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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Pediatr. 2017 Dec 11;193:76–84.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2017.09.076

Periconception exposure to air pollution and risk of congenital malformations

Sheng Ren a,b, Erin Haynes c, Eric Hall d, Monir Hossain e, Aimin Chen c, Louis Muglia d, Long Lu b, Emily DeFranco d,f
PMCID: PMC5794608  NIHMSID: NIHMS930223  PMID: 29237538

Abstract

Objective

To evaluate the association between increased exposure to airborne fine particulate matter (PM2.5) during the periconception period with risk of congenital anomalies (CA).

Study Design

Using birth certificate data from the Ohio Department of Health (2006–2010) and PM2.5 data from the US Environmental Protection Agency’s 57 monitoring stations located throughout Ohio, geographic coordinates of the mother’s residence for each birth were linked to the nearest PM2.5 monitoring station and monthly exposure averages were calculated. The association between CA and increased PM2.5 levels was estimated, with adjustment for coexistent risk factors.

Results

After adjustment for coexisting risk factors, exposure to increased levels of PM2.5 in the air during the periconception period was modestly associated with risk of CA. Compared to other periconception exposure windows, increased exposure during the 1 month prior to conception was associated with the highest risk increase at smaller distances from monitor stations. The strongest influences of PM2.5 on individual malformations were found with abdominal wall defects, and hypospadias, especially during the 1 month preconception.

Conclusion(s)

Increased exposure to PM2.5 in the periconception period is associated with some modest risk increases for congenital malformations. The most susceptible time of exposure appears to be the one month prior to and after conception. Although the increased risk with PM2.5 exposure is modest, the potential impact on a population basis is noteworthy as all pregnant women have some degree of exposure.

Keywords: PM2.5, air pollution, birth defect, congenital anomaly, malformation

1. Introduction

Congenital malformations are among the most serious complications of pregnancy, affecting 3% of all births in the US.(1) The spectrum of birth defects is wide ranging from minor anomalies having no adverse health effects to severe major malformations that result in death. As a group, congenital anomalies are a leading cause of infant mortality in the United States.(1)

Although some specific malformations have a clear cause-effect relationship with periconception exposure such as poor glycemic control in diabetics and the caudal regression syndrome or thalidomide and limb reduction anomalies, most congenital anomalies have no known singular teratogenic etiology.(2) Considering that embryonic maldevelopment leading to congenital anomalies is a multifactorial disease process, investigators have become increasingly interested in the contribution of modifiable risk factors such as exposure to environmental pollutants. Prior studies that have indicated the possible association of particulate matter (PM) with birth defects, have been limited by inconsistency in definitions of high exposure levels, geographic measures of exposure, and timing of high exposure assignment.(3-12) Inconsistent definitions of high exposure levels not only lead to inconsistent findings, but also introduce bias into the estimates of odds ratios by improperly dichotomizing PM2.5 exposure.(13) The majority of prior studies on PM exposure examined coarse particles (aerodynamic diameter ≤ 10 µg/m3, PM10), which can be inhaled and accumulate in the respiratory system. Fine particles, PM2.5 (aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 µg/m3) are believed to be a more significant health hazard because they can deposit deep into lower airways and alveoli within the lungs and subsequently enter the systemic circulation. (14) However, the findings of studies examining PM2.5 on congenital anomaly risk have been inconsistent showing minor associations with a few individual anomalies or no effect.(3, 6, 7, 10-12, 15)

Because embryonic development occurs in the first trimester of pregnancy, the timing between an exposure and maldevelopment- assuming a true cause-effect relationship- must occur either before conception or in the early first trimester of pregnancy. Prior studies of PM2.5 have limited the exposure period studied to a small window during the early first trimester only, and did not investigate exposure in the months preceding conception.(3, 6, 7, 10, 11, 15) In this study, we aim to describe the association between exposure to airborne fine particle pollution, PM2.5, in a month-by-month fashion examining the time extending from two months prior to and through two months after conception with risk of congenital malformations. We also explore exposure-outcome associations by varying the cut-off values of geographic distance from monitor station.

2. Methods

2.1. Study Population

We developed a geo-spatial population-based cohort study using Ohio Department of Health live birth records. The Ohio Department of Health and Human Subjects Institutional Review Board approved a protocol for this study. This study was exempt from review by the Institutional Review Board at the University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio. A data set generated from vital records of all live births that occurred in the state from 2006–2010 was provided for this analysis. We analyzed live births to women whose residential address was within a defined distance threshold of their nearest PM2.5 monitor. A detailed description of the study population is illustrated in Figure 1. Births with recorded Down syndrome or other suspected chromosomal disorder (pending or confirmed) (16, 17) were not included in the primary analysis; however, they were examined as an individual outcomes and also included in a separate sensitivity analysis.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Flow diagram of the study population

Exposure values from central monitoring stations were used to estimate personal exposure levels of births during the study period. As there has been no clearly defined optimal distance cut-off to estimate exposure values related to a stationary monitor, we analyzed outcomes using multiple distances including residential address perimeters of 5, 7, and 10 km from monitor station. (6, 8, 16, 18, 19).

2.2. PM2.5 exposure assessment

PM2.5 levels were measured daily during the study period (2005–2010) by 57 US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) stationary monitors across Ohio, and from this monthly averages were calculated. (20) The monthly averages were linked to Ohio birth records using the location of maternal residences. (21) We assigned the monthly average values of PM2.5 to each birth for five different monthly time periods: one and two months before/after conception, and the month of conception, linking data from the nearest monitoring stations using ArcGIS 10.1 (ESRI, Redlands, CA) software. These periconception time periods were calculated based on the gestational age at birth recorded in the birth certificate. There is no standard for the definition of “high exposure” in studies using stationary monitor exposure data for birth outcome.(16) Dichotomizing exposure values may be problematic and may introduce bias into the estimates of odds ratios.(13) Therefore, in our study, we treated PM2.5 exposure as a continuous variable, and reported odds ratios in both per IQR and per 10 µg/m3 increase.

2.3. Outcome measures

The primary outcome was major congenital anomaly at birth, as recorded on the 2003 version of the US birth certificate. Congenital anomaly of a newborn is recorded in the US standard certificate of live birth in a standardized manner. Strict criteria for the definition of each congenital anomaly are outlined in the Guide to Completing The Facility Worksheets for the Certificate of Live Birth and Report of Fetal Death (2003 revision), National Center for Health Statistics. (22) The presence of a major congenital anomaly in this study was defined as the presence of one or more of those reported anomalies. The frequency of the primary outcome of any congenital anomaly and the secondary outcomes of individual congenital anomalies were calculated.

2.4. Statistical Analysis

2.4.1. Descriptive analysis

The frequency of individual congenital anomalies recorded on the live birth certificate within the defined areas of study, stratified by distance cutoff from monitor (5 km, 7 km, and 10 km) were calculated. Baseline maternal and delivery characteristics were compared between the outcome group with congenital anomalies and the referent group of births with no anomaly, with p-value reported for χ2 test comparisons for - 10 km cutoff dataset (n=289,950). Rates of congenital anomalies among each baseline characteristic are reported as number of anomaly cases per 1000 live births. Summary statistics of PM2.5 levels were then calculated for births with congenital anomalies and those with no anomalies, stratified by month of exposure. No adjustment for multiple comparisons is preferable in this type of observational study as it leads to fewer errors of interpretation and allows for detection of natural observations of association.(23)

2.4.2. Outcome analysis

We used binomial regression with logistic link to analyze the association between congenital anomalies and PM2.5 exposures. Considering the spatial correlation of subjects sharing the same monitoring station, the use of a marginal model for this study is suitable. We utilized Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) with exchangeable correlation structure to account for spatial correlation of subjects sharing the same PM2.5 monitor.(24) Estimates of association were adjusted for the confounding effects of maternal and newborn factors. Following model selection criteria described below, some of those individual covariates were removed from the final adjusted model.

To assess the influence of time of PM2.5 exposure on the primary outcome of any congenital anomaly, we stratified the exposure-outcome adjusted analyses by multiple time periods during the periconception period: one and two months before/after conception, the month of conception, and average of three periconception months. To provide a more comprehensive description of the influence of PM2.5 exposure on specific organ systems, analyses were repeated for the secondary outcomes of individual anomalies grouped by organ systems. Results are reported as adjusted odds ratio (adjOR) with 95% confidence interval (CI). Displaying the association as odds ratios with CI provides more information with regards to the direction of effect and effect size compared to just presenting association with p-values, and also avoids the need of complicated multiple testing adjustment methods for the p-values as they are highly correlated.(25)

2.4.3. Model selection

The following rules were considered in model selection:

  1. Biological plausibility: Based on previously published data (8, 11, 26) as well as known factors associated with congenital anomalies, we included some covariates in our adjusted models based on their biological plausibility, rather than selection by small p-value or ‘best’ fit under a model selection rule. Such variables included maternal age, race, smoking status, season of conception and pre-pregnancy diabetes.

  2. Quasi-Akaike information criterion (QIC): QIC is a model fitting criteria for generalized linear models using GEE.(27) Models with lower QIC values were favored as they represent better model fit.

  3. Covariate set selection for consistent adjustment in multiple analyses. Due to varying quantity of missing data or observations in the multiple stratified analysis using different distance cutoffs and time periods of exposure, a single consistent set of covariates was chosen for all adjusted analyses rather than model-specific covariate sets selected for each individual analysis.

Final models were constructed incorporating a group of covariates selected based on biological plausibility and low QIC. The final models included the following covariates: maternal age (coded as categorical variables with 3 levels: less than or equal to 18, 19–34, and greater than 34 years of age(14), race/ethnicity (Hispanic, non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black and non-Hispanic others), pre-pregnancy diabetes, smoking status, marital status, educational level (coded as categorical variables with 3 levels: less than high school, high school graduate, and postsecondary education), season of conception and infant gender.

2.4.4. Sensitivity analyses

We performed sensitivity analyses modeling smoking in pregnancy as average number of cigarette smoked during immediate preconception period as a categorical variable composed of four groups: non-smokers, 1–9 cigarettes per day, 10–19 cigarettes per day and > 20 cigarettes smoked per day. In addition, we performed sensitivity analyses measuring the association between PM2.5 and congenital anomalies by including and excluding genetic abnormalities in the outcome analyses.

3. Results

3.1. Descriptive analyses

The locations of congenital anomaly cases, PM2.5 monitors, and the buffer regions representing 5 and 10 km circumferences around monitor stations in Ohio are demonstrated in Figure 2. The relationship of monitor stations, congenital anomaly cases and density by county in Ohio are further represented in Figure 3; online. Some of the most densely populated counties have the highest number of congenital anomalies cases (Figure 3a; online); however, they have relatively low frequency of congenital anomalies based on high birth density within the county (Figure 3b; online). Likewise, some counties with low birth density have higher rates of congenital anomalies.

Figure 2. Maternal residence of congenital anomalies cases, locations of monitor stations and their buffer regions.

Figure 2

In this figure, red dots denote congenital anomalies cases, green dots denote the locations of monitor stations, 5km and 10km buffer regions were indicated by darker and lighter purple circles.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

online. Congenital anomalies count and density by counties across Ohio from 2006 to 2010 (A) congenital anomalies count map by counties (B) congenital anomalies density map by counties

The frequency of congenital anomalies that occurred within the three specified distance cutoffs are presented in Table 1; online. The most common anomaly was cleft lip/palate, followed by abdominal wall defects. Differences in maternal demographic and pregnancy characteristics between the outcome group with congenital anomalies and the referent group of births with no anomaly are presented in Table 2; online. Births complicated by congenital anomalies occurred more commonly in young mothers ≤ 18 years of age, non-Hispanic White mothers, those with low educational attainment and of low socioeconomic status (as measured by use of Medicaid insurance). Cigarette smoking and pre-pregnancy diabetes were also significantly associated with presence of congenital anomalies. The rate of congenital anomalies was highest among pregnancies complicated by pregestational diabetes, 7.1 cases per 1000 live births. Anomalies occurred slightly more frequently in the earlier years of study (2006 and 2007), and in births during the summer and fall seasons.

Table 1.

(online). Number of congenital anomalies in each birth cohort, stratified by distance from residential address to PM2.5 monitor stationa

Groups of congenital anomalies Congenital anomaly Number of cases and rate per 1000 live births
10 km 7 km 5 km
Total number of births in the study populationb 290173 210777 143968
Chromosome disorders Suspected Chromosomal disorderc 227 (0.8‰) 93 (0.3‰) 167 (0.8‰) 69 (0.3‰) 110 (0.8‰) 45 (0.3‰)
Down Syndromec 140 (0.5‰) 103 (0.5‰) 66 (0.5‰)
Hypospadias Hypospadias 116 (0.4‰) 116 (0.4‰) 82 (0.4‰) 82 (0.4‰) 54 (0.4‰) 54 (0.4‰)
Cleft Lip/Palate Cleft Palate 230 (0.8‰) 124 (0.4‰) 178 (0.8‰) 95 (0.5‰) 124 (0.9‰) 64 (0.4‰)
Cleft Lip with or without Cleft Palate 166 (0.6‰) 132 (0.6‰) 95 (0.7‰)
Limb Reduction Defect Limb Reduction Defect 61 (0.2‰) 61 (0.2‰) 39 (0.2‰) 39 (0.2‰) 26 (0.2‰) 26 (0.2‰)
Abdominal defect Gastroschisis 184 (0.6‰) 114 (0.4‰) 135 (0.6‰) 88 (0.4‰) 93 (0.6‰) 64 (0.4‰)
Omphalocele 28 (0.1‰) 21 (0.1‰) 11 (0.1‰)
Congenital diaphragmatic hernia 44 (0.2‰) 27 (0.1‰) 19 (0.1‰)
Cyanotic congenital heart disease Cyanotic congenital heart disease 108 (0.4‰) 108 (0.4‰) 86 (0.4‰) 86 (0.4‰) 47 (0.3‰) 47 (0.3‰)
Neural tube defect Meningomyelocele/Spina Bifida 126 (0.4‰) 63 (0.2‰) 99 (0.5‰) 51 (0.2‰) 77 (0.5‰) 42 (0.3‰)
Anencephaly 66 (0.2‰) 51 (0.2‰) 38 (0.3‰)
a

Subjects are counted multiple times if they have multiple congenital anomalies.

b

Chromosome disorders subjects are included in this table, but they are excluded in main statistical analysis

c

Both confirmed and pending subjects are included

Table 2.

(online). Characteristics of study population (Ohio Birth Cohort 2006–2010)

Pregnancy and birth characteristics, 10 km cutoff cohort Any congenital anomalya
(N=784)
No anomaly
(N=289950)
p-valueb Congenital anomaly rate per 1,000
Demographic Factors
 Maternal age
  ≤ 18 years 81 (10.3%) 21080 (7.3%) <0.01 3.8
  19–34 years 620 (79.1%) 234400 (81.1%) 2.6
  ≥ 35 years 83 (10.6%) 33686 (11.7%) 2. 5
 Race and Ethnicity
  Non-Hispanic White 548 (69.9%) 182378 (63.1%) <0.01 3.0
  Non-Hispanic Black 181 (23.1%) 83077 (28.7%) 2.2
  Non-Hispanic Other 18 (2.3%) 8321 (2.9%) 2.2
  Hispanic 37 (4.7%) 15390 (5.3%) 2.4
Social Behaviors & Socioeconomic Factors
 Education
   Less than high school 191 (24.4%) 57650 (19.9%) <0.01 3.3
   High school graduate 396 (50.5%) 137913 (47.7%) 2.9
   College education 197 (25.1%) 93603 (32.4%) 2.1
 Tobacco use
    Yes 189 (24.1%) 54215 (18.8%) <0.01 3.5
    No 595(75.9%) 234951 (81.3%) 2.5
 Marital Status
    Yes 337 (43.0%) 144282 (49.9%) <0.01 2.3
    No 447 (57.0%) 144884 (50.1%) 3.1
 Low social economic status
    Yes 378 (50.2%) 120593 (43.6%) <0.01 3.1
    No 375 (49.8%) 155842 (56.4%) 2.4
Pre-pregnancy Diabetes
    Yes 16 (2.0%) 2247 (0.8%) <0.01 7.1
    No 768 (98.0%) 286919 (99.2%) 2.7
Year of Birth
 2006 187 (23.9%) 63076 (21.8%) <0.01 3.0
 2007 176 (22.5%) 62581 (21.6%) 2.8
 2008 144 (18.4%) 58714 (20.3%) 2.4
 2009 121 (15.4%) 55897 (19.3%) 2.2
 2010 156 (19.9%) 48898 (16.9%) 3.2
Season of conception
 Winter 157 (20.0%) 70745 (24.5%) 0.04 2.2
 Spring 201 (25.6%) 71321 (24.7%) 2.8
 Summer 210 (26.8%) 73278 (25.3%) 2.9
 Fall 216 (27.6%) 73822 (25.5%) 2.9
Infant gender
 Male 482 (61.5%) 147268 (50.9%) <0.01 3.3
 Female 302 (38.5%) 141898 (49.1%) 2.1
a

Cases of chromosome disorders were excluded in this table in order to be consistent with main statistical analysis, whose results are shown in Tables 24 and Figure 1.

b

P-values were calculated using Chi-square test for each factor (contingency table). For comparisons where Chi-square test was not appropriate, Fisher exact test was used.

The mean PM2.5 level during the periconception period for the study population was 13.79 µg/m3 among the 10 km cohort, which was slightly lower than EPA standard during the study period of 15 µg/m3, but higher than the current standard of 12 µg/m3. (28) Births with any congenital anomaly had a higher mean PM2.5 exposure level compared to non-anomalous births across all periconception months and within each distance cohort. Table 3 demonstrates the mean PM2.5 levels in pregnancies complicated congenital anomalies compared births with no anomaly, stratified by periconception month of exposure and distance from monitor.

Table 3.

Summary statistics of PM2.5 levels in Ohio 2006 – 2010, stratified by different distance cohorts and periconception exposure periodsa

Datasets by exposure periods Congenital Anomalies Normal p-valuec
PM2.5 level Mean (SD) IQR (Q1, Q3) Mean (SD) IQR (Q1, Q3)
10 km 2 months before 13.93 (3.97) 4.54 (11.28, 15.82) 13.86 (3.84) 4.95 (11.08, 16.03) 0.59
1 month before 13.97 (4.00) 5.02 (11.10, 16.13) 13.77 (3.79) 4.83 (11.04, 15.87) 0.16
Month of conception 13.85 (3.94) 5.27 (10.99, 16.26) 13.75 (3.83) 4.88 (10.99, 15.87) 0.44
Average of three monthsb 13.92 (2.90) 3.73 (11.85, 15.57) 13.79 (2.77) 3.50 (11.86, 15.36) 0.23
1 month after conception 13.99 (3.82) 5.40 (11.00, 16.40) 13.65 (3.80) 4.90 (10.90, 15.80) 0.02
2 months after conception 13.58 (3.87) 5.30(10.60, 15.90) 13.43 (3.70) 4.90 (10.70, 15.60) 0.27
7 km 2 months before 13.92 (3.95) 4.70 (11.12, 15.82) 13.91 (3.85) 4.95 (11.13, 16.08) 0.94
1 month before 14.13 (4.01) 5.14 (11.37, 16.51) 13.81 (3.79) 4.84 (11.10, 15.94) 0.04
Month of conception 13.92 (4.00) 5.24 (11.13, 16.37) 13.79 (3.83) 4.92 (11.02, 15.94) 0.40
Average of three monthsb 13.99 (2.90) 3.75 (11.92, 15.67) 13.84 (2.77) 3.52 (11.89, 15.41) 0.21
1 month after conception 13.98 (3.79) 5.40 (11.10, 16.40) 13.65 (3.80) 4.90 (10.90, 15.80) 0.04
2 months after conception 13.64 (4.01) 5.40 (10.60, 15.90) 13.43 (3.70) 4.90 (10.70, 15.60) 0.19
5 km 2 months before 14.07 (3.94) 4.94 (11.34, 16.28) 13.92 (3.84) 4.97 (11.14, 16.11) 0.44
1 month before 14.23 (3.89) 5.13 (11.52, 16.65) 13.81 (3.77) 4.87 (11.12, 15.99) 0.03
Month of conception 13.89 (3.97) 5.12 (11.21, 16.32) 13.81 (3.82) 4.96 (11.04, 16.00) 0.67
Average of three monthsb 14.07 (2.86) 3.84 (11.88, 15.72) 13.85 (2.76) 3.54 (11.90, 15.44) 0.12
1 month after conception 13.77 (3.81) 5.50 (10.90, 16.40) 13.65 (3.80) 4.90 (10.90, 15.80) 0.55
2 months after conception 13.64 (3.99) 5.00 (10.70, 15.70) 13.43 (3.70) 4.90 (10.70, 15.60) 0.30

PM2.5 levels are expressed in micrograms per cubic meter (µg/m3)

SD: standard deviation; IQR: Inter Quartile Range; Q1/Q3: lower/upper quartile.

a

Local PM2.5 level for each subject is assigned by the nearest monitoring station during that time period. This table shows the summary statistics of population average of local PM2.5 using this assignment (estimation) method.

b

Average of three months = 2 months before conception, 1 month before conception, and the month of conception.

c

P-values were calculated using two sample t-test.

3.2. Regression analyses

3.2.1. Primary results

The association between PM2.5 exposure and congenital anomalies during each periconception period is displayed in Table 4 as adjusted ORs with 95% CI for each distance cutoff (10, 7 and 5 km). We reported the adjusted odds for congenital anomalies associated with PM2.5 exposure in two ways: (1) continuous exposure level (per interquartile range increment) and (2) continuous exposure level (per 10 µg/m3 increase) for each period. Comparison of results between the three distance cutoff models shown in Table 4 allows for examination of consistency or inconsistency of findings based on distance from monitor exposure assessment. Of all the time periods and distance cutoffs under investigation, nearly all point estimates of effect demonstrate an odds ratio above 1. However, only several of the associations reached statistical significance with lower limit of the 95% confidence interval higher than 1. These modeling results are also consistent with the unadjusted comparisons shown in Table 3.

Table 4.

Adjusted OR and corresponding 95% CI for the association of any congenital anomaly and PM2.5 levels, stratified by different distance cohorts and periconception exposure periodsa

Datasets by exposure periods Number of cases Number of total subjects Continuous (per IQR increment) Continuous (per 10 μm/m3 increment)
10 km 2 months before 782 287862 1.00 (0.89, 1.13) 1.01 (0.80, 1.27)
1 month before 779 287283 1.06 (0.96, 1.18) 1.14 (0.92, 1.41)
Month of conception 773 286566 1.02 (0.92, 1.13) 1.05 (0.85, 1.29)
Average of three monthsb 779 287412 1.04 (0.92, 1.18) 1.13 (0.80, 1.59)
1 month after 759 285842 1.09 (1.01, 1.18) 1.19 (1.02, 1.40)
2 months after 759 285421 1.02 (0.95, 1.10) 1.05 (0.91, 1.22)
7 km 2 months before 583 209007 0.99 (0.88, 1.11) 1.00 (0.81, 1.25)
1 month before 580 208609 1.11 (0.98, 1.25) 1.24 (0.97, 1.58)
Month of conception 577 208100 1.03 (0.93, 1.15) 1.07 (0.86, 1.32)
Average of three monthsb 580 208703 1.06 (0.93, 1.20) 1.18 (0.82, 1.68)
1 months after 565 206868 1.09 (1.00, 1.20) 1.20 (1.00, 1.44)
2 months after 566 206565 1.06 (0.97, 1.17) 1.13 (0.94, 1.37)
5 km 2 months before 397 142626 1.04 (0.93, 1.17) 1.09 (0.87, 1.36)
1 month before 393 142349 1.17 (1.03, 1.34) 1.39 (1.05, 1.83)
Month of conception 392 141981 1.03 (0.90, 1.17) 1.05 (0.82, 1.36)
Average of three monthsb 393 142424 1.12 (0.99, 1.27) 1.38 (0.97, 1.97)
1 months after 393 141540 1.02 (0.90, 1.15) 1.04 (0.81, 1.34)
2 months after 393 141381 1.05 (0.91, 1.20) 1.09 (0.83, 1.45)

OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; IQR: Inter Quartile Range.

a

Births with a chromosome disorder were not included in these analyses.

b

Average of three months = 2 months before conception, 1 month before conception, and the month of conception.

We found that increasing PM2.5 exposure levels occurring one month prior to conception consistently demonstrated the highest adjOR point estimates and corresponding 95% CI lower bounds among all three preconception time windows from the 10 km model to 5 km model. In addition, this finding shown in Table 4 is consistent to unadjusted descriptive results in Table 3, which implies that this association cannot be explained by factors adjusted in the models. Therefore, these results suggest that compared to other preconception periods, increasing PM2.5 exposure during one month prior to conception is more likely to be associated with increasing risk of congenital anomalies.

We also assessed the inconsistency of results between the three distance cutoff models shown in Table 4. First, increasing PM2.5 exposure one month after conception exposure was significantly associated with congenital anomalies at 10 km and 7 km models, but not in the smaller 5 km model. Second, the association between PM2.5 exposure one month prior to conception is only statistical significant at 5% significance level for the 5 km model; however, this association became stronger with smaller distance cutoffs from the 10 km cohort to 5 km cohort, as indicated in Table 3 and Table 4. Our findings demonstrate some evidence of spatial variability of PM2.5 exposure within the 10 km cutoff, considering some inconsistency of results compared to more narrow distance cutoff cohorts.

3.2.2. Secondary outcomes – individual congenital anomalies

Tables 5, 6 and 7 (online) demonstrate the association of PM2.5 exposure with individual anomalies, grouped by organ system.(16) Considering the small number of cases for each individual anomaly, the confidence intervals shown in these tables are comparatively wider than those in Table 4 among each distance cutoff. The small sample size in these individual comparisons limits the ability to draw significant conclusions from these analyses. However, stratifying the analyses by individual anomalies in an exploratory manner does highlight several specific organ systems associated with PM2.5, such as urogenital and gastrointestinal organ systems, which may be useful for hypothesis generation and validation in larger analyses. The interpretation of modeling results for anomalies with a small number of cases may also be limited due to model overfitting, if considering a general practice of having at least 10 cases per 1 covariate parameter. Overfitting with a high ratio of covariates to cases may lead to less reliable risk estimates and exaggerated confidence intervals. For anomalies with a larger number of cases, such as abdominal defects, neural tube defects and cleft lip or cleft palate, the results should be more reliable.

Table 5.

(online). Adjusted OR and corresponding 95% CI for the association of individual congenital anomalies and PM2.5 levels for 10km cohort, stratified by periconception exposure periodsa

10 km cutoff dataset by exposure periods Number of cases Number of total subjects used Continuous (per IQR increment) Continuous (per 10 μm/m3 increment)
Chromosome disorders 2 months before 226 287303 1.07 (0.87, 1.30) 1.14 (0.76, 1.70)
1 month before 226 286727 1.00 (0.85, 1.18) 1.00 (0.71, 1.41)
Month of conception 225 286015 0.92 (0.77, 1.10) 0.84 (0.59, 1.21)
Average of three months 226 286856 0.99 (0.84, 1.18) 0.98 (0.61, 1.60)
Hypospadiasb,d 2 months before 111 146326 1.00 (0.77, 1.31) 1.01 (0.59, 1.72)
1 month before 111 146056 1.16 (0.96, 1.40) 1.36 (0.92, 2.00)
Month of conception 111 145695 1.39 (1.07, 1.81) 1.97 (1.14, 3.38)
Average of three months 111 146114 1.27 (0.99, 1.61) 1.97 (0.98, 3.96)
Cleft Lip/Palate 2 months before 218 287295 1.05 (0.92, 1.21) 1.11 (0.85, 1.46)
1 month before 216 286717 1.05 (0.88, 1.27) 1.12 (0.76, 1.63)
Month of conception 214 286004 0.97 (0.83, 1.14) 0.95 (0.69, 1.31)
Average of three months 216 286846 1.04 (0.89, 1.22) 1.12 (0.71, 1.78)
Cyanotic congenital heart disease 2 months before 101 287178 0.80 (0.60, 1.06) 0.63 (0.36, 1.13)
1 month before 100 286601 1.17 (0.90, 1.53) 1.39 (0.81, 2.40)
Month of conception 100 285890 0.84 (0.58, 1.22) 0.70 (0.33, 1.49)
Average of three months 100 286730 0.90 (0.62, 1.30) 0.74 (0.26, 2.13)
Abdominal defectsc 2 months before 181 287258 1.03 (0.84, 1.26) 1.06 (0.71, 1.60)
1 month before 180 286681 1.06 (0.89, 1.27) 1.13 (0.79, 1.63)
Month of conception 176 285966 0.98 (0.79, 1.23) 0.96 (0.61, 1.52)
Average of three months 180 286810 1.04 (0.85, 1.27) 1.12 (0.64, 1.96)
Neural tube defectsd 2 months before 125 287202 1.04 (0.82, 1.32) 1.09 (0.68, 1.76)
1 month before 124 286625 0.97 (0.69, 1.36) 0.94 (0.47, 1.90)
Month of conception 125 285915 0.99 (0.81, 1.20) 0.97 (0.65, 1.45)
Average of three months 124 286754 1.00 (0.73, 1.38) 1.01 (0.40, 2.52)

OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; IQR: Inter Quartile Range.

a

For cases of individual congenital anomalies, births with a chromosome disorder in addition to the congenital anomaly were not included in this analysis.

b

Hypospadias analysis was limited to male infants and infant gender covariate was excluded from the adjusted model.

c

Abdominal defect models did not include pre-pregnancy diabetes due to lack of observations of that covariate in the outcome group.

d

Neural tube defects and Hypospadias models did not include maternal race due to lack of observations in one race category within the outcome group.

Table 6.

(online). Adjusted OR and corresponding 95% CI for the association of individual congenital anomalies and PM2.5 levels for 7km cohort, stratified by periconception exposure periodsa

7 km cutoff dataset by exposure periods Number of cases Number of total subjects used Continuous (per IQR increment) Continuous (per 10 μm/m3 increment)
Chromosome disorders 2 months before 169 208591 1.00 (0.80, 1.26) 1.00 (0.63, 1.60)
1 month before 169 208196 0.88 (0.72, 1.09) 0.77 (0.50, 1.18)
Month of conception 170 207691 0.92 (0.77, 1.10) 0.84 (0.59, 1.21)
Average of three months 169 208290 0.90 (0.73, 1.10) 0.74 (0.42, 1.31)
Hypospadiasb,d 2 months before 78 106052 1.02 (0.79, 1.31) 1.03 (0.62, 1.73)
1 month before 78 105877 1.39 (1.15, 1.69) 2.00 (1.34, 2.95)
Month of conception 78 105615 1.47 (1.06, 2.02) 2.18 (1.13, 4.20)
Average of three months 78 105920 1.44 (1.07, 1.94) 2.82 (1.21, 6.58)
Cleft Lip/Palate 2 months before 168 208590 1.08 (0.93, 1.25) 1.17 (0.86, 1.57)
1 month before 166 208193 0.99 (0.83, 1.19) 0.99 (0.68, 1.43)
Month of conception 164 207685 0.94 (0.78, 1.13) 0.88 (0.60, 1.29)
Average of three months 166 208287 1.01 (0.86, 1.19) 1.02 (0.64, 1.63)
Cyanotic Congenital heart disease 2 months before 80 208502 0.73 (0.55, 0.97) 0.52 (0.29, 0.93)
1 month before 79 208106 1.21 (0.91, 1.59) 1.47 (0.83, 2.62)
Month of conception 79 207600 0.91 (0.62, 1.33) 0.82 (0.38, 1.78)
Average of three months 79 208200 0.91 (0.62, 1.33) 0.76 (0.26, 2.23)
Abdominal defectsc 2 months before 132 208554 1.08 (0.86, 1.35) 1.16 (0.73, 1.84)
1 month before 131 208158 1.25 (1.00, 1.54) 1.57 (1.01, 2.46)
Month of conception 130 207651 1.03 (0.81, 1.31) 1.06 (0.65, 1.74)
Average of three months 131 208252 1.17 (0.95, 1.45) 1.56 (0.85, 2.87)
Neural tube defectsd 2 months before 98 208520 0.99 (0.72, 1.38) 0.99 (0.51, 1.91)
1 month before 97 208124 0.96 (0.63, 1.48) 0.93 (0.39, 2.23)
Month of conception 98 207619 1.01 (0.82, 1.25) 1.03 (0.67, 1.58)
Average of three months 97 208218 0.99 (0.65, 1.49) 0.96 (0.30, 3.11)

OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; IQR: Inter Quartile Range.

a

For cases of individual congenital anomalies, births with a chromosome disorder in addition to the congenital anomaly were not included in this analysis.

b

Hypospadias analysis was limited to male infants and infant gender covariate was excluded from the adjusted model.

c

Abdominal defect models did not include pre-pregnancy diabetes due to lack of observations of that covariate in the outcome group.

d

Neural tube defects and Hypospadias models did not include maternal race due to lack of observations in one race category within the outcome group.

Table 7.

(online). Adjusted OR and corresponding 95% CI for the association of individual congenital anomalies and PM2.5 levels for 5km cohort, stratified by periconception exposure periodsa

5 km cutoff dataset by exposure periods Number of cases Number of total subjects used Continuous (per IQR increment) Continuous (per 10 μm/m3 increment)
Chromosome disorders 2 months before 112 142339 1.04 (0.72, 1.50) 1.08 (0.52, 2.25)
1 month before 112 142066 0.90 (0.70, 1.16) 0.80 (0.48, 1.35)
Month of conception 113 141700 0.95 (0.77, 1.18) 0.91 (0.59, 1.38)
Average of three months 112 142141 0.94 (0.69, 1.29) 0.85 (0.35, 2.04)
Hypospadiasb,d 2 months before 50 72296 1.22 (0.93, 1.59) 1.48 (0.87, 2.54)
1 month before 50 72194 1.41 (1.08, 1.85) 2.05 (1.17, 3.59)
Month of conception 50 71985 1.39 (0.96, 2.02) 1.96 (0.92, 4.17)
Average of three months 50 72225 1.53 (1.10, 2.14) 3.35 (1.31, 8.61)
Cleft Lip/Palate 2 months before 117 142344 1.10 (0.92, 1.31) 1.20 (0.84, 1.73)
1 month before 115 142069 0.97 (0.81, 1.17) 0.94 (0.64, 1.38)
Month of conception 115 141702 1.02 (0.78, 1.32) 1.04 (0.61, 1.76)
Average of three months 115 142144 1.05 (0.88, 1.26) 1.15 (0.69, 1.91)
Cyanotic Congenital heart disease 2 months before 43 142270 0.79 (0.60, 1.04) 0.62 (0.35, 1.09)
1 month before 42 141996 1.28 (0.90, 1.83) 1.66 (0.80, 3.45)
Month of conception 42 141629 0.76 (0.45, 1.30) 0.58 (0.20, 1.71)
Average of three months 42 142071 0.90 (0.57, 1.42) 0.75 (0.21, 2.70)
Abdominal defectsc 2 months before 91 142318 1.11 (0.82, 1.49) 1.23 (0.68, 2.23)
1 month before 89 142043 1.51 (1.17, 1.96) 2.33 (1.37, 3.97)
Month of conception 88 141675 0.98 (0.72, 1.34) 0.97 (0.52, 1.79)
Average of three months 89 142118 1.28 (0.99, 1.65) 2.00 (0.97, 4.14)
Neural tube defectsd 2 months before 76 142303 0.99 (0.70, 1.41) 0.98 (0.48, 1.98)
1 month before 75 142029 1.01 (0.63, 1.61) 1.02 (0.39, 2.66)
Month of conception 76 141663 0.95 (0.73, 1.24) 0.90 (0.53, 1.54)
Average of three months 75 142104 0.97 (0.64, 1.48) 0.92 (0.28, 3.04)

OR: odds ratio; CI: confidence interval; IQR: Inter Quartile Range.

a

For cases of individual congenital anomalies, births with a chromosome disorder in addition to the congenital anomaly were not included in this analysis.

b

Hypospadias analysis was limited to male infants and infant gender covariate was excluded from the adjusted model.

c

Abdominal defect models did not include pre-pregnancy diabetes due to lack of observations of that covariate in the outcome group.

d

Neural tube defects and Hypospadias models did not include maternal race due to lack of observations in one race category within the outcome group.

3.2.3. Sensitivity analyses

The primary adjusted models presented in this study utilized the covariate cigarette smoking as a dichotomous yes/no (1, 0) variable. In sensitivity analyses, we modeled average number of cigarettes smoked per day as a categorical covariate rather than dichotomous, which resulted in findings consistent with our initial results shown in Table 4. We also performed sensitivity analyses considering the influence of genetic disorders.

Most prior published studies examining the association of PM2.5 with congenital anomalies excluded cases of chromosome disorders. Considering the possibility that chromosome disorders could be on the causal pathway of PM2.5 exposure and congenital anomalies, we performed sensitivity analysis including and excluding live births with chromosome disorders as recorded on the US birth certificate for the study population. The primary results excluding chromosome disorders are displayed in Table 4, as described previously. For sensitivity analyses, first we examined the association of births complicated by chromosome disorders (Down syndrome or other, karyotype confirmed or pending) with PM2.5 exposure. This initial sensitivity analysis included only cases with chromosome disorders, in the absence of other congenital anomalies. As shown in Tables 57 (online) we found no significant risk increase of chromosome disorders with PM2.5 exposure. Then, we analyzed the association between PM2.5 and CA including cases with chromosome disorders. We found that after including the chromosome disorder subjects in the analysis, no significant risk increases were observed at any periconception periods (data not shown). However, the trends persisted, with higher point estimate and 95% CI lower bounds at one month prior to conception than other periconception time periods. Given the lack significant association between PM2.5 and chromosome disorders demonstrated in these analyses, we prefer to model the analyses excluding births complicated by chromosome disorders (results as demonstrated in Table 4).

4. Discussion

We found that exposure to increasing levels of PM2.5 in the air during some critical periods during the periconception period may be associated with a modest increased risk of a major congenital anomaly, even after adjustment for confounding influences of other factors associated with malformation risk. The association with PM2.5 exposure during the other time periods – either earlier or later – was non-significant, suggesting the times nearest to conception may be the most susceptible time of exposure for this risk. Our analysis adds depth and clarity to the current body of evidence investigating the possible association between air pollutants and risk of birth defects. We provide novel data by exploring a detailed month-by-month exposure risk assessment including the months prior to conception to assess if there is a particularly susceptible time in the periconception period when exposure to airborne PM may pose a hazard to development of fetal anomalies. The time of embryonic development, weeks 3 to10 of gestational age or weeks 1 to 8 of embryonic age, are thought to be the critical times of exposure for most teratogenic agents to risk of birth defects. This window would indeed be the most critical time if the exposure were known to have a deleterious embryonic effect with only acute high-level exposure. However, the association between air pollutants and adverse health outcomes may not be a clear immediate temporal exposure-outcome relationship. Buildup or accumulation of high concentrations of some pollutants or their metabolites over a longer period of time may pose a more notable risk for congenital anomalies if the high-level exposure occurs during the preconception period.(29) Long-term high PM2.5 exposure specifically has been shown to cause oxidative stress, inflammation, mitochondrial alteration (30) and have higher risk of deleterious health effects.(31) Therefore, exposure to increased amounts of air pollutants may also affect birth defect risk in the time period preceding pregnancy, rather than only during the first trimester, weeks 1–12 of gestation. Prior studies examining the association between PM2.5 and birth defects have only measured this relationship during a brief period of exposure in the first trimester only, and did not measure PM2.5 exposure in the months preceding conception.(3, 6, 7, 10-12, 15) In the present study we aimed to assess the specific time of exposure in the periconception period when increased pollutant exposure may be the most deleterious, by examining exposure timing of exposure in a month-by-month fashion extending from two months prior to two months after conception.

In this study, we report the association of PM2.5 exposure with any anomaly, as recorded in the US birth certificate, and also with individual malformations and malformations grouped by organ systems involved. We found a modest, but positive association with increasing levels of PM2.5 exposure one month prior to and one month after conception with risk of any congenital anomaly, when assessed as a composite variable. Additionally, we found some risk increases among individual anomalies limited to cases of hypospadias and abdominal defects, which had not been previously reported as individual outcomes associated with PM2.5 exposure.(3, 6, 7, 10-12, 15) A recent review on ambient air pollution and risk of congenital anomalies highlighted the narrow focus of the number of birth defects included in prior studies. The authors suggested future studies should focus on anomalies other than just cardiac and facial clefts, have clear definitions of case classification and use of classifications and exclusions in sensitivity analyses.(16) Few studies included the spectrum of all reported anomalies, (11, 17, 18) and most looked only at cardiac anomalies.(5, 6, 10, 19)

Some studies have also suggested that air pollutant exposure may be associated with increased risk of common fetal chromosome abnormalities, such as Trisomy 21, Down syndrome.(32) Inclusion and exclusion of chromosomal, syndromic and multiple anomalies have differed between studies,(16) contributing to significant study heterogeneity thus limiting the generalizability of the findings. To assess whether chromosome abnormalities may be in the causal pathway of PM2.5 exposure to birth defect risk, we measured the association with anomalies both including and excluding cases of chromosome disorders. We further analyzed the association between PM2.5 and chromosome disorders, with congenital anomaly cases excluded. We found no association between PM2.5 exposure and risk of fetal chromosome abnormalities, regardless of the periconception timing of exposure. Additionally, the risk of anomalies was not detectable with the inclusion of cases with concomitant chromosome disorders. Based on these findings, we feel that the preferable approach to assess particulate matter - birth defect risk is to limit the analysis to congenital anomalies without concurrent chromosome disorders.

Although the use of stationary monitors to assign individual-level exposures within a specified radius surrounding the monitor has obvious limitations, it has been widely used for measurement in prior air particulate-birth outcome assessment studies. Using this approach, measurement error due to spatial variability may lead to erroneous negative results, often biasing the risk estimates toward the null.(33) Studies including a large perimeter around a PM monitor for exposure quantification and also reporting a null association with birth defects have been a common theme in previously published studies on this topic. However, limiting analyses to narrow distance cutoffs decreases sample size. Given the low frequency of congenital anomalies in the population (3–8%),(1) investigators must balance the tradeoff between sample size and accuracy of exposure assessment when choosing the best cutoff for their studies. Of the prior published studies on PM and birth defects, reported distances from maternal residence to stationary monitors have varied greatly, with some not reporting the distance,(4, 9, 34) to others reporting distances of 10 km(18), 16 km(8), 40 km(6) or even a maximum distance as far as 50–80 km from a monitor.(10, 19) The large population-based cohort included in our study allowed us to model several relatively narrow distance cutoffs and compare their findings among air exposure-outcome assessment for birth defects. We found that use of various distance cutoffs including the commonly used 10 km distance, compared with more narrow areas with 7 and 5 km cutoffs provided some advantages and disadvantages. The consistency and inconsistency of results identified in the three exposure measurement distance cutoffs presented here are likely related to spatial heterogeneity within the larger distances and more precise exposure quantification but smaller sample size and power when using a smaller distances cutoff. An additional contributor to variation and inconsistency of results is that the location of exposure identified by maternal residential address does not account for women who moved during the pregnancy. Likewise, it also does not account for exposure at non-residential addresses, such as work or school, which may be outside of the 10 km radius of the recorded home address.

An additional challenge in the interpretation of results from prior studies is due to variability in the methods used to define high levels of PM exposure. A variety of exposure quantification strategies have been utilized modeling PM levels in the air as a continuous variable, or defining high PM exposure in a dichotomous approach considering the upper quantile or greater than mean plus interquartile range as “high”. Still, others quantified high exposure as per unit increases or per quantile increases associated with risk of congenital anomalies. These variations in measurement of exposure, analytic strategy and reporting of results make it quite challenging to interpret the results into a way that has practical generalizability.(16) Dichotomizing exposure values may be problematic and may introduce bias into the estimates of odds ratios.(13) Therefore, in this study, we provide data from an analytic approach using a continuous model of exposure assessment in an attempt to provide the most informative and non-biased results.

As we have highlighted here, there are a number of inherent limitations to this type of study aimed to measure the association between airborne particulate matter exposure and birth defect risk. These limitations are shared among prior published observational studies of similar design. However, by employing multiple methodologic approaches, we feel we provide an important breadth of data on optimal exposure ascertainment, measurement, and design characteristics that contribute to the reliability of the associations we have identified regarding PM2.5 exposure and risk of congenital malformations. The overall rate of anomalies reported in this study is lower than known population prevalence. Birth certificate records have a lower sensitivity for identifying birth defects compared to review of medical records, as not all birth defects are readily identifiable within the first few days of birth when the birth certificate is generated. Therefore some congenital anomalies that are not yet identified may be coded as no anomaly in the birth certificate, biasing the results of our study and those of many similar in design toward the null. Alternatively, some birth defects recorded on the birth certificate may not be accurately documented, which could lead to some misclassification of case or referent group status. Additionally, some defects are recorded within a category by organ system and do not provide data on the specific malformation which limits the ability to assess individual malformation exposure risks, such as in the category of congenital heart defects.

The mechanism of teratogenicity for airborne pollutant exposures are generally speculative.(16) Some hypothesized mechanisms include oxidative stress, coagulation aberrations and placental inflammation.(35) These mechanisms could affect embryogenesis through influencing migration and differentiation of neural crest cells. Additionally, some pollutants have demonstrated embryotoxicity in animal models. (16)

Future investigations should build upon the knowledge gained from this study and utilize approaches aimed to optimize scientific rigor, minimize bias, and report the most accurate assessment of risk for air pollutants and development of congenital anomalies. Specific areas of focus should include individual level exposure methods and improved knowledge on the mechanism of action of air pollutants with regards to teratogenic effects on the developing embryo and fetus. Public health efforts should continue to highlight the importance of minimizing population-level exposure to harmful particulate matter in the air. Although the increased risk of birth defects observed in our study with PM2.5 exposure in the month prior to conception is modest, the potential impact on a population basis is noteworthy as all reproductive age women have some degree of exposure.

Acknowledgments

We would like to thank Emily L. Kang, PhD, Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio, for her suggestions regarding the statistical analysis plan.

Funding sources: ED and LM are supported by the Perinatal Institute, Cincinnati Children’s Hospital Medical Center, Cincinnati, Ohio and the March of Dimes Prematurity Research Center Ohio Collaborative; and SR is supported in part by NIH R01-HL 111829. E.H. is supported by R01ES016531, R21ES02116 and P30-ES06096 and NHH/NCRR8ULITR000077. AC is supported by NIH P30ES006096, RC4ES019755 and R01ES020349. The funding sources had no role in the study design, data collection, analysis or interpretation of data, nor decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Submission Declaration: This work has not been published previously and is not under consideration for publication elsewhere. All authors have approved the submitted version of this manuscript. If accepted, it will not be published elsewhere including electronically in the same form, in English or in any other language, without the written consent of the copyright-holder.

IRB approval: This study was approved by the Ohio Department of Health and Human Subjects Institutional Review Board (#2012–21). This study was exempt from review by the Institutional Review Board at the University of Cincinnati, Cincinnati, Ohio, USA.

Footnotes

Financial Disclosure: The authors have no financial relationships relevant to this article to disclose. The authors have no conflicts of interest relevant to this article to disclose.

Data source disclosure: This study includes data provided by the Ohio Department of Health which should not be considered an endorsement of this study or its conclusions.

Presentation information: This study was presented as an abstract at the 82nd Annual Meeting of the Central Association of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, Oct. 21–24, 2015, Charleston, South Carolina.

Reprints will not be available

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