Abstract
背景与目的
双药方案治疗老年晚期非小细胞肺癌(non-small cell lung cancer, NSCLC)的疗效是否优于单药化疗尚存争议,本研究旨在对双药方案治疗老年晚期NSCLC患者的有效性和安全性进行系统评价。
方法
计算机检索PubMed、EMBASE、Cochrane Library、中国期刊全文数据库和中国生物医学文献等数据库,收集双药方案治疗老年晚期NSCLC的随机对照试验,用Stata 11.0软件对数据进行meta分析。
结果
共纳入12项随机对照试验(2, 306例病例),meta分析结果显示与单药化疗相比双药化疗明显提高了老年晚期NSCLC患者的有效率(OR=1.80, 95%CI: 1.50-2.17, P < 0.000, 1)和1年生存率(OR=1.45, 95%CI:1.22-1.72, P < 0.000, 1);含铂双药(OR=1.55, 95%CI:1.18-2.03, P=0.001)和非铂双药组(OR=1.38, 95%CI: 1.10-1.73, P=0.006)的1年生存率均明显高于单药组;含铂双药组更易发生3/4级贫血、中性粒细胞减少、血小板减少和神经毒性(P < 0.05),非铂双药组毒副反应发生率与单药组相似。
结论
与单药组相比,双药组可明显提高化疗有效率和生存率,更适合作为老年晚期NSCLC一线化疗方案,但尚需开展针对老年患者的随机对照试验加以验证。
Keywords: 肺肿瘤, 老年, 化疗, Meta分析
Abstract
Background and objective
It remains disputed whether doublets are more effective than single-agent chemotherapy for elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The aim of this study is to evaluate the efficacy and safety of doublets and single-agent chemotherapy for elderly patients with NSCLC.
Methods
Data from all published, randomized trials that compared doublets and single-agent chemotherapy in elderly patients were collected from electronic databases (PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, CNKI and the CBMdice). Meta-analysis was completed using software Stata 11.0.
Results
The results of the meta-analysis, including 12 eligible trials (2, 306 patients), showed that the doublets significantly increased the overall response rate (OR=1.80, 95%CI:1.50-2.17, P < 0.000, 1) and one-year survival rate (OR=1.45, 95%CI: 1.22-1.72, P < 0.000, 1) compared with single-agent chemotherapy. The results of one-year survival rate in platinum-based doublet chemotherapy arms (OR=1.55, 95%CI: 1.18-2.03, P=0.001) and non platinum-based ones (OR=1.38, 95%CI: 1.10-1.73, P=0.006) were both significantly higher than that of single-agent chemotherapy. However, grade 3/4 anemia, neutropenia, thrombocytopenia and neurotoxicity (P < 0.05) were significantly associated with doublet chemotherapy. The incidence of toxicity effect in non platinum-based chemotherapy was similar to that of single-agent chemotherapy.
Conclusion
Compared with single-agent chemotherapy, doublet chemotherapy could increase the overall response rate and one-year survival rate significantly. Therefore, doublet chemotherapy would be more appropriate for elderly patients with advanced NSCLC as the first-line chemotherapy regimen. However, further prospective randomized controlled trials in elderly NSCLC patients is needed to verify the findings in this study.
Keywords: Lung neoplasms, Aged, Chemotherapy, Meta-analysis
随着人口预期寿命的大幅度提高,其患癌症风险亦随之增加,导致老年人肺癌发病率明显上升[1]。在被确诊的非小细胞肺癌(non-small cell lung cancer, NSCLC)中年龄超过65岁的比例超过50%,其中70岁以上者占30%-40%[2, 3]。因此针对这一群体的治疗凸显重要。临床研究[4, 5]表明含铂双药方案优于单药或三药联合方案,但由于纳入和排除标准等限制,老年肺癌在临床试验中的代表人数不足。因此,含铂双药方案仅被证实是适合非老年的晚期NSCLC患者的标准一线化疗方案[6, 7],而老年晚期NSCLC最佳治疗方案仍在争议中。
目前的证据[8-10]表明,与最佳支持治疗相比第三代化疗药物(长春瑞滨、吉西他滨、紫杉醇和多西紫杉醇)单药化疗不但能够延长老年晚期NSCLC患者的生存期,还能提高其生活质量。因此,多数老年晚期NSCLC患者首选第三代化疗药物单药化疗。但也有研究[11-13]表明双药方案联合化疗对老年晚期NSCLC患者同样有效,且毒性可耐受。为明确双药方案与单药方案在治疗老年晚期NSCLC患者中哪一种更具优越性,本研究运用Cochrane系统评价的方法比较两者在有效性和安全性方面的差异,以期为临床决策提供参考依据。
1. 材料与方法
1.1. 纳入与排除标准
1.1.1. 研究设计
随机对照试验(radonmized controlled trails, RCTs),无论是否采用盲法。
1.1.2. 研究对象
纳入标准:①病理/经细胞学证实的Ⅲb期-Ⅳ期NSCLC;②既往未接受过其它抗肿瘤治疗并且无化疗禁忌症;③美国东部肿瘤协作组-体力状况(Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-performance status, ECOG-PS)评分≤2分;④年龄≥65岁。排除标准:①伴有严重内科疾病及感染;②同时伴随其它恶性肿瘤;③肺癌为其它肿瘤转移病灶;④动物实验和体外试验。
1.1.3. 干预措施
试验组采用以第三代化疗药物为基础的双药方案化疗,对照组采用单药化疗。
1.1.4. 结局指标
1年生存率(化疗后仍然存活1年的患者比例);化疗有效率(objective response rate, ORR),ORR是指化疗2个周期后按照WHO或RECIST标准达到完全和部分缓解所占的比例;毒副反应,包括血液学毒性和胃肠道反应及神经毒性。
1.2. 检索策略
计算机检索PubMed、EMBASE、Cochrane Library、中国期刊全文数据库(CNKI)、中国生物医学文献数据库(CBMdice),检索时间从建库至2011年11月。检索词包括:non-small cell lung cancer、non small cell lung cancer、non small cell lung carcinoma、non small cell lung carcinomas、non small cell lung、NSCLC、malignant epithelial tumor、elderly、pharmacotherapy、antineoplastic combined chemotherapy、非小细胞肺癌、老年、药物治疗、抗肿瘤药物联合化疗等。RCTs检索策略遵循Cochrane系统评价手册5.0,其它检索采用主题词与自由词结合的方式,并根据具体数据库调整,所有检索策略通过多次预检索后确定。同时通过手工搜索相关书籍,挑选相关文章和已发表的文章来补充结果。追查已纳入文献的参考文献,与本领域的专家、通信作者等联系,以获取以上检索未发现的相关信息。当1个会议的摘要与1篇全文都提到了相同的试验时,只评估全文。当2个或更多文章报道相同的数据时,只评估最近、最新的数据。文献语种限中文和英文。
1.3. 文献筛选和资料提取
两名研究者交叉核对纳入研究的结果,对有分歧者通过讨论或由第三名研究者仲裁解决。提取的信息资料主要包括:第一作者姓名、发表的杂志和日期、患者的年龄、使用的药物和剂量、患者的数目、1年生存率、ORR以及发生3/4级毒副反应患者的比例。
1.4. 文献质量评价
采用Cochrane Handbook 5.0对纳入研究进行方法学质量评价,内容包括:①采用何种随机方法,方法是否正确;②是否进行分配隐藏,方法是否正确;③是否采用盲法,对哪些病例实施了盲法;④有无失访和退出,是否采用意向性(intent-to treat, ITT)分析。依据评价结果,将纳入文献分为A、B、C三个等级。
1.5. 统计学分析
采用Stata 11.0软件进行数据分析。双药化疗组作为试验组,单药化疗组作为对照组。在meta分析中如果1个试验中有2个以上不同化疗方案的比较,则分别给试验组或对照组的数目记为2次或更多次,因此,实际上比较的组数要多于包含的试验数目。计数资料采用比值比(odds ratio, OR)为疗效分析统计量,各效应量均以95%CI表示。各纳入研究结果间的异质性采用χ2检验。若P>0.1和I2 < 50%时,采用固定效应模型进行分析;若存在统计学异质性(P < 0.1, I2 > 50%)时,分析异质性来源,确定是否能采用随机效应模型。如果研究间存在明显的临床异质性,只对其进行描述性分析。必要时采用敏感性分析检验结果的稳定性。
2. 结果
2.1. 检索结果
按照检索策略和资料收集方法(图 1)共查到相关文献1, 295篇,通过排除重复、阅读文题、摘要和全文后最终纳入12项RCTs研究[14-25]。所有的数据均从纳入试验中提取。在这些试验中共有2, 306例患者,1, 055例患者接受了以第三代化疗为基础的双药方案化疗,1, 251例患者接受了单药方案化疗。12项试验中有3项试验最低年龄限制是65岁[18, 19, 22],其余9项试验最低年龄限制都是70岁。因为有3项试验有多于2个的对比组[15, 16, 18],因此进行对比的组数共有17组。纳入研究的一般特征见表 1。
1.
纳入研究流程图
Trials enrolled in the study
1.
纳入研究的一般特征
The characteristics of included
| Reference | Arm | Treatment schedule and dose | No. of patients | Age (yr) | PS | OS (wk) | 1-y SR (%) | ORR (%) |
| →: dose escalation; PS: performance status; OS: overall survival; 1-y SR: 1-year survival rate; ORR: overall response rate. | ||||||||
| Frasci 2001[14] (Lung Cancer) | Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 60 | ≥70 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 22 |
| Control | Vinorelbine at 30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 60 | ≥70 | 13 | 18 | 13 | 15 | |
| Gridelli 2003[15] (J Natl Cancer Inst) | Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 232 | ≥70 | 44 | 30 | 30 | 21 |
| Control | Gemcitabine at 1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 233 | ≥70 | 41 | 28 | 28 | 16 | |
| Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 232 | ≥70 | 44 | 30 | 30 | 21 | |
| Control | Vinorelbine at 30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 233 | ≥70 | 45 | 36 | 38 | 18 | |
| Comella 2004[16] (Br J Cancer) | Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000→1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 25→30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 68 | ≥70 | 21 | 9.7 | 32 | 23 |
| Control | Gemcitabine at 1, 200→1, 400→1, 600 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 68 | ≥70 | 19 | 5.1 | 29 | 18 | |
| Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000→1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 25→30 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 68 | ≥70 | 21 | 9.7 | 32 | 23 | |
| Control | Paclitaxei at 100→120→140 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 63 | ≥70 | 22 | 6.4 | 25 | 13 | |
| Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000→1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Paclitaxei at 80→100 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 65 | ≥70 | 15 | 9.2 | 44 | 32 | |
| Control | Gemcitabine at 1, 200→1, 400→1, 600 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 68 | ≥70 | 19 | 5.1 | 29 | 18 | |
| Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000→1, 200 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Paclitaxei at 80→100 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 65 | ≥70 | 15 | 9.2 | 44 | 32 | |
| Control | Paclitaxei at 100→120→140 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15 every 4 weeks | 63 | ≥70 | 22 | 5.1 | 25 | 13 | |
| Sun Q 2006[17] (Chin J Geriatr) | Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Cisplatin at 20 mg/m2 on days 1 to 3, every 3 weeks | 22 | ≥70 | 8 | 9.2 | 45.5 | 40.9 |
| Control | Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 23 | ≥70 | 9 | 8.8 | 43.5 | 34.9 | |
| Zhang K 2006[18] (Chin J Clin Oncol) | Traetment | Paclitaxel at 60 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks Cisplatin at 30 mg/m2 on days 2 to 4, every 4 weeks | 34 | ≥65 | - | 9 | 38.2 | 55.9 |
| Control | Paclitaxel at 60 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 30 | ≥65 | - | 8 | 36.7 | 26.7 | |
| Traetment | Paclitaxel at 60 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks Carboplatin at 5 AUC on days 2, every 4 weeks | 32 | ≥65 | - | 10 | 43.8 | 56.3 | |
| Control | Paclitaxel at 60 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 30 | ≥65 | - | 8 | 36.7 | 26.7 | |
| Hainsworth 2007[19] (Cancer) | Traetment | Docetaxel at 30 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks Gemcitabine at 800 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 174 | > 65 | 65 | 5.5 | 26 | 25 (126) |
| Control | Docetaxel at 36 mg/m2 on days 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks | 171 | > 65 | 57 | 5.1 | 24 | 17 (130) | |
| Huang C 2007[20] (J Tianjin Med University) | Traetment Control | Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 5, every 3 weeks Cisplatin at 20 mg/m2 on days 2 to 4, every 3 weeks Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 5, every 3 weeks | 28 30 | ≥70 ≥70 | - - | 9.3 9.1 | 46.4 43.3 | 39.3 30 |
| Chen 2008[21] (Lung Cancer) | Traetment | Vinorelbine at 22.5 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Cisplatin at 50 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks | 34 | ≥70 | 16 | 11.3 | 47.2 | 32.4 |
| Control | Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 31 | ≥70 | 16 | 12 | 50.9 | 16.1 | |
| Li PY 2008[22] (J Clin Pulmonary Med) | Traetment | Paclitaxel at 135 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks Cisplatin at 20 mg/m2 on days 2 to 4, every 3 weeks | 29 | ≥65 | - | - | 46.4 | 37.9 |
| Control | Paclitaxel at 135 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks | 29 | ≥65 | - | - | 43.3 | 31 | |
| Jiang JL 2010[23] (Clin J Traditional Med) | Traetment | Paclitaxel at 175 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks Oxaliplatin at 130 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks | 18 | ≥70 | 16 | 11.4 | 50 | 44.4 |
| Control | Paclitaxel at 175 mg/m2 on days 1, every 3 weeks | 20 | ≥70 | 16 | 13.2 | 44 | 35 | |
| Lou GY 2010[24] (Natl Med J China) | Traetment | Gemcitabine at 1, 000 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks Carboplatin at 5 AUC mg/m2 on days 2, every 3 weeks | 34 | ≥70 | 3 | - | 32 | 41 |
| Control | Gemcitabine at 1, 000 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 34 | ≥70 | 3 | - | 31 | 38 | |
| Quoix 2011[25] (Lancet) | Traetment | Paclitaxei at 90 mg/m2 on day 1, 8 and 15, every 4 weeks Carboplatin at 6 AUC on day 1, every 4 weeks | 225 | ≥70 | 61 | 10.3 | 44.5 | 27.1 |
| Control | Gemcitabine at 1, 150 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks & Vinorelbine at 25 mg/m2 on days 1 and 8, every 3 weeks | 226 | ≥70 | 62 | 6.2 | 25.4 | 10.2 | |
2.2. 纳入研究质量评价
9项研究的质量被评为“B”级,3项研究的质量被评为“C”级(表 2),尽管所有研究均未提及盲法,且仅1项研究提及分配隐藏,但不会对本研究主要结局指标(1年生存率)产生影响,因此,本研究可信度较高。
2.
纳入研究的方法学质量
Quality assessment of methodology of included studies
| Included studies | Randomization | Allocation concealment | Blinding | Lost to follow up | ITT Analysis | Baseline | Quality grading |
| ITT: intent to treat. | |||||||
| Frasci 2001[14] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Similar | B |
| Gredelli 2003[15] | Stratified | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Similar | B |
| Comella 2004[16] | Computerized | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yesr | Similar | B |
| Sun Q 2006[17] | Numbered | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | B |
| Zhang K 2006[18] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Unclear | B |
| Hainsworth 2007[19] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Similar | B |
| Huang C 2007[20] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | C |
| Chen 2008[21] | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Similar | B |
| Li PY 2008[22] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | C |
| Jiang JL 2010[23] | Unclear | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Unclear | C |
| Lou GY 2010[24] | Numbered | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Unclear | Similar | B |
| Quoix 2011[25] | Stratified | Unclear | Unclear | Yes | Yes | Similar | B |
2.3. 有效率
各研究之间无异质性,采用固定效应模型。12项试验的17个对比组的meta分析(图 2)表明,与单药化疗相比,双药化疗明显提高了老年晚期NSCLC患者的有效率(OR=1.80, 95%CI: 1.50-2.17, P < 0.000, 1)。
2.
双药方案与单药方案治疗老年晚期非小细胞肺癌患者的有效率。G:吉西他滨;V:长春瑞滨;T:紫杉醇;D:多西紫杉醇;P:顺铂;C:卡铂;Ox:奥沙利铂。
Comparison of the overall response rate between doublet arms and single-agent arms of the elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer. G: gemcitabine; V: vinorelbine; T: Taxol (paclitaxel); D: docetaxel; P: cisplatin; C: carboplatin; Ox: Oxaliplatin.
2.4. 生存率
各研究间存在明显的异质性(P=0.04, I2=42%),进一步亚组分析显示8项[17, 18, 20-25]含铂双药方案各研究间无异质性(P=0.363, I2=8.6%),采用固定效应模型合并分析显示,与单药化疗相比含铂双药化疗明显提高了老年晚期NSCLC患者的1年生存率(OR=1.55, 95%CI: 1.18-2.03, P=0.001)。4项(8个对比组)[14-16, 19]非铂双药方案各研究间存在异质性(P=0.003, I2=55.7%),进一步行敏感性分析,将异质性较大的Gridelli等[15]研究中的吉西他滨联合长春瑞滨对比长春瑞滨单药组剔除后,不但消除了非铂双药方案的异质性,同时也消除了所有试验其余16个对比组之间的异质性。meta分析显示非铂双药方案(OR=1.38, 95%CI:1.10-1.73, P=0.006)和所有采用双药方案化疗的老年晚期NSCLC患者的1年生存率均明显高于单药化疗者(OR=1.45, 95%CI:1.22-1.72, P < 0.000, 1),见图 3。而Gridelli等[15]研究中的吉西他滨联合长春瑞滨组与长春瑞滨单药组的1年生存率相比无统计学差异(OR=0.70, 95%CI: 0.48-1.03, P=0.069)。
3.
双药方案与单药方案治疗老年晚期非小细胞肺癌患者的1年生存率。G:吉西他滨;V:长春瑞滨;T:紫杉醇;D:多西紫杉醇;P:顺铂;C:卡铂;Ox:奥沙利铂。
Comparison of the 1-year survival rate between doublet arms and single-agent arms of the elderly patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer. G: gemcitabine; V: vinorelbine; T: Taxol (paclitaxel); D: docetaxel; P: cisplatin; C: carboplatin; Ox: Oxaliplatin.
2.5. 毒副反应
由于铂类药物的毒副反应与其它药物明显不同,故将含铂方案和非铂方案的毒副反应分组分析。
2.5.1. 含铂双药方案的毒副反应
4项试验[17, 21, 24, 25]报道了3/4级贫血的发生率,4项试验[20, 21, 23, 25]报道了3/4级中性粒细胞减少的发生率,7项试验[17, 20-25]报道了3/4级血小板减少的发生率,6项试验[17, 20-23, 25]报道了3/4级恶心、呕吐的发生率,4项试验[20, 21, 23, 25]报道了3/4级神经毒性的发生率。meta分析结果显示含铂双药方案更易发生3/4级贫血、中性粒细胞减少、血小板减少和神经毒性(表 3)。
3.
含铂双药与单药化疗的3/4级毒副反应
Comparison of Grade 3/4 toxicity between platinum-based doublet arms and single-agent arms in trials
| Toxicity | No. of Trials | No. of patients | OR | 95%CI | P | |
| Doublet arms | Single-agent arms | |||||
| Anemia | 4 | 487 | 484 | 2.21 | 1.19-4.13 | 0.013 |
| Neutropenia | 4 | 303 | 306 | 5.51 | 3.67-8.27 | < 0.001 |
| Thrombocytopenia | 7 | 388 | 392 | 5.13 | 2.48-10.60 | < 0.001 |
| Nausea & vomiting | 6 | 354 | 358 | 7.48 | 1.00-55.77 | 0.050 |
| Neurotoxicity | 4 | 303 | 306 | 5.5 | 1.53-19.83 | 0.009 |
2.5.2. 非铂双药组毒副反应
纳入研究[14-16, 19]均报道了3/4级贫血、中性粒细胞减少、血小板减少及恶心、呕吐的发生率,3项研究[15, 16, 19]报道了3/4级神经毒性的发生率。meta分析结果显示非铂双药化疗组3/4级毒副反应的发生率与单药化疗组相似(表 4)。
4.
非铂双药与单药化疗的3/4级毒副反应
Comparison of grade 3/4 toxicity between non platinum-based doublet arms and single-agent arms in trials
| Toxicity | No. of trials | No. of patients | OR | 95%CI | P | |
| Doublet arms | Single-agent arms | |||||
| Anemia | 8 | 932 | 926 | 1.13 | 0.56-2.30 | 0.728 |
| Neutropenia | 8 | 932 | 926 | 1.28 | 0.78-2.10 | 0.324 |
| Thrombocytopenia | 8 | 932 | 926 | 1.74 | 0.88-3.43 | 0.110 |
| Nausea & vomiting | 8 | 932 | 926 | 0.99 | 0.58-1.70 | 0.980 |
| Neurotoxicity | 7 | 872 | 866 | 1.11 | 0.44-2.82 | 0.825 |
2.6. 发表偏倚
采用漏斗图对纳入文献潜在的发表偏倚进行检验(图 4),漏斗图图形基本对称,提示发表偏倚的可能性较小。
4.
漏斗图
Funnel plot
3. 讨论
随着年龄的增长,化疗危险性亦随之增加[26],因此,高龄在很多癌症中被当作化疗尤其是联合化疗的绝对或相对禁忌症。但是,由于老年患者是一组异质人群,其生理年龄和实际年龄差异很大,因此单凭年龄并不能决定一个患者是否接受化疗[27]。研究[28-32]表明老年晚期NSCLC患者不但对单药化疗,甚至对双药化疗也有很好的疗效和耐受性。在包括年龄无上限的老年患者的几项大型随机试验[30-34]中,回顾性亚组分析结果显示,采用含铂双药方案化疗的老年晚期NSCLC患者不但肿瘤反应率和总生存与年轻患者相似,而且毒性反应也与年轻患者相似,并没有明显影响老年患者的生活质量。这些数据虽然支持了老年患者使用含铂双药方案化疗的可行性,但是由于他们在试验中的代表人数不足,仅占试验的一小部分,而且是被精心挑选出的能更好耐受化疗的老年群体,并不能代表整个老年人群。因此,双药方案作为老年患者一线优选方案的证据尚不充分,为评价双药方案在治疗老年晚期NSCLC患者中的疗效是否优于单药化疗而进行了本项研究。
研究结果显示,与单药相比双药化疗能够明显提高老年晚期NSCLC患者的有效率。由于各研究间的1年生存率有异质性而进行了亚组分析,结果表明含铂双药各研究间无异质性,合并分析显示与单药化疗相比含铂双药化疗提高了老年晚期NSCLC患者的1年生存率,但也更易发生3/4级血液学和神经毒性。而非铂双药方案各研究间仍存异质性,进一步行敏感性分析发现,剔除异质性较大的Gridelli等[15]研究中的吉西他滨联合长春瑞滨对比长春瑞滨单药组后,不但非铂方案之间异质性消除,而且其余16个对比组间的异质性也随之消除。meta分析显示,16个对比组中双药化疗组的1年生存率明显高于单药化疗组;而非铂双药化疗组不但1年生存率明显高于单药化疗组,而且3/4级毒副反应的发生率亦未增加。
尽管本文只纳入了Ⅱ期/Ⅲ期RCTs,但在提取数据中,年龄的异质性导致了患者的选择偏倚。在选定的试验中因有2项试验[16, 19]的纳入对象中包含了部分体力状态差的年轻患者,导致了研究人群的异质性。但是,由于体力状态差的年轻患者仅占小部分,而且体力状态差亦预示着预后差[27, 35]。因此,这种选择偏倚可能对研究结果的影响甚小。虽然不同化疗方案之间可能存在异质性,但有研究[36]表明不同双药方案之间有效率和生存率无统计学差异,因此,不同化疗方案的差异对本研究结果的影响可能较小。
本项研究的质量也受到一些限制,虽然发表偏倚较小,但是由于本项meta分析不是基于个体患者资料的数据,而仅仅是从公开发表的文献中提取的数据,因此,治疗效果有可能被过高估计。虽然研究中制定了严格的纳入标准,但各个研究中病例的选择差异、试验设计、药物剂量以及不同药物的联合作用均可产生异质性;并且由于研究结果发表的选择性偏倚,如报道副作用的试验数量少,异质性即使不明显也会显现出来,因此,必须谨慎解释评估的结果。
目前的证据表明,第三代化疗药物单药化疗是非选择的老年晚期NSCLC患者可选择的方案之一,而含铂双药方案作为老年晚期NSCLC患者一线优选方案的证据仍不充分。尽管本项研究显示,含铂双药方案有更高的有效率和生存率,但其毒副反应亦相应增加,因此我们认为可作为体力状态较好患者的选择方案之一;而非铂双药方案不但化疗有效率和1年生存率高于单药化疗组,而且副作用轻微,更适合作为老年晚期NSCLC一线化疗方案。
本次荟萃分析使我们充分认识到,不加选择地将老年晚期NSCLC患者定义为可以或不可以接受单药或双药化疗都是不妥的,应根据老年患者的生理学特性和老年患者的异质性,充分考虑到药物的预期毒性、药代动力学、器官功能和并发症以及患者的意愿进行综合评估化疗的风险/获益比,以使老年晚期NSCLC患者最大获益。今后应进一步开展针对老年晚期NSCLC患者设计的前瞻性随机对比双药与单药的临床试验,为临床决策提供更有说服力的参考依据。
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