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International Journal of Clinical and Experimental Medicine logoLink to International Journal of Clinical and Experimental Medicine
. 2015 Mar 15;8(3):4487–4493.

Prognostic factors of tuberculous meningitis: a single-center study

Jin Gu 1, Heping Xiao 1, Furong Wu 1, Yanping Ge 1, Jun Ma 1, Wenwen Sun 1
PMCID: PMC4443207  PMID: 26064373

Abstract

Objective: To investigate the prognostic factors of tuberculous meningitis (TBM) and develop strategies for the improvement of clinical efficacy. Methods: A total of 156 TBM patients were retrospectively reviewed. The demographic characteristics, underlying diseases, clinical features, laboratory findings, bacteriologic test, images, use of steroids, mannitol and anti-TB drugs, surgery or drainage, and clinical outcomes were collected and analyzed. Results: Patients with tubercle bacillus in the cerebrospinal fluid had significantly higher rate of consciousness disturbance (78.8%) and greater proportion of Glasgow coma scale (GCS) score of 3 (37.9%) when compared with the possible TBM patients (51.1% and 13.3%, respectively). Patients with definite TBM had a poor outcome and their mortality was significantly higher than in possible TBM patients (42.4% vs. 17.8%, P < 0.05). Univariate regression analysis showed that the advanced age, concomitant hematogenous disseminated pulmonary tuberculosis, change in consciousness, low GCS score on admission and hydrocephalus were associated with a poor prognosis; timely anti-TB treatment and reasonable hormone applications predicted a favorable outcome. Multivariate regression analysis showed that advanced age, change in consciousness, low GSC score and concomitant hydrocephalus were independent risk factors of TBM, and use of prednisone at ≥ 60 mg/d was protective factor for TBM (P=0.003, OR=0.013). Conclusions: The advanced age, changes in consciousness, low GCS score on admission and concomitant hydrocephalus are independent risk factors of TBM. For patients with risk factors, diagnostic anti-TB therapy and reasonable hormone therapy should be performed timely to reduce mortality and disability.

Keywords: Tuberculous meningitis, prognosis, prognostic factors

Introduction

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is a non-suppurative inflammatory disease of the dura mater and spinal cord meninge caused by tubercle bacillus. About 5-15% of extrapulmonary tuberculosis involves the nervous system. TBM is a major one of extrapulmonary tuberculosis with involvement of the nervous system and accounts for about 70% of nervous system tuberculosis. TBM has an insidious onset and atypical clinical manifestations. Thus, it is usually in its advanced stage when it is diagnosed, which results in a poor therapeutic efficacy and often causes severe extrapulmonary tuberculosis with high mortality [1-4]. In recent years, with the increased drug resistance of tubercle bacillus [5], delayed development of anti-TB drugs and increased HIV patients [6,7], the morbidity and mortality of TB are also increasing over year. To investigate the prognostic factors of TBM and to increase the clinical therapeutic efficacy, TBM patients from our hospital were retrospectively reviewed.

Patients and methods

Data collection

From January 2008 to September 2012, a total of 156 patients diagnosed with TBM were treated in our hospital and retrospectively reviewed in this study. Following information was collected: demographic characteristics, baseline diseases, clinical characteristics, laboratory findings, bacteriological results, imaging manifestation, use of steroids, mannitol and anti-TB drugs, surgery or drainage, and clinical outcomes. Most patients had spinal cord fluids (CSF) taken on admission, and the following tests performed: total cell count, cytological classification, detection of glucose, proteins, chlorides, and adenosine deaminase (ADA) as well as TB-PCR and TB smearing and culture. In addition, chest radiography and brain computed tomography or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) examinations were performed.

Diagnostic criteria

TBM was diagnosed according to the clinical characteristics, and findings from routine and biochemical CSF examination, TB smearing and culture and cerebral imaging examinations [8]. Patients were diagnosed with definite TBM and suspicious TBM, and the mortality and clinical severity of TBM were compared between two groups. For patients with definite TBM, TB was found in CSF by CSF smearing and culture or TB-PCR [9]. For patients with suspicious TBM, the characteristics of tuberculous CSF should be found (white blood cells > 10×106/L [mainly lymphocytes]; protein > 40 mg/dl; reduced ratio of CSF glucose to serum glucose [< 0.6 or < 60 mg/dl]), and at least one of following findings was present: (1) hematogenous disseminated pulmonary tuberculosis: tubercle bacillus was separated from other tissues except for CSF, or active pulmonary tuberculosis was present; (2) Imaging findings: cerebral CT or MRI showed characteristics of TBM; (3) history of past illness: TB infection or exposure to TB; (4) Diagnostic therapy: symptoms improved significantly after anti-TB therapy. The severity of TBM was determined according to the TBM grading system developed by the British Medical Research Council: grade I equivalent to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) 15, indicating no focal nervous system signs; grade II equivalent to GCS 15, accompanied by nervous dysfunction, or GSC 11-14; grade III equivalent to GCS ≤ 10 [10].

Therapeutic protocol

Patients were treated with at least 4-7 anti-TB drugs: isoniazid (INH): 300-1200 mg/d; rifampicin (RFP): 450-600 mg/d; pyrazinamide (PZA): 1500 mg/d; ethambutol: (EMB): 750 mg/d. Therapy was done for at least 12 months unless patients died or side effects were present. Other anti-TB drugs included levofloxacin (LFX, 500-600 mg/d), moxifloxacin (400 mg/d), amikacin (400-600 mg/d) and protionamide (Pto; 600 mg/d). These drugs were used in the intensive phase of anti-TB therapy or when side effects were observed. The dose of steroids was equivalent to ≥ 30 mg/d prednisone, and steroids therapy continued for at least 2 weeks, followed by the decrement of steroid dose. Dehydration treatment with mannitol or surgical intervention was performed when the elevated intracranial pressure or hydrocephalus was present.

Therapeutic outcome

Therapeutic outcome was categorized into 4 types: 1) normal: the motor function, intelligence, vision and hearing were normal; 2) mild sequelae: hemiplegia, mild intelligence reduction, vision and/or hearing dysfunction; 3) severe sequelae: quadriplegia, severe intellectual impairment, blindness and/or deafness; 4) death. Types 1 and 2 were regarded as good outcomes, and types 3 and 4 as poor outcomes.

Statistical analysis

Logistic regression analysis was employed to evaluate the survival of these patients (mortality within 12 months). To exclude confounding factors affecting survival, variables with P ≤ 0.05 in univariate analysis were included into multivariate analysis with logistic regression model for further analysis. Statistical analysis was performed with SPSS version 17.0. Results were expressed as adjusted OR and corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI). A value of P < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

Clinical manifestation and laboratory characteristics

Among these patients with tubercle bacillus in the CSF, the incidence of consciousness disturbance was 78.8%, and patients with GCS grade III accounted for 37.9%, which were significantly higher than those in suspicious TBM patients (51.1% and 13.3%, respectively; P < 0.05); the mortality was as high as 42.4%, suggesting a poor prognosis, which was significantly higher than that in suspicious TBM patients (17.8%; P < 0.05). Moreover, patients with definite TBM usually had markedly higher incidences of concomitant hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis and hydrocephalus (P < 0.05). The demographics and biochemical findings of CSF were comparable between two groups (Table 1).

Table 1.

Demographics and clinical characteristics of TBM patients

Characteristics Definite TBM (n=66) Suspicious TBM (n=90) All patients (n=156) t P
Age 36.7±19.2 33.7±18.2 32.9±18.6 0.994 0.322
Gender (M) 39 (59.1) 59 (65.7) 98 (62.8) 0.681 0.409
Clinical manifestations
    Fever 53 (80.3) 74 (82.2) 127 (81.4) 0.093 0.761
    Consciousness disturbance 52 (78.8) 46 (51.1) 98 (62.8) 12.488 0.000
Headache 36 (54.5) 58 (64.4) 94 (60.3) 1.558 0.212
Vomiting 46 (69.7) 61 (67.8) 106 (68.6) 0.065 0.799
Stiff neck 30 (45.5) 55 (61.1) 85 (54.5) 3.764 0.052
Hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis 27 (40.9) 20 (22.2) 47 (30.1) 6.316 0.012
Grade on admission
    I 7 (10.6) 32 (35.6) 39 (25.0) 19.154 0.000
    I 34 (51.5) 46 (51.1) 80 (51.3)
    III 25 (37.9) 12 (13.3) 37 (23.7)
CSF
    Pressure > 20 mmH2O 59 (89.4) 78 (84.8) 137 (86.7) 0.709 0.400
    WBC (×106/L) 22±31 22±32 22±31 0.0452 0.964
    Protein (mg/L) 3463±5481 2937±3342 3162±4346 0.7420 0.459
    Glucose (mmol/L) 2.4±1.9 2.6±1.6 2.5±1.7 0.8284 0.409
    Chloride (mmol/L) 115.35±5.3 116.3±10.1 115.9±7.4 -0.6966 0.487
    ADA (IU/L) 9.37±4.7 7.91±5.9 8.53±4.0 1.660 0.099
Imaging examination
    Hydrocephalus 42 (63.6) 42 (46.7) 84 (53.8) 4.412 0.036
    Cerebral infarction 15 (22.7) 22 (24.4) 37 (23.7) 0.062 0.803
    Manifestations of TBMa 18 (27.3) 30 (33.3) 48 (30.8) 0.657 0.418
Outcome
    Poor 35 (53.0) 25 (27.8) 60 (38.5) 10.259 0.001
    Death 28 (42.4) 16 (17.8) 44 (28.2) 11.422 0.001
    Interval between admission and death (d) 75.3±69.1 68.2±49.8 71.2±57.4 0.7460 0.457
a

multiple manifestations of TBM: exudation of basal cistern, hydrocephalus, meningeal enhancement, tuberculoma, vasculitis, abscess or infarction;

TBM = tuberculous meningitis; CSF = spinal cord fluids; WBC = white blood cell; ADA = adenosine deaminase.

Factors influencing prognosis

As shown in Table 2, factors related to a poor prognosis included: advanced age, concomitant hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis, consciousness disturbance, low GCS score on admission and hydrocephalus. Old patients had relatively poor outcome. Of patients older than 60 years, as high as 63.3% had a poor prognosis (P=0.000), suggesting age is one of factors predicting a poor prognosis. Consciousness disturbance is a common clinical manifestation of TBM and had an incidence of 78.3% in TBM patients with a poor prognosis (P=0.002). Among patients with severe TBM on admission, a low GCS score significantly influenced the prognosis of TBM and was a factor predicting a poor prognosis (P=0.025). Concomitant tuberculosis at other sites (especially the hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis or widespread systemic tuberculosis [bone tuberculosis, abdominal tuberculosis, lymph node tuberculosis]) predicted a poor prognosis (P=0.034). In addition, hydrocephalus was found in 75.9% of patients with a poor prognosis, which was significantly higher than that in patients with a good prognosis (P=0.000).

Table 2.

Prognostic factors of TBM patients in two groups

Variables Definite TBM (n=66) Suspicious TBM (n=90) All patients (n=156)

Poor (n=35) Good (n=31) P Poor (n=25) Good (n=65) P Poor (n=60) Good (n=96) P
Age (yr) 38.3±7.6 30.1±6.6 0.029 40.9±6.6 29.9±7.6 0.000 40.1±5.3 29.1±5.2 0.000
Age > 60 yr 22 (62.9%) 10 (32.3%) 0.013 18 (72.0%) 20 (30.0%) 0.000 38 (63.3%) 28 (29.2%) 0.000
Male 23 (65.7%) 16 (51.6%) 0.245 15 (60.0%) 44 (67.7%) 0.492 38 (63.3%) 60 (62.5%) 0.917
CNS tuberculosis 17 (48.6%) 10 (32.3%) 0.179 7 (28.0%) 13 (20.0%) 0.414 24 (40.0%) 23 (24.0%) 0.034
Clinical manifestations
    Fever 29 (82.9%) 24 (77.4%) 0.579 24 (96.0%) 50 (76.9%) 0.034 53 (88.3%) 74 (77.1%) 0.079
    Headache 16 (45.7%) 20 (64.5%) 0.126 16 (64.0%) 42 (64.6%) 0.956 32 (53.3%) 62 (64.6%) 0.162
    Consciousness disturbance 30 (85.7%) 22 (71.0%) 0.144 17 (68.0%) 29 (44.6%) 0.047 47 (78.3%) 51 (53.1%) 0.002
    Stiff neck 14 (40.0%) 16 (51.6%) 0.344 14 (56.0%) 41 (63.1%) 0.537 28 (46.7%) 57 (59.4%) 0.121
CSF examination
    Pressure > 20 mmH2O 29 (82.9%) 30 (96.9%) 0.067 24 (96.0%) 54 (83.1%) 0.106 53 (88.3) 84 (87.5%) 0.877
    WBC (×106/L) 23±36 22±24 0.908 22±22 22±23 0.921 23±32 21±34 0.652
    Protein (mg/L) 3510±5674 3419±3543 0.936 3012±3462 2874±4652 0.8933 3331±4613 3056±4541 0.879
    Glucose (mmol/L) 2.0±2.0 2.8±2.1 0.065 2.4±1.3 2.7±1.9 0.5183 2.2±1.7 2.7±1.8 0.467
    Chloride (mmol/L) 114.8±3.4 116.0±9.8 0.407 115.1±8.5 116.8±3.1 0.1656 114.4±7.6 116.8±9.4 0.098
    ADA (IU/L) 11.2±6.3 8.5±5.5 0.070 9.7±5.1 7.5±4.8 0.059 10.3±5.3 8.9±4.0 0.063
GCS grade
    I 3 (8.6%) 4 (12.9%) 0.163 8 (32.0%) 24 (36.9%) 0.855 11 (18.3%) 28 (29.2%) 0.025
    II 15 (42.9%) 19 (61.6%) 13 (52.0%) 33 (50.8%) 28 (46.7%) 52 (54.2%)
    III 17 (48.6%) 8 (25.8%) 4 (16.0%) 8 (12.3%) 21 (35.0%) 16 (16.7%)
Duration of anti-TB therapy (d)a 15.9 12.6 0.176 20.6 12.5 0.127 18.2 12.6 0.044
Use of steroid (Prednisone)
    ≥ 30 (mg/d) 12 (34.3%) 19 (61.3%) 0.028 8 (32.0%) 29 (44.6%) 0.276 20 (33.3%) 48 (50.0%) 0.041
    ≥ 60 (mg/d) 2 (5.7%) 14 (45.2%) 0.000 3 (12.0%) 25 (38.5%) 0.021 5 (7.6%) 39 (43.3%) 0.000
    ≥ 90 (mg/d) 2 (5.7%) 13 (41.9%) 0.004 2 (8.0%) 13 (20.0%) 0.219 4 (6.1%) 26 (28.9%) 0.000
    ≥ 120 (mg/d) 2 (5.7%) 5 (16.1%) 0.170 1 (4.0%) 6 (9.2%) 0.668 3 (4.5%) 11 (12.2%) 0.097
Dehydration treatment with mannitol 11 (31.4%) 11 (35.5%) 0.727 7 (28.0%) 20 (30.8%) 0.797 18 (30.0%) 31 (32.3%) 0.764
Imaging findings (n=32) (n=27) (n=26) (n=52) (n=58) (n=79)
    Hydrocephalus 25 (78.1%) 13 (48.1%) 0.017 19 (73.1%) 13 (25.0%) 0.000 44 (75.9%) 26 (32.9%) 0.000
    Cerebral Infarction 10 (31.2%) 3 (11.1%) 0.063 6 (23.1%) 13 (25.0%) 0.852 16 (27.6%) 16 (20.3%) 0.316
    Manifestations of TBM 6 (18.8%) 10 (37.0%) 0.115 10 (38.5%) 16 (30.8%) 0.497 16 (27.6%) 26 (32.9%) 0.504
a

interval between presence of symptoms and anti-TB therapy in TBM patients;

TBM = tuberculous meningitis; CNS = central nerve system; CSF = spinal cord fluids; WBC = white blood cell; ADA = adenosine deaminase; GCS = Glasgow coma scale; TB = tuberculosis.

Factors predicting a good prognosis included: timely anti-TB therapy and rational use of steroids. As shown in Table 2, the median time interval between presence of symptoms and anti-TB therapy was 12.6 days in TBM patients with a good prognosis, which was shorter than that in TBM patients with a poor prognosis (18.2 days). Use of prednisone at 30-90 mg/d could improve the prognosis of TBM, but prednisone at ≥ 120 mg/d had less influence on the therapeutic efficacy.

Factors with P ≤ 0.05 in univariate analysis were included into multivariate analysis with logistic regression model, and results showed advanced age, consciousness disturbance, low GCS score on admission and hydrocephalus were independent risk factors of TBM prognosis. However, use of prednisone at ≥ 60 mg/d was a protective factor for TBM prognosis (P=0.003, OR=0.013) (Table 3).

Table 3.

Multivariate regression analysis of prognostic factors in TBM patients

Risk factor Odds ratio (95% CI) P
Age 1.032 (1.013-1.081) 0.038
Hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis 0.998 (0.321-4.789) 0.779
Consciousness disturbance 1.063 (1.016-9.902) 0.029
GCS grade on admission 1.674 (1.347-5.031) 0.038
Time of anti-TB therapy 1.021 (0.956-1.316) 0.068
Prednisone ≥ 60 (mg/d) 0.013 (0.001-0.211) 0.003
Hydrocephalus 5.031 (1.389-13.347) 0.023

Footnotes: GCS = Glasgow coma scale; TB = tuberculosis.

Treatment and prognosis of hydrocephalus

Hydrocephalus is a common complication of TBM and also a factor predicting a poor prognosis. Thus, the association between management of hydrocephalus and TBM prognosis was evaluated. Results showed 84.6% of hydrocephalus patients with a good prognosis used prednisone ≥ 60 mg/d, which was significantly higher than that in patients with a poor prognosis (27.3%; P=0.000). This suggests that high dose steroid may markedly improve the prognosis of hydrocephalus. For hydrocephalus patients, the use of dehydration treatment with mannitol and surgery had less influence on the prognosis of TBM (Table 4).

Table 4.

Clinical outcome of patients with hydrocephalus

Poor outcome (n=44) Good outcome (n=26) P
Prednisone ≥ 60 (mg/d) 12 (27.3%) 22 (84.6%) 0.000
Dehydration treatment 17 (38.6%) 13 (50.0%) 0.353
Surgery 10 (22.7%) 9 (34.6%) 0.280

Discussion

Our results showed TBM had a higher incidence in the middle-young age (mean age: 32.9±18.6 years) and in males (62.8%). The most common clinical manifestations of TBM were fever (81.4%), consciousness disturbance (62.8%) and vomiting (68.6%), but the incidences of headache and stiff neck were slightly higher than 50% (60.3% and 54.5%, respectively). These findings suggest that the onset of TBM is insidious and it has non-specific manifestations, resulting in difficulty in its diagnosis. Patients with definite TBM usually presented evident consciousness disturbance (78.8%) and had more severe TBM (GCS grade III: 37.9%) and a poor prognosis (mortality of 42.4% within 12 months). Wang et al [11] reported that the presence of tubercle bacillus in CSF was related to a poor prognosis, which may be explained that the increased microbial load may elevate the risk for consciousness disturbance. In addition, the risk for a poor prognosis also increases over age in TBM patients. Of TBM patients older than 60 years, 63.3% had a poor prognosis, and advanced age was found to be an independent risk factor of a poor prognosis.

About 1/3 of TBM patients had atypical manifestations, and a majority of TBM patients had increased CSF pressure (CSF pressure > 20 mmH2O in 86.7%). Increases in total cell count, protein and ADA and reductions in glucose and chlorides were also observed in TBM patients, but these changes were comparable between definite TBM patients and suspicious patients and had less influence on the prognosis of TBM.

The cranial imaging findings of TBM patients are usually diverse and non-specific. These findings include the exudation of basal cistern, hydrocephalus, meninges enhancement, tuberculoma, vasculitis, abscess or cerebral infarction, showing the involvement of meningeal surface, CSF space, blood vessels and nerves. In early phase of TBM, cranial CT may display the extent of lesions (mainly the exudative lesions) and pia mater enhancement. In late phase, cranial CT may show the features of obstructive hydrocephalus. Cranial MRI is more sensitive than CT, especially for lesions involving the brainstem or meninge [12,13]. Santy et al [14] showed the lipid peak of TBM lesions was higher in the images of MRI, which was helpful to differentiate tuberculous lesions from non-tuberculous lesions in the brain. In our study, about 53.8% of TBM patients had concomitant hydrocephalus to different extents, which is usually a consequence of the obstruction of CSF and increased intracranial pressure [15]. This also suggests, in middle to late phase of TBM, hydrocephalus is an independent risk factor of a poor prognosis, which was consistent with previously reported by Misra et al [16]. In addition, more than 30.1% of TBM patients had concomitant hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis, and thus routine chest X ray or CT is recommended for patients with suspicious TBM. For patients with concomitant hematogenous disseminated tuberculosis, severe TB, widespread systemic tuberculosis, nausea, vomiting, headache or fever non-responsive to therapy, cranial CT or MRI and CSF examination are recommended for the early diagnosis of TBM.

Our results showed the time interval between presence of symptoms and anti-TB therapy was 12.6 days in TBM patients with a good prognosis, which was 1 week earlier when compared with TBM patients with a poor prognosis (18.2 days). This suggests that early therapy is crucial to increase the therapeutic outcome, and reduce mortality and disability (P=0.044). Steroids have been accepted as a drug in the anti-TB therapy [17,18], but the dose of steroids is still empirically determined. Our results showed the use of prednisone at 30-90 mg/d could improve the prognosis of TBM (P=0.041~0.000). However, prednisone at ≥ 120 mg/d had less influence on the therapeutic outcome, or even increased the probability of side effects. Thus, high dose steroids are not recommended in TBM patients. Therapy of hydrocephalus is a challenge for clinicians. Raut et al [19] reported that hydrocephalus occurred in approximately two-third of patients with tuberculous meningitis and had an unfavorable impact on the prognosis. In the regular anti-TB therapy, dehydration is routinely used. For patients with refractory increased intracranial pressure or severe ventriculomegaly, surgery is performed if necessary. Our results showed that steroids at a high dose might improve the prognosis of hydrocephalus (P=0.000). There is still controversy on the use of surgery for hydrocephalus, and the available results are conflicting among studies, which may be ascribed to the timing and methods of surgery as well as complications [20-22]. In our study, surgery had less influence on the prognosis of TBM. In addition, dehydration therapy with mannitol was also not related to the prognosis of TBM.

Taken together, factors predicting a poor prognosis of TBM are advanced age, concomitant tuberculosis at other sites, consciousness disturbance, low GCS score on admission, and hydrocephalus; factors predicting a good prognosis of TBM include timely anti-TB therapy and rational use of steroids. Of these factors, advanced age, consciousness disturbance, low GCS score on admission, and hydrocephalus are independent risk factors of TBM prognosis, but prednisone at ≥ 60 mg/d is a protective factor for TBM. Clinicians should pay attention to the monitoring of clinical manifestations of TBM. For suspicious TBM patients with above risk factors, timely diagnostic anti-TB therapy and steroids therapy are recommended.

Disclosure of conflict of interest

None.

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