Table 2. Clinical performances between absolute criteria for ESD and the nomogram.
| Threshold Probability (%) | Net benefits per 100 patients | Net reduction in resections per 100 patients | Nomogram | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Treat all | Nomogram | ESD | Nomogram | ESD | FNR (%) | NPV (%) | |
| 5% | 14.1 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 9.2 | 5.7 | 2.3 | 97.6 |
| 7% | 12.2 | 13.4 | 12.8 | 15.4 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 96.5 |
| 10% | 9.3 | 11.5 | 10.2 | 19.9 | 7.8 | 11.4 | 94.9 |
| 15% | 4.0 | 8.5 | 5.5 | 25.4 | 8.5 | 27.4 | 91.5 |
| 20% | -2.0 | 7.0 | 0.2 | 36.1 | 8.8 | 34.9 | 90.6 |
ESD: Endoscopic submucosal dissection; FNR: False negative rate; NPV: Negative predictive value.