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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2017 Jul 16.
Published in final edited form as: J Neuroradiol. 2014 Jul 2;42(4):212–221. doi: 10.1016/j.neurad.2014.02.006

Addition of MR Imaging Features and Genetic Biomarkers Strengthen Glioblastoma Survival Prediction in TCGA Patients

Manal Nicolasjilwan 1, Ying Hu 2, Chunhua Yan 2, Daoud Meerzaman 2, Chad A Holder 3, David Gutman 4, Rajan Jain 5, Rivka Colen 6, Daniel L Rubin 7, Pascal O Zinn 8, Scott N Hwang 9, Prashant Raghavan 1, Dima A Hammoud 10, Lisa M Scarpace 11, Tom Mikkelsen 11, James Chen 12, Olivier Gevaert 13, Kenneth Buetow 14, John Freymann 15, Justin Kirby 15, Adam E Flanders 16, Max Wintermark 1,17, On behalf of the TCGA Glioma Phenotype Research Group
PMCID: PMC5511631  NIHMSID: NIHMS873725  PMID: 24997477

Abstract

PURPOSE

The purpose of our study was to assess whether a model combining clinical factors, MR imaging features, and genomics would better predict overall survival of patients with glioblastoma (GBM) than either individual data type.

METHODS

The study was conducted leveraging the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) effort supported by the National Institutes of Health. Six neuroradiologists reviewed MRI images from The Cancer Imaging Archive (http://cancerimagingarchive.net) of 102 GBM patients using the VASARI scoring system. The patients’ clinical and genetic data were obtained from the TCGA website (http://www.cancergenome.nih.gov/). Patient outcome was measured in terms of overall survival time. The association between different categories of biomarkers and survival was evaluated using Cox analysis.

RESULTS

The features that were significantly associated with survival were: 1) clinical factors: chemotherapy; 2) imaging: proportion of tumor contrast enhancement on MRI, and 3) genomics: HRAS copy number variation. The combination of these three biomarkers resulted in an incremental increase in the strength of prediction of survival, with the model that included clinical, imaging, and genetic variables having the highest predictive accuracy (area under the curve 0.679 ± 0.068, Akaike’s information criterion 566.7, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

A combination of clinical factors, imaging features, and HRAS copy number variation best predicts survival of patients with GBM.

Introduction

Recent research in glioblastoma (GBM) treatment has focused on identification of biomarkers that may predict patient outcome, and may consequently impact therapeutic decisions through selection of more aggressive therapies for tumors with worse prognosis. The impact of clinical factors on patient outcome [14] and the correlation between MR imaging features of GBM and survival [510] have been previously studied. Similarly, the association between genomic biomarkers and patient outcome has received growing attention, in particular with the recent introduction of anti-angiogenetic drugs [1115]. Only few studies so far have attempted to integrate clinical factors, imaging biomarkers (usually not evaluated across observers in a standardized fashion), and tumor gene expression data into a statistical model that would potentially provide a robust predictor of patient outcome than each individual type of data.[16] The purpose of our study was to assess whether such a model combining clinical factors, MR imaging features (assessed using standardized semantic imaging features across multiple observers), and genomics would predict patient survival more reliably than any individual data type.

Materials and Methods

Study Data

Our study was conducted leveraging the TCGA project (http://www.cancergenome.nih.gov/) of the National Cancer Institute (NCI) and National Human Genome Research Institute (NHGRI), which aims to catalogue gene mutations associated with cancer. One hundred and two patients with pathology proven GBM were included in this study. Their MR imaging studies were made available through The Cancer Imaging Archive (http://www.cancerimagingarchive.net). Clinical data were obtained from the Open Access Data Tier of the TCGA website, and Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 (HIPAA) de-identified clinical data.

Gene expression, mutation and copy number data were obtained from the TCGA data portal (https://tcga-data.nci.nih.gov). Three sets of genetic metadata were separately considered for the current study:

  • 1)

    Genes with p-value <0.05 in univariate COX model analysis of gene expression and overall survival were assessed further with Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). GSEA is a method to evaluate the expression of genes in the context of pathways. A significant pathway means that gene expression in these pathways is significantly different compared to a random gene set. We used a hypergeometric test to detect significant biological pathways.

  • 2)

    The mutation status of specific genes of interest identified in previous work (EGFR, ERBB2, IDH1, NF1, PDGFRA, PIK3CA, PIK3R1, PTEN, RB1 and TP53) was also evaluated [17].

  • 3)

    As part of a copy number analysis, raw data were first converted into an ordinal ranking (homozygous deletion, heterozygous deletion, wild type, low level amplification, high level amplification), as described by the Computational Biology Center at Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (http://www.cbioportal.org/public-portal/) prior to Cox survival analysis.

Imaging Review

Six neuroradiologists from the University of Virginia Health System, Thomas Jefferson University Hospital, Emory University, MD Anderson Cancer Center and the National Institute of Health, independently reviewed the MR images of 102 patients, using ClearCanvas workstations, which allow visualization as well as annotation and markup of DICOM images (customized version of ClearCanvas to support the capture of markups in Annotation and Image Markup (AIM) format, available at https://wiki.nci.nih.gov/x/z4×3Ag). The VASARI feature scoring system for human gliomas (https://wiki.cancerimagingarchive.net/display/Public/VASARI+Research+Project, was employed for the interpretation of the MR images to ensure interobserver consistency. The VASARI scoring system (Table 1) includes 30 semantic descriptors of imaging features of brain tumors clustered by categories pertaining to lesion location, morphology of the lesion substance, morphology of the lesion margin, alterations in the vicinity of the lesion, and extent of tumor resection [7, 18]. For each feature, the scoring system incorporates discrete qualitative, semi-quantitative, or quantitative values, appropriate to the nature of the feature assessed.

Table 1. Correlation between Vasari imaging features and survival time on univariate Cox analysis.

In univariate Cox model analyses, four VASARI features were associated with shorter survival time with an unadjusted p-value < 0.05: higher proportion of enhancing tumor (p=0.009), higher T1/FLAIR ratio (p=0.022), and tumor location (p=0.029) and side (p=0.049). Only the proportion of tumor enhancing (bolded) was significant in the multiple clinical feature model.

Vasari Imaging Features Values
in our
study
population
(counts)
Coefficient Hazard
Ratio
Standard
error
P
value

F1 Tumor Location 1=Frontal 32/102 −0.609 0.544 0.278 0.029
2=Temporal 45/102
3=Insular 3/102
4=Parietal 13/102
5=Occipital 9/102

F2 Side of Tumor Epicenter 1=Right 52/102 −0.525 0.592 0.267 0.049
2=Center/Bilateral 0/102
3=Left 50/102

F3 Eloquent Brain Involved 1=None 60/102 −0.479 0.62 0.352 0.174
2=Speech motor 7/102
3=Speech receptive 14/102
4=Motor 12/102
5=Vision 9/102

F4 Enhancement Quality 1=None 0/102 0.5961 1.815153 0.596921 0.31792
2=Mild/Minimal 6/102
3=Marked/Avid 96/102

F5 Proportion Enhancing 1=Not Available 0/102 −0.637 1.891 0.243 0.009
2=None (0%) 0/102
3=<5% 9/102
4=6–33% 71/102
5=34–67% 21/102
6=68–95% 5/102
7=>95% 0/102
8=All (100%) 0/102

F6 Proportion Non-Enhancing 1=Not Available 0/102 −0.155 0.857 0.173 0.372
2=None (0%) 18/102
3=<5% 33/102
4=6–33% 29/102
5=34–67% 12/102
6=68–95% 10/102
7=>95% 0/102
8=All (100%) 0/102

F7 Proportion Necrosis 1=Not Available 0/102 0.171 1.187 0.254 0.50
2=None (0%) 3/102
3=<5% 18/102
4=6–33% 41/102
5=34–67% 30/102
6=68–95% 10/102
7=>95% 0/102
8=All (100%) 0/102

F8 Cysts 1=No 97/102 −0.490 0.613 0.721 0.497
2=Yes 5/102

F9 Multifocal or Multicentric 1=Not Available 0/102 −0.546 0.579 0.443 0.218
2=Focal 94/102
3=Multifocal 5/102
4=Multicentric 1/102
5=Gliomatosis 2/102

F10 T1/FLAIR ratio 1=Expansive (T1~FLAIR) 64/102 −0.529 1.697 0.23 0.022
2=Mixed (T1<FLAIR) 8/102
3=Infiltrative (T1<<FLAIR) 30/102

F11 Thickness of enhancing margin 1=Not Available 0/102 0.596 1.815 0.597 0.318
2=None 0/102
3=Thin 7/102
4=Thick/solid 95/102

F13 Definition of the Non-Enhancing Margin 1=Not Available 0/102 −0.179 0.836 0.435 0.681
2=Smooth 13/102
3=Irregular 92/102

F14 Proportion of Edema 1=Not Available 0/102 −0.236 0.79 0.206 0.251
2=None (0%) 1/102
3=<5% 19/102
4=6–33% 32/102
5=34–67% 48/102
6=68–95% 2/102
7=>95% 0/102
8=All (100%) 0/102

F16 Hemorrhage 1=No 68/102 0.045 1.046 0.279 0.872
2=Yes 34/102

F17 Diffusion 1=No image 0/102 −0.273 0.761 0.405 0.5
2=Facilitated 49/102
3=Restricted 11/102
4=Neither/equivocal/both 42/102

F18 Pial Invasion 1=No 60/102 −0.179 0.836 0.274 0.512
2=Yes 42/102

F19 Ependymal Invasion 1=No 41/102 0.263 1.301 0.27 0.329
2=Yes 61/102

F20 Cortical Involvement 1=No 10/102 −0.569 0.566 0.367 0.122
2=Yes 92/102

F21 Deep White Matter Invasion 1=No 42/102 −0.527 0.59 0.274 0.054
2=Yes 60/102

F22 Nonenhancing Tumor Crosses Midline 1=Not Available 0/102 0.318 1.374 0.331 0.337
2=No 80/102
3=Yes 22/102

F23 Enhancing Tumor Crosses Midline 1=Not Available 0/102 1.007 2.738 0.529 0.057
2=No 92/102
3=Yes 10/102

F24 Satellites 1=No 77/102 0.13 1.139 0.327 0.691
2=Yes 25/102

F25 Calvarial Remodeling 1=No 100/102 −0.139 0.871 0.724 0.848
2=Yes 2/102

F29 & F30 Lesion Size Major Axis Length 76.80598 (20.60491) 0.007 1.007 0.007 0.283
Minor Axis Length 49.89373 (12.32175) −0.001 0.999 0.012 0.934
Mean(SD)

Statistical Analysis

The 102 study patients were split into a training set of 68 patients and a separate testing set of 34 patients using a stratified sampling method. Stratified sampling was selected because of the small sample size and the skewed survival distribution, and because it ensures an approximately equal survival distribution of subjects between the training and testing data. The split data are also more representative of the population than the random sampling. Samples were sorted by survival in an ascending order. For every three samples, the first two samples were chosen as the training dataset and the third sample was selected as the testing dataset. Models were created in the training dataset and validated in the testing dataset.

Associations between survival (outcome) and different individual categories of predictors including clinical variables (Table 2), imaging features (Table 1), tumor gene expression, mutation, and copy number variation (Table 3) were assessed using univariate Cox regression models. Clinical, genetic, and imaging data were checked for co-linearity. Non-collinear, predicting variables shown as significant in the univariate Cox regression models were retained and included in several multivariate Cox regression models incorporating the clinical, imaging and/or genomic datasets using stepwise covariate model-building strategies. The models were compared with Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) to evaluate the model fitness, with the baseline model with clinical data only used as reference for comparisons.[19] A lower AIC value indicates a better model. AUC (area under curve) analysis was also used to measure the accuracy of prediction. A higher AUC value indicates that the model is better at predicting survival. The model using only clinical data was used as the reference. Statistical models were corrected for multiple comparisons using false discovery rate (FDR) procedure.

Table 2. Correlation between clinical features and survival time on univariate Cox analysis.

In univariate Cox model analyses, three clinical variables were correlated with survival with an unadjusted p-value < 0.05. These included radiation therapy (p<0.001), chemotherapy (p<0.001), and age at initial diagnosis (p=0.021). Only chemotherapy (bolded) was significant in the multiple clinical feature model.

Clinical
variables
Values in our
study
population
(mean±standard
deviation or
counts)
Coefficient Hazard
ratio
Standard
error
P
value
Age at initial pathological diagnosis [years] 57.7±14.6 0.023 1.023 0.010 0.021
Gender 66 males, 36 females 0.275 1.317 0.276 0.318
Ethnicity 8 hispanic or latino; 94 non- hispanic or latino 1.302 3.676 1.033 0.208
Race 83 caucasian, 6 african- americans, 5 asians 0.446 1.562 0.391 0.255
Radiation therapy 96 yes, 6 no −3.298 0.037 0.634 <0.001
Chemotherapy 88 yes, 14 no −1.311 0.270 0.339 <0.001
Hormonotherapy 1 yes, 101 no −0.049 0.952 1.014 0.962
Immunotherapy 2 yes, 100 no −0.019 1.019 0.724 0.979

Table 3. Correlation between tumor gene expression and survival on Cox analysis.

Cox model analyses revealed that three genes with copy number variations, PIK3R1 (p=0.005), AKT1 (p=0.024), and HRAS (p=0.071), and two genes with mutation, PDGFRA (p=0.028) and NF1 (p=0.082) were associated with survival. The Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) revealed three gene categories associated with survival with an unadjusted p-value <0.050. These included:
  • 1)
    FSHB, FSHR, LHCGR, TSHB, TSHR, PRSS2 genes in Neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction (p=0.012);
  • 2)
    LDHAL6A, LDHAL6B, LDHA genes in Cysteine metabolism (p=0.030); and
  • 3)
    EFNA5 and EPHA5 genes in Ephrin A reverse signaling (p=0.009).
Only HRAS copy number variation was significant in the multiple clinical feature model.
Type of
genetic
analysis
Genes Coefficient Hazard
ratio
Standard
error
P
value

Copy Number PIK3R1 1.588 4.896 0.566 0.005

AKT1 2.602 13.492 1.155 0.024

HRAS 1.125 3.080 0.623 0.071

Mutation PDGFRA 2.463 11.741 1.118 0.028

NF1 −0.713 0.490 0.480 0.082

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) FSHB 1.311 3.709 0.636 0.039
FSHR 0.812 2.253 0.446 0.069
LHCGR 1.022 2.779 0.431 0.017
TSHB 0.787 2.198 0.460 0.087
TSHR −0.370 0.689 0.282 0.188
PRSS2 0.463 1.589 0.255 0.069
(neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction pathway)

LDHAL6A −0.854 0.425 0.642 0.183
LDHAL6B LDHA −1.303 0.271 0.601 0.030
(cysteine metabolism pathway) 0.356 0.356 0.163 0.029

EFNA5 −0.723 0.485 0.390 0.063
EPHA5 0.190 1.210 0.130 0.144
(Ephrin A reverse signalling pathway)

Results

Study Population Demographics

The clinical and imaging characteristics of our 102 patients are reported in Tables 2 and 1, respectively. We calculated the association of 17,787 genes with expression data, 10 genes with mutation data and 14 genes with copy number data. The median survival was 324.0 days (25 percentile: 144.5, 75 percentile: 578.8, minimum: 6.0, maximum: 1757.0)

Correlation between clinical variables and survival (Table 2)

Univariate Cox model analyses demonstrated that three clinical variables were significantly correlated to survival with an unadjusted p-value < 0.05. These included radiation therapy (p<0.001), chemotherapy (p<0.001), and age at initial diagnosis (p=0.021). The 6 patients who did not receive radiation therapy had a median survival of 66 days compared to median survival of 389 days in the 96 patients with radiation therapy. The 14 patients who did not receive chemotherapy had a median survival of 132 days compared to the median survival of 454 days in the 88 patients with chemotherapy. An increased age at the initial pathological diagnosis was associated with a shorter survival (p=0.021). All clinical features were used to build survival models in a stepwise fashion. Only chemotherapy was significant in the multiple clinical feature model.

Correlation between VASARI imaging features and survival (Table 1)

Univariate Cox model analyses showed that four VASARI features were associated with a shorter survival time with an unadjusted p-value < 0.05: higher proportion of enhancing tumor (p=0.009), a higher T1/FLAIR ratio (p=0.022), and tumor location (p=0.029) and side (p=0.049). The T1/FLAIR ratio measures the ratio between the size of the portion of the tumor that is hypointense on T1-weighted images in relation to the extent of FLAIR signal abnormality corresponding to the tumor. A higher T1/FLAIR ratio indicates a more infiltrative tumor. Tumor location in the frontal lobe (p=0.029) and tumors on the right side (p=0.049) correlated with a longer survival. Only the proportion of enhancing tumor was significant in the multiple clinical feature model (Figure 1).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

(A,C) FLAIR and (B,D) post-contrast T1-weighted images in two patients with left temporal GBM. (A,B) In patient #1, enhancement involves nearly the entirety of the tumor. Patient #1 survived 82 days after the MRI scan. (C,D) In patient #2, enhancement involves only a small fraction of the tumor, basically a rim around the central necrosis. Patient #1 survived 467 days after the MRI scan.

Correlation between genomics and survival (Table 3)

Cox model analyses revealed that three genes with copy number variations, PIK3R1 (p=0.005), AKT1 (p=0.024), and HRAS (p=0.071), and two genes with mutation, PDGFRA (p=0.028) and NF1 (p=0.082) were associated with survival. However, none of these genes had FDR (false discovery rate) adjusted p-value < 0.050.[20]

We used a Cox model analysis to investigate association between survival and tumor gene expression. A total of 724 genes were associated with survival with an adjusted p-value<0.05 in the training dataset; however, none of the genes associated with survival passed the FDR test. Therefore, we carried out a Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) of the 724 genes in order to select genes in significant biological pathways. This analysis revealed three gene categories associated with survival with an unadjusted p-value <0.050. These included:

  • 1)

    FSHB, FSHR, LHCGR, TSHB, TSHR, PRSS2 genes in Neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction;

  • 2)

    LDHAL6A, LDHAL6B, LDHA genes in Cysteine metabolism, and

  • 3)

    EFNA5 and EPHA5 genes in Ephrin A reverse signaling.

Only HRAS copy number variation was significantly associated with survival in the multiple genetic feature model.

Multivariate Cox analysis of the association between combined biomarkers and survival (Table 4)

Table 4. Multivariate analysis of the correlation between combined biomarkers and survival adjusted by age, race, and gender.

The model with smaller AIC is a better fit model. The model with larger AUC has better prediction power. Df indicated the variables used in the model building. P values (<0.05) showed that there is a significant difference when comparing the combined models to the baseline clinical model. The model that best predicted survival (highest AUC, smallest AIC) included clinical and imaging data and genomics.

Model Variables
Included in
Model
df AIC AUC
mean ±
standard
deviation
P value
Clinical Data Chemotherapy 3 744.0 0.575 ± 0.029 Not applicable
Clinical Data and Genomics Chemotherapy HRAS 4 569.9 0.560 ± 0.063 < 0.001
Clinical and Imaging Data Chemotherapy, Proportion Enhancing 4 739.8 0.589 ± 0.030 0.012
Clinical and Imaging Data and Genomics Chemotherapy Proportion Enhancing and HRAS 5 566.7 0.679 ± 0.068 < 0.001

Stepwise multivariate Cox’s models were used to assess the association between overall survival time and the clinical data, VASARI imaging features and genomic variations shown as statistically significant in the above-mentioned Cox analyses. Models were evaluated with AIC values for the model fitness and AUC values for the model prediction power. The clinical variable “chemotherapy”, the imaging variable “portion of the tumor enhancing” and HRAS copy number variation are the only variables that remained significant in the multivariate analysis. The AIC value for the clinical data only model was 744.0 and the one for the clinical and imaging data was 739.8. The AIC value for the clinical and genomic data model was smaller, 569.9, indicating a better model. The AIC value for the clinical, imaging and genomic data was the smallest, 566.7, indicating the best model. AUC analysis led to the same conclusion, supporting the concept that the model including clinical, imaging and genomic data is the best predictor for survival. As designed, we use the testing data to validate the model, AUC analysisled to the same conclusion with the combined model with AUC=0.679 ± 0.068 comparing to AUC values for Chemotherapy = 0.575 ± 0.029, Chemotherapy and Proportion Enhancing = 0.589 ± 0.030, Chemotherapy and HRAS = 0.560 ± 0.063. That supports the notion that the model including clinical, imaging and genomic data is the best predictor for survival.

Discussion

Accurate classification of gliomas is important as the treatment modalities are substantially different between WHO grade III and IV tumors. Patients with GBM have the worst prognosis with a median survival of approximately 12 months despite advances in surgery, radiation therapy, and chemotherapy.[21] The current histopathology-based classification system for gliomas is complicated by considerable interobserver variability [22]. Moreover, the existence of different subclasses with varying response to treatment within similar histologic grades of glioma has been shown.[2224] Therefore, a classification using more reliable biomarkers has been postulated as a critical element to improve treatment selection and outcome.

The association of clinical variables with the outcome of GBM patients has been extensively studied in the literature. Among established independent predictors of poor outcome are older age (greater than 60 years), lower Karnofsky Performance Score (KPS), and incomplete tumor resection[1, 3, 4]. Barker et al. [4] also found in a population of 301 GBM patients that a more extensive surgical resection was associated with a better response to radiation therapy. Our univariate analysis demonstrated that three clinical features are associated with survival with a p value <0.05, including radiation therapy, chemotherapy, and age at initial diagnosis. Multivariate analysis only retained chemotherapy as significantly associated with improved survival.

Several studies have evaluated the prognostic value of the imaging features of GBM. In a recent study of 393 GBM patients by Chaichana et al. [5], periventricular location of the tumor was associated with worse survival. A retrospective study by Murakami et al.[6] of 79 GBM patients demonstrated that lower ADC values within the tumor correlated with shorter survival. A study by Pope et al.[7] of 15 imaging features of high grade gliomas, including 41 grade III gliomas and 110 GBMs, demonstrated that the absence of enhancing tumor, the absence of edema and the absence of satellite or multifocal lesions correlated with a doubling of the median survival. In a series of 141 grade III and IV gliomas, Steltzer et al [9] showed that involvement of the corpus callosum is a poor prognostic sign. In our study, we assessed the prognostic value of a systematic scoring system for the MR imaging features of GBM. Features that were associated with poor outcome on the basis of univariate analyses included the proportion of tumor enhancing, and a higher T1/FLAIR ratio of the tumoral signal abnormality, which corresponds to a more infiltrative tumor. These results are consistent as they include features that likely denote more aggressive tumor behavior. The association of tumoral involvement of the visual cortex with a worse prognosis possibly relates to the fact that this location precludes complete surgical resection. Location of the tumor in the frontal lobe and in the right cerebral hemisphere correlated with longer survival. This may reflect that frontal lobe resection and right hemispheric lesion resection in particular can usually be more extensive than for other locations, as the majority of patients are left hemisphere dominant. The multivariate analysis showed that only the proportion of tumor enhancing significantly correlated with a worse survival. This is concordant with a well-established imaging criterion that associates enhancement with more aggressive tumor behavior [7, 16]. Likewise, surgical biopsies and resections primarily target the enhancing portion of the tumor with the intent to sample and/or resect the higher grade component [25].

A number of genes among hundreds of currently identified tumor expression genes have been shown to have a predictive value in terms of GBM patient survival [10, 12]. The Cancer Genome Atlas Network recently cataloged recurrent genomic abnormalities in GBM, which allowed a robust gene expression-based molecular classification of GBM into 4 subtypes: proneural, neural, classical, and mesenchymal [11]. Response to aggressive therapy appears to differ by subtype, with the greatest benefit in the classical subtype and no benefit in the proneural subtype. Our multivariate genomic analysis demonstrated that only HRAS copy number variation correlated with poorer survival. The HRAS gene is located on the short (p) arm of chromosome 11. It encodes for a GTPase enzyme also referred to as transforming protein p21, which is involved in regulating cell division in response to growth factor stimulation. HRAS is a proto-oncogene, and HRAS mutations are encountered in bladder, kidney and thyroid cancers (http://ghr.nlm.nih.gov/gene/HRAS). Our finding of HRAS being prognostic of outcome in GBM patients is concordant with several prior reports that demonstrated the causative role of HRAS mutation in the induction of GBM [26] and its association with shorter survival [12]. This gene is not among those used by Verhaak et al. in the tumor gene-expression based classification of GBM[11] and likely plays a role in the genesis of GBM across all subtypes.

The incremental addition of clinical (chemotherapy), imaging (proportion of tumor enhancing) and genomic (HRAS) biomarkers resulted in an incremental increase in the strength of their association with survival. The best model was the one that included all three types of biomarkers. These results are promising as they suggest that the combination of imaging and genomic variables with conventional clinical variables adds significant value in terms of prognosticating outcome.

We acknowledge several limitations to our study. The most significant one is the lack of complete clinical information if our study patients. For instance, Karnofsky Performance Score, percentage of resection, details of the chemotherapy, etc were not available and could not be incorporated in the statistical analysis.

In conclusion, our study demonstrates that a subset of clinical variables, VASARI imaging features, and tumor gene expression, considered in combination with each other, correlate significantly with GBM patients’ survival. These results need to be confirmed in a larger database including more complete clinical information.

Abbreviation Key

ADC

Average Diffusion Coefficient

AIC

Akaike’s Information Criterion

AUC

Area Under the Curve

GBM

Glioblastoma

GSEA

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis

KPS

Karnofsky Performance Score

NCI

National Cancer Institute

NHGRI

National Human Genome Research Institute

TCGA

The Cancer Genome Atlas

TCIA

The Cancer Imaging Archive (http://cancerimagingarchive.net)

VASARI

Visually AcesSAble Rembrandt Images (https://wiki.cancerimagingarchive.net/display/Public/VASARI+Research+Project)

WHO

World Health Organization

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