Abstract
Background
The study assesses the degree to which individuals in different trajectories of marijuana use are similar or different in terms of unconventional behavior, sensation seeking, emotional dysregulation, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, children living at home, and spouse/partner marijuana use at age 43.
Method
This study used a longitudinal design. The sample participants (N=548) were first studied at mean age 14 and last studied at mean age 43.
Results
Six trajectories of marijuana use were identified: chronic/heavy users (3.6%), increasing users (5.1%), chronic/occasional users (20%), decreasers (14.3%), quitters (22.5%), and nonusers/experimenters (34.5%). With three exceptions, as compared with being a nonuser/experimenter, a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy, the increasing, or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group was significantly associated with a greater likelihood of unconventional behavior, sensation seeking, emotional dysregulation, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, having children who lived at home, and having a spouse/partner who used marijuana at early midlife. In addition, compared with being a quitter, a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy user trajectory group was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of unconventional behavior, sensation seeking, emotional dysregulation, alcohol dependence/abuse, and spouse/partner marijuana use. Implications for intervention are presented.
Conclusions
Trajectories of marijuana use, especially chronic/heavy use, increasing use, and chronic/occasional use, are associated with unconventional behavior, sensation seeking, emotional dysregulation, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, having children who lived at home, and spouse/partner marijuana use at age 43. The importance of the findings for prevention and treatment programs are discussed.
Keywords: Trajectories of marijuana use, unconventional behavior, sensation seeking, emotional dysregulation, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, children living at home, spouse/partner marijuana use
Introduction
Several studies have examined the consequences of marijuana use on adolescent and young adult outcomes (e.g., health outcomes) [1–5]. In general, the findings have demonstrated that chronic marijuana users, compared to non-users, are more likely to demonstrate a number of adverse consequences, including psychiatric disorders [6], poor school achievement [7], financial difficulties [7], and difficulties at work [7]. In comparison, less is known about the adverse consequences of the trajectories of increasing marijuana users, occasional marijuana users, decreasers, and quitters.
Operating within a Family Interactional Theory (FIT) [8] and a Life Course framework [9], we focused on important trajectories in substance use (e.g., chronic use and increased use) as they relate to functioning in a variety of areas. For instance, the trajectories of chronic and increasing marijuana use may be associated with drug-prone personality attributes and psychiatric conditions, difficulties in interpersonal relations, and environmental factors, such as financial difficulty [10–14]. In recent years, a number of investigators have attempted to identify the patterns or trajectories of marijuana use [3, 15]. Examination of the trajectories or patterns of use enables the assessment of the consequences of multiple trajectories of marijuana use [16]. The present study adds to the literature by examining the effects of long-term trajectories of marijuana use from age 14 to age 43 on the following outcomes in early midlife. In the personal attribute area, we selected both externalizing and internalizing behaviors as they are both manifestations of personal attributes. We also postulated that certain trajectories of marijuana use would predict nicotine dependence and alcohol dependence/abuse. We further postulated that some trajectories of marijuana use would be associated with unconventional behaviors and ultimately, avoiding having children or children who lived at home. Finally, based on selection theory, we postulated that adults who use marijuana would be more likely to select a spouse/partner who used marijuana.
In the present research, we used the growth mixture modeling (GMM) approach to assess trajectories [11, 13, 17, 18]. This approach enabled us to compare multiple trajectories of marijuana use as related to some of the consequences of use (e.g., emotional problems, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse). Several researchers have identified the following trajectories of marijuana use: non/experimental use, occasional use, chronic use, increasing use, and quitters [3, 14, 19]. For example, Caldeira et al. (2012) [3] reported that chronic and late-increasing marijuana users had the worst health outcomes, including functional impairment due to injury, illness, or emotion problems. In a sample of African American and Puerto Rican adolescents and adults, chronic marijuana use was associated with increased violence, greater financial instability, and increased sexual risk behavior [10, 16]. In a study using national panel data, Schulenberg and colleagues (2005) [13] reported that chronic marijuana use was related to a greater likelihood of marijuana dependence and substance abuse. The association of other trajectories of marijuana use with adverse outcomes has been reported in the literature. For example, in terms of mental health in adolescence, Brook, Lee et al. (2011) [16] reported that non-users did not differ from adolescent-limited users in symptoms of depression. A greater understanding of the nature of the trajectories of marijuana use is significant for the timing and targeting of interventions focused on trajectories of use related to adverse outcomes.
Our study departs from earlier research which covers a relatively short span of time, but there are some exceptions [3, 17, 20]. In this study, we build on earlier research and assess the long-term patterns of marijuana use as they relate to personal and interpersonal functioning at mean age 43. The current longitudinal study uses data beginning in adolescence and extending to the fifth decade of life. We hypothesize the following: membership in the chronic/heavy use, increasing use, and chronic/occasional use trajectory groups, as compared with the non/experimental use trajectory group, are associated in adulthood with greater unconventional behaviors, emotional problems, sensation seeking, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, avoiding having children or children who lived at home, and having a spouse/partner who was a marijuana user.
Methods
Participants and Procedure
Data on the participants in this study came from a community-based random sample residing in one of two upstate New York counties (Albany and Saratoga) first assessed in 1983. The sample was taken from an earlier study using maternal interviews which began in 1975 (T1). The participants’ mothers were interviewed about the participants in 1975 (T1) to assess problem behavior among youngsters. At T1, population data from the census (updated in 1975) for sampling units in Albany and Saratoga counties were obtained. A systematic sample of primary sampling units (blocks) in each county was then drawn with probability proportional to the number of households. At the time the data was collected, the sampled families were generally representative of the population of families in the two upstate New York counties. There was a close match of the participants on family income, maternal education, and family structure with the 1980 census. Mothers with one or more child(ren) in the age range of 1–10 were recruited and, when there were multiple children in the family, one child in that age range was randomly selected. With regards to ethnicity, the children of the sample were 90% White, 8% African American, and 2% other ethnic/racial minorities. Forty nine percent of the children were females. The detailed sampling procedures were published elsewhere [8]. Interviews were conducted in 1983 (T2, N=756), 1985–1986 (T3, N=739), 1992 (T4, N=750), 1997 (T5, N=749), 2002 (T6, N=673), 2007 (T7, N=607), and 2012–2013 (T8, N=548). The mean ages (standard deviations) of participants at the follow-up interviews were 14.1 (2.8) at T2, 16.3 (2.8) at T3, 22.3 (2.8) at T4, 27.0 (2.8) at T5, 31.9 (2.8) at T6, 36.6 (2.8) at T7, and 43.0 (2.8) at T8, respectively.
At T2–T7, extensively trained and supervised lay interviewers administered interviews in private. The T8 data collection involved an Internet-based self-administered questionnaire. Written informed consent was obtained from participants and their mothers in 1983, 1985–1986, and 1992, and from participants only in 1997, 2002, 2005–2006, and 2012–2013. The Institutional Review Board of the New York University School of Medicine authorized the use of human subjects in this research study at T8. Earlier waves of the study were approved by the Institutional Review Boards of the Mount Sinai School of Medicine or New York Medical College. Additional information regarding the study methodology is available in prior publications [8].
Measures
Marijuana Use
At each time wave (T2–T8), questions about marijuana use (adapted from the Monitoring the Future study [21]) were included. In order to measure the lifetime quantity and frequency of marijuana use from childhood to the mid-thirties, at each time wave questions were asked about the frequency of marijuana use during the period from the last time wave through the current time wave. Specifically, the questions used were the frequency and quantity of marijuana use in childhood and early adolescence for T2 (prior to and at T2), during the past two years in adolescence for T3 (T2–T3), during the past five years in the early twenties for T4 (T3–T4), during the past five years in the late twenties for T5 (T4–T5), during the past five years in the late twenties and early thirties for T6 (T5–T6), during the past five years in the mid-thirties for T7 (T6–T7), and during the past five years in the early-forties for T8 (T7–T8). The marijuana use measure at each point in time had a scale coded as none (0), a few times a year or less (1), once a month (2), several times a month (3), once a week (4), several times a week (5), and daily (6).
The dependent variables were assessed in 2012–2013 and consisted of unconventional behaviors (i.e., tolerance of deviance [22], rebellion [23], delinquency [24], and antisocial behaviors [25]), emotional problems [26], sensation seeking [27], nicotine dependence [28], alcohol dependence/abuse [25], children living at home, and spouse/partner marijuana use. Table 1 lists the dependent variables, the number of items comprising each scale, response ranges, sample items, and Cronbach’s alphas. For the indicator variable of high unconventional behaviors, a participant was assigned a score of 1 for the respective indicator variable if at least two of the component scale values were 1 standard deviation (SD) above the mean for that scale, respectively. For the indicator variables of high sensation seeking and high emotional dysregulation, a participant was assigned a score of 1 if the original scale was 1 SD above the sample mean for that scale. For the indicator variable of spouse/partner marijuana use, a participant was assigned a score of 1 if the participant reported that his/her spouse/partner used marijuana at least on 1–2 occasions in the past year (see Table 1 for further descriptions of the original scales).
Table 1.
Psychometrics of Psychosocial Dependent Variables: Number of Items, Response Range, Sample Items, and Cronbach’s alpha
Dependent Variable | Response Range | Sample Item | Cronbach’s alpha |
Number of Items |
---|---|---|---|---|
Unconventional Behaviors | ||||
Tolerance of deviance22 | Very wrong (1) - Not wrong (4) | How wrong do you think it is to take credit for other people’s work? |
0.63 | 4 items |
Rebellion23 | False (1) - True (4) | When rules get in my way, I sometimes ignore them. |
0.73 | 6 items |
Delinquency24 | Never (0) – 5 or More Times (4) | How often have you taken part in a fight in the past 5 years? |
0.65 | 5 items |
Antisocial behaviors25 | No (0) – Yes (1) | Have you exposed others to danger without caring? |
0.78 | 7 items |
Emotional Dysregulation26 | Strongly disagree (1) – Strongly agree (5) | In general, I have a hard time handling my emotions. |
0.93 | 9 items |
Sensation Seeking27 | Strongly disagree (1) – Strongly agree (6) | I’d rather gamble than play it safe. | 0.84 | 7 items |
Nicotine dependence28 | No (0) – Yes (1) | Over time, did you develop a physical tolerance for tobacco in order to feel satisfied)? |
N.A. | 10 items |
Alcohol dependence/abuse25 | No (0) – Yes (1) | Did you need to drink more in order to get the same effect that you got when you first started drinking? |
N.A. | 12 items |
Children living at home | No (0) – Yes (1) | Do you have children who currently live at home? |
N.A. | 1 item |
Spouse/Partner Marijuana Use in the Past Year |
0 (0) – 40 or More (6) | On average, how many occasions (if any) has your spouse/partner used marijuana in the past year? |
N.A. | 1 item |
Control variables
The following variables were included as control variables: gender, T8 age, T2 family income in the past year before taxes, T2 highest parental educational level, T2 self-reported grade point average (GPA), T2 depressive mood (5 items, alpha=0.75, e.g., In the past few years, how often have you been bothered by feeling low in energy or slowed down? [29]), T2 delinquency (5 items, alpha=0.65, e.g., How often have you gotten into a serious fight at school or work? [30]), T2 alcohol use [21], and T2 cigarette smoking [21].
Analysis
Using the Mplus software [31], we conducted GMM analyses to identify the developmental trajectories of marijuana use. As suggested by Bray, Lanza, & Tan (2015) [32], the following demographic variables were included as control variables in the trajectories analyses: gender, T2 age, T2 family income, T2 highest parental educational level, and T2 GPA. We treated the dependent variable (marijuana use at each time point) as a censored normal variable. We applied the full information maximum likelihood (FIML) approach for the missing data in the analysis. We set each of the trajectory polynomials to be cubic. We used the minimum Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) to determine the number of trajectory groups (G). We did not consider groups with fewer than 3% of the sample because some investigators have cautioned against over-extraction of latent classes due to the presence of non-normal data [33]. After extracting the latent classes, we assigned each participant to the trajectory group with the largest Bayesian posterior probability (BPP). For each of the trajectory groups, we created an indicator variable, which had a value of 1 if participants had the largest BPP for that group and 0 otherwise. The observed trajectory for a group was the average of marijuana use at each time point for participants assigned to the group (see Figure 1).
Figure 1. Developmental Trajectories of Marijuana Use Extending From Adolescence to Mean Age 43.
Note: The marijuana use measure at each point in time had a scale coded as none (0), a few times a year or less (1), once a month (2), several times a month (3), once a week (4), several times a week (5), and daily (6).
We then conducted separate binary logistic regression analyses to examine the association between marijuana use trajectories and greater unconventional behavior, greater emotional problems, more sensation seeking, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, having children who lived at home, and having spouse/partner who used marijuana, respectively. Because specifying which trajectory group an individual belongs to is subject to error, we used the BPPs of belonging to each trajectory group as the independent variables. Because one group was chosen as the reference, the number of independent trajectory variables was G-1, where G was the number of trajectory groups. We then conducted separate multivariate logistic regression analyses using the following control variables: age, gender, T2 parental educational level, T2 family income, T2 GPA, T2 delinquency, T2 depressive mood, T2 alcohol use, and T2 cigarette smoking.
Results
There were no statistically significant differences between participants included in the analyses of adult functioning at T8 (N=548) and the T2 participants who were missing at T8 (N=258) with respect to age (t = 0.17, p-value = 0.86), T2 family income (t = −1.91, p-value = 0.06), T2 depressive mood (t= −0.69, p-value = 0.49), T2 delinquency (t = 1.79, p-value = 0.07), T2 alcohol use (t= −1.57, p-value = 0.12), T2 cigarette smoking (t= −0.02, p-value = 0.98), and T2 marijuana use (t= 0.03, p-value = 0.97). However, there was a greater percentage of female participants (54.7% vs. 36.8%; χ2(1) = 22.55, p-value < 0.001) and a higher parental educational level (13.65 vs. 13.07; t= −3.07, p-value = 0.002) among participants who were included in the T8 analyses, as compared to those who were excluded.
Trajectories of Marijuana Use
The mean (Standard Deviation) of the marijuana use scores at each time point were 0.56 (1.19), 0.75 (1.35), 1.00 (1.37), 0.94 (1.43), 0.72 (1.37), 0.61 (1.23), and 0.58 (1.26) for T2–T8 respectively. The percentage of marijuana users peaked at T4 (mean age=22) and then decreased through T8 (mean age =43).
We calculated solutions for the three-group trajectory (Likelihood Value = −5400; BIC = 11008; Entropy = 0.80), the four-group trajectory (Likelihood Value = −5254; BIC = 10782; Entropy = 0.81), the five-group trajectory (Likelihood Value = −5188; BIC = 10717; Entropy = 0.81), and the six-group trajectory (Likelihood Value = −5138; BIC = 10685; Entropy = 0.81). We chose the six-group solution, because the BIC value was lower than those for the five-group trajectory. Participants were then assigned to the marijuana trajectory group that best depicted their marijuana use over time. The average classification probabilities for group membership ranged from 0.84 to 0.90, which indicate a satisfactory classification.
Figure 1 presents the six observed marijuana use trajectories. The trajectory groups were named: chronic/heavy users (N=29, 3.6%), increasing users (N=41, 5.1%), chronic/occasional users (N=161, 20%), decreasers (N=115, 14.3%), quitters (N=181, 22.5%), and nonusers/experimenters (N=279, 34.5%). As noted in Figure 1, the chronic/heavy users started early, achieved the level of use on a weekly basis in late adolescence (T3), and then stayed at that level through the early forties, the increasing users started late, increased use from late adolescence/emerging adulthood to the early thirties (weekly, several times a week or daily), and then stayed at that level through the early forties. The decreasers started early, achieved the maximum level of use on a monthly basis in late adolescence (T3), and then tapered off gradually. The chronic/occasional users started late and used marijuana less than on a monthly basis, but stayed at that level through the early forties. The quitters started early, tapered off from late adolescence/emerging adulthood into adulthood, and quit completely at mean age 32 (T6). There was a significant association between gender and marijuana trajectory group membership [χ2(5)=34.5, p<.001]. Compared to females, males had higher likelihoods of being chronic/heavy users, increasers, decreasers, or chronic occasional users (see Table 2 for gender differences in the distribution of marijuana trajectory memberships). In addition, T2 age, delinquency, alcohol use, and cigarette smoking were associated with higher likelihoods of being a chronic/heavy user, a decreaser, or a quitter. T2 depressive mood was associated with higher likelihoods of being a decreaser or a quitter. T2 GPA was associated with a higher likelihood of being a non/experimental user.
Table 2.
Frequencies of five marijuana use trajectories based on GMM results.
Marijuana Trajectories | Combined (n=806), n (%) | Male (n=411), n (%) | Female (n=395), n (%) |
---|---|---|---|
Increasing Users | 41 (5.1%) | 30 (7.3%) | 11 (2.8%) |
Chronic/Heavy Users | 29 (3.6%) | 23 (5.6%) | 6 (1.5%) |
Decreasers | 115 (14.3%) | 68 (16.6%) | 47 (11.9%) |
Chronic/Occasional Users | 161 (20%) | 92 (22.4%) | 69 (17.5%) |
Quitters | 181 (22.5%) | 78 (19%) | 103 (26.1%) |
Nonusers/experimenters | 279 (34.5%) | 120 (29.1%) | 159 (40.2%) |
Note: The association analyses indicated that gender was significantly associated with marijuana use trajectories (χ(5)=34.5, p<.001).
Trajectories of Marijuana Use as Predictors of T8 Psychosocial Outcomes
Table 3 presents the codes, sample means (or %), standard deviations of the dependent and control variables used in the logistic regression analyses. Table 4 presents the results of the multivariate logistic regression analyses. The results of the multivariate logistic regressions indicated that, compared with belonging to the non/experimental user trajectory group: (1) a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy, the increasing, or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of engaging in unconventional behaviors {Adjusted Odds Ratio (AOR) [95% Confidence Interval (CI)] = 8.53 (1.71–42.46), AOR (95% CI) = 4.85 (1.37–17.14), and AOR (95% CI) = 3.94 (1.52–10.19), respectively}, having nicotine dependence [AOR (95% CI) = 10.87 (2.58–45.85), AOR (95% CI) = 8.37 (2.77–25.3), and AOR (95% CI) = 3.33 (1.56–7.12), respectively], having alcohol dependence/abuse [AOR (95% CI) = 8.75 (2.12–36.21), AOR (95% CI) = 3.69 (1.08–12.59), and AOR (95% CI) = 4.3 (1.86–9.93), respectively], and having a spouse/partner who used marijuana in the past year [AOR (95% CI) = 55.25 (10.61–287.69), AOR (95% CI) = 52.24 (13.69–199.27), and AOR (95% CI) = 12.47 (4.5–34.55), respectively]; (2) a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy user trajectory group or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of having greater emotional dysregulation [AOR (95% CI) = 6.48 (1.39–20.2) and AOR (95% CI) = 2.54 (1.19–5.42), respectively]; (3) a higher probability of belonging to the increasing or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of having a sensation seeking orientation [AOR (95% CI) = 6.9 (2.17–21.94) and AOR (95% CI) = 4.5 (1.92–10.58), respectively] and a lower likelihood of having children who lived at home [AOR (95% CI) = 0.18 (0.06–0.5) and AOR (95% CI) = 0.38 (0.2–0.71), respectively]; and (4) a higher probability of belonging to the decreasing user trajectory group was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of having nicotine dependence [AOR (95% CI) = 4.45 (1.6–12.39)], alcohol dependence/abuser [AOR (95% CI) = 3.83 (1.31–11.16)], and having a spouse/partner who used marijuana in the past year [AOR (95% CI) = 9.63 (2.7–34.36)]. In addition, with the exception of nicotine dependence, the likelihood of having the personal and interpersonal psychosocial outcomes was not significantly different between being a non/experimental marijuana user and being a quitter.
Table 3.
Psychosocial Dependent Variables and Control Variables: Descriptive Statistics (N=548)
Variables | Coding | Mean (SD) or % |
---|---|---|
Unconventional Behaviors (2012–2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 11.5% (Yes) |
Sensational Seeking (2012–2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 16.2% (Yes) |
Nicotine Dependence (2012–2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 24.1% (Yes) |
Alcohol Dependence or Abuse (2012–2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 17% (Yes) |
Emotional Dysregulation (2012–2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 16.4% (Yes) |
Spouse/Partner Marijuana Use (2012 – 2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 14.2% (Yes) |
Children Living at Home (2012 – 2013) | No (0) – Yes (1) | 66.8% (Yes) |
Gender | Female (0) – Male (1) | 45% (Male) |
Age (2012–2013) | Years | 43.01 (2.78) |
Parental Educational Level (1983) | Years of schooling | 13.66 (2.48) |
Family Income of Origin (1983) | Under $2,000 (0) – $50,000 or over (12) | 8.8a (2.43) |
GPA (1983) | Very poor (F) (1) – Excellent (A) (5) | 4.03 (0.76) |
Depressive Mood (1983) | Not at all (0) – Extremely (4) | 2.1 (0.68) |
Delinquency (1983) | Never (1) - 5 or more times (5) | 1.68 (0.70) |
Alcohol Use (1983) | Never (1) – 3 or more drinks a day (5) | 1.28 (0.52) |
Cigarette Smoking (1983) | Never (0) – About1.5 packs a day (5) | 0.61 (1.10) |
Note:
about $20,000.
Table 4.
Logistic Regressions: Trajectories of Marijuana Use from Adolescence to Mean Age 43 as Related to Psychosocial Functioning Among Men and Women in the Early Forties (N=548).
Independent Variables |
Unconventional Behaviors AOR (95% C.I.) (11.5%)a |
Sensation Seeking AOR (95% C.I.) (16.2%)a |
Emotional Dysregulation AOR (95% C.I.) (16.4%)a |
Nicotine Dependence AOR (95% C.I.) (24.1%)a |
Alcohol Dependence/ Abuse AOR (95% C.I.) (17%)a |
Partner Marijuana Use AOR (95% C.I.) (14.2%)a |
Children Living at Home AOR (95% C.I.) (66.8%)a |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BPP of Chronic/Heavy Users |
8.53 (1.71 – 42.46)** |
2.66 (0.57 –11.39) |
6.48 (1.39 – 20.2)* |
10.87 (2.58 – 45.85)** |
8.75 (2.12 – 36.21)** |
55.25 (10.61 – 287.69)*** |
1.04 (0.28 – 3.8) |
BPP of Increasers |
4.85 (1.37 – 17.14)* |
6.90 (2.17 –21.94)** |
3.07 (0.93 – 10.14) |
8.37 (2.77 – 25.3)*** |
3.69 (1.08 – 12.59)* |
52.24 (13.69 – 199.27)*** |
0.18 (0.06 – 0.5)** |
BPP of Chronic/ Occasional Users |
3.94 (1.52 – 10.19)** |
4.5 (1.92 – 10.58)*** |
2.54 (1.19 – 5.42)* |
3.33 (1.56 – 7.12)** |
4.3 (1.86 – 9.93)*** |
12.47 (4.5 – 34.55)*** |
0.38 (0.2 – 0.71)** |
BPP of Decreasers |
2.51 (0.63 – 9.98) |
2.7 (0.91 – 8.06) |
2.28 (0.78 – 6.65) |
4.45 (1.6 – 12.39)** |
3.83 (1.31 – 11.16)* |
9.63 (2.7 – 34.36)*** |
1.49 (0.63 – 3.53) |
BPP of Quitters | 0.9 (0.2 – 4.16) |
0.61 (0.18 – 2.07) |
1.33 (0.46 – 3.85) |
3.06 (1.12 – 8.31)* |
1.7 (0.56 – 5.15) |
0.82 (0.18 – 3.69) |
1.31 (0.59 – 2.94) |
Note:
1. 1. AOR= Adjusted Odds Ratio; C.I.=Confidence Interval; BPP = Bayesian posterior probability
2. * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001;
3. apercentage of the sample that the dependent variable = 1;
4. The following variables were included as control variables in each regression analysis: age, gender, parental educational level, family income, GPA, delinquency, depressive mood, alcohol use, and cigarette smoking at mean age 14.
5. BPP of belonging to non-user group serves as the reference.
We also conducted the multivariate logistic regressions using the BPP of the quitter trajectory group as the reference. The results (see Table 5) indicated that, compared with belonging to the quitter group, (1) a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy, the increasing group, the chronic/occasional group, or the decreasing user trajectory group was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of having an orientation toward sensation seeking [AOR (95% CI) = 4.2 (1.02–17.35), AOR (95% CI) = 11.38 (2.56–50.67), AOR (95% CI) = 7.43 (2.1–26.33), and AOR (95% CI) = 4.46 (1.67–11.92), respectively] and having a spouse/partner who used marijuana in the past year [AOR (95% CI) = 67.28 (13.78–328.61), AOR (95% CI) = 63.59 (11.57–348.99), AOR (95% CI) = 15.18 (3.55–64.87), and AOR (95% CI) = 11.33 (3.59–38.32), respectively]; (2) a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy user trajectory group was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of engaging in unconventional behaviors [AOR (95% CI) = 9.45 (2.03–43.97)], having greater emotional dysregulation [AOR (95% CI) = 4.87 (1.16–20.42)], and having alcohol dependence/abuse [AOR (95% CI) = 5.16 (1.44–18.44)]; and (3) a higher probability of belonging to the increasing or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group was associated with a significantly lower likelihood of having children who lived at home [AOR (95% CI) = 0.14 (0.04–0.47) and AOR (95% CI) = 0.29 (0.12–0.73), respectively].
Table 5.
Logistic Regressions: Trajectories of Marijuana Use from Adolescence to Mean Age 43 as Related to Psychosocial Functioning Among Men and Women in the Early Forties (N=548).
Independent Variables |
Unconventional Behaviors AOR (95% C.I.) (11.5%)a |
Sensation Seeking AOR (95% C.I.) (16.2%)a |
Emotional Dysregulation AOR (95% C.I.) (16.4%)a |
Nicotine Dependence AOR (95% C.I.) (24.1%)a |
Alcohol Dependence/ Abuse AOR (95% C.I.) (17%)a |
Partner Marijuana Use AOR (95% C.I.) (14.2%)a |
Children Living at Home AOR (95% C.I.) (66.8%)a |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BPP of Chronic/Heavy Users |
9.45 (2.03 – 43.97)** |
4.2 (1.02 –17.35)* |
4.87 (1.16 – 20.42)* |
3.57 (0.96 – 13.24) |
5.16 (1.44 – 18.44)* |
67.28 (13.78 – 328.61)*** |
0.79 (0.24 – 2.67) |
BPP of Increasers |
5.38 (0.94 – 30.98) |
11.38 (2.56 –50.67)** |
2.31 (0.52 – 10.16) |
2.75 (0.73 – 10.46) |
2.18 (0.51 – 9.32) |
63.59 (11.57 – 348.99)*** |
0.14 (0.04 – 0.47)** |
BPP of Chronic/ Occasional Users |
4.37 (0.96 – 19.85) |
7.43 (2.1 – 26.33)** |
1.91 (0.61 – 6.03) |
1.09 (0.38 – 3.18) |
2.53 (0.82 – 7.86) |
15.18 (3.55 – 64.87)*** |
0.29 (0.12 – 0.73)** |
BPP of Decreasers |
2.78 (0.77 – 10.01) |
4.46 (1.67 – 11.92)** |
1.72 (0.66 – 4.48) |
1.46 (0.63 – 3.4) |
2.26 (0.95 – 5.38) |
11.33 (3.59 – 38.32)*** |
1.14 (0.55 – 2.36) |
BPP of Nonusers/ Experimental Users |
1.11 (0.24 – 5.12) |
1.65 (0.48 – 5.64) |
0.75 (0.26 – 2.18) |
0.33 (0.12 – 0.9)* |
0.59 (0.19 – 1.79) |
1.22 (0.27 – 5.48) |
0.76 (0.34 – 1.71) |
Note:
1. 1. AOR= Adjusted Odds Ratio; C.I.=Confidence Interval; BPP = Bayesian posterior probability
2. * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001;
3. apercentage of the sample that the dependent variable = 1;
4. The following variables were included as control variables in each regression analysis: age, gender, parental educational level, family income, GPA, delinquency, depressive mood, alcohol use, and cigarette smoking at mean age 14.
5. BPP of belonging to quitter group serves as the reference.
Among the control variables, T2 depressive mood was significantly associated with the higher likelihood of T8 unconventional behaviors, emotional dysregulation, and conflictual relations with a spouse/partner (all significant at p<.05), but a lower likelihood of having a spouse/partner who was a marijuana user. T2 delinquency was significantly associated with T8 emotional dysregulation (p<0.05). T2 cigarette smoking was significantly associated with T8 nicotine dependence (p<0.05).
Discussion
To our knowledge, this is the first longitudinal study of the trajectories of marijuana use beginning at age 14 and extending to age 43 in a sample selected from the community. This study, building upon our prior research [17], adds to our knowledge by identifying six distinct trajectory groups (i.e., the chronic/heavy, increasing, decreasing, chronic/occasional, quitter, and non/experimental user trajectory groups) and their associations with personal and interpersonal functioning in adulthood. Overall, individuals with a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy or the increasing user trajectory group showed the highest level of cumulative marijuana use, and the non-user/experimental group scored the lowest level of marijuana use. The relationship between trajectories of marijuana use and personal and interpersonal functioning emerged with control on age, gender, T2 parental educational level, T2 family income, T2 GPA, T2 delinquency, T2 depressive mood, T2 alcohol use, and T2 cigarette smoking. These control variables had binary/multivariate associations with the outcome variables, as well as the marijuana use trajectories (all significant at p<.05). Therefore, the associations between marijuana use trajectories and the outcomes were unlikely to be affected by these control variables.
As regards the association between the trajectories of marijuana use and adult unconventional behaviors, sensation seeking, nicotine dependence, and alcohol dependence/abuse, the findings provide partial support for our hypotheses. Our results suggest that, compared with being a nonuser/experimenter, individuals with a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy group, the increasing group, or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group had poorer outcomes in terms of unconventional behavior, nicotine dependence, and alcohol dependence/abuse, suggesting that chronic and increasing use of marijuana interferes with adolescent and adult development. In addition, compared with being a quitter, a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy user trajectory group was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of unconventional behavior and alcohol dependence/abuse. Similar findings regarding early and chronic marijuana use have been found in other research [16, 34]. The results of the present study are consistent with problem behavior theory [35], which incorporates a number of problem behaviors into an overall syndrome of problem behavior. Marijuana use in turn predicts an increased risk of disorders of other substances [36, 37]. Research has found that long-term marijuana use can lead to addiction [38]. One mechanism is that earlier and chronic marijuana use may lead to a reduction in dopamine reactivity in the brain’s reward circuitry, which in turn is associated with later increased susceptibility to other substances [38]. Our study contributes to the literature by assessing specific trajectories of marijuana use that began in early adolescence and their relationship to adult unconventional behavior, nicotine dependence, and alcohol dependence/abuse. This more complete delineation of the correlation of patterns of marijuana use over 29 years and unconventional behavior, including nicotine dependence, and alcohol dependence/abuser, provides information for early preventive interventions.
As regards the association between the trajectories of marijuana use and adult emotional dysfunction, the findings partially provide support for our hypotheses. The findings indicated that, as compared to individuals with a higher probability of belonging to the non/experimental usegroup, individuals with a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy, the increasing (AOR=3.07 but not statistically significant), or the chronic/occasional user trajectory group, manifested greater emotional dysfunction. In addition, compared with being a quitter, a higher probability of being a chronic/heavy user was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of emotional dysregulation. These findings are in accord with the self-medication theory, which indicates that individuals with psychiatric symptoms (e.g., anxiety, depression) use substances to alleviate their symptoms [39]. The association between increasing marijuana use and emotional dysfunction may also be due to the neuroadaptation mechanism [38]. According to the substance effect model, marijuana use is associated with white matter disorganization, which in turn predicts emotional dysregulation [40].
As regards the association between the trajectories of marijuana use and the family dimension, we found that, compared with being a nonuser/experimenter (with the exception of belonging to the quitter trajectory group) a higher probability of belonging to other marijuana user trajectory groups was associated with a significantly higher likelihood of having a spouse/partner who used marijuana. Compared with being a quitter, a higher probability of being a chronic/heavy user was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of spouse/partner marijuana use. Thus, marijuana users, especially chronic/heavy users, may select to have a spouse/partner who also uses marijuana. However, our hypothesis that, compared with being a nonuser/experimenter or a quitter, a higher probability of belonging to the chronic/heavy user trajectory group is associated with a lower likelihood of having children who lived at home was not supported by the data.
One limitation of the research is its lack of representation of ethnic minorities. Flory et al. (2004) [12] did report that the pattern of marijuana use differed by ethnicity. We can only generalize our findings to a population of primarily white adolescents and adults. Future research with diverse samples may enhance the generalizability of the findings. Second, caution must be exercised in the interpretation of the results. Due to the small sample size, some statistical confidence intervals were relatively wide. We may have missed trajectory patterns (or periods) of marijuana use shorter than the time intervals between waves of data collection. Future research should include a larger sample observed with shorter intervals between waves. Third, although we included a number of confounding factors in the analyses, we were not able to include other factors which may explain the association of the trajectories of marijuana use and the effects on adult functioning. For example, we did not include life events. Fourth, the marijuana use item could miss periods of heavy use. Unfortunately, measures of more recent marijuana use, such as marijuana use in the past year, were not available in the present study. Finally, the present study does not enable us to provide inferences regarding causality. Future research should focus on assessing the causal ordering of the trajectories of marijuana use and adult functioning.
Future research is also needed to identify the mechanisms that serve to mediate the relationship between patterns of marijuana use and unconventional behaviors, emotional problems, sensation seeking, nicotine dependence, alcohol dependence/abuse, having children who lived at home, and having a spouse/partner who used marijuana in adulthood. Detailed information concerning these developmental processes will better inform prevention and intervention strategies for high-risk individuals.
This study has several strengths. First, we employed longitudinal data to assess the developmental trajectories of marijuana use beginning in adolescence and extending to adulthood. This enabled us to assess changes in marijuana use over important developmental periods as related to adult functioning. With the advent of the legalization of marijuana, it will be important to examine the changes in the trajectories of marijuana use, particularly as related to personal and interpersonal adult functioning. It may be that legalization of the use of marijuana may have adverse effects on adult functioning.
Implications
The present study adds to the literature on the different patterns of marijuana use. Based on the results of this study and the findings of other investigators, we are well positioned to target the stages of individual development in which to intervene. Regarding marijuana use, different patterns of marijuana use are associated with unconventional behavior, emotional difficulties, nicotine dependence, and alcohol dependence/abuse. Interventions that address different patterns of marijuana use may result in increased personal and interpersonal functioning.
From a clinical perspective, two approaches to the treatment of marijuana use have proven to be effective: cognitive behavioral therapy and motivational enhancement therapy. At the present time, there is no approved pharmacotherapy for the treatment of marijuana use or its withdrawal syndrome. However, there is active research in these areas [41]. Several drugs such as Δ9 –tetrahydrocannabinol (the active ingredient in marijuana), buspirone (for treatment of anxiety), zolpidem, and gabapentin (both for insomnia), appear to be promising treatments for the marijuana withdrawal syndrome [41]. The management of this syndrome is important as it may reduce the likelihood that individuals resume marijuana use in order to alleviate withdrawal symptoms, i.e., relapse. A decrease or elimination of marijuana use may then lead to an increase in personal and interpersonal functioning.
Acknowledgments
This research was supported by NIH grants DA003188 and DA032603 from the National Institute on Drug Abuse awarded to Dr. Judith S. Brook.
Footnotes
None of the authors have any financial involvement in any organization or entity with a direct financial interest in the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript.
On behalf of all authors, the corresponding author states that there is no conflict of interest.
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