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. 2018 Sep 26;3(10):3–13. doi: 10.1001/jamacardio.2018.3037

Variation in Survival After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Between Emergency Medical Services Agencies

Masashi Okubo 1,, Robert H Schmicker 2, David J Wallace 1,3, Ahamed H Idris 4,5, Graham Nichol 6, Michael A Austin 7, Brian Grunau 8, Lynn K Wittwer 9, Neal Richmond 10, Laurie J Morrison 11, Michael C Kurz 12, Sheldon Cheskes 11, Peter J Kudenchuk 13, Dana M Zive 14, Tom P Aufderheide 15, Henry E Wang 16, Heather Herren 2, Christian Vaillancourt 7, Daniel P Davis 17, Gary M Vilke 17, Frank X Scheuermeyer 8, Myron L Weisfeldt 18, Jonathan Elmer 1,3, Riccardo Colella 15, Clifton W Callaway 1, for the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium Investigators
PMCID: PMC6233822  PMID: 30267053

Key Points

Question

What is the variation in survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest between emergency medical services (EMS) agencies?

Findings

In this cohort study, among 43 656 adults treated for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest by any of 112 EMS agencies, there was a median difference of 56% in the odds of survival to hospital discharge for similar participants between any 2 randomly selected EMS agencies, after adjusting for known measured sources of variability and clustering of patients within agencies.

Meaning

This study suggests there is substantial unexplained variation in survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest across treating EMS agencies in North America, despite controlling for documented patient and agency characteristics.


This cohort study at 10 sites in the United States and Canada quantifies variation in patient outcomes across emergency medical service agencies after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Abstract

Importance

Emergency medical services (EMS) deliver essential initial care for patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), but the extent to which patient outcomes vary between different EMS agencies is not fully understood.

Objective

To quantify variation in patient outcomes after OHCA across EMS agencies.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This observational cohort study was conducted in the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (ROC) Epistry, a prospective multicenter OHCA registry at 10 sites in North America. Any adult with OHCA treated by an EMS from April 2011 through June 2015 was included. Data analysis occurred from May 2017 to March 2018.

Exposure

Treating EMS agency.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge. Secondary outcomes were return of spontaneous circulation at emergency department arrival and favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge (defined as a modified Rankin scale score ≤3). Multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models were used to adjust confounders and clustering of patients within EMS agencies, and calculated median odds ratios (MORs) were used to quantify the extent of residual variation in outcomes between EMS agencies.

Results

We identified 43 656 patients with OHCA treated by 112 EMS agencies. At EMS agency level, we observed large variations in survival to hospital discharge (range, 0%-28.9%; unadjusted MOR, 1.43 [95% CI, 1.34-1.54]), return of spontaneous circulation on emergency department arrival (range, 9.0%-57.1%; unadjusted MOR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.43-1.65]), and favorable functional outcome (range, 0%-20.4%; unadjusted MOR, 1.54 [95% CI, 1.40-1.73]). This variation persisted despite adjustment for patient-level and EMS agency–level factors known to be associated with outcomes (adjusted MOR for survival 1.56 [95% CI 1.44-1.73]; adjusted MOR for return of spontaneous circulation at emergency department arrival, 1.50 [95% CI, 1.41-1.62]; adjusted MOR for functionally favorable survival, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.37-1.78]). After restricting analysis to those who survived more than 60 minutes after hospital arrival and including hospital treatment characteristics, the variation persisted (adjusted MOR for survival, 1.49 [95% CI, 1.36-1.69]; adjusted MOR for functionally favorable survival, 1.34 [95% CI, 1.20-1.59]).

Conclusions and Relevance

We found substantial variations in patient outcomes after OHCA between a large group of EMS agencies in North America that were not explained by documented patient-level and EMS agency–level variables.

Introduction

Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major public health problem worldwide.1 In North America, survival after OHCA greatly varies across geographic regions.2,3,4 Although some factors (eg, layperson cardiopulmonary resuscitation [CPR] and location of arrest) are contributing to the geographic variation in survival after OHCA,5 reasons for this variation have not been fully investigated. Understanding the relative contributing factors to this variation may reveal modifiable targets for interventions to refine performance and improve patient outcomes after OHCA.

Emergency medical services (EMS) play a critical role in OHCA management as a part of the chain of survival and may explain some of the variation in outcomes after OHCA.6 The National Academy of Medicine recently recommended enhancing the capabilities and performance of EMS systems as one step to improve cardiac arrest survival.7,8 However, the extent to which EMS agency factors contribute to the variation in outcomes after OHCA is unclear. Differences between EMS agencies are often attributed to differences in the population served,9 geographical challenges to response time,10 or practice patterns, such as the initiation of resuscitation attempts in patients with EMS-assessed OHCA.11 Previous studies comparing outcomes across EMS agencies have lacked sufficient power to separate the EMS factors from differences in patient demographics, cardiac arrest characteristics, and hospital care.12

To address this knowledge gap, we quantified the variation in patient outcomes after OHCA between EMS agencies in a large cohort with detailed patient-level and EMS agency–level data. We tested the hypothesis that variation in outcomes among those treated by differing EMS agencies would persist after adjusting for known confounders and clustering of patients within agencies.

Methods

Study Design and Setting

The Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium (ROC) was a clinical research network that conducted trials in OHCA and trauma at 10 regional coordinating sites across North America, their affiliated EMS agencies, and participating hospitals.13,14 We performed a secondary analysis of data collected from April 2011 through June 2015 in the ROC Epistry–Cardiac Arrest, a database of prospectively identified consecutive patients with OHCA, which we have previously described in detail.13,14

Investigators acquired data under a waiver of informed consent for a minimal risk intervention with institutional review board approval at each coordinating site. The ROC data coordinating center created the final database from deidentified data transmitted from participating sites. The institutional review board at the University of Pittsburgh approved this secondary analysis of deidentified data.

Study Participants

We included adults (≥18 years old) with EMS-treated nontraumatic OHCA, defined as initiation of resuscitation attempts with shock delivery by an external defibrillator (by a layperson or EMS personnel) or chest compressions by EMS personnel. We excluded patients in whom resuscitations were terminated in the prehospital setting because of confirmation of a preexisting written do not resuscitate orders, patients initially treated by EMS agencies that did not participate in ROC, patients treated by EMS agencies that treated 10 or fewer OHCA cases annually, cases with missing data for the primary outcome, and cases with an unidentifiable primary EMS agency.

Study Variables

We present study variables in eFigure 1 in Supplement 1. Patient-level variables included in risk-adjusted models are (1) patient demographics: age (continuous) and sex (male or female); (2) cardiac arrest event characteristics: year of arrest (2011 through 2015),15 initial rhythm (shockable, pulseless electrical activity, or asystole), location of arrest (a public or private location), witness to collapse (a bystander, EMS personnel, or no witness); (3) layperson interventions: initiation of layperson CPR and public automated external defibrillator (AED) use (no layperson intervention, layperson CPR only, layperson CPR, and public AED use); (4) EMS interventions: number of treating EMS personnel within 15 minutes after an emergency (911) call (categorized as fewer than 6 or more than 6 persons),16 EMS response time (defined as interval from the emergency call to first EMS vehicle arrival on scene, measured as a continuous variable), prehospital epinephrine administration (presence or absence), attempted prehospital advanced airway placement with a tracheal intubation or supraglottic device (yes or no), median chest compression rate per minute (<100, 100-120, or >120), median chest compression fraction (<0.8 or ≥0.8); and (5) postresuscitation treatments: percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) within 24 hours following hospital arrival (presence or absence) and induced targeted temperature management (TTM; presence or absence). We defined induced TTM as any active attempt to monitor and maintain core body temperature at or less than 36°C.17 We included PCI and TTM variables only in the subgroup analysis of EMS-treated patients who survived longer than 60 minutes after hospital arrival and whose survival and functional outcomes were potentially affected by subsequent hospital care.17

The EMS agency–level variables of the primary EMS agency responsible for resuscitation included EMS crew composition characteristic (advanced life support [ALS], basic life support [BLS], or a combination of both BLS and ALS), the proportion of patients who received any resuscitation attempt among EMS-assessed OHCA at each agency (a continuous variable),11 an ALS-BLS tiered system (yes or no), and area of EMS coverage (rural, suburban, or urban). We defined area of EMS coverage as rural (0-99 residents/km2 or 0-278 residents/mi2), suburban (100-400 residents/km2 or 279-1108 residents/mi2), and urban (>400 residents/km2 or >1108 residents/mi2).14 We assigned 1 primary EMS agency to each OHCA case. If a single patient was treated by multiple agencies (eg, an ALS-BLS tiered system), we assigned the primary EMS agency as per eFigure 2 in Supplement 1: (1) the ALS agency was the primary agency if the ALS agency arrived at the scene earlier than the BLS agency, (2) the ALS agency was the primary agency if the BLS agency arrived at the scene earlier than the ALS agency but ALS intervention was provided within 6 minutes of BLS agency arrival, and (3) the BLS agency was the primary agency if the BLS agency arrived at the scene earlier than the ALS agency, and no ALS intervention was provided within 6 minutes from BLS agency arrival. We defined ALS interventions as the delivery of an advanced airway (endotracheal tube or supraglottic airway), manual defibrillation, or intravenous drug therapy.18 We chose a 6-minute threshold to represent 3 optimal BLS CPR cycles (2 minutes of CPR followed by a pulse check and defibrillation as appropriate) and transition from BLS to ALS care.19 These covariates were chosen a priori based on their known associations with survival from prior studies of OHCA, biologic plausibility, and adequate ascertainment.11,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23

Outcome Measure

The primary outcome was survival to hospital discharge. Although return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) at emergency department arrival may be an important benchmark of prehospital care, we elected to use survival to hospital discharge as our primary outcome, because this allowed us to investigate several determinants of the patient-centered outcome in the chain of survival. Secondary outcomes were favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge, defined as modified Rankin scale score of 3 or less, and ROSC at emergency department arrival.

Statistical Analysis

We first described the unadjusted rate of survival to hospital discharge after OHCA within each EMS agency. We ranked and grouped EMS agencies into quartiles according to their unadjusted survival rates and reported differences in patient-level and EMS agency–level factors by quartiles. We described the variability in favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge and ROSC at emergency department arrival between EMS agencies.

We then cumulatively constructed a series of multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models predicting survival to hospital discharge, functional outcome at hospital discharge, and ROSC at emergency department arrival, based on previously described patient-level and EMS agency–level variables (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1).24 These models included the full cohort of patients with EMS-treated OHCA and accounted for clustering of patients within each EMS agency. We treated EMS agency as a random effect and nested individual patients within each agency, whereas patient-level and EMS agency–level variables were modeled as fixed effects. From these models, we reported adjusted survival outcome for each agency and calculated median odds ratios (MORs) to quantify the residual variation in outcomes between EMS agencies.3,25 We derived MORs from the variance estimate of the random intercept in the hierarchical regression model.25 Conceptually, the MORs represents the relative odds of outcome for 2 patients with similar characteristics except for treatment by 2 different, randomly selected EMS agencies.25 (For example, an MOR of 2.0 indicates a median 2-fold difference in the odds of outcome for similar individuals treated by 2 different, randomly selected EMS agencies.) We also performed stratified analyses by initial rhythm: those with a shockable rhythm (ventricular fibrillation, pulseless ventricular tachycardia, and shocked by an AED) vs nonshockable rhythm (pulseless electrical activity, asystole, and not shocked by an AED). We only included patients without missing covariates in the multivariable hierarchical models and reported difference in characteristics with standardized mean difference of covariates between patients with and without missing covariates. We considered an absolute standardized mean difference within 0.25 to be a small difference between groups for each covariate.26 For the secondary outcome of favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge, we further excluded patients with missing functional status at hospital discharge and covariates in the models.

Next, as a subgroup analysis, we fitted multivariable hierarchical logistic regression models with patients nested within EMS agency in the subgroup of patients with EMS-treated OHCA who survived more than 60 minutes after hospital arrival for whom subsequent hospital care potentially affected survival and functional outcomes (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1).17,27 The hierarchical models predicted survival to hospital discharge and favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge. These hierarchical models cumulatively adjusted for previously described patient-level and EMS agency–level variables, including postresuscitation treatments (eFigure 1 in Supplement 1). We again calculated MORs to quantify variation in survival and functional outcomes between EMS agencies and repeated stratified analyses by initial rhythm.

Finally, we conducted 3 sensitivity analyses in which we changed model covariates to assess the robustness of the findings. First, we included chest compression depth as a patient-level covariate, as well as previously described covariates in the hierarchical models, with the full cohort of patients with EMS-treated OHCA. We did not include chest compression depth in the primary analysis, because only a subset of defibrillators were able to measure chest compression depth, with the result that the chest compression depth was systematically missing for all cases in some EMS agencies.

Then, for patients treated by multiple EMS agencies, we applied 2 alternative definitions of the primary agency: (1) the first arriving agency as the primary agency and (2) the highest level of agency (ie, ALS agency, where present) as the primary agency. We recalculated MORs for outcomes and repeated the analyses stratified these by initial rhythms.

We used S-Plus version 6.2.1 (TIBCO Software Inc) for data management and Stata version 11 (StataCorp) for our analyses. Data analysis occurred from May 2017 to March 2018.

Results

During the study period, participating EMS agencies assessed 102 662 patients with OHCA (Figure 1). Of these, 43 656 were treated by 112 EMS agencies (13 ALS agencies, 52 BLS agencies, and 47 ALS-BLS combined agencies) and included in our primary analysis. For 39 622 patients (90.8%), the first arriving EMS agency was assigned as the primary EMS agency. Survival to hospital discharge occurred in 4912 of 43 656 patients with EMS-treated OHCA (11.3%), and favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge occurred in 1650 of 22 498 patients with EMS-treated OHCA whose functional outcome were available (7.3%). The rate of survival to hospital discharge in each EMS agency ranged from 0% (0 survivors among 36 patients treated by 1 EMS agency) to 28.9% (66 survivors among 228 patients treated by 1 agency; Figure 2A). The rate of favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge ranged from 0% (0 survivors among 87 patients treated by 1 EMS agency) to 20.4% (11 survivors among 54 patients treated by 1 EMS agency; Figure 2B). The rate of ROSC at emergency department arrival ranged from 9.0% (9 survivors among 100 patients treated by 1 EMS agency) to 57.1% (48 survivors among 84 patients treated by 1 EMS agency; Figure 2C). We reported the estimated rate of survival to hospital discharge at each EMS agency after adjustment for patient-level and EMS agency–level variables in eFigure 3 in Supplement 1. A total of 10 561 EMS-treated patients with OHCA survived more than 60 minutes after arrival at 204 hospitals (Figure 1), and these patients constituted a subgroup for whom we also considered the association of postresuscitation management with survival and functional outcomes.

Figure 1. Patient Flow.

Figure 1.

DNR indicates do not resuscitate [orders]; EMS, emergency medical services; OHCA, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest; ROC, Resuscitation Outcome Consortium.

Figure 2. Outcome Variations Between Emergency Medical Services (EMS) Agencies.

Figure 2.

A, Variations in rate of survival to hospital discharge; B, favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge; and C, return of spontaneous circulation at emergency department arrival.

Table 1 shows characteristics of patient, cardiac arrest event, layperson interventions, EMS interventions, and responding EMS agencies. When categorizing EMS agencies into quartiles based on the rate of patient survival, patients treated by the highest-quartile EMS agencies compared with the lowest-quartile agencies tended to be younger (median [interquartile range (IQR)] age, overall: 66.0 [54.0-79.0] years; lowest quartile: 67.0 [55.0-79.0] years; highest quartile: 65.0 [53.0-77.0] years), be male (overall: 27 524 [63.0%]; lowest quartile: 7379 [60.1%]; highest-quartile: 4444 [65.0%]), have shockable initial heart rhythms (overall: 9717 [22.3%]; lowest quartile: 2317 [18.9%]; highest quartile: 1821 [26.6%]), collapse in a public location (overall: 6235 [14.3%]; lowest quartile: 1502 (12.2%]; highest quartile: 1163 [17.0%]), have a witnessed collapse (overall: 21 347 [48.9%]; lowest quartile: 5731 [46.7%]; highest quartile: 3469 [50.7%]), and receive layperson interventions (overall: 18 762 [43.0%]; lowest quartile: 4716 [38.4%]; highest quartile: 3716 [54.3%]; Table 1). Patients treated by the EMS agencies with survival rates in the highest quartile more often had treatment by more than 6 responding EMS personnel (overall: 12 511 [28.7%]; lowest quartile: 1947 [15.9%]; highest quartile: 4114 [60.1%]), a shorter time interval from an emergency telephone call to EMS defibrillation (overall median [IQR], 12.2 [9.1-20.1] minutes; lowest quartile: 13.0 [9.4-22.1] minutes; highest quartile: 11.0 [8.4-19.0] minutes), advanced airways attempted (overall: 34 392 [78.8%]; lowest quartile: 9576 [78.0%]; highest quartile: 5972 [87.3%]), and treatment by an ALS-BLS tiered system (overall: 25 642 [58.7%]; lowest quartile: 4466 [36.4%]; highest quartile: 5194 [75.9%]; Table 1). Percentages were similar among patients who survived more than 60 minutes after hospital arrival (eTable 1 in Supplement 1).

Table 1. Patient, Cardiac Arrest Event, Layperson and EMS Interventions, and EMS Agency Characteristics, Stratified by Quartiles of Survival at EMS Agency.

Characteristic No. (%)
Total EMS Agencies With Survival Rates in Lowest Quartilea EMS Agencies With Survival Rates in Second-Lowest Quartilea EMS Agencies With Survival Rates in Second-Highest Quartilea EMS Agencies With Survival Rates in Highest Quartilea
Patients 43 656 12 272 (28.1) 17 842 (40.9) 6701 (15.3) 6841 (15.7)
EMS agencies 112 (100) 28 (25.0) 28 (25.0) 28 (25.0) 28 (25.0)
Patient demographics
Age, median (IQR), y 66.0 (54.0-79.0) 67.0 (55.0-79.0) 67.0 (55.0-80.0) 67.0 (54.0-79.0) 65.0 (53.0-77.0)
Sex
Male 27 524 (63.0) 7379 (60.1) 11 339 (63.6) 4362 (65.1) 4444 (65.0)
Unknown 18 (0.0) 1 (0.0) 8 (0.0) 5 (0.1) 4 (0.1)
Cardiac arrest event characteristics
Year of arrest
2011 4508 (10.3) 1192 (9.7) 1927 (10.8) 682 (10.2) 707 (10.3)
2012 10 118 (23.2) 2562 (20.9) 4222 (23.7) 1672 (25.0) 1662 (24.3)
2013 11 242 (25.8) 3156 (25.7) 4617 (25.9) 1744 (26.0) 1725 (25.2)
2014 11 903 (27.3) 3630 (29.6) 4693 (26.3) 1706 (25.5) 1874 (27.4)
2015 5885 (13.5) 1732 (14.1) 2383 (13.4) 897 (13.4) 873 (12.8)
Initial rhythm
Shockable 9717 (22.3) 2317 (18.9) 3942 (22.1) 1637 (24.4) 1821 (26.6)
Nonshockable 33 084 (75.8) 9730 (79.3) 13 581 (76.1) 4908 (73.2) 4865 (71.1)
Unknown 855 (1.9) 225 (1.8) 319 (1.8) 156 (2.3) 155 (2.2)
Location
Public 6235 (14.3) 1502 (12.2) 2588 (14.5) 982 (14.7) 1163 (17.0)
Home 31 846 (72.9) 8641 (70.4) 13 438 (75.3) 4987 (74.4) 4780 (69.9)
Other 5475 (12.5) 2096 (17.1) 1760 (9.9) 724 (10.8) 895 (13.1)
Unknown 100 (0.2) 33 (0.3) 56 (0.3) 8 (0.1) 3 (0.0)
Witnessed collapse
Bystander 15 949 (36.5) 4217 (34.4) 6477 (36.3) 2644 (39.5) 2611 (38.2)
EMS 5398 (12.4) 1514 (12.3) 2228 (12.5) 798 (11.9) 858 (12.5)
None 21 270 (48.7) 6212 (50.6) 8617 (48.3) 3140 (46.9) 3301 (48.3)
Unknown 1039 (2.4) 329 (2.7) 520 (2.9) 119 (1.8) 71 (1.0)
Layperson interventions
None 24 042 (55.1) 7318 (59.6) 10 160 (56.9) 3573 (53.3) 2991 (43.7)
Layperson CPR only 16 831 (38.6) 4187 (34.1) 6685 (37.5) 2659 (39.7) 3300 (48.2)
Layperson CPR and public access AED use 1931 (4.4) 529 (4.3) 652 (3.7) 334 (5.0) 416 (6.1)
Unknown 852 (2.0) 238 (1.9) 345 (1.9) 135 (2.0) 134 (2.0)
EMS interventions
No. of treating EMS personnel within 15 min after 911 call
Mean (SD) 5.6 (2.1) 5.3 (1.8) 5.5 (2.0) 5.4 (2.1) 7.0 (2.3)
≤6 31 068 (71.2) 10 266 (83.7) 13 342 (74.8) 4733 (70.6) 2727 (39.9)
>6 12 511 (28.7) 1947 (15.9) 4482 (25.1) 1968 (29.4) 4114 (60.1)
Unknown 77 (0.2) 59 (0.5) 18 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
EMS response time (time interval from first telephone call to first EMS arrival)
Median (IQR), min 5.4 (4.2-6.9) 5.1 (4.0-6.6) 5.5 (4.2-7.0) 5.9 (4.7-7.4) 5.1 (4.0-6.4)
Unknown 521 (1.2) 279 (2.3) 187 (1.0) 45 (0.7) 10 (0.1)
Time interval from first telephone call to defibrillation
Median (IQR), min 12.2 (9.1-20.1) 13.0 (9.4-22.1) 12.2 (9.2-19.6) 12.3 (9.5-19.9) 11.0 (8.4-19.0)
Unknown 29 466 (67.5) 8914 (72.6) 11 915 (66.8) 4413 (65.9) 4224 (61.7)
Epinephrine administration
Yes 36 907 (84.5) 10 580 (86.2) 15 330 (85.9) 5512 (82.3) 5485 (80.2)
No 6715 (15.4) 1679 (13.7) 2497 (14.0) 1183 (17.7) 1356 (19.8)
Unknown 34 (0.1) 13 (0.1) 15 (0.1) 6 (0.1) 0 (0.0)
Attempted advanced airway
Yes 34 392 (78.8) 9576 (78.0) 13 614 (76.3) 5230 (78.0) 5972 (87.3)
No 9222 (21.1) 2679 (21.8) 4211 (23.6) 1463 (21.8) 869 (12.7)
Unknown 42 (0.1) 17 (0.1) 17 (0.1) 8 (0.1) 0 (0.0)
Chest compression fraction
Median (IQR) 0.85 (0.77-0.91) 0.83 (0.74-0.90) 0.85 (0.76-0.91) 0.85 (0.77-0.91) 0.89 (0.81-0.95)
Unknown 8212 (18.8) 2626 (21.4) 2986 (16.7) 1478 (22.1) 1122 (16.4)
Chest compression rate
Median (IQR), per minute 108.5
(102.1-116.4)
107.9
(101.5-117.3)
108.0
(102.0-115.5)
108.9
(102.5-117.1)
110.1
(104.0-116.7)
Unknown 8387 (19.2) 2424 (19.8) 3013 (16.9) 1449 (21.6) 1501 (21.9)
EMS agency characteristics
Crew composition of primary EMS agency
BLS 9848 (22.6) 2912 (23.7) 2049 (11.5) 3211 (47.9) 1676 (24.5)
ALS 949 (2.2) 96 (0.8) 0 (0.0) 406 (6.1) 447 (6.5)
BLS/ALS 32 859 (75.3) 9264 (75.5) 15 793 (88.5) 3084 (46.0) 4718 (69.0)
Proportion of patients who received resuscitation attempt among EMS-assessed OHCA in each EMS agency, mean (SD), % 54.0 (15.5) 57.8 (18.0) 50.2 (11.6) 58.9 (16.9) 52.5 (15.7)
ALS-BLS tiered response system 25 642 (58.7) 4466 (36.4) 11 561 (64.8) 4421 (66.0) 5194 (75.9)
Area of EMS agency coverage
Rural 1835 (4.2) 803 (6.5) 94 (0.5) 535 (8.0) 403 (5.9)
Suburban 8329 (19.1) 288 (2.3) 3005 (16.8) 2781 (41.5) 2255 (33.0)
Urban 33 492 (76.7) 11 181 (91.1) 14 743 (82.6) 3385 (50.5) 4183 (61.1)

Abbreviations: AED, automated external defibrillator; ALS, advanced life support; BLS, basic life support; CPR, cardiopulmonary resuscitation; EMS, emergency medical services; IQR, interquartile range.

a

Quartiles for survival rates were 0% to 8.46% (lowest); 8.47% to 12.54% (second lowest), 12.55% to 15.84% (second highest), and 15.85% to 28.95% (highest).

After excluding 11 123 patients with missing covariates, we included 32 533 patients in the multivariable hierarchical models that determined the association of survival with hospital discharge (Figure 1). We reported percentage of missing variables and characteristics of patients with and without missing variables in eTable 2 in Supplement 1. Most of the excluded patients were missing the chest compression fraction (n = 8212) and/or the chest compression rate (n = 8387; eTable 2 in Supplement 1). For most patient-level and EMS agency–level variables, characteristics were similar between patients with and without missing data (standardized mean differences within 0.25; eTable 2 in Supplement 1). The unadjusted MOR for survival to hospital discharge in EMS-treated OHCA was 1.43 (95% CI, 1.34-1.54; Table 2). After adjustment for patient-level and EMS agency–level factors, the MOR for survival increased to 1.56 (95% CI, 1.44-1.73; Table 2 and eTable 3 in Supplement 1).

Table 2. Variation in Survival and Functional Outcomes After EMS-Treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Between EMS Agencies.

Adjustment Median Odds Ratios for EMS Agency Effect (95% CI)
Survival to Hospital Discharge Favorable Functional Outcome at Discharge Return of Spontaneous Circulation at Emergency Department Arrival
EMS-Treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 32 533 18 442 32 528
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.43 (1.34-1.54) 1.54 (1.40-1.73) 1.53 (1.43-1.65)
1a 1.42 (1.33-1.53) 1.56 (1.42-1.76) 1.53 (1.43-1.65)
2b 1.45 (1.35-1.58) 1.60 (1.44-1.83) 1.57 (1.47-1.70)
3c 1.43 (1.34-1.56) 1.58 (1.42-1.81) 1.56 (1.46-1.69)
4d 1.57 (1.45-1.74) 1.59 (1.41-1.85) 1.54 (1.44-1.67)
5e 1.56 (1.44-1.73) 1.53 (1.37-1.78) 1.50 (1.41-1.62)
EMS-Treated Shockable Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 7602 4421 7600
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.39 (1.30-1.52) 1.51 (1.36-1.72) 1.55 (1.43-1.70)
1a 1.41 (1.31-1.55) 1.56 (1.40-1.79) 1.56 (1.44-1.73)
2b 1.43 (1.33-1.58) 1.54 (1.39-1.77) 1.59 (1.46-1.76)
3c 1.39 (1.29-1.54) 1.50 (1.35-1.72) 1.57 (1.44-1.73)
4d 1.53 (1.39-1.73) 1.57 (1.39-1.85) 1.63 (1.49-1.83)
5e 1.53 (1.39-1.73) 1.48 (1.32-1.75) 1.58 (1.44-1.76)
EMS-Treated Nonshockable Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 24 931 14 021 24 928
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.61 (1.45-1.82) 1.66 (1.42-2.08) 1.59 (1.48-1.74)
1a 1.57 (1.42-1.78) 1.66 (1.42-2.08) 1.59 (1.48-1.74)
2b 1.57 (1.42-1.79) 1.69 (1.44-2.15) 1.62 (1.50-1.78)
3c 1.58 (1.43-1.80) 1.71 (1.45-2.17) 1.62 (1.50-1.78)
4d 1.69 (1.51-1.94) 1.56 (1.31-2.06) 1.56 (1.45-1.71)
5e 1.64 (1.47-1.89) 1.43 (1.21-1.98) 1.52 (1.41-1.65)

Abbreviation: EMS, emergency medical services.

a

Adjustment 1 was for patient demographics: patient age and sex.

b

Adjustment 2 was for patient demographics, as above, and cardiac arrest event characteristics: year of arrest, initial rhythm, location of arrest, and witnessed collapse.

c

Adjustment 3 was for patient demographics and cardiac arrest event characteristics, as above, and layperson interventions: layperson cardiopulmonary resuscitation and public access automated external defibrillator use.

d

Adjustment 4 was for patient demographics, cardiac arrest event characteristics, and layperson interventions, as above, and EMS interventions: number of treating EMS personnel within 15 minutes after emergency telephone call, EMS response time, epinephrine administration, attempted advanced airway, chest compression fraction, and chest compression rate.

e

Adjustment 5 was for patient demographics, cardiac arrest event characteristics, layperson interventions, and EMS interventions, as above, and EMS agency-level variables: EMS crew composition characteristics, proportion of patients who received any resuscitation attempt among EMS-assessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, advanced life support–basic life support tiered system, and area of EMS coverage.

In the subgroup of those who survived more than 60 minutes after hospital arrival, the unadjusted MOR for survival was 1.39 (95% CI, 1.29-1.53; Table 3). After adjustment for patient-level and EMS agency–level variables, including postresuscitation treatments (eg, PCI within 24 hours after hospital arrival and induced TTM), the MOR for survival increased to 1.49 (95% CI, 1.36-1.69).

Table 3. Variation in Survival and Functional Outcomes Between EMS Agencies in the Subcohort of EMS-Treated Patients With Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Who Survived Longer Than 60 Minutes after Hospital Arrival.

Adjustment Median Odds Ratios for EMS Agency Effect (95% CI)
Survival to Hospital Discharge Favorable Functional Outcome
EMS-Treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 7976 5481
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.39 (1.29-1.53) 1.55 (1.40-1.77)
1a 1.38 (1.28-1.52) 1.56 (1.41-1.79)
2b 1.37 (1.27-1.52) 1.48 (1.34-1.71)
3c 1.36 (1.26-1.51) 1.47 (1.32-1.70)
4d 1.53 (1.39-1.73) 1.46 (1.30-1.72)
5e 1.49 (1.36-1.68) 1.35 (1.21-1.60)
6f 1.49 (1.36-1.69) 1.34 (1.20-1.59)
EMS-Treated Shockable Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 3522 2363
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.32 (1.21-1.50) 1.43 (1.28-1.66)
1a 1.29 (1.18-1.48) 1.44 (1.29-1.68)
2b 1.27 (1.16-1.47) 1.39 (1.25-1.63)
3c 1.24 (1.13-1.45) 1.36 (1.22-1.60)
4d 1.39 (1.25-1.63) 1.40 (1.24-1.69)
5e 1.36 (1.23-1.59) 1.27 (1.14-1.58)
6f 1.35 (1.22-1.58) 1.26 (1.12-1.58)
EMS-Treated Nonshockable Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest
Patients, No. 4454 3118
Adjustments
Unadjusted 1.46 (1.31-1.70) 1.64 (1.38-2.10)
1a 1.43 (1.29-1.66) 1.63 (1.38-2.10)
2b 1.46 (1.31-1.70) 1.64 (1.38-2.12)
3c 1.46 (1.31-1.70) 1.65 (1.39-2.13)
4d 1.64 (1.44-1.98) 1.51 (1.26-2.07)
5e 1.57 (1.38-1.87) 1.38 (1.16-2.05)
6f 1.57 (1.38-1.87) 1.37 (1.15-2.04)

Abbreviation: EMS, emergency medical services.

a

Adjustment 1 was for patient demographics: patient age and sex.

b

Adjustment 2 was for patient demographics, as above, and cardiac arrest event characteristics: year of arrest, initial rhythm, location of arrest, and witnessed collapse.

c

Adjustment 3 was for patient demographics and cardiac arrest event characteristics, as above, and layperson interventions: layperson cardiopulmonary resuscitation and public access automated external defibrillator use.

d

Adjustment 4 was for patient demographics, cardiac arrest event characteristics, and layperson interventions, as above, and EMS interventions: number of treating EMS personnel within 15 minutes after emergency telephone call, EMS response time, epinephrine administration, attempted advanced airway, chest compression fraction, and chest compression rate.

e

Adjustment 5 was for patient demographics, cardiac arrest event characteristics, layperson interventions, and EMS interventions, as above, and EMS agency-level variables: EMS crew composition characteristics, proportion of patients who received any resuscitation attempt among EMS-assessed OHCA, advanced life support–basic life support tiered system, and area of EMS coverage.

f

Adjustment 6 was for patient demographics, cardiac arrest event characteristics, layperson interventions, EMS interventions, and EMS agency-level variables, as above, and treatment variables: percutaneous coronary intervention within 24 hours of hospital arrival and induced targeted temperature management.

Differences in MORs for favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge were similar in the total cohort of patients with EMS-treated OHCA and in the subgroup of those who survived more than 60 minutes after hospital arrival (Tables 2 and 3). When stratified by initial rhythm, differences in MORs for survival were greater for patients with nonshockable rhythms than those with shockable rhythms (Tables 2 and 3). In all sensitivity analyses, we found similar MORs (eTables 4, 5, and 6 in Supplement 1).

Discussion

In this analysis of a large prospective registry of patients with OHCA in North America, clinically important patient outcomes (eg, ROSC at ED arrival, survival to hospital discharge, and favorable functional outcome at hospital discharge) substantially differed across EMS agencies, despite adjustment for measured sources of variability. We observed a median difference of 56% in the odds of survival to hospital discharge for any 2 otherwise similar patients who were treated by any 2 randomly selected EMS agencies. We observed similar variation in those surviving to hospital care with adjustment for postresuscitation treatments (eg, PCI within 24 hours after hospital arrival and induced TTM) and in all sensitivity analyses. These data suggest that the between-agency variation resulted from unmeasured patient, EMS agency, hospital, and/or community characteristics, because the variation in outcomes persisted after adjustment for multiple measured factors.

We previously reported2 a 5-fold regional variation in the unadjusted rates of survival to hospital discharge after EMS-treated OHCA (3.0% to 16.3%) and EMS-treated OHCA with ventricular fibrillation (7.7% to 39.9%) across the same geographic sites between 2006 and 2007. Using more recent data between 2011 and 2015, we also found4 persisting regional variations in the unadjusted rates of survival to hospital discharge after EMS-treated OHCA (4.2% to 19.8%) and EMS-treated OHCA with shockable rhythm (11.9% to 47.1%) among the 10 ROC sites. Similarly, analysis of the Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival database demonstrated large variation in unadjusted survival to hospital discharge (3.4% to 22.0%) across 132 counties in the United States.3 Across 10 regions in the United Kingdom, the crude survival to hospital discharge after OHCA ranged from 2.2% to 12.0% between ambulance services, and this variation persisted after adjustment for presumed causative mechanisms of illness, witnessed collapse, and initial rhythm.12 Our findings confirm and expand these observations by assessing a critical unit of OHCA management (ie, EMS agency) and including functional outcome and multiple health care settings with a robust statistical approach, accounting for known confounders and clustering of patients within EMS agencies.

The mechanisms of the observed variation in our study are likely multifactorial, including unmeasured patient-level factors (eg, comorbidity9 and first-responder interventions), EMS-level factors (eg, experience and training of EMS personnel),28 hospital-level factors (eg, practice variation in timing of withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy29 and receiving hospital characteristics30), and neighborhood-level factors (eg, racial/ethnic composition).31 We found that in all survival quartiles of EMS agencies, median chest compression fraction exceeded 0.80, and median chest compression rate was between 100 and 120 compressions per minute. Both metrics conform with current evidence-based practice guidelines.19,32 This suggests that most EMS agencies included in this analysis performed guideline-compliant chest compression fraction and chest compression rate, and that outcome differences are explained by other factors. We previously reported that the Utstein elements (age, sex, arrest cause, witness status, location of arrest, bystander CPR, initial rhythm, and EMS response interval) partially predicted the variation in survival after OHCA between the ROC sites.5 In this study, we found significant unexplained variation in outcomes after OHCA between EMS agencies, suggesting opportunities to capture contributing factors to the observed variation.

This study has implications for improvement of OHCA management. First, the analysis indicates that the highest-performing EMS agencies had more layperson interventions and more EMS personnel on scene. These metrics of quality of care may be used by other EMS agencies as targets to improve care and outcomes, although further evaluations of optimal measurement of EMS performance are needed. Second, our findings justify further efforts to identify potentially modifiable factors that may explain this residual variation in outcomes and could be targets of public health interventions. Such factors in EMS might include whether the decision to transport for further care is evidence based (ie, the Termination of Resuscitation Guideline) or left to the discretion of the paramedics or direct medical oversight.33 They may also include other factors in EMS culture and practice, such as EMS team design, team composition and roles, communication and leadership, and training and education. Indeed, recent in-hospital cardiac arrest research found these factors were important elements of resuscitation teams at top-performing hospitals.34 Further efforts are needed to identify features of high-performing EMS agencies in OHCA.

Limitations

Our study has several limitations. First, we cannot determine which unmeasured factors explain the observed differences in outcomes. These unmeasured factors include patient comorbidity,9 first-responder interventions, experience and training of treating EMS personnel,28 postresuscitation practice,29 hospital characteristics,30 and neighborhood factors.31 Second, our inference may not be fully generalizable to other health care settings. Because participating sites did not include all EMS agencies in each region but instead selected EMS agencies based on adherence to performance metrics, ability to conduct trials, or interest in participation in research, we may have underestimated the actual variation between all EMS agencies. Third, excluding patients with missing variables from our hierarchical models may have biased results. Although standardized mean differences of most covariates were within 0.25 between patients with and without missing variables, some covariates had greater than 0.25 comparative mean difference (eTable 2 in Supplement 1). Finally, we assigned 1 primary EMS agency to each OHCA case, even if a case was treated by multiple agencies. It is possible that our assignment of an agency did not reflect the agency that primarily managed the resuscitation. However, sensitivity analyses with 2 alternative definitions of primary EMS agency demonstrated similar results, which shows the findings are robust to different exposure definitions.

Conclusions

In this study of data from 112 EMS agencies in North America, patient outcomes after OHCA varied substantially between EMS agencies, despite adjustment for documented factors associated with outcomes. Further research is required to identify modifiable factors that are contributing to this observed variation to improve patient outcomes after OHCA.

Supplement.

eFigure 1. Multivariable Hierarchical Model with Patient- and EMS Agency-level Covariates

eFigure 2. Assignment of the Primary EMS Agency under Multiple Agencies Involvement

eFigure 3. Variation in Adjusted Rate of Survival to Hospital Discharge with 95% CI between EMS Agencies

eTable 1. Patient, Cardiac Arrest Event, Layperson and EMS Interventions, Post-resuscitation Management, and EMS Agency Characteristics among Those who Survived >60 minutes after Hospital Arrival, Stratified by Quartiles of Survival at EMS agency

eTable 2. Patient Demographics, Cardiac Arrest Event Characteristics, Layperson and EMS Interventions, EMS Agency Characteristics, and Outcome between Cases with and without Missing Variables

eTable 3. Coefficient in the Multivariable Hierarchical Model with Patient-level and EMS Agency-level Variables

eTable 4. Variation in Survival and Functional outcomes between EMS Agencies, including Compression Depth

eTable 5. Variation in Survival and Functional Outcomes after EMS-treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest between EMS Agencies, Primary agency=first arriving agency

eTable 6. Variation in Survival and Functional outcomes after EMS-treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest between EMS Agencies, Primary agency=highest level agency

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Supplement.

eFigure 1. Multivariable Hierarchical Model with Patient- and EMS Agency-level Covariates

eFigure 2. Assignment of the Primary EMS Agency under Multiple Agencies Involvement

eFigure 3. Variation in Adjusted Rate of Survival to Hospital Discharge with 95% CI between EMS Agencies

eTable 1. Patient, Cardiac Arrest Event, Layperson and EMS Interventions, Post-resuscitation Management, and EMS Agency Characteristics among Those who Survived >60 minutes after Hospital Arrival, Stratified by Quartiles of Survival at EMS agency

eTable 2. Patient Demographics, Cardiac Arrest Event Characteristics, Layperson and EMS Interventions, EMS Agency Characteristics, and Outcome between Cases with and without Missing Variables

eTable 3. Coefficient in the Multivariable Hierarchical Model with Patient-level and EMS Agency-level Variables

eTable 4. Variation in Survival and Functional outcomes between EMS Agencies, including Compression Depth

eTable 5. Variation in Survival and Functional Outcomes after EMS-treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest between EMS Agencies, Primary agency=first arriving agency

eTable 6. Variation in Survival and Functional outcomes after EMS-treated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest between EMS Agencies, Primary agency=highest level agency

Supplement 2.

Data Sharing Statement.


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