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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Mar 29.
Published in final edited form as: J Am Geriatr Soc. 2012 Jan 19;60(2):193–201. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2011.03784.x

Treating Chronically Ill Diabetic Patients with Limited Life Expectancy: Implications for Performance Measurement

LeChauncy D Woodard a,b, Cassie R Landrum a, Tracy H Urech a, Jochen Profit a,b, Salim S Virani a,b, Laura A Petersen a,b
PMCID: PMC4811190  NIHMSID: NIHMS334310  PMID: 22260627

Abstract

Background/Objectives

To validly assess quality-of-care differences among providers, performance measurement programs must reliably identify and exclude patients for whom the quality indicator may not be desirable, including those with limited life expectancy. We developed an algorithm to identify patients with limited life expectancy and examined the impact of limited life expectancy on glycemic control and treatment intensification among diabetic patients.

Design

We identified diabetic patients with coexisting congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, end-stage liver disease, and/or primary/metastatic cancers with limited life expectancy. To validate our algorithm, we assessed 5-year mortality among patients identified as having limited life expectancy. We compared rates of meeting performance measures for glycemic control between patients with and without limited life expectancy. Among uncontrolled patients, we examined the impact of limited life expectancy on treatment intensification within 90 days.

Setting

110 Veterans Administration facilities; October 2006 – September 2007

Participants

888,628 diabetic patients

Measurements

Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) <9%; treatment intensification within 90 days

Results

29,016 (3%) patients had limited life expectancy. Adjusting for age, 5-year mortality was 5 times higher among patients with limited life expectancy than those without. Patients with limited life expectancy had poorer glycemic control (77.1% vs. 78.1%) and less frequent treatment intensification (20.9% vs. 28.6%) than patients without, even after controlling for patient-level characteristics (odds ratio [OR]=0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.81-0.86 and OR=0.71; 95% CI=0.67-0.76, respectively).

Conclusion

Patients with limited life expectancy were slightly, but significantly less likely than those without to have HbA1c levels controlled and to receive treatment intensification, suggesting that providers treat these patients less aggressively. Quality measurement and performance-based reimbursement systems should acknowledge the different needs of this population.

Keywords: diabetes, quality of care, performance measurement, limited life expectancy

Introduction

Performance measurement programs aimed at improving chronic illness care are typically designed to encourage changes in provider behavior and to promote the provision of care in accordance with clinical practice guidelines. However, these guidelines often provide recommendations for care of individual conditions, thereby neglecting the complexities of caring for chronically ill patients1 and failing to account for illness severity, even in the setting of life-limiting conditions. While few guidelines concede that less stringent goals may be appropriate for chronically ill patients with life-limiting conditions, those targeted at treatment of diabetes in geriatric patients have recommended individualized targets for glycemic control among patients with limited life spans.2 Outside of geriatric patients or those with certain metastatic cancers, however, limited life expectancy rarely receives consideration when performance measures are developed.

The Veterans Health Administration (VA) is a nationwide health care system with an extensive process for measuring the quality of care delivered at their facilities. Diabetes guidelines, including those by the VA/US Department of Defense, recommend individualizing targets for glycemic control among patients with limited life expectancy, acknowledging that less stringent goals may better balance the risks and benefits of glycemic management in these patients.3 However, these recommendations have not been fully implemented in the VA's clinical performance measurement program.4 For example, although the VA excludes patients with documented life expectancy of less than 6 months from most performance measures, there are no explicit provisions addressing patients with chronic conditions that may lead to a limited life expectancy.4 For instance, the 1-year survival rate for hospitalized patients with severe congestive heart failure (CHF) has been reported to be as low as 35%,5 rivaling that of liver cancer at 39.3%.6 Despite similarly poor prognoses, patients with liver cancer are excluded from national VA performance measures while those with severe CHF are not. Failure to amend performance measures to account for such patients may lead providers to implement treatment plans that may be inappropriate for certain patients.7

We sought to determine the impact of limited life expectancy on rates of glycemic control meeting VA performance measurement criteria among a nationwide cohort of Veterans with diabetes. To examine whether patients with limited life expectancy were as likely as those without limited life expectancy to achieve guideline recommended thresholds for diabetes care, we assessed glycemic control among patients receiving primary care within the VA health care system. Further, we assessed the impact of limited life expectancy on treatment intensification to determine whether providers adjusted medications in response to uncontrolled hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels at the same frequency among patients with and without a limited life span.

Methods

Study setting and study population

We assessed glycemic control for a nationwide cohort of diabetic Veterans with and without conditions associated with limited life expectancy. Using VA administrative databases, we identified Veterans with diabetes who received primary care in the VA health care system between October 1, 2006 and September 30, 2007 (fiscal year [FY] 2007). Veterans were classified as having diabetes if any of the following was documented in the VA National Patient Care Database (NPCD) or the VA fee-basis files in either FY 2006 or 2007: 2 outpatient diagnoses codes or 1 inpatient diagnosis code8 indicating diabetes, filled prescription of diabetes medication (oral hypoglycemic medications or insulin), or at least 2 outpatient blood glucose readings > 200 mg/dL. We extracted medication and blood glucose readings from the VA Decision Support System (DSS) National Data Extract pharmacy and laboratory files.

We included all eligible diabetic patients receiving care at facilities with complete HbA1c data recorded in VA clinical and administrative data sources (Figure 1). We excluded patients who did not have a qualifying primary care visit and those receiving hospice care during the study period. Because we were interested in provider actions in response to uncontrolled readings, we also excluded patients who died during the study interval or follow-up period to allow all patients in the cohort an equal opportunity to receive treatment intensification during the follow-up period.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Patient Flow Diagram for Study Cohort and Exclusion Criteria. VA = Veterans Administration; HbA1c = hemoglobin A1c

We assigned each patient an index date to anchor the time period in which we assessed glycemic control and subsequent treatment intensification. The index date was the date of the patient's last HbA1c level recorded during the study interval. If no HbA1c level was documented, we used the patient's most recent primary care visit as the index date to anchor the follow-up period. If the patient did not have an HbA1c reading documented during the study period, we assessed whether the patient received a reading during the follow-up period. If that reading was uncontrolled, we determined whether the patient received treatment intensification. Each patient received 90 days of follow-up time regardless of when their index date occurred during FY 2007.

Identifying diabetic patients with limited life expectancy

We reviewed relevant literature and convened a multidisciplinary expert panel (the panel members are named in the acknowledgements) to identify conditions that health care providers frequently associate with limited life expectancy.9-12 Using VA administrative data and available Medicare data, we developed condition-specific algorithms (Appendix Table) to identify seriously ill patients with the following chronic conditions: CHF, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), dementia, end stage liver disease (ESLD), and certain primary or metastatic cancers. Patients who met the criteria for at least 1 of these conditions were considered to have limited life expectancy.

To validate the algorithm used to define limited life expectancy, we created a comparable cohort of diabetic patients who accessed VA care in FY 2003 and compared 5-year mortality rates among patients with and without limited life expectancy. We chose 5-year mortality because of findings from clinical trials indicating that it takes approximately 8 years for patients to see microvascular benefits from intensive glucose management.13-15

Outcomes

We assessed glycemic control at index and receipt of treatment intensification among those uncontrolled at index. Because the VA identifies poor diabetes control as having an HbA1c > 9%, we considered patients with HbA1c </=9% to be controlled at index.16 For uncontrolled patients, we examined a 90-day follow-up period to ascertain whether the patient received treatment intensification by a health care provider. We defined treatment intensification as starting or adding a diabetes medication to a patient's regimen or increasing the dosage of an existing medication. Using the days supply, quantity, and strength of the medication, we determined if the average daily dosage increased in the follow-up period. For insulin, we assessed increases in average daily units prescribed.

Statistical analysis

We used chi-square analyses to compare the proportions of diabetic patients with and without limited life expectancy that were controlled at index and that received treatment intensification within 90 days. We used logistic regression to determine the impact of having limited life expectancy on the two outcomes. The models were adjusted for patient's age, gender, illness burden, race, VA enrollment priority group, number of VA primary care visits during the 1 year prior to index, and insulin use within 100 days of index. We included the patient's home facility as a random effect in the models to account for nesting of patients within facilities. We used a likelihood ratio test to determine the amount of variation in the outcomes assessed were due to facility-level variation. Diagnostic Cost Group Relative Risk Scores (DCG RRS) represented patients' overall illness burden.17 VA enrollment priority groups reflect disability related to military service or economic hardship and were included in the analyses to represent socioeconomic status and service-connected medical problems.18 To determine whether our findings were unique to our choice of a 90-day follow-up period, we performed separate sensitivity analyses using a 60-day and 120-day follow-up period. Analyses were conducted using SAS version 9.1.3 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, North Carolina) and the GLLAMM package in Stata version 11.2 (StataCorp, College Station, Texas).19 Both the Institutional Review Board at Baylor College of Medicine and the Michael E. DeBakey VA Research and Development Committee approved this study.

Results

Of 131 eligible VA facilities, 21 did not have complete HbA1c data available for analysis and therefore, the data for patients cared for at these facilities were excluded. The remaining facilities accounted for 84% of all patients with diabetes in the VA. We identified 888,628 diabetic patients meeting study inclusion criteria who received care from 110 VA facilities in FY 2007. We identified 29,016 patients, approximately 3% of the study cohort, who had at least 1 coexisting condition that was associated with limited life expectancy. The most prevalent limited life expectancy conditions were primary or metastatic cancer (38.3%) and COPD (23.7%) (Table 1). High disability (VA priority groups 1 and 4) and low income (VA priority group 5) ratings were greater among the patients with limited life expectancy (39.5% vs. 24.0% and 34.7% vs. 31.0%, respectively; P < 0.001). Patients with limited life expectancy also had a higher proportion of insulin use (23.7% vs. 17.8%; P < 0.001), similar HbA1c (2.3 vs. 2.1; P < 0.001) laboratory tests performed, and more VA primary care visits within 1 year of index (6.2 vs. 4.0; P < 0.001) compared to patients without limited life expectancy. However, on a per visit basis, patients with limited life expectancy had fewer HbA1c results performed (0.8 vs. 1.1, p < 0.001) (data not shown).

Table 1. Demographics and Clinical Characteristics of Veterans with Diabetes by Limited Life Expectancy Status.

Limited Life Expectancy Status*

Characteristics No (n = 859,612) Yes (n = 29,016) p-value
Male, n (%) 838,676 (97.6) 28,368 (97.8) 0.03
Mean age (SD), y < 0 .001
 < 65 396,868 (46.2) 12,688 (43.7)
 65-74 227,230 (26.4) 7,371 (25.4)
 >/=75 235,514 (27.4) 8,957 (30.9)
Race, n (%)
 Black 119,352 (13.9) 5,012 (17.3) < 0.001
 Non-black 668,084 (77.7) 22,893 (78.9)
 Unknown 72,176 (8.4) 1,111 (3.8)
VA priority group, n (%)
 1,4 (high disability) 206,808 (24.1) 11,455 (39.5) < 0.001
 2,3,6 (low/moderate disability) 159,062 (18.5) 4,071 (14.0)
 5 (low income) 266,472 (31.0) 10,078 (34.7)
 7,8 (lowest priority) 227,270 (26.4) 3,412 (11.8)
Mean DCG Relative Risk Score (SD) 1.45 (2.18) 7.14 (6.17) < 0.001
Insulin use, n (%) 152,738 (17.8) 6,876 (23.7) < 0.001
Mean HbA1c test days (SD) 2.1 (1.3) 2.3 (1.6) < 0.001
Mean VA primary care visits within 1 year prior to index (SD) 4.0 (3.4) 6.2 (5.0) < 0.001
Limited life expectancy diagnosis, n (%)
 Primary/metastatic cancers 11,118 (38.3)
 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease 6,875 (23.7)
 Dementia 8,891 (30.6)
 End-stage liver disease 2,781 (9.6)
 Congestive heart failure 1,666 (5.7)

VA = Veterans Administration; DCG = Diagnostic Cost Group; HbA1c = hemoglobin A1c

*

Limited life expectancy status determined by condition-specific algorithms for congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, end-stage liver disease, and certain primary or metastatic cancers.

Validating algorithm to identify patients with limited life expectancy

We found that patients with limited life expectancy had a 55% 5- year mortality rate while patients without limited life expectancy had a 15% 5-year mortality rate (data not shown). Adjusting for age, mortality among patients with limited life expectancy was more than 5 times that of patients without limited life expectancy.

Glycemic control and treatment intensification among patients with and without limited life expectancy

Unadjusted comparisons showed that glycemic control at index was slightly lower among patients with limited life expectancy, 77.1% vs. 78.1% (P < 0.001) (Table 2). Providers intensified treatment in response to elevated HbA1c less often in patients with limited life expectancy, 20.9% vs. 28.6% (P < 0.001).

Table 2. Frequency of Control at Index and Treatment Intensification within 90 days among Veterans with Diabetes by Limited Life Expectancy Status.

Limited Life Expectancy Status*

No (n = 859,612) Yes (n = 29,106) p-value
Hemoglobin A1c
 Controlled at index, </=9% 671,173 (78.1) 22,362 (77.1) < 0.001
 Treatment intensification 53,975 (28.6) 1,388 (20.9) < 0.001
*

Limited life expectancy status determined by condition-specific algorithms for congestive heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, end-stage liver disease, and certain primary or metastatic cancers.

Evaluated treatment intensification for patients who were uncontrolled or had no reading at index. Treatment intensification included initiation of a diabetes medication, adding medication to the patient's regimen, or increasing the dosage of an existing medication.

In analyses adjusted for age, gender, race, VA priority enrollment group, illness burden, VA primary care utilization, and insulin use, diabetic patients with limited life expectancy were less likely to have HbA1c levels controlled at index (odds ratio [OR]=0.84; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.81-0.86]) compared to patients that did not have limited life expectancy (Table 3). Similarly, black patients were less likely than non-black patients to have index HbA1c levels controlled (OR=0.83; 95% CI=0.82-0.84). In contrast, the number of VA primary care visits in the prior year was positively associated with control at index (OR=1.13; 95% CI=1.13-1.13). Older patients age 64-75 (OR=1.40; 95% CI=1.38-1.42) and > 75 (OR=1.25; 95% CI=1.23-1.26) were also more likely have controlled HbA1c levels. Similarly, patients with high disability (OR=1.10; 95% CI=1.08-1.12) and low/moderate disability (OR=1.10; 95% CI=1.08-1.12) were more likely to be controlled. A likelihood ratio test revealed that a significant amount of variation in glycemic control was due to facility-level variation (p < 0.001).

Table 3. Predictors of Glycemic Control at Index and Treatment Intensification within 90 days among Veterans with Diabetes.

Odds Ratio (95% CI)

Variable HbA1c Controlled at Index (HbA1c </= 9%) Treatment Intensification* within 90 Days
Limited life expectancy 0.84 (0.81-0.86) 0.71 (0.67-0.76)
Male 1.19 (1.15-1.23) 1.39 (1.31-1.49)
Age (years)
 < 65 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
 65-74 1.40 (1.38-1.42) 0.49 (0.48-0.50)
 >/=75 1.25 (1.23-1.26) 0.28 (0.27-0.29)
Race
 Non-black 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
 Black 0.83 (0.82-0.84) 1.25 (1.22-1.29)
 Unknown 0.84 (0.83-0.86) 0.99 (0.96-1.03)
VA priority group
 7,8 (lowest priority) 1.00 (Reference) 1.00 (Reference)
 1,4 (high disability) 1.10 (1.08-1.12) 0.97 (0.94-1.01)
 2,3,6 (low/moderate disability) 1.10 (1.08-1.12) 1.05 (1.02-1.09)
 5 (low income) 1.03 (1.01-1.04) 1.33 (1.29-1.37)
DCG Relative Risk Score 0.98 (0.98-0.98) 0.95 (0.94-0.95)
VA primary care visits within 1 year prior to index 1.13 (1.13-1.13) 1.06 (1.06-1.07)
Insulin use 0.85 (0.84-0.87) 2.28 (2.22-2.33)

HbA1c = hemoglobin A1c; DCG = Diagnostic Cost Group; VA = Veterans Administration

*

Treatment intensification included initiation of a diabetes medication, adding medication to the patient's regimen, or increasing the dosage of an existing medication.

Among those not controlled at index, we found that patients with limited life expectancy were less likely than those without to receive treatment intensification (OR=0.71; 95% CI=0.67-0.76) within 90 days. Older patients were also less likely to receive treatment intensification, with the oldest age group (age > 75 years) being the least likely (OR=0.28; 95% CI=0.27-0.29). Although black patients were less likely to be controlled at index, they were more likely than non-black patients to receive treatment intensification in response to uncontrolled HbA1c levels (OR=1.25; 95% CI=1.22-1.29). Patients treated with insulin were also more likely than those not taking insulin to have their treatment intensified (OR=2.28; 95% CI=2.22-2.33). Similarly, patients classified by the VA as having low income (OR=1.33; 95% CI=1.29-1.37) and low/moderate disability (OR=1.05; 95% CI=1.02-1.09) were more likely to receive treatment intensification than those classified as having high income (low priority). Similar to control at index analyses, a significant amount of variation was due to variation at facilities (p < 0.001). The interpretation of our results did not change when assessing a 60-day or 120-day follow-up period.

Discussion

We compared glycemic control and receipt of treatment intensification in response to uncontrolled HbA1c levels among diabetic patients with and without conditions associated with limited life expectancy. To identify conditions that health care providers associate with limited life expectancy, we developed condition-specific algorithms based on relevant literature and input from a multidisciplinary expert panel. We found that patients identified as having limited life expectancy using this algorithm had a 55% 5-year mortality rate. After adjusting for age, 5-year mortality was approximately 5 times higher among patients with limited life expectancy compared to those without. Our choice of 5-year mortality reflects findings from clinical trials indicating that it takes approximately 8 years for patients to benefit from intense glycemic control in the reduction of microvascular complications.13-15 Use of such an algorithm could enable performance measurement programs to readily identify chronically patients for whom the benefits of intensive glycemic control is limited and for whom less aggressive care is reasonable.

We found that diabetic patients with limited life expectancy were less likely than those without limited life expectancy to achieve glycemic control at index, after adjusting for clinical and sociodemographic characteristics. Although diabetic patients with limited life expectancy were less likely to have controlled HbA1c levels at index, they had on average similar numbers of HbA1c tests performed annually and accessed VA primary care more frequently than patients without limited life expectancy. However, these patients were less likely to achieve glycemic control and providers intensified treatment less frequently in response to elevated levels, which may represent appropriate care in the setting of a life-limiting condition. Frequent glucose monitoring likely provides minimal benefit in this group of patients, particularly when coupled with the reluctance of providers to intensify treatment in response to uncontrolled levels. Further, aggressive treatment exposes patients with limited life expectancy to additional risks (e.g. hypoglycemia) with little likelihood of benefit while diminishing opportunities to focus on other aspects of care, such as pain control or other comfort measures, which may be more pertinent to these patients.

We also found that black patients were less likely than non-black patients to have HbA1c levels controlled at index, but were more likely to receive treatment intensification. Despite lower levels of control, this finding is promising given recent findings that treatment intensification is particularly effective in lowering HbA1c levels among black patients.20 Conversely, older patients were more likely than the youngest patients to be controlled at index, but were less likely to receive treatment intensification. This finding may reflect a reluctance of providers to intensify treatment in poorly controlled older patients whom they may believe will not benefit from the therapy.21,22 However, providers should be cautious in using age alone when making treatment decisions. Older patients often vary widely in functional status, self-management abilities, and diabetes-related complications. Patients whose benefits of outweigh the risks should be considered for more intensive diabetes management, regardless of age. Thus, such considerations should factor into a provider's decisions to intensify treatment among older patients.2

One approach to mitigating incentives for over-treatment that may result from performance measurement and performance-based reimbursement programs is exception reporting. In the United Kingdom (UK), exception reporting allows providers to use clinical judgment to exclude certain patients from performance measures.23 Despite concerns that UK providers would “game” the system by excluding patients for whom quality indicators would be difficult to attain, only a small proportion of patients were excluded from performance measures and there was minimal evidence of gaming.24 Additionally, the preservation of autonomy and the presence of exception reporting in the UK program contributed to higher provider satisfaction compared to providers in a similar California program, who expressed dissatisfaction with their perceived lack of discretion and inability to exclude patients from measures that may not be appropriate.25 In addition to improving provider satisfaction, studies suggest that developing measures of quality that focus less on strict guideline adherence and instead promote more comprehensive, individualized chronic illness care may result in higher patient satisfaction as well.26, 27 Thus, future iterations of performance measurement systems should consider including provisions such as those in place in the UK to exclude patients for whom a particular measure may be inappropriate.28, 29

Alternative explanations for our findings may exist. Studies have shown that health care providers are uncomfortable with end-of-life care discussions.30-32 Thus, our findings that providers have more frequent visits with and perform laboratory testing with similar frequency in the treatment of patients with limited life expectancy compared to those without may be explained by their tendency to provide usual care, rather than confronting what may be a poor prognosis. Alternatively, there is evidence that providers are often inaccurate when assessing the prognosis of chronically ill patients.33 It is possible that our findings reflect a lack of provider recognition of chronically ill patients who are near the end of life. However, the lower likelihood of in treatment intensification among those with limited life expectancy argues against this explanation.

Our study is limited in that it focused solely on care for a single, although highly prevalent, chronic condition and that it was conducted in the overwhelmingly male VA patient population. However, we are not aware of evidence suggesting that the care provided to female patients with limited life expectancy would differ significantly from that offered to male patients. Additionally, evidence shows that quality of care may be higher in the VA system than outside; thus, our findings may be different in a non-VA setting.34-36

In summary, we found that diabetic patients with limited life expectancy were less likely than those without limited life expectancy to achieve controlled HbA1c levels and to receive treatment intensification in response to abnormal levels. Despite these findings, patients with limited life expectancy received HbA1c testing with similar frequency and had higher numbers of VA primary care encounters than those without. Although the severity of illness in patients with limited life expectancy may necessitate more frequent visits, we posit that the frequency of HbA1c testing among this group may represent excessive care and consume resources unnecessarily. This could result in part from performance measurement and incentives that do not make appropriate considerations for patients with very low likelihood of benefiting from testing and treatment.37 In contrast, failure to achieve guideline-recommended levels and to intensify therapy in response to abnormal levels may, in fact, be appropriate in this population. Thus, as currently structured, performance measures could promote overuse of services while penalizing less stringent glycemic and lipid management, providing incentives that may reward inappropriate care for patients with life-limiting conditions. Policy initiatives advocating for the prevention of unnecessary and excessive treatment may be an important deterrent to overuse of testing and may encourage more patient-centered care in this population as opposed to care in strict accordance to guidelines. Further work is needed to design quality measurement and performance-based reimbursement systems that address the unique needs of this patient population. For performance measures to improve health care quality, they must account for patient-level factors such as life expectancy to ensure that providers are appropriately rewarded for providing individualized, patient-centered care.

Acknowledgments

Funding Sources and Related Paper Presentations: This work is supported in part by VA HSR&D PPO 09-316 (PI LeChauncy D. Woodard, MD, MPH), VA HSR&D SHP 08-166 (PI Laura A. Petersen, MD, MPH), and Houston VA HSR&D Center of Excellence HFP90-020 (PI Laura A. Petersen, MD, MPH). Dr. Petersen was a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Generalist Physician Faculty Scholar (grant 045444) at the time this work was conducted. Dr. Profit's contribution is supported by NICHD K23 HD056298 (PI Jochen Profit). Dr. Virani is supported by a Department of Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Service Career Development Award (CDA-09-028). Parts of this manuscript were presented at the Department of Veterans Affairs annual Health Services Research and Development National Meeting in February 2009 in Washington, DC and at the Society of General Internal Medicine annual meeting in May 2009 in Miami, Florida.

Sponsor's Role: The funding sources had no role in the design and conduct of the study; in the collection, analysis, and interpretation of the data; or in the preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript

Appendix Table.

Algorithms for Identifying Patients with Limited Life Expectancy*

Congestive Heart Failure (CHF)
  • CHF ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes during study interval or 5 years prior):

    • 398.91, 402.01, 402.11, 402.91,404.01, 404.03, 404.11, 404.13, 404.91, 404.93, 425, 428.x

    • AND ≥ 1 hospitalizations OR 1 Emergency Room visit for CHF during the study interval or 1 year prior

    • AND ≥ 1 of the following criteria for any category (A – F) during the study interval or 1 year prior for organ failure/ insufficiency:

      • A. Renal Failure

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes:

      • 584.x (2 outpatient codes or 1 inpatient code)

      • 585.x, 586, 788.5 (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code)

      • OR ≥ 2 ICD-9-CM codes, CPT codes, or DSS clinic stops for dialysis on different days:

        • ICD-9-CM procedure codes for dialysis:

        • 38.95, 39.27, 39.42, 39.43, 39.53, 39.93, 39.94, 39.95, 54.98, V45.1, V56, V56.0, V56.8

        • CPT codes for dialysis:

        • 36145, 36800, 36810, 36815, 36818, 36819, 36820, 36821, 36831, 36832, 36833, 90920, 90921, 90924, 90925, 90935, 90937, 90940, 90945, 90947, 90989, 90993, 90997, 90999, 99512

        • Dialysis DSS Clinic Stops:

        • 602, 603, 604, 606, 607, 608, 610, 611

      • OR

      • B. Respiratory Failure

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code)

      • 518.0, 518.2, 518.4 , 518.5, 518.8x excluding 518.89

      • ICD-9-CM procedure codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

      • V46.1, V46.11, V46.13, V46.2, 96.01 – 96.05, 96.70 – 96.72

      • OR

      • C. Liver Failure

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis code (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

      • 570

      • OR

      • D. Intestinal Failure

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

      • 557.0, 560.1

      • OR

      • E. Cardiogenic Failure

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

      • 785.51, 410.x

      • OR

      • F. Other Shock

      • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or inpatient code):

      • 427.5, 572.4, 785.59, 799.1, 799.8, 995.0


Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD)

COPD ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes during study interval or 5 years prior):
  • 491.x, 492.x, 493.2, 496

  • AND ≥ 1 of the following ICD-9-CM codes during the study interval or 1 year prior:

    • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code): 518.81 – 518.84 (respiratory failure), 799.1 (respiratory arrest)


Primary Cancers

Primary Cancers of the esophagus, peritoneum, liver, gallbladder, pancreas, pleura, or stomachICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code during study interval or 1 year prior):
  • 150 – 151.9, 155 – 157.9, 158.8, 158.9, 163.x


Metastatic Cancers

Metastatic Cancers ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code during study interval or 1 year prior):
  • 196 – 199.1


Dementia

Dementia ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes during study interval or 5 years prior):
  • 046.1, 046.3, 290 – 290.43, 291.2, 294.1, 294.x, 331.0 – 331.2, 331.7, 331.82, 331.89, 331.9, 332.0, 333.0, 333.4

  • AND ≥ 2 acute hospitalizations during the study interval or 1 year prior


End-Stage Liver Disease (ESLD)

ESLD ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes for cirrhosis (1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes during study interval or 5 years prior):
  • 571.2, 571.5, 571.6

  • AND ≥ 1 of the following ICD-9-CM or CPT codes during the study interval or 1 year prior:

    • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

    • 571.0 (alcoholic fatty liver), 571.1 (acute alcoholic hepatitis), 572.2 (hepatic coma), 572.3 (portal hypertension), 572.4 (hepatorenal syndrome), 799.4 (cachexia)

    • ICD-9-CM procedure codes (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

    • 39.1 (intra-abdominal venous shunt), 54.94 (peritoneovascular shunt)

    • CPT Codes for intrahepatic portosystemic shunts:

    • 37182, 37183, 37140

    • OR

    • hospitalization for any of the following ICD-9-CM codes:

    • ICD-9-CM diagnosis codes for esophageal varices with bleeding or ascites (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

    • 456.0, 456.20, 789.5

    • ICD-9-CM procedure code for injection of esophageal varices (1 outpatient or 1 inpatient code):

    • 42.91

ICD-9-CM = International Classification of Diseases, Clinical Modification, 9th Revision; CPT = Current Procedural Terminology; DSS = Decision Support System

*

Patients need only to meet the criteria for one of the conditions CHF, COPD, Primary Cancers, Metastatic Cancers, Dementia, or ESLD to be classified as having limited life expectancy

Study interval = Veterans Administration fiscal year 2007 (October 1, 2006 – September 30, 2007) plus 8-week follow up period

All codes must appear on separate visits on separate days

Footnotes

The views expressed are solely of the authors, and do not necessarily represent those of the VA.

Conflicts of Interest: No author has any conflicts of interest to disclose.

Author Contributions: Dr. Woodard had full access to all of the data in this study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Study concept and design: Woodard, Landrum, Urech, Virani, Petersen Acquisition of data: Woodard, Petersen Analysis and interpretation of data: Woodard, Landrum, Urech, Profit, Virani, Petersen, Pietz

Other contributions: The authors would like to acknowledge Mark Kuebeler, MS, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center HSR&D Center of Excellence, for his programming effort and Kenneth Pietz, PhD, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center HSR&D Center of Excellence, for his statistical expertise. The authors would also like to acknowledge the members of the expert panel that helped to define conditions associated with limited life expectancy: Neena S. Abraham, MD, MSCE, FACG, FASGE, John Chen, PhD, MD, MPH, Jessica Davila, PhD, Thomas Giordano, MD, MPH, Mark Kunik, MD, MPH, and Aanand Naik, MD, all of the Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center HSR&D Center of Excellence and Baylor College of Medicine. Dr. Woodard affirms that she has listed everyone who contributed significantly to the work and has obtained written consent from all contributors who are not authors and are named in the Acknowledgement section.

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