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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2018 Oct 20;173(2):301–311. doi: 10.1007/s10549-018-5007-4

Breast Conservation Versus Mastectomy in Patients With T3 Breast Cancers (>5 cm): An Analysis of 37,268 patients from the National Cancer Database

Anna Mazor *, Alina Mateo *, Lyudmila Demora , Elin R Sigurdson *, Elizabeth Handorf , John M Daly *, Allison Aggon *, Penny R Anderson , Stephanie E Weiss , Richard J Bleicher *,§
PMCID: PMC6391170  NIHMSID: NIHMS1510198  PMID: 30343456

Abstract

Purpose

Breast conservation therapy (BCT) is standard for T1-T2 tumors, but early trials excluded breast cancers >5 cm. This study was performed to assess patterns and outcomes of BCT for T3 tumors.

Methods

We reviewed the National Cancer Database (NCDB) for noninflammatory breast cancers >5 cm, between 2004–2011 who underwent BCT or mastectomy (Mtx) with nodal evaluation. Patients with skin or chest wall involvement were excluded. Patients having clinical T3 tumors were analyzed to determine outcomes based upon presentation, with those having pathologic T3 tumors, subsequently assessed, irrespective of presentation. Overall survival (OS) was analyzed using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models, with adjusted survival curves estimated using inverse probability weighting.

Results

After exclusions, 37,268 patients remained. Median age and tumor size for BCT vs Mtx was 53 vs 54 years (p<0.001), and 6.0 vs 6.7 cm (p<0.001), respectively. Predictors of BCT included age, race, location, facility type, year of diagnosis, tumor size, grade, histology, nodes examined and positive, and administration of chemotherapy and radiotherapy. OS was similar between Mtx and BCT (p=0.36). This held true when neoadjuvant chemotherapy patients were excluded (p=0.39). BCT percentages declined over time (p<0.001) while tumor sizes remained the same (p=0.77). Median follow up was 51.4 months.

Conclusions

OS for patients with T3 breast cancers is similar whether patients received Mtx or BCT, confirming that tumor size should not be an absolute BCT exclusion. Declining use of BCT for tumors >5 cm in younger patients may be accounted for by recent trends towards mastectomy.

Keywords: Breast conservation, locally advanced breast cancer, mastectomy

Introduction

Breast conservation therapy (BCT) has become a desirable alternative to mastectomy (Mtx) for women with early breast cancer since the 1980s. These procedures have become standard of care [1] and provide equivalent outcomes to mastectomy when accompanied by radiotherapy [2]. Breast conservation surgery is typically a shorter procedure, can be scheduled more quickly for operation [3], and has psychological benefits over mastectomy [4]. These advantages have made this the standard of care, and rates of breast conservation are even now a quality measure for women having early stage breast cancer [5].

Early studies only included tumors up to 5 cm [69], out of an abundance of caution because it has long been known that as tumor sizes increase, so do local recurrence rates [7]. Breast conservation also spares the breast, but disfigurement caused by an unfavorable breast-to-tumor ratio when treating larger tumors is felt to obviate any benefit of BCT. Because of this, tumor size greater than 5 cm has remained a relative contraindication to BCT as suggested by NCCN guidelines [1]. There are, however, data to suggest that BCT is feasible and safe for tumors >5 cm.

Previous data has shown that there is no difference in disease-specific survival between BCT and mastectomy for tumors over 5 cm in the Medicare population [10]. That cohort of 5,685 patients was limited to those over 65, however, and we are not aware of any published literature that attempts to reproduce this analysis in a broader population of women. We therefore proceeded with this current study, using a larger, more diverse patient population from the National Cancer Database (NCDB). This investigation was performed to determine whether the overall survival (OS) conferred by BCT was similar to Mtx for noninflammatory T3 breast cancer primaries. This study was also performed to assess trends in the United States for performance of breast conservation in this group where it has traditionally been considered contraindicated.

Materials and Methods

We queried the National Cancer Database (NCDB) for breast cancers >5 cm diagnosed between 2004–2011, to provide adequate follow up, who underwent BCT or Mtx. Male patients were excluded, as BCT is still not considered standard in this patient population. Histology codes were utilized to exclude Paget’s disease and in-situ carcinomas. Patients with unknown tumor size, carcinomas labeled as “diffuse,” inflammatory cancers, and patients with distant metastases were also excluded. Patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were included, although neoadjuvant endocrine therapy or preoperative radiation therapy was excluded.

Clinical T3 (cT3) and pathologic T3 (pT3) tumors were reviewed to assess different objectives. cT3 tumors were used to determine predictors of BCT for tumors >5 cm as clinical stage determines treatment options. pT3 stage was utilized for survival analysis as final pathology is related to outcomes.

We excluded patients who did not undergo nodal evaluation, or for whom nodal status was not recorded, as this information is critical for survival analysis. Intervals >365 days from the time of diagnosis to surgery, which can affect survival [11], and patients who did not undergo surgery were also excluded. (Figure 1).

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Cohort exclusion diagram

Sensitivity analyses were performed to determine overall survival of BCT vs. Mtx with patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy excluded to eliminate any possible selection bias and confounding on survival. An additional sensitivity analysis was also performed by including pathologic T3 cases that were also clinically T3, to assess clinically accurate T3 lesions.

Age, tumor size, and nodal status were treated as continuous variables, while all others were categorical. Chi-squared and Wilcoxon rank sum tests were used to compare groups. Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify predictors of BCT based on patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics in patients with clinical T3 stage. The Cochran-Armitage test was used to analyze trends in BCT and Mtx over time, and Spearman’s correlation assessed tumor size over time. OS was analyzed using Kaplan Meier methods and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models and adjusted survival curves were estimated using inverse probability weighting.

Results

After all exclusions, there were 37,268 patients fulfilling criteria for analysis (Figure 1). There were a total of 19,429 cT3 patients, among whom 16,502 (85%) underwent mastectomy versus 2,927 (15%) who received BCT. Median age was 54 for mastectomy patients versus 53 for BCT patients (p<0.001). Median tumor size for BCT versus Mtx was 6.0 cm versus 6.7 cm, respectively (p<0.001). Primaries >10 cm comprised only 4.5% of tumors in the BCT group but 8.2% of the Mtx group. Average number of lymph nodes examined was 9.2 for the BCT group and 13.2 for the Mtx group (p<0.001), while the average number of lymph nodes positive was 1.9 and 4.5 for BCT and Mtx, respectively (p<0.001). Fewer patients in the BCT group were >65 (16.3%) as versus <45 years of age (26.7%). Blacks having T3 tumors were more likely to have breast conservation (20.9% vs. 13.9%) than whites. Radiotherapy was administered to 86.9% and 66.5% of the patients having breast conservation and mastectomy, respectively (Table 1).

Table 1.

Characteristics by Surgical Treatment - Clinical T3 patients a n(%)

BCT (N =2,927) Mtx (N = 16,502) Total (N = 19,429) P-value*
Age at Diagnosis ≤ 45 781 (16.2) 4048 (83.8) 4829 <0.001
46–55 965 (16.9) 4751 (83.1) 5716
56–65 703 (15.8) 3742 (84.2) 4445
65 478 (10.8) 3961 (89.2) 4439
Mean Age at Diagnosis (±SD)b 53.7 (±12.56) 55.8 (±14.20) 55.5 (±13.98) <0.001
Race White 2093 (13.9) 13011 (86.1) 15104 <0.001
Black 698 (20.9) 2635 (79.1) 3333
Other/Unknown 136 (13.7) 856 (86.3) 992
Hispanic No 2489 (14.9) 14175 (85.1) 16664 0.456
Yes 214 (16.0) 1123 (84.0) 1337
Unknown 224 (15.7) 1204 (84.3) 1428
Charlson Comorbidity Score 0 2609 (15.6) 14123 (84.4) 16732 <0.001
1 258 (11.7) 1955 (88.3) 2213
2+ 60 (12.4) 424 (87.6) 484
Educationc 21% or more 546 (15.6) 2943 (84.4) 3489 0.155
13% - 20.9% 750 (15.4) 4117 (84.6) 4867
7% - 12.9% 903 (15.1) 5063 (84.9) 5966
Less than 7% 662 (14.0) 4059 (86.0) 4721
Missing 66 (17.1) 320 (82.9) 386
Income Less than $38,000 570 (16.1) 2965 (83.9) 3535 0.201
$38,000 - $47,999 619 (14.4) 3691 (85.6) 4310
$48,000 - $62,999 755 (15.0) 4291 (85.0) 5046
$63,000 + 916 (14.9) 5226 (85.1) 6142
Missing 67 (16.9) 329 (83.1) 396
Insurance Status Medicaid 374 (17.5) 1768 (82.5) 2142 <0.001
Medicare 534 (11.2) 4229 (88.8) 4763
Not Insured 133 (17.2) 642 (82.8) 775
Other Government 35 (16.1) 182 (83.9) 217
Private Insurance 1785 (15.9) 9422 (84.1) 11207
Unknown 66 (20.3) 259 (79.7) 325
Urban settingd Large metropolitan 1656 (16.0) 8708 (84.0) 10364 <0.001
Small metropolitan 784 (14.1) 4789 (85.9) 5573
Suburban 255 (14.3) 1530 (85.7) 1785
Rural 118 (11.8) 879 (88.2) 997
Unknown 114 (16.1) 596 (83.9) 710
Distance to reporting facilitye ≤10 1639 (15.5) 8907 (84.5) 10546 0.01
11 – 20 626 (14.4) 3727 (85.6) 4353
21 – 50 447 (15.3) 2468 (84.7) 2915
>50 150 (12.1) 1087 (87.9) 1237
Unknown 65 (17.2) 313 (82.8) 378
Geographic locationf New England 188 (18.8) 810 (81.2) 998 <0.001
Middle Atlantic 396 (16.3) 2037 (83.7) 2433
South Atlantic 755 (15.9) 3979 (84.1) 4734
East North Central 533 (14.9) 3050 (85.1) 3583
East South Central 143 (11.5) 1100 (88.5) 1243
West North Central 157 (11.6) 1195 (88.4) 1352
West South Central 221 (14.2) 1336 (85.8) 1557
Mountain 120 (11.9) 887 (88.1) 1007
Pacific 414 (16.4) 2108 (83.6) 2522
Facility Typeg Community Cancer Program ** 1790 (84.6) 2117 <0.001
Comprehensive Community Cancer Program 1557 (14.0) 9598 (86.0) 11155
Academic/Research Program 1038 (16.9) 5088 (83.1) 6126
Other/Missing ** 26 (83.9) **
Year of Diagnosis 2004 248 (17.5) 1166 (82.5) 1414 0.001
2005 265 (16.7) 1321 (83.3) 1586
2006 292 (17.2) 1410 (82.8) 1702
2007 303 (14.9) 1731 (85.1) 2034
2008 404 (14.0) 2488 (86.0) 2892
2009 461 (14.9) 2636 (85.1) 3097
2010 447 (13.5) 2876 (86.5) 3323
2011 507 (15.0) 2874 (85.0) 3381
Cancer Sequenceh 1st 2761 (15.6 14967 (84.4) 17728 <0.001
2+ 166 (9.8)1 1535 (90.2) 1701
Tumor Size 1 – 7 cm 2186 (17.6) 10221 (82.4) 12407 <0.001
7.1 – 10 cm 609 (11.0) 4925 (89.0) 5534
>10cm 132 (8.9) 1356(91.1) 1488
Mean Tumor Size (±SD)b 74.1 (±74.25) 78.8 (±71.16) 78.1 (±71.65) <0.001
No. of Nodes examined 1 – 5 1318 (28.7) 3274(71.3) 4592 <0.001
6 – 10 504 (13.2) 3313 (86.8) 3817
11 – 15 490 (10.7) 4094 (89.3) 4584
16 – 20 330 (9.9) 3011 (90.1) 3341
>20 285 (9.2) 2810 (90.8) 3095
Mean No. of Nodes Examined (±SD)b 9.2 (±7.94) 13.2 (±8.33) 12.6 (±8.39) <0.001
No. of Nodes Positive 0 1524 (24.3) 4748 (75.7) 6272 <0.001
1 – 3 919 (14.5) 5401 (85.5) 6320
4 – 6 212 (8.5) 2291 (91.5) 2503
7 – 9 112 (7.6) 1371 (92.4) 1483
≥10 160 (5.6) 2691 (94.4) 2851
Mean No. of Nodes positive (±SD)b 1.9 (±3.93) 4.5 (±6.06) 4.1 (±5.86) <0.001
Grade 1 162 (10.3) 1410 (89.7) 1572 <0.001
2 795 (11.9) 5875 (88.1) 6670
3 1719 (17.7) 7971 (82.3) 9690
Undifferentiated 24 (16.3) 123 (83.7) 147
Unknown 227 (16.8) 1123 (83.2) 1350
Histology Ductal 2449 (16.5) 12359 (83.5) 14808 <0.001
Lobular 306 (8.1) 3466 (91.9) 3772
Other 172 (20.3) 677 (79.7) 849
Radiation Administered 2545 (18.8) 10976 (81.2) 13521 <0.001
Not administered 382 (6.5) 5526 (93.5) 5908
Chemotherapy Neoadjuvant 1934 (19.8) 7842 (80.2) 9776 <0.001
Adjuvant 664 (10.1) 5914 (89.9) 6578
None 316 (10.7) 2641 (89.3) 2957
Unknown 13 (11.0) 105 (89.0) 118

Abbreviations: SD- standard deviation

*

Chi-square test (categorical variables) or Wilcoxon rank sum test (continuous variables)

**

Cells have been censored in accordance with NCDB privacy requirements to do so for any cell <11 or for any cell that makes those cells calculable.

a

Numbers shown as number (row %) unless otherwise indicated.

b

Age and size analyses are shown here as continuous variables to illustrate cohort compositions.

c

Education represents the percentage of individuals within a ZIP code from census data having <12 years of education.

d

Setting definitions: Large metropolitan indicates counties of metropolitan areas of >1,000,000; Small metropolitan, counties in metropolitan areas of <250,000 to 1,000,000; Suburban, urban population of >20,000 adjacent to a metropolitan area or 2500 to 19,999 adjacent to a metropolitan area; rural, completely rural or <2500 or >20,000 urban population nonadjacent to a metropolitan area.

e

Miles between patient’s residence and the hospital that reported the case

f

Region groupings: New England (CT, MA, ME, NH, RI, VT), Middle Atlantic (NJ, NY, PA), South Atlantic (DC, DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV), East North Central (IL, IN, MI, OH, WI), East South Central (AL, KY, MS, TN), West North Central (IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, SD), West South Central (AR, LA, OK, TX), Mountain (AZ, CO, ID, MT, NM, NV, UT, WY), Pacific (AK, CA, HI, OR, WA).

g

Community Cancer program: >100 but <500 newly diagnosed cancer cases each year; Comprehensive community cancer program: 500 or more new cases for three consecutive years; Academic/Research program: participates in postgraduate medical education in at least four program areas, and >500 newly diagnosed cancer cases each year.

h

The number of the cancer that the breast cancer represents, among cancers of any type, if they had >1 cancer of any type during their lifetime.

Overall predictors of BCT based on clinical T stage included age, race, Charlson comorbidity score, geographical location, facility type, year of diagnosis, tumor size, number of lymph nodes examined and positive, nuclear grade, histology, and chemotherapy and radiation therapy administration (Table 2). The largest predictors of BCT use included neoadjuvant chemotherapy administration (odds ratio [OR] 1.687, 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.499– 1.898, p<0.001), black race (OR 1.471, 95% CI, 1.310–1.652, p<0.001), and grade III tumors (OR 1.542, 95% CI, 1.275–1.866, p<0.001). Patients less likely to undergo BCT included those who had a second cancer (OR 0.715, 95% CI, 0.600–0.852, p=0.001), and those who did not receive adjuvant radiation (OR 0.259, 95% CI, 0.228–0.294, p<0.001). Age <45, greater number of lymph nodes examined and positive, geographic location outside of New England, lobular histology, year of diagnosis, and treatment at a comprehensive cancer center program were also less likely to receive BCT (Table 2).

Table 2:

Predictors of BCT (cT3 patients)

OR 95% CI p-value Overall Significance
Age <0.001
≤45 0.928 0.760 1.133 0.462
46 – 55 1.145 0.954 1.376 0.147
56 – 65 1.211 1.014 1.447 0.035
>65 Referent
Race <0.001
White Referent
Black 1.471 1.310 1.652 <0.001
Unknown 0.766 0.616 0.953 0.017
Hispanic 0.297
No Referent
Yes 1.077 0.897 1.293 0.426
Unknown 1.140 0.952 1.365 0.155
Charlson Comorbidity Score 0.051
0 Referent
1 0.836 0.716 0.975 0.022
2 1.049 0.770 1.428 0.764
Insurance 0.060
Private Insurance Referent
Medicaid 1.086 0.944 1.250 0.249
Medicare 0.948 0.798 1.126 0.544
Not Insured 1.023 0.813 1.288 0.844
Other 1.052 0.694 1.593 0.813
Unknown 1.762 1.272 2.440 0.001
Educationa 0.318
21% or more Referent
13% - 20.9% 1.139 0.983 1.319 0.084
7% - 12.9% 1.153 0.972 1.369 0.103
Less than 7% 1.063 0.872 1.296 0.547
Missing 1.912 0.055 66.780 0.721
Income 0.755
< $38,000 Referent
$38,000 - $47,999 0.907 0.783 1.050 0.190
$48,000 - $62,999 0.921 0.786 1.078 0.306
$63,000 + 0.896 0.740 1.084 0.259
Missing 0.706 0.026 19.254 0.836
Urban settingb 0.330
Large Metropolitan Referent
Small metropolitan 0.912 0.805 1.033 0.148
Suburban 0.832 0.677 1.022 0.079
Rural 0.991 0.736 1.335 0.955
Unknown 0.964 0.719 1.291 0.804
Distance to reporting facility (miles)c 0.236
≤10 Referent
11 – 20 0.944 0.848 1.050 0.288
21 – 50 1.108 0.964 1.274 0.148
>50 0.952 0.750 1.209 0.688
Unknown 0.857 0.226 3.242 0.820
Geographic locationd <0.001
New England Referent
Middle Atlantic 0.816 0.639 1.043 0.105
South Atlantic 0.778 0.619 0.978 0.032
East North Central 0.728 0.566 0.937 0.008
East South Central 0.558 0.413 0.755 0.000
West North Central 0.539 0.399 0.729 <0.001
West South Central 0.757 0.561 1.023 0.070
Mountain 0.641 0.4773 0.869 0.004
Pacific 0.925 0.724 1.183 0.536
Facility Typee 0.005
Community Program Referent
Comprehensive Community 0.797 0.676 0.939 0.007
Academic/Research 0.963 0.801 1.158 0.687
Other/Missing 0.911 0.704 1.179 0.478
Year of diagnosis 0.951 0.932 0.970 <0.001 <0.001
Cancer Sequencef <0.001
First Referent
2+ 0.715 0.600 0.852 0.001
Tumor size <0.001
5.1 to 7 cm Referent
7.1 to 10 cm 0.576 0.521 0.637 <0.001
>10 cm 0.457 0.367 0.568 <0.001
No. nodes examined 0.948 0.941 0.975 <0.001 <0.001
No. nodes positive 0.928 0.914 0.943 <0.001 <0.001
Grade <0.001
1 Referent
2 1.123 0.930 1.356 0.252
3 1.542 1.275 1.866 <0.001
Undifferentiated 1.250 0.790 1.979 0.355
Unknown 1.416 1.114 1.801 0.005
Histology <0.001
Ductal Referent
Lobular 0.604 0.524 0.696 <0.001
Other 1.264 1.056 1.513 0.011
Chemotherapy <0.001
Adjuvant Referent
Neoadjuvant 1.687 1.499 1.898 <0.001
None 1.533 1.283 1.832 <0.001
Unknown 1.841 0.969 3.499 0.062
Radiotherapy <0.001
 Administered Referent
 Not administered 0.259 0.228 0.294 <0.001

Abbreviations: BCT, breast conservation therapy; cT3, clinical T3 patients

a

Education represents the percentage of individuals within a ZIP code from census data having <12 years of education.

b

Setting definitions: Large metropolitan indicates counties of metropolitan areas of >1,000,000; Small metropolitan, counties in metropolitan areas of <250,000 to 1,000,000; Suburban, urban population of >20,000 adjacent to a metropolitan area or 2500 to 19,999 adjacent to a metropolitan area; rural, completely rural or <2500 or >20,000 urban population nonadjacent to a metropolitan area.

c

Miles between patient’s residence and the hospital that reported the case

d

Region groupings: New England (CT, MA, ME, NH, RI, VT), Middle Atlantic (NJ, NY, PA), South Atlantic (DC, DE, FL, GA, MD, NC, SC, VA, WV), East North Central (IL, IN, MI, OH, WI), East South Central (AL, KY, MS, TN), West North Central (IA, KS, MN, MO, ND, NE, SD), West South Central (AR, LA, OK, TX), Mountain (AZ, CO, ID, MT, NM, NV, UT, WY), Pacific (AK, CA, HI, OR, WA).

e

Community Cancer program: >100 but <500 newly diagnosed cancer cases each year; Comprehensive community cancer program: 500 or more new cases for three consecutive years; Academic/Research program: participates in postgraduate medical education in at least four program areas, and >500 newly diagnosed cancer cases each year.

f

The number of the cancer that the breast cancer represents, among cancers of any type, if they had >1 cancer of any type during their lifetime.

The year of diagnosis predicted whether patients underwent BCT, declining from 17.5% in 2004 to 15% in 2011 (p=0.001) with 2010 having the lowest overall proportion of patients (13.5%) (Supplemental Table 1). However, the mean tumor size did not significantly change from 2004 to 2011 (trend p=0.22) (Figure 2). Over time, the use of BCT decreased in the <65 age group (p<0.001), whereas in the >65 age group, it was not significantly different over time (trend p=0.288) (Figure 3).

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Trend in tumor size over time.

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Unadjusted use of breast conservation over time. P for decreasing trend <0.001 for all ages; p<0.001 for ≤65, p=0.144 for >65.

There was no significant difference in OS of pT3 patients when comparing BCT to Mtx (p= 0.163). When adjusting for all of the characteristics listed in Table 2, OS of pT3 patients was still equivalent (HR 0.963, 95% CI, 0.889–1.043, p=0.357) between BCT and Mtx (Supplemental Table 2). The 5-year adjusted OS for BCT was 68% (95% CI 0.652 to 0.709), and 69% for Mtx (95% CI 0.686 to 0.700), p=0.163 (Figure 4).

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Adjusted Overall Survival Breast Conservation vs. Mastectomy

When restricting the analysis to patients who were both clinically and pathologically T3, OS again remained unchanged (HR 0.963, 95% CI, 0.850–1.090, p= 0.551). Finally, when removing patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (a total of 6,424 patients) from the analysis, the survival for pT3 patients who received either Mtx or BCT still did not differ (HR 1.039, 95% CI, 0.951–1.136, p=0.393) (Supplemental Table 2, Figure 5).

Figure 5.

Figure 5.

Kaplan-Meier Curves for Adjusted Overall Survival of (A) Combined pT3 and cT3 cohort and (B) pT3 with NACT removed.

Discussion

As the current standard of care for early stage breast cancer, breast conservation has gained wide acceptance since its introduction in the early 1970s [12]. Its application has been cautioned for tumors >5 cm because early trials, while widely varied, only included tumors 5 cm or smaller. Nevertheless, all of these studies found BCT equivalent to mastectomy, such as NSABP B-06, which limited patients to tumors >2 and <4 cm [13], as versus EORTC 10801, which included tumors up to 5 cm [9]. The Danish Cooperative Group included primaries >3 cm in 7% of the cohort, and found an 18% locoregional recurrence rate overall with no difference in OS [14]. Obedian and Haffty did not exclude T3 tumors, but these comprised only 1% of their patients. Still, they also found equivalent relapse-free and OS with negative or close margins [15]. These studies suggested that there is no difference in how larger tumors should be treated, but with none of these analyses powered to evaluate the T3 subgroup, no conclusion can be gleaned from these data. We have now shown, in a large diverse cohort, that BCT confers similar survival to that of Mtx for tumors not previously considered amenable to breast conservation.

Large retrospective series have found that overall survival is inversely proportional to tumor size, which likely impelled exclusion of large tumors in breast conservation trials [16]. We now know that survival is equivalent for smaller tumors treated by BCT versus Mtx, and there is no biological basis for the arbitrary cutoff of 5 cm. Similarly, several small studies have shown the feasibility of BCT for large tumors in terms of overall and disease free survival, with neoadjuvant chemotherapy excluded from those analyses [17,18]. These findings are consistent with ours here, showing equivalent OS between the two treatment approaches, even when controlling for neoadjuvant chemotherapy, although these studies were small retrospective reviews [18,17]. A study by Khanna and colleagues, for example, found actuarial five year OS of 76% and actuarial disease free survival rates of 68% in tumors >4 cm, and no recurrences in patients with negative margins achieved. This coincides with our findings of an adjusted 5 year OS in pT3 patients of 68%.

Although our data show that breast conservation for larger tumors is safe, there was a trend towards mastectomy in younger women over time. Recent studies have similarly found that mastectomy rates in BCT-eligible patients have been increasing since at least 2004 [1921]. Additionally, rates of bilateral mastectomy for unilateral disease have increased in the absence of factors increasing oncologic risk, with young age as an independent predictor of mastectomy use [22]. This trend may be related to a greater recognition of higher recurrence in younger age groups and its influence on clinical decision-making [23], but it should be noted that survival in young women (<40) is not different when treated via BCT versus Mtx [23]. This is also likely to be driven by increasing patient involvement and changing patient preferences [24].

Although the trend for BCT rates for tumors >5 cm in patients >65 years of age visually appears to decline over time in Figure 2, this was not statistically significant. It remains unknown why this differs from previously published SEER-Medicare data for women ≥65 showing a steady increase in BCT procedures for T3 lesions over time [10]. Meanwhile, women ≤65, who were not previously analyzed, had a significant decrease in BCT procedures for T3 primaries in this study. It is impossible to determine what factors would cause these variations, but both datasets do consistently find that the majority of patients with T3 tumors still undergo mastectomy [10] as expected based upon current guidelines, such as the NCCN [1], and the previous paucity of data supporting its safety.

Our data also suggest a selection bias towards Mtx for more aggressive tumors, shown here by a higher number of lymph nodes examined, greater numbers of positive nodes, and larger tumor sizes in the Mtx group. Although we do not provide benefit when varying the breast procedure based upon nodal status, this may reflect clinicians’ underlying desire to be more “aggressive” in the setting of negative independent predictors of survival [16].

Also consistent with the SEER-Medicare published data on this topic, neoadjuvant chemotherapy use predicted BCT in patients having T3 tumors [10]. While we know that use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (as versus adjuvant chemotherapy) does not affect overall survival, it does potentially downstage the primary tumor and increase the likelihood of breast conservation [25]. This study indicates that the majority of tumors >5 cm continue to be treated with chemotherapy prior to surgery, with 66% of BCT patients having received chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant setting. Still, our sensitivity analysis removing patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy confirmed the equivalence and safety of BCT versus Mtx.

Although we were unable to evaluate recurrence rates because the NCDB does not include such data, we know from the Early Breast Cancer Trialists’ Collaborative Group meta-analysis that recurrence and survival are linked [26]. The similar OS found here therefore suggests that if any disease-specific survival (DSS) difference exists between BCT and Mtx for T3 tumors, the difference should be small. Moreover, a prior in a different large dataset (SEER-Medicare) has confirmed in that sizable, but smaller national cohort, there is no difference in DSS for T3 tumors undergoing BCT as versus Mtx [10].

Although this was not the focus of this study, a limitation of large datasets, like the NCDB, is the inability to judge cosmetic outcomes. There is some evidence to show that a good cosmetic appearance is feasible in BCT for T3 primaries, and recent oncoplastic techniques may provide more opportunities for cosmetically pleasing local resection of larger tumors. One such study evaluated 540 patients who underwent breast conservation for large tumor-to-breast ratio, and found that oncoplastics provided a “good” cosmetic outcome based on a five point grading scale in 97.7% of patients. The study patients’ disease free survival and OS were also 87.9% and 92.9%, respectively, showing that safety was not compromised for cosmesis [27]. Another small study utilizing oncoplastic surgery with contralateral reduction mammoplasty found that these enabled larger resections, good cosmetic outcomes, and acceptable 5-year survival and local recurrence rates. Oncoplastic techniques have gained refinement and popularity, and may even allow patients having T3 lesions and smaller or borderline breast sizes to undergo breast conservation successfully.

In conclusion, BCT for tumors >5 cm is safe and has an equivalent OS to that of mastectomy. Although this study shows slightly declining use of breast conservation for larger tumors in recent years, practitioners should consider BCT based upon projected cosmetic outcome and patient desires, and no longer consider BCT contraindicated solely based upon an arbitrary size cutoff.

Supplementary Material

10549_2018_5007_MOESM1_ESM

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS:

The National Cancer Data Base (NCDB) is a joint project of the Commission on Cancer (CoC) of the American College of Surgeons and the American Cancer Society. The CoC’s NCDB and the hospitals participating in the CoC NCDB are the source of the de-identified data used herein; they have not verified and are not responsible for the statistical validity of the data analysis or the conclusions derived by the authors.

Elizabeth Handorf reports funding paid to the institution from Pfizer for unrelated research.

Footnotes

Compliance with Ethical Standards:

Ethical approval: This research was comprised of de-identified database records thus maintaining confidentiality and posing negligible or no risks to the participants within the dataset.

Informed consent: IRB review declared NCDB database review as exempt

Presented, in part, at the Society of Surgical Oncology 2018 Annual Cancer Symposium, March 27–30, 2018 and at the Metropolitan Philadelphia Chapter of the American College of Surgeons Meeting, May 14, 2018 (Poster Presentation Award Winner).

Conflict of Interest: This work was supported by United States Public Health Services grant P30 CA006927 for analysis of the data via support of our biostatistics facility, and by generous private donor support from the Marlyn Fein Chapter of the Fox Chase Cancer Center Board of Associates, for analysis and interpretation of the data.

The authors otherwise have no potential conflicts of interest.

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