Skip to main content
PLOS ONE logoLink to PLOS ONE
. 2015 Sep 2;10(9):e0135210. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0135210

Ground-Dwelling Arthropod Communities of a Sky Island Mountain Range in Southeastern Arizona, USA: Obtaining a Baseline for Assessing the Effects of Climate Change

Wallace M Meyer III 1,¤a,*, Jeffrey A Eble 1,¤b, Kimberly Franklin 1,¤c, Reilly B McManus 1, Sandra L Brantley 2, Jeff Henkel 3, Paul E Marek 1,¤d, W Eugene Hall 1, Carl A Olson 1, Ryan McInroy 1, Emmanuel M Bernal Loaiza 4, Richard C Brusca 3,5, Wendy Moore 1
Editor: Darren Ward6
PMCID: PMC4558002  PMID: 26332685

Abstract

The few studies that have addressed past effects of climate change on species distributions have mostly focused on plants due to the rarity of historical faunal baselines. However, hyperdiverse groups like Arthropoda are vital to monitor in order to understand climate change impacts on biodiversity. This is the first investigation of ground-dwelling arthropod (GDA) assemblages along the full elevation gradient of a mountain range in the Madrean Sky Island Region, establishing a baseline for monitoring future changes in GDA biodiversity. To determine how GDA assemblages relate to elevation, season, abiotic variables, and corresponding biomes, GDA were collected for two weeks in both spring (May) and summer (September) 2011 in the Santa Catalina Mountains, Arizona, using pitfall traps at 66 sites in six distinct upland (non-riparian/non-wet canyon) biomes. Four arthropod taxa: (1) beetles (Coleoptera), (2) spiders (Araneae), (3) grasshoppers and crickets (Orthoptera), and (4) millipedes and centipedes (Myriapoda) were assessed together and separately to determine if there are similar patterns across taxonomic groups. We collected 335 species of GDA: 192/3793 (species/specimens) Coleoptera, 102/1329 Araneae, 25/523 Orthoptera, and 16/697 Myriapoda. GDA assemblages differed among all biomes and between seasons. Fifty-three percent (178 species) and 76% (254 species) of all GDA species were found in only one biome and during only one season, respectively. While composition of arthropod assemblages is tied to biome and season, individual groups do not show fully concordant patterns. Seventeen percent of the GDA species occurred only in the two highest-elevation biomes (Pine and Mixed Conifer Forests). Because these high elevation biomes are most threatened by climate change and they harbor a large percentage of unique arthropod species (11–25% depending on taxon), significant loss in arthropod diversity is likely in the Santa Catalina Mountains and other isolated mountain ranges in the Southwestern US.

Introduction

Rising concentrations of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere are leading to increasing global temperatures and changes in the hydrological cycle [1]. While such changes are impacting the distribution of biota across the planet [2, 3], research has increasingly focused on mountain environments. High elevation montane species, which are often endemic to a single mountain range, are particularly vulnerable to climate change [47] because populations tend to be small, isolated from other source populations, climatically restricted, and unable to move to higher elevations upon reaching the summit of the mountain [810]. As a result, these species and populations are especially prone to extirpation or extinction. Thus, elevation gradients on mountains have great potential to enhance our understanding of how climate change will impact biological communities [11, 12]. Elevation gradients are favored over latitudinal gradients since parameters can be measured on a smaller spatial scale, reducing the influence of confounding factors such as large differences in weather patterns and species pools [13, 14]. Therefore, documenting the diversity and distribution of montane species, which establishes a baseline for future comparisons and studies that track how species respond to climate change, is vital to making informed decisions concerning the preservation and management of biodiversity.

Although 85% of all animal species are arthropods (insects, spiders, millipedes, etc.; [15]), studies examining compositional changes and distributional shifts of ground-dwelling (soil/leaf litter) arthropods (GDA) are less common than those examining shifts in plants (see references in [7]), vertebrates, and other arthropod taxa (e.g., butterflies and moths) [3]. In the Southwest, surveys of GDA or arthropods in general are rare. For example, Richmond and O’Keefe [16] highlight that their study is the only comprehensive study in North American of high-elevation (e.g., mountain) arthropod assemblages. In most systems, GDA are poorly known because they are extremely diverse, live in cryptic habitats where observation is difficult, and relatively few taxonomists have specialized on these groups [17]. The lack of information on GDA is disconcerting because they are known to play significant roles in the functioning of healthy ecosystems [1823]. For example, GDA have been found to significantly influence rates of decomposition in areas where temperature (extremely low or high) and humidity (low) do not constrain arthropod activity [2123]. Because the annual input of CO2 into the atmosphere through decomposition of organic carbon is nearly 10 times that of annual fossil fuel emissions [24], understanding how soil arthropod assemblages will respond to climate change and other anthropogenic perturbations is crucial if we are to understand ecosystem responses and feedbacks [25].

The Santa Catalina Mountains (hereafter, “Catalina Mountains”) in southeastern Arizona offer a rare opportunity to collect species from multiple biomes, test the factors that influence species diversity and composition, and examine the effects of climate change on multiple biomes over relatively short distances [26]. Here, many of the world’s biomes, or major plant communities, occur in climatically structured elevation zones [2628]. Biomes in the Catalina Mountains include Desertscrub, Desert Grassland, and Oak-Grassland at lower elevations, and Oak Woodland, Pine-Oak Woodland, Chaparral, Pine Forest, and Mixed Conifer Forest at higher elevations. Patterns along elevation gradients in the Catalina Mountains are in many ways analogous to North American latitudinal climatic gradients found from subtropical latitudes (e.g., northern Mexico) to cold temperate latitudes (e.g., Canada) [2627]. In addition, studies in the Catalina Mountains reveal that climate warming and changes in precipitation have already impacted the life cycles and distributions of many montane plant species [2931]. Delays in the occurrence of winter rains have caused many annual plants to shift their germination times later in the year [29], while changes in summer monsoon rain patterns have led to significant increase in the elevation at which some plant species flower [30, 32]. Similarly, by comparing data from plant surveys conducted along our transects in 2011 to those of Whittaker and Niering [33] conducted nearly 50 years earlier, Brusca et al. [31] showed that the elevation range of many plants in the Catalina Mountains has shifted upslope. This empirical evidence supports model predictions of how plant communities in the Desert Southwest will respond to continued climate warming [1,34,35], and that the area occupied by higher elevation montane forests is decreasing and will likely continue to decrease in the future. This, combined with projections that temperatures in the Southwest will increase by an additional 3–6°C by the end of this century [34, 3638], make the Catalina Mountains an ideal natural laboratory to investigate the effects of climate change [26].

In this paper, we examine how GDA assemblages, groups of statistically recurring species, are structured in the Catalina Mountains along two elevation gradients. Most previous studies examining elevational distributions of arthropod species have focused on changes within a single taxon, although it has been unclear if such patterns can be generalized across taxa [39, 40]. In addition, many studies have focused on discerning only patterns of species richness, which have yielded mixed results depending on the taxon investigated and the mountain surveyed [14]. Focusing on changes in species richness ignores that elevation also influences the composition of arthropod species assemblages [4142]. Here, we analyze species composition and abundance of four evolutionarily distinct arthropod lineages: (1) beetles (Coleoptera), (2) spiders (Araneae), (3) grasshoppers and crickets (Orthoptera), and (4) millipedes and centipedes (Myriapoda). Our analyses incorporate species-level identifications and abundance data to determine if there are concordant patterns across taxa (e.g., do community patterns among different ground-dwelling arthropod groups co-vary?) [43]. For each arthropod group (and for combined GDA) we address the following questions: (1) How are GDA assemblages distributed in relation to biomes (e.g., do arthropod assemblages mirror plant communities)? (2) How do assemblages vary between spring/May (pre-monsoon) and summer/September (monsoon season)? (3) What proportion of the species is restricted to a single biome? And, (4) What proportion of the species is only found in high elevation biomes where populations have a higher probability of extinction due to climate change? This is the first detailed investigation of GDA distributions in the Catalina Mountains, or any Sky Island range in the Southwest. Results provide an understanding of current GDA diversity and distribution patterns in the Catalina Mountains, offer a baseline for future comparisons, and demonstrate the risk climate change poses to high-elevation montane communities.

Materials and Methods

Study area

Surveys were conducted in the Catalina Mountains, situated 140 km (85 miles) north of the U.S.-Mexico border near Tucson, Arizona, USA (See maps in [26, 28] and S1 File. map of study area). In the Catalina Mountains, many of the world’s biomes (classified by predominant vegetation) occur in climatically structured elevation zones [26]. The Catalinas are one of about 65 mountain ranges in Arizona, New Mexico and Sonora (Mexico) known as the Madrean Sky Islands. These ranges form “stepping stones” across the Cordilleran Gap, between the Rocky Mountains/Colorado Plateau and the Sierra Madre Occidental of Mexico [26, 28]. There is a winter rainy season December through February, and a summer rainy season July through September that is part of the North American Monsoon system [44]. Summer (monsoon) rains account for approximately half the annual precipitation.

Sampling design

To assess the diversity and distribution of GDA, 66 sampling sites were identified in recognizable biomes along the elevation gradients on the southern and northern sides of the Catalina Mountains. Sites were located along the Mt. Lemmon/Catalina Highway (south side), the Control Road (north side), and on the two highest peaks, Mt. Lemmon (2791 m) and Mt. Bigelow (2591 m). We used Niering and Lowe’s [45] classification system for biome designations, as modified by Moore et al. [26] based on an analysis of plant species at each site: Desertscrub, Desert Grassland, Grazing-Disturbed Desert Grassland, Oak-Grassland, Oak Woodland, Pine-Oak Woodland, Chaparral, Pine Forest, and Mixed Conifer Forest (see Moore et al., [26] and Brusca and Moore [28] for detailed descriptions of plant communities and exact locations and elevations of each sampling site). For analyses in this study we combined all three grassland biomes. We also combined Oak Woodland sites with Pine-Oak Woodland sites since pure Oak Woodland is found only in a narrow elevational zone primarily on the north side of the Catalina Mountains and represents the lower elevational boundary of the extensive Pine-Oak Woodland, often considered an ecotone [25]. On the south side of the range, we established 5 sites in Desertscrub (1045–1172 m), 6 in Oak-Grassland (1384–1433 m), 7 in Pine-Oak Woodland (1803–2422 m), 2 in Chaparral (1923–2052 m), and 8 in Pine Forest (2224–2463 m). On the north side of the range we established 7 sites in grazing-disturbed Desert Grassland (historically grazed areas; 1323–1451 m), 6 in relatively undisturbed Desert Grassland (1330–1645 m), 2 in Oak Woodland (1939–2000 m), 5 in Pine-Oak Woodland (2032–2149 m), 5 in Chaparral (1845–1971 m), and 4 in Pine Forest (2218–2305 m). Ten transects in Mixed Conifer Forest were established near the peaks of Mt. Lemmon and Mt. Bigelow at 2442 to 2777 m elevation.

In addition to categorizing sites according to biome, we also categorized each site according to three environmental variables: elevation, ground temperature, and ground-level humidity (~ 2 cm above the soil/litter surface). We report both temperature and ground-level humidity because these two factors contribute to understanding desiccation stress. As humidity increases, desiccation stress declines. Environments with higher temperatures are more desiccating than low temperature environments with an identical humidity. Ground temperature and humidity were measured using Log-Tag HAXO-8 temperature and humidity recorders. Each Log-Tag recorder was covered with a plastic shield and placed 2 cm from the center of each of the 66 site transects on May 6, 2011. Data were recorded every 30 min through the entire sampling period.

We sampled arthropods for two weeks in the spring (pre-monsoon; May 5–19) and two weeks in the summer (monsoon season; September 1–15) of 2011. At each sampling site, we set 10 pitfall traps arranged 10 m apart along a 100 m transect line. Using the trap design employed by Higgins [46], pitfall traps were constructed so they could remain in the field for two weeks between charging of a trap and collection of specimens. Each pitfall trap consisted of a heavy Pyrex glass “test tube” (3.2 cm diameter, 25 cm deep) inserted in a PVC sleeve (3.8 cm in diameter, 28 cm long) buried in the ground. The opening of each trap was flush with the soil surface. When charged, test tubes were half filled with ~ 75 ml of propylene glycol, which is non-toxic and is an excellent short-term preservative for arthropods. Each pitfall trap was covered with a PVC rain shield with holes ~ 3–4 cm above the ground to allow arthropods access while restricting access to most vertebrates. Between sampling periods, PVC sleeves were capped to prevent them from filling with soil or inadvertently capturing vertebrates. Strictly speaking, pitfall traps capture activity abundance, i.e., the relative abundance of those species active during the sampling period.

Contents collected in each pitfall trap were transferred from propylene glycol to 80% ethanol and stored in a –20°C freezer prior to processing. Arthropods were sorted and four taxonomic groups were analyzed: (1) beetles (Coleoptera), (2) spiders (Araneae), (3) grasshoppers and crickets (Orthoptera), and (4) millipedes and centipedes (Myriapoda). Members of all four groups are distributed across the entire elevation gradient. The Moore laboratory (Univ. Arizona) has the taxonomic expertise and/or collaborators specializing on these groups. All individuals were sorted to morphospecies. For Coleoptera, Araneae, and Orthoptera only adult specimens were identified. All specimens were curated, labeled and deposited in the University of Arizona Insect Collection (http://www.uainsectcollection.com/?q=ento/UAIC/).

Analyses

To compare abiotic characteristics among sites and examine differences between the spring and summer sampling periods, mean daily temperatures and relative humidity averages recorded during each collection period were plotted against elevation. To test if average daily temperature and humidity differed between the two sampling periods, we used a paired t-test that controls for among-site differences. We used a simple linear regression to analyze how temperature and humidity conditions changed along the elevation gradients and to confirm that these two characteristics are related to changes in elevation.

To investigate differences in GDA composition among biomes and between seasons, we used permutation-based hypothesis testing (ANOSIM analyses) implemented in PRIMER 6.1.15 [47]. Five separate analyses were conducted: one used the combined data from all 4 taxa, and four examined each GDA group separately (S2 File; site by species matrix). We accounted for multiple hypothesis tests by adjusting significant values with the conservative Bonferroni procedure [48]. Prior to all ANOSIM analyses, we constructed a site-by-species matrix using the average number of individuals per species collected per pitfall trap at each site. This was done to standardize abundance measures among sites to account for lost or damaged traps, which was primarily an issue in low elevation biomes during the summer (monsoon) collection period. Abundance data were square root transformed to reduce the influence of extremely abundant taxa. Following standardization and transformation, similarity matrices were constructed using the Bray-Curtis similarity coefficient. For each ANOSIM analysis, we report both the ANOSIM test statistic (R-values) and the permutation based P-values. The R-statistics are the average rank dissimilarities among and within groups, scaled so that R-values vary between roughly 0 and 1 (there may be some negative values); a value of 0 indicates that there are no differences among treatments, and a value of 1 indicates that all dissimilarities between samples in different treatments are larger than the average dissimilarity among samples within each treatment. The P-values test whether R-statistics differ significantly from zero (i.e., that there are significant differences among treatments).

To test for significant differences in arthropod assemblages among biomes and between sampling periods, we used a two-way crossed ANOSIM (9,999 permutations) using biome (Desertscrub, Grassland, Chaparral, Oak, Pine and Mixed Conifer) and sampling period (spring [pre-monsoon] and summer [monsoon]) as factors. We chose a two-way crossed ANOSIM which treats the season factor as an independent fixed effect, because it is a conservative (i.e., less statistical power to reject the null) alternative to using a Repeated Measures PERMANOVA which would take into account any positive correlation associated with sites. This allowed us to test for differences in arthropod assemblages among biomes controlling for sampling period and to test for differences among seasons controlling for differences among biomes. Pairwise differences were only examined following a significant ANOSIM test with significance values adjusted for multiple testing (α = 0.01). Multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) plots were generated following significant ANOSIM tests to visualize differences in arthropod assemblage among biomes and seasons. If GDA assemblages were found to significantly differ among biomes, one-way ANOSIMs were run to test differences in arthropod assemblages among adjacent biomes within each season (10 comparisons; α = 0.005). If arthropod assemblages were found to significantly differ among sampling periods, one-way ANOSIMs were run to test differences in arthropod assemblages between each sampling period in each biome (6 comparisons; α = 0.0083). Similarity percentage analyses (SIMPERs) were run using only the combined four-taxa matrix following significant pairwise comparison tests to determine the relative contribution of the various taxa to these differences (e.g., which species are driving the differences in the arthropod communities).

In addition to ANOSIM and SIMPER tests, we also compared the proportion of species that were exclusively found in one biome and the proportion of species only found in the two highest biomes (Pine and Mixed Conifer) to better understand community composition along the elevation gradient.

Results

Ground temperature and humidity were both significantly related to elevation during both sampling periods (spring temperature: slope -0.009, r2 = 0.874, P < 0.0001; summer temperature: slope -0.008, r2 = 0.847, P < 0.0001; spring humidity: slope 0.011, r2 = 0.771, P = 0.0001; summer humidity: slope 0.020, r2 = 0.5597, P < 0.0001), and both average daily temperature (t = 25.32, p < 0.0001) and humidity (t = 31.89, p = < 0.0001) were significantly higher in summer (Fig 1).

Fig 1. Ground temperature and relative humidity along the elevation gradient.

Fig 1

Average temperatures (A) and relative humidity (B) measured during the spring (6-May-2011 to 19-May-2011) and late-summer (1-September-2011 to 15-September-2011) seasonal sampling periods.

All individuals of Coleoptera, Araneae and Myriapoda were sorted to species (identified to a species name, or to a morphospecies code when species-level identification was not possible). For Orthoptera, taxonomic uncertainty (e.g., Jerusalem crickets, genus Stenopelmatus) and absence of key characteristics (e.g., calls are required for field cricket identification in the genus Gryllus), meant that individuals in some taxa were sorted to genus and therefore these few taxa might represent multiple species. However, in the latter case, to minimize using multiple terminologies, we still refer to these identified groups as “species,” since the majority of the taxa do represent species-level distinction.

We collected and curated 335 species (and 6342 individuals); 192/3793 (species/specimens) Coleoptera, 102/1329 Araneae, 25/523 Orthoptera and 16/697 Myriapoda (S3 File. species lists indicating plant biome and season collected). ANOSIM analyses revealed significant differences in species composition between biomes (R = 0.77, P = 0.0001; Fig 2; Table 1) and between seasons (R = 0.86, P = 0.0001; Fig 2; Table 2) when data from all four taxa were analyzed together. When each GDA group was analyzed separately, we again found significant differences between biomes (Coleoptera: R = 0.67, P = 0.0001; Araneae: R = 0.57, P = 0.0001; Orthoptera: R = 0.42, P = 0.001; Myriapoda: R = 0.36, P = 0.0001) and between seasons (Coleoptera: R = 0.79, P = 0.0001; Araneae: R = 0.54, P = 0.001; Orthoptera: R = 0.37, P = 0.0001; Myriapoda: R = 0.17, P = 0.0005) (Fig 3, Tables 3 and 4). While significant differences were observed between all adjacent biomes when we combined the four taxa, that pattern did not hold when each taxon was analyzed independently (Tables 1 and 3). SIMPER analyses revealed that significant differences in assemblages among neighboring biomes, and between seasons, are driven both by differences in species composition (species turnover) and by large shifts in abundance of species (Tables 2 and 4).

Fig 2. MDS ordinations for all four arthropod taxa.

Fig 2

MDS ordination of sites according to the composition and abundance (square root transformed) using the combined data set of all four arthropod taxa (Coleoptera, Araneae, Orthoptera and Myriapoda). Similarity determined using the Bray-Curtis similarity coefficient. Sites that are closer together are more similar in arthropod composition.

Table 1. Results from pairwise ANOSIM tests comparing differences in arthropod assemblages among adjacent biomes in each season (spring/May and summer/September).

Significant differences following Bonferroni adjustment (α = 0.005) are asterisked.

Season Pairwise Comparisons All Taxa Coleoptera Araneae Orthoptera Myriapoda
R P R P R P R P R P
May Desert scrub vs. Grassland 0.50 0.0003* 0.63 0.0005* 0.07 0.2330 0.30 0.0530 -0.14 0.9800
Grassland vs. Chaparral 0.63 0.0001* 0.50 0.0004* 0.53 0.0001* 0.33 0.0090 0.18 0.0470
Chaparral vs. Pine/Oak 0.55 0.0001* 0.34 0.0020* 0.62 0.0001* -0.07 0.7700 0.02 0.3910
Pine/Oak vs. Pine 0.34 0.0001* 0.27 0.0002* 0.08 0.0600 0.34 0.0010* 0.11 0.0910
Pine vs. Mixed Conifer 0.59 0.0001* 0.32 0.0020* 0.61 0.0001* 0.17 0.0120 0.29 0.0060
September Desert scrub vs. Grassland 0.43 0.0010* 0.49 0.0004* 0.11 0.1360 -0.22 0.9580 -0.14 0.8560
Grassland vs. Chaparral 0.72 0.0001* 0.78 0.0001* 0.32 0.0005* 0.08 0.1700 0.11 0.1190
Chaparral vs. Pine/Oak 0.47 0.0001* 0.54 0.0004* 0.30 0.0010* -0.07 0.8460 0.01 0.3560
Pine/Oak vs. Pine 0.27 0.0004* 0.10 0.0500 0.16 0.0070 0.78 0.0003* 0.10 0.1240
Pine vs. Mixed Conifer 0.47 0.0002* 0.23 0.0050 0.00 0.4500 1.00 0.0280 ϯ 0.45 0.0004*

Ϯ Lowest possible p-value due to limited possible permutations, but not significant following α correction.

Table 2. Results from SIMPER analyses, listing the six most important species according to its contribution to the dissimilarity between arthropod assemblages in adjacent biomes: DS = Desertscrub, GL = Grassland, CH = Chaparral, and PO = Pine Oak, P = Pine, MC = Mixed Conifer.

Capital letters preceding species names indicate to which major arthropod group the species belongs (C-Coleoptera, A- Araneae, O-Orthoptera, M-Myriapoda).

Spring Comparisons No. Contribution Summer Comparisons No. Contribution
Per % Per %
Species Trap Dissimilarity Species Trap Dissimilarity
DS vs GL DS GL DS vs GL DS GL
C Triorophus laevis 4.34 0.00 11.61 C Eusattus reticulatus 0.08 1.25 6.97
C Steriphanus subopacus 0.72 0.00 5.43 C Microlestes linearis 0.86 0.43 5.75
A Syspira longipes 0.48 0.15 4.04 C Pasimachus californicus 0.00 0.54 5.49
C Cryptoglossa variolosa 0.38 0.00 4.02 C Discoderus robustus 0.53 0.39 4.92
C Agroporis costipennis 0.14 0.85 3.98 A Ceraticelus nr. formosus 0.26 0.04 3.63
O Gryllus spp. 0.10 0.48 3.25 A Steatoda variata 0.28 0.03 3.31
GL vs CH GL CH GL vs CH GL CH
C Agroporis costipennis 0.85 0.16 5.71 C Eusattus reticulatus 1.25 0.07 6.20
C Eleodes spp. 0.02 0.31 3.83 C Onthophagus sp. 0.01 1.21 5.18
O Gryllus spp. 0.48 0.26 3.79 C Pasimachus californicus 0.54 0.00 4.77
A Callilepis gertschi 0.19 0.31 3.57 O Gryllus spp. 0.29 0.43 3.98
A Zelotes monachus 0.32 0.00 3.39 C Opatrinae spp. 0.16 0.40 3.54
A Drassyllus insularis 0.21 0.00 2.92 C Microlestes linearis 0.43 0.00 3.35
CH vs PO CH PO CH vs PO CH PO
C Serica sp. 0.05 0.76 7.01 C Euparea sp.1 0.03 1.55 7.20
A Callilepis eremella 0.00 0.29 5.63 C Onthophagus sp. 1.21 0.07 6.55
A Callilepis gertschi 0.31 0.00 4.91 O Gryllus spp. 0.43 0.46 5.22
C Eleodes spp. 0.31 0.34 4.81 C Opatrinae spp. 0.40 0.02 4.97
O Gryllus spp. 0.26 0.36 4.45 C Stelidota geminata 0.01 0.46 4.61
A Alopecosa kochi 0.00 0.20 3.64 C Synuchus dubius 0.00 0.39 4.45
PO vs P PO P PO vs P PO P
C Serica sp. 0.76 0.72 8.35 C Euparea sp.1 1.55 3.59 12.64
O Gryllus spp. 0.36 0.02 5.56 C Stelidota geminata 0.46 0.63 5.75
A Alopecosa kochi 0.20 0.46 5.15 O Gryllus spp. 0.46 0.00 4.55
C Eleodes spp. 0.34 0.02 4.42 A Pardosa montgomeryi 0.09 0.36 4.48
O Ceuthophilus spp. 0.07 0.25 4.00 A Xysticus montanensis 0.00 0.33 4.41
A Callilepis eremella 0.29 0.22 3.88 C Synuchus dubius 0.39 0.36 4.30
P vs MC P MC P vs MC P MC
A Callobius arizonicus 0.04 0.57 7.02 M Aniulus sp.1 0.56 3.52 10.85
C Serica sp. 0.72 0.00 5.57 C Euparea sp.1 3.59 1.74 9.10
O Ceutophilus spp. 0.25 0.32 4.64 C Synuchus dubius 0.36 0.97 4.34
C Cryptophagus sp1 0.06 0.24 4.53 M Lithobiid sp.3 0.14 0.59 3.78
A Callilepis eremella 0.22 0.00 4.44 C Stelidota geminata 0.63 0.01 3.77
C Omaliinae sp1 0.00 0.54 4.14 A Pardosa montgomeryi 0.36 0.04 3.38

Fig 3. MDS ordinations of sites according to: Coleoptera (A), Araneae (B), Orthoptera (C) and Myriapoda (D) composition and abundance (square root transformed).

Fig 3

Similarity determined using the Bray-Curtis similarity coefficient. Sites that are closer together are more similar in arthropod composition.

Table 3. Results for pairwise ANOSIM tests comparing differences in arthropod assemblages between seasons in each biome.

Significant differences following Bonferroni adjustment (α = 0.0083) are asterisked.

All Taxa Coleoptera Araneae Orthoptera Myriapoda
Biome R P R P R P R P R P
Desertscrub 0.86 0.0080* 0.69 0.0080* 0.85 0.0080* 0.11 0.4000 0.18 0.1400
Grassland 0.80 0.0001* 0.71 0.0001* 0.42 0.0001* 0.30 0.0003* 0.11 0.0410
Chaparral 0.66 0.0006* 0.55 0.0006* 0.46 0.0006* 0.11 0.1190 0.19 0.0860
Pine/Oak 0.85 0.0001* 0.90 0.0001* 0.57 0.0001* 0.14 0.0650 0.02 0.2690
Pine 0.98 0.0001* 0.66 0.0001* 0.94 0.0001* 0.67 0.0004* 0.00 0.4600
Mixed Conifer 0.99 0.0001* 0.78 0.0001* 0.36 0.0002* 1.00 0.0150 ϯ 0.59 0.0002*

Ϯ Lowest possible p-value due to limited possible permutations, but not significant following correction.

Table 4. Results from SIMPER analyses, listing the six most important GDA species according to its contribution to the dissimilarity within each biome during the two collection periods (spring [pre-monsoon], summer [monsoon]).

Capital letters preceding species names indicate to which major arthropod group the species belongs (C-Coleoptera, A- Araneae, O-Orthoptera, M-Myriapoda).

Biome/ Species No. Per Trap % Contribution
Spring Summer Dissimilarity
Desertscrub
C Triorophus laevis 4.34 0.00 11.97
C Steriphanus subopacus 0.72 0.00 5.61
C Microlestes linearis 0.12 0.86 4.64
A Syspira longipes 0.48 0.04 4.49
A Callilepis gertschi 0.30 0.00 4.18
30.89
Grassland
C Eusattus reticulatus 0.00 1.25 6.02
C Agroporis costipennis 0.85 0.09 4.80
C Pasimachus californicus 0.00 0.54 4.42
O Gryllus spp. 0.48 0.29 3.98
C Microlestes linearis 0.07 0.43 3.09
22.31
Chaparral
C Onthophagus sp. 0.00 1.21 6.91
C Opatrinae spp. 0.00 0.40 5.33
A Callilepis gertschi 0.31 0.00 4.51
C Eleodes spp. 0.31 0.03 4.32
O Gryllus spp. 0.26 0.43 4.16
25.23
Pine/Oak
C Serica sp. 0.76 0.00 7.43
C Euparea sp. 0.00 1.55 7.05
O Gryllus spp. 0.36 0.46 5.08
A Callilepis eremella 0.29 0.00 4.81
C Stelidota geminata 0.00 0.46 4.63
29.00
Pine
C Euparea sp. 0.00 3.59 9.71
A Alopecosa kochi 0.46 0.03 5.76
C Synuchus dubius 0.00 0.36 4.64
C Serica sp. 0.72 0.00 4.21
A Pardosa montgomeryi 0.00 0.36 4.09
28.41
Mixed Conifer
M Aniulus sp.1 0.10 3.12 8.35
C Euparea sp. 0.00 1.74 6.85
C Synuchus dubius 0.00 0.97 5.99
M Lithobiid sp.3 0.03 0.59 4.12
O Ceuthophilus spp. 0.32 0.00 3.98
29.29

Fifty-three percent (178 species) of all GDA species collected were found in only one biome, and over 50% of the species of Coleoptera, Araneae, and Orthoptera occurred in only one biome (Fig 4; S3 File). Of the 31% of Myriapoda species collected in one biome, 25% percent were collected in the highest elevation biome, Mixed Conifer Forest. Of all GDA species collected, 56 (17%) species occurred only in the two highest-elevation biomes (Pine and Mixed Conifer Forests). The proportion of species within each of the four taxa analyzed confined to these high elevation biomes varied from 11 to 25% (Fig 5).

Fig 4. Proportion of species in each taxa found in only one biome.

Fig 4

Proportion of species in each taxa (Coleoptera, Araneae, Orthoptera, and Myriapoda) found in only one biome (presented as a proportion of the total richness).

Fig 5. Proportion of species collected that were found only in the two highest elevation biomes.

Fig 5

Pine and Mixed Conifer Forests. Numbers above each bar indicate the total number of species.

Seventy-seven percent (254 species) of all GDA species collected were found only during one season (S3). The percent of species collected in only one season was ≥ 50% for each GDA taxon: 84% Coleoptera (162 species), 69% Araneae (70), 56% Orthoptera (14), and 50% Myriapoda (8). The percentage of species collected in only one season was consistent between seasons for both the Coleoptera (40% in the spring and 45% in the summer) and the Myriapoda (25% spring, 25% summer), but varied with a higher percentage of Araneae (46% spring, 23% summer) and a lower percentage of Orthoptera (4% spring, 52% summer) collected in the spring.

Discussion

Most investigations of arthropod diversity along elevation gradients have focused on patterns of species richness (see [14, 49]). Such studies most often seek to identify elevations that harbor the highest species diversity [4]. However, this approach ignores that elevation also profoundly influences species composition and abundance [41], and that plant biomes change with elevation. Our study incorporated both species identity and abundance into the analyses, and we found that all biomes along the elevation gradient harbor unique GDA assemblages. This pattern was consistent between seasons despite significant turnover in species within biomes between the spring and summer. Differences in GDA assemblages among biomes were partly driven by widespread species having different abundances in the various biomes in which they are present (e.g., Agroporis costipennis is more abundant in the Grassland biome than it is in the two adjacent biomes, Desertscrub and Chaparral, in the spring). However, biomes do harbor different GDA species, and more than 50% of the Coleoptera, Araneae, and Orthoptera species were only collected in one biome. Further research is required to ascertain what ecological and/or physiological factors are correlated with this pattern.

Across the Southwest, average annual temperatures have risen over 0.84°C since 1951 [50], and in Arizona the average annual temperature has increased by 1.4°C since 1976 [51]. Average daily temperatures in the Southwest for the 2001–2010 decade were the highest on record since 1900, and the period since 1950 has been warmer than any period of comparable length in at least 600 years [7]. In Tucson (Arizona), mean annual air temperature increased an average of 0.25°C/decade from 1949 to 2011, and mean annual precipitation declined significantly from 1991 to 2011 [15]. Van Mantgem et al. [52] attribute the rapid increase in tree mortality rates in the western United States to higher ambient temperatures. In New Mexico in the 1950s, there was a large shift (of 2 km or more) in the ecotone between semi-arid ponderosa pine forest and piñon-juniper woodland in less than five years as a result of ponderosa pine mortality associated with severe drought [53]. Substantial support exists for projected temperature increases in the U.S. over the rest of this century, and models agree that increases in summer temperatures will be greatest in the Southwest [51].

Species’ vulnerability to environmental change and the nature of that change varies with elevation [54]. While, lower-elevation arthropod species are threatened by habitat disturbance mediated directly by humans [55] or indirectly through climate change [56], including the establishment and spread of invasive weed species (e.g., buffelgrass, Pennisetum ciliare in the Catalina Mountains), species at higher elevations everywhere are threatened by climate change and, potentially, the complete loss of their habitat [10]. In the mountains of southwestern U.S., climate change most threatens the survival of animals (and plants) confined to high elevation biomes [30, 54]. This threat is greatest in Pine and Mixed Conifer Forests because these high elevation communities can be extremely isolated and as a result often contain a high proportion of endemic species or lineages [57]. In the Catalina Mountains, we found that 17% (56) of the GDA species collected were only found in these two highest elevation biomes. This proportion of species is consistent with estimates for reptiles and mammals, which suggest 15 to 25% of those species in Arizona are at risk of extinction or local expatriation due to the loss of high elevation habitats as a result of climate change [54]. Studies examining snails, beetles, harvestmen, and jumping spiders have shown that different Sky Island ranges hold genetically distinct populations and species [5861]. Because the total area of these high elevation biomes is decreasing [31, 34], significant loss of high elevation species can be expected. The threat is also high in Oak Woodlands and Pine-Oak Woodland biomes, where habitat is predicted to be lost to encroaching Desert Grasslands as climates continue to warm and dry in the Southwest [62]. For example, projected vegetation changes in Saguaro National Park (next to the Santa Catalina Mountains), assuming a temperature rise of 4°C this century, include an expansion of both Desertscrub and Desert Grassland, and decreases in woodland and forest habitats [34].If high elevation biomes in these mountains harbor the same species, but unique populations (e.g., evolutionary significant units), loss of biodiversity might be even more pronounced.

These results underscore the need for more field-based inventories and baselines of arthropod taxa throughout the mountains of the Southwest to predict how arthropod assemblages will respond to climate change. However, significant differences in GDA assemblages between seasons (76% of the species were collected only in one season) indicate that this factor must be accounted for when comparing GDA communities between years and among mountain ranges. Because critical temperature thresholds limit growth, development, survival, reproduction and activity of ectothermic arthropods [63, 64],the shift in composition between seasons may be explained by differences in temperature and humidity and the ability of the species to cope with the corresponding changes in desiccation stress. However, controlling for temperature when making inter-mountain comparisons may be difficult in the Madrean Sky Island Region, defined by Moore et al. [26] to include the Pinal Mountains in the north (~ 32.2°N in latitude) and the Sierra Mazatán in the south (~29° in latitude), since temperatures vary considerably along this latitudinal gradient within a season. In addition, limited access to most Madrean Sky Islands makes it logistically difficult to carry out comparative studies among multiple ranges. The same considerations must also be taken into account when making year-to-year considerations, since our results highlight that season influences GDA species turnover. Further, these mountain ranges vary substantially in size, adding area as another confounding variable. Comparisons of only the high elevation biomes (Mixed Conifer and Pine Forests) among ranges, where species are most threatened, may be most important and most feasible. Because these biomes cover less area, sampling strategies can be developed to thoroughly inventory arthropod diversity thereby adding confidence to inter-mountain comparisons and endemic taxa requiring direct conservation efforts can be identified.

Perhaps unsurprisingly, patterns were not concordant among GDA taxa (Coleoptera, Araneae, Orthoptera, and Myriapoda) on either geographical or temporal scales. In our study, Coleoptera assemblages differed in every biome along the elevation gradient in spring, but differences were not observed between adjacent high elevation biomes in summer (i.e., Pine and Mixed Conifer Forests). These high elevation biomes were not similar in the summer because phenological differences resulted in beetle species present in the Pine biome in the spring moving higher into the Mixed Conifer Biome in the fall. Instead, these differences were due to a different assemblage of beetles inhabiting these two biomes in the summer. While the scenario that species may move to higher elevation biomes as temperatures warm seems logical, we see no evidence of this in the Catalinas. Instead, we observed high species turnover between seasons indicating that different species are present/active. Similar to beetles, Araneae assemblages consistently differed between Grassland and Chaparral, and Chaparral and Pine-Oak biomes, but differences between Pine and Mixed Conifer biomes in spring were not found in summer. In contrast, the only adjacent biomes that had different Orthoptera assemblages were the Pine-Oak and Pine biomes in both sampling periods, and Myriapoda assemblages differed between Pine and Mixed Conifer biomes only in the summer. This suggests that identifying selected species (or higher taxa) to serve as indicators or surrogates for other taxonomic groups, or for the entire GDA fauna, may not be possible. In addition, both paleontological and contemporary studies suggest that species assemblages do not respond to climate change as entities [31, 6567]. Rather, species responses tend to be idiosyncratic, resulting in the development of entirely new assemblages and associations [68, 69]. Variation in response to climate change among species result from differences in specific species characteristics (e.g., ability to physiologically cope with the changing conditions and disperse to favorable areas), and complex interactions among species, notably mismatches between predators and prey [70] and herbivorous insects in their host plants [71]. Combined, these results again underscore the need for field-based inventories and baselines of multiple GDA taxa for future comparisons.

Comprehensive surveys and monitoring protocols are required if we are to compile a relatively complete species inventory of GDA in even one mountain range. Since GDA are notoriously diverse [17], an enormous and resource-intensive effort is often required to obtain a relatively complete inventory using pitfall trapping [72]. While this was not the goal of our study, it is interesting to note that even with the 18,480 trap-days employed in our sampling, we are unable to confidently estimate the species richness of Coleoptera or Araneae for the entire mountain range, or even for plant biomes, despite collecting 192 and 102 species in each of these groups, respectively. Large turnover in GDA species between seasons certainly indicates that increased sampling in all biomes will increase species richness estimates. Still, our surveys captured the most abundant and conspicuous species, and future monitoring efforts will allow us to track changes in these more common species while also capturing more of the rare species in an attempt to inventory the total arthropod diversity.

Our study is the first to document the remarkable diversity of ground-dwelling arthropods in one of the 65 ranges that comprise the Madrean Sky Island Mountain Region, and it highlights the potential for a substantial loss of this diversity under climate change. Low elevation biomes (Desertscrub and Grassland) are predicted to expand in area as climates continue to warm in the Southwest [31, 34]; however, they are subject to other threats, such as invasive exotic weeds (e.g., buffelgrass, Pennisetum ciliare). In contrast, high elevation montane woodlands and conifer forests are expected to decrease in size [31, 34]. These higher elevation biomes not only harbor a significant proportion of GDA species (11 to 25% of the species in our study, depending on GDA group), but high elevation GDA biotas in the Madrean Sky Island Region are known to be extremely isolated [57] and likely contain a high proportion of genetically distinct populations and species [5861]. Many of these previous studies focused on GDA such as jumping spiders [59], harvestmen [60], and ground-dwelling carabid beetles [61]. Because both empirical data and model-based projections suggest that the area of these high elevation biomes is decreasing rapidly [31, 34], irreplaceable loss in GDA diversity in the Santa Catalina Mountains as well as other isolated mountain ranges in the southwestern U.S. is likely to occur.

Supporting Information

S1 File. A file to show location of study sites.

Color coding of sites according to plant biomes is consistent with Figs 2 and 3.

(PDF)

S2 File. A file that provides the site (rows) by species (columns) matrix for all four arthropod taxa.

Categorical and continuous ecological variables used and unused in analyses are in columns prior to arthropod species.

(XLSX)

S3 File. A file that provides species lists indicating plant biome and season collected.

(XLSX)

Acknowledgments

This research is a product of the Arizona Sky Island Arthropod Project (ASAP) at the University of Arizona. We thank the National Institute of Health (grant number: 5K12GM000708), National Science Foundation (DBI-1203398 and EF-1206382 to Wendy Moore), the National Geographic Society (8964–11), and the Schlinger Foundation (Moore and Brusca) for funding. We also thank James Robertson, Jason Schaller, Garrett Hughes, Chelsea Powers, Carrol Tepper, Chris McGinnis Shawna Rogers, Eryn Wuori, Heeya Ju, Kayla Jones, Rebecca Compoy, Gabe Oropeza for help in the field and with the processing of samples and Alan Yanahan for help with the map. The United States Forestry Service (permit SAN0827) allowed access to field sites.

Data Availability

All data is provided in Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

This study was supported by 5K12GM000708, National Institute of Health, W.M.M. - (http://www.nigms.nih.gov/training/careerdev/Pages/TWDInstRes.aspx) 8964-11, National Geographic Society, W.M.M. - (http://www.nationalgeographic.com/explorers/grants-programs/cre) DBI-1203398, National Science Foundation, W. M. EF-1206382, National Science Foundation, W.M. (http://www.nsf.gov). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

References

  • 1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK; 2013. [Google Scholar]
  • 2. Parmesan C. Ecological and evolutionary responses to recent climate change. Annu Rev Ecol Syst 2006; 37: 637–669. [Google Scholar]
  • 3. Chen I-C, Hill JK, Ohlemüller R, Roy DB, Thomas CD. Rapid range shifts of species associated with high levels of climate warming. Science 2011;333: 1024–1026. 10.1126/science.1206432 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4. Lomolino JW. Elevation gradients of species-density: historical and prospective views. Glob Ecol Biogeogr 2001;10: 3–13. [Google Scholar]
  • 5. Diaz HF, Grosjean M, Graumlich L. Climate variability and change in high elevation regions: past, present and future. Climate Change 2003;59: 1–4. [Google Scholar]
  • 6. Sauer J, Domisch S, Nowak C, Haase P. Low mountain ranges: summit traps for montane freshwater species under climate change. Biodivers Conserv 2011; 20: 3133–3146. [Google Scholar]
  • 7. Garfin G, Jardine A, Merideth R, Black M, LeRoy S. (eds.). Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Island Press, Washington, DC; 2013. [Google Scholar]
  • 8. Bloggs CL, Murphy DD. Community composition in mountain ecosystems: climatic determinants of montane butterfly distributions. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 1997;6: 39–48. [Google Scholar]
  • 9. Haslett JR. Mountain ecology: organism responses to environmental change, an introduction. Global Ecology and Biogeography Letters 1997;6: 3–6. [Google Scholar]
  • 10. Dieker P, Drees C, Assmann T. Two high-mountain burnet moth species (Lepidoptera, Zygaenidae) react differently to the global change drivers climate and land-use. Biol Conserv 2001; 144: 2810–2818. [Google Scholar]
  • 11. Pickett STA. Space-for-time substitution as an alternative to long-term studies In: Likens G., editor. Long-term studies in Ecology. Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg; 1989. pp. 110–135. [Google Scholar]
  • 12. Körner C. Why are there global gradients in species richness? Mountains may hold the answer. Trends Ecol Evol 2000;15: 513. [Google Scholar]
  • 13. Rahbek C. The elevational gradient of species richness: a uniform pattern? Ecography 1995;18: 200–205. [Google Scholar]
  • 14. Hodkinson ID. Terrestrial insects along elevation gradients: species and community responses to altitude. Biol Rev 2005;80: 489–513. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15. Brusca RC, Brusca GJ. Invertebrates. Sinauer Associates, Inc., Sunderland, USA; 2002. [Google Scholar]
  • 16. Richman DB, O’Keefe W. Life on a high isolated mountain: the arthropod fauna of Mt. Taylor, Cibola County, New Mexico. Zool Stud 2012;51: 793–803. [Google Scholar]
  • 17. Behan-Pelletier V, Newton G. Linking soil biodiversity and ecosystem function–the taxonomic dilemma. BioSci 1999;49: 149–153. [Google Scholar]
  • 18. Lensing JR, Wise DH. Predicted climate change alters the indirect effects of predators on ecosystem processes. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 2006;103: 15502–15505. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19. Lenoir L, Persson T, Bengtsson J, Wallander H, Wiren A. Bottom-up or top-down control in forest soil microcosms? Effects of soil fauna on fungal biomass and C/N mineralization. Biol Fertil Soils 2007;43: 281–294. [Google Scholar]
  • 20. Powers JS, Montgomery RA, Adair EC, Brearley FQ, DeWalt SJ, Castanho CT, et al. Decomposition in tropical forests: a pan-tropical study of the effects of litter type, litter placement a mesofaunal exclusion across a precipitation gradient. J Ecol 2009;97: 801–811. [Google Scholar]
  • 21. Yang X, Chen J. Plant litter quality influences the contribution of soil fauna to litter decomposition in humid tropical forests, southwestern China. Soil Biol Biochem 2009;41: 910–918. [Google Scholar]
  • 22. Meyer WM III, Ostertag R, Cowie RH. Macro-invertebrates accelerate litter decomposition and nutrient release in Hawaii. Soil Biol and Biochem 2011;43: 206–211. [Google Scholar]
  • 23. Wall DH, Bradford MA, St. John MG, Trofymows JA, Behan-Pelleter V, Bignell DE, et al. Global decomposition experiment shows soil animal impacts on decomposition are climate-dependent. Glob Change Biol 2010;14 2661–2677. [Google Scholar]
  • 24. Schimel DS, Alvves D, Enting I, Heimann M, Joos F, Raymond D, et al. CO2 and the carbon cycle In. Houghton J, Filho LM, Callander BA, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K. editors. Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge; 1996; pp.76–86. [Google Scholar]
  • 25. Bardgett RD, Freeman C, Ostle NJ. Microbial contributions to climate change through carbon cycle feedbacks. ISME J 2008;2: 805–814. 10.1038/ismej.2008.58 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 26. Moore W, Meyer WM, Eble JA, Franklin K, Wiens JF, Brusca RC 2013. Introduction to the Arizona Sky Island Arthropod Project (ASAP): systematics, biogeography, ecology and population genetics of arthropods of the Madrean Sky Islands In. Gottfried GJ, Ffolliott PF, Bebow BS, Eskew LG. editors. Merging science and management in a rapidly changing world: biodiversity and management of the Madrean Archipelago III. U.S. Department of Agriculture; 2013;RMRS-P-67:140–164. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 27. Brown D. 1994. Biotic communities, southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico. University of Utah Press, Salt Lake City, USA; 1994. [Google Scholar]
  • 28. Brusca RC, Moore W. 2013. A natural history of the Santa Catalina Mountains, with an introduction to the Sky Island region. Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum Press, Tucson, USA; 2013. [Google Scholar]
  • 29. Kimball S, Angert AL, Huxman TE, Venable DL. Contemporary climate change in the Sonoran Desert favors cold-adapted species. Glob Change Biol 2010;16: 1555–1565. [Google Scholar]
  • 30. Crimmins TA, Crimmins MA, Bertlesen D. Onset of summer flowering in a ‘Sky Island’ is driven by monsoon moisture. New Phytol 2011;191: 468–479. 10.1111/j.1469-8137.2011.03705.x [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 31. Brusca RC, Wiens JF, Meyer WM, Eble J, Franklin K, Overpeck JT, et al. Dramatic response to climate change in the Southwest: Robert Whittaker's 1963 Arizona Mountain plant transect revisited. Ecol Evol 2013;3: 3307–3319. 10.1002/ece3.720 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 32. Crimmins TM, Crimmins MA, Bertlesen D. Flowering range changes across an elevation gradient in response to warming summer temperatures. Glob Change Biol 2009;15: 1141–1152. [Google Scholar]
  • 33. Whittaker RH, Niering WA. Vegetation of the Santa Catalina Mountains, Arizona. I. Ecological classification and distribution of species. Journal of the Arizona-Nevada Academy of Sciences 1964;3: 9–34. [Google Scholar]
  • 34. Kupfer JA, Balmat J, Smith JL. Shifts in the potential distribution of sky island plant communities in response to climate change In. Gottfried GJ, Gebow BS, Eskew LG, Edminster CB, editors. Biodiversity and Management of the Madrean Archipelago II: Connecting Mountain Islands and Desert Seas. U. S. Department of Agriculture; 2005;RMRS-P-36: 485–490. [Google Scholar]
  • 35. Loarie SR, Carter BE, Hayhoe K, McMahon S, Moe R, Knight CA, et al. Climate change and the future of California's endemic flora. PLoS One 2008;3: e2502 10.1371/journal.pone.0002502 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 36. Gutzler DS, Robbins TO. Climate variability and projected change in the western United States: regional downscaling and drought statistics. Climate Dynamics 2010;37: 835–847. [Google Scholar]
  • 37. Overpeck J, Udall B. Dry times ahead. Science 2010;328: 1642–1643. 10.1126/science.1186591 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 38. Dominguez F, Rivera E, Lettenmaier DP, Castro CL. Changes in winter precipitation extremes for the western United States under a warmer climate as simulated by regional climate models. Geophys Res Lett 2012:39: L05803. [Google Scholar]
  • 39. Daily GC, Ehrlich PR. Nocturnality and species survival. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 93;1996. 11709–11712. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 40. Ricketts TH, Daily GC, Ehrlich PR. Does butterfly diversity predict moth diversity? Testing a popular indicator taxon at local scales. Biol Conserv 2002;103: 361–370. [Google Scholar]
  • 41. Whittaker RH. A study of summer foliage insect communities in the Great Smoky Mountains. Ecol Monogr 1952;22; 1–44. [Google Scholar]
  • 42. Guevara J, Avilés L. Elevational changes in the composition of insects and other terrestrial arthropods at tropical latitudes: a comparison of multiple sampling methods and spider diets. Insect Conserv Divers 2009;2: 142–152. [Google Scholar]
  • 43. Toranza C, Arim M. Cross-taxon congruence and environmental conditions. BMC Ecol 2010;10: 18 10.1186/1472-6785-10-18 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 44. Douglas MW, Maddox RA, Howard K, Reyes S. The Mexican monsoon. J Clim 1993;6: 1665–1677. [Google Scholar]
  • 45. Niering WA, Lowe CH. 1985. Vegetation of the Santa Catalina Mountains: community types and dynamics In.Peet RK. editor. Plant Community Ecology: Papers in Honor of Robert H. Whittaker. W. Junk Publishers/Kluwer-Academic Publishing, Boston; 1985. pp. 159–185 [Google Scholar]
  • 46. Higgins JW, Cobb NS, Sommer S, Delph RJ, Brantley SL. Ground-dwelling arthropod responses to succession in a pinyon-juniper woodland. Ecosphere 2014;5: 5: 10.1890/ES13-00270.1 [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 47. Clarke K, Gorley R. PRIMER v6: user manual/tutorial. Plymouth: PRIMER-E; 2006. [Google Scholar]
  • 48. Moran MD. Arguments for rejecting the sequential Bonferroni in ecological studies. Oikos 2003;100: 403–405. [Google Scholar]
  • 49. McCoy ED. The distribution of insects along elevation gradients. Oikos 1990;58: 313–322. [Google Scholar]
  • 50.Robles MD, Enquist C. Managing changing landscapes in the Southwestern United States. The Nature Conservancy 2010.
  • 51.CLIMAS Project (University of Arizona). http://www.climas.arizona.edu/projects/southwest-climateoutlook. 2012.
  • 52. Van Mantgem PJ, Stephensen NL, Byrne JC, Daniels LD, Frankline JR, Fule PZ, et al. Widespread increase of tree mortality rates in the western United States. Science 2009;323: 521–523. 10.1126/science.1165000 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 53. Allen CD, Breshears DD. Drought-induced shift of a forest-woodland ecotone: rapid landscape response to climate variation. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. 1998;14839–14842.53. IPCC. Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, Pachauri, R.K and Reisinger, A. (eds.)]. 2007. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 104 pp. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 54. Koprowski JL, Doumas SL, Merrick MJ, Oleson B, Posthumus EE, Jessen TG, et al. It’s lonely at the top: biodiversity and risk to loss from climate change In. Gottfried GJ, Ffolliott PF, Bebow BS, Eskew LG. editors. Merging science and management in a rapidly changing world: biodiversity and management of the Madrean Archipelago III. U.S. Department of Agriculture; 2013;RMRS-P-67: 140–164. [Google Scholar]
  • 55. Goehring DM, Daily GC, Şekercioğ CH. Distribution of ground-dwelling arthropods in tropical countryside habitats. J Insect Conserv 2002;6: 83–91. [Google Scholar]
  • 56. Stromberg JC, McCluney KE, Dixon MD, Meixner T. Dryland riparian ecosystems in the American southwest: sensitivity and resilience to climatic extremes. Ecosyst 2013;16: 411–415. [Google Scholar]
  • 57. Watling JI, Donnelly MA. Fragments as islands: a synthesis of faunal responses to habitat patchiness. Conserv Biol 2006;20: 1016–1025. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 58. McCord RD. Phylogeny and biogeography of the land snail, Sonorella, in the Madrean Archipelago In. DeBano LF, Folliott PF, Ortega-Rubio A, Gottfried GJ, Hamre RH, Edminster CB, editors. Biodiversity and management of the Madrean archipelago:the sky islands of southwestern United States and northwestern Mexico. Fort Collins: USDA Forest Service, General Technical Report; 1994;RM-GTR-264 pp.317–324. [Google Scholar]
  • 59. Masta S. Phylogeography of the jumping spider Habronatus pugillis (Araneae: Salticidae): recent vicariance of Sky Island populations? Evolution 2000;54: 1699–1711. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 60. Derkarabetian S, Ledford J, Hedin M. Genetic diversification without obvious genitalic morphological divergence in harvestmen (Opiliones, Laniatores, Sclerobunus robustus) from montane sky islands of western North America. Mol Phylogenet Evol 2011;61: 844–853. 10.1016/j.ympev.2011.08.004 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 61. Mitchell SG, Ober KA. Evolution of Scaphinotus petersi (Coleoptera:Carabidae) and the role of climate and geography in the Madrean sky islands of southeastern Arizona, USA. Quaternary Research 2013;79: 274–283. [Google Scholar]
  • 62. Coe SJ, Finch DM, Friggens MM. An assessment of climate change and the vulnerability of wildlife in the Sky Islands of the Southwest Gen. Tech. Rept. RMRS-GTR-273. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Dept. Agr., Forest Serv., Rocky Mtn. Research Station; 2010. [Google Scholar]
  • 63. Bale JS, Masters GJ, Hodkinson ID, Awmack C, Bezemer TM, Brown VK, et al. Herbivory in global climate change research: direct effects of rising temperature on insect herbivores. Glob Change Biol 2002;8: 1–16. [Google Scholar]
  • 64. Strange EE, Ayres MP. Climate change impacts: insects. Encyclopedia of Life Sciences, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd; Chichester; 2010. [Google Scholar]
  • 65. Coope GR. The effects of Quaternary climatic changes in insect populations: lessons from the past In. Harrington R, Stork NE. editors. Insects in a Changing Environment. Academic Press, London; 1995, pp. 30–49. [Google Scholar]
  • 66. Jablonski D, Sepkoski JJ. Paleobiology, community ecology, and scales of ecological pattern. Ecology 1996;77: 1367–1378. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 67. Dornelas M, Gotelli NJ, McGill B, Shimadzu H, Moyes F, Sievers C, et al. Assemblage time series reveal biodiversity change but not systematic loss. Science 2014;344: 296–299. 10.1126/science.1248484 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 68. Graham RW, Grimm EC. Effects of global climate change on the patterns of terrestrial biological communities. Trends Ecol Evol 1990;5: 289–292. 10.1016/0169-5347(90)90083-P [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 69. Voight W, Perner J, Davis AJ. Trophic levels are differentially sensitive to climate. Ecology 2003;84: 2444–2454. [Google Scholar]
  • 70. Durant JM, Hjermann DØ, Ottersen G, Stenseth NC. Climate and the match or mismatch between predator requirements and resource availability. Climate Research 2007;33: 271–283. [Google Scholar]
  • 71. Rasmann S, Pellissier L, Defossez E, Jactel H, Kunstler G. Climate-driven change in plant-insect interactions along elevation gradients. Funct Ecol 2014;28: 46–54. [Google Scholar]
  • 72. Driscoll DA. Few beetle species can be detected with 95% confidence using pitfall traps. Austral Ecol 2010;35: 13–23. [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

S1 File. A file to show location of study sites.

Color coding of sites according to plant biomes is consistent with Figs 2 and 3.

(PDF)

S2 File. A file that provides the site (rows) by species (columns) matrix for all four arthropod taxa.

Categorical and continuous ecological variables used and unused in analyses are in columns prior to arthropod species.

(XLSX)

S3 File. A file that provides species lists indicating plant biome and season collected.

(XLSX)

Data Availability Statement

All data is provided in Supporting Information files.


Articles from PLoS ONE are provided here courtesy of PLOS

RESOURCES