Table 2.

The transition probabilities applied in the model

TP/age	45-49	50-54	55-59	60-64	65-69	70-74	75-79	80-84	85-100	Reference
MI To MI	0.1280	0.1280	0.1152	0.1152	0.1019	0.1019	0.0874	0.0874	0.0711	[16]
MI To FMI	0.0224	0.0348	0.0348	0.0700	0.0700	0.1054	0.1054	0.1270	0.1270	[34–37]
Post-MI To MI	0.0162	0.0162	0.0179	0.0179	0.0185	0.0185	0.0178	0.0178	0.0160	[16]
Post-MI To FMI	0.0052	0.0052	0.0092	0.0092	0.0152	0.0152	0.0235	0.0235	0.0340	[16, 38]
Non MI death	0.0028	0.0043	0.0056	0.0084	0.0131	0.0213	0.0426	0.0705	0.1143	[39, 40]
Healthy To MI (ICS)	0.0031	0.0031	0.0044	0.0044	0.0094	0.0094	0.0061	0.0061	0.0061	[19]
Healthy To FMI (ICS)	0.0015	0.0015	0.0050	0.0050	0.0082	0.0082	0.0080	0.0080	0.0080	[19]

TP = transition probability, MI = non-fatal myocardial infarction in first year, FMI = fatal myocardial infarction, Post-MI = subsequent years of non-fatal myocardial infarction, ICS = Isfahan Cohort Study