Table 2.
Method | Internal validation |
External validation |
||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC | Cutoff | SEN | SPE | PPV | NPV | SEN | SPE | PPV | NPV | |
Decision Tree* | / | / | 0.980 | 0.554 | 0.941 | 0.791 | 0.910 | 0.405 | 0.784 | 0.653 |
Random Forest* | / | / | 0.974 | 0.605 | 0.947 | 0.760 | 0.917 | 0.446 | 0.798 | 0.692 |
DB | 0.567 | 93.7 | 0.837 | 0.318 | 0.900 | 0.212 | 0.646 | 0.537 | 0.769 | 0.389 |
76.9 | 0.950 | 0.146 | 0.890 | 0.286 | 0.878 | 0.372 | 0.769 | 0.563 | ||
ln(ALP) | 0.572 | 6.3 | 0.656 | 0.468 | 0.900 | 0.157 | 0.514 | 0.545 | 0.729 | 0.320 |
7.0 | 0.950 | 0.121 | 0.887 | 0.249 | 0.997 | 0 | 0.703 | 0 | ||
ln(GGT) | 0.845 | 5.8 | 0.786 | 0.796 | 0.966 | 0.338 | 0.885 | 0.124 | 0.706 | 0.313 |
4.9 | 0.950 | 0.408 | 0.921 | 0.528 | 0.997 | 0 | 0.703 | 0 | ||
GGT < 300 (U/l) | 0.000 | 1.000 | / | 0.344 | 0.000 | 1.000 | / | 0.508 | ||
GGT≥300 (U/l) | 0.960 | 0.200 | 0.965 | 0.178 | 0.945 | 0.033 | 0.867 | 0.083 | ||
Logistic Regression*§ | 0.898 | 0.85 | 0.857 | 0.803 | 0.969 | 0.434 | 0.712 | 0.760 | 0.876 | 0.526 |
0.65 | 0.950 | 0.599 | 0.945 | 0.622 | 0.837 | 0.570 | 0.823 | 0.595 | ||
GGT < 300 (U/l) | 0.448 | 0.957 | 0.952 | 0.477 | 0.284 | 0.890 | 0.714 | 0.563 | ||
GGT≥300 (U/l) | 0.951 | 0.350 | 0.971 | 0.237 | 0.900 | 0.367 | 0.905 | 0.355 |
Abbreviations: AUC, area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; SEN, sensitivity; SPE, specificity; PPV, positive prediction value; NPV, negative prediction value.
Note: *Based on the combination of gender, weight, DB, ln(ALP) and ln(GGT).§The external validation was based on the cutoff value.