Abstract
Background
Immunosuppressive regimens in renal transplantation frequently contain corticosteroids, but many centers withdraw steroids as a consequence of unwanted side effects of steroids. The optimal timing to withdraw steroids after transplantation, however, remains unclear. The aim of this study was to determine an optimal time point following kidney transplantation that is associated with reduced mortality without jeopardizing the allograft to allow safe discontinuation of steroids.
Methods
We conducted a retrospective cohort study and computed a concatenated landmark-stratified Cox supermodel to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for mortality and graft loss using dynamic propensity score matching to adjust for confounding by indication.
Results
A total of 6070 first kidney transplant recipients in the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry who were transplanted between 1990 and 2012 were evaluated and classified according to steroid treatment status throughout follow-up after kidney transplantation; 2142 patients were withdrawn from steroids during the study period. Overall, 1131 patients lost their graft and 821 patients in the study cohort died. Steroid withdrawal within 18 months after transplantation was associated with an increased rate of graft loss compared to steroid maintenance during that time (6 months after transplantation: HR = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3 to 2.6; 18 months after transplantation: HR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6; 24 months after transplantation: HR = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.9 to 1.5), while mortality was not different between groups.
Conclusions
Our findings suggest that steroid withdrawal after anti-IL-2 induction in the first 18 months after transplantation is associated with an increased risk of allograft loss.
Electronic supplementary material
The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12916-016-0772-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Keywords: Corticosteroids, Steroid withdrawal, Steroid maintenance, Immunosuppression, Kidney transplantation, Graft loss
Background
Kidney transplantation is the most cost-effective treatment option for eligible patients with end-stage renal disease since transplantation is superior in terms of quality and quantity of life whilst being less costly compared to long-term dialysis treatment [1–6]. However, choosing the appropriate immunosuppressive treatment strategy is a key decision for sustained allograft function. Despite the development of novel immunosuppressants in recent years, serious side effects, such as increased cardiovascular risk, impaired immune system detection of cancer cells and antiviral defense, still result from long-term intake of immunosuppressive drugs. Therefore, various strategies to reduce immunosuppression are being investigated with the aim to alleviate toxicity associated with this treatment [7–11].
Maintenance immunosuppression usually consists of three components, one of which is frequently a corticosteroid. Steroids are effective in preventing acute rejection, which is one of the main risk factors for reduced long-term graft survival when not appropriately diagnosed and treated [12, 13]. Although triple immunosuppression allows lower steroid doses, the disadvantageous association of steroids with weight gain, hyperlipidemia, high blood pressure, impaired glucose metabolism, and osteoporosis persists [14–21]. Consequently, several randomized trials have been performed to investigate the efficacy of steroid withdrawal after kidney transplantation. However, clinical trials can only investigate withdrawal at a specific time point, which likely may not be the optimal choice. While earlier meta-analyses of these trials reported an increased rate of acute rejections and graft loss after steroid withdrawal compared with steroid maintenance, more recent meta-analyses included trials conducted with newer immunosuppressants and found no difference in graft loss [10, 22–24]. Although the increased risk of acute rejection persisted, subgroup analyses indicated that contemporary immunosuppression reduced the risk of acute rejection, and steroid withdrawal 3–6 months following kidney transplantation was suggested. In contradiction, current clinical practice guidelines discourage steroid withdrawal beyond the first week after engraftment [25]. In view of this inconsistency of recommendations, steroid withdrawal is managed differently in clinical practice and there is no consensus on the optimal timing for steroid withdrawal after kidney transplantation. Likewise, long-term outcomes after steroid withdrawal remain uncertain to date due to the limited follow-up in rather small randomized trials [11].
The aim of the present study was to evaluate long-term outcomes on graft and patient survival following steroid withdrawal compared to steroid maintenance at various points in time after kidney transplantation in order to determine optimal timing for steroid withdrawal in kidney transplant recipients. Our hypothesis was that discontinuation of steroid treatment after a ‘certain’ treatment duration could improve patient survival through a reduction in toxicity associated with prolonged steroid maintenance without jeopardizing allograft survival.
Methods
Study design and data sources
We conducted a retrospective open cohort study to investigate the effect of steroid withdrawal at numerous points in time following kidney transplantation on patient and graft survival using data from three sources: the OEstereichische (Austrian) Dialysis and Transplant Registry (OEDTR), the EUROTRANSPLANT database, and the Vienna Kidney Biopsy Registry, as previously done by our group [26, 27]. The OEDTR was established by the Austrian Society of Nephrology in 1970 and has almost complete follow-up – only 0.6% of all Austrian residents on renal replacement therapy have been lost since 1990. The OEDTR contains thoroughly extracted data from the original medical records in which the original data was assessed at the time of the follow-up visit by the responsible physician [28]. Data provided by the OEDTR included recipient age and sex, date of transplantation, primary renal diagnosis, the presence of comorbidities at transplantation and annually throughout follow-up, panel reactive antibodies, patient and graft survival, and immunosuppression. Use of immunosuppressive medication was reported quarterly in the first year after transplantation and annually thereafter. Induction treatment consisted of IL-2 antibodies. We retrieved data on donor age and type (deceased or living), the number of human leukocyte antigen mismatches, and cold ischemia time from the EUROTRANSPLANT database, which was established in 1968 and holds complete entries of organ donor characteristics from transplants that have been performed in the EUROTRANSPLANT region to which Austria belongs [29]. Information on biopsy confirmed acute rejection defined according to Banff 97 criteria were extracted from the Vienna Kidney Biopsy Registry, which is composed of standardized descriptions of renal histopathology of native and transplant kidney biopsies [30].
All end-stage renal disease patients recorded in the OEDTR who received their first single-organ, ABO-compatible kidney transplant between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2012, with an initial steroid-containing immunosuppressive regimen were included in this study and followed up until November 19, 2014.
The exposure of interest, ‘steroid withdrawal’, is a dichotomous time-dependent variable. Outcome variables were functional graft loss and all-cause death with functional graft. We performed cause-specific analyses of either event type. Graft survival time was defined as the time from transplantation until either permanent return to dialysis treatment or second transplantation, counting death or end of follow-up as censored observations. Patient survival time was defined as the time from first kidney transplantation until death, censored for graft loss, and end of follow-up.
Statistical analyses
Continuous variables are expressed by mean and standard deviation, categorical variables are presented by frequencies and percentages.
To investigate the long-term effects of steroid withdrawal at various time points after kidney transplantation, we chose the landmarking approach, by which causal effects can be inferred under the usual assumptions of propensity score analyses [31]. Specific points in time following engraftment, so called landmark times, were pre-defined at 3-month intervals until 10 years after engraftment. At each of these landmark times, study participants were classified as either ‘steroid withdrawal’ or ‘steroid maintenance’ depending on steroid treatment status within the preceding time interval (first day after previous landmark time until current landmark time). Once patients were classified as ‘steroid withdrawal’ at a specific landmark time they were excluded from consideration at subsequent landmark times (Additional file 1: Figure S1).
Confounding by indication, caused by any potential difference in covariates between patients withdrawn from steroids and patients maintained on steroids that could have influenced the decision to withdraw or maintain steroids at a given landmark time, was addressed by introducing a landmark-time-dependent propensity score for matching steroid-maintenance patients to steroid-withdrawal patients at each landmark time [32–34]. First, we computed a logistic regression model to calculate the probability of steroid withdrawal or maintenance for each patient in the risk set at each landmark time based on the most recent values of confounding covariates (Additional file 1: Figure S2). As a second step, we matched patients withdrawn from steroids to patients maintained on steroids based on these individual propensity scores at each landmark time to generate a cohort of steroid withdrawal and steroid maintenance patients whose only remaining difference, in theory, is the steroid treatment status at a given landmark time. Using these matched study cohorts, we computed cause-specific cumulative incidence functions for the competing event type graft loss and death with functional graft and compared them between steroid treatment groups at specific landmark times. To summarize differences in graft loss and mortality following steroid withdrawal or maintenance at different time points, we estimated a landmark-stratified Cox supermodel using all matched study cohort data from all landmarks. In this supermodel, we included an interaction of steroid withdrawal status with landmark time, smoothing transitions between neighboring points in time using restricted cubic splines with knots at 1, 2, and 4 years [35–37]. This approach yielded the landmark-specific, propensity score-adjusted hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals from which the time point with the largest benefit from discontinuation of steroids could be determined. Assessment of the proportional hazards assumption was conducted using a log minus log plot based on the cause-specific cumulative hazard estimated by the Kaplan–Meier method with weights according to the matching procedure. To deal with missing data in the covariates used for the propensity score, multiple imputation was employed [38, 39]. For steroid withdrawal status (the exposure of interest), no imputations were necessary. To determine whether biomarkers of cardiovascular risk improved after steroid withdrawal, we compared serum cholesterol, fasting glucose, the number of antihypertensive drugs, and body mass index before and after steroid withdrawal (Additional file 1).
A 95% confidence interval excluding parity or a two-sided P value less than 0.05 was considered as indication for statistical significance. For all analyses, the software R (version 3.2.1) was used. The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Medical University Vienna (1359/2014) and performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki. The detailed statistical methods are outlined in Additional file 1.
Results
Patient characteristics at transplantation
We identified 6070 first kidney transplant recipients within the observation period in the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry who met our inclusion criteria. We excluded 900 patients, because the initial immunosuppressive regimen did not contain steroids or entries were missing.
The baseline characteristics of the study cohort at transplantation and stratified by steroid treatment status 3 years after transplantation are listed in Table 1. At transplantation, the study cohort was 48 (±15) years old on average and most were men (64%); 94% of the patients received an immunosuppressive regimen based on a calcineurin inhibitor. The prevalence of diabetes was 27%, and 83% of the patients had arterial hypertension. Three years after transplantation, more patients in the steroid withdrawal group had diabetes mellitus compared to patients who were maintained on steroids at that time, suggesting a clinical indication (39% vs. 17%), but characteristics were otherwise similar between the two groups as well as compared with baseline at transplantation. After adjustment for this confounding by indication using propensity score-matched cohorts, the difference in diabetes between the two treatment groups was greatly reduced to 16% versus 13% (Table 2).
Table 1.
Characteristics | n | At transplantation |
---|---|---|
Number of patients | 5170 | |
Recipient age, years (mean ± SD) | 5170 | 48 (15) |
Female recipients, n (%) | 5170 | 1876 (36) |
Diabetes mellitus, n (%) | 3088 | 839 (27) |
Arterial hypertension, n (%) | 3217 | 2686 (83) |
Living donor, n (%) | 5116 | 645 (13) |
Donor age, years (mean ± SD) | 5108 | 46 (16) |
Sum of human leukocyte antigen mismatch (mean ± SD) | 4493 | 2.9 (1.3) |
Immunosuppression, n (%) | 5170 | |
Cyclosporine A-based regimen | 2579 (50) | |
Tacrolimus-based regimen | 2287 (44) | |
Other regimen | 304 (6) |
Continuous variables are described with mean and standard deviation and categorical variables with frequency and percentage
Table 2.
3 years after transplantation | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Crude | Matched | |||||||||
Characteristics | n | Steroid withdrawal | n | Steroid maintenance | SMD | n | Steroid withdrawal | n | Steroid maintenance | SMD |
Number of patients | 1272 | 2781 | 884 | 1203 | ||||||
Recipient age, years (mean ± SD) | 1272 | 49 (14) | 2781 | 47 (16) | 11% | 884 | 48 (14) | 1203 | 46 (16) | 9% |
Female recipients, n (%) | 1272 | 495 (39) | 2781 | 1012 (36) | 5% | 884 | 348 (39) | 1203 | 457 (38) | 3% |
Diabetes mellitus, n (%) | 750 | 290 (39) | 1828 | 309 (17) | 52% | 465 | 74 (16) | 750 | 100 (13) | 7% |
Arterial hypertension, n (%) | 957 | 814 (85) | 1922 | 1607 (84) | 4% | 655 | 543 (83) | 810 | 675 (83) | 2% |
Living donor, n (%) | 1266 | 180 (14) | 2735 | 323 (12) | 7% | 880 | 117 (13) | 1178 | 144 (12) | 3% |
Donor age, years (mean ± SD) | 1261 | 43 (16) | 2732 | 45 (16) | 10% | 877 | 44 (15) | 1175 | 44 (16) | 4% |
Sum of human leukocyte antigen mismatch (mean ± SD) | 1117 | 3.1 (1.4) | 2435 | 2.6 (1.3) | 38% | 604 | 2.9 (1.3) | 839 | 2.8 (1.3) | 5% |
Immunosuppression, n (%) | 1272 | 2781 | 884 | 1203 | ||||||
Cyclosporine A-based regimen | 648 (51) | 1673 (60) | 19% | 493 (56) | 771 (64) | 17% | ||||
Tacrolimus-based regimen | 601 (47) | 1004 (36) | 23% | 376 (43) | 419 (35) | 16% | ||||
Other regimen | 23 (2) | 104 (4) | 11% | 15 (2) | 13 (1) | 6% |
Continuous variables are described with mean and standard deviation and categorical variables with frequency and percentage. Standardized mean difference (SMD) between steroid withdrawal and steroid maintenance groups were calculated for each covariate to quantify the difference between treatment groups. Time-dependent propensity score matching greatly reduced the difference in covariates between the two treatment groups
In total, 2142 patients were withdrawn from steroids within the study period (Fig. 1, Additional file 1: Figure S3). Median follow-up time was 6.5 years (25th percentile: 2.5 years; 75th percentile: 9.5 years). The fitted propensity score models to estimate the probability for steroid withdrawal at each landmark are shown in Additional file 1: Table S1, and reached a median concordance index of 0.68 (25th percentile: 0.61; 75th percentile: 0.71).
Functional graft loss
Overall, 1131 patients in our study cohort lost their graft within the study period. In the landmark Cox supermodel the rate of graft loss was significantly higher for patients who were withdrawn from steroids within the first 18 months after transplantation compared to steroid maintenance during this time (6 months after transplantation: HR = 1.8; 95% CI, 1.3 to 2.6; 12 months after transplantation: HR = 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2 to 2.0; 18 months after transplantation: HR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1 to 1.6; 24 months after transplantation: HR = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.9 to 1.5; Fig. 2). This is supported by significantly more acute rejections in the withdrawal group if steroids were discontinued within the first 12 months after transplantation (17.6% vs. 7.2% within the first 6 months after transplantation, P < 0.001; 1.6% vs. 0.4% between 7 and 12 months after transplantation, P < 0.001; Table 3). Steroid withdrawal beyond 2 years after transplantation did not have an effect on graft loss (three years after transplantation: HR = 1.0, 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.3; 6 years after transplantation: HR = 0.9; 95% CI, 0.7 to 1.3).
Table 3.
Time after transplantation | Steroid withdrawal, n (%) | Steroid maintenance, n (%) | P value |
---|---|---|---|
0–6 months | 53 (17.6) | 348 (7.2) | <0.001 |
7–12 months | 8 (1.6) | 16 (0.4) | <0.001 |
13–24 months | 10 (1.0) | 21 (0.5) | 0.2 |
25–60 months | 12 (0.7) | 36 (1.3) | 0.1 |
All-cause mortality with functional graft
A total of 821 patients with a functional graft died within the study period, 303 due to cardiovascular causes, 208 as a result of infections, 122 due to malignancies, and 188 from other causes. We found no significant difference in all-cause mortality with functional graft between patients who were withdrawn from steroids and patients who were still receiving steroids at any landmark time in the landmark Cox supermodel (6 months after transplantation: HR = 1.4; 95% CI, 0.9 to 2.0; 1 year after transplantation: HR = 1.3; 95% CI, 1.0 to 1.8; 3 years after transplantation: HR = 1.2; 95% CI, 0.8 to 1.7; 6 years after transplantation: HR = 0.8; 95% CI, 0.5 to 1.3; Fig. 3).
For both outcomes, assessment of proportional hazards suggested some possible time-dependence of hazard ratios, yet with introduction of administrative censoring after 5 years, the estimated average hazard ratios were virtually unchanged compared to our main unrestricted analysis. Similarly, sensitivity analyses of our imputation approach indicated robust results (Additional file 1: Figure S4–Figure S7).
The comparisons of cardiovascular risk factors before and after steroid withdrawal showed that there was no difference in any of these cardiovascular surrogate outcomes (Additional file 1: Figure S8).
Discussion
Our study is the first to evaluate various time points of steroid withdrawal following kidney transplantation using time point-specific propensity score matching and dynamic prediction by land-marking. Our results demonstrate that steroid withdrawal within the first 18 months after transplantation is associated with an increased rate of graft loss compared to steroid maintenance during that time, while mortality is unaffected by steroid withdrawal at any time point after transplantation compared to steroid maintenance.
Since a Canadian trial from the early 90s reported an increased rate of graft loss after steroid withdrawal compared to cyclosporine and steroids, more recent trials with contemporary immunosuppression consistently concluded that graft loss and mortality was not different between patients who were withdrawn from steroids compared to patients who received steroids, even if steroids were eliminated within the first days after engraftment [40–45]. It has been argued that IL-2 antibody induction and the combined use of tacrolimus and mycophenolate mofetil potentially facilitated safe steroid withdrawal [46]. Of note, the majority of these trials followed patients for up to 12 months only, and in light of this limited follow-up duration of rather small sample sizes, pooled analyses were likewise unable to show a difference in graft and patient survival following steroid withdrawal compared to steroid maintenance [11, 24]. Taking into account that approximately a third of the trials investigating steroid withdrawal inexplicably did not report these important outcomes, bias from selective outcome reporting must also be considered. Although clinical trials are the gold standard to investigate treatment effects, the currently available information from controlled data on long-term outcomes after steroid withdrawal is scarce. Besides this uncertainty, neither randomized trials, which can only investigate the effects of steroid withdrawal at one point in time, nor meta-analyses, which pool data of various time points into one analysis, are designed to determine an optimal timing for steroid withdrawal after kidney transplantation. Similarly, a large retrospective registry analysis from 2005 investigated steroid withdrawal in kidney transplant recipients but did not address the effect of different time points to withdraw steroids following transplantation [47]. The majority of trials investigated steroid withdrawal between 3 and 6 months after transplantation and outcomes following steroid withdrawal at later time points are particularly uncertain.
In agreement with others, we found that steroid withdrawal was associated with an increased risk of acute rejection, but in contrast to previous reports, our results revealed an increased rate of graft loss following steroid withdrawal within the first 18 months after transplantation compared to steroid maintenance during this time. Although an increased risk of acute rejection does not necessarily imply an increased rate of graft loss, we argue that the majority of trials were too small, with fewer than 300 participants, and too short, with a follow-up between 1 and 3 years, to determine long-term outcomes. It is not surprising that the rate of graft loss, as shown in our analysis, is higher if steroids are withdrawn within the first 18 months following engraftment as the immunological risk is higher earlier after transplantation. It is reasonable to assume that graft loss requires a larger amount of time to develop compared to acute rejection, which is an earlier outcome and is thus not observed in clinical trials. Our findings challenge current recommendations to abstain from steroid withdrawal in kidney transplantation beyond 1 week after engraftment, as well as proposals for safe steroid withdrawal between 3 and 6 months despite absence of long-term evidence from randomized trials [25].
In line with previous analyses, we found no significant difference in mortality between steroid withdrawal and maintenance at any time point after transplantation despite availability of long-term follow-up data in our registry. However, this does not only suggest that steroid withdrawal is not associated with an increased mortality but also that the desired survival benefit from discontinuation of long-term steroid maintenance might be absent. Although a statistically non-significant trend towards reduced mortality in patients who were withdrawn from steroids from 4 years after transplantation onwards can be discussed considering our results. A meta-analysis published in 2010 reported a reduction in cardiovascular risk, but analyses were based on surrogate outcomes rather than observed events of cardiovascular endpoints [48]. In contradiction, a review of the literature assessing long-term adverse effects of steroid treatment in rheumatic diseases reported no excess of cardiovascular disease [49]. The authors discussed that the overall fear of steroid-associated toxicity is probably overestimated in low dose long-term steroid treatment, but do acknowledge that additional risk factors, such as obesity, hypertension and diabetes, merit more careful observation of harmful side-effects associated with steroids. Although these findings in patients with rheumatic diseases might not be extrapolated to kidney transplant recipients, the absence of evidence on harmful effects of steroid withdrawal on mortality from controlled data combined with our findings justifies steroid withdrawal beyond 18 months after transplantation, as steroids beyond that time point are no longer required to protect the renal transplant.
When interpreting our study, some important limitations, in particular in relation to the retrospective nature of the collected data, need to be taken into account. Although we applied an advanced modelling approach with dynamic propensity score matching to address confounding by indication, our results may still be affected by unmeasured confounders which cannot be ruled out in any observational study [50]. Further, the choice of landmark time intervals potentially introduced survivor bias, namely that a patient has to survive until the next landmark time in order to be correctly classified and counted in the analysis, but should be non-differential between groups as this type of bias affects both steroid groups equally. However, the alternative to use shorter time intervals would have inflated the variance due to smaller sample sizes within the landmark-specific models. It has been recently discussed in the epidemiologic literature that a small non-differential bias should be preferred over inflation of variances in such circumstances [51]. Our study population is representative for a Central European, primarily Caucasian, population and results might thus not be generalizable to populations in other regions of the world or with different ethnic backgrounds.
Our study has a number of strengths. First and foremost, the availability of long-term outcome data of high quality in a well-maintained national registry with negligible numbers of patients lost to follow-up. Additionally, we have a wide range of available information that is periodically updated in the registry for multivariable adjustment. Furthermore, we have a large sample size of several thousand transplant recipients with a sufficiently large number of patients who were withdrawn from steroids to conduct adequate regression analyses, while the majority of existing trials included fewer than 300 participants [11]. Besides the available data itself, we meticulously computed landmark time-specific hazard ratios to determine the optimal time point for steroid withdrawal using contemporary statistical methods.
Conclusions
In summary, randomized data do not provide conclusive information to inform clinical practice on steroid withdrawal in regard to long-term outcomes or optimal timing strategies for steroid withdrawal in kidney transplant recipients. Our study is the first to analyze multiple time points of steroid withdrawal with significant longer follow-up and suggests that the optimal time point for steroid withdrawal in kidney transplant recipients is beyond the first 18 months after transplantation.
Acknowledgments
Not applicable.
Funding
The study was funded by the Medical Scientific Fund of the Mayor of the City of Vienna and the Austrian Science Funds, grant #P25726. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation or writing of the manuscript. The authors had full access to the data and were responsible for the final decision to submit.
Availability of data and materials
The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are not publicly available because the data are owned by the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry, but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Authors’ contributions
All authors interpreted the findings, critically revised the work for intellectual content, and approved the final version submitted for publication. MCH developed the study protocol and wrote the manuscript. MK and AK performed the statistical analyses. RO, GH and HB provided senior expertise. RO conceived the idea for the project.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
Consent for publication
Not applicable.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
The study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Medical University Vienna (1359/2014) and performed in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.
Sources of support
The study was funded by the Medical Scientific Fund of the Mayor of the City of Vienna and the Austrian Science Funds, grant #P25726. The funders had no role in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, or writing of the manuscript. The authors had full access to the data and were responsible for the final decision to submit.
Additional file
References
- 1.Haller M, Gutjahr G, Kramar R, Harnoncourt F, Oberbauer R. Cost-effectiveness analysis of renal replacement therapy in Austria. Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2011;26(9):2988–2995. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfq780. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Woodroffe R, Yao GL, Meads C, Bayliss S, Ready A, Raftery J, et al. Clinical and cost-effectiveness of newer immunosuppressive regimens in renal transplantation: a systematic review and modelling study. Health Technol Assess. 2005;9(21):1–179. doi: 10.3310/hta9210. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Wolfe RA, Ashby VB, Milford EL, Ojo AO, Ettenger RE, Agodoa LY, et al. Comparison of mortality in all patients on dialysis, patients on dialysis awaiting transplantation, and recipients of a first cadaveric transplant. N Engl J Med. 1999;341(23):1725–1730. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199912023412303. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Wong G, Howard K, Chapman JR, Chadban S, Cross N, Tong A, et al. Comparative survival and economic benefits of deceased donor kidney transplantation and dialysis in people with varying ages and co-morbidities. PLoS One. 2012;7(1):e29591. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0029591. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Rabbat CG, Thorpe KE, Russell JD, Churchill DN. Comparison of mortality risk for dialysis patients and cadaveric first renal transplant recipients in Ontario, Canada. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2000;11(5):917–922. doi: 10.1681/ASN.V115917. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Merion RM, Ashby VB, Wolfe RA, Distant DA, Hulbert-Shearon TE, Metzger RA, et al. Deceased-donor characteristics and the survival benefit of kidney transplantation. JAMA. 2005;294(21):2726–2733. doi: 10.1001/jama.294.21.2726. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Masson P, Henderson L, Chapman JR, Craig JC, Webster AC. Belatacept for kidney transplant recipients. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2014;11:CD010699. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD010699.pub2. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Halloran PF. Immunosuppressive drugs for kidney transplantation. N Engl J Med. 2004;351(26):2715–2729. doi: 10.1056/NEJMra033540. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Haller M, Oberbauer R. Calcineurin inhibitor minimization, withdrawal and avoidance protocols after kidney transplantation. Transpl Int. 2009;22(1):69–77. doi: 10.1111/j.1432-2277.2008.00751.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Kasiske BL, Chakkera HA, Louis TA, Ma JZ. A meta-analysis of immunosuppression withdrawal trials in renal transplantation. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2000;11(10):1910–1917. doi: 10.1681/ASN.V11101910. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Haller MC, Royuela A, Nagler EV, Pascual J, Webster AC. Steroid avoidance or withdrawal for kidney transplant recipients. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2016;8:CD005632. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD005632.pub3. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Matas AJ, Gillingham KJ, Payne WD, Najarian JS. The impact of an acute rejection episode on long-term renal allograft survival (t1/2) Transplantation. 1994;57(6):857–859. doi: 10.1097/00007890-199403270-00015. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Matas AJ, Humar A, Payne WD, Gillingham KJ, Dunn DL, Sutherland DER, et al. Decreased acute rejection in kidney transplant recipients is associated with decreased chronic rejection. Ann Surg. 1999;230(4):493. doi: 10.1097/00000658-199910000-00005. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Qi D, Rodrigues B. Glucocorticoids produce whole body insulin resistance with changes in cardiac metabolism. Am J Physiol Endocrinol Metab. 2007;292(3):E654–E667. doi: 10.1152/ajpendo.00453.2006. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Veenstra DL, Best JH, Hornberger J, Sullivan SD, Hricik DE. Incidence and long-term cost of steroid-related side effects after renal transplantation. Am J Kidney Dis. 1999;33(5):829–839. doi: 10.1016/S0272-6386(99)70414-2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Midtvedt K, Neumayer HH. Management strategies for posttransplant hypertension. Transplantation. 2000;70(11 Suppl):SS64–SS69. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17.Sarno G, Muscogiuri G, De Rosa P. New-onset diabetes after kidney transplantation: prevalence, risk factors, and management. Transplantation. 2012;93(12):1189–95. doi:10.097/TP.0b013e31824db97d. [DOI] [PubMed]
- 18.Matas AJ, Kandaswamy R, Gillingham KJ, McHugh L, Ibrahim H, Kasiske B, et al. Prednisone-free maintenance immunosuppression – a 5-year experience. Am J Transplant. 2005;5(10):2473–2478. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2005.01051.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Massy ZA, Kasiske BL. Post-transplant hyperlipidemia: mechanisms and management. J Am Soc Nephrol. 1996;7(7):971–977. doi: 10.1681/ASN.V77971. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Hricik DE, Mayes JT, Schulak JA. Independent effects of cyclosporine and prednisone on posttransplant hypercholesterolemia. Am J Kidney Dis. 1991;18(3):353–358. doi: 10.1016/S0272-6386(12)80095-3. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Julian BA, Laskow DA, Dubovsky J, Dubovsky EV, Curtis JJ, Quarles LD. Rapid loss of vertebral mineral density after renal transplantation. N Engl J Med. 1991;325(8):544–550. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199108223250804. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.Hricik DE, O'Toole MA, Schulak JA, Herson J, Lautman J, Bartucci MR, et al. Steroid-free immunosuppression in cyclosporine-treated renal transplant recipients: a meta-analysis Variable effects of steroid withdrawal on blood pressure reduction in cyclosporine-treated renal transplant recipients. A meta-analysis of immunosuppression withdrawal trials in renal transplantation. J Am Soc Nephrol. 1993;4(6):1300–1305. doi: 10.1681/ASN.V461300. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Pascual J, Quereda C, Zamora J, Hernandez D. Steroid withdrawal in renal transplant patients on triple therapy with a calcineurin inhibitor and mycophenolate mofetil: a meta-analysis of randomized, controlled trials. Transplantation. 2004;78(10):1548–1556. doi: 10.1097/01.TP.0000140969.43761.1F. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.Pascual J, Zamora J, Galeano C, Royuela A, Quereda C. Steroid avoidance or withdrawal for kidney transplant recipients. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2009;21(1):CD005632. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD005632.pub2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.KDIGO clinical practice guideline for the care of kidney transplant recipients. Am J Transplant. 2009;9(Suppl 3):S1–155. doi:10.1111/j.600-6143.2009.02834.x. [DOI] [PubMed]
- 26.Heinze G, Mitterbauer C, Regele H, Kramar R, Winkelmayer WC, Curhan GC, et al. Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin II type 1 receptor antagonist therapy is associated with prolonged patient and graft survival after renal transplantation. J Am Soc Nephrol. 2006;17(3):889–899. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2005090955. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Heinze G, Kainz A, Horl WH, Oberbauer R. Mortality in renal transplant recipients given erythropoietins to increase haemoglobin concentration: cohort study. BMJ. 2009;339:b4018. doi: 10.1136/bmj.b4018. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Kramar R, Oberbauer R. Austrian Dialysis and Transplantation Registry (OEDTR), Nephrology ASo. Annual Report of the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry. Kematen: Austrian Society of Nephrology; 2013. http://www.nephro.at/oedr2013/oedr2013.htm.
- 29.EUROTRANSPLANT. www.eurotransplant.org. Accessed 27 May 2015.
- 30.Racusen LC, Solez K, Colvin RB, Bonsib SM, Castro MC, Cavallo T, et al. The Banff 97 working classification of renal allograft pathology. Kidney Int. 1999;55(2):713–723. doi: 10.1046/j.1523-1755.1999.00299.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.Heinze G, Juni P. An overview of the objectives of and the approaches to propensity score analyses. Eur Heart J. 2011;32(14):1704–8. doi:10.093/eurheartj/ehr031. [DOI] [PubMed]
- 32.Hernan MA, Robins JM. Estimating causal effects from epidemiological data. J Epidemiol Community Health. 2006;60(7):578–586. doi: 10.1136/jech.2004.029496. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 33.Rosenbaum P, Rubin D. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika. 1983;70:41–55. doi: 10.1093/biomet/70.1.41. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 34.Sekhon JS. Multivariate and propensity score matching software with automated balance optimization: the matching package for R. J Stat Softw. 2011;42(7):1–52. doi: 10.18637/jss.v042.i07. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 35.Anderson JR, Cain KC, Gelber RD. Analysis of survival by tumor response and other comparisons of time-to-event by outcome variables. J Clin Oncol. 2008;26(24):3913–3915. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2008.16.1000. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 36.Van Houwelingen HC. Dynamic prediction by landmarking in event history analysis. Scand J Stat. 2007;34:70–85. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9469.2006.00529.x. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 37.van Houwelingen H, Putter H. Dynamic Prediction in Clinical Survival Analysis. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman & Hall/CRC; 2011. [Google Scholar]
- 38.Little R, Rubin D. Statistical Analysis with Missing Data. 2. New York, NY: Wiley; 2002. [Google Scholar]
- 39.van Buuren S, Groothuis-Oudshoorn K. mice: Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations in R. J Stat Softw. 2011;45(3):1–67. doi: 10.18637/jss.v045.i03. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 40.Sinclair NR. Low-dose steroid therapy in cyclosporine-treated renal transplant recipients with well-functioning grafts. The Canadian Multicentre Transplant Study Group. CMAJ. 1992;147(5):645–657. [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 41.Vanrenterghem Y, van Hooff JP, Squifflet JP, Salmela K, Rigotti P, Jindal RM, et al. Minimization of immunosuppressive therapy after renal transplantation: results of a randomized controlled trial. Am J Transplant. 2005;5(1):87–95. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2004.00638.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 42.Vincenti F, Schena FP, Paraskevas S, Hauser IA, Walker RG, Grinyo J. A randomized, multicenter study of steroid avoidance, early steroid withdrawal or standard steroid therapy in kidney transplant recipients. Am J Transplant. 2008;8(2):307–316. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2007.02057.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 43.Vincenti F, Monaco A, Grinyo J, Kinkhabwala M, Roza A. Multicenter randomized prospective trial of steroid withdrawal in renal transplant recipients receiving basiliximab, cyclosporine microemulsion and mycophenolate mofetil. Am J Transplant. 2003;3:306–311. doi: 10.1034/j.1600-6143.2003.00005.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 44.Vitko S, Klinger M, Salmela K, Wlodarczyk Z, Tyden G, Senatorski G, et al. Two corticosteroid-free regimens-tacrolimus monotherapy after basiliximab administration and tacrolimus/mycophenolate mofetil in comparison with a standard triple regimen in renal transplantation: results of the Atlas study. Transplantation. 2005;80(12):1734–1741. doi: 10.1097/01.tp.0000188300.26762.74. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 45.Vanrenterghem Y, Lebranchu Y, Hene R, Oppenheimer F, Ekberg H. Double-blind comparison of two corticosteroid regimens plus mycophenolate mofetil and cyclosporine for prevention of acute renal allograft rejection. Transplantation. 2000;70(9):1352–1359. doi: 10.1097/00007890-200011150-00015. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 46.Pascual J, Galeano C, Royuela A, Zamora J. A systematic review on steroid withdrawal between 3 and 6 months after kidney transplantation. Transplantation. 2010;90(4):343–349. doi: 10.1097/TP.0b013e3181e58912. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 47.Opelz G, Dohler B, Laux G. Long-term prospective study of steroid withdrawal in kidney and heart transplant recipients. Am J Transplant. 2005;5(4 Pt 1):720–728. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-6143.2004.00765.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 48.Knight SR, Morris PJ. Steroid avoidance or withdrawal after renal transplantation increases the risk of acute rejection but decreases cardiovascular risk. A meta-analysis. Transplant. 2010;89(1):1–14. doi: 10.1097/TP.0b013e3181c518cc. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 49.Da Silva JA, Jacobs JW, Kirwan JR, Boers M, Saag KG, Ines LB, et al. Safety of low dose glucocorticoid treatment in rheumatoid arthritis: published evidence and prospective trial data. Ann Rheum Dis. 2006;65(3):285–293. doi: 10.1136/ard.2005.038638. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 50.Heinze G, Oberbauer R. Does size matter? Nephrol Dial Transplant. 2007;22(9):2725–2726. doi: 10.1093/ndt/gfm310. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 51.Greenland S. Principles of multilevel modelling. Int J Epidemiol. 2000;29(1):158–167. doi: 10.1093/ije/29.1.158. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Data Availability Statement
The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are not publicly available because the data are owned by the Austrian Dialysis and Transplant Registry, but are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.