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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Causes Control. 2017 Jan 17;28(2):127–136. doi: 10.1007/s10552-016-0843-1

Metabolic Syndrome and Total Cancer Mortality in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey

Wambui G Gathirua-Mwangi 1, Patrick O Monahan 2,3, Mwangi J Murage 1, Jianjun Zhang 1,2
PMCID: PMC5308139  NIHMSID: NIHMS844404  PMID: 28097473

Abstract

Purpose

Although metabolic syndrome incidence has substantially increased during the last few decades, it largely remains unclear whether this metabolic disorder is associated with total cancer mortality. The present study was carried out to investigate this important question.

Methods

A total of 687 cancer deaths were identified from 14,916 participants in the third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey by linking them to the National Death Index database through December 31, 2006. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality in relation to metabolic syndrome and its individual components.

Results

After adjustment for confounders, a diagnosis of metabolic syndrome was associated with 33% elevated total cancer mortality. Compared with individuals without metabolic syndrome, those with 3, 4 and 5 abnormal components had HRs (95% CIs) of 1.28 (1.03–1.59), 1.24 (0.96–1.60), and 1.87 (1.34–2.63), respectively (p-trend = 0.0003). Systolic blood pressure and serum glucose were associated with an increased risk of death from total cancer [HR (95% CI) for highest vs. lowest quartiles: 1.67 (1.19–2.33), p-trend = 0.002 and 1.34 (1.04–1.74), p-trend = 0.003, respectively]. Overall null results were obtained for lung cancer mortality. The effects of metabolic syndrome and its components on non-lung cancer mortality were generally similar to, but somewhat larger than, those for total cancer mortality.

Conclusion

Our study is among the first to reveal that metabolic syndrome is associated with increased total cancer mortality.

Keywords: metabolic syndrome, obesity, total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, non-lung cancer mortality, cohort study, epidemiology

Introduction

Cancer is a leading cause of death in both developed and developing countries. It was reported that 14.1 million cancer cases and 8.2 million cancer deaths occurred worldwide in 2012 [1]. On a global scale, cancers of the breast and the lung are most common in women and men, respectively [1]. The American Cancer Society has estimated that there were 1,658,370 new cancer cases and 589,430 cancer deaths in the U.S. in 2015 [2]. Prostate cancer is the most commonly diagnosed cancer among American men, while lung cancer remains the leading cause of cancer death in both sexes [2]. Given the tremendous medical and economic burden of cancer on the world population, it is critically urgent to identify modifiable risk factors for its prevention and control.

Obesity is increasing at epidemic proportions in developed countries and at an alarming pace in developing countries [1]. It is reported that more than one billion adults are overweight and 315 million are obese worldwide [3]. In the U.S., more than one third (36%) of adults are obese [3]. Obesity is the major determinant of metabolic syndrome, an abnormal health condition that is well established as a precursor to type 2 diabetes mellitus and linked to the risk of several cancers [46]. Metabolic syndrome is defined as a cluster of at least three of the following five factors: high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol (<40 mg/dl for men and <50 mg/dl for women), triglycerides (>150 mg/dl), systolic blood pressure (>130 mm Hg), blood glucose (>100 mg/dl), and waist circumference (>102 cm for men and >88 cm for women) [7]. Metabolic syndrome is common in Western populations, with a prevalence of approximately 25% in the U.S. [8, 9].

A number of epidemiologic studies have showed that obesity is associated with an increased risk of colorectal, kidney, gallbladder, endometrial, prostate, and post-menopausal breast cancer [10, 11]. Some studies also revealed that obesity increased all-cause and total cancer mortality [1216]. However, epidemiological data on the association between metabolic syndrome and cancer have been relatively scarce and inconsistent. In some studies, metabolic syndrome was found to modulate total cancer mortality in men [17, 18] but not in women [18]. Some other studies have evaluated the influence of individual metabolic syndrome components on cancer mortality, with mixed results [1922]. Although investigating metabolic syndrome and its individual components in relation to cancer risk may shed light on the biological mechanisms by which obesity alters carcinogenesis [17], no epidemiologic studies have systematically examined this research question in a national representative sample of the general U.S. population. Therefore, the present study sought to evaluate whether metabolic syndrome and its individual components are associated with total cancer mortality in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III).

Materials and Methods

Study subjects

Data collected from the NHANES III (1988–1994) were analyzed in the present study. NHANES III was conducted by the U.S. National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The survey design and methodology of the NHANES III have been described in detail elsewhere [23]. Death from cancer for each of the participants was ascertained by a probabilistic match between NHANES III database and the death certificate records of the U.S. National Death Index [23]. The follow-up period for each subject was calculated as the time from the date of health examination to the occurrence of cancer death or the censor date (December 31, 2006), whichever occurred first. Total cancer mortality included deaths from all sites of cancer defined by the 9th revision of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD).

Data on the individual components of metabolic syndrome were available from 19,618 participants aged 18 years or older. A total of 322 pregnant women were excluded because of increased waist circumference and potential metabolic changes following pregnancy. Given the objective of the present study, participants who died from a cancer diagnosed at baseline (i.e. date of health examination) (n=190) also were excluded from analysis. These exclusions led to 19,106 participants in the cohort. A total of 946 cases of cancer deaths were documented from the 19,106 participants during a follow-up of 250,443 person-years. The anatomic sites of cancer for the 946 cases included cancers of the lung (n = 279), colon and rectum (n = 93), prostate (n = 70), breast (n = 56), pancreas (n = 46), and other organs (n = 402). Of the 19,106 participants, 14,916 had data on all five components of metabolic syndrome and gave rise to 687 cases of cancer death (including 201 cases of lung cancer). The numbers of participants with missing data for individual components are 2,992 for waist circumference, 2,704 for triglycerides, 2,783 for HDL cholesterol, 2,168 for systolic blood pressure, and 2,907 for blood glucose.

In the NHANES III, subjects were recruited from the civilian, noninstitutionalized U.S. population using a stratified, multistage probability sampling strategy, and those who had a low income, were older (≥60 years of age), or were members of minority groups (African or Mexican Americans) were oversampled. The NCHS Institutional Review Board approved the survey protocols, and informed consent was obtained from all subjects. The present study was not reviewed by the Institutional Review Board of Indiana University as the data analyzed are de-identified and publicly accessible.

Data Collection

Data analyzed in this paper were collected using standardized household interviews and health examinations [24]. A home interview was conducted and then followed by an extensive physical examination and blood collection at a mobile examination center. Self-reported information, including demographic, socioeconomic, and anthropometric characteristics as well as medical conditions and medications, were gathered using validated questionnaires during the home interview [24]. Metabolic syndrome was diagnosed according to the criteria of the National Cholesterol Education Program, which have been described in the Introduction of this paper. The individual components of metabolic syndrome [i.e. waist circumference, blood pressure, serum triglycerides, serum HDL cholesterol, and serum glucose] were measured using standard protocols or well-established methods during the physical examination. Specifically, waist circumference was determined at the iliac crest after a normal exhalation of breath. Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) was measured using a mercury sphygmomanometer while subjects were in a seated position. Three measurements were taken and averaged for each subject to minimize measurement error [24]. Fasting blood samples were drawn by trained phlebotomists and were kept in freezers until time of analysis [24]. Serum concentrations of triglycerides and HDL cholesterol were measured enzymatically with Hitachi 704 Analyzer, while serum levels of glucose was determined using the glucose hexokinase method with Hitachi 737 Analyzer [24].

Statistical Analysis

Means (standard deviations) and percentages were calculated to show differences in the characteristics of study subjects by the number of abnormal metabolic syndrome components. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality in relation to presence of metabolic syndrome, each of its individual components, and a composite score. Anatomic site-specific analysis was carried out only for lung cancer due to its relatively large sample size (n=201). Each of the individual components was examined by both dividing all subjects into quartiles and using its cut-off point specified in the Introduction section. HRs and 95% CIs were calculated with subjects who were in the lowest quartile (or whose value is less than the cut-off point) as the reference group, except HDL cholesterol for which the reference group were those who were in the highest quartile (or whose value is more than or equal to the cut-off point). The composite score has a range of 0–5, with 0 indicating no abnormal metabolic syndrome components and 1–5 representing the presence of 1–5 abnormal components, respectively. Based on the diagnosis criteria of metabolic syndrome, subjects with the composite score of 3, 4, or 5 were classified as having this metabolic disorder.

Selecting potential confounders was largely based on their relevance to metabolic syndrome and cancer risk [9]. The variables were adjusted as confounders in the regression models if they altered parameter estimates by ≥10% and/or had a p-value (<0.25) for their regression coefficients [25]. The multivariable models were adjusted for age (years), gender, race (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Mexican American, and other race), education (no education, less than high school, high school, college and graduate education), cigarette smoking (never, former, and current), alcohol intake (never, 1–2 drinks/day, 3–4 drinks/day or >4 drinks per day), and use of insulin (or diabetes), hypertension, and cholesterol-lowering medications (yes or no for each of the medications). Potential interactions of gender with each of individual metabolic syndrome components and its composite score were evaluated because gender differences in metabolic syndrome have been reported previously [26]. As none of the interactions tested was statistically significant, data analysis was not stratified by gender. Tests for linear trend across the quartiles of each component of metabolic syndrome or the four categories of its composite score were performed by including in the models an ordinal variable representing the median value of each quartile or category. A weight statement with a weight variable (WTPFEX6) was included in all analytical procedures to account for complex survey design, survey non-response, and post-stratification [27]. As the present study focused on metabolic syndrome, all of our data analysis was confined to the 14,916 subjects with complete data on this metabolic disorder. All statistical analyses were conducted using SAS (version 9.3). All tests were two-sided and a p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results

The characteristics of study subjects are summarized in Table 1. Metabolic syndrome was present among 4,448 (29.8%) of 14,916 subjects. Subjects who were diagnosed with metabolic syndrome were more likely to be older, Mexican-American, and less educated. As expected, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, and serum concentrations of triglycerides and glucose increased but serum concentrations of HDL cholesterol decreased with an increasing number of abnormal metabolic syndrome components.

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics of 14,916 participants by the number of abnormal metabolic syndrome components in the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–1994

Characteristics No. of abnormal metabolic syndrome components

0–2 (n=10,468) 3 (n=2,452) 4 (n=1,460) 5 (n=536)
Mean (SD)
Age (year) 39.7 (18) 50.4 (18) 56.2 (16) 61.6 (13)
Waist circumference (cm) 87.0 (13) 102.1(12) 107.7(12) 109.3 (11)
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg) 117.2 (17) 131.0 (20) 137.3 (19) 146.1 (15)
Serum triglycerides (mg/dl) 108.8 (66) 204 (132) 246.0 (130) 289 (155)
Serum HDL cholesterol (mg/dl) 53.5 (15) 43.5 (13) 39.7 (11) 36.6 (7)
Serum glucose (mg/dl) 90.4 (21) 104 (44) 117 (55) 151.4 (71)
N (%)a
Sex
 Male 5122 (74.5) 1151 (14.5) 669 (8.6) 204 (2.3)
 Female 5346 (75.3) 1301 (14.0) 791 (7.7) 332 (3.0)
Race
 Non-Hispanic White 4107 (74.0) 1055 (14.5) 706 (8.5) 282 (3.0)
 Non-Hispanic Black 3086 (78.5) 585 (13.4) 284 (6.4) 85 (1.8)
 Mexican-American 2822 (73.5) 722 (16.0) 419 (8.1) 157 (2.5)
 Other race 453 (79.6) 90 (12.1) 51 (7.0) 12 (1.2)
Educationb
 Never been to school 192 (65.6) 86 (16.8) 74 (11.4) 32 (6.2)
 Less than High school 1819 (61.3) 610 (19.6) 417 (14.4) 169 (4.7)
 High school education 5133 (73.0) 1160 (14.8) 667 (9.1) 244 (3.2)
 College education 2645 (80.6) 477 (12.4) 236 (5.3) 73 (1.7)
 Graduate education 613 (80.6) 108 (11.7) 62 (6.3) 17 (1.4)
Cigarette Smoking
 Never 5398 (71.9) 1136 (15.1) 706 (9.4) 265 (3.5)
 Former 2884 (75.3) 597 (15.6) 269 (7.0) 78 (2.0)
 Current 2186 (61.0) 719 (20.1) 485 (13.5) 193 (5.4)
Alcohol Consumptionc
 No alcohol 4870 (67.9) 1458 (17.1) 945 (11.0) 378 (4.0)
 1–2 drinks/day 5295 (80.1) 942 (12.2) 494 (6.0) 149 1.7)
 3–4 drinks/day 235 (84.6) 38 (9.5) 15 (4.5) 4 (1.4)
 >4 drinks/day 68 (86.9) 14 (6.7) 6 (2.9) 5 (3.4)
a

Percentages were calculated by using sample weights to report estimates that would be representative of the U.S. population.

b

Eighty-two participants had missing data on education.

c

In the NHANES, one drink was defined as 10 gram pure ethanol that is equivalent to 12 ounces of beer, 4 ounces of wine or 1 ounce of hard liquor [53].

Risk estimates described below are for subjects of all ages and both sexes. Results of total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality in relation to metabolic syndrome as a single entity and the number of its individual components are displayed in Table 2. Individuals who developed metabolic syndrome had a 33% elevated total cancer mortality compared to those who were free from this abnormal health condition (HR, 1.33; 95% CI: 1.11–1.59). Of note, the risk of death from total cancer increased with an increasing number of abnormal metabolic syndrome components (p for trend = 0.0003). Specifically, compared with subjects who had 0–2 abnormal components, those who had 3, 4, and 5 abnormal components exhibited a 28%, 24%, and 87% increased risk of death from total cancer, respectively.

Table 2.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality in relation to metabolic syndrome and the number of abnormal components among 14,916 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–2006

Number of Subjects (%) Number of Cancer Deaths Total Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)
n=687
Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)
n=201
Non-Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)
n=486

Age-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted a Age-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted a Age-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted a
Presence of metabolic syndrome
 No 10,468 (70.2%) 372 Reference Reference Reference Reference
 Yes 4,448 (29.8%) 315 1.31 (1.10–1.57) 1.33 (1.11–1.59) 1.11 (0.82–1.49) 1.05 (0.77–1.43) 1.44 (1.15–1.80) 1.46 (1.15–1.84)
No. of abnormal metabolic syndrome components
 0–2 10,468 (70.2%) 372 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 3 2,452 (16.4%) 163 1.29 (1.04–1.59) 1.28 (1.03–1.59) 1.22 (0.85–1.73) 1.13 (0.79–1.62) 1.31 (0.99–1.73) 1.30 (0.98–1.73)
 4 1,460 (9.8%) 102 1.21 (0.94–1.56) 1.24 (0.96–1.60) 1.03 (0.67–1.60) 0.95 (0.61–1.50) 1.31 (0.95–1.80) 1.36 (0.98–1.88)
 5 536 (3.6%) 50 1.68 (1.22–2.32) 1.87 (1.34–2.63) 0.88 (0.44–1.77) 0.90 (0.44–1.86) 2.36 (1.61–3.44) 2.68 (1.80–3.98)
p for trend 0.0003 0.96 <.0001
a

Adjusted for age (years), gender, race (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Mexican American, and other race), education (no education, less than high school, high school, college education, and graduate education), cigarette smoking (current, former, and never), alcohol intake (yes or no), and use of insulin or diabetes, hypertension, and cholesterol-lowering medications (yes or no for each of the medications).

Results of individual metabolic syndrome components in relation to total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality are shown in Table 3. After adjustment for confounders, systolic blood pressure and serum glucose were associated with an increased risk of death from total cancer [HR (95% CI) for highest vs. lowest quartiles: 1.67 (1.19–2.33), p-trend =0.002 and 1.34 (1.04–1.74), p-trend = 0.003, respectively]. There was a positive but borderline significant association between waist circumference and total cancer mortality [HR (95% CI) for highest vs. lowest quartiles: 1.32 (0.98–1.77), p-trend = 0.05]. Overall, serum triglycerides was positively and serum HDL cholesterol was inversely associated with total cancer mortality, but these associations did not have significant trends across quartiles. When these components were analyzed as dichotomous variables based on their respective cut-off points for defining metabolic syndrome, waist circumference, systolic blood pressure, HDL cholesterol, and serum glucose were associated with an increased risk of death from total cancer (Table 4).

Table 3.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality by quartiles of components of metabolic syndrome among 14,916 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–2006

Componentsa No. of Cancer Deaths Person-Years Total Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI) a
n=687
Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI) a
n=201
Non-Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI) a
n=486

Age-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted Age-Adjusted Multivariable -Adjusted Age-Adjusted Multivariable -Adjusted
Waist circumference (cm)
Q1 (≤82.1 ) 105 52,577 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Q2 (82.2–92.1) 150 51,014 1.21 (0.90–1.62) 1.12 (0.83–1.51) 1.49 (0.94–2.38) 1.24 (0.77–2.00) 1.10 (0.75–1.62) 1.04 (0.70–1.55)
Q3 (92.2–102.1) 204 49,153 1.31 (0.98–1.74) 1.18 (0.88–1.58) 1.30 (0.81–2.08) 1.04 (0.64–1.70) 1.27 (0.87–1.83) 1.15 (0.79–1.68)
Q4 (≥102.2) 228 48,771 1.52 (1.15–2.01) 1.32 (0.98–1.77) 1.28 (0.80–2.04) 0.89 (0.54–1.47) 1.57 (1.10–2.24) 1.42 (0.97–2.07)
p for trend 0.05 0.30 0.03
Systolic blood pressure (mmHg)
Q1 (≤111) 60 56,142 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Q2 (112–121) 106 52,163 1.33 (0.95–1.87) 1.19 (0.85–1.68) 1.92 (1.08–3.39) 1.63 (0.91–2.91) 0.99 (0.64–1.53) 0.91 (0.58–1.41)
Q3 (122–135) 165 49,801 1.32 (0.95–1.84) 1.17 (0.84–1.63) 1.72 (0.97–3.05) 1.46 (0.82–2.60) 1.00 (0.66–1.51) 0.90 (0.59–1.38)
Q4 (≥136) 356 43,409 1.80 (1.29–2.51) 1.67 (1.19–2.33) 2.29 (1.28–4.09) 2.16 (1.21–3.86) 1.51 (1.00–2.27) 1.38 (0.91–2.10)
p for trend 0.002 0.009 0.005
Serum triglycerides (mg/dl)
Q1 (≤77) 109 52,026 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Q2 (78–111) 158 51,718 1.35 (1.01–1.82) 1.29 (0.96–1.73) 1.24 (0.76–2.11) 1.05 (0.64–1.71) 1.39 (0.95–2.05) 1.39 (0.94–2.04)
Q3 (112–167) 224 49,100 1.55 (1.16–2.05) 1.45 (1.09–1.94) 1.85 (1.18–2.91) 1.50 (0.95–2.36) 1.25 (0.85–1.82) 1.24 (0.85–1.82)
Q4 (≥168) 196 48,672 1.12 (0.84–1.51) 1.07 (0.79–1.45) 0.82 (0.50–1.37) 0.67 (0.40–1.13) 1.27 (0.87–1.85) 1.28 (0.87–1.88)
p for trend 0.88 0.27 0.53
Serum HDL cholesterol (mg/dl)
Q1 (≤40) 203 50,462 1.38 (1.09–1.74) 1.17 (0.91–1.51) 1.56 (1.06–2.32) 0.94 (0.61–1.45) 1.39 (1.03–1.87) 1.36 (0.98–1.90)
Q2 (41–48) 170 48,421 1.40 (1.11–1.78) 1.29 (1.01–1.65) 1.37 (0.91–2.08) 1.03 (0.67–4.58) 1.40 (1.04–1.88) 1.39 (1.02–1.90)
Q3 (49–58) 139 50,755 0.92 (0.71–1.20) 0.90 (0.69–1.17) 1.14 (0.74–1.75) 0.97 (0.63–1.51) 0.82 (0.58–1.15) 0.84 (0.59–1.18)
Q4 (≥59) 175 51,877 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
p for trend 0.07 0.84 0.02
Serum glucose (mg/dl)
Q1 (≤85) 102 55,271 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
Q2 (86–92) 144 53,938 0.96 (0.73–1.26) 0.97 (0.73–1.27) 0.72 (0.48–1.10) 0.74 (0.48–1.13) 1.14 (0.78–1.66) 1.15 (0.79–1.69)
Q3 (93–100) 159 45,430 0.85 (0.64–1.12) 0.87 (0.66–1.15) 0.62 (0.40–0.96) 0.65 (0.42–1.01) 1.03 (0.71–1.52) 1.06 (0.72–1.56)
Q4 (≥101) 282 45,877 1.35 (1.05–1.74) 1.34 (1.04–1.74) 0.86 (0.58–1.29) 0.84 (0.56–1.26) 1.82 (1.28–2.57) 1.83 (1.28–2.61)
p for trend 0.003 0.63 <.0001
a

Adjusted for age (years), gender, race (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Mexican American, and other race), education (no education, less than high school, high school, college education, and graduate education), cigarette smoking (current, former, and never), alcohol intake (yes or no), and use of insulin or diabetes, hypertension, and cholester ol-lowering medications (yes or no for each of the medications).

Table 4.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality by cut-off points of components of metabolic syndrome among 14,916 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–2006

Componentsa No. of Cancer Deaths Person-Years Total Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)a
n=687
Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)a
n=201
Non-Lung Cancer Mortality
HR (95% CI)a
n=486

Age-Adjusted Multivariable-Adjusted Age-Adjusted Multivariable -Adjusted Age-Adjusted Multivariable -Adjusted
Waist circumference
 <102cm men or <88cm women 349 119,552 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 ≥102cm men or ≥88cm women 338 81,962 1.18 (0.99–1.41) 1.29 (1.08–1.55) 0.84 (0.62–1.12) 0.91 (0.67–1.23) 1.34 (1.06–1.68) 1.41 (1.11–1.79)
Systolic blood pressure
 <130 mmHg 262 141,295 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 ≥130 mmHg 425 60,219 1.23 (1.01–1.49) 1.21 (1.00–1.47) 1.21 (0.87–1.67) 1.24 (0.90–1.72) 1.30 (1.02–1.66) 1.27 (0.99–1.62)
Serum triglycerides (mg/dl)
 <150 mg/dL 426 140,772 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 ≥150 mg/dL 261 60,743 0.92 (0.77–1.10) 0.89 (0.74–1.07) 0.90 (0.67–1.22) 0.82 (0.60–1.11) 0.93 (0.74–1.17) 0.92 (0.73–1.17)
Serum HDL cholesterol (mg/dl)
 ≥40 mg/dLmen/≥50mg/dl women 400 121,550 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 <40 mg/dLmen/<50mg/dl women 287 79,964 1.27 (1.07–1.51) 1.23 (1.03–1.47) 1.24 (0.94–1.66) 1.06 (0.79–1.42) 1.33 (1.07–1.66) 1.36 (1.08–1.71)
Serum glucose (mg/dl)
 <100 mg/dL 390 150,150 Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference Reference
 ≥100 mg/dL 297 51,365 1.38 (1.16–1.65) 1.36 (1.13–1.63) 1.12 (0.82–1.52) 1.07 (0.78–1.47) 1.58 (1.26–1.97) 1.56 (1.24–1.97)
a

Adjusted for age (years), gender, race (non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Mexican American, and other race), education (no education, less than high school, high school, college education, and graduate education), cigarette smoking (current, former, and never), alcohol intake (yes or no), and use of insulin or diabetes, hypertension, and cholesterol-lowering medications (yes or no for each of the medications).

Tables 2, 3, and 4 show no significant associations of metabolic syndrome and its individual components (except systolic blood pressure) with lung cancer mortality. The results for non-lung cancer mortality are largely similar to those for total cancer mortality, but the effects of metabolic syndrome and its components generally are somewhat larger on the former than on the latter (Tables 2 and 4). There is a monotonic upward trend for the association between number of abnormal components and non-lung cancer mortality [HR (95% CI) for 0–2 (reference) vs. 3, 4, and 5 components: 1.30 (0.98–1.73), 1.36 (0.98–1.88), and 2.68 (1.80–3.98), p-trend <.0001] (Table 2).

Discussion

The present study found statistically significant associations of all five individual metabolic syndrome components with total cancer mortality. The presence of metabolic syndrome as a whole is associated with a 33% elevated risk of death from total cancer. Furthermore, this promoting effect on total cancer mortality increased with an increasing number of abnormal metabolic syndrome components.

A number of epidemiologic studies have investigated the associations of metabolic syndrome and its components with the risk of developing cancer [10, 11]. Specifically, metabolic syndrome and its components have been associated with an increased mortality from cancers of the prostate [28, 29], breast [3032], bone marrow (leukemia) [33], pancreas [33, 34], colon [35, 36], liver [34], and other sites of the digestive system [37]. It is well recognized that most cancer deaths occur among patients diagnosed with aggressive, advanced or metastatic cancer, a clinically important phenotype in contrast to a less impactful form of indolent, localized cancer. Therefore, evaluating risk factors in relation to cancer mortality is more relevant to the elucidation of the etiology of biologically aggressive cancer as numerous cases of cancer with little or no potential to progress to clinical significant stage have been diagnosed following screening tests (e.g. prostate and breast cancer) [38]. However, relatively few epidemiologic studies have evaluated the influence of metabolic syndrome and its components on the mortality of total cancer and site-specific cancers. The present study revealed that metabolic syndrome was associated with an increased risk of death from total cancer among a representative sample of the U.S. population, which is consistent with the results of a Korean cohort study (RR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.08–1.84) carried out among 42,336 men and 32,168 women [18].

Besides analysis of metabolic syndrome as a single entity, examining its individual components and their combinations may shed new light on the role of this metabolic disorder in carcinogenesis. In the present study, we found that subjects who were in the highest quartile of systolic blood pressure and serum glucose experienced a significantly higher risk of total cancer mortality than those in the respective lowest quartiles (all p values for trend were <0.05). These results were in agreement with those of most previous studies [18, 20, 22, 3941]. We also observed increased total cancer mortality in subjects with high serum triglycerides or low HDL cholesterol. However, risk estimates were statistically significant only for subjects who were in the third quartile of triglycerides or HDL cholesterol (p for trend for each of them was >0.05). In addition, given inconsistent associations between blood lipids and cancer risk across epidemiologic studies [42] and lack of the dose-response relations, chance findings for serum triglycerides and HDL cholesterol could not be entirely ruled out. Of note, the aforementioned results of metabolic syndrome components that were evaluated in quartiles were largely confirmed by the analysis that used their respective cut-off points for defining this adverse health condition. It is worth emphasizing that the present study revealed that the risk of total cancer mortality and particularly non-lung cancer mortality increased with an increasing number of metabolic syndrome components in a dose-response manner, suggesting a synergistic effect of these individual risk factors. This strategy of data analysis was not employed in most previous studies on metabolic syndrome.

There are some potential biological mechanisms by which metabolic syndrome modulates cancer risk. Metabolic syndrome prevalence has been rising as a consequence of upward trends in prevalence of overweight and obesity during the last few decades worldwide. Obesity (particularly central and visceral obesity) has been associated with insulin resistance and elevated insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1) [43, 44]. Adipose tissue is an important source of estrogen in postmenopausal women among whom most cases of breast cancer occur [45]. Circulating estrogen concentrations are elevated among overweight and obese individuals probably because obesity-related inflammation induces the expression of cyclooxygenase-2 that consequently leads to enhanced aromatase expression and estrogen synthesis [44, 46, 47]. Considering that insulin, IGF-1, and estrogen have been identified as risk factors for breast and other common cancers [48, 49], it is thereby reasonable to infer that obesity promotes carcinogenesis at least in part through obesity-initiated metabolic syndrome.

Metabolic syndrome may also alter cancer risk through its critical role in type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic systematic information induced by obesity. Obesity is an established risk factor for both diabetes and some sites of cancer [50]. Substantial evidence indicates that metabolic syndrome is a strong predictor of diabetes [51]. Furthermore, most epidemiologic studies conducted in diverse populations have shown that diabetes is associated with an increased risk of the cancers of the endometrium, pancreas, liver, colon, rectum, breast, and urinary bladder [50, 51], although reverse causality could account in part for the association between diabetes and pancreatic cancer risk [50]. Obesity has been consistently linked to chronic inflammation, which leads to changes in the tissue microenvironment that facilitate cancer initiation, progression, and metastasis [52]. In obesity, pro-inflammatory cytokines, such as interleukin (IL)-6, IL-1β, and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α, are released from macrophages resident in adipose tissue, and these inflammatory mediators stimulate tumor growth and inhibit DNA repair mechanisms [51, 52].

The strengths of the present study include that the effect of metabolic syndrome on total cancer mortality was investigated in a prospective cohort study that was based on a national representative sample of the U.S. population. All five anthropometric, physiological, or biochemical components of metabolic syndrome were objectively measured with validated assessment tools or experimental methods. Therefore the data collected for these exposures are free from recall bias, which is frequently present in questionnaire-based exposure assessment. All potential confounders were tested and adjusted as appropriate for the associations of interest. More importantly, metabolic syndrome as a whole, its individual components, and their combinations were evaluated in relation to the risk of total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality and non-lung cancer mortality in our data analysis.

Some limitations exist in the present study. The components of metabolic syndrome were measured only once, and therefore the effect of changes in these risk factors over time on total cancer risk could not be evaluated. Measurement errors for the five metabolic syndrome components, if non-differential, are likely to lead to attenuated risk estimate of their associations with cancer mortality. As in other observational studies, it is possible that residual confounding due to unmeasured or inaccurately measured confounders might have somewhat distorted the results obtained from the present study. Metabolic syndrome and its components in relation to site-specific cancers were not examined due to small sample size (described in Materials and Methods). Of all sites of cancer, lung cancer contributed to the largest number of deaths (n=201) in the present study. We examined metabolic syndrome and its components in relation to lung cancer mortality but did not identify overall apparent effects. It is intriguing to observe that the dose-response relation with the number of the abnormal components of metabolic syndrome is more pronounced and statistically significant for non-lung cancer mortality than for total cancer mortality, which may be in part ascribed to its overall null results with lung cancer mortality.

In summary, metabolic syndrome and its individual components are associated with an increased risk of total cancer mortality and non-lung cancer mortality. The findings of the present study offer novel evidence for the potential role of metabolic syndrome in carcinogenesis and mechanistic data for the associations between obesity and cancer risk. If the results of this study are confirmed in other well-conducted case-control and particularly prospective cohort studies, the public health importance of maintaining healthy levels of the components of the metabolic syndrome would be accentuated. This strategy is expected to result in a tremendous reduction in cancer incidence and mortality attributable to the global epidemic of obesity and subsequent metabolic syndrome.

Supplementary Material

10552_2016_843_MOESM1_ESM. Supplemental Table.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality in relation to the number of abnormal components of metabolic syndrome among 14,916 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–2006

Acknowledgments

Dr. Gathirua-Mwangi is a postdoc appointee funded by a supplemental grant under R01CA196243 (PIs: Drs. Champion and Paskett). Research reported in this publication was supported by the National Cancer Institute of the National Institutes of Health under Award Numbers 3R01CA196243-02S1, R25 CA117865-07S1 and K05CA175048. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health.

Footnotes

Compliance with Ethical Standards

Conflict of Interest: The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

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Supplementary Materials

10552_2016_843_MOESM1_ESM. Supplemental Table.

Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for total cancer mortality, lung cancer mortality, and non-lung cancer mortality in relation to the number of abnormal components of metabolic syndrome among 14,916 participants in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, 1988–2006

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