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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Sep 1.
Published in final edited form as: Fertil Steril. 2015 Jun 11;104(3):612–619.e3. doi: 10.1016/j.fertnstert.2015.05.017

Diminished Ovarian Reserve (DOR) in the US ART Population: Diagnostic Trends Among 181,536 Cycles from the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technology Clinic Outcomes Reporting System (SART CORS)

Kate Devine 1,5,*, Sunni L Mumford 2, Mae Wu 1, Alan H DeCherney 1, Micah J Hill 3,**, Anthony Propst 4,**
PMCID: PMC4560955  NIHMSID: NIHMS691828  PMID: 26049057

Abstract

Objective

To evaluate trends in DOR assignment in the SART CORS database and to evaluate its accuracy in predicting poor ovarian response (POR) as defined in ESHRE’s ‘Bologna Criteria’ (2011).

Design

Retrospective cohort study.

Setting

Not applicable.

Patients

181,536 fresh, autologous ART cycles reported to SART by US clinics in 2004 and 2011 (earliest and most recent available reporting years).

Intervention(s)

None.

Main Outcome Measure(s)

DOR assignment was the primary exposure. POR, defined as cycle cancellation for poor response or <4 oocytes retrieved following conventional gonadotropin stimulation (>149 IU FSH daily), was the primary outcome. Secondary outcomes were live birth and number of oocytes retrieved. DOR prevalence, power of DOR and FSH (</≥12 mIU/mL) to predict POR, and live birth in POR cycles were also calculated.

Results

DOR prevalence increased from 19 to 26% from 2004 to 2011. Among cycles clinically assigned as DOR, incidence of POR decreased from 32 to 30%, and live birth improved from 15 to 17%. Comparing basal FSH ≥12 versus clinical assignment of DOR, basal FSH had a higher specificity (92.2% vs.81.6%) and PPV (38.3%vs.30.9%) for predicting POR. Live birth among POR cycles was 4%.

Conclusions

DOR diagnosis is increasing, and accuracy remains poor, despite the availability of additional diagnostic parameters such as antral follicle count and anti-mullerian hormone. POR entailed poor outcomes, but the majority of patients clinically assigned as DOR did not experience POR. Development and utilization of more accurate predictors of POR are needed to minimize patient distress resulting from over-diagnosis.

Keywords: diminished ovarian reserve, poor ovarian response, live birth, diagnosis, FSH

Introduction

The diagnosis of diminished ovarian reserve (DOR) is clinically applied to patients with infertility who are thought likely to experience a poor ovarian response (POR) to ovarian stimulation. Assignment of DOR in the ART population is increasing, although diagnostic criteria remain poorly defined (1, 2). Per ASRM, DOR has been defined in various ways, to include a reduced fecundability and/or POR to gonadotropin stimulation (1). Diagnosis of DOR may cause understandable distress among patients (3); therefore, it is important to minimize mis- and over-diagnosis. Unfortunately, recent data suggests that DOR is over-diagnosed. Butts et al. noted a significant upward trend in the prevalence of DOR (4). Among their sample of younger than 40 years old ART patients diagnosed with DOR, a >21% live birth rate was noted. This relatively high proportion of successful cycles does not accord with the expected poor-prognosis of this diagnostic category. A standardized definition of DOR is needed to reduce over-diagnosis.

In 2011, ESHRE outlined its ‘Bologna Criteria.’ This consensus recommended minimum criteria needed to predict POR, namely, that at least two of the three following conditions be met: (a) age greater than or equal to 40 years or any conditions linked to decreased resting follicles; (b) low AFC or AMH; (c) prior poor ovarian response, i.e. a history of cycle cancellation for poor response or fewer than four oocytes at retrieval following conventional gonadotropin stimulation (>149 IU FSH daily) (5). These criteria have not been fully validated among a large population. However, Chai et al. recently found that sub-fertile patients deemed poor responders by these criteria had a lower chance of live birth following ART (6). Similarly, Polyzos et al. have found an association between POR and poor treatment outcomes from both natural cycle IVF (7) and traditional IVF/ICSI (8).

Given the upward trend in clinical DOR assignment and the lack of validated diagnostic criteria, we sought to quantify the increase in proportion of cycles clinically assigned as DOR (DOR prevalence), using data from the Society for Assisted Reproductive Technologies Clinic Online Reporting System (SART CORS). We also sought to determine whether the increase in DOR among ART patients represents improved detection versus over-application. Therefore, we conducted a retrospective analysis of all autologous SART CORS cycles in 2004 and 2011, the earliest and most recent available reporting years, to evaluate the trends in clinical DOR assignment and the accuracy of DOR in predicting POR, as defined by the recent Bologna criteria described above.

Materials and Methods

Data source and permissions

The SART Research Committee approved this study and provided data from SART CORS. SART CORS includes information from more than 90% of clinics performing ART in the United States. De-identified data from ART cycles are entered by individual clinics, verified by SART, and reported to the Centers for Disease Control. The study was approved by the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences Institutional Review Board. The extracted dataset included all fresh, autologous ART cycles from 2004 and 2011 (the earliest and latest available reporting years) for a total of 181,536 cycles.

Inclusion and exclusion criteria

All fresh, autologous ART cycles reported to SART CORS in 2004 and 2011 were included in the initial dataset. Donor-recipient cycles were excluded. In order to minimize the impact of differences in practice patterns between 2004 and 2011, cycles with transfer of any cryopreserved embryos or embryos from cryopreserved oocytes (i.e. combined fresh/frozen transfers) were excluded. In addition, cycles initiated without the intent to transfer embryos (i.e. ‘batching cycles’) were excluded. All of the above excluded cycles were removed by SART prior to our receiving the initial dataset, which included 183,555 cycles. We then additionally excluded a total of 2,019 pre-implantation genetic diagnosis/screening cycles (cycles with transfer of biopsied embryos), leaving 181,536 cycles for analysis. All of the 2,019 pre-implantation genetic diagnosis/screening cycles were reported in 2011.

Definitions and statistics

Prevalence of DOR diagnosis as clinically assigned and entered by the treating clinic was calculated among all included cycles, both by year and overall. DOR prevalence in 2004 was compared to 2011 using chi-square analysis.

Unstimulated cycles (i.e. cycles with FSH dose of 0 or with no information available on FSH dose) were excluded in subsequent analyses, in which clinical, pre-cycle assignment of ‘DOR’ was the primary exposure, and poor ovarian response (POR) to gonadotropins during that cycle was the primary outcome. POR was identified using the ‘Bologna Criteria,’ among cycles that were cancelled for poor response or where fewer than four oocytes were obtained at retrieval performed following conventional gonadotropin stimulation (>149 IU FSH daily).

Secondary outcomes included the number of oocytes retrieved and live birth per cycle start. Sub-analysis of live birth per cycle start among cycles meeting the Bologna criteria for POR was performed to evaluate the validity of this definition for POR. Comparisons were performed via ANOVA for number of oocytes retrieved, and using chi-square analysis for live birth.

Regression Analyses

To evaluate patient and cycle characteristics potentially associated with clinical assignment of DOR diagnosis, univariate and multivariate logistic regression were performed. Factors assessed included age, number of prior fresh cycles, number of prior gonadotropin cycles, gravidity, and elevated basal FSH. Relative risk of DOR was first calculated for each factor separately. Adjusted (multivariate) models included all factors together. Using the same method, we tested these factors, as well as assignment of DOR diagnosis prior to cycle start, for association with poor response in the current cycle, as defined by the Bologna consensus. Statistical analysis was performed using SAS, version 9.3 software (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina).

Diagnostic Parameters

The power of ‘DOR’ to predict POR was also assessed via multiple parameters. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values were calculated using standard definitions. The diagnostic accuracy of clinical DOR assignment was assessed over time and was compared with that of basal FSH ≥12 alone and age ≥ 40 years alone. FSH cut-off was selected a priori as it constituted the 90th centile of the dataset and has been shown to reliably predict poor pregnancy rates (9). Given that the Bologna criteria and others (10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15) suggest at least two criteria are needed to classify a patient as a poor responder, we also assessed the predictive power of clinical DOR diagnosis relative to the combination of basal FSH ≥12 and age ≥ 40 years. Cycles where basal FSH was not entered or was entered as 0 or as >50 mIU/mL were excluded from these analyses.

Results

Overall clinical assignment of DOR (DOR prevalence) increased from 19 to 26% from 2004 to 2011 (P<0.0001). There was a small but significant increase of 3.6 months in patient age at cycle start (P<0.0001) as well as a 3.6% increase in percentage of women who were >40 years of age at cycle start (P<0.0001). The prevalence of DOR was also higher in 2011 in patients younger than 40 years old (P<0.0001). The DOR prevalence increased 37% in the overall cohort in 2011 and increased 42% among patients younger than 40 years (Table 1, Figure1).

Table 1.

Prevalence of DOR by Reporting Year

2004 2011 Combined

All Cycles
N=87,352
Age <40y
N=69,403
All Cycles
N=94,184
Age <40y
N=71,487
All Cycles
N=181,536
Age <40y
N=140,890
Age (y); Mean ± SD 35.3 ± 4.6a 33.7 ± 3.7b 35.6 ± 4.8a 33.6 ± 3.8b 35.5 ± 4.7 33.7±3.7
DOR Prevalence; N (%) 16,392a (19) 8,262a (12) 24,909a (26) 12,052a (17) 41,301 (23) 20,314 (14)

2004 vs. 2011:

a

p<0.0001;

b

p=0.0004

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Trends in DOR prevalence, POR incidence, and Live Birth

Among cycles clinically assigned as DOR prior to cycle start, the incidence of POR (cycle cancellation for poor response or fewer than four oocytes obtained at retrieval) decreased from 32% to 30% from 2004 to 2011 (P=0.0013), suggesting no improvement in the predictive power of the diagnosis over this time period. Overall, 69% of stimulated cycles assigned as DOR failed to meet the Bologna definition for poor response. Mean number of oocytes obtained during stimulated DOR cycles remained constant from 2004 to 2011 at approximately 8, and live birth per DOR cycle start increased slightly from 15 to 17% (P<0.0001).

When the DOR cohort was limited to women with age younger than 40 years, mean oocyte yield was 8.8 and 8.8, and live birth rate was 21 and 24%, in 2004 and 2011 respectively. For all cycles in women younger than 40 years (with or without DOR diagnosis) the mean oocyte yield was13.3 and live birth rate was 34% (Table 2, Figure 1).

Table 2.

Outcomes Among All Stimulated* Cycles versus those Clinically Assigned as DOR

*Cycles with a daily FSH dose = 0 or missing were excluded

2004 Cycles 2011 Cycles Combined 2004 and 2011

ALL STIMULATED CYCLES: All (N=84,099) Age <40y (N=66,779) All (N=90,102) Age <40y (N=68,642) All (N=174,201) Age <40y (N=135,421)
POR; N (%) 13,088b (16) 8,299a (12) 13,508b (15) 7,549a (11) 26,596 (15) 15,848 (12)
# Oocytes retrieved; (Mean ± SD) 12.4 ± 7.8e 13.2 ± 7.9f 12.3 ± 7.8 e 13.3 ± 7.9f 12.4 ± 7.8 13.3 ± 7.9
Live Birth; N (%) 23,231a (28) 21,375a (32) 26,920a (30) 24,375a (35) 50,151 (29) 45,750 (34)

DOR SUBSETS: All DOR (N=15,752) DOR Age<40y (N=7,952) All DOR (N=23,559) DOR Age<40y (N=11,457) All DOR (N=39,311) Age<40y (N=19,409)

POR; N (%) 5,004c (32) 2,331d (29) 7,123c (30) 3,095d (27) 12,127 (31) 5,403 (28)
# Oocytes retrieved; (Mean ± SD) 8.3 ± 5.9 8.8 ± 6.1 8.3 ± 5.9 8.8 ± 6.1 8.3 ± 5.9 8.8 ± 6.1
Live Birth; N (%) 2,357a (15) 1,693a (21) 4,003a (17) 2,811a (24) 6,360 (16) 4,504 (23)

2004 vs. 2011:

a

p<0.0001;

b

p=0.0009;

c

p=0.0013;

d

p=0.0001;

e

p=0.0318;

f

p=0.0023

Despite the significant increase in DOR prevalence from 2004 to 2011, the overall incidence of POR among all stimulated ART cycles decreased from 16% to15% over this time period (P=0.0009). Live birth increased from 28 to 30% (P<0.0001), and the mean number of oocytes retrieved decreased slightly from 12.4 to 12.3 (Table 2, Supplemental Figure 1). Live birth per cycle start among all cycles meeting the Bologna definition of POR was extremely low at 4%, and improved from only 3 to 4% from 2004 to 2011(P<0.0001) (Supplemental Table 1).

The models detailed in Supplemental Table 2 calculate the relative risk of DOR assignment based on several patient characteristics. Factors associated with clinical DOR assignment on univariate analysis were age at cycle start (<40 versus ≥40 years): RR 3.58; 95% CI 3.52–3.64; and elevated basal FSH (<12 versus ≥12mIU/mL): RR 3.15; 95% CI 3.09–3.20. Factors protective from being assigned a DOR diagnosis included low gravidity, having had fewer than two prior IVF cycles, and having had no prior gonadotropin ovulation induction cycles. However, having had no prior gonadotropin ovulation induction cycles was not associated with DOR in the adjusted analysis, and the relative risk of being assigned DOR in the setting of low gravidity reversed from being protective in the unadjusted analysis to a slight increase in relative risk of the diagnosis in the adjusted model. This was likely because both of these factors are associated with young age and thus were not independently protective after adjusting for patient age.

We performed similar analyses assessing the relative risk of POR in the current cycle with the same factors, this time adding DOR diagnosis as a covariate. Univariate analyses indicated strong associations of patient age (≥ 40 years), basal FSH (≥12mIU/mL), and the assignment of DOR diagnosis with POR in the current cycle (RR: 2.37, 95% CI 2.32–2.42; 2.91, 95% CI 2.84–2.99; and 2.88, 95% CI 2.82–2.94, respectively). Univariate analysis again indicated low gravidity and fewer than two prior ART cycles to be protective for POR. However, the association was not significant once age was controlled for in the adjusted analysis. Elevated basal FSH, DOR, and age remained highly associated with POR on multivariate analysis (Supplemental Table 3).

Finally, diagnostic power of DOR assignment was assessed over time and relative to other predictors of POR (Table 3). Sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV) of DOR to predict POR were increased among 2011 cycles relative to 2004, concurrent with the observed 7% increase in clinical DOR assignment. However, specificity and positive predictive value (PPV) of the diagnosis decreased. The PPV in 2011 of DOR assignment for predicting POR was only 30.2%. Relative to DOR, basal FSH had a higher specificity (92.2% vs. 81.6%) and positive predictive value (PPV) (38.3 vs. 30.9%) for predicting POR but a lower sensitivity (25.7% vs. 45.7%) and negative predictive value (NPV) (86.9% vs. 89.3%). Age ≥ 40 years performed more poorly as a predictor of POR than clinical DOR diagnosis for all parameters assessed; however, sensitivity and NPV were higher for age alone than for elevated FSH alone (age vs. FSH: sensitivity 40.4% vs. 25.7%; specificity 81.0% vs.92.2%). The combination of age ≥ 40 years and elevated basal FSH had the greatest specificity and PPV at 97.6% and 48.0% respectively, though sensitivity was very poor at only 12.1%, and these combined criteria had the lowest NPV at 85.5%. The live birth rate among those stimulated cycles in women 40 years or older with a basal FSH ≥ 12 mIU/mL was only 6.7%.

Table 3.

Sensitivity and specificity of DOR and elevated FSH in predicting POR in Stimulated* ART cycles

*Cycles with a daily FSH dose = 0 or missing were excluded

POR
Yes No % (95% CI)
DOR Overall Yes 12,171 27,184 Sensitivity 45.69 (45.09, 46.29)
No 14,469 120,421 Specificity 81.58 (81.38, 81.78)
PPV 30.93 (30.47, 31.39)
NPV 89.27 (89.11, 89.44)

DOR 2004 Yes 5,004 10,748 Sensitivity 38.23 (37.40, 39.07)
No 8,084 60,263 Specificity 84.86 (84.60, 85.13)
PPV 31.77 (31.04, 32.50)
NPV 88.17 (87.93, 88.41)

DOR 2011 Yes 7,123 16,436 Sensitivity 52.73 (51.89, 53.58)
No 6,385 60,158 Specificity 78.54 (78.25, 78.83)
PPV 30.23 (29.65, 30.83)
NPV 90.40 (90.18, 90.63)

Elevated FSH (≥12) Yes 5,285 8,529 Sensitivity 25.72 (25.13, 26.33)
No 15,260 100,934 Specificity 92.21 (92.05, 92.37)
PPV 38.26 (37.45, 39.07)
NPV 86.87 (86.67, 87.06)
Age ≥40 Yes 10,748 28,032 Sensitivity 40.41 (39.82, 41.00)
No 15,848 119,573 Specificity 81.01 (80.81, 81.21)
PPV 27.72 (27.27, 28.16)
NPV 88.30 (88.12, 88.47)
Elevated FSH (≥12) and Age ≥40 Yes 2,480 2,685 Sensitivity 12.07 (11.63, 12.52)
No 18,065 106,778 Specificity 97.55 (97.45, 97.64)
PPV 48.02 (46.64, 49.39)
NPV 85.53 (85.33, 85.72)

Discussion

Our results demonstrated that DOR diagnosis is increasing in the US ART population and that the upward trend largely represents over-diagnosis rather than improved detection. The prevalence of DOR among SART CORS cycles increased 7% from 2004 to 2011, and the ability of clinical DOR assignment to predict POR in the concurrent cycle worsened from 2004 to 2011. Furthermore, the finding of an extremely low live birth rate (4%) among cycles meeting the Bologna criterion for POR supports the definition selected for this criterion as one consistent with very poor cycle outcomes and is consistent with the findings of smaller retrospective analyses (8).

Our finding of increasing DOR prevalence in the US ART population without a corresponding increase in the accuracy of this label as a predictor of poor ART outcomes accords with those of Butts et al. (4). Possible explanations for increased DOR prevalence include older age of women undergoing ART, the addition of diagnostic testing modalities, and clinic motivations to attract patients carrying the diagnosis and/or to explain suboptimal success rates.

The inverse relationship between age and the ovarian follicular pool has been well described (16, 17, 18, 19) and corresponds with lower ART and controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) outcomes among women diagnosed with DOR (20, 21). However, the difference in mean age at cycle start increased by only 3.6 months from 2004 to 2011, which did not account for the 37% relative increase in DOR prevalence. While it is important to note that the proportion of cycles starting at age 40 or greater increased by 3.6% in 2011 versus 2004, DOR assignment increased even more sharply when analysis was limited to patients with age younger than 40 years.

Increased use of AFC and AMH may have contributed to the observed upward trend in DOR assignment. We were unable to directly evaluate the contribution of AFC and AMH, as this data is not as yet available in the SART CORS database. However, our finding of a sharper rate of rise among younger patients, in whom age alone is unlikely to be used for DOR assignment, further suggests reliance on these tests. In recent years AFC and AMH have been reported to have higher diagnostic accuracy than FSH and clinical history alone (22, 23, 24, 25, 26). Therefore, their increased use would be expected to result not only in a higher prevalence of DOR but also perhaps, an increase in poor ovarian response. Nevertheless, diagnostic accuracy has not improved. Among DOR cycles in 2011 versus 2004, incidence of poor response decreased by 2%, mean oocyte yield remained constant, and live birth improved slightly (17 vs. 15%). Improvements in embryo culture, especially increased use of extended culture and blastocyst transfer over this time period (27, 28, 29, 30, 31), likely contributed to the upward trend in live birth but not to the decrease in POR. Overall in 2011, 70% of cycles assigned DOR did not experience POR as defined by the Bologna consensus. Furthermore, in patients younger than 40 years, 21 and 24% of DOR cycles resulted in live birth, in 2004 and 2011, respectively. This accords with the relatively high live birth rate among younger DOR patients found by Butts et al. and strongly suggests over-diagnosis in this group (4).

The limited diagnostic utility of clinical DOR assignment was demonstrated most clearly by its low positive predictive value for POR. Overall, if a patient received a diagnosis of DOR prior to a stimulated ART cycle, there was only a 30.8% chance that she would meet Bologna criteria for poor response. Basal FSH ≥12mIU/mL was more strongly associated with POR on multivariate regression analysis. Both basal FSH alone and FSH combined with age had higher PPV and specificity for predicting POR than did clinical DOR assignment. If, as we believe to be the case, the primary purpose of DOR assignment is to allow for better patient counseling that autologous ART is relatively less likely to result in success (1, 32, 33) and that alternative therapies should be considered, PPV and sensitivity of DOR are its most relevant predictive parameters.

The poor predictive performance of clinical DOR assignment in its current use underscores the importance of establishing standardized, validated diagnostic criteria. The Bologna criteria for POR suggest a uniform framework for predicting poor response to ovarian stimulation, which is one of the purposes of clinical DOR assignment pre-treatment. Though several authors have recently expressed concern regarding the heterogeneous population that the Bologna criteria represents(34, 35), many have already begun implementing these standards as inclusion criteria for clinical studies of the effectiveness of various interventions for poor responders(7, 36, 37, 38). However, to date, the Bologna criteria for POR have not been fully validated. In its current form, the SART CORS database does not have the capacity to do so, since it does not contain previous cycle outcomes, AFC, or AMH (the latter criterion will be available in future reporting years) (39). Though AMH has great potential as a diagnostic and prognostic tool for patients undergoing ART, standardization is needed, to decrease variability and improve accuracy among AMH assays in current use (40). Reliable collection and entry of AMH data by clinics into SART CORS may ultimately enable validation of the assay, further improving its utility.

A strength of the current study lies in its analysis of outcomes among cycles meeting the Bologna definition for poor response. Though we could not assess the association of previous poor response by the Bologna definition with current cycle outcomes, our finding of live birth rate of 4% among cycles meeting this definition substantiates in a large cohort the criterion as a dismal indicator. Furthermore, it accords with the finding of 6.0% live birth among 823 cycles meeting Bologna criteria, as retrospectively analyzed by Polyzos et al. (8). The finding that the combination of basal FSH ≥12mIU/mL and age ≥ 40 years resulted in the highest specificity and PPV for poor response in the current cycle supports the Consensus’s conclusion that at least two criteria should be necessary for diagnosis. Patients meeting these two criteria should be counseled of a 6.7% likelihood of live birth from autologous ART and should be advised to consider the use of donor oocytes.

Strengths of the current study include its large cohort, its evaluation of the trend in DOR diagnosis and diagnostic accuracy via analysis of reporting years separated by a 7-year interval, and its corroboration of the Bologna definition for poor response. The very poor PPV of DOR in US ART cycles has clinical utility. Though this has previously been reported for FSH (5, 9, 41), clinical DOR assignment, which takes multiple objective factors into consideration, would be expected to perform better. The information that 70% of all patients diagnosed with DOR had at least 4 oocytes retrieved and that 16% achieved live birth may provide some limited reassurance to patients informed by clinicians of this diagnosis.

Our study has several limitations, the most significant of which derive from its retrospective nature and the unavailability of relevant cycle characteristics in the dataset. AFC, AMH and previous cycle outcomes would further refine our understanding of patterns in DOR diagnosis and assist in validating the Bologna criteria for POR more completely. Once available in a large database, such as SART CORS, these, along with age, FSH, and other cycle characteristics should be used in order to determine an optimal set of predictors of POR. Importantly, the fully de-identified nature of the provided dataset made it impossible to link cycles. This precluded an analysis of whether and when a current DOR diagnosis might manifest as POR in the future. Furthermore, we could not conduct an analysis to account for repeated cycle bias; however, we performed sensitivity analyses of first cycles only, which revealed lower overall DOR prevalence but a similar trend in DOR diagnosis over time. In patients with DOR, the number of oocytes retrieved and live birth rates among first cycles were similar to those reported among all cycles. Another limitation is the inability to objectively measure distress or anxiety felt by the patient. Furthermore, it is difficult to establish whether patients who have been diagnosed with DOR have been counseled on the definition. This particular aspect could not be investigated with the current dataset. Future studies similar to Cizmeli et al are needed to evaluate the psychological impact of this assignment in fertility treatment cycles (3).

Our findings indicate that despite attempts to improve diagnostic standards, there exists a mismatch between patients clinically assigned as DOR and their ovarian response during ART cycles. This mismatch has not improved over the past decade. There certainly exists a group of patients who, despite aggressive stimulation, are unlikely to experience live birth following fresh, autologous ART (42, 43, 44). However, the present study suggests that when and if patients are informed that ‘DOR’ has been assigned as their SART CORS diagnosis, they should also be made aware that this designation in its current clinical use does not necessarily portend a poor response to ovarian stimulation. The Bologna Consensus, absent full validation to date, provides clinicians well-reasoned guidelines for defining POR. The current analysis supports this definition as one that entails a very poor prognosis for live birth following ART.

It is important to acknowledge that DOR and POR are not interchangeable. If a patient is diagnosed with DOR based on ovarian reserve testing, it does not signify that she will have POR during her stimulation. However, DOR when properly assigned should signify that a patient is at increased risk of POR and may indicate a higher starting dose of gonadotropins than for similar aged patients.

Over-diagnosis of DOR among SART cycles likely resulted from indiscriminate use of the category by individual clinics, in the absence of standards. Further studies are needed to prospectively validate POR diagnostic criteria (such as those laid out by ESHRE) to predict poor cycle outcomes in addition to standardized DOR definitions to guide treatment choices for infertile couples.

Supplementary Material

Acknowledgments

This research was supported by the Program in Reproductive and Adult Endocrinology and the Intramural Research Program, NICHD, NIH.

  1. The authors would like to acknowledge Valerie Baker, MD and the SART Research Committee for their assistance in the formulation and execution of this study.

  2. SART wishes to thank all of its members for providing clinical information to the SART CORS database for use by patients and researchers. Without the efforts of our members, this research would not have been possible.

  3. This work was supported by the Program in Reproductive and Adult Endocrinology and the Intramural Research Program, NICHD, NIH.

Footnotes

The authors have no financial disclosures.

The views expressed in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not reflect the official policy or position of the Department of the Navy, Department of Defense, or the U. S. Government.

This work was presented at American Society of Reproductive Medicine’s 70th Annual Meeting, Honolulu Hawaii, on October 20, 2014.

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