Abstract
Purpose
Peripheral T-cell lymphomas (PTCLs) have aggressive clinical behavior. We have previously shown that event-free survival (EFS) at 24 months (EFS24) is a clinically useful end point in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Here, we assess EFS24 and subsequent overall survival (OS) in large, multinational PTCL cohorts.
Patients and Methods
Patients with systemic PTCL newly diagnosed from 2000 to 2012 and treated with curative intent were included from the United States and Sweden (initial cohorts) and from Canada (replication cohort). EFS was defined as time from date of diagnosis to progression after primary treatment, retreatment, or death. Subsequent OS was measured after achieving EFS24 or from the time of progression if it occurred within 24 months. OS rates were compared with the age-, sex-, and country-matched general population.
Results
Seven hundred seventy-five patients were included in the study (the median age at diagnosis was 64 years; 63% were men). Results were similar in the initial and replication cohorts, and a combined analysis was undertaken. Sixty-four percent of patients progressed within the first 24 months and had a median OS of only 4.9 months (5-year OS, 11%). In contrast, median OS after achieving EFS24 was not reached (5-year OS, 78%), although relapses within 5 years of achieving EFS24 occurred in 23% of patients. Superior outcomes after achieving EFS24 were observed in younger patients (≤ 60 years of age: 5-year OS, 91%).
Conclusion
EFS24 stratifies subsequent outcome in PTCL. Patients with PTCL with primary refractory disease or early relapse have extremely poor survival. However, more than one third of patients with PTCL remain in remission 2 years after diagnosis with encouraging subsequent OS, especially in younger patients. These marked differences in outcome suggest that EFS24 has utility for patient counseling, study design, and risk stratification in PTCL.
INTRODUCTION
Peripheral T-cell lymphomas (PTCLs) represents a group of non-Hodgkin lymphomas (NHLs) of mature T-cell origin with generally aggressive clinical behavior.1 PTCLs are less common than their B-cell counterparts, representing about 10% of NHLs in Western populations. Most systemic PTCLs are treated with anthracycline-based combination chemotherapy such as cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone. This regimen was selected based on data from early trials that combined PTCLs with the more frequent aggressive B-cell NHLs, particularly diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL).2 Although the regimen of cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone remains an effective backbone for therapy of DLBCL, it is suboptimal for PTCL.
Although the WHO classification of lymphoid neoplasms lists > 25 distinct mature T-cell and natural killer (NK) cell neoplasms,3 the three predominantly nodal subtypes that account for most systemic PTCLs in Western countries are PTCL not otherwise specified (NOS); angioimmunoblastic T-cell lymphoma (AITL); and anaplastic large-cell lymphoma (ALCL). Among ALCLs, approximately half are anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK) positive and have favorable overall survival (OS) rates in part, although not entirely, attributable to the young and generally healthy population in which this subtype occurs.4-6 Thus, PTCL NOS, AITL, and ALK-negative ALCL represent the majority of aggressive PTCLs. Some centers perform consolidative autologous stem-cell transplantation (SCT) in first remission, but its effect remains controversial, and only a fraction of patients achieve remission. Furthermore, identifying better drug regimens has been hampered by the overall rarity and heterogeneity of PTCLs coupled with a relative paucity of validated therapeutic targets for novel treatment approaches. Both of these issues are now being addressed, the first by developing consortium-based approaches7 and the second through better molecular understanding of PTCLs achieved by using next-generation sequencing and other high-throughput technologies.8,9
We previously used landmark analyses based on event-free survival (EFS) to evaluate clinically useful end points in other aggressively treated lymphomas and showed that EFS at 24 months (EFS24) stratified subsequent OS in DLBCL and immunochemotherapy-treated follicular lymphoma.10,11 In classic Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL), Hapgood et al12 have reported that achieving EFS24 predicts excellent outcome regardless of the status of established baseline prognostic factors. On the basis of these findings, we sought to evaluate EFS24 and OS in PTCL referenced to the general background population.
PATIENTS AND METHODS
Study Design
An international cohort of patients with newly diagnosed PTCL treated with curative-intent combination chemotherapy regimens was assembled from the University of Iowa/Mayo Clinic Specialized Program of Research Excellence Molecular Epidemiology Resource (MER) and the Swedish Lymphoma Registry (SWE). Subtypes included were ALK-negative ALCL; AITL; PTCL NOS; enteropathy-associated T-cell lymphoma; extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma, nasal type; and hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma. Precursor T-cell malignancies, primary cutaneous lymphomas, leukemic T-cell neoplasms, and ALK-positive ALCL were excluded. Demographic and clinical data were recorded, including International Prognostic Index (IPI) risk factors. To validate the findings and increase sample size for subset analyses, a replication cohort was assembled from the BC Cancer Agency (BCCA). After confirming initial results, the cohorts were pooled for subsequent analyses. This study was reviewed and approved by the Human Subjects Institutional Review Boards at Mayo Clinic and the University of Iowa; the Regional Ethical Board, Lund, Sweden; and the University of British Columbia-BCCA Research Ethics Board. Research was conducted in accordance with the Declaration of Helsinki.
MER Cohort
Patients were prospectively enrolled within 9 months of diagnosis in the MER cohort between 2002 and 2012. Details on the cohort have been previously published.13 All patients were ≥ 18 years of age, were residents of the United States, and provided written consent. Exclusion criteria included known HIV infection and unwillingness or inability to provide written informed consent. Pathology was reviewed by an expert hematopathologist to verify diagnoses and WHO subtypes. Baseline clinical, laboratory, and treatment data were abstracted from medical records using a standard protocol. All patients were systematically contacted every 6 months for the first 3 years and then annually thereafter. Disease progression, retreatment, and deaths were verified through medical record review.
Swedish Cohort
Details on the Swedish cohort have been previously published.14 All patients in the Swedish Lymphoma Registry (SLR) diagnosed with T-cell lymphomas between January of 2000 and December of 2009 were identified. The SLR covers approximately 95% of all patients with lymphoma ≥ 18 years of age in Sweden compared with the compulsory Swedish Cancer Registry, as described previously. The diagnosis of PTCL was established in routine clinical care with contributions from 21 pathology centers. Samples from approximately 75% of patients were reviewed by expert hematopathologists at large academic centers at diagnosis. Although specific pathology review of slides was not performed for this study, each pathology report was retrospectively reviewed for classification according to WHO criteria.15 Patients not fulfilling criteria for PTCL, as described earlier, were excluded. Response to treatment was most often assessed by review of computed tomography scan reports or, if missing or unavailable, review of physician notes. Data were collected from the SLR, and after informed consent, further data were obtained through medical record review.
BCCA Cohort
Patients ≥ 18 years of age diagnosed between January of 2000 and January of 2012 with PTCL who met pathologic eligibility criteria and were treated with curative-intent chemotherapy were identified in the BCCA Lymphoid Cancer Database. Diagnoses were based on expert central BCCA hematopathology review. Patients were treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy except for patients with hepatosplenic T-cell lymphoma (where nonanthracycline regimens were used and consolidative allogeneic transplantation was planned) and extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma (where nonanthracyline regimens have been endorsed since 2010). In general, patients were observed every 3 months for 2 years, every 6 months until year 5, and annually thereafter.
Statistical Methods
EFS was defined as the time from the date of pathologic diagnosis to progression after primary treatment, retreatment, or death from any cause. EFS24 was defined as being alive and event free 24 months after diagnosis. Subsequent OS was defined as time from achieving EFS24 (24 months after diagnosis) or time from progression in patients who did not achieve EFS24 (progression within 24 months of diagnosis) to death from any cause. OS was compared with the age-, sex-, and country-matched general population using rate tables from the United States,16 Sweden,16 and British Columbia17 via standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) and expected survival using a conditional approach via the survexp function in R (package survival), modified to allow country of origin as an additional matching feature in a multinational data set. Survival was plotted using Kaplan-Meier curves. χ2 and Wilcoxon rank sum tests were used to evaluate differences between patient characteristics across the cohorts. P values were two-sided.
RESULTS
Patient Characteristics
Initial analyses were performed in 560 patients from the MER cohort (n = 138) and the SWE cohort (n = 422), with validation in 215 patients from the BCCA cohort. All 775 patients from the MER, SWE, and BCCA cohorts diagnosed with PTCL from 2000 to 2012 were included in the combined analysis. Cohort-specific and combined patient characteristics are listed in Table 1. Median age at diagnosis was 64 years (range, 18 to 89 years), and 63% of patients were male. Patients in the SWE cohort were older (64% > 60 years old v 46% in the MER cohort and 49% in the BCCA cohort; P < .001). Patients in the BCCA cohort had more advanced-stage disease (85% stage III and IV v 68% in the SWE cohort v 73% in the MER cohort; P < .001), poorer performance status (PS; 42% with PS of 2 to 4 in the BCCA cohort v 30% in the SWE cohort v 22% in the MER cohort; P < .001), and a higher frequency of IPI scores > 2 (P = .044). Of the 775 patients, 736 (95%) received anthracycline-based chemotherapy at diagnosis. Autologous SCT consolidation rates in first remission for the SWE cohort was 32% versus 15% in the MER cohort, versus 15% in the BCCA cohort, 0% (P < .001). Median follow-up time was 59 months (range, 11 to 120 months) in the MER cohort, 97 months (range, 40 to 158 months) in the SWE cohort, and 117 months (range, 1 to 185 months) in the BCCA cohort. Across the 775 patients, 582 patients (75%) had an event, and 516 patients (67%) died. EFS and OS from diagnosis by cohort are shown in Appendix Figure A1 (online only).
Table 1.
Initial Results by EFS24 in MER and SWE Cohorts and Validation in BCCA Cohort
The initial analysis from the MER and SWE cohorts included 560 patients. Of these patients, 36% achieved EFS24 and 64% did not. Median OS after progression within the first 24 months was 5.3 months (95% CI, 3.8 to 6.2 months), with a 5-year OS of 10% and SMR of 44.7 (95% CI, 39.4 to 50.6; Fig 1A). In contrast, median OS after achieving EFS24 was not reached, with a 5-year OS of 77% (95% CI, 71% to 84%; Fig 1B). Expected 5-year OS was 91% in the age-, sex-, and country-matched population (SMR, 3.40; 95% CI, 2.58 to 4.47; Table 2).
Table 2.
Because of the rarity of PTCL and the heterogeneity between outcomes in the MER and SWE cohorts (Appendix Fig A1), we enlisted a third cohort from the BCCA to confirm these results and increase sample size. The BCCA cohort included 215 patients. The findings were similar to those of the MER and SWE cohorts, with 36% of patients achieving EFS24 and 64% of patients not achieving EFS24. Median OS after progression within the first 24 months was 4.5 months (95% CI, 2.2 to 5.7 months), with a 5-year OS of 14% and SMR of 50.3 (95% CI, 42.1 to 60.1; Fig 1C). Median OS after achieving EFS24 was not reached, with a 5-year OS of 81% (95% CI, 73% to 91%; Fig 1D). Expected 5-year OS was 92% in the age-, sex-, and country-matched population (SMR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.79 to 4.13; Table 2).
Outcomes in Combined Cohort
In the combined cohort analysis, 36% of patients achieved EFS24 and 64% of patients did not. Median OS after progression within the first 24 months was 4.9 months (95% CI, 3.8 to 5.9 months), with a 5-year OS of 11% and SMR of 46.4 (95% CI, 41.8 to 51.3; Fig 2A). In contrast, median OS after achieving EFS24 was not reached, with a 5-year OS of 78% (95% CI, 73% to 84%; Fig 2B). Expected 5-year OS was 92% in the age-, sex-, and country-matched population (SMR, 3.16; 95% CI, 2.48 to 3.98; Table 2). In patients who achieved EFS24, the 5-year risk of subsequent lymphoma relapse was 23% (Fig 3A), and survival after late relapse was poor, with a median OS of 10.3 months (95% CI, 5.7 to 19.1 months; Fig 3B).
Outcomes by Pathologic Subtype and Other Subgroups in Combined Cohort
This study limited subtypes to the aggressive PTCLs, mirroring criteria often used for clinical trials.18 However, even aggressive PTCL subtypes differ in clinical outcomes4; therefore, we examined subtype-specific outcomes based on EFS24. In general, OS rates compared with the background population after achieving EFS24 were similar by subtype (Fig 4; Table 2). Of note, although ALK-negative ALCL had the best EFS and OS from diagnosis among the subtypes studied (Appendix Fig A2, online only), it had the poorest subsequent 5-year OS after achieving EFS24 (69%, compared with 78% for PTCL NOS, 84% for AITL, and 93% for other subtypes; Fig 4).
The most favorable outcomes after achieving EFS24 were observed in younger patients, defined as age ≤ 60 years based on the IPI (n = 137; 5-year OS of 91% v 98% expected; Appendix Fig A3A, online only). Patients who received autologous SCT in first remission (n = 72) had a 5-year OS of 88% (v 96% expected); patients who did not receive autologous SCT who achieved EFS24 (n = 189) had a 5-year OS of 74% (v 90% expected; Appendix Fig A3B). It is important to note, however, that this study was neither designed nor powered to address the question of whether patients with PTCL derive benefit from SCT in first remission. Additional factors (eg, comorbidities) may also affect this analysis. Table 2 lists outcomes based on other clinical factors. EFS24 status was informative for future OS in all patient subsets and superseded prognostic classification at diagnosis.
Sensitivity Analysis for EFS24 Versus Other Time Points
As a sensitivity analysis, we examined outcomes in the pooled data set by other landmark time points of EFS, including EFS at 12, 18, 30, 36, and 48 months. Although subsequent 5-year OS continued to increase from the 12-month EFS time point (67%) to the EFS24 time point (78%), there was little benefit to examining later EFS time points and no meaningful narrowing of the difference between the EFS-based OS and the expected OS (Appendix Table A1, online only). There was little difference in subsequent outcomes after progression regardless of the time point chosen (5-year OS after progression, 10.6% for 12 months v 12.2% for 36 months; Appendix Table A2, online only).
DISCUSSION
To our knowledge, this study is the first to examine EFS-based end points systematically in patients with aggressive subtypes of PTCL treated with anthracycline-based chemotherapy regimens. The data demonstrate that even in this group of patients with generally poor prognosis, those who remain event free 2 years after diagnosis have favorable long-term outcomes, with some patients potentially cured. Conversely, events within 2 years are associated with early death in nearly all patients. Thus, EFS24 is a dichotomous end point that allows individualized risk prediction in patients with PTCL and can help inform patient counseling, biomarker discovery, clinical trial design, and precision medicine approaches.
Nearly two thirds of the 775 patients in this international cohort developed progressive disease within 24 months of diagnosis, confirming the aggressive nature of the PTCL subtypes included and the relative ineffectiveness of current chemotherapy regimens. The subsequent 5-year OS rate after progression in these patients was only 11%, indicating that few patients with early progression can be treated successfully with salvage therapy, consistent with the results of a previous BCCA-based study by Mak et al19 of relapsed or progressive PTCL. With somewhat different inclusion criteria, they reported a median time to event of 6.7 months, with median progression-free survival and OS times after relapse or progression of 3.1 months and 5.5 months, respectively.19 However, despite the overall poor prognosis of PTCL, 36% of patients in the current study achieved EFS24, with a subsequent 5-year OS of 78%. This finding underscores that a subset of patients with typically aggressive PTCL subtypes has favorable outcomes. Mak et al19 also identified occasional long-term survivors after relapse, particularly in patients with good PS scores. In the current analysis, patients with a PS of 2 to 4 had a 5-year OS rate of 76% after achieving EFS24; even patients with IPI scores of 4 or 5 at diagnosis had a subsequent 5-year OS rate of 59%. Subsequent OS rates after achieving EFS24 were > 90% in patients ≤ 60 years of age and those who received autologous SCT, suggesting that EFS24 may be a particularly important end point in these patients. Notably, EFS24 status stratified subsequent OS across all subtypes and diagnostic prognosis groups. For the practicing clinician, the EFS24 status allows recalibration of a patient’s prognosis after the patient has been treated and observed for 2 years since diagnosis.
Even within distinct subtypes of aggressive PTCLs, molecular heterogeneity has important implications for outcome. Genetic stratification of ALK-negative ALCL using clinically available fluorescence in situ hybridization tests yields subgroups of patients with 5-year OS rates ranging from 17% for patients with TP63 rearrangements to 90% for those with DUSP22 rearrangements (similar to ALK-positive ALCL).20,21 Therefore, future genetic stratification of the ALK-negative ALCL cohort might improve utility of EFS24 in this disease and elucidate the clinical significance of late events. Within PTCL NOS, prognostically distinct subgroups can be delineated based on expression of the transcription factors GATA3 and TBX21.9,22 Furthermore, a markedly heterogeneous spectrum of mutations in all subtypes affects a variety of processes including T-cell receptor signaling, communication between tumor cells and the microenvironment, and key growth signals.8,23,24 The use of a dichotomous end point that allows individualized risk prediction is particularly important in rare diseases such as PTCL, where limited numbers of patients may make formal surrogate end point analysis difficult. We recently developed a personalized risk prediction tool for DLBCL that estimates the probability of failing to achieve EFS24 using a multivariable model that includes standard IPI criteria.25 This model outperformed IPI and National Comprehensive Cancer Network IPI and is easily accessible through app-based electronic tools. The current findings on the discriminatory value of EFS24 in PTCL provide the opportunity for developing a similar tool for this group of diseases.
Although achieving EFS24 identifies patients with PTCL with relatively favorable subsequent outcomes, survival does not reach that of the general population, and SMRs remain significantly worse than for other lymphomas studied, including DLBCL, aggressively treated follicular lymphoma, and cHL.10-12 Notably, patients who achieve EFS24 remain at a high risk of late progression (23% at 5 years from achieving EFS24, approximately three times the rate reported in DLBCL10,26 and cHL12). Furthermore, survival after late progression of PTCL was nearly as poor as survival after early progression; thus, improved therapies are needed across all PTCLs.1 Future early-phase clinical trials could use EFS24 as a surrogate end point to speed assessment of novel drugs and combinations. Despite outcomes not reaching the general population level, results are encouraging in patients achieving EFS24, and some patients seem to be cured. Because most outcomes data do not include the long follow-up obtained in the prospective cohorts studied here, EFS24 may represent a useful end point for discovery and validation of predictive biomarkers that can inform decisions regarding the intensity and selection of therapy in individual patients.27
Strengths of the study include the large data set of patients for an uncommon disease and consistent results across multiple international registry-based cohorts. The data are quite mature, with a median follow-up time from diagnosis of > 6 years and complete follow-up on nearly 70% of patients. However, although large for this disease, the sample size is small for subgroup analyses; predictions of outcomes for PTCL subtypes and other subgroups should be confirmed in other studies. The 24-month time point was chosen as a result of prior results in DLBCL, cHL, and immunochemotherapy-treated follicular lymphoma.10-12 Examining a range of time points from 12 to 48 months suggested there was little to be gained from later end points that take longer to evaluate, whereas earlier end points did not dichotomize the two groups as effectively.
In conclusion, assessment of EFS24 stratifies subsequent outcome in PTCL. Patients with early relapse of PTCL have extremely poor subsequent survival. However, more than one third of patients with PTCL remain in remission 2 years from diagnosis after initial chemotherapy and have encouraging OS rates, although survival remains significantly worse than the matched general population and risk of subsequent progression persists. Such patients require indefinite surveillance with diligent evaluation of suspicious clinical findings; the role of radiologic surveillance merits further study. Subset analysis suggests that younger patients (≤ 60 years of age) have a better prognosis, although survival remains inferior to that expected in the background population. The marked differences in OS in patients with PTCL who did and did not achieve EFS24 suggest that this end point may be useful for patient counseling and as an end point to assess novel biomarkers for risk stratification.
Appendix
Table A1.
Table A2.
Footnotes
Supported by Grants No. P50 CA97274 (University of Iowa/Mayo Clinic Lymphoma Specialized Programs of Research Excellence), R01 CA177734 (to A.L.F.), P30 CA15083 (Mayo Clinic Cancer Center), and U01 CA195568 (Lymphoma Epidemiology of Outcomes Cohort) from the National Cancer Institute and by the Terry Fox Research Institute and the British Columbia Cancer Foundation (BC Cancer Agency).
Presented in part at the 57th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology, Orlando, FL, December 5-8, 2015, and the 58th Annual Meeting of the American Society of Hematology, San Diego, CA, December 3-6, 2016.
AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS
Conception and design: Matthew J. Maurer, Fredrik Ellin, Mats Jerkeman, James R. Cerhan, Thomas Relander, Kerry J. Savage, Andrew L. Feldman
Provision of study materials or patients: Brian K. Link, Thomas Relander
Collection and assembly of data: Matthew J. Maurer, Fredrik Ellin, Line Srour, Joseph M. Connors, Graham W. Slack, Karin E. Smedby, Stephen M. Ansell, Brian K. Link, James R. Cerhan, Thomas Relander, Kerry J. Savage, Andrew L. Feldman
Data analysis and interpretation: Matthew J. Maurer, Fredrik Ellin, Line Srour, N. Nora Bennani, Joseph M. Connors, Karin E. Smedby, Stephen M. Ansell, James R. Cerhan, Kerry J. Savage, Andrew L. Feldman
Manuscript writing: All authors
Final approval of manuscript: All authors
Accountable for all aspects of the work: All authors
AUTHORS' DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST
International Assessment of Event-Free Survival at 24 Months and Subsequent Survival in Peripheral T-Cell Lymphoma
The following represents disclosure information provided by authors of this manuscript. All relationships are considered compensated. Relationships are self-held unless noted. I = Immediate Family Member, Inst = My Institution. Relationships may not relate to the subject matter of this manuscript. For more information about ASCO's conflict of interest policy, please refer to www.asco.org/rwc or ascopubs.org/jco/site/ifc.
Matthew J. Maurer
Research Funding: Kite Pharma (Inst), Celgene (Inst)
Fredrik Ellin
Consulting or Advisory Role: CTI Life Sciences
Line Srour
No relationship to disclose
Mats Jerkeman
Research Funding: Janssen, Celgene, Abbot, Gilead
N. Nora Bennani
Research Funding: Bristol-Myers Squibb Brazil (Inst)
Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Celgene
Joseph M. Connors
Research Funding: Seattle Genetics (Inst), Bristol-Myers Squibb (Inst), Amgen (Inst), Bayer Health (Inst), Cephalon (Inst), Roche (Inst), Genentech (Inst), Janssen Oncology (Inst), Eli Lilly (Inst), Merck (Inst), NanoString Technologies (Inst), Takeda (Inst)
Patents, Royalties, Other Intellectual Property: Evaluation of mantle-cell lymphoma and methods related thereof (Inst), Methods for selecting and treating lymphoma types (Inst)
Graham W. Slack
Consulting or Advisory Role: Seattle Genetics
Karin E. Smedby
Consulting or Advisory Role: Celgene
Research Funding: Janssen
Stephen M. Ansell
Honoraria: WebMD, Research to Practice
Research Funding: Bristol-Myers Squibb (Inst), Celldex (Inst), Seattle Genetics (Inst), Merck (Inst), Affimed Therapeutics (Inst), Trillium Therapeutics (Inst)
Brian K. Link
Consulting or Advisory Role: Genentech, Abbvie, Gilead Sciences, Celgene
Research Funding: Genentech (Inst)
Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Genentech, Celgene
James R. Cerhan
Consulting or Advisory Role: Janssen, Gilead Sciences
Research Funding: Kite Pharma (Inst)
Thomas Relander
No relationship to disclose
Kerry J. Savage
Honoraria: Seattle Genetics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Merck, Novartis, Gilead Sciences, Abbvie, Takeda
Consulting or Advisory Role: Seattle Genetics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Merck, Servier, Novartis, Gilead Sciences
Speakers' Bureau: Seattle Genetics
Research Funding: Roche (Inst)
Andrew L. Feldman
Consulting or Advisory Role: Infinity Pharmaceuticals
Patents, Royalties, Other Intellectual Property: Inventor of technology for which Mayo Clinic holds an unlicensed patent or has submitted a patent application (Inst)
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