Abstract
Objective
Syndesmophyte growth in ankylosing spondylitis can be difficult to measure using radiographs because of poor visualisation and semiquantitative scoring methods. We developed and tested the reliability and validity of a new computer-based method that fully quantifies syndesmophyte volumes and heights on CT scans.
Methods
In this developmental study, we performed lumbar spine CT scans on 38 patients and used our algorithm to compute syndesmophyte volume and height in four intervertebral disk spaces. To assess reliability, we compared results between two scans performed on the same day in nine patients. To assess validity, we compared computed measures to visual ratings of syndesmophyte volume and height on both CT scans and radiographs by two physician readers.
Results
Coefficients of variation for syndesmophyte volume and height, based on repeat scans, were 2.05% and 2.40%, respectively. Based on Bland–Altman analysis, an increase in syndesmophyte volume of more than 4% or in height of more than 0.20 mm represented a change greater than measurement error. Computed volumes and heights were strongly associated with physician ratings of syndesmophyte volume and height on visual examination of both the CT scans (p<0.0001) and plain radiographs (p<0.002). Syndesmophyte volumes correlated with the Schober test (r=−0.48) and lateral thoracolumbar flexion (r=−0.60).
Conclusions
This new CT-based method that fully quantifies syndesmophytes in three-dimensional space had excellent reliability and face and construct validity. Given its high precision, this method shows promise for longitudinal clinical studies of syndesmophyte development and growth.
Spinal fusion is the clinical and pathological hallmark of ankylosing spondylitis (AS). Spinal fusion results from the fusion of apophyseal joints and bridging syndesmophytes.1 Because apophyseal joint fusion is difficult to detect, monitoring the progression of spinal fusion in AS has relied on radiographic examination of the development and growth of syndesmophytes, as, for example, in studies of biomarkers and genetic polymorphisms associated with radiographic severity2–5 and of the link between inflammation and bone formation,6,7 Studies of whether tumour necrosis factor alpha antagonists can slow spinal fusion used as the outcome the modified Stoke ankylosing spondylitis spinal score (mSASSS), a radiographic score heavily weighted by syndesmophytes.8–10
The visibility of syndesmophytes on radiographs may be influenced by patient positioning, radiographic technique and shadows from superimposed anatomical structures, particularly on lumbar studies. These limitations are a consequence of using a two-dimensional technique to assess a complex three-dimensional structure. The use of radiographs also requires that readers correctly apply semiquantitative scores of vertebral abnormalities. The ability of such scores to capture progression is dependent on the fineness of the rating categories (ie, precision). However, finer rating categories are typically associated with more measurement error. Both visualisation problems and semiquantitative scoring might limit the ability of radiographic scores to detect syndesmophyte progression. Even by the most sensitive radiographic measures, only 46.4% of patients with AS show progression over 2 years, and even fewer have progression larger than the smallest detectable difference.11,12 Testing interventions to slow spinal fusion would benefit from methods that can reliably detect changes in syndesmophytes over shorter periods.
To address these limitations, we developed a computer algorithm that measures syndesmophytes on lumbar CT scans.13,14 Our goal was to develop a method that exploits the three-dimensional information of CT scans and assesses syndesmophytes along the entire vertebral rim, was fully quantitative, and measures both syndesmophyte volume and height. Compared to semiquantitative scores, a quantitative measure would have considerably better precision, that is, fineness of the measurement. With greater precision comes greater ability to distinguish different rates of progression. Automation would enhance the method’s reliability by eliminating reader variation. The objective of this study was to evaluate the reliability and validity of syndesmophyte quantitation by this new method.
METHODS
Patients
We enrolled adults with AS in this prospective longitudinal study. Patients were a convenience sample of those seen at the National Institutes of Health or Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions. Inclusion criteria were age 18 years or older, diagnosis of AS by the modified New York criteria,15 and a Bath ankylosing spondylitis radiology index (BASRI) lumbar spine score of 0, 1, 2, or 3 (ie, excluding patients with completely fused lumbar spines).16 To have representation of patients with different degrees of syndesmophytes, we enrolled at least five patients in each BASRI category. We excluded patients unable to provide informed consent, who were pregnant, or anticipated being unavailable for follow-up. The study protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of both centres, and all patients provided written informed consent.
Patients had a clinical evaluation, and completed questionnaires, including the Bath ankylosing spondylitis functional index (BASFI).17 Lumbar motion was evaluated using the modified Schober test and lateral thoracolumbar flexion. Patients had anteroposterior and lateral radiographs of the lumbar spine and lumbar spine CT scans.
CT scanning
Patients were scanned on a Philips Brilliance 64 (slice thickness 1.5 mm) or a GE Lightspeed Ultra scanner (slice thickness 1.25 mm). For both scanners, voltage and current parameters were 120 kVp and 300 mAs, respectively. Patients were scanned from T10 to L4, providing four intervertebral disk spaces (IDS) for processing: T11–T12, T12–L1, L1–L2, L2–L3. We focused on the thoracolumbar junction because syndesmophytes are most common in this region.18,19 The estimated equivalent absorbed radiation dose from the CT scan was 8.01 mSv (0.801 rem).
Reliability study
We invited a subsample of patients who had syndesmophytes at one or more vertebral levels to have two lumbar CT scans on the same day. After the first scan, patients stood up before lying down again for the second scan. This ensured that the variation between scans was in the range expected in a longitudinal study.
CT image analysis
We developed a semi-automated computer algorithm to quantitate syndesmophyte volume and height.13,14 The algorithm first identifies the complete vertebral bodies. Then, for each IDS, the algorithm detects syndesmophytes as any bone projecting from the periphery of the vertebral endplates, as voxels lying between the two planes of the endplates. We devised the algorithm to report the total volume of syndesmophyte at each IDS, regardless of whether they were contiguous. The algorithm also measured the height of the tallest syndesmophyte in each IDS. Measures in four IDS were added to provide volume and height measures per patient.
CT and radiography reading
To test the validity of the computed measures, we used visual readings of both the lumbar CT scans and radiographs as reference standards. Reader 1, a rheumatologist (MMW), and reader 2, a musculoskeletal radiologist (LY), scored the baseline CT scans and radiographs independently and blinded to the computed measurements. Details of the scoring are provided in the legend to figure 2. As a second measure of validity, each IDS was rank-ordered by syndesmophyte volume by reader 1. The same reader also ranked patients by total syndesmophyte volume.
Statistical analysis
We assessed reliability by the differences in syndesmophyte volume and height between paired scans, coefficients of variation (CV), and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC). We evaluated agreement between paired measurements using Bland–Altman analysis, which plots the difference of each pair against their mean.20 The CI around these differences provides an estimate of the variation expected from measurement error; differences greater than the 95% limits of agreement are taken to represent changes greater than expected by chance. Differences that vary with the mean of the measurements (ie, heteroskedasticity) may indicate bias but are also seen with ratio-scaled variables.
For validity, we compared the algorithms’ volumes and heights with the physicians’ semiquantitative readings. We used the stratified Kruskal–Wallis trend test to evaluate if volume and height measurements increased with the physicians’ scores, accounting for non-independence of observations within patients.21 For heights, we divided syndesmophyte height in millimetres by the height of the IDS, to be comparable to the physician’s semiquantitative score. We tested agreement between the readers using the weighted kappa statistic.
We used Spearman correlations to test associations between physician ranking of syndesmophyte volume and rankings based on the algorithm’s volume estimates, accounting for clustering of data within patients. We also correlated summed measures over four IDS for each patient with the duration of AS, Schober test, lateral thoracolumbar flexion (using the poorer of right and left-side values) and BASFI. We hypothesised that patients with more syndesmophytes would have a longer duration of AS, more limited spinal flexibility and more functional impairment. Spearman correlations were performed using SAS software (V.9.2).
RESULTS
Patients
We enrolled 38 patients (31 men and seven women; mean age 46.1 years (SD 11.5); mean duration of AS 20.0 years (SD 11.8). BASRI lumbar spine scores were 0 in 21%, 1 in 13%, 2 in 26% and 3 in 40%. The mean Schober test was 3.3 cm (SD 1.2), mean lateral thoracolumbar flexion was 11.1 cm (SD 4.8), and mean BASFI was 25.7 (SD 23.0). The validity study included 152 IDS of 38 patients. The algorithm detected syndesmophytes in 99 IDS (65%). When viewed three-dimensionally, syndesmophytes exhibited great variety in shape and location (figure 1). Rows 1, 3 and 5 show three IDS with several syndesmophytes, both ascending and descending. Row 2 shows two thick syndesmophytes that appear bridged on plain film but not on CT. Row 4 shows a single thin ascending syndesmophyte. Row 6 shows a partially bridged IDS, which appears completely fused on plain film but shows potential for progression when examined by CT.
Reliability study
Nine patients (eight men, mean age 54 years) were enrolled in the reliability study, providing data on 36 IDS. The absolute differences in syndesmophyte volume and height between scans were small (table 1). Very high reliability was also reflected by the low CV values and high ICC.
Table 1.
Mean±SD | 95% limits of agreement |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
||||||
1st scan | 2nd scan | Interscan difference | ICC | CV (%) | ||
Volume per IDS (n=36) | 349±480 mm3 | 351±483 mm3 | 5.51±8.63 mm3 | 0.99 | 2.05 | (−4.0 to 4.0) % |
Volume per patient (n=9) | 1396±1564 mm3 | 1404±1564 mm3 | 18.3±19.6 mm3 | 0.99 | 1.31 | (−3.0 to 3.0) % |
Height per IDS (n=36) | 3.48±2.60 mm | 3.49±2.62 mm | 0.074±0.093 mm | 0.99 | 2.40 | (−0.18 to 0.20) mm |
Height per patient (n=9) | 13.9±7.01 mm | 13.9±6.99 mm | 0.13±0.13 mm | 0.99 | 0.927 | (−0.38 to 0.39) mm |
Interscan differences are in absolute value.
CV, coefficient of variation; ICC, intraclass correlation coefficient; IDS, intervertebral disk spaces. The 95% limits of agreement are obtained from Bland–Altman analysis.
In the Bland–Altman analysis, volume measures were heteroskedastic, with larger inter-scan differences for IDS with higher syndesmophyte volumes. Bland–Altman analysis was therefore performed on log-transformed values, and the 95% limits of agreement for volume were in terms of percentage22 (see supplementary figure S1, Height measures exhibited no heteroskedasticity and limits of agreement were evaluated in the original scale (see supplementary figure S1, available online only). The 95% limits of agreement were narrow, indicating very good reliability. For individual IDS, a difference in volume of more than 4%, or an increase in height of more than 0.20 mm, represents changes beyond those expected by measurement error. For summed values of the four IDS in an individual patient, the limits of agreement were 3% for syndesmophyte volume and 0.39 mm for height.
Validity study
Figure 2 shows the association of computed volumes and heights with the physicians’ CT and radiography ratings. Based on visual readings of the CT scans, reader 1 categorised 31% of the 152 IDS as having a syndesmophyte volume score of 0, 26% with a volume score of 1, 21% with a volume score of 2 and 22% with a volume score of 3. Reader 2 categorised 24%, 35%, 23% and 18% of the 152 IDS in the four categories, respectively, with very good agreement between readers (weighted kappa 0.80; p<0.0001). Volumes computed by the algorithm were significantly associated with the readers’ scores (figure 2A, p<0.0001). Of note, only two IDS (1.3%) with a visual rating of 0 had a computed syndesmophyte volume of greater than 0, indicating that the algorithm produced very few false positive results. Conversely, the algorithm detected a computed volume of 0 in only eight IDS (5.3%) that were given a score of 1 by both readers.
Results were similar for computed heights, with strong associations with visual readings of syndesmophyte height on the CT scans (figure 2B, p<0.0001). IDS read as not having syndesmophytes had computed heights concentrated at 0, while IDS with bridging had computed heights concentrated at 1.0 (as the proportion of syndesmophyte height to IDS height). Computed volumes and heights were also significantly associated with physicians’ scores of plain radiographs (p<0.002 and p<0.0001, respectively) (figure 2C,D).
The dispersions of computed volumes and heights in figure 2 were smaller for CT scores than for radiograph scores, and the associations were stronger with CT readings. These results reflect the improved detection of syndesmophytes by CT scan. The number of IDS with a score of 0 was much larger for readings of the radiographs than for readings of the CT. For example, reader 1 scored 31% of IDS as without syndesmophytes by CT, 47% without syndesmophytes on the anteroposterior and lateral radiographs, and 68% without syndesmophytes on reading only the lateral radiograph.
We also assessed validity by comparing the rank order of syndesmophyte volumes by the algorithm and the physician’s reading. The correlations between the physician ranking and computer ranking were 0.95 for individual IDS and 0.93 for summed volumes of individual patients (figure 3). We also used these rankings to test our semiquantitative scoring system of physician readings of syndesmophyte volume on the CT scans. The median ranks of IDS rated as 0, 1, 2, or 3 were 1, 16, 57.5 and 81.5 for reader 1, and 1, 11.5, 60 and 81 for reader 2.
Summed syndesmophyte volumes were larger in patients with longer durations of AS (r=0.35; p=0.03), and those with more limited Schober test (r=−0.48; p=0.003), more limited lateral thoracolumbar flexion (r=−0.60; p<0.0001), and higher BASFI (r=0.32; p=0.05). Similarly, the sum of syndesmophyte heights across the four IDS was correlated with the duration of AS (r=0.34; p=0.04), Schober test (r=−0.55; p=0.0003), lateral thoracolumbar flexion (r=−0.60; p<0.0001) and BASFI (r=0.38; p=0.02).
Longitudinal study
To assess this method’s ability to detect syndesmophyte growth over time, we compared syndesmophyte volume and height between baseline CT scans and those obtained 1 year later in two patients (figure 4). For patient 1, the T11/T12 IDS was completely fused and showed little change. T12/L1 and L1/L2 IDS showed appreciable increases in both syndesmophyte volume (128% and 55%, respectively) and height (0.92 mm and 0.56 mm). For patient 2, T11/T12 and T12/L1 had stable syndesmophytes, while L1/L2 and L2/L3 exhibited volume progression above the 95% limits of agreement. Neither patient had readily detectable changes on plain radiographs over 1 year.
DISCUSSION
An accurate, reliable and precise method to measure syndesmophytes is needed for studies of the pathogenesis of spinal damage in AS and evaluation of the effects of treatments on the progression of spinal fusion. Studies based on radiographs have been useful, but poor visualisation and interpreter variation may limit both the accuracy and reliability of radiographic readings. To overcome these problems, we tested a new method for evaluating syndesmophytes using CT. The method is fully quantitative and semi-automated, and measures syndesmophyte volume and height in three dimensions.
High reliability may be difficult to achieve with very precise measures. However, our method is both precise and highly reliable. We tested reliability by scanning patients twice on the same day, replicating the variation likely to be encountered in a longitudinal study. The limits of agreement were quite small, indicating the method is capable of detecting relatively small increases in both volume (4% or more) and height (0.2 mm or more) as true changes. Having a measure that is both precise and highly reliable is important because it allows changes to be detected over shorter time periods and potentially with fewer patients.
We examined the validity of the method by comparing its measures with the readings of two physicians and observed very strong associations. Computed volumes and heights were higher in IDS that were also scored as more severely affected by the physician readers on the CT scans. There was little suggestion that the algorithm over-detected syndesmophytes. Because methods for visual ratings of syndesmophyte volume or height on CT scans have not been published, we developed measures for this study. These measures had face validity, and exhibited the expected associations with rank-ordered scans. The consistency of results between readers also supports the validity of these associations. The association between rank orders of computed volumes and physician ratings of volume also provides evidence of the algorithm’s validity using a method not dependent on the semiquantitative scores. We also assessed validity against readings of radiographs, despite anticipating that these associations would not be as strong as those based on readings of the CT scans. The algorithm’s measures are based on the three-dimensional information available in a CT scan, and the CT readings also take account of this information. In contrast, volume estimation on two-dimensional radiographs is very difficult, and we used the mSASSS syndesmophyte score as a proxy. Computed volumes and heights were strongly associated with radiographic readings despite this limitation.
In the longitudinal study of two patients, the computer algorithm was able to detect increases in syndesmophyte volume in five of eight IDS over 1 year. In four of the IDS, the changes were also qualitatively visible in the CT surface reconstruction. These changes provide additional evidence of the method’s validity.
Better visualisation with CT comes with the cost of increased radiation exposure. The average equivalent dose per patient was 8.1 mSv with the CT protocol we used, compared to 3.70 mSv from an anteroposterior and lateral lumbar spine radiograph, and 2.59 mSv from lateral films of the cervical and lumbar spine. With newer scanning technology, it will be possible to lower the radiation dose by 25%.23,24 We chose to develop this method using CT given the exquisite sensitivity of CT for calcification and bone formation. Quantifying syndesmophyte volume with MRI would be difficult, given the typical lack of magnetic resonance signal associated with calcification, and the similar and generally low signal of the annulus fibrosis, intervertebral ligaments and adjacent paravertebral musculature. The AS spine MRI-chronic (ASspiMRI-c) has been used to measure spinal damage based on MRI scans, but it assesses the number rather than the size of syndesmophytes per IDS, and features such as erosions contribute to the same score as syndesmophytes.25 Its reliability was limited, and did not correlate with mSASSS.25 Difficulty visualising syndesmophytes has also been noted in other MRI studies.26,27 MRI has not gained wide-spread use to measure spinal damage in AS.28
The strengths of this study include the evaluation of both reliability and validity of this new method, with multiple measures to assess face and construct validity, and with two independent readers. The method does not require specialised or modified equipment, but uses data from high-resolution CT scanners currently used in routine clinical practice. The study is limited in not testing criterion validity, as physical measurements of syndesmophytes were not possible. However, for a longitudinal study, reliability is arguably more important. The study is also limited by the relatively small number of patients enrolled in the reliability study, but this number was sufficient for estimation of the limits of agreement. A 1-day repeat CT scan entails additional radiation exposure that advances knowledge but offers no clinical benefit. Because the algorithm only considers as a syndesmophyte bone that lies between the vertebral endplates, it underestimates the volume of syndesmophytes that originate below the vertebral rim. Despite this limitation, the method has excellent validity. The method can be readily applied to other regions of the spine, but scanning a more extensive region would entail greater radiation exposure.
For studies that monitor changes in syndesmophytes, the novel method we have presented has high reliability and is substantially more precise than methods based on radiographs. This method has promise for use in characterising the development and progression of syndesmophytes over time.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank Lori Guthrie, RN, and Amanda Bertram for assistance.
Funding This work was supported by the Intramural Research Program, National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases, National Institutes of Health, and by the Clinical Center, National Institutes of Health, and the Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine General Clinical Research Center (grant number M01-RR00052 from the National Center for Research Resources/NIH).
Footnotes
Contributors MMW conceived the study. ST, JY, LY, JAF and MMW designed the study and ST and MMW performed the analysis. ST drafted the manuscript and all authors provided critical review and approval of the final version.
Competing interests None.
Ethics approval The study protocol was approved by the institutional review boards of the National Institutes of Health and Johns Hopkins Medical Center.
Patient consent Obtained.
Provenance and peer review Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.
Data sharing statement Primary data will be publicly available at the conclusion of the study.
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