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Journal of Nephropathology logoLink to Journal of Nephropathology
. 2016 Aug 7;6(1):30–42. doi: 10.15171/jnp.2017.06

Incidence and mortality of kidney cancers, and human development index in Asia; a matter of concern

Masoumeh Arabsalmani 1, Abdollah Mohammadian-Hafshejani 2, Mahshid Ghoncheh 3, Fatemeh Hadadian 4, Farhad Towhidi 5, Kamran Vafaee 5, Hamid Salehiniya 6,7,*
PMCID: PMC5106880  PMID: 28042551

Abstract

Background

The incidence and mortality of kidney cancer have steadily increased by 2%- 3% per decade worldwide, and an increased risk of kidney cancer has been observed in many Asian countries. The information on the incidence and mortality of a disease and its distribution is essential for better planning for prevention and further studies.

Objectives

This study aimed to assess the incidence and mortality of kidney cancer and their correlation with the human development index (HDI) in Asia.

Materials and Methods

This ecological study was based on GLOBOCAN data Asia for assessment the correlation between age-specific incidence rate (ASIR) and age-specific mortality rate (ASMR) with HDI and its details that include life expectancy at birth, mean years of schooling and gross national income (GNI) per capita. We use of correlation bivariate method for assessment the correlation between ASIR and ASMR with HDI and its components.

Results

A total of 121 099 kidney cancer cases were recorded in Asian countries in 2012.Overall, 80 080 cases (66.12%) were males. Sex ratio was 1.95. The three countries with the highest number of new patients were china (66 466 cases), Japan (16 830 cases), India(9658 cases), respectively. Positive correlation were seen between HDI and ASIR of kidney cancer 0.655 (P = 0.001), and HDI and ASMR of kidney cancer 0.285 (P = 0.055).

Conclusions

A positive relationship between ASIR and the HDI was seen. The relationship is due to risk factors in countries with high development such as older age, smoking, hypertension, obesity, and diet. However, ASMR showed no significant relationship with HDI.

Keywords: Kidney cancer, Human development index, Incidence, Mortality, Asia


Implication for health policy/practice/research/medical education:

The result of this article can help policy-makers and health managers to find the cause of the incidence and mortality of kidney cancer in Asia. This study provides information on the incidence and mortality of the cancer and its distribution in terms of geographical areas, so it provides information for better planning for prevention and further studies. Increasing public awareness of the cancer risk factors is a high priority in low development country.

1. Background

It was estimated that 14.9 million incidence cases of cancer and 8.2 million deaths from cancer with 196.3 million disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2013(1). Kidney cancer was the 13th most common cancer worldwide in both sexes (2,3), and the 9th and the 14th type of cancer in men and women, respectively, and the 16th cause of death from the disease in 2012 (4). In the world, age-specific incidence rate (ASIR) of kidney cancer was 4.4, mortality of kidney cancer was 1.8, and its 5-year prevalence was 17.5 in 2013 (1).

A difference is observed in the incidence of kidney cancer by 15 times around the world (5). Therefore, the highest incidence and mortality rates are attributable to Europe, North America, and Australia, while the lowest to Asia and Africa (2,6-8). In 2006, there were approximately 209000 new cases and 102000 deaths from renal cell carcinoma (RCC) worldwide, of which 39000 new cases and 13000 deaths occurred in the United States (9-12). In 2002, the incidence rates in Asian countries such as Japan and Republic Korea were 2509 and 481 cases per 100000, respectively, while 8567 and 901 cases were seen in Canada and United States, respectively (13). In 2012, the incidence rates per 100000 person-years in nine Asian countries were 4.6 in men and 3.1 in women, respectively. Given that the incidence and mortality have steadily increased by 2%-3% per decade worldwide (10,14-24), reduction of mortality has been reported from many developed European countries since the 1990s (19,20).

An increased risk of kidney cancer was observed in many Asian countries such as Korea, China, Hong Kong, Singapore, and Japan (25). A significant increase in the incidence and mortality rates in Asian countries occurred along with remarkable changes in food supply and diet (26). It appears that lifestyle plays an important role in the development of RCC. However, the cause of the differences cannot be understood, it is assumed that different trends are related to early detection, improved access to health care, complex diagnostic imaging, and treatment availability (27,28).

According to studies conducted in Asian countries, a number of common risk factors for RCC include sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, high body mass index (BMI), a medical history of kidney disease, smoking, low physical activity, and Western diet (25,29,30), all of which were related to India (30), Japan (29) and Malaysia (31). Other environmental, genetic and hormonal factors were studied, but no definitive conclusions. The cancer primarily affects men and women in the fifth and sixth decades of their life, and one of the specific characteristics of the disease is asymptomatic (19,20,32).

Deciding factors for diagnosis and treatment of patients with locally and advanced RCC are sex, race, the income level and social economic status, which influence the provider and the recipient of health care and decision-making on the disease (33). Studies showed that the incidence of kidney cancer is affected by economic and social disparities (18,19). It reflects the regional disparities in human development. To study the trend and its relationship with risk factors, the human development index (HDI) is useful. The index to classify cancer for globalization is beneficial because it considers education, life expectancy and the national income (34-37). The assumption is that the populations of developing countries have higher mortality rates than the incidence compared with developed countries (38,39). After several decades of increasing trend in the incidence and mortality of kidney cancer, rates are stable, or are started to decrease in many Western countries (40). It seems it is due to reducing the prevalence of tobacco consumption, and improving health professional than decades ago because the prevalence of smoking is higher among people who live below the poverty line (31.5%) than those at the top of this level (19.6%) (7,40).

2. Objectives

The information on the incidence and mortality of a disease and its distribution in terms of geographical areas is essential for better planning for prevention and further studies. There is, probably, a relationship between the development and cancer incidence and mortality. Considering lack of a study to investigate kidney cancer incidence and deaths in Asia, this study aimed to assess the incidence and mortality of kidney cancer and their correlation with the HDI in Asia.

3. Materials and Methods

This study was an ecologic study in Asia for assessment of the correlation between age-specific incidence rate (ASIR) and age-specific mortality rate (ASMR) with HDI and its details that include mean years of schooling, life expectancy at birth and gross national income (GNI) per capita. Data about the ASIR and ASMR for every Asian country for the year 2012 get from global cancer project (http://globocan.iarc.fr/Default.aspx) (41). HDI extracted from Human Development Report 2013 included information about HDI and its details for every country in the word for year 2012 (42).

Method of estimation of the age-specific incidence and mortality rates in the global cancer project by international agency for research on cancer is as follows:

3.1. Age-specific incidence rate

The methods of estimation are country specific and the quality of the estimation depends upon the quality and on the amount of the information available for each country. In theory, there are as many methods as countries, and because of the variety and the complexity of these methods, an overall quality score for the incidence and mortality estimates combined is almost impossible to establish. However, an alphanumeric scoring system, which independently describes the availability of incidence and mortality data, has been established at the country level. The combined score is presented together with the estimates for each country with an aim of providing a broad indication of the robustness of the estimation. More details about the GLOBOCAN project were previously published (4,43,44).

3.2. Age-specific mortality rate

Depending on the degree of detail and accuracy of the national mortality data, six methods have been utilized in the following order of priority: 1-Rates projected to 2012 (69 countries), 2) Most recent rates applied to 2012 population (26 countries), 3) Estimated as the weighted average of regional rates (1 country), 4) Estimated from national incidence estimates by modelling, using country-specific survival (2 countries), 5) Estimated from national incidence estimates using modelled survival (83 countries), 6) The rates are those of neighboring countries or registries in the same area (3 countries( (4,44,45).

3.3. Human development index

HDI, a composite measurement of indicators along three dimensions: life expectancy, educational attainment and command over the resources needed for a decent living. All groups and regions have seen notable improvement in all HDI components, with faster progress in low and medium HDI countries. On this basis, the world is becoming less unequal. Nevertheless, national averages hide large variations in human experience. Wide disparities remain within countries of both the North and the South, and income inequality within and between many countries has been rising (42).

3.4. Ethical issues

The research followed the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki.

3.5. Statistical analysis

In this study, we use correlation of coefficient for assessment of the correlation between ASIR and ASMR with HDI and its details. All reported P values are two-sided, and statistical significance was assumed if P<0.05. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS (version 15.0, SPSS Inc.).

4. Results

A total of 121099 kidney cancer cases were recorded in Asian countries in 2012. Overall, 80080 cases (66.12%) were males and 41019 cases (33.87%) females. Sex ratio in Asia was 1.95. The five countries with the highest number of new patients were china (66466 cases), Japan (16830 cases), India (9658 cases), Republic Korea (5651 cases), and Turkey (3992 cases), respectively.

Among Asian countries, five countries with the highest standardized incidence rates of the cancer were Republic Korea with 8 per 100000, Turkey with 5.6 per 100000, Japan with 5.3 per 100000, Singapore with 5.2 per 100000, and Korea, Democratic Republic of 4.3 per 100000, respectively. Five countries with the lowest standardized incidence rates of the cancer were Maldives with 0 per 100000, Bhutan with 0.6 per 100000, Yemen with 0.6 per 100000, Bangladesh with 0.8 per 100000, and Sri Lanka with 0.9 per 100000, respectively. The number, crude and standardized incidence rates of the cancer in Asian countries based on sex are presented in Table 1. The countries with the highest and lowest ASIR in both sexes are observable in Table 1, Figure 1 and Figure 2.

Table 1. Proportion, crude, and ASIR of kidney cancer in Asian countries in 2012 .

Kidney  - Estimated incidence, all ages: both sexes Kidney - Estimated incidence, all ages: male Kidney - Estimated incidence, all ages: female
Population Number Crude rate ASR (W) Population Number Crude rate ASR (W) Population Numbers Crude rate ASR (W)
Korea, Republic of 5651 11.6 8.0 Korea, Republic of 1763 7.2 4.7 Korea, Republic of 3888 16.1 11.7
Turkey 3992 5.4 5.6 Turkey 1656 4.4 4.4 Japan 11141 18.1 7.8
Japan 16830 13.3 5.3 Mongolia 37 2.6 3.3 Singapore 272 10.3 7.4
Singapore 401 7.6 5.2 Singapore 129 4.9 3.2 Turkey 2336 6.3 6.8
Korea, Democratic Republic of 1318 5.4 4.3 Korea, Democratic Republic of 566 4.5 3.1 Korea, Democratic Republic of 752 6.2 5.9
China 66466 4.9 3.8 Japan 5689 8.8 3.0 China 44372 6.3 5.1
Qatar 33 1.7 3.5 Bahrain 9 1.8 2.5 Lebanon 100 4.8 4.8
Jordan 129 2.0 3.2 China 22094 3.4 2.5 State of Palestine 49 2.3 4.5
Lebanon 142 3.3 3.2 Iraq 262 1.6 2.3 Kazakhstan 314 4.0 4.4
Mongolia 66 2.3 3.1 Syrian Arab Republic 171 1.6 2.2 Qatar 27 1.8 4.4
Syrian Arab Republic 467 2.2 3.1 Iran 660 1.8 2.1 Georgia 123 6.1 4.4
State of Palestine 71 1.7 3.1 Oman 15 1.3 2.1 Jordan 87 2.6 4.3
Kazakhstan 491 3.0 2.9 Jordan 42 1.3 2.0 Syrian Arab Republic 296 2.8 4.0
Iraq 581 1.7 2.9 Saudi Arabia 166 1.3 1.8 Iraq 319 1.9 3.7
Georgia 167 3.9 2.7 Kazakhstan 177 2.1 1.8 Timor-Leste 9 1.5 3.4
Bahrain 23 1.7 2.6 Lebanon 42 1.9 1.8 Armenia 57 3.9 3.4
Iran 1641 2.2 2.6 United Arab Emirates 22 0.9 1.8 Malaysia 415 2.8 3.3
Malaysia 611 2.1 2.4 State of Palestine 22 1.0 1.6 Kyrgyzstan 57 2.1 3.2
Saudi Arabia 454 1.6 2.3 Qatar 6 1.3 1.5 Iran 981 2.6 3.0
United Arab Emirates 64 0.8 2.3 Malaysia 196 1.4 1.5 Mongolia 29 2.1 3.0
Kyrgyzstan 91 1.7 2.2 Kuwait 9 0.8 1.5 Saudi Arabia 288 1.8 2.8
Kuwait 34 1.2 2.2 Brunei 3 1.5 1.4 Bahrain 14 1.6 2.7
Timor-Leste 14 1.2 2.1 Kyrgyzstan 34 1.2 1.4 United Arab Emirates 42 0.7 2.6
Oman 36 1.2 2.1 Georgia 44 1.9 1.3 Kuwait 25 1.5 2.6
Armenia 78 2.5 1.9 Turkmenistan 26 1.0 1.2 Turkmenistan 49 1.9 2.5
Turkmenistan 75 1.5 1.8 Indonesia 1132 0.9 1.0 Oman 21 1.2 2.1
Brunei 6 1.5 1.8 Philippines 367 0.8 1.0 Indonesia 2093 1.7 2.0
Indonesia 3225 1.3 1.5 Timor-Leste 5 0.9 1.0 Azerbaijan 96 2.1 2.0
Philippines 1008 1.0 1.4 Lao PDR 24 0.8 0.9 Philippines 641 1.3 2.0
Tajikistan 63 0.9 1.4 Uzbekistan 107 0.8 0.9 Tajikistan 42 1.2 2.0
Afghanistan 237 0.7 1.3 Pakistan 575 0.6 0.9 Brunei 3 1.4 1.9
Azerbaijan 135 1.4 1.3 Afghanistan 77 0.5 0.9 Afghanistan 160 0.9 1.8
Pakistan 1646 0.9 1.3 Tajikistan 21 0.6 0.9 Pakistan 1071 1.2 1.7
Uzbekistan 283 1.0 1.2 Myanmar 194 0.8 0.8 Uzbekistan 176 1.3 1.6
Thailand 1017 1.5 1.2 Thailand 373 1.0 0.8 Thailand 644 1.9 1.6
Myanmar 476 1.0 1.1 Bhutan 2 0.6 0.8 Nepal 155 1.0 1.6
Lao PDR 52 0.8 1.1 Armenia 21 1.3 0.8 Myanmar 282 1.2 1.4
Nepal 218 0.7 1.0 Azerbaijan 39 0.8 0.8 Cambodia 65 0.9 1.4
India 9658 0.8 0.9 Viet Nam 352 0.8 0.7 Sri Lanka 160 1.5 1.3
Cambodia 101 0.7 0.9 Cambodia 36 0.5 0.6 India 6620 1.0 1.3
Viet Nam 810 0.9 0.9 India 3038 0.5 0.6 Lao PDR 28 0.9 1.3
Sri Lanka 221 1.0 0.9 Nepal 63 0.4 0.5 Bangladesh 620 0.8 1.1
Bangladesh 900 0.6 0.8 Sri Lanka 61 0.6 0.5 Viet Nam 458 1.0 1.1
Yemen 112 0.4 0.6 Yemen 46 0.4 0.4 Yemen 66 0.5 0.8
Bhutan 3 0.4 0.6 Bangladesh 280 0.4 0.4 Bhutan 1 0.3 0.4
Maldives 0 0.0 0.0 Maldives 0 0.0 0.0 Maldives 0 0.0 0.0

Figure 1.

Figure 1

ASIR and ASMR from kidney cancer in Asia in 2012.

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Distribution of the ASIR of kidney cancer in Asia in 2012

However, in 2012, in Asia, the number of deaths due to kidney cancer was 26102 cases, 36224 cases in men and 19878 cases in women. The sex ratio (male to female) of mortality was equal to 1.82. The five countries with the highest number of deaths were china (25583 cases), Japan (8124 cases), India (5973 cases), Turkey (2656 cases), and Indonesia (2459 cases), respectively. The countries included a total of 44795 cases (89.78%) of the total mortality in Asia.

In Asian countries, 5 countries with the highest standardized mortality rates from the cancer were Turkey with 3.8 per 100000, Republic Korea 2.5 per 100000, Palestine with 2.4 per 100000, Syria with 2.3 per 100000, and Iraq with 2.3 per 100000, respectively. Five countries with the lowest standardized mortality rates from the cancer were Brunei with 0 per 100000, Maldives with 0 per 100000, Yemen with 0.5 per 100000, India with 0.6 per 100000, and Sri Lanka with 0.6 per 100000, respectively. The number, crude, and standardized incidence rates of the cancer in Asian countries based on sex are presented in Table 2. The countries with the highest and lowest ASIR are observable in both sexes in Table 2, Figure 1 and Figure 4.

Table 2. Proportion, crude, and ASMR of kidney cancer in Asian countries in 2012 .

Kidney - Estimated mortality, all ages: both sexes Kidney- Estimated mortality, all ages: female Kidney- Estimated mortality, all ages: male
Population Numbers CrudeRate ASR(W) Population Number Crude rate ASR(W) Population Number Crude rate ASR(W)
Turkey 2656 3.6 3.8 Turkey 1094 2.9 2.9 Turkey 1562 4.2 4.7
Korea, Democratic Republic of 794 3.2 2.5 Mongolia 21 1.5 2.1 State of Palestine 35 1.6 3.4
State of Palestine 52 1.2 2.4 Korea, Democratic Republic of 381 3.0 1.9 Korea, Democratic Republic of 413 3.4 3.4
Syrian Arab Republic 345 1.6 2.3 Iraq 206 1.2 1.8 Singapore 125 4.7 3.3
Iraq 462 1.4 2.3 Syrian Arab Republic 126 1.2 1.6 Syrian Arab Republic 219 2.1 3.1
Singapore 175 3.3 2.2 Oman 9 0.8 1.5 Iraq 256 1.5 3.1
Jordan 86 1.3 2.2 Iran, Islamic Republic of 432 1.2 1.4 Timor-Leste 8 1.3 3.1
Qatar 15 0.8 2.2 Jordan 28 0.9 1.4 Lebanon 62 3.0 3.0
Mongolia 39 1.4 2.0 State of Palestine 17 0.8 1.3 Japan 5177 8.4 2.9
Lebanon 88 2.1 2.0 Singapore 50 1.9 1.1 Jordan 58 1.7 2.9
Japan 8124 6.4 1.9 Kyrgyzstan 25 0.9 1.1 Kazakhstan 189 2.4 2.9
Timor-Leste 12 1.0 1.8 Lebanon 26 1.2 1.1 Qatar 12 0.8 2.8
Kyrgyzstan 69 1.3 1.8 Japan 2947 4.5 1.1 Kyrgyzstan 44 1.6 2.7
Kazakhstan 296 1.8 1.8 Saudi Arabia 94 0.7 1.1 Georgia 77 3.8 2.6
Iran, Islamic Republic of 1071 1.4 1.7 Kazakhstan 107 1.3 1.1 Korea, Republic of 850 3.5 2.4
Georgia 104 2.4 1.6 China 8871 1.4 0.9 Armenia 38 2.6 2.1
Korea, Republic of 1264 2.6 1.6 Qatar 3 0.6 0.8 Iran, Islamic Republic of 639 1.7 2.0
Oman 21 0.7 1.4 Korea, Republic of 414 1.7 0.8 Mongolia 18 1.3 1.9
Saudi Arabia 257 0.9 1.4 Turkmenistan 17 0.6 0.8 China 16712 2.4 1.9
China 25583 1.9 1.4 Bhutan 2 0.6 0.8 Turkmenistan 33 1.3 1.9
Turkmenistan 50 1.0 1.3 Afghanistan 68 0.4 0.8 Afghanistan 140 0.8 1.8
United Arab Emirates 25 0.3 1.3 Indonesia 866 0.7 0.8 Saudi Arabia 163 1.0 1.8
Afghanistan 208 0.6 1.3 Georgia 27 1.2 0.8 Tajikistan 32 0.9 1.7
Armenia 53 1.7 1.2 Lao PDR 19 0.6 0.8 United Arab Emirates 18 0.3 1.6
Tajikistan 49 0.7 1.2 Pakistan 483 0.5 0.8 Indonesia 1593 1.3 1.6
Indonesia 2459 1.0 1.2 Myanmar 167 0.7 0.8 Malaysia 184 1.2 1.6
Pakistan 1374 0.8 1.1 Tajikistan 17 0.5 0.7 Oman 12 0.7 1.5
Malaysia 255 0.9 1.0 United Arab Emirates 7 0.3 0.7 Bahrain 5 0.6 1.5
Myanmar 413 0.8 1.0 Timor-Leste 4 0.7 0.7 Azerbaijan 66 1.4 1.5
Kuwait 14 0.5 1.0 Uzbekistan 75 0.5 0.7 Pakistan 891 1.0 1.4
Uzbekistan 205 0.7 1.0 Philippines 221 0.5 0.6 Nepal 133 0.9 1.4
Azerbaijan 92 1.0 1.0 Viet Nam 274 0.6 0.6 Uzbekistan 130 0.9 1.3
Bahrain 7 0.5 1.0 Kuwait 3 0.3 0.6 Myanmar 246 1.0 1.3
Philippines 600 0.6 0.9 Malaysia 71 0.5 0.6 Philippines 379 0.8 1.3
Nepal 187 0.6 0.9 Azerbaijan 26 0.5 0.5 Kuwait 11 0.6 1.2
Lao PDR 40 0.6 0.9 Armenia 15 0.9 0.5 Cambodia 52 0.7 1.2
Cambodia 80 0.6 0.7 Bahrain 2 0.4 0.5 Lao PDR 21 0.7 1.0
Viet Nam 630 0.7 0.7 Thailand 233 0.7 0.5 Thailand 399 1.2 1.0
Thailand 632 0.9 0.7 Cambodia 28 0.4 0.5 Bangladesh 513 0.7 0.9
Bangladesh 776 0.5 0.7 Nepal 54 0.3 0.4 Viet Nam 356 0.8 0.9
Bhutan 3 0.4 0.6 Bangladesh 263 0.3 0.4 Sri Lanka 108 1.0 0.9
Sri Lanka 150 0.7 0.6 Yemen 40 0.3 0.4 India 4054 0.6 0.8
India 5973 0.5 0.6 India 1919 0.3 0.3 Yemen 57 0.4 0.7
Yemen 97 0.4 0.5 Sri Lanka 42 0.4 0.3 Bhutan 1 0.3 0.4
Maldives 0 0.0 0.0 Brunei 0 0.0 0.0 Brunei 0 0.0 0.0
Brunei 0 0.0 0.0 Maldives 0 0.0 0.0 Maldives 0 0.0 0.0

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Distribution of ASMR of kidney cancer in Asia in 2012.

In Table 3, amounts related to HDI and its components for each of the Asian countries (sorted based on HDI) is shown. Accordingly, Asian countries are classified according to HDI as follows: three countries in the very high category, four countries in high, 35 countries in the middle category, three countries in low, and one in the unknown category.

Table 3. HDI in Asian countries in 2012 .

HDI status Population HDI Life expectancy at birth Mean Year of schooling GNI per capita
Very high Japan 0.912 83.6 11.6 32545
Korea, Republic of 0.909 80.7 11.6 28231
High Singapore 0.895 81.2 10.1 52613
Brunei 0.855 78.1 8.6 45690
Qatar 0.834 78.5 7.3 87478
United Arab Emirates 0.818 76.7 8.9 42716
Average Bahrain 0.796 75.2 9.4 19154
Kuwait 0.79 74.7 6.1 52793
Saudi Arabia 0.782 74.1 7.8 22616
Malaysia 0.769 74.5 9.5 13676
Kazakhstan 0.754 67.4 10.4 10451
Georgia 0.745 73.9 12.1 5005
Lebanon 0.745 72.8 7.9 12364
Iran 0.742 73.2 7.8 10695
Azerbaijan 0.734 70.9 11.2 8153
Oman 0.731 73.2 5.5 24092
Armenia 0.729 74.4 10.8 5540
Turkey 0.722 74.2 6.5 13710
Sri Lanka 0.715 75.1 9.3 5170
Jordan 0.7 73.5 8.6 5272
China 0.699 73.7 7.5 7945
Turkmenistan 0.698 65.2 9.9 7782
Thailand 0.69 74.3 6.6 7722
Maldives 0.688 77.1 5.8 7478
Mongolia 0.675 68.8 8.3 4245
State of Palestine 0.67 73 8 3359
Philippines 0.654 69 8.9 3752
Uzbekistan 0.654 68.6 10 3201
Syrian Arab Republic 0.648 76 5.7 4674
Indonesia 0.629 69.8 5.8 4154
Kyrgyzstan 0.622 68 9.3 2009
Tajikistan 0.622 67.8 9.8 2119
Viet Nam 0.617 75.4 5.5 2970
Iraq 0.59 69.6 5.6 3557
Timor-Leste 0.576 62.9 4.4 5446
India 0.554 65.8 4.4 3285
Cambodia 0.543 63.6 5.8 2095
Lao PDR 0.543 67.8 4.6 2435
Bhutan 0.538 67.6 2.3 5246
Bangladesh 0.515 69.2 4.8 1785
Pakistan 0.515 65.7 4.9 2566
Low Myanmar 0.498 65.7 3.9 1 817
Nepal 0.463 69.1 3.2 1137
Yemen 0.458 65.9 5.3 928
Afghanistan 0.374 49.1 3.1 1000
Unknown Korea, Democratic Republic of - - - -

Abbreviations: GNI, gross national income (GNI); HDI, human development index.

4.1. ASIR and HDI

A positive correlation was seen between the ASIR of kidney cancer and HDI about 0.655. This association was statistically significant (P=0.001). There was a positive correlation between the ASIR and life expectancy at birth about 0.558 (P=0.001), positive correlation between the ASIR and mean years of schooling about 0.523 (P=0.001), and positive correlation between the level of income per each person of the population and the ASIR equal to 0.409 (P=0.005) (Figure 3).

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Correlation between HDI and ASIR of kidney cancer in Asia in 2012

In men, a positive correlation of 0.637 was observed between the ASIR of kidney cancer and HDI. It was statistically significant (P=0.001). There was a positive correlation between the ASIR and life expectancy at birth about 0.539 (P=0.001), positive correlation between mean years of schooling and the ASIR about 0.557 (P=0.001), and positive correlation between the level of income per each person of the population and the ASIR equal to 0.366 (P=0.012).

In women, a positive correlation of 0.612 was observed between the ASIR of kidney cancer and HDI. It was statistically significant (P=0.001). There was a positive correlation between the ASIR and life expectancy at birth about 0.509 (P=0.001), positive correlation between mean years of schooling and the ASIR about 0.448 (P=0.002), and positive correlation between the level of income per each person of the population and the ASIR equal to 0.347 (P=0.018).

4.2. ASMR and HDI

There was between the ASMR for kidney cancer and HDI a positive correlation of 0.285 (P=0.055), expectancy at birth a positive correlation of 0.183 (P=0.222), mean years of schooling a positive correlation equal to 0.226 (P=0.132), and the level of income per each person of population a positive correlation of 0.174 (P=0.248; Figure 3).

In men, there was between the ASMR for kidney cancer and HDI a positive correlation of 0.314 (P=0.033), expectancy at birth a positive correlation of 0.187 (P=0.212), mean years of schooling a positive correlation equal to 0.23 (P=0.029), and the level of income per each person of population a positive correlation of 0.152 (P=0.314).

In women, there was between the ASMR for kidney cancer and HDI a positive correlation of 0.131 (P=0.386), expectancy at birth a positive correlation of 0.076 (P=0.616), mean years of schooling a positive correlation equal to 0.045 (P=0.768), and the level of income per each person of population a negative correlation of 0.017 (P=0.913).

5. Discussion

Considering that close to 60% of the world’s population live in Asia, paying attention to causes of incidence and mortality from the cancer is significant in the continent (46). Lifestyle changes in Asian countries could be predisposing factor for the cancer (47,48). In Asia, 56% of incidence cases, 62% of deaths, 70% of DALYs occurred in 2013 worldwide. In Asian countries, ASIRs of incidence, mortality, and 5-year prevalence of kidney cancer in this year were 2.8, 1.3, and 9.4, respectively (1).

Kidney cancer incidence and mortality is different in various countries. This difference in incidence between countries is because of the accumulation of risk factors (49), including smoking, obesity, hypertension, age, and diet in countries with high incidence. According to studies conducted in Asian countries, age-standardized incidence rates per 100000 and the proportion of deaths to incidence per 100000 were in Central and South Asia 1 and 0.7, in Southeast Asia, 1.9 and 0.68, in West Asia 2.3 and 0.62, and in East Asia 2.4 and 0.36, while in the United States 11.8 and 2.2. Given the under-reporting in developing countries (50), the United States with a HDI has mortality rates a declining trend, but in Asian countries the rates are stable or increasing. Based the results of the this study and other studies, incidence and mortality rates of all cancers are different in the world and in various socioeconomic levels due to early detection, improved access to health care, complex diagnostic imaging, and treatment availability.

The incidence of kidney cancer has increased in many Asian countries, so that men, specifically in China, and Asian women in India have a significant increase. In a country like Singapore, trends in mortality have remained constant, but Japan has been a clear decline (46). In this study, the sex ratio (male to female) was 1.95, which is in line with other studies. This may be due to higher exposure to risk factors such as smoking and obesity (2,19,20,25,27,28,32).

According to the findings of this study, the incidence of kidney cancer in Asia is related to the HDI. It seems that among Asian countries, the high incidence of kidney cancer has been associated with increasing HDI. It can be attributed to a decrease in other diseases and control of infectious diseases as well as aging in the countries. Aging is one of the most important risk factors for this cancer. According to statistics published by GLOBOCAN 2015, the cancer generally has increased between 1990 and 2013. In other words, the incidence rate for both sexes in terms of ASIR increased 23% (from 3.82 to 4.7), 34% in developing countries (from 1.96 to 2.27) and 36 percent in developed countries (from 7.15 to 9.71) (1).

Our results showed that there was no relationship between the HDI and kidney cancer mortality rate in Asia. Of the characteristics of kidney cancer is no clinical signs warning, and RCC has been difficult malignancy in diagnose and treat. As a result, early diagnosis of the cancer is not different by the development in Asian countries.

Life expectancy at birth is one of components of human development. Our findings showed that there was a relationship between the ASIR and life expectancy at birth. Kidney cancer is a disease that is typically detected between the fifth and seventh life. In another study, incidence in Europe and the United States is constantly increasing, with a smooth trend in 70 to 75 years (32,51-53). Today, the average life expectancy for a child born in the United States is about 78 years, while a child in a country in Sub-Saharan Africa with an average life expectancy of between 39.6 to 65.9 years (33). Standard age distribution is various in different geographical areas. ASMR is similar to the ASIR, so that the highest in Europe and North America (3.1 and 2.6 per 100000) and the lowest in Asia and Africa (0.6 and 1.5 per 100000). With the increasing development of countries, aging of populations and reducing non-communicable diseases, rates of chronic disease such as cancer increasing. (54).

Access to knowledge is another component. Our study found a positive correlation between the standardized incidence and the level of education. Also, in United States, in the lowest level of education in the population, kidney cancer mortality rate is 2.6 times higher than the highest level of education (55). It was shown that risk of kidney cancer in men is inversely related to higher education levels (56).

In this study, there was a positive correlation between standardized incidence of the cancer and income levels per one in community. An ecological study has also reported that per capita daily intake of fat and protein is positively correlated with the incidence of kidney cancer in women and men (26). These findings are justified with aging (52) and an increase in cumulative effects of risk factors. The annual economic burden of kidney cancer in the United States in 2009 is estimated about $5.2 billion (43). About 85% of health care dollars is spent caring for kidney cancer inpatients (23). It can be concluded that the incidence of kidney cancer can also affect the HDI because it imposes economic costs on health systems and poverty in people (13).

Conclusions

The ASIR and ASMR of kidney cancer in countries with higher development is more. There was a positive and significant relationship between the ASIR of kidney cancer and HDI and HDI components (life expectancy at birth, the average years of schooling, and the level of income for each one of the country’s population). The relationship is due to risk factors in countries with high development such as older age, smoking, hypertension, obesity, and diet. However there was a positive, but no significant relationship between the ASMR of kidney cancer and HDI and HDI components.

Limitations of the study

Our study was an ecological study and special limitations of this study include ecological misleading and lack of relation of group results with individuals.

Authors’ contribution

All authors contributed to the design of the research. AMH, MG, FD and FT collected the data. MG, MA and HS conducted analysis and interpretation of data. All authors drafted the first version. HS, KV and AMH edited the first draft. All authors reviewed and commented on final draft.

Acknowledgements

Hereby we appreciate of the cooperation of all employees involved in data collection in the GLOBOCAN project and World Bank.

Conflicts of interest

The authors declare no conflict of interests.

Funding/Support

None.

Please cite this paper as: Arabsalmani M, Mohammadian-Hafshejani A, Ghoncheh M, Hadadian F, Towhidi F, Vafaee K, et al. Incidence and mortality of kidney cancers, and human development index in Asia; a matter of concern. J Nephropathol. 2017;6(1):30-42. DOI: 10.15171/jnp.2017.06.

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