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. 2017 Jul 23;4(3):ofx156. doi: 10.1093/ofid/ofx156

Advanced Human Immunodeficiency Virus Disease at Diagnosis in Mozambique and Swaziland

Stephanie A Kujawski 1,, Matthew R Lamb 1,2, Maria Lahuerta 1,2, Margaret L McNairy 3, Laurence Ahoua 2, Fatima Abacassamo 4, Harriet Nuwagaba-Biribonwoha 1,2, Averie Gachuhi 2, Wafaa M El-Sadr 1,2, Batya Elul 1
PMCID: PMC5610724  PMID: 28959700

Abstract

Background

Early diagnosis of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) is a prerequisite to maximizing individual and societal benefits of antiretroviral therapy.

Methods

Adults ≥18 years of age testing HIV positive at 10 health facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland received point-of-care CD4+ cell count testing immediately after diagnosis. We examined median CD4+ cell count at diagnosis, the proportion diagnosed with advanced HIV disease (CD4+ cell count ≤350 cells/μL) and severe immunosuppression (CD4+ cell count ≤100 cells/μL), and determinants of the latter 2 measures.

Results

Among 2333 participants, the median CD4+ cell count at diagnosis was 313 cells/μL (interquartile range, 164–484), more than half (56.5%) had CD4+ ≤350 cells/μL, and 13.9% had CD4+ ≤100 cells/μL. The adjusted relative risk (aRR) of both advanced HIV disease and severe immunosuppression at diagnosis was higher in men versus women (advanced disease aRR = 1.31; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.16–1.48; severe immunosuppression aRR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.17–2.02) and among those who sought HIV testing because they felt ill (advanced disease aRR = 1.30, 95% CI = 1.08–1.55; severe immunosuppression aRR = 2.10, 95% CI = 1.35–2.26). Age 18–24 versus 25–39 was associated with a lower risk of both outcomes (advanced disease aRR = 0.70, 95% CI = 0.59–0.84; severe immunosuppression aRR = 0.62, 95% CI = 0.41–0.95).

Conclusions

More than 10 years into the global scale up of comprehensive HIV services, the majority of adults diagnosed with HIV at health facilities in 2 high-prevalence countries presented with advanced disease and 1 in 7 had severe immunosuppression. Innovative strategies for early identification of HIV-positive individuals are urgently needed.

Keywords: advanced HIV disease, late diagnosis, point-of-care CD4 testing, sub-Saharan Africa


Diagnosis of people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) when they have advanced disease (late diagnosis) increases their risk of morbidity and mortality [1–3], escalates the cost of their clinical management [4], and limits the potential of antiretroviral therapy (ART) to reduce onward transmission of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) [5]. In sub-Saharan Africa, where the vast majority of PLWH reside, several studies have examined the prevalence and correlates of advanced disease at enrollment in HIV care and at ART initiation [6–9], but data on late diagnosis, a critical precursor to both late enrollment and late ART initiation, are particularly scant [3]. Because global HIV programs are increasingly focused on enhancing HIV testing coverage as a first step towards epidemic control [10, 11], examining immunological status at diagnosis can indicate the extent to which testing efforts are successfully identifying PLWH before disease progression so that individual and population benefits of ART can be maximized.

To date, only 5 studies have reported on the immunological status of adult PLWH at diagnosis in sub-Saharan Africa [12–16]. In those studies, median CD4+ cell count at diagnosis ranged from a 186–242 cells/μL among individuals tested at health facilities [12, 13] to 414 cells/μL among those tested in the community [14]. The proportion diagnosed with CD4+ cell counts ≤350 cells/μL ranged from 43% to 72% [14–16], and, of concern, in 1 study, 34% had CD4+ cell counts <100 cells/μL at the time of HIV testing [12]. Male sex, age, distance to a health facility, and poor emotional health emerged as determinants of late diagnosis in these studies [12, 15]. Because these studies were limited by small sample sizes [12], were conducted in urban areas in a single country [12, 15], and were conducted largely in the early stages of the global scale up of HIV programs [13, 15, 16], we used data from 2 recently completed implementation science studies that were conducted in rural and urban health facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland to provide a more robust assessment of the magnitude and predictors of late diagnosis.

METHODS

Study Setting and Population

We used data from the Engage4Health study in Mozambique and the Link4Health study in Swaziland [17, 18]. Both studies aimed to improve linkage to care after HIV diagnosis and sustained retention in HIV care among adults newly diagnosed with HIV in health facilities through combination intervention strategies targeting known barriers across the HIV care continuum. Ten primary health clinics in Mozambique and 10 primary- and secondary-level facilities in Swaziland were matched as study units, then randomized to implement either the standard of care or the combination intervention strategy. In both countries, point-of-care CD4+ cell count testing immediately after the HIV positive test was conducted at the sites assigned to the combination intervention strategy. This analysis is restricted to the 10 facilities/study units (5 facilities in Mozambique and 5 study units in Swaziland) that implemented the intervention strategy. Of the facilities/study units included in this analysis, half were located in rural areas. Detailed information on the study design and combination intervention strategies used in these studies is available elsewhere [17, 18].

Data Collection

In Mozambique, individuals were recruited from voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) clinics within the study facilities, whereas in Swaziland, participants were recruited from VCT clinics and provider-initiated testing and counseling venues within the study facilities. After posttest counseling, HIV testing counselors referred newly diagnosed adults to study personnel for information on the study. Eligibility criteria included being ≥18 years of age, speaking the main local language (Portuguese or Xitsua in Mozambique; English or SiSwati in Swaziland), not currently pregnant, not planning to leave the community in the next 12 months, agreeing to be referred to HIV care services at the diagnosing health facility, and not having been enrolled in HIV care or initiated ART in the prior 6 months. As noted above, all study participants received point-of-care CD4+ cell count testing in the HIV testing clinic immediately after diagnosis using PIMA Analyser (Inverness). Participants completed a structured interview that gathered information on demographics, psychosocial factors, and HIV testing history, knowledge, and attitudes. Enrollment ran from April 2013 to June 2015 in Mozambique and from August 2013 to November 2014 in Swaziland.

Ethical Approvals

Both studies were approved by the Columbia University Medical Center Institutional Review Board. In addition, the Engage4Health study was approved by the Mozambican National Committee for Bioethics in Health, and the Link4Health study was approved by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Swaziland Scientific and Ethics Committee. All study participants provided written informed consent before study enrollment. The trials are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov: Engage4Health study number NCT01930084; Link4Health study number NCT01904994.

Measures

Late diagnosis of HIV diseases included the following 2 categories. (1) Advanced HIV infection at diagnosis was defined as having CD4+ cell count ≤350 cells/μL, in alignment with national thresholds for treatment initiation in both countries at the time of study implementation [19, 20]. (2) Severe immunosuppression at diagnosis was defined as having a CD4+ cell count of ≤100 cells/μL.

Correlate selection was guided by the Aday and Anderson [21] model for healthcare access. Predisposing factors, defined as demographic and psychosocial factors and that may influence service use, included the following: sex; age (18–24 years, 25–39 years, 40+ years); education (≥secondary school, <secondary school); marital status (married and living together or not married but living together with 1 or more partners, married/have partner but not living together, single); HIV-related knowledge; and anticipated HIV-related stigma. Enabling factors, which reflect the means individuals have to access health services, included the following: residence location, which was determined by the location of the diagnosing health facility (urban, rural); household wealth (split into tertiles); distance from the participant’s home to the health facility (≤30 minutes, 31–60 minutes, >60 minutes); whether other members of the participant’s household were living with HIV (no one, family member, don’t know); whether the participant was away from home for an extended period in last 12 months; and whether the participant had confidants with whom they shared private matters (some, none). The need component, representing the degree of illness, was categorized based on the following: whether the participant was hospitalized in the prior 12 months (yes, no); the type of HIV testing received (voluntary, provider suggested); whether the participant had previously been tested for HIV; whether the participant was tested because s/he perceived him/herself to be at risk of HIV infection (eg, partner was sick, routinely gets tested), because s/he was influenced by others (eg, partner/friend suggested testing), and because s/he felt sick (eg, weight loss, sores). Reasons for testing variables were coded from a multiresponse question, with participants able to answer more than 1 reason why they received an HIV test. These reasons were then grouped into categories as a dichotomous variable (yes, no).

For HIV knowledge, correct responses to 8 questions from the 2 studies were summed to create a score, which was then dichotomized at the median into high and low HIV knowledge. Anticipated stigma was assessed using 5 questions from the Link4Health and Engage4Health studies following the concept described by Earnshaw and Chaudoir [22]. In the Link4Health study, each of the questions had 4 response options ranging from “strongly agree” to “strongly disagree”, which were dichotomized into “agree” and “disagree” and then summed to create a score. In the Engage4Health study, 2 response categories, (agree and disagree) were included, and responses were similarly summed to create a score. The scores were combined across studies and split at the median into high stigma and low stigma. To measure household wealth, we used principal component analysis drawing on 4 asset variables in the 2 studies, and then we divided this metric into tertiles.

Statistical Analysis

We examined CD4+ cell count distribution at diagnosis for the total sample, by country, and by sex as continuous and categorical variables using Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney tests and χ2 tests, respectively. To assess factors associated with advanced disease and severe immunosuppression at diagnosis, we used log-Poisson relative risk (RR) regression with empirical standard error estimation and random-intercepts to account for clustering by health facility. Variables that were significant at P < .20 in bivariate analyses were included in multivariable models. Sex-specific and country-specific models were then run per outcome. Regression models used complete case analysis, which included 97.2% of all study participants. Statistical analyses were conducted using SAS, version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC).

RESULTS

A total of 2333 participants were enrolled at the 10 health facilities included in this analysis: 1237 (53.0%) in Mozambique and 1096 (47.0%) in Swaziland (Table 1). Participants averaged 34.3 years (standard deviation = 10.5) of age, and the majority resided in urban areas (59.6%) and were female (63.0%). Most participants (83.2%) reported that they had voluntarily sought HIV testing, and many did so because they perceived themselves to be at risk of HIV infection (39.4%) or were ill (54.0%). More than one third (38.7%) of participants had been tested for HIV previously, and 32.5% reported that another member in their household was living with HIV. The majority (77.1%) of participants had low levels of HIV knowledge, and approximately half (48.9%) anticipated high levels of stigma after diagnosis, with this percentage reaching 57.9% in Mozambique.

Table 1.

Baseline Characteristics of Participants Receiving a Point-of-Care CD4+ Cell Count Test at HIV Diagnosis in 10 Health Facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland (N = 2333)

Participant Characteristics Total Sample Mozambique Swaziland
Total Sample (N = 2333) Males
(N = 871)
Females (N = 1462) Engage4Health (N = 1237) Link4Health (N = 1096)
N % N % N % N % N %
CD4, median (IQR) 313 164–484 253 129–406 353 197–518 315 176–497 311 158.5–472.5
Facility Location
 Urban 1391 59.6 525 60.3 866 59.2 671 54.3 720 65.7
 Rural 942 40.4 346 39.7 596 40.8 566 45.7 376 34.3
Sex
 Male 871 37.3 - - - - 428 34.6 443 40.4
 Female 1462 62.7 - - - - 809 65.4 653 59.6
Age, mean (SD) 34.3 10.5 36.6 10.5 33.0 10.2 34.4 9.8 34.2 11.2
 18–24 369 15.8 60 6.9 309 21.2 159 12.9 210 19.2
 25–39 1354 58.1 551 63.3 803 55.0 742 60.0 612 55.9
 40+ 609 26.1 260 29.9 349 23.9 336 27.2 273 24.9
Education
 ≥Secondary school 1063 45.6 412 47.3 651 44.6 446 36.1 617 56.4
 <Secondary school 1268 54.4 459 52.7 809 55.4 790 63.9 478 43.7
Marital Status
 Married and living together, or not married but living together with 1 or more partners 1033 44.4 490 56.3 543 37.2 631 51.1 402 36.8
 Married/have partner but not living together 692 29.7 227 26.1 465 31.9 187 15.1 505 46.2
 Currently single 604 25.9 153 17.6 451 30.9 418 33.8 186 17.0
Knowledge score (0–8), mean (SD) 6.4 1.4 6.4 1.5 6.4 1.4 6.2 1.5 6.6 1.3
 High knowledge (8) 534 22.9 223 25.6 311 21.3 218 17.6 316 28.8
 Low knowledge (0–7) 1799 77.1 648 74.4 1151 78.7 1019 82.4 780 71.2
Stigma score (0–5), mean (SD) 2.6 1.4 2.6 1.4 2.6 1.4 2.7 1.4 2.4 1.4
 High stigma (3–5) 1141 48.9 423 48.6 718 49.1 704 57.9 437 39.9
 Low stigma (0–2) 1191 51.1 448 51.4 743 50.9 533 43.1 658 60.1
Wealth Index
 Tertile 1 817 35.1 304 35.0 513 35.1 330 26.8 487 44.4
 Tertile 2 743 31.9 270 31.1 473 32.4 332 26.9 411 37.5
 Tertile 3 769 33.0 295 34.0 474 32.5 571 46.3 198 18.1
Distance From Home to Health Facility
 ≤30 minutes 1247 54.5 486 56.3 761 53.4 557 46.2 690 63.8
 31–60 minutes 764 33.4 289 33.5 475 33.4 434 36.0 330 30.5
 61+ minutes 276 12.1 88 10.2 188 13.2 214 17.8 62 5.7
Others in Household Living With HIV
 No one 1193 51.1 434 49.8 759 51.9 580 46.9 613 55.9
 Other family member 758 32.5 301 34.6 457 31.3 331 26.8 427 39.0
 Don’t know 382 16.4 136 15.6 246 16.8 326 26.4 56 5.1
No. Times Away From Home in last 12 Months
 0 1783 76.6 631 72.7 1152 79.0 867 70.4 916 83.7
 1+ 544 23.4 237 27.3 307 21.0 365 29.6 179 16.4
Have Confidants With Whom Share Private Matters
 None 496 21.3 176 20.2 320 21.9 116 9.4 380 34.7
 Some 1836 78.7 695 79.8 1141 78.1 1121 90.6 175 65.3
No. of Times Hospitalized in Last 12 Months
 0 2209 94.7 827 95.0 1382 94.5 1178 95.2 1031 94.1
 1+ 124 5.3 44 5.1 80 5.5 59 4.8 65 5.9
Type of HIV Test
 Voluntary 1942 83.2 715 82.1 1227 83.9 1007 81.4 935 85.3
 Provider suggested 391 16.8 156 17.9 235 16.1 230 18.6 161 14.7
Previously Tested for HIV
 First time testing 1430 61.3 584 67.1 846 57.9 788 63.7 642 58.6
 Previously tested for HIV 902 38.7 286 32.9 616 42.1 449 36.3 453 41.4
If Previously Tested, First Time Positive Result (N = 902)
 Yes 693 76.8 213 74.5 480 77.9 368 82.0 325 71.7
 No 209 23.2 73 25.5 136 22.1 81 18.0 128 28.3
Years since first positive test result (N = 182), mean (SD) 1.9 2.5 1.7 2.4 2.0 2.5 0.6 1.0 2.4 2.7
 <1 year 98 46.9 34 46.6 64 47.1 45 55.7 53 41.4
 ≥1–2 years 31 14.8 12 16.4 19 14.0 8 9.9 23 18.0
 ≥2–3 years 12 5.7 5 6.9 7 5.2 1 1.2 11 8.6
 3+ years 41 19.6 10 13.7 31 22.8 2 2.5 39 30.5
 Missing 27 12.9 12 16.4 15 11.0 25 30.9 2 1.6
Reason for testing: risk perception 918 39.4 330 37.9 588 40.3 399 32.3 519 47.5
Reason for testing: influenced by others 234 10.0 90 10.3 144 9.9 184 14.9 50 4.6
Reason for testing: felt sick/illness 1259 54.0 499 57.3 760 52.1 626 50.6 633 57.9

Abbreviations: HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; IQR, interquartile range; SD, standard deviation.

The median CD4+ cell count at diagnosis was 313 cells/μL (interquartile range [IQR], 164–484) and was lower among men compared with women (men: 253 cells/μL [IQR, 129–406] and women: 353 cells/μL [IQR, 197–518], P ≤ .0001). The median CD4+ cell count among participants in Mozambique was 315 cells/μL (IQR, 176–497) and 311 cells/μL in Swaziland (IQR, 158.5–472.5), P = .10 (Table 1). As shown in Figure 1, at the time of diagnosis, more than half (56.5%) of the participants had advanced disease (CD4+ ≤350 cells/μL), and 13.9% were severely immunosuppressed (CD4+ ≤100 cells/μL). A higher percentage of males (68.1%) compared with females (49.6%) had CD4+ ≤350 cells/μL (P < .0001) and CD4+ ≤100 cells/μL (males 18.1% vs females 11.4%, P < .0001) at the time of diagnosis, but no significant differences were observed by country (advanced disease: Mozambique 55.5% vs Swaziland 57.7%, P = .30; severe immunosuppression: Mozambique 13.3% vs Swaziland 14.6%, P = .37).

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

CD4+ cell count distribution of participants at human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) diagnosis in 10 facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland (N = 2333).

Table 2 presents results from bivariate and multivariable regression models examining factors associated with advanced HIV disease and severe immunosuppression at diagnosis. In adjusted models, men were significantly more likely to be diagnosed late than women (advanced disease: RR = 1.31, 95% CI = 1.16–1.48; severe immunosuppression: RR = 1.54, 95% CI = 1.17–2.02). Participants who reported seeking HIV testing because they felt sick were significantly more likely to have advanced disease (RR = 1.30; 95% CI, 1.08–1.55) and have severe immunosuppression (RR = 2.10; 95% CI, 1.35–2.26). Participants with higher HIV knowledge were also at significantly higher risk of being diagnosed when they were severely immunosuppressed (RR = 1.35; 95% CI, 1.03–1.78). Young adults age 18–24 years were significantly less likely to have advanced disease at diagnosis (RR = 0.70; 95% CI, 0.59–0.84) and less likely to have severe immunosuppression (RR = 0.62; 95% CI, 0.41–0.95) than those 25–39 years of age. In addition, results were similar when the analysis was stratified by sex and country, with 1 additional predictor of note emerging (Supplemental Tables 1 and 2): in Mozambique, participants reporting that another household member(s) was living with HIV were less likely to be diagnosed with severe immunosuppression (RR = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.36–0.94).

Table 2.

Relative Risk Regression Models of Advanced HIV Disease at Diagnosis (CD4+ ≤350) and Severe Immunosuppression at Diagnosis (CD4+ ≤100) in 10 Health Facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland (N = 2267)

Participant Characteristics N %Advanced HIV Disease Advanced HIV Disease (CD4 ≤350) %Severe Immunosuppressed Severe Immunosuppression (CD4 ≤100)
Bivariate Multivariable Bivariate Multivariable
RR 95% CI RR 95% CI RR 95% CI RR 95% CI
Male (vs female) 857 67.9 1.39 1.24–1.57 1.31 1.16–1.48 18.1 1.59 1.24–2.03 1.54 1.17–2.02
Ages 25–39 (ref) 1309 58.5 15.0
 Ages 18–24 363 36.6 0.63 0.53–0.74 0.70 0.59–0.84 7.7 0.52 0.35–0.79 0.62 0.41–0.95
 Ages 40+ 595 62.2 1.07 0.96–1.18 1.01 0.90–1.13 15.1 0.99 0.76–1.30 0.90 0.67–1.22
Secondary education (vs none/ primary) 1040 54.0 0.93 0.84–1.04 1.00 0.88–1.13 13.8 0.98 0.79–1.22
Married/partner and living together (ref) 1011 57.2 12.7
 Married/partner not living together 676 51.3 0.88 0.76–1.01 0.95 0.81–1.12 12.1 0.92 0.64–1.30 0.99 0.71–1.37
 Single 580 59.3 1.04 0.90–1.20 1.07 0.93–1.23 17.9 1.43 1.00–2.05 1.42 0.98–2.07
High HIV knowledge (vs low) 524 57.6 1.04 0.89–1.22 16.6 1.29 1.03–1.62 1.35 1.03–1.78
High HIV stigma (vs low) 1110 56.8 1.03 0.89–1.19 14.6 1.09 0.83–1.43
Wealth index tertile 1 (ref) 798 55.4 13.7
 Tertile 2 720 58.2 1.05 0.93–1.18 14.6 1.08 0.74–1.57
 Tertile 3 749 54.5 0.99 0.86–1.14 13.4 1.04 0.77–1.39
Distance to health facility ≤30 minutes (ref) 1235 54.5 13.8
 Distance 31–60 minutes 757 57.2 1.06 0.94–1.19 13.6 1.01 0.76–1.34
 Distance 61+ minutes 275 59.3 1.10 0.91–1.32 14.9 1.09 0.71–1.67
No household member with HIV (ref) 1149 58.1 14.8
 Household member with HIV 743 51.7 0.89 0.79–1.01 0.93 0.82–1.06 10.5 0.71 0.49–1.04 0.86 0.60–1.25
 Don’t know 375 57.9 1.00 0.86–1.15 0.97 0.84–1.11 17.6 1.14 0.78–1.67 1.07 0.73–1.56
Away from home in last 12 months (vs none) 534 58.2 1.05 0.94–1.17 14.8 1.05 0.82–1.34
Has confidants (vs none) 1782 54.8 0.91 0.79–1.05 0.91 0.79–1.05 13.9 1.05 0.64–1.71
Hospitalized in last 12 months (vs none) 119 57.1 1.02 0.78–1.34 15.1 1.07 0.66–1.74
Voluntary testing (vs provider suggested) 1881 54.8 0.89 0.76–1.04 0.93 0.78–1.12 12.8 0.71 0.46–1.12 0.77 0.49–1.19
Participant previously tested for HIV (vs no) 880 49.3 0.82 0.72–0.92 0.90 0.80–1.03 13.1 0.90 0.65–1.25
Reason for testing: risk perception 893 49.4 0.82 0.71–0.96 0.97 0.81–1.17 9.0 0.53 0.40–0.71 0.80 0.56–1.13
Reason for testing: influenced by others 230 52.6 0.94 0.75–1.17 6.1 0.43 0.22–0.84 0.59 0.32–1.08
Reason for testing: felt sick/ illness 1221 64.6 1.41 1.22–1.63 1.30 1.08–1.55 19.5 2.65 1.67–4.22 2.10 1.35–3.26

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; HIV, human immunodeficiency virus; ref, reference; RR, relative risk.

DISCUSSION

In this large study of adults newly diagnosed with HIV in diverse health facilities in Mozambique and Swaziland—2 countries with significant HIV epidemics (11% prevalence in Mozambique [23], 32% prevalence in Swaziland [24]) and very low HIV testing coverage (9%–14% of males and 22%–26% of females [25] in the prior 12 months)—more than half the participants (56.5%) had CD4+ cell counts ≤350 cells/μL, making them eligible for ART at the time of diagnosis, according to prevailing national treatment guidelines. Furthermore, 13.9% had severe immune suppression (CD4+ cell counts ≤100 cells/μL) when diagnosed. These findings underscore the critical need to promote HIV testing and expand testing coverage using novel testing approaches in diverse settings to ensure opportunities for earlier diagnosis and treatment initiation. Importantly, late diagnosis and ART initiation limit the potential individual and population benefits of reducing morbidity, mortality, and onward transmission, which are key to the control of the HIV epidemic and the sustainability of HIV prevention and treatment efforts to date [1–3, 5].

Three studies conducted in sub-Saharan Africa measured median CD4+ cell count at the time of HIV diagnosis and reported results ranging from 186 cells/μL to 414 cells/μL [12–14], potentially reflecting differences in countries, populations (urban vs rural), testing venues (community-based testing vs testing in health facilities), and testing approaches (eg, VCT vs provider-initiated testing and counseling). For example, the highest median CD4+ cell count at diagnosis (414 cells/μL) was observed among individuals diagnosed via community-based testing in South Africa [14], arguably a healthier population of PLWH than those seeking out testing at health facilities. Furthermore, when compared with prior studies, our results suggest modest potential progress in the proportion of PLWH diagnosed with advanced disease over time. Indeed, in a study conducted from 2005 to 2008, 72% of individuals newly diagnosed with HIV at a health facility in Nigeria had CD4+ cell counts ≤350 cells/μL [16] compared with 56% in our study. This trend is consistent with temporal improvements in CD4+ cell counts at enrollment in HIV care and at ART initiation reported in 2 studies using programmatic data from 4 sub-Saharan African countries [6, 7]. At the same time, a recent meta-analysis of studies from sub-Saharan Africa found no significant change in CD4+ at enrollment in care (N = 56 studies) or at ART initiation (N = 71 studies) from 2002 to 2013 [26], suggesting that further improvements in CD4+ cell count at diagnosis will be needed before any meaningful downstream effects are observed.

We also identified several factors that represent potentially important areas of intervention to promote timely diagnosis. Consistent with prior research [12, 15], male sex emerged as an important determinant of advanced disease and particularly of severe immunosuppression at diagnosis, likely reflecting sex differentials in health-seeking behaviors [27, 28]. Testing campaigns explicitly targeting men may be effective in early diagnosis of HIV among men. Similar to previous studies, we also found an increased likelihood of advanced disease and severe immunosuppression at diagnosis among participants who reported seeking HIV testing because they felt sick or were ill [15, 29]. Increasing knowledge of HIV risk and of the need for routine HIV testing in high prevalence settings as well as expanding access to testing will be critical to identifying PLWH before evidence of immunosuppression emerges. We were surprised to find that in our study, participants with higher knowledge of HIV were more likely to be diagnosed with severe immunosuppression. Given the cross-sectional nature of this analysis, we cannot rule out that individuals with symptoms received information regarding the disease before seeking HIV testing—either on their own initiative, as a result of prior HIV testing, or from family members living with HIV.

Several findings also point to potential successes with regards to HIV testing programs. In Mozambique, participants living in households with other PLWH were less likely to have severe immunosuppression at the time of diagnosis, possibly as a result of family-focused approaches to HIV testing [30]. In addition, higher anticipated stigma was not significantly associated with advanced disease or severe immunosuppression at diagnosis, possibly reflecting the reduced influence of stigma in HIV testing [31, 32], although this finding should be further investigated in studies with more refined measures of stigma.

This study has a number of strengths. First, it is one of the few, and the largest to date, to explore the magnitude and predictors of advanced stage HIV disease and severe immunosuppression at the time of diagnosis. In addition, the study included participants from diverse types of health facilities situated in both rural and urban settings and from 2 countries with disparate health systems, providing a diverse sample. We also included a variety of demographic, psychosocial, and clinical measures when examining predictors of late diagnosis, capturing key aspects of the Aday and Anderson [21] healthcare access model. A few limitations should also be noted. The cross-sectional nature of the participant interview relative to outcome measurement makes it difficult to ensure temporality of some exposures in relation to the outcome. Furthermore, study inclusion and exclusion criteria temper our ability to generalize our findings to all adults diagnosed in health facilities.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 10 years into the scale up of comprehensive HIV services in sub-Saharan Africa, this analysis illustrates (1) the persistent challenge of late diagnosis and (2) the critical need to capture PLWH earlier in their disease progression to ensure individual- and population-level benefits of ART. With current recommendations supporting treatment of all PLWH, this study highlights the importance of expanding testing efforts to reach all individuals with undiagnosed HIV [11]. At the same time, targeted efforts are needed to reach those individuals with advanced HIV disease to enable prompt initiation of ART for their own and for societal benefits of treatment.

Supplementary Data

Supplementary materials are available at Open Forum Infectious Diseases online. Consisting of data provided by the authors to benefit the reader, the posted materials are not copyedited and are the sole responsibility of the authors, so questions or comments should be addressed to the corresponding author.

Supplementary Material

ofx156_suppl_Supplementary_Tables1_2

Acknowledgments

We recognize the hard work and valuable contributions of the study staff. We thank the health facilities for their dedication to research, and we gratefully acknowledge the study participants.

Disclaimer. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of US Agency for International Development (USAID) or the National Institutes of Health.

Financial support. This work was supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID) (award number AID-OAA-A-12-00027), the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health (R01 AI100059; T32 AI114398 to S. A. K.), and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1145477).

Potential conflicts of interest. All authors: No reported conflicts of interest.All authors have submitted the ICMJE Form for Disclosure of Potential Conflicts of Interest. Conflicts that the editors consider relevant to the content of the manuscript have been disclosed.

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