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Canadian Urological Association Journal logoLink to Canadian Urological Association Journal
. 2016 Oct 13;10(9-10):E342–E346. doi: 10.5489/cuaj.4207

The uptake of active surveillance for the management of prostate cancer: A population-based analysis

Patrick O Richard 1,2, Shabbir MH Alibhai 3, Tony Panzarella 4, Laurence Klotz 5, Maria Komisarenko 1, Neil E Fleshner 1, David Urbach 6, Antonio Finelli 1
PMCID: PMC5085922  PMID: 27800064

The content is available as a PDF (2.9 MB).

Appendices

Appendix 1. Ontario Health Insurance Plan (OHIP) physician billing claims used to identify prostate cancer-related management

Billing claims - code Fee code: OHIP definition
Androgen-deprivation therapy G342: implantation of hormone pellets
Orchiectomy S589: orchiectomy; S598: radical orchiectomy
Biopsy Z712: biopsy, needle; Z713 biopsy, needle with drainage of abcess; S644: biopsy, perineal; E780: cystoscopy with needle biopsy of prostate
Transurethral resection of the prostate S654: transurethral resection of prostate for residual tissue; S655:transurethral resection of prostate
Radical prostatectomy S645:perineal prostatectomy; S646:perineal prostatectomy with vesiculectomy; S651: radical retropubic prostatectomy; S653:laparoscopic radical prostatectomy;
Pelvic lymph node dissection S652:staging pelvic lymph node dissection for prostate cancer
Brachytherapy S640: stereotactic prostate brachytherapy; X322: radium (sealed sources) treatment planning dosage; X323:radium (sealed sources) Intracavit. applic. - 1st applic.; X324: radium (sealed sources) - Interstitial; X325: radium (sealed sources) Applic. plaque/mould; X334: radium (sealed sources) Intracavit. applic. - rep. applic.
Radiotherapy X310: simple treatment planning; X311: intermediate treatment planning; X312: complex treatment planning; X313: full 3D treatment preparation
Urologist visits A355: consultation; A935: special surgical consultation; A356: repeat consultation; A353: specific assessment; A354: partial assessment; C355: in-patient consultation; C935: in-patient special surgical consultation; C356: in-patient repeat consultation; C353: in-patient specific assessment; C354: in-patient partial assessment; C352: in-patient subsequent visits – first five weeks; C357: in-patient subsequent visits – sixth to thirteenth week; C359: in-patient subsequent visit – after thirteenth week
Radio-oncologist visits A340: medical specific re-assessment; A341: complex medical specific re-assessment; A343:medical specific assessment; A345: consultation; A346: repeat consultation; A348: partial assessment; A745: limited consultation; C340: in-patient medical specific re-assessment; C341: in-patient complex medical specific re-assessment; C343: in-patient medical specific assessment; C345: in-patient consultation; C346: in-patient repeat consultation; C348: in-patient partial assessment; C745: in-patient limited consultation

Appendix 2. Description of covariates used in the multilevel mixed models

Variables Definition Type of variable Categories
Individual-level characteristics

Age, years Age at index year Categorical Less than 55 years
55–65 years
66–75 years
Index year Year of diagnosis Categorical Year 2002–2004
Year 2005–2007
Year 2008–2010
Income quintile Neighborhood average income quintile Categorical 1–5, with 1 representing the lowest income quintile and 5 the highest
ADG score ADG summary score Continuous Per 1-unit increment
Area of residency Primary area of residency Categorical Urban
Rural

Physician-level characteristics

Type of primary physician Specialty of primary caregiver Categorical Urologist Radiation oncologist
Physician volume, consultation/year Annual new PCa-related consultation volume during study period - physician Categorical First quartile (<37 case/year)
Second quartile (37–58 case/year)
Third quartile (58–94 case/year)
Fourth quartile (≥94 case/year)

Institution-level characteristics

Type of centre Main treating institution during first year Categorical Non cancer centre Cancer centre
Institution volume, consultation/year Annual new PCa-related consultation volume during study period - institution Continuous First quartile (<81 case/year)
Second quartile (81–165 case/year)
Third quartile (165–358 case/year)
Fourth quartile (≥358 case/year)

ADG: Aggregated Diagnosis Groups; PCa: prostate cancer.

Appendix 3. Definitions of the three sensitivity analyses used to identify men managed by active surveillance

Sensitivity analysis Definition
Primary definition Men who underwent repeat biopsies following diagnosis with or without a definitive treatment thereafter.
Sensitivity analysis #1 Men who underwent repeat biopsies following diagnosis with or without a definitive treatment thereafter as well as men who did not undergo a repeat biopsy but underwent definitive treatments more than 12 months after diagnosis.
Sensitivity analysis #2 Men who underwent repeat biopsies following diagnosis with or without definitive treatments thereafter as well as men who did not undergo a repeat biopsy but were treated more than 2 years after diagnosis.

Sensitivity analysis #3 Men who underwent repeat biopsies following diagnosis with or without definitive treatments thereafter, men who did not undergo a repeat biopsy but were treated more than 12 months after diagnosis as well as healthy young men who were not treated nor had a repeat biopsy following diagnosis. The latter group was defined as individuals younger than 65 years of age with an ADG score in the lowest tertile.

ADG: Aggregated Diagnosis Groups.

Appendix 4.

graphic file with name cuaj-9-10-e342f1.jpg

Study flow diagram. ADT: androgen-deprivation therapy; TURP: transurethral resection of the prostate

Appendix 5. Type of management according to year of diagnosis (expectant therapy vs. upfront definitive treatment)

Year of diagnosis Expectant therapy n (%) Definitive treatment n (%) Total per year n (%)
2002 968 (24) 3044 (76) 4012 (9)
2003 1057 (26) 2952 (74) 4009 (9)
2004 1212 (27) 3321 (73) 4533 (10)
2005 1382 (29) 3403 (71) 4785 (11)
2006 1650 (31) 3716 (69) 5366 (12)
2007 1812 (31) 3974 (69) 5786 (13)
2008 1816 (33) 3773 (68) 5589 (12)
2009 2011 (34) 3835 (66) 5846 (13)
2010 1964 (34) 3701 (66) 5765 (13)
Total 13 872 (30) 31 819 (70) 45 691 (100)

Cochrane-Armitage test for trend p value <0.001.

Appendix 6. Individual, physician, and institution-level effects on the uptake of active surveillance (multivariable non-linear mixed model adjusted for physician and institution-level clustering)

Individuals: 45 691
Physicians: 424
Institutions: 215
Model 1 (null model) Model 2 (plus individual-level char.) Model 3 (plus physicians-level char.) Model 4 (plus institution level char.) Model 5 (Full model)
−2 log likelihood 32148
OR (95% CI)
30169
OR (95% CI)
32233
OR (95% CI)
32258
OR (95% CI)
31656
OR (95% CI)
Individual-level characteristics

  Age (years old)
    Less than 55 REF REF
    55–65 1.17 (1.07–1.28) 1.18 (1.08–1.29)
    66–75 1.55 (1.41–1.70) 1.56 (1.42–1.72)
  Index year
    2002–2004 REF REF
    2005–2007 1.54 (1.54–1.81) 1.66 (1.54–1.80)
    2008–2010 1.89 (1.89–2.23) 2.04 (1.88–2.22)
  Neighbourhood income quintile
    First quintile (lowest) REF REF
    Second quintile 1.04 (0.94–1.14) 1.04 (0.94–1.15)
    Third quintile 0.98 (0.89–1.09) 0.98 (0.89–1.09)
    Fourth quintile 1.03 (0.94–1.15) 1.04 (0.94–1.14)
    Fifth quintile (highest) 1.16 (1.06–1.29) 1.17 (1.06–1.28)
  ADG score, per 1-unit increase rural 1.00 (0.997–1.003) 1.00 (0.998–1.003)
    Rural living REF REF
    Urban living 1.28 (1.16–1.42) 1.28 (1.16–1.42)

Physician-level characteristics

  Type of primary physician
  Radiation oncologist REF REF
  Urologist 2.10 (1.61–2.73) 2.26 (1.73–2.97)
  Annual volume
    First quartile (lowest) REF REF
    Second quartile 0.95 (0.70–1.28) 0.95 (0.70–1.28)
    Third quartile 0.97 (0.67–1.39) 0.98 (0.68–1.40)
    Fourth quartile (highest) 1.28 (0.85–1.91) 1.31 (0.87–1.96)

Institution-level characteristics

  Type of centre
  Non-cancer centre REF REF
  Cancer centre 0.95 (0.68–1.33) 1.13 (0.80–1.60)
  Institution volume
    First quartile (lowest) REF REF
    Second quartile 0.68 (0.32–1.48) 0.60 (0.28–1.26)
    Third quartile 0.71 (0.28–1.80) 0.87 (0.24–1.50)
    Fourth quartile (highest) 0.94 (0.22–4.01) 1.13 (0.25–4.29)
  Level 2 (physician) variance 1.13 1.15 0.95 1.13 0.95
  Level 3 (institution) variance 2.51 2.46 2.46 2.48 2.40
  Intra-class correlation, physician 16% 17% 14% 16% 14%
  Intra-class correlation, institution 36% 36% 37% 36% 36%

ADG: Aggregated Diagnosis Groups; CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio.

Appendix 7. Comparison of the fixed effects estimates (full models) modelling the uptake of active surveillance using each of the different definitions

Main definition Sensitivity analysis #1 Sensitivity analysis #2* Sensitivity analysis #3

−2 log likelihood 31656
OR (95% CI)
35230
OR (95% CI)
33648
OR (95% CI)
37911
OR (95% CI)
Individual-level characteristics

  Age (years old)
    Less than 55 REF REF REF REF
    55–65 1.18 (1.08–1.29) 1.13 (1.04–1.24) 1.13 (1.04–1.24) 1.18 (1.09–1.28)
    65–75 1.56 (1.42–1.72) 1.56 (1.43–1.71) 1.56 (1.43–1.71) 1.36 (1.26–1.48)
   Index year
    2002–2004 REF REF REF REF
    2005–2007 1.66 (1.54–1.80) 1.48 (1.37–1.59) 1.59 (1.48–1.72) 1.52 (1.42–1.63)
    2008–2010 2.04 (1.88–2.22) 1.83 (1.69–1.98) 1.89 (1.75–2.04) 1.86 (1.73–2.00)
   Neighbourhood income quintile
    First quintile (lowest) REF REF REF REF
    Second quintile 1.04 (0.94–1.15) 1.04 (0.94–1.15) 1.04 (0.94–1.15) 1.01 (0.92–1.11)
    Third quintile 0.98 (0.89–1.09) 0.99 (0.90–1.10) 1.00 (0.90–1.10) 0.95 (0.86–1.04)
    Fourth quintile 1.04 (0.94–1.14) 1.07 (0.97–1.17) 1.06 (0.96–1.16) 1.00 (0.92–1.10)
    Fifth quintile (highest) 1.17 (1.06–1.28) 1.20 (1.09–1.32) 1.17 (1.07–1.29) 1.11 (1.02–1.21)
   ACG score, per 1-unit increase rural 1.00 (0.998–1.003) 1.002 (0.999–1.004) 1.001 (0.998–1.004) 0.997 (0.995–1.00)
    Rural living REF REF REF REF
    Urban living 1.28 (1.16–1.42) 1.33 (1.21–1.47) 1.28 (1.17–1.29) 1.23 (1.13–1.34)

Physician-level characteristics

  Type of primary physician
    Radiation oncologist REF REF REF REF
    Urologist 2.26 (1.73–2.97) 2.46 (1.80–3.36) 2.10 (1.61–2.73) 2.16 (1.69–2.77)
  Annual volume
    First quartile (lowest) REF REF REF REF
    Second quartile 0.95 (0.70–1.28) 0.96 (0.72–1.28) 0.90 (0.67–1.20) 1.00 (0.76–1.32)
    Third quartile 0.98 (0.68–1.40) 0.89 (0.63–1.26) 0.91 (0.64–1.29) 0.85 (0.61–1.19)
    Fourth quartile (highest) 1.31 (0.87–1.96) 1.16 (0.78–1.71) 1.16 (0.79–1.72) 1.10 (0.75–1.59)

Institution-level characteristics

  Type of centre
    Non-cancer centre REF REF REF REF
    Cancer centre 1.13 (0.80–1.60) 0.66 (0.19–2.29) 1.16 (0.84–1.62) 1.32 (0.97–1.80)
  Institution volume
    First quartile (lowest) REF REF REF REF
    Second quartile 0.60 (0.28–1.26) 0.73 (0.34–1.58) 0.56 (0.28–1.13) 0.50 (0.23–1.06)
    Third quartile 0.87 (0.24–1.50) 0.77 (0.30–1.96) 0.61 (0.26–1.44) 0.42 (0.17–2.71)
    Fourth quartile (highest) 1.13 (0.25–4.29) 0.99 (0.21–4.68) 1.29 (0.34–4.82) 0.65 (0.16–1.80)
  Level 2 (physician) variance 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.84
  Level 3 (institution) variance 2.40 2.48 2.04 2.45
  Intra-class correlation, physician 14% 14% 15% 13%
  Intra-class correlation, institution 36% 37% 33% 37%

Active surveillance defined as a repeat biopsy or delayed treatment (12 months after diagnosis);

*

active surveillance defined as a repeat biopsy or delayed treatment (24 months after diagnosis);

active surveillance defined as a repeat biopsy, delayed treatment (12 months after diagnosis) or no repeat biopsy and no treatment in a young and healthy patient. ADG: Aggregated Diagnosis Groups; CI: confidence interval; OR: odds ratio.


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