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. 2018 Jul 16;190(28):E863. doi: 10.1503/cmaj.69466

Association versus causation

Richard H Glazier 1
PMCID: PMC6050115  PMID: 30012804

McAlister and colleagues are to be congratulated on an important study.1 They concluded that “a province-wide program to promote team-based primary care is a feasible and effective way to reduce use of emergency departments,” which suggests a causal association between primary care networks and reductions in the use of emergency departments. Their study was cross-sectional, and, although it controlled for a number of relevant factors, it did not examine pre-existing patterns of use of emergency departments.

In a study published in 2009,2 our group found substantial differences in the use of emergency departments between physician payment models in Ontario; however, on examination of an earlier time period before the models were implemented, we found the patterns to be pre-existing. Self-selection of physicians into particular models of care appears to involve important differences in physician and patient characteristics, some of which may not be measurable using existing data.3

Without a longitudinal design that accounts for baseline patterns of care, conclusions about causation may not be warranted.

Footnotes

Competing interests: None declared.

References

  • 1.McAlister FA, Bakal JA, Green L, et al. The effect of provider affiliation with a primary care network on emergency department visits and hospital admissions. CMAJ 2018;190:E276–84. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Glazier RH, Klein-Geltink J, Kopp A, et al. Capitation and enhanced fee-for-service models for primary care reform: a population-based evaluation. CMAJ 2009;180:E72–81. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Rudoler D, Deber R, Barnsley J, et al. Paying for primary care: the factors associated with physician self-selection into payment models. Health Econ 2015;24:1229–42. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

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