(See the major article by Whitehorn et al on pages 1182–90.)
BACKGROUND
Vector-borne pathogen transmission cycles are complex. Understanding the factors that drive the major events of transmission—introduction, emergence, persistence, and expansion—is a sought-after goal. Dengue is a major public health concern and is spreading rapidly through tropical, subtropical, and even (transiently) temperate areas [1]. Estimates indicate that almost 100 million cases of dengue occur annually [2].
Pathogen introductions fail more often than they succeed. In 2014, for example, the Florida Department of Health Arbovirus Surveillance program reported 80 cases of dengue diagnosed in returned travelers. Despite this number, there were only 6 cases of local transmission, the timing of which suggests, at minimum, 3 small chains of transmission [3]. Additionally, there were almost 1000 cases of chikungunya virus infection diagnosed in returning travelers in the continental United States and only 11 cases of autochthonous transmission in Florida (again, likely involving several very small chains of transmission) [3]. So what confounds large-scale emergence of these pathogens? And once a pathogen has emerged, what will drive the level to which it persists? Further still, what factors will lead to expansion, either spatially, as a pathogen moves to new areas, or temporally, as the transmission season lengthens?
There are some obvious answers, including increased global travel, urbanization and habitat encroachment (for zoonoses), population susceptibility profiles, and availability of requisite vectors and climate change [1]. When assessed on a global scale, these factors may be enough to evaluate correlative relationships among variables and transmission outcomes and to predict large-scale transmission patterns, but with low precision or limited geospatial scale [4, 5].
However, understanding these transmission patterns may be more complex. Much attention has been given to the differences among and within dengue virus (DENV) serotypes with respect to vector competence. This is the intrinsic ability of a mosquito vector to support replication of a virus, leading to a disseminated infection of the salivary glands, whereby virus is expectorated upon blood feeding, culminating in a transmission event [6]. And while there are historical studies regarding DENV infection in humans [7, 8], there is less contemporary focus on the infectivity of humans to mosquitoes [9]. In this issue of The Journal of Infectious Diseases, Whitehorn et al present the first direct comparison of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus acquisition potential by the simultaneous feeding on viremic individuals, with implications for the important transmission events listed above.
PATHOGEN INTRODUCTION
This study quantifies the transmissibility of human-associated DENV to naive mosquitoes of both species. By controlling for individual variability as they did, direct comparisons of vector infection and competence are facilitated, and valuable insights are gained. Aedes albopictus is not a secondary vector to A. aegypti by much. Acquisition rates of DENV serotype 2 (DENV-2) and DENV-4 between these two species were significantly different, while the difference between DENV-1 and DENV-3 was not significant. This is especially interesting given that DENV-1 was introduced into Florida on two separate occasions: in Key West in 2009 and in Martin County in 2013 [3, 10, 11]. Aedes aegypti was implicated as the primary vector of the Key West outbreak, but the details of the outbreak in Martin County remain poorly characterized [11]. Given its more temperate latitude, however, it is conceivable that the 2013 autochthonous transmission of DENV in Florida was due in part to A. albopictus.
PATHOGEN EMERGENCE
Aedes albopictus has been implicated in some small, self-limiting outbreaks [12], but the majority of transmission is facilitated through A. aegypti, which is thought to be a much more competent vector. Still, there has always been the possibility of DENV transmission by A. albopictus, namely in areas where A. aegypti is less abundant or absent [12]. Thus, there is a need for better characterization of transmissibility of DENV to A. albopictus.
The variability of human viremia in the context of vector-borne diseases not only affects disease pathogenesis and progression, but also predictions and forecasts regarding these pathogens [13]. In a previous study from the same group, it was shown that the proportion of A. aegypti mosquitoes with infected abdomens and, subsequently, infective saliva was dependent on the viremia level of the individual on whom the mosquitoes fed. While this was not surprising, the data represented an important quantification of this acquisition phenomenon [9]. That work was used to determine that dynamism in infectivity (related to the viremia level in an individual) can significantly affect the outcome of introduction events. In some instances, the probability of emergence of dengue was underestimated by double digits, using an average acquisition rate, rather than one tied to the viremia level of an infected person [13]. Although this was an interesting and informative pairing of field experimentation and modeling, it is only applicable to the dengue system defined by human interactions with A. aegypti. Thus, there is a need for better characterization of DENV in A. albopictus, which the current study provides. It is interesting that A. albopictus was significantly less efficient for dengue serotypes 2 and 4, given that DENV-1 has been implicated in outbreaks in Hawaii where A. aegypti was not detected and A. albopictus was implicated as the vector [12]. This highlights the need for further study of the potential role of A. albopictus in future emergence events of DENV, especially serotypes 1 and 3.
PATHOGEN PERSISTENCE
Several studies demonstrate the microevolution and within-serotype DENV diversity in transmission foci [14–16]. Specifically, genetic variability has been observed within serotypes in a well-established cohort of school children in Thailand, although the authors attribute genetic diversity to multiple introduction events [14]. In French Polynesia, investigation of genetic diversity concluded that viral evolution was ongoing during periods of endemic DENV-1 transmission and that there was evidence of more evolution during periods of endemicity than during periods of epidemic intensity [17]. One interpretation of these results is that some degree of viral genetic variability is permissible or even necessary for persistence of virus.
Whitehorn et al investigated the differences in sequence diversity of DENV-1 and concluded that there was more diversity accumulation in A. albopictus than in A. aegypti, which would seem to align with findings from the French Polynesian study [17]. However, in both cases only DENV-1 is considered (whether out of necessity or choice). Given the reported differences in dissemination of virus leading to infectious saliva among DENV serotypes and mosquito species, these data and results should be interpreted cautiously. Nevertheless, this offers some intriguing preliminary results, which will no doubt be augmented with similar studies across all 4 serotypes.
PATHOGEN EXPANSION
As climate change continues to alter the transmission landscape of arboviruses, the relative importance of A. albopictus will continue to increase, as it has with chikungunya virus [18]. The expansion of A. albopictus into large metropolises in the United States, such as Atlanta and New York City, indicate that limited seasonal transmission is possible, and autochthonous dengue was reported in Suffolk County NY in 2013 [18]. Similarly, Europe has had 19 confirmed and 2218 probable cases of autochthonous dengue between 2001 and 2012, including several in which A. albopictus was implicated as the probable vector. Interestingly, these outbreaks were identified as due to DENV-1 [19]. Areas where A. albopictus is present should be assessed for risk of DENV transmission (especially serotypes 1 and 3), given the its equal acquisition potential for all 4 DENV serotypes and the dissemination probability for DENV-1 and DENV-3. However, given the remarkable variation in viremia among individuals in both this and the previous study across all serotypes [9], there is further room to ask questions regarding strain-specific and within-serotype phenotype diversity with regard to DENV transmission potential.
CONCLUSIONS
The Whitehorn et al article presents a well-controlled experiment using humans to measure and quantify DENV transmission in a system that was as natural as possible. And while this near-natural experience has provided some intriguing and important data for the field, the article sometimes dismisses the continued value of laboratory work. Specifically mentioned are the use of an artificial feeding apparatus and laboratory mosquito strains in contrast to field-caught mosquitoes and human-provided blood meals. This is still, at its core, a carefully planned and controlled study and does not obviate the need for similarly controlled studies in laboratory settings. Further, it does not negate the importance of the findings of those studies. Despite the obvious advantages enjoyed by the use of natural vertebrate hosts, there is still a place for both mosquito-centric and nonhuman vertebrate model research in the field of DENV transmission.
The correlation by Whitehorn et al of genetic mutation accumulation and A. albopictus abdomen titer is intriguing and warrants further study, with the potential for elucidation of midgut barrier mechanisms. Additionally, the data presented regarding viremia and viral acquisition by mosquitoes (although quite variable) may inform interesting hypotheses for in silico experiments, such as prediction of DENV emergence in interspecific competition contexts or different contact rates within and among mosquito species and human populations [13]. The results will likely lead to a rethinking of the role of A. albopictus in DENV transmission.
Notes
Financial support. This work was supported by the National Institute of General Medical Sciences, National Institutes of Health (grants U01GM097661 and P30GM11076001).
Potential conflict of interest. Author certifies no potential conflicts of interest.
The author has submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed.
References
- 1.Schaffner F, Mathis A. Dengue and dengue vectors in the WHO European region: past, present, and scenarios for the future. Lancet Infect Dis 2014; 14:1271–80. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Guzman MG, Harris E. Dengue. Lancet 2015; 385:453–65. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Florida Department of Health. Florida arbovirus surveillance. Week 53: December 28, 2014 - January 3, 2015. http://www.floridahealth.gov/diseases-and-conditions/mosquito-borne-diseases/_documents/2014/week53ArbovirusReport-1-3-15.pdf. Accessed 16 March 2015. [Google Scholar]
- 4.Lowe R, Barcellos C, Coelho CA, et al. Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts. Lancet Infect Dis 2014; 14:619–26. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Chan TC, Hu TH, Hwang JS. Daily forecast of dengue fever incidents for urban villages in a city. Int J Health Geogr 2015; 14:9. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Christofferson RC, Mores CN. Estimating the magnitude and direction of altered arbovirus transmission due to viral phenotype. PLoS One 2011; 6:e16298. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Sabin AB. Research on dengue during World War II. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1952; 1:30–50. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Snow GE, Haaland B, Ooi EE, Gubler DJ. Review article: Research on dengue during World War II revisited. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2014; 91:1203–17. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Nguyet MN, Duong TH, Trung VT, et al. Host and viral features of human dengue cases shape the population of infected and infectious Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 2013; 110:9072–7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Locally acquired Dengue--Key West, Florida, 2009–2010. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2010; 59:577–81. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Teets FD, Ramgopal MN, Sweeney KD, et al. Origin of the dengue virus outbreak in Martin County, Florida, USA 2013. Virol Rep 2014; 1–2:2–8. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Effler PV, Pang L, Kitsutani P, et al. Dengue fever, Hawaii, 2001–2002. Emerg Infect Dis 2005; 11:742–9. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Christofferson RC, Mores CN, Wearing HJ. Characterizing the likelihood of dengue emergence and detection in naive populations. Parasit Vectors 2014; 7:282. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Jarman RG, Holmes EC, Rodpradit P, et al. Microevolution of Dengue viruses circulating among primary school children in Kamphaeng Phet, Thailand. J Virol 2008; 82:5494–500. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Rico-Hesse R. Microevolution and virulence of dengue viruses. Adv Virus Res 2003; 59:315–41. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Trent DW, Grant JA, Monath TP, et al. Genetic variation and microevolution of dengue 2 virus in Southeast Asia. Virology 1989; 172:523–35. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Descloux E, Cao-Lormeau VM, Roche C, De Lamballerie X. Dengue 1 diversity and microevolution, French Polynesia 2001–2006: connection with epidemiology and clinics. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2009; 3:e493. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Rochlin I, Ninivaggi DV, Hutchinson ML, Farajollahi A. Climate change and range expansion of the Asian tiger mosquito (Aedes albopictus) in Northeastern USA: implications for public health practitioners. PLoS One 2013; 8:e60874. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Tomasello D, Schlagenhauf P. Chikungunya and dengue autochthonous cases in Europe, 2007–2012. Travel Med Infect Dis 2013; 11:274–84. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]