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. 2015 Jan 7;16(3):509–521. doi: 10.1093/biostatistics/kxu060

Table 3.

Posterior means and Inline graphic PIs of the pooled RRs for PTB per IQR increase in different metrics of exposure to PMInline graphic

Outcome Dynamic distributed lag Standard approach
Exposure window IQR (Inline graphic) window RR (95% PI) RR (95% CI)
Cumulative 3.11 VPTB 1.07 (1.04, 1.12) 1.04 (1.02, 1.07)
LPTB 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) 1.01 (0.99, 1.03)
PTB 1.03 (1.00, 1.06) 1.02 (1.00, 1.03)
Trimester 1 5.22 VPTB 1.07 (1.03, 1.11) 1.06 (1.03, 1.08)
LPTB 1.00 (0.97, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01)
PTB 1.01 (0.99, 1.04) 1.01 (0.99, 1.03)
Trimester 2 5.14 VPTB 1.05 (1.02, 1.09) 1.03(1.01, 1.06)
LPTB 1.02 (1.00, 1.05) 1.01 (0.99, 1.03)
PTB 1.03 (1.01, 1.05) 1.02 (1.00, 1.03)
Trimester 3 5.43 VPTB 1.00 (0.99, 1.00) 0.99 (0.97, 1.01)
LPTB 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 1.00 (0.99, 1.02)
PTB 1.00 (0.99, 1.01) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01)
First 4 weeks 5.92 VPTB 1.02 (1.00, 1.04) 1.03 (1.01, 1.05)
LPTB 1.00 (0.98, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01)
PTB 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 1.00 (0.99, 1.01)
4-week lag 6.04 VPTB 1.01 (0.99, 1.03) 0.98 (0.96, 1.01)
LPTB 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 1.00 (0.99, 1.01)
PTB 1.00 (0.99, 1.02) 1.00 (0.98, 1.01)

Estimates were pooled across all PTB outcome weeks (week Inline graphic–36), as well as across very PTB (week Inline graphicInline graphic VPTB) and late PTB (week Inline graphic–36, LPTB). Under the standard approach, estimates and Inline graphic confidence interval (CI) were estimated by a time-to-event model where the weekly exposures were first averaged across the exposure window.