Abstract
Background
Previous studies have shown that perioperative blood transfusion increases cancer recurrence and decreases patient survival after resection of primary malignancies. The question arises whether this association also exists in patients with already disseminated disease undergoing surgery for metastatic long-bone fractures.
Purposes
We sought to determine whether perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion is associated with decreased survival after operative treatment of long-bone metastatic fractures after accounting for clinical, laboratory, and treatment factors. Secondarily, we aimed to identify potential factors that are associated with decreased survival.
Methods
We included 789 patients in our retrospective study who underwent surgery at two institutions for a pathologic or impending metastatic long-bone fracture. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model analysis to assess the relationship of perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion with survival, and accounted for patient age, sex, comorbidities, BMI, tumor type, fracture type and location, presence of other bone and visceral metastases, previous radiotherapy and systemic therapy, preoperative embolization, preoperative hemoglobin level, treatment type, anesthesia time, blood loss, duration of hospital admission, year of surgery, and hospital.
Results
Considering transfusion as an “exposure,” and comparing patients who received transfusions with those who did not, we found that blood transfusion was not associated with decreased survival after accounting for all explanatory variables (hazard ratio [HR] 1.06; 95% CI, 0.87–1.30; p = 0.57). Evaluating transfusion in terms of dose-response, we found that patients who received more transfusions had lower survival compared with those who had fewer transfusions after accounting for all explanatory variables (HR per unit of blood transfused, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.02–1.12; p = 0.005). We found that age (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01–1.02; p < 0.001), comorbidity status (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01–1.10; p = 0.014), duration of hospital stay (HR, 1.02; 95% CI 1.00–1.03; p = 0.021), tumor type (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.44–2.03; p < 0.001), and visceral metastases (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.34–1.88; p < 0.001) were independently associated with survival.
Conclusion
We found that exposure to perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion does not decrease survival, with the numbers available. However, our sample size might have been insufficient to reveal a small but potentially relevant effect. Our results do suggest a dose-response relationship; patients who received more transfusions had lower survival compared with those with fewer transfusions. Risk of death increased by 7% per unit of blood transfused.
Level of Evidence
Level III, prognostic study.
Electronic supplementary material
The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s11999-015-4167-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Introduction
Perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion has been associated with tumor recurrence and decreased survival in patients with numerous primary malignancies, including colon, esophageal, hepatic, bladder, and endometrial cancers [1, 15, 23, 26]. This detrimental effect of blood transfusion is explained by the immunomodulating effects of allogeneic blood transfusions [1, 15, 23, 26]. The immunomodulating effect was first hypothesized in 1973 in a study showing improved graft survival in patients who received allogeneic blood transfusion before kidney transplantation [19]. This led to the idea by Gantt in 1981 [10] that in patients with malignant tumors, blood transfusions would give the tumor “a better chance to survive”. Although the exact mechanism is still unclear [4], several subsequent clinical and laboratory studies confirmed the immunosuppressive effect of blood transfusions in patients with cancer [4, 11, 26].
Approximately 2/3 of patients with metastatic breast or prostate cancer and 1/3 with metastatic lung or gastrointestinal cancer have bone metastases develop [8, 17, 22]. Bone metastatic disease adversely affects quality of life and survival [3, 22], and many patients with bone metastases undergo surgery to treat or prevent a pathological fracture [3, 5, 22]. Blood loss during operative treatment of metastatic fractures can be substantial and blood transfusions frequently are administered [25]. Although studies suggest that transfusions increase the risk of metastasis and death [1, 15, 23, 26], we do not know whether allogeneic blood transfusions influence survival in patients with already disseminated cancer.
We therefore sought to determine whether perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion is associated with decreased patient survival after operative treatment of long-bone metastatic fractures, accounting for clinical, laboratory, and treatment factors. Secondarily, we aimed to identify potential factors associated with decreased survival.
Methods
Our retrospective study was approved by our institutional review board and a waiver of informed consent was obtained. We included all 789 eligible patients with an impending or pathological metastatic long-bone fracture undergoing surgery between 1999 and 2013 at two affiliated university medical centers. Metastatic disease included, in addition to metastases from solid organs, multiple myeloma and lymphoma; we regarded the femur, humerus, tibia, fibula, radius, and ulna as long-bones. Medical records of patients with a billing or diagnostic code for a pathological long-bone fracture or prophylactic treatment of an impending fracture were reviewed to assess eligibility (Appendix 1. Supplemental material is available with the online version of CORR®). Exclusion criteria were: (1) revision procedures; (2) metastatic involvement of the acetabulum or pelvis requiring additional reconstruction; (3) metastatic fractures in multiple bones requiring surgery; and (4) operative treatment other than endoprosthetic reconstruction, intramedullary nailing, plate-screw fixation, and dynamic hip screw, or a combination thereof.
The decision to operate and the operative strategy were based on estimated survival, location and size of the metastatic lesion, primary tumor type, level of disability, and pain. Postoperative care and rehabilitation varied among patients owing to disease severity.
Survival was our primary outcome measure. We used the Social Security Death Index (a database of death records created from the United States Social Security Administration) throughout February 24, 2014 to establish date of death [12]. February 24, 2014 was considered the final moment of followup for assessment of the outcome. Six hundred thirty-seven patients (81%) were deceased by the final moment of followup.
We defined perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion as transfusion of packed red blood cells within 7 days before until 7 days after surgery. Transfusion volume was expressed as the number of units transfused; one unit of blood contains approximately 330 mL but can vary from 300 mL to 360 mL (the hematocrit per unit of blood can vary from 55% to 58%). Patients in the “no transfusion” group either had no perioperative transfusion or only autologous blood transfusion. We did not account for transfusion of other blood products, including fresh frozen plasma or platelets. Seventy percent (914 of 1298) of the packed red blood cells transfused in this study were leukoreduced (leucocytes removed from packed red blood cells). We found no difference in survival between patients who received only leukoreduced blood units (n = 288) and patients who received at least one nonleukoreduced blood unit (n = 155) (p = 0.68, by log-rank analysis). Transfusion guidelines in both hospitals did not change during our study period. The blood transfusion threshold guidelines at one hospital (Hospital 1) during the 15-year study period were: hematocrit less than 24% for patients younger than 40 years; less than 27% for patients between 40 and 60 years old; and less than 30% for patients 60 years or older. At the other hospital (Hospital 2), the hematocrit thresholds used were: 26% for patients with cancer, who were pregnant, or who had preoperative anemia; 30% for patients with acute coronary syndrome or major thoracic surgery; and 21% for patients who were normovolemic and nonbleeding for which the previously mentioned thresholds did not apply. Adherence to these transfusion guidelines was not documented; however, we assessed the trigger for transfusion with time and graphed pretransfusion hematocrit levels (Fig. 1). Linear regression analysis showed no change in patient hematocrit level resulting in transfusion with time (p = 0.12).
Fig. 1.
The change in hematocrit level triggering perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion in our cohort with time is shown. The decrease was not significant as assessed using linear regression analysis (p = 0.12). The 95% CIs are indicated in gray. The hematocrit to hemoglobin ratio was approximately 3:1.
We measured the following explanatory patient variables: age at time of surgery, sex, comorbidity status, BMI in kg/m2, primary tumor type, fracture type, fracture location, presence of other bone metastatic lesions, presence of visceral metastases, previous local radiotherapy, previous systemic therapy, preoperative embolization of the tumor, preoperative hemoglobin level, operative treatment type, anesthesia time in minutes, total estimated blood loss during surgery in mL, duration of hospital admission in days, year of surgery, and hospital (1 or 2).
Patient comorbidity status was assessed using the modified Charlson Comorbidity Index [6, 20], which provides a score ranging from 0 to 24, with a higher score representing more severe comorbidity status, based on 12 weighted comorbidities [20]. We determined the modified Charlson Comorbidity Index through a previously described algorithm based on International Classification of Diseases, 9th revision (ICD9) codes given to the patient before the day of surgery (Appendix 2. Supplemental material is available with the online version of CORR®) [9, 21, 24].
Based on the existing literature, we categorized primary tumor type into relatively good prognosis (breast, kidney, prostate, thyroid, myeloma, and lymphoma) and poor prognosis (all other tumor types) [2, 13, 18].
Fracture type was impending or pathological. Impending fractures were defined as a destructive bone lesion with no visible fracture line, loss of height, rotation, or angulation. The degree of destruction and intractable pain did mandate, in the surgeon’s opinion, operative treatment to preclude a pathological fracture.
We extracted the presence of other bone metastatic lesions from bone scans, CT scans, and other imaging reports, and categorized combined results into either multiple- or single-bone metastatic lesion(s). The presence of visceral metastases was derived from CT and positron emission tomography reports. We regarded lung, liver, and brain metastases as visceral metastases.
We defined previous local radiotherapy as radiotherapy to the area of surgery, and previous systemic therapy as any type of hormonal therapy, immunotherapy, or chemotherapy for the primary tumor.
Preoperative embolization was performed in 21 cases, of which most were renal cell carcinomas (15 of 20 [75%]), to reduce tumor vascularity and decrease intraoperative blood loss.
Preoperative hemoglobin was extracted when measured within 7 days before surgery; we used the last available hemoglobin measurement before surgery.
Types of operative treatment were endoprosthetic reconstruction, intramedullary nailing, plate-screw fixation, or dynamic hip screw.
We considered anesthesia time as a surrogate marker for operative treatment time and measured this time in minutes from the moment the patient entered the operating room until the patient left the operating room.
Statistical Analysis
Variables are presented as frequencies with percentages for categoric variables and median with interquartile range (IQR) for continuous variables.
Bivariate analysis was used to compare explanatory variables between the no transfusion group (no exposure) and the perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion group (exposure) by Fisher’s exact test for categoric variables and Mann-Whitney U test (also known as the rank-sum test) for continuous variables. We used nonparametric analysis for continuous variables as visual inspection of histograms suggested nonnormal distributions.
Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to assess the relationship of perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion with survival, adjusted for all explanatory variables included in the study. We compared the exposure with the no exposure group, and assessed a dose-response relationship. Hazard ratios (HRs)—the relative likelihood of death in the exposure group versus the no exposure group and per unit of blood transfused—with 95% CIs were provided to quantify the association with survival. To preclude overfitting of the model, we reduced the number of variables by including year of surgery as a continuous variable and categorized location of the fracture into upper or lower extremity. We used multiple imputation for missing values (number of imputations was set to 40; ie, the missing values were 40 times replaced by values imputed based on all other explanatory variables): hemoglobin level was missing in 49 of 789 (6.2%) cases, total estimated blood loss was missing in 117 of 789 (15%) cases, anesthesia time was missing in 85 of 789 (11%) cases, and BMI was missing in 179 of 789 (23%) cases. A two-tailed p value less than 0.05 was considered significant; all statistical analyses were performed using Stata® 13.0 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX, USA).
Study patients included 351 (44%) men and 438 (56%) women, with a median age of 64 years (IQR, 54–72; Table 1). Median preoperative hemoglobin was 11 g/dL (available for 740 patients; IQR, 10–12) and median perioperative estimated blood loss was 200 mL (available for 672 patients; IQR, 100–400). There were 341 (43%) impending and 448 (57%) pathological fractures. Most fractures were in the femur (574 of 789; 73%) and humerus (182 of 789; 23%). The five most common primary tumor types were lung (191 of 789; 24%), breast (181 of 789; 23%), myeloma (116 of 789; 15%), kidney (74 of 789; 9.4%), and prostate (45 of 789; 5.7%; Table 2). The median number of allogeneic blood units transfused among patients (443 of 789 patients; 56%) who received a transfusion was two (IQR, 2–4; range, 1–15). Three hundred forty-six (44%) patients did not have a perioperative transfusion. Median overall survival was 254 days (95% CI, 221–288) and 42% of the patients survived 1 year (331 of 789).
Table 1.
Patient- and treatment characteristics for no transfusion group and allogeneic transfusion group (n = 789)
| Variable | No transfusion (no exposure) (n = 346) Median (interquartile range) |
Perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion* (exposure) (n = 443) Median (interquartile range) |
p value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Age (years) | 62 (53–70) | 64 (55–73) | 0.025§ |
| Modified Charlson Comorbidity Index | 6 (6–7) | 6 (6–8) | < 0.001§ |
| Preoperative hemoglobin level (g/dL†) | 12 (11–13) | 11 (10–12) | < 0.001§ |
| Total estimated blood loss during surgery (mL†) | 200 (100–300) | 300 (150–500) | < 0.001§ |
| Anesthesia time (minutes†) | 185 (153–220) | 198 (165–236) | < 0.001§ |
| Duration of hospital admission (days) | 5 (3–7) | 7 (5–11) | < 0.001§ |
| BMI (kg/m2)† | 27 (24–31) | 26 (22–29) | < 0.001§ |
| n (%) | n (%) | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sex | |||
| Men | 180 (51) | 171 (49) | < 0.001§ |
| Women | 166 (38) | 272 (62) | |
| Primary tumor type‡ | |||
| Good prognosis | 186 (40) | 281 (60) | 0.007§ |
| Poor prognosis | 160 (50) | 162 (50) | |
| Fracture type | |||
| Impending fracture | 178 (52) | 163 (48) | < 0.001§ |
| Pathological fracture | 168 (37.5) | 280 (62.5) | |
| Fracture location | |||
| Femur | 215 (37) | 359 (63) | < 0.001§ |
| Humerus | 113 (62) | 69 (38) | |
| Tibia | 17 (61) | 11 (39) | |
| Radius | 0 (0) | 3 (100) | |
| Ulna | 1 (50) | 1 (50) | |
| Number of bone metastatic lesions | |||
| Single | 103 (55) | 84 (45) | < 0.001§ |
| Multiple | 243 (40) | 359 (60) | |
| Visceral metastases | |||
| No | 195 (47) | 224 (53) | 0.114 |
| Yes (lung, liver, or brain) | 151 (41) | 219 (59) | |
| Previous local radiotherapy | |||
| No | 282 (44) | 359 (56) | 0.927 |
| Yes | 64 (43) | 84 (57) | |
| Previous systemic therapy | |||
| No | 148 (49) | 152 (51) | 0.018§ |
| Yes | 198 (40) | 291 (60) | |
| Preoperative embolization of tumor | |||
| No | 338 (44) | 431 (56) | 0.822 |
| Yes | 8 (40) | 12 (60) | |
| Operative treatment type | |||
| Intramedullary nailing | 221 (47) | 246 (53) | < 0.001§ |
| Endoprosthetic reconstruction | 55 (30) | 129 (70) | |
| Plate-screw fixation | 61 (49) | 63 (51) | |
| Dynamic hip screw | 9 (64) | 5 (36) | |
| Year | |||
| 1999–2003 | 88 (39) | 138 (61) | 0.128 |
| 2004–2008 | 105 (43) | 137 (57) | |
| 2009–2013 | 153 (48) | 168 (52) | |
| Hospital# | |||
| Hospital 1 | 153 (45) | 188 (55) | 0.664 |
| Hospital 2 | 193 (43) | 255 (57) | |
§p < 0.05;*allogeneic blood transfusion within 7 days before until 7 days after surgery;†preoperative hemoglobin level was available for 740 patients (309 in no transfusion group, 431 in transfusion group), total estimated blood loss in 672 patients (293 in no transfusion group, 379 in transfusion group), anesthesia time for 704 patients (315 in no transfusion group, 389 in transfusion group), and BMI for 610 patients (284 in no transfusion group, 326 in transfusion group);‡primary tumor type with good prognosis includes breast, kidney, prostate, thyroid, myeloma and lymphoma and with poor prognosis includes all other tumor types; # see text for transfusion guidelines per hospital.
Table 2.
Origin of primary tumors (n = 789)
| Tumor distribution | Number (%) |
|---|---|
| Lung | 191 (24) |
| Breast | 181 (23) |
| Myeloma | 116 (15) |
| Kidney | 74 (9.4) |
| Prostate | 45 (5.7) |
| Lymphoma | 36 (4.6) |
| Melanoma | 20 (2.5) |
| Colorectal | 16 (2.0) |
| Esophagus | 15 (1.9) |
| Thyroid | 15 (1.9) |
| Hepatocellular | 11 (1.4) |
| Other† | 37 (4.7) |
| Unknown | 32 (4.1) |
†Bladder (n = 8), neuroendocrine (n = 6), salivary gland (n = 5), adenocarcinoma of unknown origin (n = 5), pancreas (n = 4), ovaries (n = 4), stomach (n = 1), vulva (n = 2), and endometrium (n = 2).
Factors associated with perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion in bivariate analyses included older age (p = 0.025), more severe comorbidity status (p < 0.001), lower preoperative hemoglobin level (p < 0.001), more blood loss during surgery (p < 0.001), longer anesthesia time (p < 0.001), longer hospital stay (p < 0.001), lower BMI (p < 0.001), female sex (p < 0.001), primary tumor type with relatively good prognosis (p = 0.007), pathological fracture (p < 0.001), multiple metastatic bone lesions (p < 0.001), and previous systemic therapy (p = 0.018; Table 1). Furthermore, there was a difference between the no transfusion and the transfusion groups among location of the fracture (p < 0.001) and type of operative treatment (p < 0.001; Table 1).
Results
Association of Transfusion with Survival
Considering transfusion as an exposure and comparing patients who received transfusions with those who did not, we found that blood transfusion was not associated with decreased survival after surgery of a long-bone metastasis. The HR after accounting for all explanatory variables in multivariable Cox regression analysis was 1.06 with a 95% CI of 0.87 to 1.30 (p = 0.57), indicating no difference in survival between patients exposed to blood transfusions and those who were not exposed (Table 3).
Table 3.
Multivariate Cox regression analysis assessing the influence of perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion and the number of units transfused on survival
| Blood transfusion (exposure/no exposure)* | Blood transfusion (per unit transfused)* | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard error | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | p value | Standard error | Hazard ratio (95% CI) | p value | |
| Age (years) | 0.004 | 1.016 (1.009–1.023)§ | < 0.001§ | 0.004 | 1.015 (1.008–1.022)§ | < 0.001§ |
| Modified Charlson Comorbidity Index | 0.024 | 1.054 (1.009–1.102)§ | 0.019§ | 0.024 | 1.057 (1.011–1.105)§ | 0.014§ |
| Preoperative hemoglobin level (g/dL†) | 0.028 | 0.937 (0.884–0.994)§ | 0.031§ | 0.027 | 0.950 (0.898–1.004) | 0.073 |
| Total estimated blood loss during surgery (mL†) | < 0.001 | 1.000 (1.000–1.000) | 0.521 | <0.001 | 1.000 (0.999–1.000) | 0.175 |
| Anesthesia time (minutes†) | < 0.001 | 1.002 (1.000–1.003) | 0.063 | <0.001 | 1.001 (1.000–1.003) | 0.074 |
| Duration of hospital admission (days) | 0.007 | 1.021 (1.007–1.036)§ | 0.003§ | 0.008 | 1.017 (1.003–1.032)§ | 0.021§ |
| BMI (kg/m2†) | 0.009 | 0.993 (0.976–1.010) | 0.421 | 0.009 | 0.994 (0.977–1.011) | 0.462 |
| Male sex | 0.089 | 1.035 (0.874–1.225) | 0.690 | 0.088 | 1.044 (0.884–1.232) | 0.612 |
| Poor prognosis tumor type‡ | 0.147 | 1.694 (1.429–2.008)§ | < 0.001§ | 0.148 | 1.713 (1.445–2.029)§ | < 0.001§ |
| Pathological fracture | 0.095 | 1.006 (0.836–1.210) | 0.950 | 0.093 | 0.983 (0.818–1.183) | 0.859 |
| Lower extremity | 0.108 | 0.991 (0.800–1.227) | 0.933 | 0.104 | 0.967 (0.783–1.195) | 0.758 |
| Other bone metastatic lesions | 0.123 | 1.205 (0.987–1.471) | 0.067 | 0.120 | 1.167 (0.955–1.427) | 0.132 |
| Visceral metastases | 0.138 | 1.584 (1.334–1.880)§ | < 0.001§ | 0.138 | 1.586 (1.337–1.882)§ | < 0.001§ |
| Previous local radiotherapy | 0.114 | 1.094 (0.892–1.341) | 0.389 | 0.114 | 1.097 (0.895–1.345) | 0.371 |
| Previous systemic therapy | 0.099 | 1.055 (0.877–1.226) | 0.571 | 0.098 | 1.042 (0.867–1.252) | 0.661 |
| Preoperative embolization of tumor | 0.301 | 1.153 (0.692–1.922) | 0.584 | 0.280 | 1.068 (0.639–1.786) | 0.801 |
| Operative treatment type | ||||||
| Intramedullary nailing | Reference value | Reference value | Reference value | Reference value | Reference value | Reference value |
| Endoprosthetic reconstruction | 0.124 | 1.126 (0.907–1.397) | 0.283 | 0.124 | 1.135 (0.915–1.408) | 0.251 |
| Plate–screw fixation | 0.145 | 1.029 (0.780–1.358) | 0.838 | 0.142 | 1.010 (0.766–1.331) | 0.946 |
| Dynamic hip screw | 0.267 | 0.788 (0.406–1.533) | 0.483 | 0.283 | 0.834 (0.429–1.620) | 0.592 |
| Year of surgery | 0.010 | 1.011 (0.991–1.031) | 0.295 | 0.010 | 1.014 (0.993–1.034) | 0.187 |
| Hospital 1# | 0.083 | 0.859 (0.711–1.038) | 0.115 | 0.085 | 0.881 (0.729–1.064) | 0.187 |
| Blood transfusion* (exposure versus no exposure) | 0.109 | 1.061 (0.867–1.298) | 0.565 | – | – | – |
| Blood transfusion* (per unit transfused) | – | – | – | 0.026§ | 1.069 (1.020–1.121)§ | 0.005§ |
§p < 0.05; *allogeneic blood transfusion within 7 days before until 7 days after surgery; †preoperative hemoglobin level was available in 740 patients, total estimated blood loss in 672 patients, anesthesia time in 704 patients, and BMI in 610 patients. Missing values were imputed using multiple linear imputation including all variables (the number of imputations was set to 40); ‡primary tumor type with good prognosis includes: breast, kidney, prostate, thyroid, myeloma and lymphoma; #see text for transfusion guidelines per hospital (Hospital 2 is the reference group).
Evaluating transfusion in terms of dose-response, we found that patients who received more transfusions during their skeletal stabilization procedures had poorer survival compared with those who had fewer transfusions. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed an HR of 1.07 (95% CI, 1.02–1.12; p = 0.0051) per unit of blood transfused after accounting for all explanatory variables, meaning a 7% higher risk of death per unit of blood transfused (Table 3).
Risk Factors for Decreased Survival
We found that older age, more severe comorbidity status, longer duration of hospital stay, poor prognosis tumor type, and visceral metastases were associated with decreased survival after accounting for likely confounding variables.
Variables independently associated with decreased survival from the multivariable Cox regression analysis including blood transfusion units as a continuous variable were: age (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.01–1.02; p < 0.001), modified Charlson Comorbidity Index (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.01–1.10; p = 0.014), duration of hospital stay (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 1.00–1.03; p = 0.021), tumor type (HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.44–2.03; p < 0.001), and visceral metastases (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.34–1.88; p < 0.001; Table 3).
Discussion
Perioperative blood transfusion increases cancer recurrence and decreases patient survival after resection of primary malignancies [1, 15, 23, 26]. It is unclear if the same is true for patients with cancer already disseminated to bone. After controlling for likely confounding variables, we found that exposure to perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion was not associated with decreased survival in patients undergoing surgery for metastatic fractures. However, when evaluating a dose-response relationship, we found that patients who received more transfusions had lower survival compared with those with fewer transfusions. Risk of death increased by 7% per unit of blood transfused.
Our study has several limitations. First, with our sample size we found no effect of exposure to blood transfusion on survival; however, a larger sample size might have resulted in a significant difference in survival between patients exposed to blood transfusions and those not exposed. To achieve a power of 0.80 and assuming a similar HR, variability, and covariate correlation, we would have needed 17,058 patients to show a difference in survival between the patients who had blood transfusion and those who did not (with alpha of 0.05). With the current sample size, variability, and covariate correlation, we would have found a difference in survival between the transfusion group and no transfusion group when the hazard ratio exceeded 1.31 (alpha of 0.05 and power of 0.80). The relatively small sample size is a limitation as even a small effect would be clinically relevant; a large sample size might have revealed such a small effect. Second, there were no uniform criteria for operative treatment owing to the retrospective design of the study; however, we see this as a minor limitation as most surgeons used similar approaches during the study period when deciding whether to stabilize a pathological fracture or intervene in the face of an impending fracture. In general, a pathological fracture was stabilized when the patient was expected to live longer than 30 days. An impending fracture was treated surgically when there was pain on loadbearing or in case of substantial bone destruction in a loadbearing bone. Third, although transfusion guidelines did not change during our study period, the exact indication in every patient was not documented; however, we believe this is a minor limitation as we found no change in the hematocrit level during the time that was associated with transfusion. Fourth, we assessed overall and not cancer-specific survival. We could not determine how many of the patients had died from their malignancy as opposed to from other causes; however, as the majority of patients who have skeletal metastases eventually die from their malignancies, we do not believe this is a severe limitation.
We found that allogeneic blood transfusion did not affect survival of patients undergoing surgery for metastatic long-bone fractures with the numbers available. Clausen et al. [7] showed that perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion in patients with spine metastases was not associated with 3-month survival; they found an increased 12-month survival after 1 to 2 units of allogeneic blood transfusion compared with no transfusion (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% CI, 1.0–6.8; p = 0.049) [7]. Increased survival might be explained by a difference in indication for blood transfusion or anatomic site studied, or because of the few confounding factors taken into account (preoperative hemoglobin, age, sex, Tokuhashi score [survival prognostication score], and number of instrumented levels) [7]. Previous studies in visceral metastatic disease have shown a negative effect of perioperative blood transfusion on survival [14, 16]: Katoh et al. [14] found that perioperative transfusion was independently associated with worse survival after resection of stage IV (disseminated disease) colorectal cancer (n = 162) after accounting for clinical and treatment parameters; Margulis et al. [16] reported that survival of patients undergoing cytoreductive nephrectomy for metastatic renal cell carcinoma also was negatively influenced by intraoperative blood transfusion. The decrease in observed survival after perioperative blood transfusions in primary malignancies was not apparent in our study on metastatic long-bone fractures and might be explained by the already widely disseminated disease and poor overall survival, potentially attenuating the effect of blood transfusions.
We found that older age, more severe comorbidity status, longer duration of hospital stay, poor prognosis tumor type, and visceral metastases were associated with decreased patient survival. Results from previous studies support the association of tumor type and visceral metastases with survival [2, 13, 18]. Bauer and Wedin [2] reported a survival rate of 0.30 at 1 year in a retrospective cohort of 241 patients who had surgery for bone metastatic disease; they found decreased survival among patients with a pathological fracture, visceral metastases, multiple bone metastases, and lung cancer. Katagiri et al. [13] reported a survival rate of 0.48 at 1 year in a retrospective cohort of 350 patients with bone metastatic disease. Poor performance status, specific tumor types (hepatocellular, gastric, and lung carcinoma), visceral metastases, previous chemotherapy, and multiple skeletal metastases were risk factors for decreased patient survival. A prospective cohort study by Nathan et al. [18] showed a median survival of 8 months for 191 patients who had surgery for bone metastases. Tumor type, performance status, number of bone metastases, visceral metastases, hemoglobin count, and the surgeon’s estimate of survival were predictors of patient survival. Our results showed an association of age and comorbidity status with survival. These prognostic factors, in addition to those already known, should be considered when estimating life expectancy. Estimated survival is an important factor in the decision to operate and the selection of operative strategy in patients with metastatic bone disease [2, 13, 18]. Future studies should incorporate these factors in prognostication models to improve prediction accuracy.
We found that exposure to perioperative allogeneic blood transfusion does not decrease survival with the numbers available. However, our sample size might have been insufficient to reveal a small but potentially relevant effect. Our results do suggest a dose-response relationship; patients who received more transfusions had lower survival compared with those with fewer transfusions. Risk of death increased by 7% per unit of blood transfused.
Electronic supplementary material
Below is the link to the electronic supplementary material.
Footnotes
One of the authors (SJ) received funding, an amount less than USD 10,000, from the Anna Foundation (Oegstgeest, The Netherlands) and an amount less than USD10,000, from the Michael van Vloten Foundation (Rotterdam, The Netherlands). One author (JS) certifies that he or a member of his family has or may receive payments or benefits, an amount less than USD 10,000, from Stryker (Kalamazoo, MI, USA), and an amount less than USD 10,000, from Biom’up (Saint-Priest, Lyon, France).
All ICMJE Conflict of Interest Forms for authors and Clinical Orthopaedics and Related Research editors and board members are on file with the publication and can be viewed on request.
Each author certifies that his or her institution approved or waived approval for the human protocol for this investigation and that all investigations were conducted in conformity with ethical principles of research.
This work was performed at Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
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