To the Editor
While most headaches are attributable to benign conditions, patients and physicians are often concerned about intracranial pathology. However, the yield of significant abnormalities on neuroimaging in patients with chronic headaches is 1–3%.1–3 Given the comparable yield in patients without headaches, multiple guidelines have recommended against routine headache neuroimaging,4–6 and efforts to improve the efficiency of health care utilization, such as the Choosing Wisely campaign, have identified these tests as a target. However, little is known about recent headache neuroimaging utilization, associated expenditures, and temporal trends in the United States.
Methods
We utilized the National Ambulatory Medical Care Survey (NAMCS), a nationally representative survey that uses a three-stage sampling design (geographic regions, physician practices stratified within specialties, and patient visits within practices) to characterize all outpatient, office-based care in the United States. We analyzed all headache visits for patients ≥ 18 years old identified using the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project (HCUP) Single-level Clinical Classification System (CCS) (ICD-9CM codes 339.xx, 784.0x, 346.xx, and 307.81). For migraine, ICD-9-CM codes 346.xx were used.
To characterize recent headache neuroimaging utilization, the proportion of headache visits with CT or MRI ordered from 2007–2010 was estimated using descriptive statistics for multiple visit categories: all headache visits, all migraine visits, and visits with a primary diagnosis of headache or migraine. Neuroimaging use (CT or MRI) was directly entered onto the NAMCS survey instrument by physicians or their staff. Neuroimaging payments were determined using the Medicare physician fee schedule. To evaluate for trends over time, we identified headache neuroimaging utilization in years where these tests were directly abstracted onto the NAMCS survey instrument: 1995–2000 and 2005–2010 in all headache visits. Survey weights were applied for all analyses.
Results
Eighty-eight percent of the population was under the age of 65 and 78% was female. Most visits were to primary care physicians (54.8%), followed by neurologists (20%), other specialists (12.9%), and non-primary care generalists (12.4%). Over four years, a total of 51.1 million headache visits were identified including 25.4 million migraine visits. Neuroimaging was obtained in 12.4% (95% CI 10.5–14.7) of all headache visits and 9.8% (95% CI 7.4–12.9) of migraine visits (Table 1). Headache neuroimaging utilization was higher if the headache or migraine diagnosis was listed as the primary diagnosis for the visit. Total neuroimaging expenditures were estimated at $3.9 billion over 4 years including $1.5 billion from migraine visits. Between 1995 and 2010, neuroimaging utilization increased from 5.1% (95% CI (2.7%–7.5%) to 14.7% (95% CI 9.4%–20.0%) of all annual headache visits (Figure 1, p<0.001 for trend).
Table 1.
Neuroimaging utilization and associated costs from 2007–2010 utilizing different definitions of a headache visit
Total Visits # in millions (95% CI) |
MRI % of Visits (95% CI) |
CT % of Visits (95% CI) |
MRI or CT % of Visits (95% CI) |
Imaging Payments Millions USD (95% CI) |
|
---|---|---|---|---|---|
All Headache Diagnoses | 51.1 (43.2 – 58.9) | 7.6% (6.1% – 9.4%) | 5.1% (3.7% – 6.9%) | 12.4% (10.5% – 14.7%) | 3,910 (3,020 – 4,800) |
All Migraine Diagnoses | 25.4 (19.6 – 31.2) | 6.0% (4.4% – 8.2%) | 3.8% (2.1% – 6.8%) | 9.8% (7.4% – 12.9%) | 1,530 (976 – 2,080) |
Primary Headache Diagnosis | 29.2 (23.8 – 34.6) | 10.1% (7.9% – 12.9%) | 6.2% (4.2% – 9.0%) | 15.9% (13.1% – 19.1%) | 2,940 (2,180 – 3,710) |
Primary Migraine Diagnosis | 16.1 (11.6 – 20.6) | 7.2% (4.9% – 10.5%) | 4.5% (2.2% – 9.1%) | 11.7% (8.4% – 16.0%) | 1,160 (670 – 1,660) |
USD=United States dollars
Figure 1.
Trends in neuroimaging utilization for the entire headache population from 1995–2000 and 2005–2010.
Discussion
In the United States, neuroimaging is frequently ordered during outpatient headache visits (12%), contributes substantial cost (nearly $1 billion in annual costs), and is increasing over time. Since 2000, multiple guidelines have recommended against routine neuroimaging in patients with headaches because serious intracranial pathology is an uncommon cause.4–6 Consequently, the magnitude of per-visit neuroimaging use found in this study suggests considerable overuse. Perhaps guidelines have not curbed utilization because patients, as opposed to providers, may be the primary drivers of utilization. If so, efforts such as the Choosing Wisely campaign, which seeks to empower patients with knowledge regarding unwarranted testing, may be more effective than guidelines alone. Requiring pre-authorization of these costly tests and/or value-based insurance designs that shift the cost burden for costly, low yield tests to patients are alternative strategies. Given that headache neuroimaging is common, costly, and likely substantially overused, interventions to curb utilization of these tests have the potential to substantially reduce healthcare expenditures while improving guideline concordance. Therefore, optimizing headache neuroimaging practices should be a major national priority.
Acknowledgments
Wade Cooper, M.D., University of Michigan- Contributed critical review of the manuscript.
Authorship contributions: Brian Callaghan was involved in the study design, planning and interpretation of the statistical analysis, and wrote the manuscript. Kevin Kerber contributed to interpretation of the statistical analysis and critical revisions of the manuscript. Rob Pace was involved in the design and critical revisions of the manuscript. Lesli Skolarus contributed to interpretation of the statistical analysis and critical review of the manuscript. James Burke contributed to the study design, planning and interpretation of the statistical analysis, and to critical revisions of the manuscript.
James Burke had full access to all the data in the study and takes responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
Footnotes
The authors have no conflicts of interest to report.
Conflicts of Interest:
Funding/support: Drs. Callaghan is supported by the Katherine Rayner Program, the Taubman Medical Institute, and the American Diabetes Association Junior Faculty Award. Dr. Kerber is supported by AHRQ #R18 HS017690. Dr. Skolarus is supported by NIH/NINDS K23NS073685. Dr. Burke is supported by a Department of Veteran Affairs Advanced Fellowship.
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