Table 1A.

Base-Case Assumptions and Ranges for Sensitivity Analysis (%)

Variable	Value	Range	Distribution	Ref.
Population Demographics
Age Distribution
15–19	17.8	16.9, 18.6	Dirichlet	[34]
20–24	16.8	15.9, 17.6	Dirichlet	[34]
25–29	16.8	15.9, 17.6	Dirichlet	[34]
30–34	15.8	15.0, 16.5	Dirichlet	[34]
35–39	16.3	15.4, 17.1	Dirichlet	[34]
40–44	16.8	15.9, 17.6	Dirichlet	[34]
Married by Age
15–19	3.1	3.0, 3.3	Beta	[34]
20–24	15.0	14.3, 15.8	Beta	[34]
25–29	41.1	39.1, 43.2	Beta	[34]
30–34	60.5	57.5, 63.5	Beta	[34]
35–39	68.3	64.9, 71.7	Beta	[34]
40–44	69.1	65.7, 72.6	Beta	[34]
Sexually Active by Age
15–19	41.5	39.4, 43.6	Beta	[12]
20–24	80.5	76.5, 84.5	Beta	[12]
25–29	89.9	85.4, 94.4	Beta	[12]
30–34	91.5	86.9, 96.1	Beta	[12]
35–39	92.4	87.8, 97.0	Beta	[12]
40–44	90.8	86.3, 95.3	Beta	[12]
Contraception Failure Rate
No Method	85.0	68.0, 100.0	Beta	[1]
Oral contraception	9.0	7.2, 10.8	Beta	[1]
Intrauterine Device	0.5	0.4, 0.6	Beta	[1]
Shot/ Injectable	0.1	0.1, 0.1	Beta	[1]
Vaginal Ring	9.0	7.2, 10.8	Beta	[1]
Transdermal Patch	9.0	7.2, 10.8	Beta	[1]
Implant	0.1	0.1, 0.1	Beta	[1]
Male condom	18.0	14.4, 21.6	Beta	[1]
Withdrawal	22.0	17.6, 26.4	Beta	[1]
Fertility awareness	24.0	19.2, 28.8	Beta	[1]
Other	16.2	13.0, 19.4	Beta	[1]