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Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report logoLink to Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
. 2017 May 26;66(20):533–537. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6620a3

Current Tobacco Smoking and Desire to Quit Smoking Among Students Aged 13–15 Years — Global Youth Tobacco Survey, 61 Countries, 2012–2015

René A Arrazola 1,, Indu B Ahluwalia 1, Eugene Pun 1, Isabel Garcia de Quevedo 2, Stephen Babb 1, Brian S Armour 1
PMCID: PMC5657874  PMID: 28542119

Tobacco use is the world’s leading cause of preventable morbidity and mortality, resulting in nearly 6 million deaths each year (1). Smoked tobacco products, such as cigarettes and cigars, are the most common form of tobacco consumed worldwide (2), and most tobacco smokers begin smoking during adolescence (3). The health benefits of quitting are greater for persons who stop smoking at earlier ages; however, quitting smoking at any age has health benefits (4). CDC used the Global Youth Tobacco Survey (GYTS) data from 61 countries across the six World Health Organization (WHO) regions from 2012 to 2015 to examine the prevalence of current tobacco smoking and desire to quit smoking among students aged 13–15 years. Across all 61 countries, the median current tobacco smoking prevalence among students aged 13–15 years was 10.7% (range = 1.7%, Sri Lanka to 35.0%, Timor-Leste). By sex, the median current tobacco smoking prevalence was 14.6% among males (range = 2.9%, Tajikistan to 61.4%, Timor-Leste) and 7.5% among females (range = 1.6%, Tajikistan to 29.0%, Bulgaria). In the majority of countries assessed, the proportion of current tobacco smokers who desired to quit smoking exceeded 50%. These findings could be used by country level tobacco control programs to inform strategies to prevent and reduce youth tobacco use (1,4).

GYTS is a nationally representative school-based, paper and pencil, cross-sectional survey of students in school grades associated with ages 13–15 years. GYTS uses a standardized methodology that allows for cross-country comparisons.* For this report, countries were selected if they met the following criteria: 1) nationally representative data (rather than subnational data) were available to allow for cross-country comparisons; and 2) data were collected during 2012–2015 to allow for estimation of recent prevalence estimates. Based on these criteria, 61 countries from all six WHO regions were selected for analyses. The number of participating countries from each WHO region were African Region (AFR, 10 countries)§; Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR, 10); European Region (EUR, 18)**; Region of the Americas (AMR, 13)††; South East Asian Region (SEAR, 5)§§; and Western Pacific Region (WPR, 5).¶¶ Overall sample sizes ranged from 534 students in San Marino to 10,018 in Bosnia and Herzegovina (median = 2,428), and overall response rates ranged from 60.3% in Nicaragua to 99.2% in Sudan. Data were weighted for each country to yield nationally representatives estimates of youths attending school.

Students were asked about current (past 30-day) use of cigarettes*** and any form of smoked tobacco other than cigarettes.††† Current tobacco smoking was defined as smoking cigarettes or other smoked tobacco products on ≥1 day during the past 30 days. Students were classified as having a desire to quit smoking§§§ if they answered “yes” to the question, “Do you want to stop smoking now?”

Overall country-specific prevalence estimates with corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated for current tobacco smoking and desire to quit smoking. Estimates based on unweighted sample sizes <35 or relative standard error >0.3 are not reported. For countries where data are reported for both sexes, chi-squared tests were used to determine statistically significant differences (p<0.05) in current tobacco smoking between males and females.

Across all countries, the median current tobacco smoking prevalence among students aged 13–15 years was 10.7% (range = 1.7%, Sri Lanka to 35.0%, Timor-Leste). By WHO region, current tobacco smoking prevalence in AFR ranged from: 6.1% (Mozambique) to 20.2% (Seychelles); in EMR, from 7.2% (Pakistan) to 23.3% (Jordan); in EUR, from 2.4% (Tajikistan) to 27.4% (Bulgaria); in AMR, from 5.8% (Paraguay) to 22.0% (Argentina); in SEAR, from 1.7% (Sri Lanka) to 35.0% (Timor-Leste); and in WPR, from 3.5% (Vietnam) to 14.5% (Philippines) (Table).

TABLE. Prevalence of current tobacco smoking,* overall and by sex, among students aged 13–15 years — 61 countries, Global Youth Tobacco Survey, 2012–2015.

World Health Organization region/country Survey year Overall unweighted sample size Prevalence of current tobacco smoking
Overall % (95% CI) Males % (95% CI) Females % (95% CI)
African Region
Algeria
2013
4,023
7.4 (6.3–8.7)
14.9 (12.3–17.9)
1.8 (1.3–2.7)
Cameroon
2014
1,873
7.4 (4.8–11.5)
10.3 (6.8–15.4)
4.0 (2.4–6.6)
Comoros
2015
1,551
9.1 (6.3–13.0)
13.2 (8.8–19.4)
5.6 (3.3–9.4)
Gabon
2014
788
7.6 (6.1–9.5)
7.9 (6.3–9.8)
7.0 (5.1–9.5)
Kenya
2013
1,326
7.0 (4.9–9.8)
9.6 (6.6–13.8)
4.0 (2.2–7.2)
Mozambique
2013
3,062
6.1 (4.7–7.9)
5.5 (4.0–7.5)
6.2 (4.4–8.7)
Senegal
2013
796
7.8 (5.0–12.1)
9.7 (5.9–15.7)
§
Seychelles
2015
1,525
20.2 (17.2–23.7)
25.6 (21.7–30.0)
15.2 (11.9–19.2)
Togo
2013
2,801
6.9 (5.3–8.9)
9.8 (7.3–13.0)
2.7 (1.8–4.2)
Zimbabwe
2014
5,114
16.2 (10.6–24.1)
17.3 (11.4–25.5)
12.8 (7.9–19.9)
Eastern Mediterranean Region
Bahrain
2015
2,465
15.7 (11.1–21.8)
22.7 (17.4–28.9)
8.5 (6.5–11.0)
Djibouti
2013
1,361
11.6 (8.8–15.2)
13.0 (9.1–18.1)
9.1 (5.9–13.6)
Egypt
2014
2,141
10.1 (6.7–15.0)
16.3 (10.0–25.6)

Iraq
2014
1,266
11.1 (7.2–16.8)
16.2 (10.3–24.7)
6.0 (4.2–8.4)
Jordan
2014
1,899
23.3 (17.7–29.9)
32.8 (27.6–38.4)
13.4 (9.1–19.4)
Pakistan
2013
5,832
7.2 (5.8–9.0)
9.2 (7.1–11.7)
4.1 (2.8–5.9)
Qatar
2013
1,716
12.3 (8.8–17.0)
18.4 (14.1–23.7)
6.2 (4.4–8.8)
Sudan
2014
1,450
8.3 (6.3–11.0)
10.6 (7.7–14.4)
5.0 (3.0–8.2)
United Arab Emirates
2013
3,376
10.5 (7.9–13.9)
14.6 (10.7–19.5)
6.4 (4.3–9.5)
Yemen
2014
1,634
15.1 (10.9–20.5)
19.4 (14.5–25.5)
7.9 (4.5–13.7)
European Region
Albania
2015
3,482
9.4 (7.9–11.1)
12.9 (10.7–15.6)
5.6 (4.2–7.5)
Belarus
2015
2,428
9.4 (7.5–11.7)
8.9 (6.1–12.8)
9.9 (7.8–12.6)
Bosnia and Herzegovina
2013
10,018
15.1 (12.9–17.7)
17.8 (15.2–20.7)
12.2 (9.7–15.3)
Bulgaria
2015
3,532
27.4 (22.8–32.5)
25.7 (19.5–33.1)
29.0 (24.7–33.8)
Georgia
2014
962
10.0 (7.0–14.1)
13.9 (9.9–19.2)

Greece
2013
4,096
13.3 (11.4–15.4)
14.9 (12.9–17.1)
11.6 (9.5–14.1)
Italy
2014
1,428
23.4 (20.8–26.4)
20.6 (16.6–25.3)
26.3 (22.3–30.1)
Kazakhstan
2014
1,715
2.8 (2.0–3.9)
3.5 (2.2–5.3)
1.9 (1.2–3.2)
Kyrgyzstan
2014
3,468
3.7 (2.7–5.0)
5.5 (3.9–7.9)
2.0 (1.2–3.1)
Latvia
2014
4,025
23.3 (21.6–25.0)
23.7 (21.6–26.0)
22.7 (20.4–25.1)
Lithuania
2014
3,113
26.4 (22.9–30.1)
28.6 (24.5–33.2)
24.1 (20.6–27.9)
Moldova
2013
3,548
8.3 (6.3–10.9)
12.7 (9.3–17.0)
3.8 (2.6–5.7)
Montenegro
2014
3,692
8.4 (4.7–14.7)

4.2 (2.7–6.4)
Portugal
2013
7,600
13.9 (12.5–15.4)
12.8 (11.3–14.5)
15.1 (13.2–17.1)
Romania
2013
3,328
11.2 (9.3–13.4)
12.2 (9.9–14.8)
10.1 (7.9–12.8)
San Marino
2014
534
14.6 (11.2–19.0)
14.4 (10.1–20.0)
15.0 (10.2–21.4)
Serbia
2013
3,076
15.0 (12.4–18.0)
15.3 (12.9–18.0)
14.6 (11.1–18.9)
Tajikistan
2014
2,411
2.4 (1.7–3.5)
2.9 (1.9–4.5)
1.6 (1.0–2.6)
Region of the Americas
Argentina
2012
2,069
22.0 (18.5–26.0)
20.2 (17.6–23.0)
23.7 (18.5–29.7)
Bahamas
2013
1,033
10.7 (7.4–15.4)
13.8 (8.4–21.8)
6.9 (4.4–10.7)
Barbados
2013
1,306
12.6 (10.4–15.3)
15.7 (12.2–19.9)
9.3 (7.1–12.0)
Belize
2014
1,273
11.5 (9.5–13.9)
15.7 (12.2–20.0)
7.5 (5.4–10.4)
Costa Rica
2013
2,158
8.3 (6.6–10.4)
9.0 (6.9–11.6)
7.6 (5.6–10.3)
El Salvador
2015
2,567
12.2 (10.0–14.7)
14.7 (11.7–18.3)
9.4 (7.3–12.1)
Guatemala
2015
3,351
15.7 (13.6–18.2)
18.0 (15.1–21.4)
13.2 (10.6–16.3)
Guyana
2015
1,000
11.7 (8.6–15.7)
16.1 (10.8–23.2)
7.5 (4.5–12.5)
Nicaragua
2014
3,006
14.6 (12.8–16.7)
16.8 (14.0–20.0)
12.3 (10.2–14.8)
Panama
2012
4,077
8.1 (7.3–9.1)
10.3 (9.1–11.6)
6.2 (5.1–7.4)
Paraguay
2014
5,153
5.8 (4.8–6.9)
5.9 (4.7–7.4)
5.7 (4.5–7.1)
Peru
2014
2,299
9.0 (6.4–12.5)
10.5 (7.2–15.2)
7.4 (5.2–10.5)
Uruguay
2014
3,256
9.9 (8.3–11.8)
9.6 (7.6–12.1)
9.8 (8.0–11.9)
South East Asian Region
Bhutan
2013
1,378
16.6 (13.9–19.4)
26.3 (21.6–31.6)
8.6 (7.0–10.6)
Indonesia
2014
4,317
19.4 (15.0–24.8)
35.3 (27.4–44.0)
3.4 (2.2–5.3)
Sri Lanka
2015
1,416
1.7 (0.9–3.2)


Thailand
2015
1,721
14.0 (10.4–18.6)
20.7 (16.0–26.3)
7.1 (4.4–11.2)
Timor-Leste
2013
1,908
35.0 (28.9–41.6)
61.4 (48.1–73.2)
15.4 (12.0–19.5)
Western Pacific Region
Brunei
2013
917
10.2 (6.3–16.0)
15.0 (8.5–25.1)
5.1 (2.7–9.7)
Mongolia
2014
6,178
5.6 (4.7–6.7)
8.2 (6.7–9.9)
3.0 (2.1–4.1)
Philippines
2015
5,885
14.5 (11.6–18.0)
20.5 (16.3–25.4)
9.1 (6.2–13.3)
South Korea
2013
3,437
5.9 (4.7–7.3)
8.4 (6.6–10.7)
3.1 (2.1–4.4)
Vietnam 2014 3,430 3.5 (2.6–4.7) 6.3 (4.6–8.4)

Abbreviation: CI = confidence interval.

* Current tobacco smoking was defined as answering ≥1 day to the question “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes?” and/or “Yes” to “During the past 30 days, did you use any form of smoked tobacco products other than cigarettes (such as [country fills appropriate examples])?”

Female prevalence significantly different from males at p<0.05.

§ Data not reported because unweighted sample size <35 or relative standard error >0.3.

By sex, the median current tobacco smoking prevalence was 14.6% among males (range = 2.9%, Tajikistan to 61.4%, Timor-Leste) and 7.5% among females (range = 1.6%, Tajikistan to 29.0%, Bulgaria). Among males, the prevalence of current tobacco smoking by WHO region ranged from 5.5% (Mozambique) to 25.6% (Seychelles) in AFR; 9.2% (Pakistan) to 32.8% (Jordan) in EMR; 2.9% (Tajikistan) to 28.6% (Lithuania) in EUR; 5.9% (Paraguay) to 20.2% (Argentina) in AMR; 20.7% (Thailand) to 61.4% (Timor-Leste) in SEAR; and 6.3% (Vietnam) to 20.5% (Philippines) in WPR (Table). Among females, the prevalence of current tobacco smoking by WHO region ranged from 1.8% (Algeria) to 15.2% (Seychelles) in AFR; 4.1% (Pakistan) to 13.4% (Jordan) in EMR; 1.6% (Tajikistan) to 29.0% (Bulgaria) in EUR; 5.7% (Paraguay) to 23.7% (Argentina) in AMR; 3.4% (Indonesia) to 15.4% (Timor-Leste) in SEAR; and 3.0% (Mongolia) to 9.1% (Philippines) in WPR. Males had a higher prevalence of current tobacco smoking in 38 countries (p<0.05); females had a significantly higher prevalence of current tobacco smoking in one country (Portugal) (p<0.05).

Among the 51 countries in which the desire to quit was assessed among current tobacco smokers, the proportion of students who desired to quit ranged from 32.1% (Uruguay) to 90.2% (Philippines); the proportion of current tobacco smokers who reported a desire to quit exceeded 50% in 40 of those countries (Figure). By WHO region, the proportions ranged from 62.2% (Seychelles) to 86.3% (Kenya) in AFR; 49.1% (United Arab Emirates) to 75.8% (Yemen) in EMR; 43.5% (Italy) to 83.1% (Moldova) in EUR; 32.1% (Uruguay) to 70.1% (Guyana) in AMR; 67.8% (Timor-Leste) to 88.2% (Indonesia) in SEARO; and 66.9% (South Korea) to 90.2% (Philippines) in WPR.

FIGURE.

The figure above is a bar chart showing the proportion of current tobacco smoking who desire to quit among students aged 13–15 years, in 51 countries, during 2012–2015.

Proportion of current tobacco smokers* who desire to quit, among students aged 13–15 years — 51§ countries, Global Youth Tobacco Survey, 2012–2015

* Current tobacco smoking was defined as answering ≥1 day to the question “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes?” and/or “Yes” to “During the past 30 days, did you use any form of smoked tobacco products other than cigarettes (such as [country fills appropriate examples])?”

Desire to quit was defined as answering “Yes” to the question “Do you want to stop smoking now?” among current tobacco smokers.

§ Data not reported for desire to quit in Comoros (2015), Gabon (2014), Mozambique (2013), Senegal (2013), Sudan (2014), Georgia (2014), Kazakhstan (2014), San Marino (2014), Tajikistan (2014), and Sri Lanka (2015) because unweighted sample size <35 or relative standard error >0.3.

Discussion

The prevalence of current tobacco smoking among students aged 13–15 years in 61 countries ranged from 1.7% (Sri Lanka) to 35.0% (Timor-Leste). In 38 countries, tobacco smoking prevalence was significantly higher among males than females. In 40 of 51 countries that collected data about the desire to quit, the proportion of students who reported current tobacco smoking and desired to quit exceeded 50%.

WHO’s Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC), the first international treaty negotiated under the auspices of WHO and developed in response to the global tobacco epidemic, includes evidence-based measures that have the potential to reduce youth tobacco use (5). These measures include increasing the price of tobacco (Article 6), bans on tobacco advertising, promotions, and sponsorship (Article 13), promoting tobacco cessation (Article 14), addressing illicit trade of tobacco products (Article 15), and prohibiting the sale of tobacco products to and by minors (Article 16). At the beginning of 2017, 59 of 61 countries in this report had ratified the FCTC. However, varying levels of tobacco control policy implementation and other country-specific factors might influence access to tobacco and tobacco smoking prevalence (6).

To assist with implementation of FCTC, countries can implement WHO’s MPOWER package (7). MPOWER is a set of evidence-based interventions intended to reduce tobacco use, including 1) monitoring tobacco use and prevention policies; 2) protecting persons from tobacco smoke; 3) offering help to quit tobacco use; 4) warning about the dangers of tobacco use; 5) enforcing bans on tobacco sponsorship, promotion, and advertising; and 6) raising taxes on tobacco. When implemented as part of a comprehensive approach, these strategies can help reduce youth tobacco use (3,4,8).

This report is subject to at least four limitations. First, data were self-reported by students, which might result in misreporting of smoking behavior. Second, the data presented represent only youths who are enrolled in school, which might limit generalizability to all youths in these countries. Third, low response rates in some countries might have resulted in nonresponse bias. Finally, only a limited number of countries were assessed from each WHO region; thus, the findings in this report are not necessarily generalizable to all countries in the respective WHO regions.

The prevalence of tobacco smoking is high among youths in many countries. However, many students who currently smoke report that they desire to quit. Implementing the evidence-based measures outlined in WHO’s MPOWER package can help reduce tobacco use among youths, as well as the estimated 1 billion tobacco-related deaths projected to occur during the 21st century if current trends persist (1).

Summary.

What is already known about this topic?

Smoked tobacco products, such as cigarettes and cigars, are the most common form of tobacco consumed worldwide and most tobacco smokers begin smoking during adolescence.

What is added by this report?

Global Youth Tobacco Survey data from 61 countries from 2012 to 2015 revealed that the median current tobacco smoking prevalence among students aged 13–15 years was 10.7%. Tobacco smoking prevalence differed by gender and varied across countries. In the majority of countries, over 50% of youth tobacco smokers desired to quit.

What are the implications for public health practice?

Implementing the evidence-based measures outlined in the World Health Organization’s MPOWER package can help reduce tobacco use among youths, as well as the estimated 1 billion tobacco-related deaths projected to occur during the 21st century if current trends persist.

Acknowledgments

Linda Anton, Global Youth Tobacco Survey Collaborating group; World Health Organization Collaborators.

Footnotes

*

The Global Youth Tobacco Survey uses a two-stage sample design to select schools with a probability of selection proportional to enrollment size. The classes within selected schools are randomly selected and all students in selected classes are eligible to participate in the survey. More information is available from https://nccd.cdc.gov/GTSSDataSurveyResources/Ancillary/Documentation.aspx?SUID=1&DOCT=1.

Two countries (Finland and Bolivia) collected data in 2012 and did not use the updated GYTS methodology, and were excluded; two countries, (Bangladesh and Turkmenistan), did not meet the minimum established threshold for reporting results of sample size <35 or relative standard error >0.3, and were excluded; and one country (Russian Federation), collected subnational data and was excluded.

§

Algeria, Cameroon, Comoros, Gabon, Kenya, Mozambique, Senegal, Seychelles, Togo, and Zimbabwe.

Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Pakistan, Qatar, Sudan, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.

**

Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Italy, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Montenegro, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, and Tajikistan.

††

Argentina, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Guyana, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, and Uruguay.

§§

Bhutan, Indonesia, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Timor-Leste.

¶¶

Brunei, South Korea, Mongolia, Philippines, and Vietnam.

***

Past 30-day use of cigarettes was assessed with the following question, “During the past 30 days, on how many days did you smoke cigarettes?” and response option were: “a) 0 days,” “b) 1 or 2 days,” “c) 3 to 5 days,” “d) 6 to 9 days,” “e) 10 to 19 days,” “f) 20 to 29 days,” and “g) All 30 days.”

†††

Past 30-day use of any form of smoked tobacco other than cigarettes was assessed with the following question, “During the past 30 days, did you use any form of smoked tobacco products other than cigarettes (such as [country fills approximate examples])?” and response options were: “a) Yes” and “b) No.”

§§§

Desire to quit smoking was assessed with the following question, “Do you want to stop smoking now?” and response options were: “a) I have never smoked,” “b) I don’t smoke now,” “c) Yes,” and “d) No.”

References


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