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Journal of Clinical Oncology logoLink to Journal of Clinical Oncology
. 2016 Sep 6;34(30):3627–3637. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2016.67.3616

Clinical Effects of Driver Somatic Mutations on the Outcomes of Patients With Myelodysplastic Syndromes Treated With Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation

Matteo G Della Porta 1,, Anna Gallì 1, Andrea Bacigalupo 1, Silvia Zibellini 1, Massimo Bernardi 1, Ettore Rizzo 1, Bernardino Allione 1, Maria Teresa van Lint 1, Pietro Pioltelli 1, Paola Marenco 1, Alberto Bosi 1, Maria Teresa Voso 1, Simona Sica 1, Mariella Cuzzola 1, Emanuele Angelucci 1, Marianna Rossi 1, Marta Ubezio 1, Alberto Malovini 1, Ivan Limongelli 1, Virginia V Ferretti 1, Orietta Spinelli 1, Cristina Tresoldi 1, Sarah Pozzi 1, Silvia Luchetti 1, Laura Pezzetti 1, Silvia Catricalà 1, Chiara Milanesi 1, Alberto Riva 1, Benedetto Bruno 1, Fabio Ciceri 1, Francesca Bonifazi 1, Riccardo Bellazzi 1, Elli Papaemmanuil 1, Armando Santoro 1, Emilio P Alessandrino 1, Alessandro Rambaldi 1, Mario Cazzola 1
PMCID: PMC6366344  PMID: 27601546

Abstract

Purpose

The genetic basis of myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) is heterogeneous, and various combinations of somatic mutations are associated with different clinical phenotypes and outcomes. Whether the genetic basis of MDS influences the outcome of allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT) is unclear.

Patients and Methods

We studied 401 patients with MDS or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) evolving from MDS (MDS/AML). We used massively parallel sequencing to examine tumor samples collected before HSCT for somatic mutations in 34 recurrently mutated genes in myeloid neoplasms. We then analyzed the impact of mutations on the outcome of HSCT.

Results

Overall, 87% of patients carried one or more oncogenic mutations. Somatic mutations of ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 were independent predictors of relapse and overall survival after HSCT in both patients with MDS and patients with MDS/AML (P values ranging from .003 to .035). In patients with MDS/AML, gene ontology (ie, secondary-type AML carrying mutations in genes of RNA splicing machinery, TP53-mutated AML, or de novo AML) was an independent predictor of posttransplantation outcome (P = .013). The impact of ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 mutations on posttransplantation survival was independent of the revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R). Combining somatic mutations and IPSS-R risk improved the ability to stratify patients by capturing more prognostic information at an individual level. Accounting for various combinations of IPSS-R risk and somatic mutations, the 5-year probability of survival after HSCT ranged from 0% to 73%.

Conclusion

Somatic mutation in ASXL1, RUNX1, or TP53 is independently associated with unfavorable outcomes and shorter survival after allogeneic HSCT for patients with MDS and MDS/AML. Accounting for these genetic lesions may improve the prognostication precision in clinical practice and in designing clinical trials.

INTRODUCTION

Myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) are myeloid neoplasms that range from conditions with a near-normal life expectancy to forms that are close to acute myeloid leukemia (AML).1 Their clinical heterogeneity reflects different somatic mutations that cause clonal proliferation and evolution of myelodysplastic cells.2-4

The fact that MDS have highly variable clinical courses makes risk stratification of crucial importance in clinical decision making.1,5 Several prognostic scoring systems based on clinical/hematologic parameters have been developed.6 In 2012, an international collaborative group created the revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R), which defines five risk groups with different probabilities of survival and leukemic evolution.7

The only curative treatment for patients with MDS is allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation (HSCT), which is considered as a therapeutic option until the age of 65 to 70 years in eligible patients.5 The long-term survival rate is currently approximately 30%.8-12 Reasons for transplantation failure include toxicity of the procedure and disease relapse.

Prognostic scoring systems are currently used to predict the outcome after HSCT.5,12 In particular, disease burden and cytogenetic abnormalities provide information on the risk of disease relapse after the procedure.8-12 Major limitations of the use of these scores include the reliability of some variables based on morphologic evaluation and the fact that cytogenetics is not informative in a large proportion of patients and includes secondary, late genomic events, deriving from the genome instability caused by the founding genetic mutation.4,13

Mutations in several genes have been reported to influence the risk of disease progression and to affect clinical decision making in MDS.14-17 Preliminary data suggest that mutations in TP53, TET2, and DNMT3A genes are associated with a high probability of relapse after HSCT.18

Comprehensive analyses in large patient populations are warranted to correctly estimate the independent effect of each mutation on posttransplantation outcome. To address this question, we used massively parallel sequencing to examine tumor samples for coding mutations in 34 recurrently mutated genes in myeloid neoplasms. Samples were collected from 401 patients with MDS or MDS/AML before HSCT.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients and Study Design

These investigations were approved by the ethics committee of the Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy. We studied 401 patients who underwent allogeneic HSCT for primary MDS or AML evolving from MDS (MDS/AML) between 1997 and 2013 and were reported to the Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo registry. Diagnosis of MDS was made or revised according to the 2008 WHO criteria.19 Clinical characteristics of patients and transplant procedures are reported in Table 1.20

Table 1.

Demographic Data, Clinical Characteristics, and Transplant-Related Features of Patients With MDS or Acute Myeloid Leukemia Evolving From MDS Who Underwent Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation (N = 401)

Variable* MDS MDS/AML Comparison Between MDS and MDS/AML P
Demographic data and clinical characteristics
 No. of patients (%) 274 (68) 127 (32)
 Age, years, median (range) 54 (18-72) 52 (19-69) NS
 Sex, male/female 156 (57)/118 (43) 75 (59)/52 (41) NS
 WHO classification
  RCUD/RARS/MDS del(5q) 27 (10)
  RCMD 63 (23)
  RAEB-1 69 (25)
  RAEB-2 115 (42)
 Hemoglobin, g/dL, median (range) 9.1 (5.8-11.3) 8.9 (6.2-11.9) NS
 Leukocyte count, × 109/L, median (range) 3.17 (0.2-42.8) 2.71 (0.12-38.9) NS
 Neutrophil count, × 109/L, median (range) 1.9 (0.09-32.3) 1.69 (0.1-9.1) NS
 Platelet count, × 109/L, median (range) 87 (2-862) 71 (3-433) NS
 Transfusion dependency 159 (58) 85 (67) NS
 IPSS-R risk 260 (95) 119 (94)
  Low 47 (18) < .001
  Intermediate 75 (29) 7 (6)
  High 96 (37) 64 (54)
  Very high 42 (16) 48 (40)
Transplant-related features
 Time from diagnosis to HSCT, months (range) 10.1 (2-189.3) 8.9 (2-20.5) NS
 Type of donor
  Sibling 151 (55) 77 (61) NS
  Unrelated donor (MUD)§ 123 (45) 50 (39)
 Source of hematopoietic stem cells
  Peripheral blood/cord blood 181 (66) 75 (61) NS
  Bone marrow 93 (34) 52 (41)
 Remission-induction chemotherapy 85 (31) 121 (95) < .001
 Complete remission 42 (49) 69 (57) NS
 Conditioning regimen
  Standard conditioning regimen 175 (64) 77 (61) NS
  Reduced-intensity conditioning 99 (36) 50 (39)

NOTE. All values are expressed as the number of patients (%), unless otherwise specified.

Abbreviations: HSCT, hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation; IPSS-R, revised International Prognostic Scoring System; MDS, myelodysplastic syndromes; MDS/AML, acute myeloid leukemia evolving from MDS; MDS (del)5q, MDS associated with isolated del(5q); MUD, matched unrelated donor; NS, not significant; RAEB-1, refractory anemia with excess blasts-1; RAEB-2, refractory anemia with excess blasts-2; RARS, refractory anemia with ring sideroblasts; RCMD, refractory cytopenia with multilineage dysplasia; RCUD, refractory cytopenia with unilineage dysplasia

*

All variables were analyzed at the time of transplantation in patients undergoing up-front allogeneic HSCT, and at the time of remission-induction chemotherapy in those receiving treatment before transplantation.

MDS/AML included patients with AML evolving from MDS, and those affected with RAEB-t (refractory anemia with excess blasts in transformation) according to the French-American-British classification.

Transfusion dependency was defined as having at least one red blood cell transfusion every 8 weeks over a period of 4 months.20

§

Criteria for selection of human leukocyte antigen (HLA)–matched unrelated donors before 2002 included low-resolution typing for HLA class I (A, B) and high-resolution typing for HLA-DRB1. Since 2002, criteria have included high-resolution typing for both HLA class I (A, B, C) and class II alleles (DRB1/3/4/5, DQA1, DPB1).

The most frequent conditioning regimens included the following: total body irradiation (TBI) and cyclophosphamide, TBI and fludarabine, busulfan and cyclophosphamide, thiotepa and cyclophosphamide, and thiotepa and fludarabine. In most patients, graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis was combined cyclosporine and methotrexate.

Sample Processing, DNA Sequencing, and Mutation Analysis

We analyzed bone marrow mononuclear cells collected at the time of transplant in patients receiving allogeneic HSCT upfront, and at the time of remission-induction therapy in those receiving treatment before transplantation. In nine patients, samples at the time of disease relapse after HSCT were also studied. DNA was isolated from tumor cells using the Gentra Puregene Blood Kit (Qiagen, Germantown, MD).

A TruSeq Custom Amplicon panel (TSCA; Illumina, San Diego, CA) targeting complete coding exons and their adjacent splice junctions from 34 genes was designed using Illumina Design Studio software. Genes were selected based on the available evidence in myeloid neoplasms (Appendix Table A1, online only). The TSCA panel consisted of 886 amplicons, 425 bp in length, for a total of 205 kb targeted DNA. Dual-barcoded TSCA libraries were created from 250 ng of high-quality DNA according to the manufacturer’s protocol. Libraries were multiplexed and underwent 2 × 250–bp paired-end sequencing on a MiSeq sequencing system using MiSeq Reagent Kit v3 (Illumina).

Mutational analysis of low-performer regions (ie, regions with inadequate coverage [< 100×]) was carried out using Nextera XT sample preparation kit (Illumina), and sequencing reactions were performed using the MiSeq v2 (2 × 150 bp) chemistry. The resulting average depth of coverage for the 886 amplicons was 980×. Sequence reads were initially aligned to the human genome (GRCh37/hg19) using the Burrows-Wheeler aligner. The Genome Analysis Toolkit (www.broadinstitute.org/gatk/) was later used to clean up reads and to make alignment data more reliable for the variant calling (Genome Analysis Toolkit data clean up best practice). Single nucleotide variants and small insertions and deletions were identified by MuTect and UnifiedGenotyper, respectively.

Functionally annotated variants were filtered accordingly to the following criteria. Synonymous variants and variants located outside protein-coding regions were filtered. Polymorphisms described in dbSNP (version 138) and in 1000 Genomes Project with a population frequency > 1% and 0.14%, respectively, were removed. Finally, variants with coverage < 30× and < 10 supporting reads, and variants with an allelic fraction (VAF) lower than 1%, were filtered. The remaining variants, evaluated as candidate somatic mutations, were finally tagged as oncogenic using different criteria based on information retrieved from literature, sequence conservation, and in silico prediction effect.21-23

Statistical Analysis

Comparison of numerical variables between groups was carried out using a nonparametric approach (Mann-Whitney test or Kruskal-Wallis analysis of variance). Comparison of the distribution of categorical variables in different groups was performed with either Fisher’s exact test (2 × 2 tables) or the χ2 test (larger tables). Overall survival (OS) was defined as the time between transplantation and death (from any cause) or last follow-up (for censored observations). When estimating nonrelapse mortality, any death in the absence of disease relapse was considered an event. The probability of relapse was estimated considering transplant as a failure at the time of hematologic relapse (evaluated according to standardized criteria).24 The cumulative probability of surviving was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier product limit method. The cumulative incidence of relapse and nonrelapse mortality were estimated with a competing-risks approach.25 Univariable and multivariable survival analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards regression. To compare different statistical models, we used the likelihood ratio test. Analyses were performed using STATA 11.2 SE (STATA, College Station, TX) and Statistica 7.0 (StatSoft Inc., Tulsa, OK) software.

RESULTS

Gene Mutations in Patients With MDS and MDS/AML Receiving HSCT

Oncogenic mutations were identified in 34 genes in the whole study population. RUNX1 was the most frequently mutated gene (23%), followed by SRSF2 (17%), ASXL1 (17%), SF3B1 (16%), KRAS/NRAS (16%), DNMT3A (15%), TP53 (13%), and TET2 (10%) (Fig 1A).

Fig 1.

Fig 1.

Fig 1.

Mutation patterns observed in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) and acute myeloid leukemia evolving from MDS, who were treated with allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation. (A) Whole patient population (N = 401); (B) patients with MDS diagnosed according to WHO criteria (n = 274); and (C) patients with acute myeloid leukemia evolving from MDS (n = 127). The plot represents a graphical summary of the distribution of somatic lesions in sequenced genes across the set of patients, grouped in categories as labeled in the legend. Columns represent samples and rows represent genes. Mutations are depicted by colored glyphs whose colors are used to distinguish different pathways, and their number per sample and per gene is summarized on the top and on the right side of the plot, respectively. In panel C, colors reflect ontogeny specificity of mutated genes, and genetic ontogeny groups are labeled on the top.

In total, 318 of 401 patients (79%) had at least one oncogenic point mutation, whereas cytogenetic studies identified abnormalities in 149 patients (37%). When sequencing and cytogenetics were combined, the number of patients with MDS-related oncogenic lesions increased to 87%. Indeed, 97 patients had one oncogenic point mutation (24%), 123 had two or three mutations (31%), and 98 had greater than four mutations (24%). No significant relationship was observed between WHO category (reflecting disease burden) and the prevalence of patients carrying driver mutation(s). Moreover, the sample quality and the average depth read in wild-type patients were comparable to those of mutated cases.

A significantly higher prevalence of mutations in splicing factors were observed in MDS compared with MDS/AML (P = .021), whereas mutations in DNA methylators were more frequent in MDS/AML than in MDS (P = .001; Fig 1B and C). We then focused on MDS/AML and stratified these 127 patients according to three distinct genetic subtypes, as previously defined25: secondary-type AML (including patients carrying mutations in SRSF2, SF3B1, U2AF1, ZRSR2, ASXL1, EZH2, BCOR, or STAG2 genes), TP53-mutated AML, and de novo AML (mainly including patients with NPM1 mutations, MLL/11q23 and CBF rearrangements). Accordingly, 55 subjects were classified as secondary-type AML (43%), 13 as TP53-mutated AML (10%), and 59 as de novo AML (47%; Fig 1C).

Genetic Predictive Features for the Outcomes of Allogeneic HSCT in Patients With MDS and MDS/AML

In our study, the number of somatic mutations was found to have a significant effect on probability of relapse and OS after HSCT (P < .001 and P = .017, respectively; Fig 2A). We then examined the hazard ratio (HR) of death associated with mutations in the genes mutated in ≥ 5% of patients in this cohort. In univariable analysis, mutations in RUNX1, ASXL1, IDH1/2, and TP53 were associated with increased probability of relapse (HR, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.26 to 2.27], P = .001; HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.34 to 2.56], P < .001; HR, 1.74 [95% CI, 1.17 to 2.38], P = .002; and HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.54 to 2.57], P < .001, respectively) and shorter OS (HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.1 to 2.23], P = .008; HR, 1.73 [95% CI, 1.23 to 2.18], P = .003; HR, 1.42 [95% CI, 0.95 to 2.16], P = .04; and HR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.48 to 2.37], P = .001, respectively; Fig 2B and Table 2).

Fig 2.

Fig 2.

Fig 2.

Relationship between (A) number of mutations and (B) type of oncogenic mutations and overall survival of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) receiving allogeneic hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation. (C) Posttransplantation overall survival among patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) evolving from MDS according to genetic ontogeny group. NS = not significant.

Table 2.

Prognostic Value of Gene Mutations for Posttransplantation Outcomes in Univariable and Multivariable Analyses

Analysis Type Probability of Relapse Overall Survival
HR 95% CI P HR 95% CI P
Univariable analysis
 Whole study population
  Variable
   ASXL1 1.89 1.34 to 2.56 < .001 1.73 1.23 to 2.18 .003
   RUNX1 1.78 1.26 to 2.27 .001 1.69 1.1 to 2.23 .008
   IDH1/2 1.74 1.17 to 2.38 .002 1.42 0.95 to 2.16 .04
   TP53 1.95 1.54 to 2.57 < .001 1.92 1.48 to 2.37 .001
Multivariable analysis
 Patients with MDS
  Variable
   ASXL1 1.89 1.41 to 2.46 .003 1.72 1.39 to 2.23 .008
   RUNX1 1.67 1.31 to 2.37 .02 1.59 1.29 to 2.18 .035
   TP53 1.90 1.52 to 2.39 .019 1.82 1.48 to 2.47 .022
 Patients with MDS/AML
  Variable
   ASXL1 2.41 1.59 to 4.41 .029 2.09 1.64 to 3.89 .021
   RUNX1 2.46 1.69 to 4.52 .038 1.96 1.47 to 4.08 .031
   TP53 3.12 1.77 to 5.11 .003 2.54 1.61 to 4.09 .004

Abbreviations: HR, hazard ratio; MDS, myelodysplastic syndromes; MDS/AML, acute myeloid leukemia evolving from MDS.

The prognostic effect of gene mutations was maintained when considering patients with MDS and patients with MDS/AML separately (P values ranging from .039 to < .001). RUNX1 mutations were significantly associated with multilineage dysplasia (P = .012), excess blasts (P = .024), and decreased level of platelets (P = .031). A borderline association was found between ASXL1 mutations and poor/very poor cytogenetic risk according to IPSS-R criteria (P = .052). IDH1/2 mutations were associated with excess blasts (P = .018) and multilineage dysplasia (P = .009). TP53 mutations were associated with poor/very poor cytogenetic risk (P < .001), transfusion dependency (P = .042), and decreased level of neutrophils (P = .033).

As a next step, we fitted a Cox multivariate model to evaluate the prognostic effect of somatic mutations on posttransplantation outcome, considering as covariates the factors age and sex of recipient; hemoglobin, neutrophil, and platelet levels; percentage of marrow blasts; cytogenetics (according to IPSS-R criteria), disease stage at transplantation (complete remission v active/progressive disease), source of hematopoietic stem cells (peripheral blood v bone marrow), type of donor (human leukocyte antigen–identical sibling v matched unrelated donor); and type of conditioning (reduced-intensity v standard conditioning).

In the analysis performed on patients with MDS, mutations in ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes showed an independent effect on probability of relapse and OS after transplantation (ASXL1: HR, 1.89 [95% CI, 1.41 to 2.46], P = .003 and HR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.39 to 2.23], P = .008; RUNX1: HR, 1.67 [95% CI, 1.31 to 2.37], P = .020 and HR, 1.59 [95% CI, 1.29 to 2.18], P = .035; TP53: HR, 1.90 [95% CI, 1.52 to 2.39], P = .019 and HR, 1.82 [95% CI, 1.48 to 2.47], P = .022, respectively; Table 2).

To account for the long period of recruitment, we analyzed the effect of year of transplantation on clinical outcome. Year of transplantation showed a significant effect on transplant-related mortality (P = .011) and a borderline effect on OS (P = .062), whereas probability of relapse was not significantly affected.

We then stratified mutations according to VAF. Patients with mutated ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes with VAF ≤ 10% versus > 10% were 14% versus 86%, 55% versus 45%, and 45% versus 55%, respectively. The negative effect of gene mutations on posttransplantation outcome was maintained when performing separate analyses on patients with VAF ≤ 10% versus > 10% (data not shown).

To verify whether somatic mutations could improve the prognostic stratification of patients with MDS who underwent HSCT, we fitted two separate multivariable analyses, including and not including ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 mutations, respectively, and compared them using the likelihood ratios test. The model comparison resulted in a significant P value (P < .001), thus confirming the importance of accounting for gene mutations in the prognostic model.

We then focused on patients with MDS/AML. Mutations in ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes confirmed an independent effect on probability of relapse and OS after transplantation (ASXL1: HR, 2.41 [95% CI, 1.59 to 4.41], P = .029 and HR, 2.09 [95% CI, 1.64 to 3.89], P = .021; RUNX1: HR, 2.46 [95% CI, 1.69 to 4.52], P = .038 and HR, 1.96 [95% CI, 1.47 to 4.08], P = .031; and TP53: HR, 3.12 [95% CI, 1.77 to 5.11], P = .003 and HR, 2.54 [95% CI, 1.61 to 4.09], P = .004, respectively; Table 2).

We stratified patients with MDS/AML according to three distinct genetic subtypes (ie, de novo AML [reference group], secondary-type AML, and TP53-mutated AML).26 Genetic AML subgroups were significantly associated with a different probability of relapse and survival after transplantation (P = .003 and P = .013, respectively; Fig 2C). In multivariable analysis, AML ontogeny maintained an independent effect on probability of relapse and survival after transplantation (HR, 1.78 [95% CI, 1.36 to 3.63], P = .028 and HR, 1.74 [95% CI, 1.25 to 3.87], P = .042, respectively).

Clinical Impact of Somatic Mutations in Patients With MDS Receiving HSCT, Stratified According to IPSS-R

First, we evaluated the prognostic effect of the IPSS-R score using a multivariate regression model. In this analysis, focused on patients with MDS, IPSS-R significantly affected probability of relapse (HR, 1.53 [95% CI, 1.18 to 2.16], P < .001) and OS (HR, 1.41 [95% CI, 1.11 to 2.05], P = .001). We then introduced somatic mutations in ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes as covariables in the model. Both IPSS-R and gene mutations maintained an independent effect on posttransplantation outcome (IPSS-R: probability of relapse HR, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.02 to 1.99], P < .001 and OS HR, 1.29 [95% CI, 1.04 to 2.21], P = .001; ASXL1: probability of relapse HR, 1.95 [95% CI, 1.16 to 3.14], P = .015 and OS HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.26 to 2.35], P = .007; RUNX1: probability of relapse HR, 1.72 [95% CI, 0.98 to 2.77 ], P = .041 and OS HR, 1.69 [95% CI, 1.06 to 1.97], P = .017; and TP53: probability of relapse HR, 1.79 [95% CI, 1.25 to 2.59], P = .030 and OS HR, 1.48 [95% CI, 1.08 to 2.37], P = .036).

In prognostic terms, because the HRs of IPSS-R score and of ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 mutations are comparable in size, the increase in risk resulting from the presence of mutated genes is equivalent to the increase resulting from a one-step shift into a more advanced IPSS-R risk group. Posttransplantation outcomes in patients with MDS classified by IPSS-R and stratified according to the presence of mutations in ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes are reported in Fig 3. Accounting for various combinations of a patient’s IPSS-R category and mutational status, 5-year probability of survival and cumulative incidence of relapse after allogeneic HSCT ranged from 0% to 73% and from 4% to 77%, respectively. Compared with the IPSS-R–based stratification, when introducing gene mutations, the prediction of posttransplantation outcome would significantly change for 34% of patients.

Fig 3.

Fig 3.

Posttransplantation overall survival of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes classified by the revised International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS-R) and stratified according to the presence of mutations in the ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes.

Finally, to verify whether gene mutation could improve the IPSS-R prognostic stratification of patients with MDS who underwent allogeneic HSCT, we fitted two separate multivariable analyses including and not including gene mutations as covariables, respectively, and compared them using the likelihood ratios test. The model comparison resulted in a significant P value (P < .001), thus confirming the importance of accounting for gene mutations in the prognostic model.

Mutation Pattern at Disease Relapse After HSCT in Patients With MDS and MDS/AML

We used massively parallel sequencing to examine paired tumor samples collected from nine patients before HSCT and at the time of disease relapse after the procedure. Different types of clonal evolution occurred at relapse. In seven patients, the founder clone recurred, whereas in two patients a subclone of the founder clone escaped and expanded at relapse. In all patients, additional mutations not detected at diagnosis were observed at the time of relapse (Table 3). Focusing on the three genes associated with negative posttransplantation outcomes in our study, in patient 3, the founder clone carrying RUNX1 mutation recurred at the time of relapse, whereas in patients 7 and 9, mutations of RUNX1 and ASXL1 (both with low VAF before transplant) expanded at the time of disease recurrence, respectively.

Table 3.

Mutation Pattern at Disease Relapse After Transplantation in Patients With Myelodysplastic Syndromes and Acute Myeloid Leukemia Evolving From Myelodysplastic Syndromes

Patient WHO Category (before HSCT) Founding Clone (before HSCT) Clonal Evolution (disease relapse) Comparison of New Mutations Not Detected Before HSCT
GITMO 1 RAEB-2 PTPN11 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 2 MDS/AML NPM1 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 3 RAEB-1 RUNX1 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 4 RAEB-2 DNMT3A A subclone expands (IDH1) Yes
GITMO 5 RAEB-1 STAG2 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 6 MDS/AML SRSF2 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 7 RAEB-2 EZH2 A subclone expands (RUNX1) Yes
GITMO 8 RCMD SRSF2 Founder clone recurs Yes
GITMO 9 RAEB-2 SRSF2 Founder clone recurs Yes

Abbreviations: GITMO, Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo; HSCT, hematopoietic stem-cell transplantation; MDS, myelodysplastic syndromes; MDS/AML, acute myeloid leukemia evolving from MDS; RAEB-1, refractory anemia with excess blasts-1; RAEB-2, refractory anemia with excess blasts-2; RCMD, refractory cytopenia with multilineage dysplasia.

DISCUSSION

Disease relapse is a common cause of HSCT failure in patients with MDS or MDS/AML.8-11 We tested the hypothesis that driver mutations may have an effect in predicting posttransplantation outcomes in these patients.18 Mutations in ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes were found to be independent predictors of relapse and OS after HSCT. The integration of mutations into currently available predictive models was found to increase the ability to capture prognostic information at the individual patient level.27

In this study, gene sequencing significantly increased the proportion of patients with information on disease biology with respect to conventional cytogenetics.14 The genotype of MDS treated with HSCT was consistent with a patient subgroup at high risk of clonal evolution, as indicated by a decreased frequency of SF3B1 mutations and increased frequency of mutations in transcription factors (RUNX1) and TP53 with respect to the whole MDS population.14 We observed in addition that at least three distinct genetic subtypes may account for unique MDS/AML clinical phenotypes: secondary-type AML (including patients carrying mutations in MDS-related genes), TP53-mutated AML, and de novo AML,26 thus suggesting that gene ontology may provide more objective diagnostic criteria with respect to clinical classification in these patients. Finally, massively parallel sequencing provided information on clonal evolution occurring at relapse after HSCT. In some patients, the founder clone recurred, whereas in other patients a subclone of the founder clone escaped and expanded at relapse.28 In all patients, additional mutations not detected at the time of diagnosis were observed at the time of relapse.

We provided evidence of clinical utility in considering mutation screening to predict survival after transplantation in patients with MDS and MDS/AML. In clinical practice, IPSS-R score identified four groups of patients with different probabilities of survival and disease relapse after HSCT.12 A major contribution to the improvement of posttransplantation outcome prediction by IPSS-R was provided by the refinement of the prognostic role of chromosomal abnormalities.7 Nevertheless, cytogenetics is not informative in a large proportion of patients and reveals secondary genetic events.4 Accounting for various combinations of a patient’s IPSS-R category and mutational status of ASXL1, RUNX1, and TP53 genes, 5-year probability of survival and relapse after allogeneic HSCT ranged from 0% to 73% and from 4% to 77%, respectively. In direct comparison, a predictive model accounting for gene mutations was found to be more likely to capture prognostic information with respect to IPSS-R alone.

In patients with MDS/AML, we observed that gene ontology predicts survival after transplantation. Secondary-type AML was associated with a lower probability of survival after transplant compared with patients with de novo AML. Moreover, TP53 mutations identified a group of patients with dismal outcomes after transplantation.

Overall, these results serve as a proof of concept that the integration of somatic mutations significantly increase the ability to capture prognostic information in patients with MDS and MDS/AML who are receiving allogeneic HSCT, and may provide a basis for improving clinical decision making.4,27 Possible interventions in patients with high risk of disease relapse after HSCT according to genotype may include the anticipation of the transplant procedure in early disease phase, the use of innovative conditioning regimens to increase the probability of eradicating the MDS clone, and prophylaxis of disease recurrence after transplantation by donor leukocyte infusions and targeted/novel therapies.29,30

There are potential weaknesses in our work, mainly related to the retrospective nature of this registry-based study. These include patient selection, missing data in a proportion of patients, a long period of recruitment, and different types of transplantation and of pretransplantation treatment. Moreover, in the absence of a matched control sample, it is challenging to distinguish with perfect accuracy between somatic and germline variants. Despite these limitations, clinical and hematologic data were available in the great majority of the original patient population, and analyses were adjusted for all known potential confounding factors. Furthermore, samples for mutation screening were homogeneously collected from bone marrow before treatment, and the landscape of truly somatic mutations in tested genes has been well established from large-scale genomics studies,2,3,14-16,18 allowing confident predictions to be made. Although we are aware that a prospective validation of our observations is needed, we believe that the findings of this study may contribute to improving prognostic counseling of patients with MDS and the design of clinical trials.

Appendix

Table A1.

Target Gene List

Gene Pathway NCBI ID Position
SF3B1 RNA splicing 23451 2q33.1
SRSF2 RNA splicing 6427 17q25.1
U2AF1 RNA splicing 7307 21q22.3
ZRSR2 RNA splicing 8233 Xp22.1
DNMT3A DNA methylation 1788 2p23
IDH1 DNA methylation 3417 2q33.3
IDH2 DNA methylation 3418 15q26.1
TET2 DNA methylation 54790 4q24
ASXL1 Chromatin and histones 171023 20q11.1
BCOR Chromatin and histones 54880 Xp11.14
EP300 Chromatin and histones 2033 22q13
EZH2 Chromatin and histones 2146 7q35-36
KDM6A Chromatin and histones 7403 Xp11.2
CBL Signaling 867 11q23.3
CSF3R Signaling 1441 1p35-p34.3
FLT3 Signaling 2322 13q12
JAK2 Signaling 3717 9p24
KIT Signaling 3815 4q12
KRAS Signaling 3845 12p12.1
NF1 Signaling 4763 17q11.2
NRAS Signaling 4893 1p13.2
PTPN11 Signaling 5781 12q24.1
RIT1 Signaling 6016 1q22
CEBPA Transcriptional regulation 1050 19q13.1
CUX1 Transcriptional regulation 1523 7q22.1
ETV6 Transcriptional regulation 2120 12p13.2
NPM1 Transcriptional regulation 4869 5q35
PHF6 Transcriptional regulation 84295 Xq26.2
RUNX1 Transcriptional regulation 861 21q22.3
STAG2 Cohesin complex 10735 Xq25
TP53 Tumor suppressor gene 7157 17p13.1
WT1 Tumor suppressor gene 7490 1p13
SETBP1 Genetic cancer susceptibility 26040 18q21.1
ETNK1 Metabolic process 55500 12p12.1

Abbreviations: ID, identification; NCBI, National Center for Biotechnology Information.

Footnotes

Written on behalf of the Gruppo Italiano Trapianto di Midollo Osseo (GITMO; www.gitmo.it).

Supported by AIRC (Associazione Italiana Per la Ricerca sul Cancro, IG_17554), Milan; Fondazione Veronesi, Milan; Fondazione Cariplo & Regione Lombardia, Milan (Grant No. 42916996); Beat Leukemia Foundation, Milan; Fondazione Costa, Ivrea, Italy; Worldwide Cancer Research (Grant No. 15-1226), St Andrews, Scotland to Matteo G. Della Porta; and Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy to Matteo G. Della Porta and Emilio P. Alessandrino.

Authors’ disclosures of potential conflicts of interest are found in the article online at www.jco.org. Author contributions are found at the end of this article.

AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS

Conception and design: Matteo G. Della Porta, Emilio P. Alessandrino, Alessandro Rambaldi, Mario Cazzola

Provision of study materials or patients: Anna Gallì, Chiara Milanesi

Collection and assembly of data: Matteo G. Della Porta, Anna Gallì, Andrea Bacigalupo, Silvia Zibellini, Massimo Bernardi, Bernardino Allione, Maria Teresa van Lint, Pietro Pioltelli, Paola Marenco, Alberto Bosi, Maria Teresa Voso, Simona Sica, Mariella Cuzzola, Emanuele Angelucci, Marianna Rossi, Marta Ubezio, Orietta Spinelli, Cristina Tresoldi, Sarah Pozzi, Silvia Luchetti, Laura Pezzetti, Silvia Catricalà, Chiara Milanesi, Benedetto Bruno, Fabio Ciceri, Francesca Bonifazi, Elli Papaemmanuil, Armando Santoro, Emilio P. Alessandrino, Alessandro Rambaldi, Mario Cazzola

Data analysis and interpretation: Matteo G. Della Porta, Ettore Rizzo, Alberto Malovini, Ivan Limongelli, Virginia V. Ferretti, Alberto Riva, Riccardo Bellazzi, Emilio P. Alessandrino, Alessandro Rambaldi, Mario Cazzola

Manuscript writing: All authors

Final approval of manuscript: All authors

Accountable for all aspects of the work: All authors

AUTHORS’ DISCLOSURES OF POTENTIAL CONFLICTS OF INTEREST

Clinical Effects of Driver Somatic Mutations on the Outcomes of Patients With Myelodysplastic Syndromes Treated With Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem-Cell Transplantation

The following represents disclosure information provided by authors of this manuscript. All relationships are considered compensated. Relationships are self-held unless noted. I = Immediate Family Member, Inst = My Institution. Relationships may not relate to the subject matter of this manuscript. For more information about ASCO’s conflict of interest policy, please refer to www.asco.org/rwc or jco.ascopubs.org/site/ifc.

Matteo G. Della Porta

No relationship to disclose

Anna Gallì

No relationship to disclose

Andrea Bacigalupo

Speakers’ Bureau: Therakos, Pfizer, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Sanofi, Pierre Fabre, Miltenyi Biotec, Amgen

Silvia Zibellini

No relationship to disclose

Massimo Bernardi

No relationship to disclose

Ettore Rizzo

No relationship to disclose

Bernardino Allione

No relationship to disclose

Maria Teresa van Lint

No relationship to disclose

Pietro Pioltelli

No relationship to disclose

Paola Marenco

No relationship to disclose

Alberto Bosi

No relationship to disclose

Maria Teresa Voso

Speakers’ Bureau: Celgene

Research Funding: Celgene (Inst)

Simona Sica

No relationship to disclose

Mariella Cuzzola

No relationship to disclose

Emanuele Angelucci

Consulting or Advisory Role: Novartis Oncology

Travel, Accommodations, Expenses: Binding Site, Novartis

Marianna Rossi

No relationship to disclose

Marta Ubezio

No relationship to disclose

Alberto Malovini

No relationship to disclose

Ivan Limongelli

No relationship to disclose

Virginia V. Ferretti

No relationship to disclose

Orietta Spinelli

No relationship to disclose

Cristina Tresoldi

No relationship to disclose

Sarah Pozzi

No relationship to disclose

Silvia Luchetti

No relationship to disclose

Laura Pezzetti

No relationship to disclose

Silvia Catricalà

No relationship to disclose

Chiara Milanesi

No relationship to disclose

Alberto Riva

No relationship to disclose

Benedetto Bruno

No relationship to disclose

Fabio Ciceri

No relationship to disclose

Francesca Bonifazi

No relationship to disclose

Riccardo Bellazzi

Stock or Other Ownership: Biomeris S.r.l., Engenome S.r.l.

Elli Papaemmanuil

No relationship to disclose

Armando Santoro

Consulting or Advisory Role: Roche, Celgene, Takeda, Bristol-Myers Squibb, ArQule

Emilio P. Alessandrino

No relationship to disclose

Alessandro Rambaldi

No relationship to disclose

Mario Cazzola

No relationship to disclose

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