in the NHS II did not give permission to review their medical records, we were unable to classify all strokes as ischemic or hemorrhagic; therefore, the numbers of stroke types were reduced. Nonetheless, the large number of participants and the long duration of follow-up provided sufficient power to detect clinically relevant differences in risks of total stroke and stroke types. In addition, the updated meta-analyses provided support for our findings on dietary intakes of magnesium, potassium, and calcium and risk of total stroke. A major limitation of the current study was the inability to separate the independent effects of the 3 minerals with much certainty because of the high correlations between them. Also, because the study population predominantly consisted of Caucasian women (12), the results of the current study may not be generalizable to men or ethnically diverse populations.
In conclusion, results from these 2 large prospective studies provide strong evidence to support an inverse association between combined intakes of magnesium, potassium, and calcium from diet and stroke risk. The independent role of each mineral in the reduction of stroke risk is difficult to define. In addition, the effect of these minerals on risk of stroke independent of food sources is difficult to define. This study supports the recommendations of the Dietary Approaches to Stop Hypertension, Optimal Macronutrient Intake Trial to Prevent Heart Disease, and Mediterranean diets, which promote high dietary intake of these minerals.
Acknowledgments
The authors’ responsibilities were as follows—SNA: performed statistical analyses and wrote the manuscript; DS, WCW, and KMR: provided critical feedback of the manuscript; and all authors: read and approved the final manuscript. None of the authors reported a conflict of interest related to the study.
Footnotes
Abbreviations used: FFQ, food-frequency questionnaire; IHD, ischemic heart disease; NHS, Nurses’ Health Study.
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