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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2018 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Glob Heart. 2017 Mar 14;12(2):99–105. doi: 10.1016/j.gheart.2017.01.002

Prevalence and Prognostic features of Electrocardiographic Abnormalities in Acute Stroke among Africans: Findings from SIREN

Moshood Abiodun Adeoye 1, Okechukwu S Ogah 1, Bruce Ovbiagele 2, Rufus Akinyemi 3, Vincent Shidali 4, Francis Agyekum 5, Akinyemi Aje 1, Oladimeji Adebayo 1, Joshua O Akinyemi 1, Philip Kolo 6, Lambert Tetteh Appiah 7, Henry Iheonye 4, Uwanuruochi Kelechukwu 8, Amusa Ganiyu 9, Taiwo O Olunuga 3, Onoja Akpa 1, Ojo Olakanmi Olagoke 1, Fred Stephen Sarfo 7, Kolawole Wahab 6, Samuel Olowookere 6, Adekunle Fakunle 1, Albert Akpalu 5, Philip B Adebayo 10, Kwadwo Nkromah 5, Joseph Yaria 1, Philip Ibinaiye 4, Godwin Ogbole 1, Aridegbe Olumayowa 11, Sulaiman Lakoh 1, Benedict Calys-Tagoe 5, Paul Olowoyo 12, Chukwuonye Innocent 8, Hemant K Tiwari 13, Donna Arnett 14, Osaigbovo Godwin 9, Ayotunde Bisi 1, Josephine Akpalu 5, Okeke Obiora 8, Odo Joseph 1, Adeleye Omisore 15, Carolyn Jenkins 2, Daniel Lackland 2, Lukman Owolabi 16, Isah Suleiman 16, Abdu H Dambatta 16, Morenikeji Komolafe 15, Andrew Bock-Oruma 17, Ezinne Sylvia Melikam 1, Lucius Chidiebere Imoh 8, Taofiki Sunmonu 18, Mulugeta Gebregziabher 2, Oluyemisi Olabisi 15, Kevin Armstrong 2, Ugochukwu U Onyeonoro 8, Emmanuel Sanya 6, Atinuke M Agunloye 1, Luqman Ogunjimi 1, Oyedunni Arulogun 1, Temitope H Farombi 1, Olugbo Obiabo 17, Reginald Obiako 4, Mayowa Owolabi, on behalf of SIREN Team as part of H3Africa Consortium1,*
PMCID: PMC5582979  NIHMSID: NIHMS844241  PMID: 28302557

Abstract

Background

Africa has a growing burden of stroke with associated high morbidity and a 3-year fatality rate of 84%. Cardiac disease contributes to stroke occurrence and outcomes, but the precise relationship of abnormalities as noted on a cheap and widely available test, the electrocardiogram (ECG), and acute stroke outcomes has not been previously characterized in Africans. We assessed the prevalence and prognoses of various ECG abnormalities among African acute stroke patients encountered in a multisite, cross-national epidemiologic study.

Methods

We included 890 patients from Nigeria and Ghana with acute stroke who had 12-lead ECG recording within first 24 hours of admission and stroke classified based on brain CT scan or MRI. Stroke severity at baseline was assessed using the Stroke levity scale (SLS), while one-month outcome was assessed using the modified Rankin scale (mRS).

Results

Patients mean age was 58.4 (±13.4) years, 490 were male (55%) and 400(45%) females, 65.5% had ischemic stroke, and 85.4% had at least one ECG abnormality. Women were significantly more likely to have atrial fibrillation, or left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) with or without strain pattern. Compared to ischemic stroke patients, hemorrhagic stroke patients were less likely to have atrial fibrillation (1.0% vs. 6.7%, p=0.002), but more likely to have LVH (64.4% vs. 51.4%, p=0.004). Odds of severe disability or death at one month was higher with severe stroke (AOR: 2.25; 95% CI :1.44–3.50), or atrial enlargement (AOR: 1.45; CI:1.04–2.02).

Conclusions

About four in five acute stroke patients in this African cohort had evidence of a baseline ECG abnormality, but presence of any atrial enlargement was the only independent ECG predictor of death or disability.

INTRODUCTION

Stroke is a common neurologic condition in all regions of the world. Of the 14.1 million people who died of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in 2012 in the world, stroke accounted for 6.7 million deaths. (1) Many people who suffer acute stroke have underlying CVD such as hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and ischaemic heart disease. (2) These underlying CVD are associated with several pre-existing electrocardiographic (ECG) anomalies such as rhythm and conduction abnormalities, and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) with or without ST-T changes.

However, several researchers have postulated the existence of a ‘brain-heart axis’ whereby structural brain lesions by themselves result in electrocardiographic changes. (3) The precise mechanism that leads to the development of these ECG changes is still uncertain, though increasing evidence suggests that it is mainly due to autonomic nervous system dysregulation.(3, 4) Whereas some authors attribute these ECG changes in acute stroke to underlying CVD, others have demonstrated their presence in acute stroke patients without underlying CVD. (5, 6)

Irrespective of preexisting cardiac diseases or not, observing an abnormal ECG in an acute stroke patients more than doubled their mortality rate at 6 months (5) and these abnormal ECG changes have not been shown to be perfect predictive tool for stroke subtypes.(6, 7) While cardiac arrhythmia such as atrial fibrillation, and LVH has been linked with the occurrence and prognosis of acute stroke, the prognostic value of repolarization changes commonly seen after stroke such as ST segment depression, T-wave and U-wave abnormalities still remains unclear.(8, 9).

Despite the common occurrence of stroke in Africa, there is sparse data on the prevalence and prognostic significance of ECG abnormalities in acute stroke in the region. In addition, there is inadequate data on the contributions of cardiac arrhythmias, conduction abnormalities, LVH, QTc prolongation and QRS prolongation on one-month case fatality in acute stroke especially in the African context. Understanding these interactions will help develop interventions to reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with acute stroke.

We investigated the prevalence of specific baseline ECG abnormalities in Africans with acute stroke and their prognostic effect on severe disability or death at one-month after stroke.

METHODS

Study design

Design of the SIREN study has been described elsewhere.(10) It is a multicenter case-control study involving several sites in Nigeria and Ghana, which has been running since August 2014. Ethical approval was obtained from the institutional ethical committees of all study sites and written informed consent was obtained from all subjects.

Cases included consecutively consenting adults (aged 18 years or older) with first clinical stroke within 8 days of current symptom onset, or ‘last seen without deficit’ with cranial CT or MRI scan performed to confirm diagnosis within 10 days of symptom onset. We excluded those with stroke mimics, primary subarachnoid hemorrhage and previous strokes that were not radiologically ascertained. Stroke severity was assessed at baseline using the stroke levity scale (SLS). (11) One-month outcome was assessed using the modified Rankin scale (mRS).(11) Other clinical and laboratory information were obtained according to the SIREN protocol. (10)

Electrocardiography

A standard (resting) 12-lead ECG was performed in each subject using a commercially available ECG machine at 25 mm/s and 1mV/cm calibration. All the 12-lead ECGs were obtained within 24-hours after the onset of stroke. The ECG tracings were independently analyzed by the cardiologists who were unaware of the details of the clinical status of the patients. Abnormalities obtained from the ECGs were defined according to standard criteria as shown in Table 1.(12, 13) Left ventricular hypertrophy was diagnosed using the following criteria: Sokolow-Lyon voltage (sum of the amplitudes of S wave in V1 and R wave in V5 or V6 ≥3.5 mV), sex-specific Cornell voltage (sum of the amplitudes of S wave in V3 and R wave in aVL.2.0 mV in women and .2.8 mV in men). Cornell’s product (CP) was calculated as the product of Cornell voltage times QRS duration. Repolarization abnormalities in leads V5 and/or V6 indicated typical strain when there was down- sloping convex ST segment with an inverted asymmetrical T-wave opposite to the QRS axis. (14, 15) QT interval was determined using the tangent method.(16) The measured QT interval was corrected for heart rate using the Bazett’s formula. Prolonged QT interval was considered present when the QTc was >450milliseconds and >440 milliseconds in females and males respectively. Presence of other ST-T changes were documented according to standard criteria.(12) ECG definitions of criteria are in Table 1.

Table 1.

Definitions of Electro-cardiographic (ECG) variables

ECG variables Definitions
Rhythm Atrial
Fibrillation
Absent P waves and an irregular ventricular
rate
Atrial Flutter Rate more than 100/minutes and saw tooth
appearance of the p waves
Sinus Rhythm Regular p-wave with rate less between 60–100/minutes
Sinus Bradycardia Regular p-wave with rate less than 60/minutes
Sinus Tachycardia Regular p-wave with rate more than
100/minutes
Sinus Arrhythmia Beat-to-beat variation in normal P-P interval
Atrial
enlargement
Right atrial
enlargement
P wave amplitude > 2.5 millimeters in lead
II and duration less than 120mseconds
Left atrial
enlargement
Bifid P wave in lead II with duration more
than 120mseconds and amplitude less than >
2.5 millimeters in lead II
Bi-atrial
enlargement
P wave amplitude > 2.5 millimeters in lead
II + Bifid P wave with duration more than
120ms in lead II
Indeterminate None of above evidence of atrial
enlargement
Presence of other
arrhythmias
Premature
ventricular
contraction
QRS > 120mseconds and bizarre QRS
shapes
Supraventricular
tachycardia
Evidences of sinus tachycardia, AV Nodal
re-entry tachycardia(AVNRT) complexes,
Atrial fibrillation, Atrial flutter, Multifocal
atrial tachycardia, Accelerated junctional
tachycardia, atrial tachycardia
Ventricular
tachycardia
Sustained (5 or more consecutive beats) or
non-sustained tachycardia (less than 5
consecutive beats)
None None of above other arrthymias
Presence of
conduction
abnormalities
First degree AV
block
PR duration > 0.20secs with normal P and
QRS waves
Second degree AV
block
Progressive PR interval prolongation (>
200msecs) with intermittent failed P wave
conduction or wide QRS(greater than
120mses) with dropped QRS no prior PR
prolongation or evidence of advanced block
Right bundle branch
block(RBBB)
Deep S in lead I and V6 and tall late R wave
in VI
Left bundle branch
block(LBBB)
Tall R in lead I and V6 and deep S wave in
VI
Left anterior hemi-
block
QRS<120mseconds, left axis deviation, qR
pattern in lead I and aVL, rS pattern in lead
II, III, aVF and R wave peak time in aVL
Left posterior
hemiblock
QRS<120mseconds, right axis deviation, qR
pattern in lead I and aVL, rS pattern in lead
II, III, aVF and R wave peak time in aVL
Bi-fascicular block RBBB with left anterior hemiblock
Tri-fascicular block RBBB, left anterior hemiblock withprimary
AV block(or RBBB + Left anterior hemi-
block+ left posterior hemiblock)
Complete AV block Evidence of AV dissociation
Indeterminate intra-
ventricular block
>110mseconds with absence of RBBB
and LBBB
None None of the above conduction
abnormalities
QT dispersion QTC interval Prolonged, if duration is greater than >
440ms in men or > 460ms in women
Left ventricular
hypertrophy
Cornell Product
Criteria
V3-S +AVL-R>2440 mms (men)
V3-S + AVL-R + 8mm > 2440 mms
(women)
Sokolow Lyon
Criteria
V1-S + RV-5 or RV 6 if addition ≥
35mm (whether male or female) there is
LVH
Cornell voltage
criteria
V3-S +AVL-R if addition
≥20mm(Women) ≥28mm(men) there is
LVH

Data management and analysis

Quantitative variables were summarized using mean (SD) for normally distributed and median for asymmetric variables. Frequency and percentage was computed for categorical variables. To investigate the statistical significance of the difference in continuous variables according to gender and stroke type, independent samples t-test was employed. For categorical variables, the Chi-square test for the comparison of proportions was employed.

Total mRS scores 0–3 and 4–6 were categorized as good and poor respectively. Association between selected demographic, clinical characteristics and ECG findings was investigated at bivariate and multivariate levels. For bivariate analysis, chi square test was used while binary logistic regression was used for multivariate. Criteria for inclusion of variables in the logistic regression model was a p-value <0.05 in the bivariate or previous report in literature or basic demographic factors (age and sex). Goodness of fit was assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

RESULTS

The 12-lead ECGs of eight hundred and ninety subjects were analyzed. There were 490 men (55.1%) and 400 (44.9%) women. The overall mean age of all patients was 58.4±13.4 years with women showing a non-statistically significant trend towards being older (p=0.057). Variables with statistically significant gender difference included BMI, diastolic blood pressure, and heart rate. These are shown in table 2. Men were less likely to have atrial fibrillation. The four cases of ventricular tachycardia occurred only in women. Women also had non-significant longer QT intervals and were more likely to have LVH diagnosed by Cornel voltage or product criteria. Atrial enlargement was significantly more common in men. (Tables 3 and 4)

Table 2.

Demographic and clinical characteristics according to gender

Variable Total
(n=890)
Mean (SD)
Males
(n=490)
Mean (SD)
Females(n=400) p value
Age (years) 58.4 (13.4) 57.6 (12.0) 59.3 (14.9) 0.057
Height (m) 164.7 (7.8) 167.7 (7.2) 160.9 (6.8) <0.0001
Weight (kg) 72.4 (14.3) 72.7 (13.6) 72.1 (15.1) 0.678
Body Mass Index (kg/m2) 26.7 (5.3) 25.7 (4.7) 27.8 (5.7) <0.0001
Systolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) 162.3 (32.6) 163.1 (31.3) 161.2 (34.1) 0.413
Diastolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) 97.2 (19.2) 98.9 (19.5) 95.1 (18.6) 0.004
Heart Rate 91.3 (27.4) 89.3 (23.9) 93.7 (30.8) 0.042
Mean Arterial Pressure (mmHg) 97.4 (24.6) 97.1 (23.6) 97.8 (25.9) 0.682
Pulse Pressure (mmHg) 65.0 (22.4) 64.1 (21.7) 66.2 (23.3) 0.205
Stroke type: Ischaemic 403 (65.5) 216 (63.3) 187 (68.3)
  Haemorrhagic 212 (35.5) 125 (36.7) 87 (31.8) 0.203

Table 3.

ECG abnormalities according to gender

Variable Total (n=890)
frequency(%)
Males
490 (55.1%)
Females
400 (44.9%)
p value
Atrial fibrillation 36 (4.2) 12 (2.5) 24 (6.2) 0.009
Atrial flutter 4 (0.5) 2 (0.4) 2 (0.5) 0.846
Other Arrhythmias 75 (8.9) 38 (8.2) 37 (9.6) 0.466
Conduction abnormality 106 (12.7) 55 (12.0) 51 (13.5) 0.539
Atrial enlargement 466 (55.1) 273 (59.1) 193 (50.4) 0.011
LVH* 397 (54.8) 192 (48.7) 205 (61.9) <0.001
LVH with ST-T changes 219 (25.5) 124 (26.2) 95 (24.7) 0.607
Prolonged QTC interval 235 (28.6) 138 (30.3) 97 (26.5) 0.228
Short QTC interval 49 (6.0) 26 (5.7) 23 (6.3) 0.732
Any ECG abnormality 708 (85.4) 381 (84.5) 327 (86.5) 0.410
*

either Sokolow, Cornell voltage or product. LVH: Left ventricular hypertrophy

Table 4.

Demographic and clinical characteristics according to stroke type

Variables Total
Mean (SD)
Ischaemic
Mean (SD)
Haemorrhagic
Mean (SD)
p value
Age (years) 58.3 (13.2) 60.7 (13.1) 53.7 (12.2) <0.001
Height (m) 164.9 (7.8) 165.1 (8.0) 164.4 (7.4) 0.405
Weight (kg) 73.1 (14.2) 73.2 (14.7) 72.8 (13.1) 0.795
Body Mass Index (kg/m2) 26.7 (5.3) 26.7 (5.3) 26.9 (5.2) 0.768
Systolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) 161.0 (19.7) 154.1 (30.3) 173.6 (34.1) <0.001
Diastolic Blood Pressure (mmHg) 96.8 (19.7) 92.6 (18.4) 104.5 (19.8) <0.001
Heart Rate 92.1 (28.7) 90.6 (27.5) 94.8 (30.6) 0.118
Mean Arterial Pressure (mmHg) 96.5 (25.0) 92.4 (23.2) 103.9 (26.5) <0.001
Pulse Pressure (mmHg) 64.2 (22.9) 61.5 (21.5) 69.1 (24.6) <0.001

Tables 5 and 6 depict the comparison of demographic and clinical as well as ECG abnormalities according to stroke types. Subjects with hemorrhagic stroke were significantly younger (by about 7 years) than those with ischemic stroke. They also had higher blood pressures (SBP, DBP, MAP, and PP). In terms of ECG abnormalities, atrial fibrillation was significantly more common in those with ischemic stroke, while LVH was significant in hemorrhagic stroke by any of the ECG-LVH criteria. LVH with strain, QTc duration, QRS duration and axis were comparable across stroke types.

Table 5.

ECG abnormalities according to stroke type

Variables Total Ischaemic Hemorrhagic p value
Atrial Fibrillation 28 (4.7) 26 (6.7) 2 (1.0) 0.002
Atrial Flutter 4 (0.7) 4 (1.0) 0 (0.0) 0.304f
Other Arrhythmias 46 (7.8) 34 (8.8) 12 (5.9) 0.222
Conduction abnormality 71 (12.3) 47 (12.4) 24 (12.1) 0.906
Atrial enlargement(any) 340 (58.0) 228 (58.9) 112 (56.3) 0.541
LVH* 297 (55.8) 181 (51.4) 116 (64.4) 0.004
LVH with strain 156 (26.2) 94 (24.0) 62 (30.2) 0.102
Prolonged QTC 171 (29.6) 118 (31.3) 53 (26.4) 0.216
Short QTC 34 (5.9) 19 (5.0) 15 (7.5) 0.238
QRS duration (median) 84.0 84.0 84.0 0.672
Median QRS Axis 24.0 25.0 23.6 0.321
Any ECG abnormality 488(84.7) 316 (83.9) 172 (87.3) 0.213
f

Fisher’s exact test

*

either Sokolow-Lyon, Cornell voltage or product criteria

Table 6.

Demographic and selected clinical characteristics according to one-month disability status.

Variables Good mRS
(n= 254)
Poor mRS
(n= 421)
Test
statistic
p-value
Age (years, Mean (SD)) 58.1 (12.1) 58.8 (14.0) 0.746 0.456
Male gender 161 (59.2) 288 (54.5) 1.574 0.21
Hypertension 255 (93.8) 496 (93.9) 0.011 0.916
Diabetes 106 (38.9) 187 (35.4) 0.977 0.323
Severe SLS 105 (45.5) 294 (60.6) 20.946 0.001
Sinus rhythm 239 (87.9) 427 (80.9) 6.302 0.012
Atrial fibrillation 8 (3.1) 24 (4.7) 1.147 0.284
Other Arrhythmias 24 (9.2) 45 (9.0) 0.013 0.961
Conduction abnormality 33 (13.3) 66 (13.1) 0.003 0.960
Atrial enlargement 101 (38.7) 243 (48.8) 7.046 0.008
LVH 138 (52.9) 276 (53.2) 0.007 0.936
LVH with strain 70 (26.9) 119 (23.3) 1.231 0.267
Prolong QTC 72 (27.6) 139 (29.0) 0.17 0.68
Short QTC 13 (5.0) 27 (5.6) 0.142 0.706
Any ECG abnormality 212 (83.5) 421 (86.5) 1.193 0.275

mRS: modified Rankin Scale. SLS: Stroke levity scale

Table 6 shows the demographic and some clinical characteristics of the subjects according to one-month disability status. The presence of sinus rhythm was associated with good mRS. Severe SLS and atrial enlargement on the 12-lead ECG was associated with poor mRS.

In a multivariate logistic regression analysis (Table 7), only severe SLS and presence of atrial enlargement were the independent predictors of one-month outcome.

Table 7.

Independent factors associated with one-month disability

Variables AOR (95% CI) p-value
Age(years) 1.01 (0.99–1.02) 0.471
Male gender 1.04 (0.75–1.44) 0.806
Hypertension 1.24 (0.62–2.48) 0.549
Diabetes 0.86 (0.61–1.20) 0.377
Stroke severity (SLS)
Mild 1.00
Moderate 1.17 (0.73–1.87) 0.506
Severe 2.25 (1.44–3.50) 0.001
Atrial enlargement 1.45 (1.04–2.02) 0.030

SLS: Stroke levity scale

DISCUSSION

In this ongoing African stroke study, women with stroke appeared older than their male counterpart with higher frequencies of tachycardia, atrial fibrillation and ventricular tachycardia. Men with stroke had higher mean diastolic blood pressure. ECG LVH was more common in women and in those with hemorrhagic stroke. There was no significant difference in the occurrence of conduction abnormalities or QT abnormalities according to gender or stroke type.(13, 17) The pathologic mechanism by which acute stroke generates various ECG abnormalities is still not clear. However, autonomic dysregulation due to sympathetic overactivity have been proposed. Some authors have implicated insular irritation to be responsible for the abnormal cardiac function in acute stroke.(1823) This is thought to be mediated by impaired inhibition of the sympathetic nervous system leading to increased release of cathecholamines.(20, 23)

The management of patients with an acute stroke demands assessment of risk for morbidity and mortality, of which hypertension is major determinant. Studies have shown that elevated BP in acute stroke is associated with poor prognosis.(24) Increased blood pressure increase the risk of bleeding in thrombolytic treatment(25) and increases the bleeding tendency in hemorrhagic stroke. (26) In our study, both systolic and diastolic blood pressures were elevated. The subjects with hemorrhagic stroke had higher mean blood pressure parameter compared with ischemic stroke. This is similar to the findings by Quresh et.al. (26)

While the studies on the pathophysiology of “acute hypertensive response” in stroke have not been exhaustive, severely high blood pressure irrespective of mechanism is associated with poor outcome. (27) Whether the high blood pressure reported in the current study was “acute hypertensive response” or poorly controlled chronic blood pressure was difficult to decipher since pre morbid cardiac state was not known. The same explanation may go for high rate of abnormal ECG findings reported in our study. About four out of five stroke patients studied had at least one abnormal ECG finding. Irrespective of mechanism, abnormal ECG findings is associated with poor outcome.

Over 20% of our stroke subjects had prolonged QTc. This is not different in men and women and according to stroke type. Previous studies in patients with hypertensive heart diseases or diabetes mellitus have shown that QTc prolongation and QT interval dispersion are related to increased risk of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality through malignant arrhythmias. In a study, it was shown that idiopathic abnormal QTc prolongation was associated with a five-fold increase in the probability of sudden cardiac death.(28)

Except for four cases of ventricular tachycardia (all occurred in women), no case of polymorphic tachycardia especially torsade’s de pointes were recorded. This is similar to previous reports.(13) However, this may not have been picked up because continuous ECG monitoring was not carried out in our subjects. Atrial fibrillation is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia (29) and its presence increases stroke risk by 5-folds.(30) Interestingly, the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in our study was low. This is in contrast to earlier studies that reported high prevalence of atrial fibrillation especially in ischemic stroke among non-African populations (30, 31). The lower prevalence of atrial fibrillation in African stroke patients may be due to their relatively younger age, or genetic influences. Certain genetic variants have been associated with occurrence of atrial fibrillation especially the familiar type.(32) Also earlier studies have shown a paradoxical relationship between established AF risk factors and AF incidence in people of African descent compared with those of European ancestry. Despite a higher prevalence of many traditional risk factors for AF, including hypertension, diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and larger BMI in African Americans, people of European ancestry had higher incidence of atrial fibrillation.(33) These discrepancies allows for further genomic studies in atrial fibrillation among indigenous African populations which SIREN will explore.

Furthermore, in this study more than half of the patients had LVH. LVH is a well-recognized independent risk factor for hypertensive target organ damage including stroke.(3436) and when found with stroke it doubles the risk of repeat stroke.(37). In acute stroke therefore, it may not be a new development as it takes long period of blood pressure elevation for clinical LVH to develop; more so that more than half of the stroke patients had atrial enlargement. This suggests that probably more of our subjects had preexisting cardiac anomalies. Our findings are similar to a study by Familoni et.al who found 63% preexisting cardiac disorder in stroke patients with higher prevalence of long QT interval and reported more mortality in patients with preexisting cardiac conditions.(38)

In our study atrial enlargement and severity of stroke were major predictors of one month severe disability or death. While stroke severity is a recognized predictor of stroke outcome with more severe strokes recovering more slowly, atrial enlargement may indicate pre-existing cardiovascular morbidity which impairs stroke recovery at one-month.

Strengths and Limitations

This is the largest study so far of the prognostic implication of ECG abnormalities among indigenous African stroke patients. We provided evidence that any atrial enlargement on baseline ECG is an independent predictor of one-month outcome in this population.

It is not clear if the ECG abnormalities observed in our cohort were related to the acute stroke event since we did not have access to their ECGs prior to the stroke event. Follow up ECG was also not obtained in order to document whether the abnormalities were transient.

Conclusion

Various ECG abnormalities were observed in our stroke subjects. However, only atrial enlargement was an independent ECG predictor of one month stroke outcome. We recommend baseline ECG not only as a tool for detecting cardiac abnormalities in acute stroke patients but also to prognosticate one-month outcome. We will explore this and other ECG variables further when data collection is complete in the SIREN study.

Highlights.

  • Four in five acute stroke patients in this African cohort had at least one ECG abnormality

  • Atrial fibrillation was rare in the cohort occurring in <5% overall.

  • Atrial fibrillation was more common in female stroke patients.

  • Presence of any atrial enlargement was the only independent ECG predictor of death or disability.

Acknowledgments

Funding

This work is supported by the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (NINDS) (Grant 1U54HG007479)

Footnotes

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