Abstract
We study nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for the distribution of spherical radii using samples containing a mixture of one-dimensional, two-dimensional biased and three-dimensional unbiased observations. Since direct maximization of the likelihood function is intractable, we propose an expectation-maximization algorithm for implementing the estimator, which handles an indirect measurement problem and a sampling bias problem separately in the E- and M-steps, and circumvents the need to solve an Abel-type integral equation, which creates numerical instability in the one-sample problem. Extensions to ellipsoids are studied and connections to multiplicative censoring are discussed.
Keywords: Abel-type integral equation, Expectation-maximization algorithm, Indirect measurement, Particle size
1. Introduction
Wicksell (1925) studied the estimation of the size of spherical corpuscles found in anatomical samples of tissues in organs such as the spleen, thymus and pancreas. The samples were prepared by thin cross-sections of tissues and circular profiles of the corpuscles were observed. Wicksell identified two statistical challenges: an indirect measurement problem and a sampling bias problem, which will be described in detail in §2. He proposed a mathematical formulation of the problem where the distribution of spherical radii of interest and the distribution of two-dimensional observations are related through an Abel-type integral equation. However, the problem is considered to be ill-posed because a naive estimator defined by plugging in the empirical distribution of observations is often badly behaved, as illustrated in Fig.1a.
Fig. 1.
Comparing a naive plug-in estimator (a) and the proposed estimator (b) of the distribution function of spherical radii based on two-dimensional observations with
. The sample is generated from a standard uniform distribution.
The Wicksell corpuscle problem has numerous applications because there are many practical situations that involve indirect measurement of three-dimensional objects. Although recent technological advancements have opened the possibility of direct three-dimensional measurements, indirect measurements from lower dimensions are still widely used for practical reasons. A comparison of radii distribution of particles from two-dimensional and three-dimensional measurements of nickel-based superalloy Inconel 100 was considered in Tucker et al. (2012). Using different technologies, it is now possible to combine observations from different dimensions to improve estimation accuracy.
The statistical literature on one-sample estimation of the corpuscle problem is vast; see Chiu et al. (2013) for a comprehensive review. It mainly considers one-sample estimation with two-dimensional observations, and many statistical and numerical procedures have been developed to overcome the ill-posed nature of the problem. For example, Hall & Smith (1988), Van Es & Hoogendoorn (1990) and Golubev & Levit (1998) considered kernel smoothing methods, Nychka et al. (1984) studied a spline-based method, Antoniadis et al. (2001) proposed a wavelet method, and Groeneboom & Jongbloed (1995) considered an isotonized estimator. Many other statistical and numerical methods are surveyed in Chiu et al. (2013), who comment that no method has clear advantages. While each method has distinctive merits in one-sample estimation, those methods typically regularize estimators obtained from an Abel-type integral equation, and such a representation is not readily extended to multiple samples.
We study maximum likelihood estimation in the multisample problem, where observations are collected from a combination of one-dimensional, two-dimensional and three-dimensional observations. Direct maximization of the likelihood function is intractable, and we will present an EM algorithm to combine three-sample observations, with special cases yielding new two-sample and one-sample estimators. In one-sample Wicksell problems, Vardi et al. (1985), Wilson (1989) and Silverman et al. (1990) developed EM-type algorithms, but their approaches differ from the proposed method in key aspects. First, all three papers considered a categorical data model, discretizing the domain of interest into finite number of bins and applying the EM algorithm for categorical data (Little & Rubin, 2002, Ch. 13). To reduce the arbitrariness of binning, they considered smoothing after each iteration. In contrast, our method does not require binning and smoothing, estimating the distribution function directly. Also, our method does not require numerical inversion of a discretized Abel-type integral equation. As a by-product, the algorithm also ensures that the resulting nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator is monotone, as shown in Fig.1b.
2. Notations and problem formulation
Suppose that spherical particles of different radii are randomly distributed in
, where the centres of the spheres are distributed according to a stationary spatial Poisson process. While the Poisson process assumption is imposed in most statistical papers, it can be relaxed, as discussed in §3. We are interested in estimating the distribution function of the radii of the particles, which is assumed to have a finite second moment and a density function
. Suppose we sample the spheres using a two-dimensional planar sample, and we observe only the circular profiles of the spheres intersecting the plane. Let
be the radii of the two-dimensional circular profiles. Two statistical challenges are present. First, the spheres with larger radii are more likely to be sampled, and the spheres are sampled with probability proportional to their radii. Therefore, the sampling distribution of the spherical radii is
![]() |
Second, the radii
of the two-dimensional circular profiles are indirect measurements and are always smaller than the radii of the spheres being sampled. Given that a sphere with radius
is being sampled, Wicksell (1925) showed that
![]() |
Therefore, the sampling density of
is given by
![]() |
(1) |
Suppose, in addition, that we sample using a one-dimensional linear probe. Let
be the half length of the traces where the linear probe intersects the spheres. The spheres are now sampled proportional to their squared radii,
![]() |
and the half-lengths of the measurements are again always smaller than the radii of the spheres. Given that a sphere with radius
is sampled, Watson (1971) showed that the sampling distribution of
given
is
![]() |
so the sampling distribution of
is
![]() |
We are interested in estimating
, the population distribution of
. Suppose we have an unbiased three-dimensional random sample of independent observations
, an independent two-dimensional cross-sectional sample
, and a one-dimensional linear probe sample
. The total sample size is
. The likelihood function is
![]() |
(2) |
While direct maximization of (2) appears to be intractable, we capitalize on a subtle difference between the indirect measurement and the sampling bias problems to derive an EM algorithm for nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation.
3. Maximum likelihood estimation and the EM algorithm
To shed light on how to perform maximum likelihood estimation for this problem, we first suppose we can observe the radii
of the spheres being sampled by the two-dimensional planar probe, and the radii
of the spheres being sampled by the one-dimensional linear probe. Based on the hypothetical complete observations of radii
for the three samples, the complete data likelihood,
![]() |
(3) |
is a biased-sample likelihood function, as in Vardi (1985), who also showed that the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of
based on (3) assigns point mass only to distinct data points of the combined samples. Let
be the observed distinct data points,
, and let
,
and
denote the multiplicities of the three-dimensional sample, two-dimensional sample and one-dimensional sample at
respectively, i.e.,
,
and
. Then the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator based on the complete
,
and
can be found by maximizing
![]() |
(4) |
subject to the constraints
![]() |
(5) |
Therefore, if the radii
are observed in all samples, the estimation for
reduces to that in Vardi (1985) for biased sampling problems, for which a computationally efficient algorithm proposed by Mallows (1985) was shown to converge to the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate by Davidov & Iliopoulos (2010). However, we cannot simply proceed by using the above method for the multisample corpuscle problem, since
and
are unknown due to the indirect measurement. Noting that
![]() |
the loglikelihood based on (4) is linear in
and
, we can proceed with an EM algorithm:
Algorithm 1. —
EM algorithm for computing the spherical radii distribution.
Step 1. —
Initialize
.
Step 2. —
For
,
(E-step) Calculate
(M-step) To maximize (4) subject to (5) with
replaced by
and
given in the E-step. The corresponding nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator of Vardi (1989) is
where
and
satisfy the equations
Step 3. —
Repeat Step 2 until a convergence criterion is met. We denote the final estimate by
. The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of
is
In the Appendix, we show that the loglikelihood function is strictly concave, and thus has a unique maximizer
. The estimate based on the EM algorithm converges to the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate
, following Csiszar & Tusnàdy (1984), since the set of all probability measures over which the likelihood is maximized is convex.
While the Poisson assumption was employed in the original derivation of Wicksell (1925) and has been assumed in most subsequent statistical papers, the core of Wicksell's solution, the Abel-type integral (1) which represents the combination of both the measurement and the sampling bias problems, can be developed in more general settings. Mecke & Stoyan (1980) showed that (1) can be derived when the centres of the spheres follow stationary point processes. This allows the case where overlapping spheres are removed (Bartlett, 1974) and the remaining spheres are weakly correlated. Jensen (1984) showed that (1) can be derived when the non-overlapping spheres are assumed to be deterministic, but the location of the planar probe is random. Under these assumptions, the measurement and the sampling bias problems remain the same as in Wicksell's original problem, so the proposed method still maximizes the likelihood function (2), which is an independence likelihood (Lindsay, 1988) when the spheres are correlated. In one-sample problems, Heinrich (2007) showed that certain maximum independence likelihood estimators are asymptotically normal when the spheres are weakly correlated. Simulations were conducted to evaluate the proposed method when the Poisson assumption is violated; see §6.1.
Remark 1. —
Spherical assumptions are common in stereology. The sensitivity of the deviation from the random spheres approximation was examined in Anderssen & Jakeman (1974), who concluded that the approximation is quite reliable. For particles with random shape, there is no general relationship relating to the size distribution of three-dimensional particles and two-dimension sections. Our method can be generalized to some particular cases, such as ellipsoids, where an explicit relationship between the sizes of three-dimensional particles and two-dimensional sections is available.
4. Extension to ellipsoids
Although widely studied, the original Wicksell problem only considers univariate size distributions with a constant spherical shape. For particles with variation in both shape and size, it is desirable to estimate the joint distribution of a size and a shape measure. A useful model is the ellipsoid model, which has been studied since Wicksell (1926) under independence between size and shape, while Cruz-Orive (1976) studied a general mathematical formulation. Although the problem is much more complicated than the spherical case, two-dimensional indirect observations of three-dimensional ellipsoids are subject to the same statistical problems, so the proposed EM algorithm for spheres can be extended to ellipsoids. To illustrate the ideas, we first consider the case where we only have two-dimensional indirect observations. As discussed in Cruz-Orive (1976), one cannot nonparametrically identify the joint distribution of axes of a triaxial ellipsoid. Instead, one can only identify the joint distribution of the major semiaxes
and the minor semiaxes
of a biaxial ellipsoid, which could be prolate or oblate. For simplicity we consider prolate ellipsoids; the derivation is very similar for oblate ellipsoids. We adopt the reparameterization of Cruz-Orive (1976) and consider estimation of the joint distribution of
and the eccentricity parameter
. The joint density and distribution of
are denoted by
and
. The two-dimensional observed ellipses are
.
Let
. If we can observe the ellipsoids that intersect the probe, Cruz-Orive (1976) showed that the sampling distribution of
is
![]() |
(6) |
Given an ellipsoid with minor semiaxis
and eccentricity
that intersects the two-dimensional probe, the observed
is subject to indirect measurement such that
and
, and
![]() |
Therefore, the sampling density of
is
![]() |
where
.
In an EM algorithm, the E-step can be constructed by considering the sampling conditional density of
given the observed
,
![]() |
(7) |
and the M-step can be constructed by (6). To maximize the likelihood function over the observed data points, let 
. The EM algorithm is stated as follows.
Algorithm 2. —
EM algorithm for ellipsoids.
Step 1. —
Initialize
.
Step 2. —
For
,
(E-step) Following (7), the E-step is
(M-step) Following (6), the M-step is
Step 3. —
Repeat Step 2 until a convergence criterion is met. We denote the final estimate by
. The corresponding estimate of
is
Remark 2. —
We are often interested in estimating the distribution function of certain summary variables, such as axial ratio or volume. In general, these are functions of
and
. Since the joint distribution of
can be estimated, the distribution of functions of
can also be estimated. For example, let
be the ratio of the minor axis to the major axis. The distribution function of
can be estimated by
For another example, the distribution function of
, the volume of an ellipse, can be estimated by
where
,
and
. McGarrity et al. (2014) considered the estimation of univariate summary measures that are functions of radii and heights of cylinders. Their method is specially designed for the case where the height of the cylinders does not suffer from an indirect measurement problem, and cannot be directly extended to estimate the axial ratio distribution or the volume distribution of ellipsoids where a bivariate measurement problem is present.
Remark 3. —
As shown in Cruz-Orive (1976), a two-dimensional sample cannot identify the joint trivariate distribution of a principal semiaxis and two principal eccentricities from a sample which is a mixture of the prolate and oblate spheroids. The difficulty is primarily due to the non-identifiability of mixture proportions. Using an unbiased three-dimensional sample, however, allows us to identify the proportion of prolate and oblate spheroids in the samples. When the estimated proportion is treated as fixed, we can modify the E-step to distribute a fraction of masses to prolate and oblate spheroids respectively, and the M-step to reweight a mixture of biased samples.
5. Connections to multiplicative censoring
Vardi (1989) and Vardi & Zhang (1992) considered the following multiplicative censoring problem. They assumed that two independent samples are available:
are independent and identically distributed complete uncensored observations with density
, and
are incomplete observations where
are independent standard uniform distributed and independent of
, which have density
. The incomplete observations are random fractions of the complete observations. Vardi (1989) showed that this multiplicative censoring structure is present in three unrelated applications: nonparametric estimation in renewal processes, deconvolution, and estimation of a monotonic decreasing density. The likelihood function for this problem is
![]() |
Since given
,
is
distributed, an EM algorithm was proposed in Vardi (1989) with an E-step assigning weights according to the conditional density of
given
, which is
, for
.
The multiple corpuscle problem can be viewed as the following multiplicative censoring problem, with independent three-dimensional observations
, two-dimensional observations
and one-dimensional observations
, where
and
are equally distributed,
and
are equally distributed,
is uniform distributed, the density function of
is
and the density function of
is
. It can be shown that
![]() |
and hence
. Also,
![]() |
and therefore
. Thus, the likelihood function of this multiplicative censoring problem is equivalent to (2).
The connection to the multiplicative censoring problem of Vardi (1989) explains the similarities as well as the differences between the proposed EM algorithm and that of Vardi (1989). In comparison to Vardi's E-step, which assigns weights to the censored observations according to the conditional density of
given
, the proposed algorithm assigns weights to the two-dimensional observations based on the conditional density of
given
, and to the one-dimensional observations based on the conditional density of
given
. The multiplicative censoring formulation also explains the difference in the M-steps, since in Vardi (1989)
and
are identically distributed, but
and
are biased versions of
.
6. Numerical examples
6.1. Simulations
We conducted numerical studies to examine the finite sample properties of the estimators proposed in
3. For each simulation scenario, 5000 independent datasets were generated. In the first set of simulations, each dataset consists of independent observations from three-dimensional, two-dimensional and one-dimensional samples. We present the results when
was generated from a uniform distribution. We performed additional simulations for beta-distributed
; the results were qualitatively similar and are not presented. Table 1 shows the performance of the proposed three-sample estimator for different sample sizes. In general, the proposed estimator had a negligible small-sample bias at a wide range of percentile points along the distribution of
. Also, the sampling bias decreased with sample sizes, supporting the consistency of the estimator. The sampling variability of the estimator decreased with an increase in sample size. We considered unequal sample sizes among the samples in case (e), which had the same total number of observations as in case (b), but had the same total number of three-dimensional observations as in case (a). Since three-dimensional observations were most informative about the three-dimensional radii distribution, the sample variability of (e) lay between (a) and (b). Comparing (a) and (e), the additional two-dimensional and one-dimensional observations were more informative to the upper tail of the distribution because larger objects are more likely to be sampled due to sampling bias.
Table 1.
Pointwise performance of the proposed 3-sample estimator for various sample sizes
| (a) | (b) | (c) | (d) | (e) | ||||||
| Percentile | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD |
| 10 |
1 |
42 | 1 | 30 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
14 |
1 |
41 |
| 30 |
2 |
62 |
1 |
43 | 1 | 28 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
56 |
| 50 |
2 |
63 |
1 |
42 |
1 |
30 |
1 |
22 |
1 |
52 |
| 70 |
2 |
53 |
1 |
35 |
1 |
25 |
1 |
18 | 1 | 43 |
| 90 |
1 |
33 |
1 |
23 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
10 |
1 |
25 |
| 95 |
1 |
24 |
1 |
17 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
8 |
1 |
20 |
97 5 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
13 |
1 |
9 |
1 |
6 | 1 | 17 |
The values of Bias and SD were multiplied by 1000, and SD represents the sampling
standard deviation. (a)
, (b)
, (c)
, (d)
, (e)
.
Table 2 compares estimators using observations from different samples. We compared the three-sample estimator given in §3, with two-sample and one-sample estimators which are special cases of the proposed method, with the empirical distribution function using only three-dimensional observations. Compared to the estimator using observations from three-dimensional data only, inclusion of additional samples improved estimation efficiencies while the small sample bias was unaffected. The small sample bias and variability both increased when information from three-dimensional data were not used.
Table 2.
Pointwise performance of the estimators using observations from different samples
| Samples | (1,2,3) |
(2,3) |
(3) |
(1,2) |
(2) |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Percentile | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD |
| 10 |
1 |
20 | 1 | 21 |
1 |
21 | 2 | 73 | -16 | 76 |
| 30 | 1 | 28 |
1 |
31 |
2 |
34 | 16 | 79 | 1 | 83 |
| 50 |
1 |
30 |
1 |
32 |
2 |
37 | 29 | 61 | 8 | 67 |
| 70 |
1 |
25 | 1 | 26 |
1 |
32 | 22 | 42 | 9 | 50 |
| 90 |
1 |
16 |
1 |
17 |
1 |
22 | 12 | 23 | 6 | 28 |
| 95 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
13 |
1 |
15 | 8 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
97 5 |
1 |
9 |
1 |
10 |
1 |
11 | 6 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
The sample sizes were
. The values of Bias and SD were multiplied by 1000, and
SD represents the sampling standard deviation. Numbers in the brackets indicate
the dimensions of observations being included.
Next, we study the performance of the estimators when the Poisson process assumption is violated. To generate a weakly correlated population of spheres, we follow a model of Bartlett (1974), where spheres are sequentially generated and a sphere is removed if it overlaps with any existing spheres. The resulting process is a stationary marked point process and the spheres are weakly dependent. We study the performance of the estimators by varying the truncation fraction, that is, the fraction of spheres that are removed. Table 3 shows that estimation bias increases slightly but the sampling variability remains similar when the degree of overlapping increases.
Table 3.
Pointwise performance of the estimators when the Poisson process assumption is violated
|
|
|
|
|||||
| Percentile | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD | Bias | SD |
| 10 |
1 |
42 |
2 |
30 |
1 |
32 |
2 |
33 |
| 30 | 1 | 43 |
4 |
42 |
9 |
43 |
11 |
43 |
| 50 |
1 |
42 |
9 |
42 |
15 |
41 |
19 |
41 |
| 70 |
1 |
36 |
10 |
36 |
16 |
35 |
20 |
33 |
| 90 |
1 |
23 |
5 |
23 |
9 |
23 |
11 |
21 |
The sample sizes were
. The values of Bias and SD were multiplied by 1000, SD
represents the sampling standard deviation, and
is the fraction of spheres that are
removed due to overlapping.
We conducted further simulations to evaluate the rate of convergence of the estimators under the Poisson process assumption. We compared two scenarios: when only two-dimensional observations are available, and when 10
of the observations are three-dimensional and 90
are two-dimensional. According to Groeneboom & Jongbloed (1995), the minimax rate of convergence for two-dimensional observations is
, so
times the sampling standard derivation
of the estimates
should stabilize as
increases. That is,
for some constant
. We reran the simulations with
and 5000 and evaluated the sampling standard deviation of the estimated distribution function at the 10, 30, 50, 70 and 90 percentiles of the true distribution. We fitted a linear model with outcome
, predictor
and dummy variables for different percentiles. The estimated regression coefficient of
from the simulations was
, with
confidence interval
, consistent with the theoretical predictions. For a combination of three-dimensional and two-dimensional observations, we conjecture that the rate of convergence is
, which corresponds to a true regression coefficient of 0. Using
three-dimensional and 90
two-dimensional data, the estimated regression coefficient of
from the simulations was
, with
confidence interval
, so we cannot reject the null hypothesis that the rate of convergence is
. We found that the rates of convergence were different in the two scenarios even when the second sample was dominated by two-dimensional observations.
6.2. Data analysis
We applied the proposed method to estimate the diameter distribution of a nickel-based superalloy Inconel 100, using combined three-dimensional, two-dimensional and one-dimensional data derived from Tucker et al. (2012). The two-dimensional and one-dimensional observations were obtained by planar and linear sections of the sample materials, and the three samples contain non-overlapping particles. The data contain 84 particles from four one-dimensional sections and 254 particles from a two-dimensional section. Since three-dimensional measurements are more costly to obtain, we included a sample of 120 particles from the three-dimensional observations for illustration.
The estimates of the cumulative distribution are shown in Fig. 2. Figure 2(a) shows the estimates for the full support of the diameter distribution. An empirical distribution from the two-dimensional sample overestimated the proportion of particles with small diameter, but not the upper tail of the diameter distribution. Figure 2(b) zooms into the lower tail of the distribution, where the empirical distribution of a two-dimensional sample is biased. The nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate based on the combined samples was nearly identical to the empirical distribution based on the three-dimensional observations for diameter less than
m and cumulative probability less than 10%. This pattern is very similar to that seen in Table 2. As shown in Table 2, the efficiency gain of the combined sample estimator is more noticeable in the percentile range greater than 10%, and we observe that the estimated cumulative distribution deviates slightly compared to the empirical distribution based on the three-dimensional observations. Based on 1000 bootstrap replicates, the estimated standard errors for estimating the proportion of particles with diameter less than
m were
and
for the combined sample estimate and the three-dimensional sample estimate respectively.
Fig. 2.
Distribution function estimates of the diameter of Inconel 100 particles. (a) Full support, (b) the lower tail of the distribution. Solid lines represent the proposed estimator, dashed lines represent the empirical distribution based on the two-dimensional sample, dotted lines represent the empirical distribution based on the three-dimensional sample.
7. Concluding remarks
The corpuscle problem also arises for objects in other than three dimensions. The mathematical formulation of the
-dimensional corpuscle problem can be found in Heinrich (2007). For any
, the relationships between
,
and
dimensional observations remain the same. Therefore, our method can be applied to the general
-dimensional problem with a combination of
,
and
dimensional observations. Nonetheless,
covers most applications of practical interest.
We have shown that the proposed EM algorithm converges to the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate. We will study its large sample-properties in future research: the single-sample estimators based on three-dimensional, two-dimensional and one-dimensional observations have rates of convergence
,
and
respectively, as given in unpublished 1999 Vrije Universiteit lecture notes by G. Jongbloed. Vardi & Zhang (1992) studied the large-sample properties of a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator proposed in Vardi (1989) for the two-sample multiplicative censoring problem discussed in §5, in which one-sample observations have different convergence rates of
and
. Their two-sample estimator results in a
convergence rate and is asymptotically more efficient than the one-sample estimator with
rate of convergence. Our setting is substantially different, since their problem did not involve multisample sampling bias. As a result, the M-step of Vardi's algorithm only involves an empirical distribution, whereas the M-step of our algorithm involves nonparametric estimation under multiple biased samples. We expect that the proof of theoretical results for the proposed method will be more difficult than in Vardi & Zhang (1992), but based on their theoretical results and our simulation results, we conjecture that our three-sample estimator has a
rate of convergence when the sampling fraction
converges to a nonnegligible proportion
.
Acknowledgement
The authors thank the editor, an associate editor and three reviewers for their helpful comments and suggestions. They also thank Joe Tucker and Anthony Rollett for providing the Inconel 100 data. The first author is partially supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the U.S. National Institutes of Health.
Appendix. Concavity of the loglikelihood function
Let
,
, and
,
and
, which are the multiplicities of the three-dimensional sample, two-dimensional sample and one-dimensional sample at
respectively. Furthermore, let
,
,
and
. The likelihood function can be written as
![]() |
so the loglikelihood can be expressed as
where
,
,
,
. Let
and
be the Hessian of
. For
,
![]() |
and since
,
and
with
, this quadratic form is strictly negative unless
. Therefore
is strictly concave. To show the concavity of
, we consider the transformation
, and denote
the Hessian of
. For
,
![]() |
by the Cauchy–Schwartz inequality. Since
is strictly concave and
is concave,
is strictly concave.
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