Skip to main content
. 2013 Nov 23;51(1):27–49. doi: 10.1007/s13524-013-0246-9

Table 4.

Changes in life expectancy at age 40 resulting from changes in smoking and obesity (confidence intervals in parentheses)

Changes in Smoking Alone Changes in Obesity Alone Changes in Smoking and Obesity
Year Males Females Males Females Males Females
2015 0.26 –0.03
(0.07, 0.47) (–0.52, 0.46)
2020 0.54 0.04 –0.30 –0.27 0.24 –0.22
(0.33, 0.76) (–0.44, 0.53) (–0.47, –0.15) (–0.39, –0.15) (–0.02, 0.52) (–0.72, 0.28)
2025 0.81 0.15
(0.58, 1.08) (–0.33, 0.63)
2030 1.05 0.32 –0.54 –0.56 0.53 –0.21
(0.78, 1.35) (–0.15, 0.81) (–0.79, –0.30) (–0.81, –0.32) (0.15, 0.90) (–0.72, 0.31)
2035 1.31 0.62
(1.00, 1.67) (0.20, 1.13)
2040 1.54 0.85 –0.73 –0.82 0.83 0.09
(1.18, 1.94) (0.41, 1.38) (–1.04, –0.42) (–1.17, –0.47) (0.37, 1.32) (–0.45, 0.69)