Abstract
Parent-of-origin effects have been pointed out to be one plausible source of the heritability that was unexplained by genome-wide association studies. Here, we consider a case-control mother-child pair design for studying parent-of-origin effects of offspring genes on neonatal/early-life disorders or pregnancy-related conditions. In contrast to the standard case-control design, the case-control mother-child pair design contains valuable parental information and therefore permits powerful assessment of parent-of-origin effects. Suppose the region under study is in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium, inheritance is Mendelian at the diallelic locus under study, there is random mating in the source population, and the SNP under study is not related to risk for the phenotype under study because of linkage disequilibrium (LD) with other SNPs. Using a maximum likelihood method that simultaneously assesses likely parental sources and estimates effect sizes of the two offspring genotypes, we investigate the extent of power increase for testing parent-of-origin effects through the incorporation of genotype data for adjacent markers that are in LD with the test locus. Our method does not need to assume the outcome is rare because it exploits supplementary information on phenotype prevalence. Analysis with simulated SNP data indicates that incorporating genotype data for adjacent markers greatly help recover the parent-of-origin information. This recovery can sometimes substantially improve statistical power for detecting parent-of-origin effects. We demonstrate our method by examining parent-of-origin effects of the gene PPARGC1A on low birth weight using data from 636 mother-child pairs in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study.
Keywords: case-control study, imprinting, mother-child pair data, parent-of-origin effect
Introduction
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have been successful in identifying common genetic variants that are associated with complex human traits. However, these newly identified variants generally have small effect sizes and thus can only explain a small proportion of genetic heritability [Eichler et al., 2010]. In the effort to understand this missing heritability, genetic effects related to parent-of-origin, such as imprinting effects or maternal genetic effects beyond the transmitted gene copy, have recently become a research focus [e.g., Kong et al., 2009]. Imprinting is an epigenetic phenomenon where the two gene copies at a locus have unequal expression and thus have different contributions to a phenotype. For autosomal genes, this asymmetry can arise through a mechanism called imprinting, where the effect of a gene copy depends on whether it was inherited from the father or from the mother. In other words, the parent of origin acts as an effect modifier for the allele effect [Dudbridge, 2008]. Imprinted genes are known to play an important role in certain neonatal disorders, such as Beckwith-Wiedemann, Prader-Willi, and Angelman syndromes [e.g., Falls et al., 1999]. Evidence has been emerging that fetal imprinted genes may also be involved in the development of maternal pregnancy-related conditions [See e.g., Kanayama et al., 2003; Petry et al., 2007; Saftlas et al., 2005; Wangler et al., 2005].
To date, most studies of parent-of-origin effects used traditional family-based designs, which provide most of the required parental-source information for children's alleles. But it can be relatively expensive to recruit families. The case-control design has been popularly used for GWAS because of its high cost-effectiveness [Risch and Merikangas, 1996]. Ordinary case-control data, however, does not provide parental information and thus does not permit the evaluation of parent-of-origin effects. Here, we consider an intermediate solution that recruits mother-child pairs in the case-control study, which we term as case-control mother-child design. This design calls for collecting phenotype data for pairs of cases and controls, where the case can either be the mother (e.g., for a pregnancy complication) or the child (e.g., for a birth defect) depending on the phenotype of interest, and one genotypes both the mother and child. Because maternal genotype data contains partial parental source information [Weinberg and Shi, 2009], this design allows one to assess parent-of-origin effects of children's genes. This design allows estimation and testing of separate and joint effects of both maternal and child genomes on either children's outcomes or pregnancy-related outcomes in mothers [Weinberg and Umbach, 2005]. Investigating parent-of-origin effects with mother-child pair data has been previously studied in the literature [See e.g., Ainsworth et al., 2011; Weinberg and Shi, 2009], with a focus on single SNP approaches that apply log-linear models for the estimation of relative risks.
In this work, we investigate the improvement in the power of the SNP-based method that can be achieved by incorporating genotype data for loci in linkage disequilibrium (LD) with the test locus in a maximum likelihood method. The genotype data for nearby loci can help identify parental sources of children's alleles [Browning and Browning, 2009; Kong et al., 2009], thereby improving the precision of estimation and the power of testing the parent-of-origin effect parameter. We develop an accompanying Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm to maximize the likelihood. We assume that information is available on the total numbers of cases and controls in the cohort that would be available for case and control recruitment. This supplemented case-control design conforms to typical real settings for studying pregnancy-related disorders, owing to their relatively high incidence (e.g., the incidence of premature birth is around 12% in the United States). In our analysis of low birth weight in the Jerusalem Perinatal Study (JPS; Section “Analyzing Parent-of-Origin Effects of the Gene PPARGC1A on Low Birth Weight”), the total numbers of newborn babies who had normal or low birth weight were known for inclusion in the analysis.
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. We present the logistic regression model for analysis and a single SNP-based maximum likelihood method for the estimation and testing of parent-of-origin effects of children's genes in Section “Methods.” In Section “Maximum Likelihood Method that Exploits Genotype Data of Nearby Markers via Haplotypes,” we describe a maximum likelihood method that improves on the single-SNP method by exploiting genotype data for nearby markers in LD with the test locus. Results from extensive simulation studies are presented in Section “Simulation Studies” to assess the performance of our proposed method. In Section “Analyzing Parent-of-Origin Effects of the Gene PPARGC1A on Low Birth Weight,” we apply the proposed method to explore possible parent-of-origin effects of the gene PPARGC1A on low birth weight, using data from the JPS. We conclude with discussion in Section “Discussion.”
Methods
Without loss of generality, we assume a diallelic locus with a minor allele “a” and a wild-type allele “A.” This locus may affect the phenotype status of an individual, which is denoted as Y and takes values “1” or “0”, depending on the presence or absence of the phenotype, respectively. Let pa be the minor allele frequency (MAF). The child genotype gc consists of two alleles, and , which were inherited from the mother and father, respectively. Next, we refer to the ordered pair (, ) as the sourced genotype. For example, (A, a) refers to genotype Aa with A inherited from the mother and a from the father. Let gm, gp, and gc denote the maternal, paternal, and child genotype, respectively. Numbers “0,” “1,” and “2” are used to represent genotypes AA, Aa, and aa in the mathematical equations below.
A Logistic Regression Model for Parent-of-Origin Effects
The logistic regression model has been commonly used for analyzing case-control genetic association studies and we use it to quantify a parent-of-origin effect of genes on the phenotype. For a rare outcome, this is equivalent to previous log-linear models [Ainsworth et al., 2011; Weinberg and Shi, 2009]. The following model allows maternal effects at the same locus, which is important since maternal effects could confound offspring genetic effects:
Here, indicator function “I(statement)” is 1 if the statement is true and 0 otherwise, β1 is the log odds ratio (OR) parameter(s) that quantifies the maternal genetic effect, γ1 and γ2 are the respective log OR parameters that quantify effects of single maternally and paternally inherited alleles, and γ3 is the log OR parameter that quantifies the departure of the effects of the two alleles from an additive model. The numerical coding f(gm) for the maternal genotype can take different forms. For example, it can be “co-dominant,” with two indicator functions, I(gm = 1) and I(gm = 2), with β1 becoming a vector of parameters. A reformulation of the above model can help clarify the nature of the parent-of-origin effect. The above model can be rewritten as follows:
| (1) |
Under this model, the parent-of-origin effect is quantified as β3, and the null hypothesis of no parent-of-origin effect is formulated as β3 = 0. The parameter corresponding to the unsourced child genotype, β2, partials out the additive effect of the two alleles. The parent-of-origin parameter β3 is one-half of the natural logarithm of the OR for (a, A) divided by the OR for (A, a). Listed in Table 1 below are the possible sourced offspring genotypes inferred from all seven combinations of mother-child genotype pairs, their population distributions, and the corresponding log ORs under model (1). Model (1) can be modified to use a log link in place of the logistic link, in which case one is estimating risk ratios (and ratios of risk ratios for assessing imprinting).
Table 1.
Joint distribution of mother-child genotypes and log ORs of offspring sourced genotype according to Model (1)
| Observed |
Inferred | Probability | log OR of | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| gm | gc | |||
| AA * | AA | (A, A) | (1 - pa)3 | 0 |
| Aa | (A, a) | pa (1 - pa)2 | β2 - β3 | |
| Aa | AA | (A, A) | pa (1 - pa)2 | 0 |
| Aa | (A,a) | pa2 (1 - pa) | β2 - β3 | |
| (a, A) | pa (1 - pa)2 | β2 + β3 | ||
| aa | aa | (a, a) | pa2 (1 - pa) | 2 β2 + γ3 |
| Aa | (a, A) | pa2 (1 - pa) | β2 + β3 | |
| aa | ( a, a) | pa 3 | 2 β2 + γ3 | |
AA, Aa,and aa are coded as “0”, “1”, and “2”, respectively.
Under model (1), one can test whether the offspring genotype gc is associated with the phenotype Y, by formulating the null hypothesis as β2 = β3 = γ3 = 0. But one would not test hypothesis β2 = 0, for the same reason that one would not test the genetic main effect in the presence of gene-environment interactions. When association of individual maternal or paternal allele is of interest, it is easier to formulate the null hypothesis as γ1 = 0 or γ2 = 0 in the first model. The single parameter β3 in model (1) allows more explicit evaluation of the parent-of-origin effect. Hereafter, we will denote β = (β0, β1, β2, β3, γ3) as the vector of log OR parameters of interest.
Likelihood Function for the Case-Control Mother-Child Pair Data at the Test Locus
We consider maximum likelihood methods for the estimation and testing of parent-of-origin effects with case-control mother-child pair data, assuming penetrance model (1). We assume that we know or can approximate N1 and N0, the respective total numbers of mother/child pairs who are eligible for selection. Let n1 and n0 be the respective numbers of sampled case and control mother-child pairs. The obvious challenge for fitting the aforementioned model is that the parental origin of the two alleles is unknown for heterozygous children born to heterozygous mothers, as shown in Table 1. That is, if both gm and gc are equal to 1, one cannot infer whether the sourced offspring genotype is (A, a) or (a, A). Simply ignoring these pairs may lead to bias and loss of efficiency [See, e.g., Weinberg, 1999] and thus is not desirable. We consider a maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method for estimating the OR parameters of interest. To this end, we further assume random mating, Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE), and Mendelian transmission in the parental population, such that the joint probability of maternal and child's genotypes p(gm, gc) is a function of the MAF, pa (Table 1). We use θ to denote the logit of pa. Then, neglecting combinatorics, the retrospective likelihood function based on the observed case-control data can be written as
| (2) |
where
This likelihood has a similar form as that proposed in Dudbridge [2008] for analyzing SNP and haplotype effects with incomplete genotype data from nuclear families and unrelated subjects. Note that except when both the mother and child are heterozygous, the two alleles and are known (Table 1) and therefore . If both the mother and child are heterozygous, then
We obtain the MLE of parameters β by maximizing the likelihood function (2) with respect to β and θ. The variance-covariance matrix of the MLE for (β, θ) can be estimated as the inverse of the observed information matrix. The parent-of-origin effect can be assessed using the standard Wald or a likelihood ratio test. Provided that the maternal effect is correctly modeled, the test statistic asymptotically follows a distribution under the null hypothesis. Careful attention must be paid to the modeling of the maternal genetic effect, i.e., the coding of f(gm), to ensure that the test for a parent-of-origin effect is valid. The safest approach is to allow a two-parameter, co-dominant modeling for the maternal effect.
Paternal genotype data, if available, can be exploited to increase the power of testing parent-of-origin effects. Paternal genotype data help resolve the parental origin of off-spring alleles in heterozygous mother-child pairs, and can also help improve the precision of estimating the parameter θ. Moreover, paternal genotypes can be incorporated into the likelihood-based analysis to improve the efficiency of estimating the association parameter β. This can be achieved simply by replacing the probability pθ (gm, gc) in L1 with pθ (gm, gc, gp). Parental origins of most offspring genotypes in mother-father-child trios can be determined except when all three are heterozygous [Weinberg et al., 1998] (also see Supplementary Table S4). In that case, and are equally likely to be the minor allele in the source population, and therefore, the conditional probability of the phenotype, p(y | gm = gc = gp = 1), is equal to the average of the two probabilities, p(y | gm = gc = gp = 1, = a) and p(y | gm = gc = gp = 1, = A).
Maximum Likelihood Method That Exploits Genotype Data of Nearby Markers via Haplotypes
In this section, we propose to improve power of the SNP-based likelihood method in Section “Methods” by incorporating genotype data for markers that are near to the test locus. When both the mother and child are heterozygous at the test locus, haplotypes in the genomic region spanned by the test locus and nearby markers in LD with it can help identify the parental origin at the test locus [Browning and Browning, 2009; Kong et al., 2009]. For instance, consider a simple situation where genotype data are also available for a nearby diallelic marker with alleles B and b. Suppose the B/b locus is close enough that we can safely assume the rate of recombination between A/a and B/b in a single meiosis is zero. Assume that possible haplotypes in the population are known to be AB, Ab, and aB. Then, if the maternal bilocus genotype is {Aa, BB} and the child's genotype is {Aa, bB}, the mother's haplotypes must be AB–aB, and the child inherited either (aB, Ab) or (AB, ab) from the parents. Since the latter pair does not occur in the population, the child's sourced genotype can be inferred as (, ) = (a, A). Parental source can be similarly inferred for maternal genotype {Aa, Bb} and child genotype {Aa, BB}. This simple example demonstrates that genotype data for nearby marker loci can help identify parental origins of children's alleles via haplotypes. Readers are referred to Browning and Browning [2011] for more comprehensive discussions of this idea. Multiple markers in a genomic region, as haplotype tagging SNPs, are often genotyped in practice. Therefore, we propose to incorporate marker genotype data into the maximum likelihood method to increase the efficiency of parameter estimation.
Let Gm = {gm, , . . . , } and Gc = {gc, , . . . , } denote the maternal and offspring genotypes at the test locus and K – 1 nearby markers, where the first component refers to the test locus. We assume the K markers are close enough together that the probability of a recombination event in a single meiotic division is effectively 0. Let {h1, h2, . . . , hS} denote the S possible haplotypes in the genomic region spanned by the K loci, and let π = (π1, π2, . . . , πS), with , denote the corresponding haplotype frequencies, which typically are unknown. Next, we refer to the haplotype pair for a mother, , as the maternal diplotype, and the ordered haplotype pair for a child, (, ), as the sourced offspring diplotype. Here the subscripts i, j, and l refer to the ith, jth, and lth haplotypes in the haplotype set {h1, h2, . . . ,hS}, respectively, and refers to the maternally inherited copy so that w = i or w = j. To account for haplotype phase ambiguity, as has been done for haplotype-based association analysis [e.g., Chen et al., 2004; Chen and Chatterjee, 2006; Dudbridge, 2008; Epstein and Satten, 2003], we compute the likelihood by summing over individual likelihoods determined by possible diplotypes weighted by the diplotype probabilities. We assign probabilities to possible diplotypes under HWE, p(hihj) = 2I(i≠j)πiπj.
We propose to jointly estimate the association parameters in model (1), haplotype frequencies π, and the parental origin of children's alleles using the likelihood function below based on all data (Y, Gm, Gc). Let θ = (θ1, θ2, . . . , θS–1) be the polytomous logistic reparameterization of haplotype frequencies π = (π1, π2, . . . , πS), where for 1 ≤ s ≤ S – 1, and . Let denote the set of diplotypes that are compatible with the genotype of the uth mother, , and let denote the set of sourced diplotypes that are compatible with the genotype of the uth child, . Let be the collection of all distinct phased maternal and sourced offspring haplotype pairs that are simultaneously compatible with the mother-child pair with genotype (Gm, Gc). We next make the assumption that the risk of the phenotype depends on the genotype at the test locus, and once we condition on the test locus, the risk does not depend on the genotype of any nearby loci. This assumption is equivalent to saying that the nearby SNPs serve only to provide information related to the parental source for the test SNP. The likelihood function can then be written as follows:
| (3) |
Here, under HWE, random mating, and Mendelian inheritance, the joint probability is equal to πi πj πl. The parental origin of the two child's alleles at the test locus can be directly obtained from the sourced child's haplotype pair (). As mentioned above, the haplotype phase helps improve the resolution for identifying parental sources if the number of possible haplotypes in the population is small. The consequent statistical inference of the parent-of-origin effect is similar to that in Subsection “Likelihood Function for the Case-Control Mother-Child Pair Data at the Test Locus,” with the single SNP-based likelihood replaced by the above likelihood that incorporates the multilocus genotype data. Unknown parameters now include the reparameterized haplotype frequencies θ in addition to the association parameters β in model (1).
Direct maximization of L3 involves a relatively high-dimensional optimization problem because the number of possible haplotypes in the population, S, could be large. We thus prefer to maximize L3 via an iterative EM algorithm, in line with Excoffier and Slatkin [1995] and Epstein and Satten [2003]. It is implemented by iterating the following two steps. In step 1, we estimate the probability of each distinct haplotype. Let denote the number of copies of haplotype hs in , the two maternal haplotypes and the paternally inherited offspring haplotype. Number takes values 0, 1, 2, or 3. Define as the estimated penetrance function by replacing β with its estimate at the r – 1st iteration, . Starting values of haplotype frequencies can be obtained in two steps: first apply the EM algorithm [Excoffier and Slatkin, 1995] separately to the genotype data of case and control mothers; then combine the two sets of estimates using the inverse probability weighted method that accounts for case-control sampling (See Section “Analyzing Parent-of-Origin Effects of the Gene PPARGC1A on Low Birth Weight” for more details). In the E-step at the rth iteration, the expected number for a case or control with genotype data available is computed as
and that for a subject who only has phenotype data available is computed as
Therefore, the estimated frequency for the sth haplotype is updated at the rth step using the following formula:
where 3(N1 + N0) is the total number of haplotype copies in N1 + N0 pairs. In the M-step, with π being fixed at , we maximize the likelihood function L3 with respect to β to obtain the updated estimate . The final estimates are those obtained when the algorithm converges.
In general, genotype data for markers in LD with the test locus can help infer but cannot completely resolve the uncertain parental origin of the child's alleles at the test locus. For example, assuming both the mother and child are heterozygous at the test locus, if the diplotype configurations for both of them are hihj (i≠j), the parental origin of the child's alleles will remain ambiguous. Suppose that the minor allele a resides on haplotype hi but not on haplotype hj. Then the probability that a was inherited from the mother is πj/(πi + πj). However, when the number of possible haplotypes S in the population is small compared to the theoretical number 2K, the chance of having this source ambiguity becomes small, and we potentially gain power from the successfully resolved subjects. On the other hand, the increased number of nuisance haplotype frequency parameters can lead to a loss of power. We expect that the trade-off between the information loss due to the need to estimate haplotype frequencies balanced against the improvement in the resolution of parental source is relevant to the power of our haplotype-based likelihood method.
Simulation Studies
We designed simulation studies to evaluate the performance of the proposed likelihood method, with a focus on the power of likelihood ratio tests for detecting parent-of-origin effects. We first considered the simple situation when genotype data are available only for the test locus. We then assessed the extent of power improvement offered by incorporating marker genotype data. Lastly, we investigated the robustness of the proposed method to violations of the assumptions of HWE and random mating.
Design of Simulation Studies
Summarized in Table 2 are scenarios we considered in our simulation studies. In each scenario, we first generated N = 10,000 maternal diplotypes, , and N = 10,000 paternal diplotypes under HWE based on random sampling using prespecified haplotype frequencies. When the simulation was conducted based on one single SNP, and refer to single alleles, which were randomly generated according to their respective frequencies. Each child's diplotype was generated by randomly sampling one maternal and one paternal haplotype. The phenotype Y was then generated based on model (1). We then randomly sampled n0 = 200 control triads (Y = 0) and n1 = 200 case triads (Y = 1).
Table 2.
Parameter settings used in simulation studies
| Scenario | Range | Parameters |
Assumptions | Number of replicates | Discussion section | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β 0 | exp β1 | exp β2 | exp β3 | pa | |||||
| A | Single SNP | −4.0~−3.0* | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, 2.0 | 0.05~0.45 | HWE + RM** | 5,000 | Subsection “Performance of SNP-Based Methods p-snp and t-snp” |
| B | GPX1*** | −3.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, 2.0 | See Supplementary Table S1 | HWE + RM | 5,000/1,000**** | Subsection “Performance of p-hap Based on Simulated Multi-Locus Genotype Data in Region GPX1” |
| C | Two markers | −3.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.20, 0.30 | HWE + RM | 1,000 | Subsection “Investigating the Influence of LD on the Power Gain of p-hap” |
| D | Single SNP | −4.0~−3.0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.10~0.40 | RM | 10,000 | Subsection “Robustness to Violation of HWE” |
We varied β0 so that the population prevalence of the phenotype was in the range of 6~7%.
HWE: Hardy-Weinberg Equilibrium in the parental population. RM: Random Mating.
A five-locus genomic region based on published haplotype data, with seven reconstructed haplotypes from the genotype data (See Subsection “Performance of p-hap Based on Simulated Multi-Locus Genotype Data in Region GPX1”).
5,000 for estimating type I error rates and 1,000 for power.
We considered three likelihood methods: the likelihood method based on the mother-child pair genotype data for the test locus, as described above in Subsection “Likelihood Function for the Case-Control Mother-Child Pair Data at the Test Locus” (p-snp); the likelihood method based on multi-locus mother-child pair genotype data, as described above in Section “Maximum Likelihood Method that Exploits Genotype Data of Nearby Markers via Haplotypes” (p-hap); and the likelihood method based on the mother-father-child triad genotype data for the test locus (t-snp). We use the t-snp method, which exploits both maternal and paternal genotype data, as a benchmark for the extent of additional power that p-hap can potentially achieve, which we believe can best help understand the merit of case-control mother-child pair design for assessing parent-of-origin effects. We note that t-snp uses genotype data at the test locus not only from case triads, but also from control triads as mentioned in Subsection “Likelihood Function for the Case-Control Mother-Child Pair Data at the Test Locus.” We retained genotype data for the test locus from all n0 + n1 pairs in all three methods. In p-hap, we additionally retained the mother's and the child's nearby marker genotype data from the n0 + n1 pairs. In t-snp, instead of the nearby marker genotype data, the paternal genotype data of the test locus were retained. Any other genetic information in the cohort was removed before the analyses. We used a likelihood ratio test to assess the null hypotheses of no parent-of-origin effect. In all scenarios, we adopted additive coding for both gm and gc, with respective OR parameters exp β1 = 1.8 and exp β2 = 1.5. The OR for the parent-of-origin effect exp β3 was set to be 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, or 2.0. We kept the phenotype prevalence in the range of 6~13% in all simulations by varying the intercept parameter β0. We used significance level 0.05 for testing parent-of-origin effects.
Performance of SNP-Based Methods p-snp and t-snp
We first evaluated the performance of SNP-based tests, p-snp and t-snp, as a function of the MAF, pa. The nominal type I error rate 0.05 was well maintained in all the tests (data not shown). Figure 1 illustrates the power of testing a parent-of-origin effect of magnitude β3 = log 1.5 in model (1). Results for ORs 1.2 and 2.0 were largely similar (data not shown).
Figure 1.
The power of p-snp and t-snp for testing parent-of-origin effects. The null hypothesis is β3 = 0, and the data were generated at β3 = log 1.5. Each legend indicates the method and the number of cases, which was equal to the number of controls.
The power of the p-snp method appeared to be a concave function of the MAF in the range of (0, 0.5) with a peak at around pa = 0.20. Incorporating paternal information (t-snp) generally improved the power, and the improvement became more pronounced when the MAF pa was large. For example, for testing β3 = 0 (when the truth was log 1.5) at sample size n0 = n1 = 200, the test power increased by 0.02 (from 0.32 to 0.34) at pa = 0.05; while at pa = 0.45, the improvement became 0.27 (from 0.34 to 0.61). This can be explained as follows. Intuitively, parental origins of children's alleles are unidentifiable in the source population for the proportion pa (1 – pa) of mother-child pairs (Table 1), but parental source ambiguity only happens to the proportion 2pa2(1 – pa)2 of mother-father-child triads. Therefore, one can expect the gain in power due to the improved resolution of parental origins to be monotone in the range of pa ∈ (0, 0.5). Furthermore, the case-control mother-father-child triad data benefits from having more subjects than does the mother-child pair data, which helps improve the precision of estimating pa.
Performance of p-hap Based on Simulated Multi-Locus Genotype Data in Region GPX1
We investigated the improvement in power that can be achieved by incorporating nearby markers. We generated genotype data for five loci in the genomic region GPX1 based on published haplotype data [Chen et al., 2004], where seven haplotypes were reconstructed from the genotype data for five tagging SNPs. The configurations and frequencies of these haplotypes, the MAF of each SNP, and the LD structure of these five SNPs are shown in Supplementary Table S1. We designated each of the five SNPs in turn as the causative SNP and incorporated in p-hap the genotype data for the remaining four marker loci. To evaluate the power improvement when various numbers of markers are incorporated, we also computed the power of p-hap for testing the fifth locus S5, when genotype data for only the one, two, or three nearest marker SNPs were incorporated.
Results are summarized in Figure 2. The observed type I error rates were close to the nominal level 0.05 for all tests considered (data not shown). It is evident that incorporating genotype data for adjacent markers (p-hap) greatly improved the power for testing parent-of-origin effects, and the improvement was often comparable to that achieved by using only the one SNP but incorporating paternal genotype data (t-snp).
Figure 2.
The power of p-snp, t-snp, and p-hap based on simulated genotype data for five diallelic loci in gene GPX1. Panel A: Each SNP was treated as the causal locus in turn. Each number beneath the x-axis is the MAF corresponding to the SNP above. Different values for the parent-of-origin effect parameter β3 (0, log 1.2, log 1.5, and log 2.0) were considered and are provided on the right hand side of the figure. Method p-hap incorporated genotype data of all the other four SNPs. Panel B: The power of p-hap for testing SNP 5 when 1, 2, 3, or 4 adjacent markers were incorporated and SNP 5 is causal, and where the x-axis is the number of included nearby markers plus 1.
We observed that the magnitude of the power increase due to the incorporation of adjacent markers was influenced by both the MAF and the LD structure. For example, the power for testing locus S1 increased by a factor of 1.36 when β3 = log 1.2, by 1.34 when β3 = log 1.5, and by 1.09 when β3 = log 2.0 (Panel A in Fig. 2). Unlike other SNPs, these gains were consistently slightly higher than those produced by incorporating no marker data but paternal genotype data. This might not only be because its MAF (pa = 0.18) was closer to the information peak of mother-child pair data (Fig. 1), but also because it was in very strong LD with other loci (Supplementary Table S1). As another example, loci S2 and S4 had similar MAFs (pa = 0.15), and the power was similar for testing their parent-of-origin effects with only the respective genotype data for S2 and S4 (p-snp). However, the power of p-hap for testing S2 was lower than that for S4 (0.19 vs. 0.29 when β3 = log 1.2 and 0.19 vs. 0.24 when β3 = log 1.5). A closer look at the LD structure reveals that the LD between S4 and its adjacent markers was stronger than that of S2. Simulation studies performed on locus S5 where different numbers of markers were incorporated provided further support for the above observations. The power of p-snp for S5 was lower than for the other four SNPs since its MAF was large (Fig. 1), and incorporating several markers even in relatively weak LD led to meaningful power improvement. Our results showed that the test power generally increased (Panel B in Fig. 2) with increasing numbers of linked markers.
Finally, our proposed maximum likelihood methods provided unbiased estimates of all model parameters. Supplementary Table S2 includes estimates of association parameters in model (1) with n1 = 200 case pairs and n0 = 200 control pairs. The true values for the parent-of-origin effect parameters are provided in the table, and we used multiplicative genetic models for both gm and gc with respective OR parameters 1.8 and 1.5. All of the averaged estimates appeared to be close to the true values. The estimation efficiency gained by incorporating paternal genotype data and by incorporating adjacent marker genotype data was in line with the power gain of the corresponding likelihood ratio tests discussed above. Our proposed method's estimated standard errors were close to the empirical standard errors.
Investigating the Influence of LD on the Power Gain of p-hap
In simulation scenario C (Table 2), we further investigated the power gain of p-hap as a function of LD between markers and the test locus. We considered a test locus with alleles A/a and a marker locus with alleles B/b, where the LD between the two loci was quantified by parameters D, r2, and D′ [Foulkes, 2009]. We followed the simulation scheme described in Subsection “Design of Simulation Studies” with MAFs pa and pb fixed at 0.2 and β3 at log 1.5. Results are summarized in Figure 3, where the power of the three methods for testing the parent-of-origin effect β3 = 0 is displayed as a function of D, r2, and D′ using the simulated bilocus data. p-hap increased the power compared to p-snp by up to a factor of 1.23. It is not surprising that when the two SNPs are in linkage equilibrium, i.e., D = r2 = D′ = 0, p-hap and p-snp had nearly identical power. This also held true when r2 = 1 since the two SNPs became essentially identical. Therefore, in this two-SNP scenario, incorporating a marker SNP in moderate LD appeared to lead to higher power improvement than incorporating one with very strong LD. These results, together with those based on the GPX1 example where significant power gain was achieved by incorporating adjacent markers, suggest that the power improvement of p-hap is a complex function of haplotype structures, haplotype frequencies, and MAFs.
Figure 3.
The power increase of p-hap compared with p-snp and t-snp as a function of LD measured by D, r2, and D′, where genotype data for one marker were incorporated in p-hap. The MAFs of both SNPs were 0.2.
Robustness to Violation of HWE
We investigated the robustness and bias of our likelihood methods when faced with violation of the assumption of HWE. To impose a violation, the parental genotype data were generated from the following distribution:
where Da characterizes the departure from HWE [Hernandez and Weir, 1989], with a positive Da measuring an excess of homozygotes and a negative Da measuring a deficiency of homozygotes. Further, let be the inbreeding coefficient [Weir, 1996]. We fixed pa at value 0.3 and changed the value and directions of Da. The simulation setup corresponds to scenario D in Table 2. As expected, the bias in the estimation of the parent-of-origin effect parameter β3 became greater when ρ became larger (Fig. 4, upper panel). The bias was slightly more severe for larger MAFs (data not shown). The proposed likelihood ratio test for testing parent-of-origin effects had inflated type I error rates when Da < 0 and deflated type I error when Da > 0 (Fig. 4, lower panel). We note that the bias in method t-snp could be corrected by introducing parameters such as parental mating type [Weinberg and Shi, 2009]. Methods p-snp and p-hap may also be correctable by modifying the likelihood to incorporate parameters Da or ρ. Similar extensions have been widely applied to haplotype-phenotype association studies with multi-locus genotype data [See e.g., Lin and Zeng 2006; Satten and Epstein, 2004].
Figure 4.
The bias and type I error rates of p-snp and t-snp when the distribution of the SNP genotype deviates from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. The x-axis is the linkage disequilibrium parameter Da and the inbreeding coefficient ρ.
Analyzing Parent-of-Origin Effects of the Gene PPARGC1A on Low Birth Weight
The JPS assembled a historical birth cohort with archival survey and medical record data of prenatal and perinatal characteristics for 17,003 offspring and their parents. The genotype data for around 1,500 SNPs in multiple candidate gene regions are available for 1,251 mother-child pairs, which were selected based on children's birth weight and mothers’ prepregnancy body mass index (BMI). We applied p-snp and p-hap to examine parent-of-origin effects of nine loci in or near the gene PPARGC1A on intrauterine growth, as reflected by birth weight. We dichotomized birth weight using 2.5 kg as the cutoff point for low birth weight and focused on the subcohort of children whose mothers’ prepregnancy BMI was less than 25. With this binary response variable, our analysis subcohort had N1 = 297 underweight (≤2.5 kg) children at birth, among whom 117 pairs were genotyped, and N0 = 7,941 children with normal birth weight, among whom 636 mother-child pairs had genotype data. We assume the genotype data were randomly available for normal-weight and for underweight deliveries in the cohort. The pairwise D′ and r2 of these nine SNPs are relatively large (Supplementary Fig. S1), indicating strong LD within this genomic region.
Our initial analysis of the data using p-snp yielded suggestive evidence that SNPs rs3736265 and rs8192678 had parent-of-origin effects on birth weight (p-values were 0.042 and 0.081, respectively), and that the main fetal effects of the two alleles appeared to be log-additive. Therefore, we focused on results for these two SNPs and assumed an additive association model (model (1) with γ3 = 0). None of the nine maternal SNPs were alone significant in a standard logistic regression analysis. For illustrative purposes, we adopted an additive model for effects of maternal genotypes. To apply p-hap, we first obtained unbiased initial estimates of the haplotype frequencies using the inverse probability weighting method [Horvitz and Thompson, 1952], i.e.,
where and are the respective haplotype frequency estimates in controls and in cases. Starting with these frequency estimates, final estimates were obtained by maximizing the proposed likelihood. Initial and maximum likelihood estimates of haplotype frequencies are summarized in Supplementary Table S3. None of the SNPs appeared to have a significant parent-of-origin effect on the risk of low birth weight after accounting for the multiplicity in testing nine SNPs. In line with the simulation results, incorporating the adjacent eight markers improved the estimation efficiency of the parent-of-origin effect in most instances. Reported in Table 3 are the estimates of parameters in model (1) for SNPs rs3736265 and rs8192678, where the p-values were based on likelihood ratio tests. After adjusting for the maternal effect, the estimated parent-of-origin effect parameter β3 for SNP rs3736265 was 0.920 (95% CI: [−0.015, 1.855]) with p-snp and was 0.736 (95% CI: [−0.156, 1.628]) with p-hap (likelihood ratio test P-values were 0.042 and 0.032, respectively). The estimate for SNP rs8192678 was 0.477 (95% CI: [−0.029, 0.983) with p-snp and was 0.302 (95% CI: [−0.123, 0.727]) with p-hap (p-values were 0.081 and 0.050, respectively). These nonsignificant findings in our analyses could be due to the relatively small number of case subjects.
Table 3.
Estimated parent-of-origin effects of two SNPs in genomic region PPARGC1A on birth weight in the JPS
|
β
1
|
β
2
|
β
3
|
p-value LRT*** | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNP | f(gm) | Method | EST* | SB** | EST | SE | EST | SE | |
| rs3736265 | gm **** | p-snp | −0.498 | 0.437 | −0.743 | 0.460 | 0.920 | 0.477 | 0.042 |
| p-hap | −0.263 | 0.406 | −0.804 | 0.446 | 0.736 | 0.455 | 0.032 | ||
| rs8192678 | gm | p-snp | −0.142 | 0.236 | −0.257 | 0.186 | 0.477 | 0.258 | 0.081 |
| p-hap | 0.024 | 0.218 | −0.339 | 0.186 | 0.302 | 0.217 | 0.050 | ||
MLE of the parameter.
Estimated standard error of the MLE estimate.
P-value of testing H0: β3 = 0 using likelihood ratio test.
The fitted model was .
Examining separate effects of maternal and paternal alleles revealed an interesting phenomenon: the paternal copy tended to prevent the fetus from having low birth weight. For example, with p-hap, the log OR for the paternal copy was −1.540 (95% CI: [−2.897, −0.182]) for SNP rs3736265 and was −0.641 (95% CI: [−1.129, −0.153]) for SNP rs8192678. The corresponding log ORs for the maternal copy were −0.068 (95% CI: [−1.197, 1.061]) for SNP rs3736265 and −0.038 (95% CI: [−0.661, 0.586]) for SNP rs8192678. The paternal copy generally showed a stronger (significantly protective) effect against low birth weight than did the maternal copy. These data thus provide suggestive evidence for the “Mother-Fetus Competition” conjecture advanced by Haig [1993].
Discussion
Imprinted genes are of long interest as causal factors related to fetal development and early-life disorders. Pregnancy is a unique state in that there are two distinct but correlated genomes that can jointly influence fetal-maternal health. Recent studies suggest that imprinted fetal genes can influence maternal health during pregnancy. For example, several mutations in STOX1 were found in a recent study to co-segregate with preeclampsia, but the mother was at increased risk only when the fetus inherited the loss-of-function STOX1 variant from the mother [van Dijk et al., 2005]. It is thus of interest to consider parent of origin when analyzing effects of maternal and fetal genes on both maternal and fetal health.
In this work, we used maximum likelihood methods to study parent-of-origin effects of children's genes, where the phenotype of interest may concern either the mother or the child. The idea of including parent of origin effects in a likelihood framework was proposed by Weinberg et al. [1998] and further discussed by Ainsworth et al. [2011] and Gjessing and Lie [2006]. Our method was designed for the case-control mother-child pair design, and our simulation results supported the efficiency of this study design: under the required assumptions, one can investigate essentially all genetic effects that can be studied with family-based study designs. Nevertheless, investigators should also consider collecting DNA from fathers when possible, as triad designs offer additional opportunities to identify the parent of origin for both alleles and haplotypes.
We have developed an R (http://www.r-project.org/) program for the estimation of the parameters. With data similar to those generated in the simulation studies described in Section “Simulation Studies” (i.e., five markers, seven potential haplotypes, with 200 case pairs, and 200 control pairs), a Windows 7 PC with Intel i7 core CPUs required about 420 sec run time. The program can be requested from the first author. Our method assumes HWE, random mating, and Mendelian inheritance, and is biased when the data do not meet these requirements. However, the assumption of HWE can be relaxed by introducing a fixation parameter as discussed above. We have also assumed that outcome status is known for all individuals in the cohort from which cases and controls are sampled. In hospital-based studies, this requirement may not be realistic. In the absence of known cohort totals, simulations (data not shown) suggested that our likelihood method performs well when the analyst has a reasonable phenotype prevalence estimate.
Currently, three GWAS imputation software packages, BEAGLE, SHAPE-IT, and Marchini et al. [2006], are capable of efficiently exploiting family relationships in haplotype phasing [Browning and Browning, 2011]. Simulation studies showed that the average rates of incorrect assignment of parental origin were very low with case-parent trio and/or parent-offspring duo data [Browning and Browning, 2009; Delaneau et al., 2012]. These methods were designed for GWAS data and not expected to be as accurate with a smaller number of markers.
Many case-control mother-child pair studies, such as the JPS study that we analyzed, are candidate-gene based, partly due to financial constraints for genotyping two genomes. GWASs of case-control mother-child pairs may work best if they only fully genotype one genome and then only some candidate genomic regions in the other genome [e.g., those that harbor promising signals). For these less rich data, it remains an open question how well any of the existing software packages could incorporate family relationships in haplotype phasing/parent-of-origin inference. Our proposed method jointly assesses haplotype phasing and parent-of-origin effects, thereby efficiently exploiting family-relationship information. We assumed the loci under study are sufficiently close that there was no mother-to-child recombination between the test SNP and the nearby markers. If recombinations do occur, the multilocus method should still retain type I error rates, but power may be reduced. In a GWAS context with case-parent data, the phasing approaches that have been developed for dense SNPs could also be exploited to produce improvements in power for studying parent-of-origin effects.
Haplotype structure can also be exploited in a log-linear framework [e.g. Shi et al., 2007]. In fact, with case-control mother-child pair data and known cohort total numbers of cases and controls, one may employ a log linear model in constructing likelihoods (2) and (3) by using a log link. Parameters in the two base models have different interpretations (ORs vs. relative risks), and the use of the logarithm instead of the logit can introduce annoying problems, e.g., fitted probabilities that exceed one. However, under co-dominant coding of the maternal main effects (which is advisable to ensure validity of tests of imprinting), the two models should be close, and so are the corresponding likelihood ratio tests for imprinting effect, as we confirmed in unreported simulation studies. Therefore, the results we have shown related to power and estimation would also apply to a log-linear formulation. When the population prevalence is small (rare disease), the two models also yield parameter interpretations that coincide.
In a GWAS setting, one can never be sure that one has been lucky enough to have typed a causative SNP rather than a marker or that the OR (or parent-of-origin parameter) one is estimating is not markedly attenuated compared to that for the nearby actual causative SNP. However, if in fact the SNP under study is a marker (and the investigator will not know that) then the parent-of-origin null hypothesis for the causative SNP implies the parent-of-origin null hypothesis for the nearby marker, so testing for parent-of-origin effects is still valid. Our method appeared to behave well for testing a noncausal marker that is close to the causal SNP. Despite decreased power, the type I error rates were close to the nominal level (data not shown).
The JPS example underscores the issue that ambiguity will remain about which of the SNPs that display apparent parent-of-origin effects is the real player vs. merely an informative marker. The problem of which (if any) is the “real” SNP, or whether the effect might actually be due to a haplotype but not a single SNP, arises in this context, just as it does in the context of main effects of SNPs in GWAS. The methods described in this paper will help the analyst identify linkage blocks worthy of future more detailed study via targeted sequencing. Only such careful follow-up analyses can definitively identify causative SNPs or causative haplotypes for parent-of-origin effects.
Our proposed methods can be extended to analyze combined data collected from family-based and population-based study designs. Retrospective likelihood based methods have been proposed for assessing associations with genotypes and haplotypes [e.g., Dudbridge, 2008], but it remains to evaluate the power increase for testing parent-of-origin effects through the incorporation of marker genotype data. For example, Berends et al. [2007] conducted both case-control and family studies to confirm the possible parent-of-origin effect of the gene STOX1 on preeclampsia. Using triads with heterozygous mothers only, they found that the fetal STOX1 gene appeared not to be related to the risk of preeclampsia. However, they only tested the Mendelian transmission of maternal genotypes, but not the parent-of-origin effect of the fetal gene. For the latter, homozygous mothers can be very informative in inferring parent-of-origin effects of children's alleles.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
Drs. Jinbo Chen and Dongyu Lin were supported by NIH grant ES016626. Dr. Rui Feng was supported by NIH grant GM088566. Dr. Hagit Hochner was supported by NIH grant HL091244. This research was supported in part by the Intramural Research Program of the NIH, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, under project number ZO1 ES040007. We would also like to thank Dr. Min Shi at the Biostatistics Branch, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences for her very helpful comments.
Footnotes
Supporting Information is available in the online issue at wileyonlinelibrary.com.
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