Earlier treatment with the pan-genotypic co-formulation of glecaprevir/pibrentasvir (Mavyret, AbbVie) is dominant with more quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained at lower cost, according to a Scottish cost-effectiveness study of hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) treatment. Dr. Johnson, a health economist, noted that although the co-formulation has demonstrated high efficacy and tolerability compared with previous standards of care, some third-party payers restrict treatment access for patients in the early stages of disease.
Compensated cirrhosis, decompensated cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), need for liver transplantation, and liver-related death, as well as extrahepatic manifestations (i.e., cardiovascular disease, type-2 diabetes, kidney disease), are among the complications of HCV infection, Dr. Johnson said in an International Liver Congress press briefing.
Dr. Johnson’s study evaluated whether treatment at early stages of liver fibrosis would reduce hepatic and extrahepatic manifestation risks and lower the overall downstream medical costs compared with treatment in later disease stages. He developed a model of genotype, fibrosis distribution, and costs from Scottish patient-tracker data and a literature review.
For the analysis, outcomes were stratified according to liver disease fibrosis stages when treatment was initiated (mild, F0–F1; moderate, F2–F3; and advanced/compensated cirrhosis, F4/CC). Liver-related death, Dr. Johnson underscored, can occur at any of these stages. Most patients in the analysis had not received prior treatment (74.6%; 66% male).
When treatment with glecaprevir/pibrentasvir was started at later stages, lifetime risks of liver morbidity and mortality increased. Decompensated cirrhosis risk rose from 4.0% to 8.9% to 11.6% with treatment initiation at stages F0–F1, F2–F3, and F4/CC, respectively. The risk of HCC increased from 1.8% to 4.0% to 35.2%, respectively, and risk of liver-related death increased from 3.8% to 9.1% to 41.1%, respectively. Liver transplant risks rose from 0.4% to 1.0% to 2.6% with treatment started at the same progressive stages. In addition, compensated cirrhosis rates were 12.4% and 23.0% with treatment started at stages F0–F1 and F2–F3, respectively.
While all groups had similar rates of sustained virological response (approximately 99%), lifetime QALYs decreased as treatment was delayed (16.2% for F0–F1; 13.9% for F2–F3, and 10.0% for F4/CC).
Lifetime direct medical costs, including those for extrahepatic manifestations, increased with delayed glecaprevir/pibrentasvir treatment: £32,996 (US $45,473) for stage F0–F1, £35,128 (US $48,411) for stage F2–F3, and £60,963 (US $84,014) for stage F4/CC. Extrahepatic manifestations contributed to an increase of 6.9%, 5.9%, and 3.0% of costs with later treatment for stages F0–F1, F2–F3, and F4/CC, respectively.
The study implies that reimbursement policies restricting HCV infection treatment based on fibrosis stage “ignore the greater QALYs and lower costs related to treating patients early,” Dr. Johnson said. Other early glecaprevir/pibrentasvir treatment cost-savings, he added, can be realized because the treatment allows for a shorter, eight-week duration across all genotypes.