Key Points
Question
What is the optimal timing of postoperative radiotherapy for prostate cancer with adverse pathological features?
Findings
In this multi-institutional cohort study of 1566 consecutive patients with prostate cancer with adverse pathological features, adjuvant radiotherapy after prostatectomy was associated with significantly greater freedom from postirradiation biochemical failure, freedom from distant metastases, and overall survival compared with early-salvage radiotherapy.
Meaning
Pending prospective validation, these findings suggest that a greater proportion of patients with prostate cancer who have adverse pathological features may benefit from postprostatectomy adjuvant radiotherapy rather than surveillance followed by early-salvage radiotherapy.
Abstract
Importance
Prostate cancer with adverse pathological features (ie, pT3 and/or positive margins) after prostatectomy may be managed with adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) or surveillance followed by early-salvage radiotherapy (ESRT) for biochemical recurrence. The optimal timing of postoperative radiotherapy is unclear.
Objective
To compare the clinical outcomes of postoperative ART and ESRT administered to patients with prostate cancer with adverse pathological features.
Design, Setting, and Participants
This multi-institutional, propensity score–matched cohort study involved 1566 consecutive patients who underwent postprostatectomy ART or ESRT at 10 US academic medical centers between January 1, 1987, and December 31, 2013. Propensity score 1-to-1 matching was used to account for covariates potentially associated with treatment selection. Data were collected from January 1 to September 30, 2016. Data analysis was conducted from October 1, 2016, to October 21, 2017.
Main Outcomes and Measures
Freedom from postirradiation biochemical failure, freedom from distant metastases, and overall survival. All outcomes were measured from date of surgery to address lead-time bias.
Results
Of 1566 patients, 1195 with prostate-specific antigen levels of 0.1 to 0.5 ng/mL received ESRT and 371 patients with prostate-specific antigen levels lower than 0.1 ng/mL received ART. The median age (interquartile range) was 60 (55-65) years. After propensity score matching, the median (interquartile range) follow-up after surgery was similar between the ESRT and ART groups (73.3 [44.9-106.6] months vs 65.8 [40-107] months; P = .22). Adjuvant RT, compared with ESRT, was associated with higher freedom from biochemical failure (12-year actuarial rates: 69% [95% CI, 60%-76%] vs 43% [95% CI, 35%-51%]; effect size, 26%), freedom from distant metastases (95% [95% CI, 90%-97%] vs 85% [95% CI, 76%-90%]; effect size, 10%), and overall survival (91% [95% CI, 84%-95%] vs 79% [95% CI, 69%-86%]; effect size, 12%). Adjuvant RT, lower Gleason score and T stage, nodal irradiation, and postoperative androgen deprivation therapy were favorable prognostic features on multivariate analysis for biochemical failure. Sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the decreased risk of biochemical failure associated with ART remained significant unless more than 56% of patients in the ART group were cured by surgery alone. This threshold is greater than the estimated 12-year freedom from biochemical failure rate of 33% to 52% after radical prostatectomy alone, as determined by a contemporary dynamic nomogram.
Conclusions and Relevance
Adjuvant RT, compared with ESRT, was associated with reduced biochemical recurrence, distant metastases, and death for high-risk patients, pending prospective validation. These findings suggest that a greater proportion of patients with prostate cancer who have adverse pathological features may benefit from postprostatectomy ART rather than surveillance followed by ESRT.
This multi-institutional cohort study compares adjuvant radiotherapy with early-salvage radiotherapy used to manage postoperative patients with prostate cancer who have adverse pathological features.
Introduction
The use of radical prostatectomy (RP) as the initial treatment of high-risk and locally advanced prostate cancer has increased in the past 2 decades.1 However, patients with adverse pathological features, such as positive surgical margins, extraprostatic extension, and seminal vesicle invasion, have a 40% to 70% risk of biochemical recurrence.2,3,4,5,6 Three randomized clinical trials—European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) 22911, Arbeitsgemeinschaft Radiologische Onkologie (ARO) 9602, and Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) 8794—investigating the role of adjuvant radiotherapy (ART) vs observation in patients with these high-risk features demonstrated a progression-free survival benefit, but only SWOG 8794 found a freedom from distant metastases (FFDM) and overall survival (OS) advantage.3,5,6,7,8,9,10 On the basis of these findings, the consensus guidelines of the American Urological Association and American Society for Radiation Oncology and the European Association of Urology recommend physician-initiated, multidisciplinary discussions of the potential benefits and risks of ART for patients with adverse pathological features.11,12
Despite these recommendations, the use of ART in high-risk patients is under 10% and on the decline,13 likely because of overtreatment concerns given that many patients who receive ART would likely have never developed postoperative recurrence. Instead, a more common approach is to monitor high-risk patients after RP until the prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level becomes detectable and offer early-salvage radiotherapy (ESRT) (initiated with PSA level ≤0.5 ng/mL). The ESRT strategy is supported by retrospective data suggesting it is often effective for long-term disease control.14,15,16,17,18
Currently, no prospective randomized data are available comparing ART with ESRT, pending 3 ongoing trials.19,20,21 Previous retrospective studies comparing ART and salvage RT (SRT) yielded discrepant results regarding whether ART improves post-RT freedom from biochemical failure (FFBF), freedom from androgen deprivation therapy, and FFDM, whereas no studies showed an OS advantage for ART.4,22,23,24,25,26 Because the optimal timing of postoperative RT for prostate cancer with adverse pathological features remains controversial, we conducted a large, multi-institutional analysis comparing the FFBF, FFDM, and OS between ART and ESRT.
Methods
Study Design, Data Sources, Study Participants, Exposures, and Outcomes
We pooled individual data from 1566 patients with pT2N0M0/R1 or pT3N0M0/R0-1 prostate adenocarcinoma (American Joint Committee on Cancer’s Cancer Staging Manual, 7th edition) who underwent postprostatectomy ART or ESRT at 10 academic medical centers between January 1, 1987, and December 31, 2013. This study obtained institutional review board approval from Massachusetts General Hospital and Cleveland Clinic. Patient informed consent was waived at these institutions because this is a minimal risk study using data collected for routine clinical practice. Data were collected from January 1 to September 30, 2016. Data analysis was conducted from October 1, 2016, to October 21, 2017.
All patients were within a consecutive cohort of eligible patients treated at each of the 10 institutions (Massachusetts General Hospital, Cleveland Clinic, University of Michigan, Duke University Medical Center, Washington University School of Medicine, Mayo Clinic, University of Chicago, University of Miami, Virginia Commonwealth University Medical Center, and Sidney Kimmel Cancer Center at Thomas Jefferson University). Patients who had nodal involvement or received preoperative androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) were excluded. The PSA-level detection limits varied over time and among laboratories. In this study, PSA level was considered undetectable if it was less than 0.1 ng/mL or below the sensitivity limit of the assay. Adjuvant RT was defined as RT delivered at an undetectable PSA level, whereas ESRT was defined as RT delivered at a detectable PSA level between and inclusive of 0.1 to 0.5 ng/mL, including those with a persistently detectable PSA level after surgery. Use of ART or ESRT, RT technique, RT dose, pelvic nodal RT, and postoperative ADT administered before or concurrent with RT were at the discretion of the treating physicians.
The study outcomes were postirradiation FFBF, FFDM, and OS. All outcomes were measured from the date of surgery to address potential lead-time bias. Postirradiation biochemical failure (BF) was defined as PSA level rising to 0.2 ng/mL or higher. For patients in the ESRT group who never achieved a PSA level lower than 0.2 ng/mL after radiation, BF was determined as the first documented rise in PSA level above 0.2 ng/mL. Distant metastases was defined as radiographic evidence of metastases. Overall survival was defined as death from any cause.
Statistical Analysis
Patient and treatment characteristics were compared using Fisher exact test and Wilcoxon rank sum test as appropriate. Propensity score (PS) 1-to-1 matching27 using logistic regression and caliper width 0.01 was used to account for covariates potentially associated with treatment selection: age at surgery, year of surgery, Gleason score, T stage, margin status, postoperative ADT, and pelvic nodal RT. Postirradiation FFBF, FFDM, and OS outcomes after ART vs after ESRT were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate competing-risks regression analysis of FFBF accounting for death as a competing risk was performed to compare the outcomes of ART and ESRT when controlling for potential confounders: age at surgery (continuous), year of surgery (continuous), Gleason score (continuous), T stage (pT2/T3a/T3b), margin status (dichotomous), RT dose (Gy; continuous), pelvic nodal RT (dichotomous), and postoperative ADT (dichotomous). Patients who died before developing BF were censored in an informative manner, whereas patients who were alive without BF at last follow-up were censored in a noninformative manner.
A sensitivity analysis was completed to address the limitation that an unknown proportion of patients in the ART group who did not develop BF may have been cured by surgery alone. Toward this end, we randomly removed from the PS-matched ART cohort an increasing number of patients who did not develop BF by the last follow-up visit to represent the assumption that these patients were cured by surgery alone. Next, we iteratively compared the BF rates between the PS-matched ART and ESRT groups using the log-rank test. To estimate FFBF after surgery alone for comparison to the sensitivity analysis, we applied the dynamic postprostatectomy nomogram developed at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (eAppendix in the Supplement).
Statistical analyses were performed using Stata, version 14.1 (StataCorp LLC). A 2-tailed P < .05 was considered statistically significant.
Results
Patient and Treatment Characteristics
Of the 1566 patients, 1195 received ESRT and 371 received ART. The median age (interquartile range [IQR]) was 60 (55-65) years. Baseline patient and treatment characteristics are provided in Table 1. As expected, the median (IQR) time from surgery to RT was longer for the ESRT group compared with the ART group (22.9 [8.5-44.3] months vs 4.4 [3.5-6.4] months; P < .001), which translated into a longer median (IQR) follow-up after surgery (92.3 [55.3-134] months vs 65.4 [40-107] months; P < .001). However, there was no difference in median (IQR) follow-up after RT in the ESRT and ART cohorts (55.9 [26.6-96.1] months vs 58.4 [32.0-101.2] months; P = .08).
Table 1. Summary of Patient and Treatment Characteristics.
Characteristic | Before PS Matching | After PS Matching | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ESRT (n = 1195) | ART (n = 371) | P Value | ESRT (n = 366) | ART (n = 366) | P Value | |
Age at surgery, median (IQR), y | 60.0 (55.0-64.7) | 60.0 (55.2-65.0) | .44a | 61.0 (54.6-65.3) | 60.0 (55.0-65.0) | .90a |
Year of surgery, median (IQR) | 2002 (1998-2006) | 2006 (2000-2008) | <.001a | 2005 (2001-2007) | 2006 (2000-2008) | .29a |
Follow-up since surgery, median (IQR), mo | 92.3 (55.3-134) | 65.4 (40-107) | <.001a | 73.3 (44.9-106.6) | 65.8 (40-107) | .22a |
Pathological T stage, No. (%)b | ||||||
T2 | 553 (46.3) | 98 (26.4) | <.001c | 109 (29.8) | 98 (26.8) | .63c |
T3a | 435 (35.4) | 183 (49.3) | 170 (46.4) | 181 (49.5) | ||
T3b | 207 (17.3) | 90 (24.3) | 87 (23.8) | 87 (23.8) | ||
Surgical Gleason score, No. (%) | ||||||
6 | 248 (20.8) | 50 (13.5) | <.001c | 33 (9.0) | 50 (13.7) | .18c |
7 | 722 (60.4) | 214 (57.7) | 209 (57.1) | 210 (57.4) | ||
8 | 108 (9.0) | 46 (12.4) | 54 (14.8) | 45 (12.3) | ||
9 | 116 (9.7) | 61 (16.4) | 70 (19.1) | 61 (16.7) | ||
10 | 1 (0.1) | 0 (0) | ||||
Margin status, No. (%) | ||||||
Positive | 721 (60.3) | 315 (84.9) | <.001c | 318 (86.9) | 313 (85.8) | .67c |
Negative | 462 (38.7) | 53 (14.3) | 48 (13.1) | 53 (14.5) | ||
Unknown | 12 (1.0) | 3 (0.8) | ||||
Time from surgery to RT, median (IQR), mo | 22.9 (8.5-44.3) | 4.4 (3.5-6.4) | <.001a | 14.1 (4.9-31.2) | 4.5 (3.5-6.4) | <.001a |
Follow-up since RT, median (IQR), mo | 55.9 (26.6-96.1) | 58.4 (32.0-101.2) | .08a | 49.2 (22.2-80.0) | 59.2 (32.0-101.2) | <.001a |
Pre-RT PSA level, median (IQR), ng/mL | 0.3 (0.2-0.4) | <0.1 | NA | 0.3 (0.2-0.4) | <0.1 | NA |
RT technique, No. (%) | ||||||
2-D | 245 (20.5) | 69 (18.6) | <.001c | 58 (15.8) | 69 (18.9) | .16c |
3-D CRT | 311 (26.0) | 64 (17.3) | 70 (19.1) | 63 (17.2) | ||
IMRT | 436 (36.5) | 174 (46.9) | 192 (52.5) | 171 (46.7) | ||
Unknown | 203 (17.0) | 64 (17.2) | 46 (12.6) | 63 (17.2) | ||
RT node coverage, No. (%) | ||||||
Yes | 141 (11.8) | 43 (11.6) | >.99c | 47 (12.8) | 43 (11.7) | .74c |
No | 1054 (88.2) | 328 (88.4) | 319 (87.2) | 323 (88.3) | ||
RT dose to prostate fossa, median (IQR), Gy | 64.8 (64.8-68.1) | 64.8 (61.2-66.0) | <.001a | 66.0 (64.8-70.0) | 64.8 (61.2-66.0) | <.001a |
RT duration, median (IQR), d | 50 (48-52) | 49 (46-50) | <.001a | 50 (48-52) | 49 (46-50) | <.001a |
Postoperative ADT, No. (%) | ||||||
Yes | 135 (11.3) | 23 (6.2) | .004c | 19 (5.2) | 23 (6.3) | .63c |
No | 1060 (88.7) | 348 (93.8) | 347 (94.8) | 343 (93.7) |
Abbreviations: ADT, androgen deprivation therapy; ART, adjuvant radiation therapy; ESRT, early-salvage radiation therapy; IMRT, intensity-modulated radiation therapy; IQR, interquartile range; PS, propensity score; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; RT, radiation therapy; 2-D, 2-dimensional; 3-D CRT, 3-dimensional conformal radiotherapy.
SI conversion factor: To convert PSA to micrograms per liter, multiply by 1.0; to convert gray to rad, multiply by 100.
Calculated using the Wilcoxon rank sum test.
All patients with stage T2 had positive surgical margins.
Calculated using the Fisher exact test.
The ESRT group, compared with the ART cohort, had an earlier median (IQR) year of surgery (2002 vs 2006; P < .001), lower pathological T stage (T3: 642 [52.7%] vs 273 [73.6%]; P < .001), lower Gleason score (8-10: 225 [18.8%] vs 107 [28.8%]; P < .001), lower rate of positive margins (721 [60.3%] vs 315 [84.9%]; P < .001), less use of intensity modulated RT (436 [36.5%] vs 174 [46.9%]; P < .001), and greater use of postoperative ADT (135 [11.3%] vs 23 [6.2%]; P = .004). The median (IQR) pre-ESRT PSA level was 0.3 (0.2-0.4) ng/mL. Use of pelvic nodal RT was similar in the ESRT and ART groups (141 [11.8%] vs 43 [11.6%]; P = >.99).
Propensity Score–Matched Analysis
Propensity score matching yielded 366 matched pairs that were well-balanced (Table 1). The mean standardized bias was reduced from 24.8% to 4.5% after matching (eTable and eFigures 1 and 2 in the Supplement). As expected, the median (IQR) time from surgery to RT remained longer in the ESRT group than the ART group (14.1 [4.9-31.2] months vs 4.5 [3.5-6.4] months; P < .001). However, the median (IQR) follow-up after surgery was similar between the ESRT and ART cohorts (73.3 [44.9-106.6] months vs 65.8 [40-107] months; P = .22). The median (IQR) RT dose to the prostate fossa was slightly higher in the ESRT group than in the ART group (66.0 [64.8-70.0] Gy vs 64.8 [61.2-66.0] Gy; P < .001 [to convert gray to rad, mulitply by 100]).
After PS matching, all measured outcomes were significantly better with ART compared with ESRT: FFBF (61 vs 140 events; P < .001), FFDM (14 vs 28 events; P = .03), and OS (20 vs 35 events; P = .01). The crude rate of prostate cancer–specific death was higher in the ESRT than the ART cohort (6 vs 1 events), but the small number of events precluded additional statistical analysis. The 12-year actuarial rates for ART vs ESRT were as follows: FFBF (69% [95% CI, 60%-76%] vs 43% [95% CI, 35%-51%]; effect size, 26%), FFDM (95% [95% CI, 90%-97%] vs 85% [95% CI, 76%-90%]; effect size, 10%), and OS (91% [95% CI, 84%-95%] vs 79% [95% CI, 69%-86%]; effect size, 12%) (Figure).
Multivariate competing-risks analysis (Table 2) demonstrated that the factors independently associated with risk of BF were ART, pathological T stage, surgical Gleason score, nodal RT, and postoperative ADT. Multivariate analyses for FFDM and OS were not performed because of insufficient events.
Table 2. Multivariate Competing-Risks Regression Analyses of Factors Associated With Biochemical Failure After Radical Prostatectomy and Postoperative Radiotherapy.
Factor | PS-Matched Patient Cohort, SHR (95% CI)a |
P Value |
---|---|---|
ART vs ESRT | 0.34 (0.24-0.48) | <.001 |
Age at surgery | 1.00 (0.98-1.02) | .65 |
Year of surgery | 1.02 (0.99-1.05) | .24 |
Pathological T stage | ||
T2 | 1 [Reference] | |
T3a | 1.14 (0.78-1.67) | .51 |
T3b | 1.87 (1.20-2.92) | .005 |
Surgical Gleason score | 2.06 (1.75-2.41) | <.001 |
Surgical margin (±) | 1.29 (0.82-2.04) | .27 |
Omitting nodal RT | 2.27 (1.33-3.87) | .003 |
RT dose (Gy), prostate fossa | 0.96 (0.91-1.01) | .10 |
Postoperative ADT | 0.30 (0.12-0.74) | .009 |
Abbreviations: ADT, androgen deprivation therapy; ART, adjuvant radiation therapy; ESRT, early-salvage radiation therapy; PS, propensity score; RT, radiation therapy; SHR, subhazard ratio.
Subhazard ratios are reported for a 1-unit increase in the continuous variables.
Sensitivity Analysis
The sensitivity analysis revealed that the decreased risk of BF associated with ART in the PS-matched analysis only lost statistical significance when more than 205 patients (56%) in the ART cohort were assumed to have been cured by surgery alone. In the ART group, the longest time to BF after surgery was 11.4 years. Because only overall Gleason scores were available, we estimated the 12-year FFBF after surgery alone using the contemporary nomogram by accounting for patients with a Gleason score of 7 in 3 different ways: (1) all Gleason score 3 + 4, (2) all Gleason score 4 + 3, and (3) one-third Gleason score 4 + 3 and two-thirds Gleason score 3 + 4 based on previous population studies of prostate cancer with a Gleason score of 7.28,29,30 For the ART group, the 12-year FFBF estimates were 52%, 33%, and 46%, respectively. All patients in the ESRT group had disease recurrence by definition, but for comparative purposes we also estimated the 12-year FFBF immediately after surgery for this group, which was 61%, 38%, and 55%, respectively.
Discussion
In men with locally advanced T3N0 prostate adenocarcinoma, the role of immediate postoperative RT after RP was investigated in 3 randomized clinical trials.3,5,6,7,8,9 All 3 trials demonstrated a progression-free survival outcome for immediate radiotherapy over observation, but only SWOG 8794 demonstrated an FFDM and OS improvement.3,9 A meta-analysis of these 3 trials found that 10-year FFBF, FFADT, and FFDM were superior with immediate RT than a wait-and-see approach, but there was no difference in OS in this combined analysis.10 There were several potential limitations in these trials. First, survival was not a primary outcome, and the studies were therefore underpowered for this end point. Second, fewer than half of patients who recurred in the observation arms received SRT, as salvage therapy utilization was not prespecified in the trials.5,9,31 Third, roughly one-third of patients in the immediate RT arms had low-detectable PSA levels before starting RT and therefore technically received ESRT.3,7 Approximately 20% to 40% of men in the observational arms of these trials never had disease recurrence, indicating the possibility of overtreatment with ART in this patient population.
Improved FFBF after SRT is observed with a lower PSA level at the time of treatment initiation.15,32,33,34 This observation was corroborated by a recent multi-institutional analysis, which found a 5-year FFBF of 71% for patients with a pre-RT PSA level of 0.01 to 0.20 ng/mL, 63% for 0.21 to 0.50 ng/mL, 54% for 0.51 to 1.0 ng/mL, 43% for 1.01 to 2.0 ng/mL, and 37% for greater than 2.0 ng/mL.18 Contemporary studies typically define ESRT as SRT delivered at a PSA level of 0.5 ng/mL or lower.4,25,26,35 Importantly, the 3 randomized clinical trials of immediate RT vs observation do not inform whether the benefits of ART persist in the context of more consistent use of ESRT, and therefore the optimal timing of postoperative RT remains unclear.
To our knowledge, this report represents the largest multi-institutional study comparing ART to ESRT in the literature to-date. We measured all outcomes from the time of surgery to account for lead-time bias given the inherent difference in the timing of ART and ESRT after surgery. Because treatment selection was at the discretion of the treating physicians, it was not surprising that the ESRT group featured less advanced disease than the ART cohort did with less pathological T3, lower Gleason score, and fewer positive margins. Furthermore, approximately twice as many patients in the ESRT group were treated with salvage ADT compared with patients in the ART group receiving adjuvant ADT. These differences contributing to treatment allocation were normalized with PS matching. We found that ART was superior to ESRT for all outcomes: postirradiation FFBF, FFDM, and OS.
To account for the unknown subset of patients in the ART group who would never have developed recurrence after surgery, we performed a sensitivity analysis that determined the decreased risk of BF associated with ART only lost statistical significance when more than 56% of patients in the ART group were assumed to have been cured by surgery alone. This threshold is greater than the estimated 12-year FFBF of 33% to 52% after RP alone as determined by the contemporary nomogram, indicating that the difference in FFBF cannot be attributed to successful surgery alone. In comparison, the estimated 12-year FFBF after RP for the ESRT cohort is higher at 38% to 61%, suggesting that the improved outcomes seen in the ART group, compared with the ESRT group, cannot be simply ascribed to more favorable clinicopathological features. However, because all patients in the ESRT group had recurrent disease after surgery, there may be other unknown or unmeasured factors in the ESRT group that predisposed these patients to worse clinical outcomes. On multivariate competing-risks regression analysis, ART remained significantly associated with decreased BF. Other independent favorable prognostic features were lower Gleason score, lack of seminal vesicle invasion, pelvic nodal RT, and use of postoperative ADT.
Previous retrospective series comparing ART and SRT generally showed increased FFBF but not OS with ART.4,22,23,24,25,26 Potential reasons for this difference include a smaller cohort size, shorter follow-up, disparate end points, and varying PSA thresholds at the time of SRT with inclusion of patients with a PSA level greater than 0.5 ng/mL. Furthermore, positive margins have been correlated with better response to postoperative RT5,8,15,32; 42% of men before PS matching and 28% after PS matching had pT2/R1 disease in our cohort, which is a greater proportion of margin-positive patients than in previous studies. In addition, the proportion of patients with Gleason scores of 8 to 10 was 21% before PS matching and 31% after PS matching, which is higher than in most previous studies4,22,23 and similar to a recent study that also showed an FFDM advantage with ART.26 Patients with high Gleason scores benefit from ART,6,9 but this feature is strongly associated with a higher risk of progression after SRT.15,16,22,23,32 Therefore, our study population may have been enriched with patients more likely to benefit from postoperative RT, especially after PS matching, for whom there is increasing evidence that outcomes are improved when treatment is initiated at lower PSA concentrations with no clear lower bound.18 The median RT dose to the prostate fossa in the ESRT cohort was 66 Gy, with 51% of men receiving less than 66 Gy. An SRT dose of at least 66 Gy is associated with a decreased risk of BF36; hence, the use of higher SRT doses may reduce the advantages with ART observed in this study.
A subset of patients received pelvic nodal RT (12%) and/or postoperative ADT (10%). Both treatment factors were associated with reduced BF on multivariate analysis. Two recent randomized studies reported improved progression-free survival and/or OS with the addition of ADT to SRT.37,38 However, both studies included a substantial number of patients with a PSA level greater than 0.5 ng/mL at the time of postoperative RT; therefore, it is unknown whether these results translate to the early-salvage and adjuvant settings.
Limitations
The primary limitation of this study is its retrospective design and inherent selection bias associated with treatment as rendered, which we attempted to address by performing PS matching for the factors expected to influence decision making. Nevertheless, PS matching cannot account for unmeasured confounders. The treatment center was deidentified during primary data collection, and thus an imbalance in ART and ESRT cases from each institution is a potential confounder. Another important limitation is that, although all patients in the ESRT group had recurrent disease by definition, an unknown subset of patients in the ART group may never have developed recurrence, which may overestimate the benefit of ART. We addressed this limitation by performing a sensitivity analysis. The median follow-up after surgery was significantly longer in the ESRT group compared with the ART group, which raises the possibility of insufficient time to observe distant metastases and mortality events in the ART cohort. However, this difference in follow-up between the 2 groups was no longer present after PS matching, and the median follow-up after RT was comparable between arms. The downward drifting threshold of detectability for PSA over time led to the classification of some men with a PSA level greater than 0.1 ng/mL as receiving ART; however, this should bias the results against ART and therefore is unlikely to confound the validity of our results. Finally, data were unavailable regarding which patients in the ESRT cohort had a persistently detectable PSA level after RP. Nevertheless, identification of this subpopulation is unlikely to be clinically significant given that (1) the changing sensitivity of PSA assays over time renders the definition of a detectable PSA level a moving target and (2) previous multivariate analyses found that a persistently elevated post-RP PSA level had a minimal association with outcomes after SRT.15
This study provides important insights into the use of postoperative RT for high-risk patients, but we acknowledge the need for randomized prospective evidence to guide best clinical practices. The Radiotherapy and Androgen Deprivation in Combination After Local Surgery (RADICALS) trial assigns patients to either ART or ESRT and secondarily addresses the role of concurrent ADT (none vs short-course or long-course).19 Similarly, the French Groupe d’Étude des Tumeurs Uro-Génitales (GETUG-17) trial randomizes patients with pT3-4N0/R1 carcinoma to ART vs ESRT, but both arms receive short-course ADT.20 In contrast, the Radiotherapy–Adjuvant Versus Early Salvage (RAVES) trial comparing ART and ESRT for patients with pT3N0/R1 carcinoma does not include ADT.21,39,40 The Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 0534 trial is evaluating salvage pelvic nodal irradiation and ADT for patients with T2-3N0 prostate adenocarcinoma and a postoperative PSA level of 0.1 to 1.0 ng/mL using a 3-arm randomization: (1) prostate fossa irradiation, (2) prostate fossa irradiation + short-course ADT, and (3) prostate fossa/nodal irradiation + short-course ADT.41
Conclusions
In this large, multi-institutional study, ART compared with ESRT was associated with reduced biochemical recurrence, DM, and death for patients with prostate cancer with adverse pathological features (T3 disease and/or positive margins). The 12-year number needed to treat with ART vs ESRT to prevent 1 BF was 6 to 12 when accounting for the estimated surgical cure rate based on a contemporary nomogram. The current use of ART in high-risk patients is less than 10%.13 Our findings suggest that a greater proportion of such men may benefit from ART, especially those for whom the estimated risk of postprostatectomy recurrence is greater than 50%. Pending prospective validation, contemporary practice patterns regarding postoperative RT should be revisited. Further improvement in risk stratification and patient selection for ART and ESRT may be enabled by genomic biomarkers such as the Decipher (GenomeDx) score.42,43,44 Moreover, novel imaging techniques, such as fluciclovine (18F) positron emission tomography, may be useful for optimizing RT target coverage in the early-salvage setting.45,46
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