Abstract
A history of hypertension has been associated with increased risk of endometrial cancer in several studies, but the results have not been consistent. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies to clarify the association between hypertension and endometrial cancer risk. PubMed and Embase databases were searched up to 27th of February 2016. Prospective and case-control studies which reported adjusted relative risk estimates and 95% confidence intervals of endometrial cancer associated with a hypertension diagnosis were included. Summary relative risks were estimated using a random effects model. Nineteen case-control studies and 6 cohort studies were included. The summary RR was 1.61 (95% CI: 1.41–1.85, I2 = 86%) for all studies, 1.73 (95% CI: 1.45–2.06, I2 = 89%) for case-control studies and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.12–1.56, I2 = 47%) for cohort studies. The association between hypertension and endometrial cancer was weaker, but still significant, among studies with adjustment for smoking, BMI, oral contraceptive use, and parity, compared to studies without such adjustment. This meta-analysis suggest an increased risk of endometrial cancer among patients with hypertension, however, further studies with more comprehensive adjustments for confounders are warranted to clarify the association.
Hypertension is a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide and is an established risk factor for coronary heart disease and stroke1,2. Globally a high systolic blood pressure accounted for 10.4 million deaths and 208.1 million disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) in 20133. Important risk factors for hypertension include overweight and obesity4, low physical activity5,6, high alcohol consumption7, dietary factors8,9,10,11, and use of non-narcotic analgesics12.
Endometrial cancer is the eighth most common type of cancer in women with approximately 320 000 cases recorded in 2012, accounting for about 4.8% of all cancers in women (2.3% overall)13. It is more common in high-income countries than in low-income countries, however, its incidence has been increasing in populations undergoing urbanization and economic growth, in parallel with increasing obesity rates and sedentary lifestyles14,15. Several risk factors for endometrial cancer have been established including excess body weight16, low physical activity17, diabetes history18, and use of unopposed hormone replacement therapy19. A history of hypertension has been evaluated as a risk factor for endometrial cancer in several case-control20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38 and cohort studies39,40,41,42,43,44, and many20,21,24,25,26,28,30,32,33,34,35,36,37,38,39,42,44, but not all22,23,27,29,31,39,42,44 of these found an increased endometrial cancer risk. Because obesity and diabetes are important risk factors for both hypertension45,46 and endometrial cancer16,18 it is not clear whether the association between hypertension and endometrial cancer could be due to confounding by these factors because some studies did not adjust for BMI20,21,25,33,35,38 or diabetes20,21,24,25,28,29,33,35,38. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies that had investigated the association between hypertension and endometrial cancer risk with an aim of clarifying the strength of the association, possible sources of heterogeneity and potential confounding by other risk factors.
Methods
Search strategy and inclusion criteria
We searched the PubMed and Embase databases up to 27th February 2016 for eligible studies. We used the following search terms in the PubMed search: (hypertension OR high blood pressure OR blood pressure OR risk factor) AND (endometrial cancer OR uterine cancer). We followed standard criteria for reporting meta-analyses47.
Study selection
We included published retrospective case-control studies and cohort studies that investigated the association between hypertension and the risk of endometrial cancer. Adjusted estimates of the relative risk (odds ratios and hazard ratios which were considered to be approximately equal given that endometrial cancer is a relatively uncommon cancer) had to be available with the 95% CIs in the publication. A list of excluded studies and exclusion reasons is provided in Supplementary Table 1. DA and AS conducted the study selection.
Data extraction
The following data were extracted from each study: The first author’s last name, publication year, country where the study was conducted, study period, sample size, number of cases/controls, exposure and subgroups of tumor characteristics (low, moderate or high aggressiveness) or cancer type (type 1 vs. type 2), relative risks and 95% confidence intervals for the association and variables adjusted for in the analysis. Data were extracted by one reviewer (DA) and checked for accuracy by a second reviewer (AS).
Statistical methods
We calculated summary relative risks of developing endometrial cancer by history of hypertension using the random-effects model by DerSimonian and Laird48 which takes into account both within and between study variation (heterogeneity). The average of the natural logarithm of the relative risks was estimated and the relative risk from each study was weighted by the inverse of its variance49.
Heterogeneity between studies was evaluated using Q and I2 statistics50. Cochran’s Q is calculated as the weighted sum of squared differences between individual study effects and the pooled effects across studies, with weights being those in the pooling method. I2 is a measure of how much of the heterogeneity that is due to between study variation rather than chance. I2-values of 25%, 50% and 75% indicates low, moderate and high heterogeneity respectively. We conducted main analyses (all studies combined) and stratified by study design (cohort studies, case-control studies) because of the greater potential for recall and selection bias in retrospective case-control studies and to investigate sources of potential heterogeneity. We also conducted subgroup analyses by other study characteristics such as sample size, number of cases, geographic location, and by adjustment for confounding factors. We also conducted a stratified analysis by whether the articles explicitly stated that participants with prevalent hysterectomies at baseline were excluded, and/or whether participants with incident hysterectomies were censored during follow-up in cohort studies, or excluded from the control group in case-control studies.
Publication bias was assessed using Egger’s test51 and Begg-Mazumdar’s test52 and by inspection of funnel plots. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale which ranks the studies on a scale from 0 to 9 based on the selection of the study population, comparability between cases and non-cases and the assessment of the outcome53. The statistical analyses were conducted using the software package Stata, version 13.0 software (StataCorp, Texas, US).
Results
Out of a total 7879 records identified by the search we included 25 studies with 28385 cases and 300598 participants in the meta-analysis of hypertension and endometrial cancer risk, including six cohort studies39,40,41,42,43,44 and nineteen case-control studies20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37 (Fig. 1 and Tables 1 and 2). Fourteen of the studies were from North-America, seven were from Europe, and four were from Asia (Tables 1 and 2).
Table 1. Prospective studies of hypertension and endometrial cancer.
First author, publication year, country | Number of participants, age, number of cases | Study period | Assessment of hypertension | Cut-off for hypertension | Exposure | Comparison | Relative risk (95% confidence interval) | Adjustment for confounders |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mack T et al., 1976, USA | Nested case-control study: 63 cases 252 controls | 1971–1975, ~4 years follow-up | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.50 (0.85–2.64) | Age, marital status, community |
Tulinius H et al., 1997, Iceland | 11580 women, mean age 50.5 years: 98 cases | 1968–1995, ~15.1 years follow-up | Measured | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.9 (1.2–2.9) | Age |
Folsom AR et al., 2003, USA | 23335 women, age 55–69 years: 415 cases | 1986–2000, 15.7 years follow-up | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.53 (1.26–1.86) | Age |
Furberg AS et al., 2003, Norway | 24460 women, age 20–49 years: 130 cases | 1974–1981–1996, 15.7 years follow-up | Measured (mercury sphygmo-manometer) | ≥140/≥90 mmHg | Hypertension | Consistently normotensive | 1.00 | Age, geographical region, height, BMI, recreational and occupational activity, smoking, parity |
Hypertensive in one survey | 1.11 (0.70–1.77) | |||||||
Consistently hypertensive | 1.24 (0.69–2.25) | |||||||
Ollberding NJ et al., 2011, USA | 46027 postm. Women, age 45–75 years: 489 cases | 1993/1996–2007, 13.6 years follow-up | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.24 (1.03–1.50) | Age, race/ethnicity, age at cohort entry, total calories, BMI, age at menarche, age at menopause, parity, duration of OC use, HRT use, smoking status, diabetes |
Sponholtz TR et al., 2016, USA | 47577 women, age 21–69 years: 274 cases | 1995–2013, 14 years follow-up | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.02 (0.78–1.33) | Age, study period, age at menarche, parity, menopausal status, OC use, estrogen-only hormone use, estrogen plus progestin hormone use, smoking status, BMI, vigorous physical activity, statin use, metformin use |
BMI = body mass index, OC use = oral contraceptive use, HRT use = hormone replacement therapy use.
Table 2. Case-control studies of hypertension and endometrial cancer.
First author, publication year, country | Number of cases and controls, age | Study period | Assessment of hypertension | Cut-off for hypertension | Exposure, subgroup, outcome | Comparison | Relative risk (95% confidence interval) | Adjustment for confounders or matching variables |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Elwood JM et al., 1977, USA | 212 cases 1198 population controls Age 55–69 years | 1965–1969 | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.7 (1.0–2.7) | Year of birth |
Austin H et al., 1991, USA | 168 cases 334 hospital controls Age 40–82 years | 1985–1988 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 2.4 (1.6–3.6) | Age, race, years of schooling |
Inoue M et al., 1994, Japan | 143 cases 143 hospital controls Age 22–79 years | 1979–1992 | Medical records | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.67 (0.57–4.76) | Age, obesity, personal cancer history, diabetes mellitus, parity |
Goodman MT et al., 1997, USA | 332 cases 511 population controls Age 18–84 years | 1985–1993 | Self-reported (interview | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.1 (0.8–1.6) | Age, ethnicity, pregnancy history, OC use, unopposed estrogen use, diabetes history, BMI |
Hachisuga T et al., 1998, Japan | 242 cases 1021 hospital controls Age 20–79 years | 1980–1989 | Medical records | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.47 (0.96–2.28) | Age, parity, BMI, diabetes mellitus |
Soler M et al., 1999, Italy | 745 cases 3054 hospital controls Age <75 years | 1983–1996 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Treated hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.59 (1.30–1.94) | Age, area of residence, education, smoking, alcohol, parity, menopausal status, BMI |
McCann SE et al., 2000, USA | 232 cases 639 population controls Age 40–85 years | 1986–1991 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.8 (1.3–2.5) | Age |
Salazar-Martinez E et al., 2000, Mexico | 85 cases 668 population controls Mean age 61.7/60.2 years | 1995–1997 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 2.1 (1.2–3.6) | Age, anovulatory index, smoking, physical activity, menopausal status, diabetes, BMI |
Weiderpass E et al., 2000, Sweden | 709 cases 3368 population controls Age 50–74 years | 1994–1995 | Self-reported | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.1 (0.9–1.3) | Age, age at menarche, parity, age at last birth, age at menopause, smoking, OC use, HRT, diabetes mellitus, recent BMI |
Strom BL et al., 2006, USA | 511 cases 1412 population controls Age 50–79 years | 1999–2002 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.51 (1.22–1.87) | Age, ethnicity, education, BMI, number of full-term pregnancies, years of menses, type of menopause, smoking status, years of smoking, OC use |
Weiss JM et al., 2006, USA | 1304 cases 1779 population controls Age 45–74 years | 1985–1991 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension, low tumor aggressiveness | Yes vs. no | 1.2 (1.0–1.6) | Age, HRT, BMI, county of residence, referent year |
1994–1995 | Hypertension, moderate tumor aggressiveness | Yes vs. no | 1.1 (0.9–1.4) | |||||
1997–1999 | Hypertension, high tumor aggressiveness | Yes vs. no | 1.1 (0.7–1.6) | |||||
Soliman PT et al., 2006, USA | 117 cases 238 hospital controls Age 25–88 years | 2000–2004 | Medical records | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. No | 2.64 (1.41–4.97) | Age, BMI, diabetes |
Fortuny J et al., 2009, USA | 469 cases 467 population controls Age ≥21 years | 2001–2005 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 0.9 (0.6–1.5) | Age, BMI, education, race, age at menarche, HRT, OC use, age at menopause, parity, smoking, FH – EC, type 2 diabetes, biguanides, insulin, sulphonylureas, hypercholesterolemia, statins, fibrates, ACE-inhibitors, beta-blockers, calcium channel blockers, angiotensin 2 receptor antagonists, thiazide diuretics, loop diuretics, K sparing diuretics, osteoporosis, biphosphonates, calcitonin, endometrial cancer fibroids |
Reis N et al., 2009, Turkey | 285 cases 1050 hospital controls Age 43–76 years | 2002–2003 | Self-report of treated hypertension or physician-diagnosis (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 3.26 (2.21–4.80) | Age, education, diabetes, parity, age at menarche, HRT use, 1st degree relative history of breast, endometrial cancer or colorectal cancer, 2nd degree relative with history of breast and ovarian cancer |
Zhang Y et al., 2010, China | 942 cases 1721 healthy hospital controls Age NA | 2004–2008 | Medical record | ≥140/≥90 mm/Hg | Hypertension, all | Yes vs. no | 6.34 (4.53–8.88) | Age |
Hypertension, type 1 endometrial cancer | Yes vs. no | 6.39 (4.50–9.06) | ||||||
Hypertension, type 2 endometrial cancer | Yes vs. no | 6.63 (4.01–10.94) | ||||||
Friedenreich CM et al., 2011, Canada | 515 cases 962 population controls Age 30–79 years | 2002–2006 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Ever diagnosed and treated for hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.75 (1.32–2.32) | Age, age2, age at menarche, number of pregnancies ≥20 weeks gestation, type of HRT, waist circumference, triglycerides, HDL-cholesterol, fasting blood glucose |
Rosato V et al., 2011, Italy | 454 cases 798 hospital controls Age 18–79/19–79 years | 1992–2006 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.77 (1.34–2.34) | Age, study center, year of interview, education, age at menarche, parity, menopausal status, OC use, HRT use |
Trabert B et al., 2015, USA | 19323 cases 100751 population controls Age ≥65 years | 1993–2007 | Medical records | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 1.21 (1.15–1.26) | Age, diagnosis date, race/ethnicity, registry area, tobacco use, overweight/obesity, impaired fasting glucose, high triglycerides |
Shao Y et al., 2015, China | 128 cases 294 hospital controls Age 22–43 years | 2010–2013 | Self-reported (interview) | Not available | Hypertension | Yes vs. no | 2.62 (0.90–4.40) | Age, time of day of blood collection, CRP, IL-6, TNF-α, insulin, C-peptide, SHBG, birth weight > 4 kg, BMI, WHR, diabetes, age at menarche, FH - cancer |
ACE-inhibitor = angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor, BMI = body mass index, CRP = C-reactive protein, FH – EC = family history of endometrial cancer, HDL-cholesterol = high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, HRT use = hormone replacement therapy use, IL-6 = interleukin-6, NA = not available, OC use = oral contraceptive use, TNF-α = tumor necrosis factor α, WHR = waist-to-hip ratio.
The summary RR for all studies was 1.61 (95% CI: 1.41–1.85, I2 = 86%), and it was 1.73 (95% CI: 1.45–2.06, I2 = 89%) for case-control studies and 1.32 (95% CI: 1.12–1.56, I2 = 47%) for cohort studies (Fig. 2), however, the test for heterogeneity by study design was not significant, p = 0.19. In sensitivity analyses excluding one study at a time the summary RR ranged from 1.49 (95% CI: 1.34–1.65) when excluding the study by Zhang et al.33 to 1.65 (95% CI: 1.41–1.94) when excluding the study by Trabert et al.36. There was evidence of publication bias with Egger’s test, p = 0.005 (Fig. 3), however, when stratified by study design this was observed among case-control studies, p = 0.007, but not among cohort studies, p = 0.78.
Subgroup and sensitivity analyses, study quality assessment
There were positive associations in almost all subgroup analyses (Table 3), and although there was no heterogeneity when stratified by study design, geographic location or number of cases, there was indication of heterogeneity when studies were stratified by confounding factors including smoking (p = 0.02), BMI (p = 0.003), oral contraceptive use (p = 0.02), hormone replacement therapy (p = 0.08), parity (p = 0.03), and age at menopause (p = 0.07), with weaker, but still significant associations among studies with such adjustments. When we conducted sensitivity analyses removing one study at a time, the size of the summary estimate persisted and did not vary substantially (Supplementary Table 2).
Table 3. Subgroup analyses of hypertension and endometrial cancer.
Hypertension and endometrial cancer | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | Relative risk (95% CI) | I2 (%) | Ph1 | Ph2 | ||
All studies | 25 | 1.61 (1.41–1.85) | 86.3 | <0.0001 | ||
Cohort studies | 6 | 1.32 (1.12–1.56) | 47.4 | 0.09 | 0.21 | |
Case-control studies | 19 | 1.73 (1.45–2.06) | 89.1 | <0.0001 | ||
Duration of follow-up (cohort studies) | ||||||
<10 years | 1 | 1.50 (0.85–2.64) | 0.72 | |||
≥10 years | 5 | 1.31 (1.09–1.57) | 57.0 | 0.05 | ||
Geographic location | ||||||
Europe | 7 | 1.68 (1.29–2.20) | 81.5 | <0.0001 | 0.33 | |
America | 14 | 1.38 (1.24–1.55) | 69.6 | <0.0001 | ||
Asia | 4 | 2.61 (1.08–6.33) | 89.9 | <0.0001 | ||
Number of cases | ||||||
<250 | 11 | 1.77 (1.52–2.06) | 11.2 | 0.34 | 0.63 | |
250–<500 | 7 | 1.41 (1.10–1.81) | 82.4 | <0.0001 | ||
≥500 | 7 | 1.64 (1.27–2.12) | 94.5 | <0.0001 | ||
Exclusion of prevalent hysterectomies and/or censoring of incident hysterectomies | ||||||
Yes | 16 | 1.51 (1.28–1.78) | 88.5 | <0.0001 | 0.32 | |
No | 9 | 1.81 (1.49–2.20) | 56.5 | 0.02 | ||
Study quality | ||||||
0–3 points | 0 | 0.05 | ||||
4–6 | 6 | 2.17 (1.38–3.40) | 91.1 | <0.0001 | ||
7–9 | 19 | 1.43 (1.27–1.60) | 73.8 | <0.0001 | ||
Adjustment for confounding factors3 | ||||||
Age | Yes | 25 | 1.61 (1.41–1.85) | 86.3 | <0.0001 | NC |
No | 0 | |||||
Smoking | Yes | 9 | 1.26 (1.13–1.40) | 58.2 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
No | 16 | 1.93 (1.52–2.45) | 86.5 | <0.0001 | ||
Diabetes mellitus | Yes | 10 | 1.56 (1.21–2.02) | 77.2 | <0.0001 | 0.78 |
No | 15 | 1.65 (1.39–1.97) | 89.7 | <0.0001 | ||
BMI | Yes | 15 | 1.27 (1.16–1.40) | 54.3 | 0.006 | 0.003 |
No | 10 | 2.15 (1.62–2.86) | 85.6 | <0.0001 | ||
Physical activity | Yes | 3 | 1.27 (0.88–1.81) | 62.8 | 0.07 | 0.35 |
No | 22 | 1.66 (1.44–1.93) | 87.5 | <0.0001 | ||
Oral contraceptive use | Yes | 7 | 1.23 (1.06–1.44) | 61.4 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
No | 18 | 1.86 (1.53–2.25) | 89.3 | < 0.0001 | ||
Hormone replacement therapy | Yes | 9 | 1.34 (1.11–1.63) | 81.4 | < 0.0001 | 0.08 |
No | 16 | 1.84 (1.50–2.27) | 88.6 | < 0.0001 | ||
Age at menarche | Yes | 8 | 1.48 (1.15–1.91) | 83.4 | < 0.0001 | 0.49 |
No | 17 | 1.69 (1.42–2.02) | 87.9 | < 0.0001 | ||
Parity | Yes | 11 | 1.33 (1.16–1.54) | 59.7 | 0.006 | 0.03 |
No | 14 | 1.93 (1.55–2.41) | 91.3 | < 0.0001 | ||
Age at menopause | Yes | 3 | 1.14 (1.01–1.30) | 0 | 0.38 | 0.07 |
No | 22 | 1.72 (1.47–2.02) | 87.5 | < 0.0001 | ||
Menopausal status | Yes | 3 | 1.40 (1.03–1.89) | 76.8 | 0.01 | 0.49 |
No | 22 | 1.66 (1.42–1.93) | 87.3 | < 0.0001 |
n denotes the number of studies, 1P for heterogeneity within each subgroup, 2P for heterogeneity between subgroups with meta-regression analysis. NC, not calculable because no studies were present in one of the subgroups.
In a further sensitivity analysis we also conducted a subgroup analysis by whether the studies explicitly stated that they excluded participants with prevalent hysterectomies at baseline and/or stated that they censored participants at the time of incident hysterectomy (cohort studies) or excluded participants who had undergone hysterectomy from the control group (case-control studies). The summary RR was 1.51 (95% CI: 1.28–1.78, I2 = 88.5%) for studies with such exclusions or censoring and 1.81 (95% CI: 1.49–2.20, I2 = 56.5%) for studies without such exclusions or censoring.
In a sensitivity analysis we also included a pooled analysis which assessed the association between quintiles of systolic blood pressure and endometrial cancer risk54, using the relative risk for the highest vs. the lowest quintile of systolic blood pressure. The results were not materially altered, summary RR = 1.61 (95% CI: 1.42–1.83, I2 = 38%) for all studies and 1.33 (95% CI: 1.16–1.52, I2 = 86%) for cohort studies. Further including another cohort study55 which reported on elevated blood pressure (≥130/≥85 vs. <130/<85 mm/Hg) or self-reported hypertension, not only hypertension, did also not substantially alter the results, summary RR = 1.57 (95% CI: 1.38–1.78, I2 = 85%) for all studies and summary RR = 1.28 (95% CI: 1.12–1.48, I2 = 46%) for cohort studies. Mean (median) study quality scores were 7.3 (7.0) for all studies combined, 7.3 (7.0) for case-control studies, and 7.3 (7.0) for cohort studies).
Discussion
To our knowledge this is the first meta-analysis of published observational studies of hypertension and the risk of endometrial cancer and our results confirm that hypertension is a strong risk factor for endometrial cancer with a 61% increase in the relative risk, however, the association was weaker in cohort studies (RR = 1.32) than among case-control studies (RR = 1.73). These findings are consistent with a large cohort study of 290 000 women in Austria, Norway and Sweden which found an increased endometrial cancer risk with increasing levels of diastolic blood pressure and in particular, systolic blood pressure54. The results also persisted in a sensitivity analysis including the results from this cohort study54 as well as the EPIC study55, which reported on elevated blood pressure or hypertension.
The present meta-analysis has some limitations. As hypertension is a condition that is strongly related to lifestyle factors and some medical conditions including diet, BMI, physical activity, and diabetes we cannot entirely exclude the possibility that the observed association between hypertension and endometrial cancer risk at least partly could be due to confounding. We found that the association was weaker, but still statistically significant, among studies that adjusted for smoking, BMI, oral contraceptive use, hormone replacement use, parity and age at menopause (RR = 1.14–1.34 for studies with such adjustment vs. 1.74–2.10 for studies without such adjustment). However, because there was still a significant association in subgroups that adjusted for these factors it could indicate that there is an adverse effect of hypertension on endometrial cancer risk, but that it may be slightly weaker than what was suggested from the overall summary estimates. Because the original studies did not stratify for BMI or diabetes it was not possible for us to investigate whether the association was limited to specific weight classes or if it was modified by diabetes status.
We also found that the positive association between hypertension and endometrial cancer persisted when the studies were stratified by whether participants with prevalent hysterectomies at baseline were excluded and/or whether participants with incident hysterectomies were censored, or whether prevalent hysterectomies were excluded from the control group. Hypertension may also be related to hysterectomies56,57,58, and could potentially bias the risk estimates, however, any bias would most likely be toward the null. We cannot exclude the possibility of residual confounding from other risk factors such as use of intrauterine device59, polycystic ovarial syndrome60, or other potential risk factors that the original studies may not have adjusted for.
Case-control studies are more likely to be affected by certain biases, such as recall bias and selection bias. Because we included both case-control and cohort studies there is a possibility that recall or selection bias might have affected the results in the case-control studies and the overall summary estimate. Although the association appeared to be stronger in case-control studies than among cohort studies, there was still a significant association among cohort studies, which suggest that recall bias or selection biases does not entirely explain the observed association. In addition, there was some indication of publication bias with Egger’s test, but this appeared to be restricted to the analyses of case-control studies and all studies combined, and was not observed among the cohort studies.
The biological mechanism(s) that may explain an adverse effect of hypertension on endometrial cancer risk are unclear at present. It has been suggested that long-term hypertension may lead to cellular senescence and inhibition of apoptosis61. It has also been suggested that medications used for the treatment of hypertension could increase cancer risk, however, a meta-analysis found little evidence of an association with overall cancer62, and a cohort study found no relation with female genital cancers63, although few studies have specifically investigated endometrial cancer.
Strengths of the present meta-analysis include the comprehensive search strategy, the detailed subgroup and sensitivity analyses, and the large sample size providing a more robust estimate of the association between hypertension and endometrial cancer risk. To date relatively few studies have investigated the association between hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and endometrial cancer risk with one study suggesting an increased risk with hypertensive disorders overall64, while another study found no association with preeclampsia overall, although an increased risk was observed with early-onset preeclampsia65. Any further studies could better assess the causality of the observed association between hypertension and endometrial cancer by using genetic risk scores for hypertension66,67. In addition, clarification of potential effect modification by age at exposure, BMI and diabetes status, and further studies of the association with subtypes of endometrial cancer are needed.
In conclusion, the results from this systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that women with hypertension may have a 61% increase in the relative risk of developing endometrial cancer. Any further studies should clarify potential effect modification by age, BMI and diabetes status, and the causality of the observed association, as well as the potential underlying mechanism(s).
Additional Information
How to cite this article: Aune, D. et al. Hypertension and the risk of endometrial cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies. Sci. Rep. 7, 44808; doi: 10.1038/srep44808 (2017).
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Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
This work has been supported by funding from the Liaison Committee between the Central Norway Regional Health Authority (RHA) and the Norwegian University of Science and Technology (NTNU) and by the Imperial College National Institute of Health Research (NIHR) Biomedical Research Centre (BRC).
Footnotes
The authors declare no competing financial interests.
Author Contributions Conceived and designed the research: D.A. Acquired the data: D.A., A.S. Analyzed and interpreted the data: D.A., A.S., L.J.V. Performed statistical analysis: D.A. Handled funding and supervision: L.J.V. Drafted the manuscript: D.A., A.S., L.J.V. Made critical revision of the manuscript for intellectual content: D.A., A.S., L.J.V. Reference screening: D.A., A.S.
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