Table 4.

Results of the model comparison of the 2 × 2 dynamic causal models in which visual reliability (VR) modulated the connection from V1-3 to IPS0–4 and modality-specific report (MR) modulated the connection from PFC to IPS0–4

Factor	Modulation VR and MR	Modulation VR	Modulation MR	No modulation
Model evidence (FFX)	0	–52.947	–54.033	–90.45
Posterior p (FFX)	1	0	0	0
Expected posterior p (RFX)	0.587	0.136	0.139	0.139
Exceedance p (RFX)	0.902	0.032	0.033	0.033
Protected exceedance p (RFX)	0.699	0.1	0.101	0.101

FFX, fixed-effects analysis; RFX, random-effects analysis; model evidence corresponds to free energy (relative to full model) summed over participants (i.e., larger is better); expected posterior p, probability that a given model generated the data for a randomly selected subject; exceedance p, probability that a given model is more likely than any other model; protected exceedance p, probability that one model is more likely than any other model beyond chance.