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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 May 30.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2017 Mar 30;135(22):2119–2132. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.117.027272

Table 2.

Association of test results the with the primary composite global cardiovascular disease outcome

Variable Unadjusted
HR (95% CI)
Model 1
HR (95% CI)
Model 2
HR (95% CI)
MESA DHS MESA DHS MESA DHS
Continuous Test Results
ECG-LVH* 1.84 (1.55, 2.19) 2.60 (1.78, 3.79) 1.39 (1.17, 1.67) 1.73 (1.16, 2.57) 1.24 (1.04, 1.49) 1.72 (1.15, 2.57)
Ln (CAC+1) 2.14 (2.02, 2.28) 1.96 (1.76, 2.12) 1.62 (1.51, 1.74) 1.31 (1.14, 1.50) 1.55 (1.44, 1.66) 1.31 (1.14, 1.50)
Ln (NT-proBNP) 1.88 (1.76, 2.01) 1.67 (1.44, 1.94) 1.64 (1.52, 1.77) 1.27 (1.07, 1.50) 1.48 (1.37, 1.60) 1.19 (1.01, 1.41)
Ln (hs-cTnT) 1.74 (1.67, 1.83) 1.74 (1.58, 1.91) 1.36 (1.28, 1.45) 1.21 (1.05, 1.39) 1.22 (1.14, 1.31) 1.17 (1.01, 1.35)
Ln (hs-CRP) 1.20 (1.13, 1.28) 1.22 (1.05, 1.43) 1.18 (1.10, 1.26) 0.98 (0.83, 1.16) 1.16 (1.08, 1.24) 0.97 (0.82, 1.15)
Categorical Test Results
ECG-LVH* 1.84 (1.55, 2.19) 2.60 (1.78, 3.79) 1.39 (1.17, 1.67) 1.73 (1.16, 2.57) 1.34 (1.12, 1.61) 1.71 (1.15, 2.55)
CAC > 10 U 3.86 (3.37, 4.41) 4.95 (3.69, 6.64) 2.13 (1.84, 2.47) 1.78 (1.26, 2.52) 2.05 (1.76, 2.38) 1.81 (1.28, 2.55)
NT-proBNP ≥100 pg/mL 2.62 (2.31, 2.96) 3.81 (2.76, 5.25) 1.84 (1.60, 2.12) 2.04 (1.40, 2.98) 1.70 (1.48, 1.96) 1.88 (1.29, 2.75)
hs-cTnT ≥ 5 ng/L 3.06 (2.69, 3.49) 4.05 (2.99, 5.49) 1.49 (1.28, 1.73) 1.53 (1.06, 2.19) 1.38 (1.19, 1.60) 1.46 (1.01, 2.11)
hs-CRP ≥ 3 mg/L 1.46 (1.29, 1.65) 1.52 (1.13, 2.04) 1.45 (1.27, 1.65) 1.10 (0.80, 1.51) 1.39 (1.22, 1.59) 1.06 (0.78, 1.46)

Model 1 is adjusted for age, sex, race, smoking status, diabetes, total cholesterol, HDL-cholesterol, systolic blood pressure and blood pressure medications, statin medications and creatinine. Model 2 includes the components of model 1 and all 5 test results. The Hazard Ratio (HR) for continuous test results reflects a one standard deviation change in Ln of the test result. MESA=Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis; DHS=Dallas Heart Study HR=Hazard ratio: CI=confidence interval; ECG=electrocardiogram; LVH=left ventricular hypertrophy; CAC=coronary artery calcium score; NT-proBNP=N-terminal prohormone of B-type natriuretic peptide; hs-cTnT=high sensitivity cardiac troponin T. N=1026 endpoints in MESA and 179 in DHS.

*

ECG-LVH was treated as a categorical variable in both analyses. Coefficients were determined separately for each model.