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The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition logoLink to The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition
. 2019 Mar 5;109(3):635–647. doi: 10.1093/ajcn/nqy295

Coffee consumption and plasma biomarkers of metabolic and inflammatory pathways in US health professionals

Dong Hang 1,2, Ane Sørlie Kværner 5, Wenjie Ma 6, Yang Hu 2, Fred K Tabung 2, Hongmei Nan 7, Zhibin Hu 1, Hongbing Shen 1, Lorelei A Mucci 3, Andrew T Chan 4,6,8,9, Edward L Giovannucci 2,3,9, Mingyang Song 2,3,6,
PMCID: PMC6408210  PMID: 30834441

ABSTRACT

Background

Coffee consumption has been linked to lower risk of various health outcomes. However, the biological pathways mediating the associations remain poorly understood.

Objectives

The aim of this study was to assess the association between coffee consumption and concentrations of plasma biomarkers in key metabolic and inflammatory pathways underlying common chronic diseases.

Methods

We investigated the associations of total, caffeinated, and decaffeinated coffee consumption with 14 plasma biomarkers, including C-peptide, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), IGF binding protein (IGFBP) 1, IGFBP-3, estrone, total and free estradiol, total and free testosterone, sex hormone–binding globulin (SHBG), total adiponectin, high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin, leptin, C-reactive protein (CRP), interleukin 6 (IL-6), and soluble tumor necrosis factor receptor 2 (sTNFR-2). Data were derived from 2 cohorts of 15,551 women (Nurses’ Health Study) and 7397 men (Health Professionals Follow-Up Study), who provided detailed dietary data before blood draw and were free of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, or cancer at the time of blood draw. Multivariable linear regression was used to calculate the percentage difference of biomarker concentrations comparing coffee drinkers with nondrinkers, after adjusting for a variety of demographic, clinical, and lifestyle factors.

Results

Compared with nondrinkers, participants who drank ≥4 cups of total coffee/d had lower concentrations of C-peptide (−8.7%), IGFBP-3 (−2.2%), estrone (−6.4%), total estradiol (−5.7%), free estradiol (−8.1%), leptin (−6.4%), CRP (−16.6%), IL-6 (−8.1%), and sTNFR-2 (−5.8%) and higher concentrations of SHBG (5.0%), total testosterone (7.3% in women and 5.3% in men), total adiponectin (9.3%), and HMW adiponectin (17.2%). The results were largely similar for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee.

Conclusion

Our data indicate that coffee consumption is associated with favorable profiles of numerous biomarkers in key metabolic and inflammatory pathways. This trial was registered at clinicaltrials.gov as NCT03419455.

Keywords: coffee consumption, inflammation, adipokine, sex hormone, insulin

Introduction

Coffee is among the most commonly consumed beverages worldwide. According to the National Coffee Association's report in 2017, 62% of US adults drink coffee daily (1). Epidemiologic evidence indicates that coffee consumption is associated with a lower risk of various chronic diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2D), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and certain types of cancer, as well as reduced overall mortality (2–4). Two recent umbrella reviews of meta-analyses further support the health benefits of coffee within usual amounts of intake (5, 6). However, the biological pathways underlying the associations remain largely unknown.

The development of T2D, CVD, and some cancers is closely related with states of hyperinsulinemia, insulin resistance, sex hormone dysregulation, and chronic inflammation. For example, circulating concentrations of insulin-related biomarkers [e.g., C-peptide, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-1), IGF binding protein (IGFBP) 1 and 3], sex hormones [e.g., estrogens, testosterone, and sex hormone–binding globulin (SHBG)], adipokines (e.g., adiponectin and leptin), and inflammatory biomarkers [e.g., C-reactive protein (CRP), IL-6, and soluble TNF receptor 2 (sTNFR-2)] have been linked to T2D, CVD, and cancer risk (7–10). As a rich source of bioactive compounds (e.g., caffeine, chlorogenic acids, and diterpenes), coffee may elicit a multitude of physiologic effects and affect these biomarkers. A few studies have investigated coffee consumption in relation to plasma biomarkers of insulin secretion (11, 12), the IGF system (13, 14), sex hormones (15, 16), adiponectin (17, 18), and inflammation (18–21). However, the results remain inconsistent. Also, many of the studies are limited by their modest size (12, 13, 15), lack of repeated dietary assessment (11, 13–16, 18–20), or inadequate control for confounding by other lifestyle factors related to coffee intake (13, 14). Evidence from clinical trials suggests that coffee consumption may increase total testosterone (22) and adiponectin (23) but has no effect on SHBG (22), CRP, or IL-6 (24). However, these interventional studies are limited by their small sample sizes (<120), short duration (8 wk–3 mo), and highly selected participants with certain health conditions (e.g., overweight persons).

To address these limitations, we performed a comprehensive assessment of 14 plasma biomarkers of major pathways underlying coffee-related diseases, including the insulin/IGF system (C-peptide, IGF-1, IGFBP-1, IGFBP-3), sex hormones (estrone, total and free estradiol, total and free testosterone, and SHBG), adipokines [total adiponectin, high-molecular-weight (HMW) adiponectin, and leptin], and inflammation (CRP, IL-6, and sTNFR-2), within 2 large prospective cohort studies, the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (HPFS). Our primary hypothesis was that higher coffee intake is associated with a favorable profile of these biomarkers.

Methods

Study population

The NHS and HPFS are 2 ongoing prospective cohort studies that enrolled 121,700 female registered nurses aged 30–55 y at baseline in 1976 (25) and 51,529 male health professionals aged 40–75 y at baseline in 1986 (26), respectively. In each cohort, mailed questionnaires were administered biennially to collect data on numerous lifestyle and medical factors, with a follow-up rate >90% for each 2-y cycle. Between 1989 and 1990, 32,826 women from the NHS provided blood specimens on ice packs by overnight courier, as did 18,225 men from the HPFS between 1993 and 1995. As previously reported, participants who provided blood samples were similar to those who did not in terms of demographic characteristics, diet, and lifestyle (27). Detailed procedures for blood collection, handling, and storage have been described elsewhere (28).

In the current study, we used data on 17,881 women and 8748 men from previous nested case-control studies within the 2 cohorts that had measured plasma biomarkers of our interest. These studies were conducted for various outcomes, including T2D, CVD, and several common cancers (e.g., breast, colorectum, pancreas, endometrium, ovary, prostate, and multiple myeloma). Participants who provided blood samples in the cohorts were selected for these case-control studies using risk set sampling, in which cases who developed the outcome of study during follow-up were identified and matched with controls who were free of the outcome at the time of diagnosis for cases. For the current study, we excluded participants who had a history of diabetes, CVD, or cancer at the time of blood draw; had missing data on coffee consumption or erroneous records; or had biomarker concentrations considered as outliers; this left 15,551 women and 7397 men in the final analysis (Supplemental Figure 1). This study was approved by the institutional review boards at Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants.

Biomarker assessment

The biomarkers were chosen based on the following criteria: 1) commonly studied for interrogating the etiologic relevance of insulin, inflammation, and sex hormone pathways; 2) shown in epidemiologic studies to be related to T2D, CVD, or cancer; and 3) previously investigated within the NHS and HPFS. All biomarkers were measured using standard methods (Supplemental Table 1) (29–32). Quality-control samples were randomly interspersed among the case-control samples, and laboratory personnel were blinded to quality-control and case-control status for all assays. In quality-control samples, the intra-assay CV ranged from 1% to 20% for all biomarkers across batches. Because biomarkers were measured in multiple batches over time and there might be variation in mean biomarker concentrations due to differences in reagents, technicians, and laboratories, we recalibrated biomarker concentrations across batches within each cohort to the value of an “average batch” using the method of Rosner et al. (33) (Supplemental Methods 1). Free estradiol and testosterone were calculated using a validated algorithm based on total estradiol or testosterone, SHBG, an assumed constant representing the normal albumin concentration, and the association constants for the binding of estradiol and testosterone to SHBG and albumin (34).

Assessment of coffee consumption

Starting in 1986, a 131-item food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) was administered every 4 y to collect updated dietary data. In each FFQ, participants were asked how often (ranging from “never or less than once per month” to “6 or more times per day”), on average, they consumed a standard portion size of each food item during the previous year. For coffee, the questionnaire inquired about the consumption frequency for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, separately, in a standard cup (8 ounces/237 mL). We calculated total coffee consumption as the sum of these 2 types of coffee. The validity and reproducibility of the FFQs have been reported previously (35), with a high correlation between coffee consumption assessed by the FFQ and repeated 1-wk diet records (r = 0.78). In the current study, to capture the habitual intake that is most relevant to biomarker concentrations and reduce within-person variability, we calculated the average of coffee intake using the 2 FFQs administered most proximately to blood draw (i.e., 1986 and 1990 for women and 1990 and 1994 for men). For those who provided coffee information in only 1 of the 2 FFQs (1806 women and 591 men), the intake reported in that available FFQ was used.

Statistical analysis

The outliers in each set of samples were identified by using the generalized extreme studentized deviate many-outlier procedure (36). We performed ln transformation for all biomarkers to improve the normality. We calculated the partial Spearman rank correlation coefficients between each 2 of the biomarkers after adjusting for sex and age at blood draw. Multivariate linear regression analysis was conducted to examine the associations between coffee consumption and plasma biomarker concentrations, with nondrinkers as the reference. Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalents of task-h/wk), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current; <30; or current ≥30 pack-years), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), Alternate Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except for coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate) (37, 38), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). The results of the multivariate regression analysis were presented as percentage differences in biomarker concentrations compared with the reference group by using the equation: [exp (β-coefficient) − 1] × 100%. Details about covariate assessments are provided in Supplemental Methods 2.

For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. To test for potential nonlinearity, we performed restricted cubic spline analyses and used a likelihood ratio test to compare the model with only the linear term of coffee consumption with the model with both the linear and spline terms. We did not find strong statistical evidence for nonlinearity and thus present the results based on the linear models.

Because the results were largely similar between the NHS and HPFS cohorts, we pooled the data for all biomarkers except for testosterone, for which we analyzed the data separately for women and men due to marked sex differences in its sources, circulating concentrations, and biological functions (39). We performed sex-specific analyses for all other biomarkers in the secondary analysis. To assess potential effect modification, we conducted stratified analyses by demographic and lifestyle factors (Supplemental Methods 3).

Finally, we conducted sensitivity analyses by restricting the analytic samples to the participants who provided fasting blood, were selected as controls in previous case-control studies, and reported no history of hypertension or hypercholesterolemia at blood draw. All statistical tests were 2-sided, and SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute) was used for all analyses.

Results

Table 1 shows the characteristics of study participants according to total coffee consumption. Participants who drank more total coffee were more likely to be current smokers, drink more alcohol, have higher total caloric intake and lower caffeine intake from other sources (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), and regularly use aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Similar patterns were observed among participants who drank more caffeinated coffee (Supplemental Table 2) and decaffeinated coffee (Supplemental Table 3).

TABLE 1.

Characteristics of participants at blood draw according to frequency of total coffee consumption in women from the Nurses’ Health Study and men from the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Women (n = 15,551) Men (n = 7397)
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2–3 cups/d ≥4 cups/d Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2–3 cups/d ≥4 cups/d
Participants, n (%) 1354 (9) 2690 (17) 7217 (46) 4290 (28) 963 (13) 1705 (23) 2983 (40) 1746 (24)
Age at blood draw, y 55.8 ± 7.4 57.5 ± 7.2 57.8 ± 6.9 56.9 ± 6.7 60.8 ± 8.8 63.0 ± 8.8 62.9 ± 8.5 61.7 ± 7.9
White, % 98 96 98 99 94 92 94 94
Total coffee,2 cups/d 0 0.6 ± 0.3 2.2 ± 0.5 4.4 ± 1.1 0 0.6 ± 0.3 2.1 ± 0.5 4.4 ± 1.0
Caffeinated coffee,2 cups/d 0 0.3 ± 0.4 1.4 ± 1.0 3.0 ± 1.6 0 0.3 ± 0.3 1.5 ± 0.9 3.1 ± 1.6
Decaffeinated coffee,2 cups/d 0 0.3 ± 0.3 0.8 ± 0.9 1.4 ± 1.5 0 0.3 ± 0.3 0.7 ± 0.8 1.3 ± 1.5
BMI,2 kg/m2 26.2 ± 5.3 25.9 ± 5.0 25.4 ± 4.5 25.2 ± 4.4 25.4 ± 3.2 25.4 ± 3.3 25.8 ± 3.2 26.1 ± 3.3
Physical activity,2 MET-h/wk 17.5 ± 17.9 17.6 ± 21.2 18.2 ± 18.8 17.7 ± 18.1 32.8 ± 25.6 32.8 ± 27.9 32.4 ± 25.5 30.8 ± 25.2
Smoking status, %
 Never 64 59 44 34 71 56 42 33
 Past 29 35 45 42 26 42 53 54
 Current 7 6 11 24 3 3 5 13
Alcohol consumption,2 g/d 2.9 ± 7.5 4.3 ± 8.2 6.8 ± 9.9 6.7 ± 9.7 5.4 ± 10.3 10.3 ± 13.7 13.4 ± 14.8 14.1 ± 14.8
AHEI2 44.8 ± 9.8 45.9 ± 9.1 45.8 ± 9.0 45.8 ± 9.1 42.6 ± 9.0 42.8 ± 9.1 41.8 ± 9.1 40.8 ± 9.1
Total energy intake,2 kcal/d 1720 ± 446 1753 ± 442 1777 ± 443 1823 ± 458 1978 ± 510 1947 ± 549 1999 ± 552 2094 ± 562
Caffeine intake from other sources,2,3 mg/d 87.6 ± 80.2 58.1 ± 57.0 47.8 ± 44.4 40.7 ± 43.3 53.2 ± 67.0 44.8 ± 52.1 37.6 ± 42.6 32.7 ± 42.1
Hypertension 22 25 22 18 23 25 26 26
Hypercholesterolemia 34 42 39 36 30 35 36 35
Postmenopausal 73 75 74 75 NA NA NA NA
Current menopausal hormone use4 42 43 42 39 NA NA NA NA
Regular multivitamin use 37 41 38 38 49 51 49 49
Regular aspirin or NSAID use5 38 37 38 41 44 49 54 55
Insulin/IGF markers,6 ng/mL
 C-peptide 1.6 (1.1–2.5) 1.6 (1.2–2.4) 1.6 (1.1–2.3) 1.5 (1.1–2.1) 2.0 (1.4–3.3) 2.0 (1.4–3.1) 2.0 (1.4–3.1) 2.0 (1.5–3.0)
 IGF-1 151 (119–187) 149 (117–194) 151 (119–189) 151 (121–191) 140 (116–168) 135 (113–161) 137 (113–164) 134 (113–160)
 IGFBP-1 26.9 (14.2–43.5) 26.8 (13.4–46.4) 26.9 (14.2–44.7) 28.4 (15.6–45.3) 13.9 (6.9–25.0) 15.6 (7.0–27.1) 13.6 (6.9–23.8) 15.3 (8.2–26.2)
 IGFBP-3 4355 (3768–4930) 4408 (3838–5105) 4390 (3797–5013) 4306 (3733–4942) 3912 (3402–4454) 3831 (3276–4289) 3821 (3324–4329) 3800 (3317–4265)
Sex hormones6
 Estrone, pg/mL 25.3 (17.8–34.6) 26.1 (18.9–39.0) 25.1 (18.2–34.8) 23.4 (17.2–33.3) 30.3 (24.2–35.5) 28.6 (24.3–34.1) 30.3 (23.4–37.3) 27.7 (22.5–34.1)
 Total estradiol, pg/mL 6.2 (4.1–9.4) 6.3 (4.4–10.5) 5.7 (4.1–8.7) 5.4 (3.8–8.6) 23.1 (20.3–27.9) 23.0 (19.1–26.8) 23.1 (19.0–27.7) 23.2 (20.1–28.1)
 Free estradiol, pg/mL 0.09 (0.05–0.12) 0.09 (0.05–0.16) 0.08 (0.05–0.12) 0.07 (0.05–0.11) 0.42 (0.36–0.49) 0.41 (0.35–0.49) 0.43 (0.34–0.52) 0.42 (0.34–0.50)
 SHBG, nmol/L 67.5 (46.3–106.8) 68.3 (44.2–111.0) 69.4 (46.2–102.8) 71.6 (49.3–102.9) 29.1 (22.1–38.4) 29.4 (23.0–37.5) 29.2 (22.6–37.1) 30.2 (24.4–37.9)
 Total testosterone, ng/dL 18.8 (12.4–24.6) 18.9 (13.6–26.4) 18.9 (13.6–26.5) 19.6 (14.2–27.7) 448 (335–552) 432 (353–536) 440 (340–553) 463 (358–551)
 Free testosterone, ng/dL 0.13 (0.08–0.20) 0.14 (0.08–0.21) 0.14 (0.09–0.21) 0.14 (0.09–0.21) 8.1 (6.0–9.9) 8.0 (6.0–9.9) 8.2 (6.4–10.1) 8.2 (6.5–10.0)
Adipokines and inflammatory markers6
 Total adiponectin, ng/mL 9769 (6780–12,487) 10,236 (7361–12,570) 10,436 (7799–13,184) 10,771 (8242–13,463) 5323 (3857–7439) 5788 (4182–8133) 5838 (4232–7895) 6111 (4316–8456)
 HMW adiponectin, ng/mL 4314 (2688–7104) 4913 (2829–7446) 5332 (3446–8049) 5825 (3939–8286) 1836 (1422–2941) 1923 (1249–3136) 2408 (1436–3554) 2325 (1515–3833)
 Leptin, ng/mL 26.4 (14.5–40.1) 25.7 (15.1–38.6) 22.2 (12.8–36.8) 21.1 (12.0–34.5) 6.7 (4.3–10.1) 6.5 (4.1–10.3) 6.9 (4.7–10.6) 7.0 (4.4–11.2)
 CRP, mg/L 2.1 (0.8–4.5) 2.0 (0.9–4.2) 1.8 (0.8–3.8) 1.5 (0.7–3.3) 0.9 (0.5–2.0) 1.0 (0.5–2.1) 1.0 (0.5–2.1) 1.1 (0.6–2.2)
 IL-6, pg/mL 1.3 (0.8–2.0) 1.2 (0.8–1.9) 1.2 (0.8–1.7) 1.1 (0.7–1.7) 1.1 (0.7–1.5) 1.0 (0.7–1.5) 1.0 (0.7–1.6) 1.1 (0.7–1.6)
 sTNFR-2, pg/mL 2694 (2283–3216) 2597 (2194–3099) 2512 (2133–2969) 2491 (2123–2916) 2625 (2231–3029) 2522 (2121–3050) 2466 (2108–2922) 2459 (2111–2893)
1

Values are means ± SDs for continuous variables and percentages for categorical variables unless otherwise specified. All variables are standardized by age at blood draw squared except for age and biomarkers. AHEI, Alternative Healthy Eating Index; CRP, C-reactive protein; HMW, high-molecular-weight; IGF-1, insulin-like growth factor 1; IGFBP, insulin-like growth factor binding protein; MET, metabolic equivalent of task; NSAID, nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug; SHBG, sex hormone-binding globulin; sTNFR-2, soluble TNF receptor 2.

2

Cumulative average assessments before blood draw were used to derive the values.

3

Calculated by summing the caffeine contents from tea, cola beverage, and chocolate.

4

Defined in menopausal women only.

5

Regular users are defined as ≥2 tablets of aspirin (325 mg/tablet) or NSAIDs/wk.

6

The ln-transformed biomarker concentrations were back transformed and are presented as median values (IQRs).

Most of the biomarkers were weakly or moderately correlated (rs ranged from −0.54 to 0.68), except for estrone and total estradiol (rs = 0.82 in women and 0.70 in men), and for total and HMW adiponectin (rs = 0.91 in women and 0.85 in men) (Supplemental Table 4).

Tables 2 and 3 show the associations between coffee consumption and biomarker concentrations of the insulin/IGF system. Comparing participants who drank ≥4 cups of total coffee/d with nondrinkers, the percentage differences (95% CIs) after adjusting for demographic, lifestyle, and medical variables were −8.7% (−12.0%, −5.2%) and −2.2% (−3.7%, −0.6%) for C-peptide and IGFBP-3, respectively. Similar associations with C-peptide were observed for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, whereas only caffeinated coffee showed an inverse association with IGFBP-3 (percentage difference for ≥4 cups/d compared with none: −3.7%; 95% CI: −5.1%, −2.3%), and only decaffeinated coffee showed a positive association with IGF-1 (percentage difference for ≥3 cups/d compared with none: 2.8%; 95% CI: 0.7%, 4.9%).

TABLE 2.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of the insulin/IGF system according to total and caffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2–3 cups/d ≥4 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
Total coffee
 C-peptide
  n 986 1948 4462 2434
  Model 1 0 (ref) −2.6 (−6.6, 1.7) −3.6 (−7.2, 0.3) −6.5 (−10.3, −2.5) −1.1 (−1.8, −0.4) 0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −2.3 (−5.9, 1.4) −4.3 (−7.5, −0.9) −8.7 (−12.0, −5.2) −1.9 (−2.5, −1.3) <0.001
 IGF-1
  n 1080 2020 4483 2587
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.8 (−0.6, 4.2) 2.0 (−0.2, 4.3) 2.0 (−0.4, 4.4) 0.1 (−0.3, 0.4) 0.81
  Model 2 0 (ref) 2.3 (−0.1, 4.7) 2.5 (0.3, 4.7) 2.3 (−0.03, 4.7) 0.01 (−0.4, 0.4) 0.96
 IGFBP-1
  n 681 1384 3003 1629
  Model 1 0 (ref) −2.7 (−10.4, 5.6) −5.2 (−12.0, 2.1) −0.1 (−7.8, 8.2) 0.4 (−1.0, 1.7) 0.60
  Model 2 0 (ref) −0.8 (−7.5, 6.4) −2.5 (−8.6, 4.1) 2.8 (−4.3, 10.3) 0.9 (−0.3, 2.1) 0.15
 IGFBP-3
  n 1110 2089 4692 2662
  Model 1 0 (ref) 0.9 (−0.7, 2.5) 0.2 (−1.2, 1.7) −1.1 (−2.7, 0.4) −0.6 (−0.8, −0.3) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.1 (−1.5, 1.7) −1.2 (−2.6, 0.3) −2.2 (−3.7, −0.6) −0.7 (−1.0, −0.4) <0.001
Caffeinated coffee
 C-peptide
  n 2216 2877 3458 1279
  Model 1 0 (ref) −1.2 (−4.3, 1.9) −2.7 (−5.6, 0.2) −3.7 (−7.3, 0.1) −0.9 (−1.6, −0.1) 0.03
  Model 2 0 (ref) −1.3 (−3.9, 1.4) −4.3 (−6.8, −1.7) −8.0 (−11.2, −4.8) −1.9 (−2.6, −1.2) <0.001
 IGF-1
  n 2320 2910 3528 1412
  Model 1 0 (ref) −0.1 (−1.9, 1.6) −0.1 (−1.8, 1.6) −1.1 (−3.3, 1.0) −0.2 (−0.7, 0.2) 0.25
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.1 (−1.6, 1.8) −0.02 (−1.7, 1.7) −1.3 (−3.4, 0.9) −0.3 (−0.8, 0.1) 0.13
 IGFBP-1
  n 1560 1968 2318 851
  Model 1 0 (ref) −3.5 (−9.1, 2.4) −4.1 (−9.5, 1.6) 0.3 (−7.0, 8.1) −0.1 (−1.6, 1.4) 0.91
  Model 2 0 (ref) −2.4 (−7.3, 2.7) −0.6 (−5.5, 4.5) 4.3 (−2.4, 11.5) 0.8 (−0.6, 2.2) 0.25
 IGFBP-3
  n 2398 3030 3677 1448
  Model 1 0 (ref) 0.4 (−0.7, 1.6) −1.2 (−2.3, −0.1) −3.3 (−4.7, −1.9) −0.8 (−1.1, −0.6) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −0.1 (−1.3, 1.0) −2.1 (−3.2, −1.0) −3.7 (−5.1, −2.3) −1.0 (−1.2, −0.7) <0.001
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. IGF, insulin-like growth factor; IGFBP, insulin-like growth factor binding protein; ref, reference.

TABLE 3.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of the insulin/IGF system according to decaffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of decaffeinated coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2 cups/d ≥3 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
C-peptide
n 3421 3829 1258 1322
 Model 1 0 (ref) −6.0 (−8.4, −3.6) −6.4 (−9.8, −3.0) −7.1 (−10.4, −3.7) −1.9 (−2.9, −0.8) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) −3.5 (−5.6, −1.3) −5.9 (−8.8, −2.8) −5.8 (−8.7, −2.8) −1.9 (−2.8, −1.0) <0.001
IGF-1
n 3616 3948 1268 1338
 Model 1 0 (ref) 2.9 (1.4, 4.4) 2.5 (0.4, 4.6) 2.8 (0.7, 4.9) 0.7 (0.1, 1.3) 0.03
 Model 2 0 (ref) 3.1 (1.7, 4.6) 2.5 (0.4, 4.6) 2.8 (0.7, 4.9) 0.7 (0.1, 1.3) 0.01
IGFBP-1
n 2339 2608 844 906
 Model 1 0 (ref) 6.2 (1.0, 11.6) 10.4 (2.9, 18.5) 4.7 (−2.4, 12.2) 1.5 (−0.6, 3.6) 0.16
 Model 2 0 (ref) 2.0 (−2.3, 6.4) 7.7 (1.4, 14.5) 1.3 (−4.6, 7.6) 1.0 (−0.8, 2.9) 0.26
IGFBP-3
n 3745 4100 1320 1388
 Model 1 0 (ref) 0.3 (−0.6, 1.3) 0.5 (−0.9, 1.9) 0.3 (−1.0, 1.7) 0.03 (−0.4, 0.4) 0.88
 Model 2 0 (ref) 0.1 (−0.9, 1.0) −0.3 (−1.6, 1.1) −0.2 (−1.6, 1.1) −0.2 (−0.6, 0.2) 0.43
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. IGF, insulin-like growth factor; IGFBP, insulin-like growth factor binding protein; ref, reference.

Tables 4 and 5 show the results for sex hormones. Compared with nondrinkers, the percentage differences (95% CIs) in biomarker concentrations for those drinking ≥4 cups/d of total coffee were as follows—estrone: −6.4% (−11.9%, −0.5%); total estradiol: −5.7% (−10.9%, −0.1%); free estradiol: −8.1% (−14.4%, −1.4%); SHBG: 5.0% (0.2%, 10.1%); and total testosterone: 7.3% (1.2%, 13.8%) for women and 5.3% (−1.4%, 12.5%) for men. The results were similar for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee.

TABLE 4.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of sex hormones according to total and caffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2–3 cups/d ≥4 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
Total coffee
 Estrone
  n 317 692 1659 992
  Model 1 0 (ref) 2.1 (−4.5, 9.2) 0.5 (−5.5, 6.8) −4.7 (−10.6, 1.6) −1.1 (−2.2, −0.1) 0.03
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.6 (−5.4, 7.0) −0.9 (−6.4, 4.9) −6.4 (−11.9, −0.5) −1.4 (−2.3, −0.4) 0.01
 Total estradiol
  n 388 834 1948 1159
  Model 1 0 (ref) 4.1 (−2.4, 10.9) −1.9 (−7.4, 4.0) −5.7 (−11.3, 0.3) −1.7 (−2.7, −0.7) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 2.1 (−3.7, 8.1) −2.1 (−7.2, 3.2) −5.7 (−10.9, −0.1) −1.5 (−2.5, −0.6) 0.001
 Free estradiol
  n 324 661 1516 888
  Model 1 0 (ref) 6.1 (−2.0, 14.8) −1.6 (−8.4, 5.7) −8.5 (−15.2, −1.3) −2.8 (−4.0, −1.5) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 3.3 (−3.7, 10.9) −2.6 (−8.8, 3.9) −8.1 (−14.4, −1.4) −2.5 (−3.7, −1.3) <0.001
 SHBG
  n 554 1138 2652 1571
  Model 1 0 (ref) −0.6 (−6.0, 5.0) 0.7 (−4.2, 5.9) 4.4 (−1.0, 10.0) 1.1 (0.3, 2.0) 0.01
  Model 2 0 (ref) −0.6 (−5.2, 4.1) 0.8 (−3.5, 5.3) 5.0 (0.2, 10.1) 1.5 (0.7, 2.3) <0.001
 Total testosterone (women)
  n 380 924 2433 1447
  Model 1 0 (ref) 5.9 (−0.3, 12.5) 7.3 (1.5, 13.3) 9.9 (3.8, 16.4) 1.6 (0.7, 2.5) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 5.9 (−0.3, 12.4) 6.5 (0.8, 12.6) 7.3 (1.2, 13.8) 1.0 (0.1, 1.9) 0.04
 Free testosterone (women)
  n 271 679 1802 1054
  Model 1 0 (ref) 6.9 (−2.6, 17.3) 7.6 (−1.1, 17.1) 8.9 (−0.3, 18.9) 1.2 (−0.1, 2.5) 0.08
  Model 2 0 (ref) 8.2 (−0.5, 17.6) 8.0 (0.01, 16.6) 7.3 (−1.1, 16.5) 0.4 (−0.9, 1.7) 0.53
 Total testosterone (men)
  n 205 355 575 344
  Model 1 0 (ref) −1.0 (−7.2, 5.6) −0.4 (−6.2, 5.7) 3.0 (−3.4, 9.9) 1.1 (−0.1, 2.3) 0.07
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.04 (−6.0, 6.5) 1.9 (−4.0, 8.2) 5.3 (−1.4, 12.5) 1.6 (0.4, 2.8) 0.01
 Free testosterone (men)
  n 202 348 568 335
  Model 1 0 (ref) −0.2 (−6.3, 6.4) 2.3 (−3.6, 8.5) 2.4 (−4.0, 9.2) 0.9 (−0.3, 2.0) 0.15
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.2 (−6.0, 6.8) 3.7 (−2.4, 10.2) 3.6 (−3.1, 10.7) 1.2 (−0.1, 2.4) 0.06
Caffeinated coffee
 Estrone
  n 772 1053 1298 537
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.5 (−3.1, 6.4) −0.7 (−5.1, 3.9) −3.8 (−9.1, 1.8) −1.0 (−2.1, 0.1) 0.08
  Model 2 0 (ref) 1.0 (−3.3, 5.4) −1.0 (−5.1, 3.3) −5.9 (−10.8, −0.7) −1.3 (−2.3, −0.2) 0.02
 Total estradiol
  n 932 1243 1528 626
  Model 1 0 (ref) 0.8 (−3.7, 5.4) −1.2 (−5.4, 3.1) −3.7 (−8.8, 1.7) −1.0 (−2.0, 0.1) 0.08
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.5 (−3.4, 4.7) −0.8 (−4.7, 3.3) −4.1 (−8.9, 0.9) −0.9 (−1.9, 0.1) 0.08
 Free estradiol
  n 737 998 1176 478
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.7 (−3.9, 7.6) −1.4 (−6.7, 4.1) −8.5 (−14.6, −2.0) −2.2 (−3.5, −0.8) 0.002
  Model 2 0 (ref) 1.4 (−3.6, 6.7) −1.6 (−6.4, 3.4) −8.2 (−13.9, −2.1) −2.1 (−3.4, −0.8) 0.002
 SHBG
  n 1318 1693 2059 845
  Model 1 0 (ref) −0.7 (−4.5, 3.3) −0.04 (−3.7, 3.8) 3.5 (−1.3, 8.5) 0.7 (−0.2, 1.7) 0.14
  Model 2 0 (ref) −0.1 (−3.4, 3.3) 2.4 (−0.9, 5.8) 7.0 (2.5, 11.6) 1.6 (0.7, 2.4) <0.001
 Total testosterone (women)
  n 1118 1427 1877 762
  Model 1 0 (ref) 2.9 (−1.1, 7.1) 5.0 (1.2, 9.1) 9.9 (4.8, 15.3) 2.3 (1.3, 3.3) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 3.0 (−1.0, 7.1) 4.3 (0.4, 8.3) 6.2 (1.1, 11.5) 1.5 (0.5, 2.6) 0.003
 Free testosterone (women)
  n 808 1059 1376 563
  Model 1 0 (ref) 6.4 (0.2, 13.0) 7.0 (1.0, 13.4) 9.3 (1.7, 17.5) 1.8 (0.4, 3.3) 0.01
  Model 2 0 (ref) 6.1 (0.5, 12.0) 3.6 (−1.8, 9.3) 3.1 (−3.6, 10.4) 0.4 (−1.0, 1.8) 0.59
 Total testosterone (men)
  n 358 471 463 187
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.0 (−4.0, 6.4) 0.8 (−4.2, 6.2) 5.1 (−1.7, 12.3) 0.9 (−0.4, 2.2) 0.18
  Model 2 0 (ref) 1.4 (−3.5, 6.5) 2.4 (−2.6, 7.8) 7.4 (0.5, 14.8) 1.3 (−0.04, 2.7) 0.06
 Free testosterone (men)
  n 354 463 454 182
  Model 1 0 (ref) 0.7 (−4.3, 6.0) 2.0 (−3.1, 7.3) 3.6 (−3.0, 10.6) 0.7 (−0.6, 2.0) 0.30
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.7 (−4.2, 5.9) 3.2 (−2.0, 8.7) 4.7 (−2.1, 12.0) 1.0 (−0.4, 2.3) 0.17
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. ref, reference; SHBG, sex hormone–binding globulin.

TABLE 5.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of sex hormones according to decaffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of decaffeinated coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2 cups/d ≥3 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
Estrone
n 1267 1414 468 511
 Model 1 0 (ref) 1.4 (−2.5, 5.4) 2.3 (−3.1, 8.0) −5.4 (−10.3, −0.2) −1.4 (−2.9, 0.2) 0.08
 Model 2 0 (ref) 1.0 (−2.6, 4.6) 2.2 (−2.8, 7.4) −5.5 (−10.1, −0.8) −1.5 (−2.9, −0.1) 0.04
Total estradiol
n 1499 1694 538 598
 Model 1 0 (ref) 0.7 (−2.9, 4.5) −5.1 (−9.9, 0.1) −9.4 (−14.0, −4.6) −3.3 (−4.8, −1.9) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) 1.1 (−2.2, 4.6) −3.6 (−8.1, 1.1) −7.8 (−12.0, −3.4) −2.8 (−4.1, −1.4) <0.001
Free estradiol
n 1175 1339 413 462
 Model 1 0 (ref) −2.1 (−6.6, 2.6) −7.3 (−13.3, −0.8) −12.5 (−18.1, −6.6) −4.2 (−6.0, −2.3) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) −1.1 (−5.2, 3.2) −4.9 (−10.4, 1.0) −11.0 (−16.1, −5.5) −3.4 (−5.1, −1.7) <0.001
SHBG
n 2009 2348 716 842
 Model 1 0 (ref) 5.7 (2.3, 9.2) 5.9 (1.1, 10.9) 8.4 (3.7, 13.4) 2.2 (0.9, 3.5) 0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) 2.1 (−0.7, 5.0) 3.3 (−0.7, 7.6) 5.8 (1.8, 10.0) 1.6 (0.4, 2.7) 0.01
Total testosterone (women)
n 1659 2030 677 818
 Model 1 0 (ref) −0.9 (−4.1, 2.4) 1.4 (−3.1, 6.2) −0.8 (−5.0, 3.7) 0.1 (−1.1, 1.4) 0.84
 Model 2 0 (ref) 0.5 (−2.8, 3.9) 2.3 (−2.3, 7.1) −0.7 (−5.0, 3.7) −0.1 (−1.4, 1.2) 0.86
Free testosterone (women)
n 1208 1513 492 593
 Model 1 0 (ref) −5.1 (−9.8, −0.2) −0.04 (−6.8, 7.2) −4.7 (−10.9, 2.0) −0.6 (−2.5, 1.3) 0.55
 Model 2 0 (ref) 0.9 (−3.6, 5.7) 3.7 (−2.7, 10.5) −0.4 (−6.4, 5.9) 0.1 (−1.6, 1.9) 0.90
Total testosterone (men)
n 572 604 147 156
 Model 1 0 (ref) 1.3 (−2.9, 5.7) 6.0 (−0.9, 13.5) 5.1 (−1.6, 12.4) 1.4 (−0.5, 3.4) 0.15
 Model 2 0 (ref) 2.5 (−1.7, 6.8) 6.0 (−0.6, 13.1) 8.4 (1.6, 15.7) 2.1 (0.2, 4.0) 0.03
Free testosterone (men)
n 561 595 145 152
 Model 1 0 (ref) 1.1 (−3.1, 5.5) 5.2 (−1.6, 12.5) 5.9 (−0.9, 13.2) 1.2 (−0.7, 3.2) 0.21
 Model 2 0 (ref) 1.7 (−2.5, 6.1) 4.7 (−1.9, 11.8) 7.9 (1.0, 15.2) 1.6 (−0.3, 3.6) 0.10
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. ref, reference; SHBG, sex hormone–binding globulin.

Tables 6 and 7 show the results for adipokines and inflammatory markers. Total, caffeinated, and decaffeinated coffee all showed positive associations with concentrations of total and HMW adiponectin and inverse associations with concentrations of CRP, IL-6, and sTNFR-2. Total and caffeinated coffee also showed inverse associations with leptin. The percentage differences (95% CIs) comparing participants who drank ≥4 cups of total coffee/d with nondrinkers were as follows— total adiponectin: 9.3% (6.1%, 12.5%); HMW adiponectin: 17.2% (8.2%, 26.8%); leptin: −6.4% (−11.3%, −1.2%); CRP: −16.6% (−21.6%, −11.4%); IL-6: −8.1% (−12.4%, −3.7%); and sTNFR-2: −5.8% (−7.7%, −4.0%).

TABLE 6.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of adipokines and inflammatory markers according to total and caffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2–3 cups/d ≥4 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
Total coffee
 Total adiponectin
  n 1195 2406 5790 3404
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.5 (−1.6, 4.7) 5.8 (2.8, 8.8) 11.5 (8.3, 14.9) 2.2 (1.7, 2.7) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.3 (−2.6, 3.3) 3.0 (0.3, 5.9) 9.3 (6.1, 12.5) 2.0 (1.6, 2.5) <0.001
 HMW adiponectin
  n 359 777 1856 1060
  Model 1 0 (ref) −0.5 (−8.6, 8.4) 12.6 (4.3, 21.7) 24.5 (14.7, 35.0) 5.2 (3.9, 6.5) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −1.7 (−9.2, 6.4) 7.4 (−0.2, 15.5) 17.2 (8.2, 26.8) 4.1 (2.8, 5.4) <0.001
 Leptin
  n 662 1261 2682 1480
  Model 1 0 (ref) −4.5 (−10.9, 2.4) −6.2 (−11.9, −0.1) −9.2 (−15.2, −2.8) −1.9 (−3.0, −0.7) 0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −4.1 (−9.1, 1.1) −3.1 (−7.8, 1.7) −6.4 (−11.3, −1.2) −1.1 (−2.0, −0.2) 0.01
 CRP
  n 1428 2803 6358 3850
  Model 1 0 (ref) −1.9 (−8.5, 5.0) −9.0 (−14.5, −3.1) −12.8 (−18.4, −6.9) −2.9 (−3.9, −1.8) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −1.9 (−7.8, 4.4) −8.8 (−13.9, −3.5) −16.6 (−21.6, −11.4) −4.1 (−5.1, −3.1) <0.001
 IL-6
  n 869 1709 4116 2404
  Model 1 0 (ref) −3.1 (−7.9, 2.0) −7.0 (−11.2, −2.7) −6.5 (−10.9, −1.9) −0.9 (−1.7, −0.2) 0.02
  Model 2 0 (ref) −2.4 (−7.0, 2.5) −6.3 (−10.4, −2.1) −8.1 (−12.4, −3.7) −1.7 (−2.4, −0.9) <0.001
 sTNFR-2
  n 990 1952 4670 2737
  Model 1 0 (ref) −4.8 (−6.8, −2.9) −7.5 (−9.2, −5.7) −7.4 (−9.2, −5.6) −1.1 (−1.4, −0.8) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −3.6 (−5.5, −1.7) −5.4 (−7.1, −3.7) −5.8 (−7.7, −4.0) −1.0 (−1.3, −0.7) <0.001
Caffeinated coffee
 Total adiponectin
  n 2822 3640 4507 1826
  Model 1 0 (ref) 1.0 (−1.2, 3.2) 4.6 (2.4, 6.8) 9.0 (6.2, 12.0) 1.9 (1.4, 2.5) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) 0.2 (−1.9, 2.3) 3.0 (1.0, 5.2) 8.8 (6.0, 11.7) 1.9 (1.3, 2.4) <0.001
 HMW adiponectin
  n 891 1138 1447 576
  Model 1 0 (ref) −3.4 (−9.0, 2.5) 7.6 (1.6, 13.9) 18.0 (9.8, 26.7) 4.4 (2.9, 5.9) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −4.1 (−9.3, 1.3) 3.4 (−2.0, 9.2) 13.7 (6.0, 22.0) 3.4 (1.9, 4.9) <0.001
 Leptin
  n 1397 1809 2110 769
  Model 1 0 (ref) −1.9 (−6.9, 3.3) −5.4 (−10.1, −0.6) −7.4 (−13.2, −1.1) −2.0 (−3.2, −0.7) 0.003
  Model 2 0 (ref) −3.1 (−6.8, 0.8) −4.9 (−8.5, −1.1) −5.9 (−10.6, −1.0) −1.4 (−2.4, −0.4) 0.01
 CRP
  n 3232 4120 5005 2082
  Model 1 0 (ref) −2.9 (−7.6, 2.1) −9.0 (−13.2, −4.5) −8.4 (−13.7, −2.7) −2.1 (−3.2, −0.9) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −3.4 (−7.7, 1.0) −10.7 (−14.6, −6.7) −15.9 (−20.5, −11.1) −3.8 (−4.8, −2.7) <0.001
 IL-6
  n 2037 2539 3220 1302
  Model 1 0 (ref) −1.6 (−5.1, 2.0) −3.7 (−7.0, −0.3) 0.9 (−3.4, 5.4) −0.2 (−1.0, 0.7) 0.70
  Model 2 0 (ref) −1.7 (−5.0, 1.8) −4.1 (−7.3, −0.9) −4.3 (−8.3, −0.04) −1.3 (−2.2, −0.4) 0.003
 sTNFR-2
  n 2333 2916 3631 1469
  Model 1 0 (ref) −2.3 (−3.7, −0.8) −5.0 (−6.3, −3.6) −4.1 (−5.7, −2.3) −1.1 (−1.4, −0.7) <0.001
  Model 2 0 (ref) −1.6 (−3.0, −0.2) −3.6 (−4.9, −2.3) −3.8 (−5.5, −2.1) −1.0 (−1.4, −0.6) <0.001
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. CRP, C-reactive protein; HMW, high-molecular-weight; ref, reference; sTNFR-2, soluble TNF receptor 2.

TABLE 7.

Percentage differences (95% CIs) in concentrations of plasma biomarkers of adipokines and inflammatory markers according to decaffeinated coffee consumption among participants from the Nurses’ Health Study and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study1

Categories of decaffeinated coffee consumption
Variable Nondrinker ≤1 cup/d 2 cups/d ≥3 cups/d Per cup increase P-trend
Total adiponectin
n 4443 4931 1589 1832
 Model 1 0 (ref) 2.7 (0.8, 4.6) 9.2 (6.4, 12.0) 8.4 (5.7, 11.1) 2.8 (2.0, 3.5) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) 0.8 (−1.0, 2.5) 6.5 (3.9, 9.1) 6.4 (3.9, 8.9) 2.3 (1.6, 3.1) <0.001
HMW adiponectin
n 1434 1548 501 569
 Model 1 0 (ref) 6.7 (1.6, 12.1) 20.1 (12.0, 28.7) 21.9 (13.9, 30.4) 6.5 (4.4, 8.6) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) 3.4 (−1.2, 8.3) 13.2 (6.1, 20.9) 16.3 (9.1, 24.0) 5.1 (3.1, 7.1) <0.001
Leptin
n 2205 2360 733 787
 Model 1 0 (ref) −4.8 (−8.8, −0.6) −6.8 (−12.4, −0.8) −6.2 (−11.7, −0.2) −1.7 (−3.4, 0.1) 0.06
 Model 2 0 (ref) −0.8 (−4.0, 2.6) −1.6 (−6.1, 3.2) −1.4 (−5.9, 3.4) −0.6 (−1.9, 0.8) 0.39
CRP
n 5134 5542 1762 2001
 Model 1 0 (ref) −7.5 (−11.3, −3.6) −11.4 (−16.5, −6.0) −15.7 (−20.4, −10.8) −4.5 (−6.1, −2.9) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) −3.0 (−6.6, 0.7) −8.3 (−13.0, −3.3) −14.2 (−18.5, −9.7) −4.8 (−6.2, −3.3) <0.001
IL-6
n 3188 3475 1165 1270
 Model 1 0 (ref) −7.4 (−10.1, −4.6) −9.6 (−13.3, −5.7) −9.9 (−13.5, −6.1) −2.4 (−3.6, −1.3) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) −4.6 (−7.3, −1.8) −6.7 (−10.3, −2.8) −7.8 (−11.4, −4.1) −2.1 (−3.2, −0.9) <0.001
sTNFR-2
n 3598 3969 1309 1473
 Model 1 0 (ref) −3.0 (−4.1, −1.8) −2.2 (−3.9, −0.5) −4.9 (−6.5, −3.3) −1.1 (−1.6, −0.7) <0.001
 Model 2 0 (ref) −2.1 (−3.2, −0.9) −1.2 (−2.8, 0.5) −3.8 (−5.4, −2.2) −0.9 (−1.3, −0.4) <0.001
1

Model 1 was adjusted for sex and age at blood draw (linear and quadratic terms). Model 2 was additionally adjusted for race (white, nonwhite), fasting status (yes or no), cumulative average levels of BMI (in kg/m2; <23.0, 23.0–24.9, 25.0–27.4, 27.5–29.9, or ≥30.0), physical activity (<3.0, 3.0–8.9, 9.0–17.9, 18.0–26.9, or ≥27.0 metabolic equivalent of task-h/wk), alcohol consumption (0, 0.1–4.9, 5.0–9.9, 10.0–14.9, or ≥15.0 g/d), smoking (never; past: <30; past: ≥30; current: <30; or current: ≥30 pack-years), Alternative Healthy Eating Index dietary score (quintiles), total energy intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles) calculated from dietary items except coffee (tea, cola beverage, and chocolate), regular multivitamin use (yes or no), regular aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (yes or no), hypertension (yes or no), hypercholesterolemia (yes or no), and for women, menopausal status (premenopausal, postmenopausal, or unknown) and menopausal hormone therapy (never, past, or current use). For the analysis of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, mutual adjustment was performed. CRP, C-reactive protein; HMW, high-molecular-weight; ref, reference; sTNFR-2, soluble TNF receptor 2.

Stratified analyses by sex, age, smoking, alcohol consumption, physical activity, BMI, menopausal status, and hormonal use are shown in Supplemental Figure 2. The associations of total coffee consumption with biomarker concentrations were generally consistent across subgroups, with a few exceptions. A positive association of coffee intake with IGFBP-1 was present only in men (P-interaction = 0.01) and the inverse association with CRP was stronger in women than in men (P-interaction <0.001). In addition, an inverse association with IGF was observed among participants with BMI <23 and the positive association with SHBG remained statistically significant in postmenopausal women who were not currently using hormones.

Sensitivity analysis showed that the aforementioned associations were robust among participants who provided fasting blood (Supplemental Table 5), were selected as controls in previous case-control studies (Supplemental Table 6), and were free of hypertension or hypercholesterolemia at blood draw (Supplemental Table 7).

Discussion

In this large study in women and men, we found that coffee consumption was associated with lower concentrations of C-peptide, IGFBP-3, estrogen, leptin, and inflammatory biomarkers and with higher concentrations of SHBG, total testosterone, and adiponectin. The results were largely similar for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee. Comprehensive stratified and sensitivity analyses supported the robustness of the observed associations. Therefore, our findings suggest that coffee might exert beneficial effects through modulation of metabolic and inflammatory pathways. Although the association of high coffee consumption with some biomarkers appeared relatively small (e.g., for IGFBP-3 and SHBG), given the potential pleiotropic benefit of coffee on multiple pathways the collective effect of coffee on individual pathways may contribute to a clinically significant impact on disease risk (2–4).

Insulin/IGF system

The insulin/IGF system is a major regulator of energy balance and cell growth. In the circulation, high concentrations of C-peptide, a marker of insulin secretion, and IGF-1 have been associated with an increased risk of breast, colorectal, and prostate cancers (10).

An interventional trial in 20 healthy nonobese participants showed a reduction in C-peptide concentrations at 60 min after caffeinated coffee ingestion (40). In our previous study in the NHS cohort, both caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee were associated with lower C-peptide, particularly in obese and overweight women (41). The current study with a larger sample size confirmed the associations in both sexes, supporting the potential benefit of coffee consumption on lowering insulin secretion. Moreover, our findings of a similar association for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee imply that bioactive ingredients of coffee, other than caffeine, might mediate the benefit. For example, chlorogenic acid, a strong antioxidant in both caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee, has been shown to improve insulin sensitivity in patients with T2D and reduce insulin concentrations in rats, possibly through decreased oxidative stress (42).

Previous studies on coffee consumption and IGF-1 concentrations reported either an inverse (13) or null (14, 43) association. These studies are limited by their small sample size or lack of separate assessment of different coffee types. In the current study, we found that caffeinated coffee tended to be associated with lower concentrations of IGF-1, whereas decaffeinated coffee was linked to higher concentrations of IGF-1. Experimental evidence supports that circulating IGF-1 may be reduced by caffeine exposure in rats (44). In addition, the circulating half-life of IGF-1 can be greatly prolonged by IGFBP-3, which provides most of the IGF-binding capacity (45). These data are in line with our findings, suggesting that, unlike decaffeinated coffee, caffeinated coffee might reduce IGFBP-3, thereby lowering bioavailable IGF-1.

Sex hormones

Circulating estrone and estradiol have been linked to a higher risk of breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancers in women (8) and prostate cancer in men (46). In contrast, testosterone has shown antiproliferative and proapoptotic effects on breast cancer (47). SHBG is a carrier protein for estrogen and androgen, acting as a modulator of hormonal activity. Lower concentrations of SHBG have been associated with increased risk of metabolic diseases and hormone-related cancers (48).

Two small studies reported that caffeine intake was not associated with estrone in women (49, 50). In the current study, we found that total coffee consumption was associated with lower concentrations of estrone. Caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee showed similar results. For estradiol, several studies reported a null association between caffeine intake and estradiol in women (51, 52) or men (16, 53), whereas other studies showed an inverse association (15, 49, 54). Consistent with the latter studies, we found that coffee consumption was associated with lower concentrations of total and free estradiol, providing a possible explanation for the strong association of coffee consumption with lower risk of endometrial cancer (6). Animal models indicated that caffeine might interfere with estrogen metabolism via inhibition of aromatase, the key enzyme mediating the conversion of androgen to estrogen (55). The evidence supports our observed association between caffeinated coffee and higher concentrations of total testosterone. Consistently, a randomized controlled trial found that male total testosterone concentrations were significantly increased after 4 wk consumption of caffeinated coffee (22). Experimental studies also suggested that caffeine administration in male animals could increase plasma testosterone through sympathetic stimulation of Leydig cells in the testis (56, 57). For women, our findings of a positive association between caffeinated coffee and total testosterone concentrations contrasted with the null associations reported in previous studies (54, 58). Although the exact reasons for this discrepancy remain unclear, previous studies had relatively small sample sizes and thus may have been underpowered to identify a modest association between caffeinated coffee and testosterone concentrations.

With regard to SHBG, several studies have reported a positive association with coffee or caffeine consumption in women (51, 54, 58), whereas the results were less consistent in men (16, 59, 60). In the current study, caffeinated coffee was associated with higher concentrations of SHBG in both sexes. Because caffeine is primarily metabolized in the liver where SHBG is primarily synthesized and metabolized, it is possible that caffeine consumption might influence SHBG metabolism and elevate SHBG concentrations (58). Our findings also suggest that although coffee intake may increase total testosterone, most of the testosterone is likely to bind to increased SHBG, leading to a nonsignificant association between coffee intake and free testosterone.

Adipokines and inflammatory biomarkers

Adiponectin and leptin are adipokines primarily secreted by adipose tissue (61). Evidence has suggested that HMW adiponectin may be the most bioactive isoform of circulating adiponectin, which is inversely associated with insulin resistance, obesity, T2D, and CVD (62). In contrast, chronically elevated leptin has been linked to obesity and cancer risk (10).

A positive association between caffeinated coffee and total adiponectin was reported in a previous study in the NHS cohort (17). The current study has extended these findings by also including men and reporting a particularly strong association for HMW adiponectin in both women and men. Our findings are consistent with other reports of a positive association between coffee consumption and total adiponectin in men (63–65) and women (66), and with the observation of an adiponectin-elevating effect of a 3-mo intervention of coffee drinking (24).

A few studies have investigated the relation between coffee consumption and leptin concentrations but reported null (20, 67) or inverse associations (64, 68–70). The current study found that total and caffeinated coffee consumption was associated with lower leptin concentrations. These findings are in line with the report of a clinical trial that high caffeine consumption decreased leptin concentrations, possibly through elevated thermogenesis and fat oxidation (71). Moreover, animal experiments indicated that caffeine and chlorogenic acid in combination might affect hepatic lipid metabolism and lower leptin concentrations (72).

The anti-inflammatory effect of coffee consumption has been widely studied. Consistent with most of the cross-sectional studies (18, 20, 21, 68), we observed inverse associations of coffee consumption with plasma CRP, IL-6, and sTNFR-2 concentrations. Furthermore, generally similar associations for caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee imply that bioactive constituents other than caffeine might have anti-inflammatory effects (20). Indeed, chlorogenic acids may reduce the production of inflammatory mediators by inhibiting protein tyrosine phosphatase 1B, lowering the expression of proinflammatory cytokine genes, and modulating nuclear factor-κB activation (6).

Strengths and limitations

The current study has several strengths, including the large sample size, inclusion of both women and men, repeated assessment of caffeinated and decaffeinated coffee consumption before blood draw, and comprehensive assessment of various biomarkers implicated in the development of chronic diseases. In addition, we used a standardized approach to account for potential batch effects and collected detailed data on covariates that allow for robust confounding control and assessment of potential effect modification.

Some limitations need to be considered as well. First, our study design was cross-sectional, thus limiting the ability to make causal inferences. Prospective studies are warranted to investigate whether coffee consumption is associated with changes in biomarker concentrations over time. Second, our study participants were predominantly white health professionals, which limited the generalizability of the findings; however, the homogeneity of the study population minimized the likelihood of residual confounding. Third, the assessed biomarkers are interrelated in a complex manner, which makes it difficult to disentangle their independent associations with coffee intake. However, by using the percentage of change in biomarker concentrations per 1-cup coffee intake as the standard outcome measure, we found that, among all the studied biomarkers, CRP, HMW adiponectin, and estrogen appeared to be most strongly associated with coffee, whereas a relatively modest association was found for C-peptide. Taken together with the central role of inflammation in metabolic disturbances (73) and the known effect of sex hormones on inflammation (74), it is possible that the beneficial associations observed in the current study may be predominantly driven by reduction in inflammation, with an additional effect by modulation of sex hormone metabolism. Further studies that account for the complex biomarker interrelations are needed to better understand the predominant pathways underlying the benefit of coffee intake.

In conclusion, our study indicates that coffee consumption is associated with a favorable profile of plasma biomarkers of metabolic and inflammatory pathways. Future prospective and interventional studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

Supplementary Material

nqy295_Supplemental_File

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

The authors’ responsibilities were as followsMS and ELG: conceived and designed the study; DH: performed the statistical analysis, drafted the manuscript, and is the guarantor; DH and MS: had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis; ASK, WM, and YH: acquired the data; FKT, HN, ZH, HS, LAM, and ATC: critically revised the manuscript for important intellectual content; and all authors: read and approved the final manuscript. None of the authors reported a conflict of interest related to the study.

Notes

Supported by NIH grants K99 CA207736 (to FKT), K99 CA215314 (to MS), R00 CA215314, UM1 CA186107, R01 CA49449, and UM1 CA167552, American Cancer Society grant MRSG-17-220-01–NEC (to MS), and National Natural Science Foundation of China grant 81502873 (to DH). The funders had no role in design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data; preparation, review, and approval of the manuscript; or the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.

Supplemental Figures 1–2, Supplemental Tables 1–7, and Supplemental Methods 1–3 are available from the “Supplementary data” link in the online posting of the article and from the same link in the online table of contents at https://academic.oup.com/ajcn/.

Abbreviations used: CRP, C-reactive protein; CVD, cardiovascular disease; FFQ, food-frequency questionnaire; HMW, high-molecular-weight; HPFS, Health Professionals Follow-Up Study; IGF, insulin-like growth factor; IGF-1, insulin-like growth factor 1; IGFBP, insulin-like growth factor binding protein; NHS, Nurses’ Health Study; SHBG, sex hormone–binding globulin; sTNFR-2, soluble TNF receptor 2; T2D, type 2 diabetes.

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