Abstract
Objective:
Insulin-like growth factor-binding protein-2 (IGFBP-2) concentrations are low in subjects with metabolic syndrome and type 2 diabetes. Intriguingly, recent studies have demonstrated an association between high IGFBP-2 concentrations and increased mortality not only in populations with certain types of cancer, but also in relatively healthy populations. We evaluated the role of IGFBP-2 in relation to BMI and mortality.
Design and Participants:
BMI, insulin sensitivity, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-I) and IGFBP-2 were assessed repeatedly in 539 participants of the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging around the ages of 55, 65 and 75 years.
Results:
IGFBP-2 concentrations positively correlated with insulin sensitivity and inversely with BMI, both at baseline and follow-up. Independent of IGF-I, sex, BMI and insulin sensitivity, circulating IGFBP-2 levels positively correlated with age (P < 0.001). Changes over time in BMI were associated with an inverse correlation in IGFBP-2 concentrations. Furthermore, we found indications of a relationship between low baseline IGFBP-2 levels and mortality. Remarkably, after adjustment for insulin sensitivity, the opposite association was found, as a unit increase of log(IGFBP2) was associated with an increase in the log hazard by 1.43 (95% CI: 0.3–2.6). This accounted for both baseline (P = 0.02) as well as serial (P < 0.001) measurements of IGFBP2. Finally, in this longitudinal study, we found that IGF-I concentrations increased with age (0.82 ± 0.2 (μg/L)/year, P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
This is the first study investigating the relationship between IGFBP-2 levels and age in a longitudinal setting. Serum IGFBP-2 levels increase with age after the age of 50 years and evolve in parallel with insulin sensitivity. IGFBP-2 may therefore be a potential marker for insulin sensitivity. We further show that IGFBP-2 levels can predict mortality in this aging population. However, its predictive value for mortality can only be interpreted in relation to insulin sensitivity. After adjustment for insulin sensitivity, high IGFBP-2 levels are predictive of increased mortality.
Introduction
Most studies demonstrate that growth hormone (GH) and insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF-I) concentrations decrease with age (1, 2). Available evidence suggests that age-related decline in GH release is a protective mechanism that reduces the risk of age-related diseases primarily cancer and type 2 diabetes (3). In the last decade, many studies have focused on insulin-like growth factor-binding protein (IGFBP)-2, the second most abundant IGF-binding protein. The IGFBPs regulate the ability of IGFs to activate the IGF-I receptors and some of them have IGF-independent actions through translocation into the cell. In the nucleus, IGFBP-2 activates the expression of several genes involved in tumorigenesis (4). The precise roles, if any, of IGFBP-2 in health and disease are not fully elucidated. IGFBP-2 concentrations are strongly inversely associated with BMI (5, 6, 7) and are low in subjects with metabolic syndrome (8, 9) or type 2 diabetes mellitus (7). In contrast, IGFBP-2 concentrations are high in subjects with anorexia nervosa (10). In addition, IGFBP-2 overexpression prevents obesity and diabetes in experimental animal models (5, 6). Apart from its possible beneficial effects on body composition, IGFBP-2 is commonly expressed in a range of human cancers. It is still unknown, however, whether IGFBP-2 is tumor suppressive or oncogenic (reviewed by Pickard and McCance (11)). Several studies have demonstrated that high IGFBP-2 concentrations were associated with an increased mortality in patients with colorectal, ovarian and breast cancers (12, 13, 14). In addition, in two relatively healthy elderly populations, high IGFBP-2 concentrations were associated with an increased risk of mortality. We demonstrated that high IGFBP-2 concentrations were related to an increased risk of 8-year all-cause mortality in a population of 403 older men (mean age, 78 years) (9). Also, Hu et al. (15) reported that in a healthy population of 625 men and women older than 70 years, higher IGFBP-2 concentrations were associated with an increased risk of 6-year all-cause mortality
These findings together led to the hypothesis that apart from its potential association with cancer, IGFBP-2 may be a marker of nutritional status and may play a role in the process of anorexia of aging. It may even be the case that IGFBP-2 levels increase before weight loss occurs during aging. To test this hypothesis, we investigated a group of men and women from the Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging around the ages of 55, 65 and 75 years. The first objective of the study was to investigate whether an increase in IGFBP-2 levels is associated with changes in BMI in a longitudinal setting during aging. The second objective of this study was to investigate if higher IGFBP-2 concentrations are related to an increased mortality risk, and if so, whether this association is cancer related.
Patients and methods
Study population
The Baltimore Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA) is an ongoing longitudinal study carried out with community-dwelling volunteers with above average education, income and access to medical care as well as increased general health consciousness. A general description of the sample population, the recruitment criteria and implementation of the BLSA, have been previously reported (16, 17). The BLSA protocol is approved by National Institutes of Health (NIH)/National Institute of environmental Health Services International Review Board (NIEHS IRB) which complies with the principles stated in the Declaration of Helsinki. All subjects signed an IRB-approved informed consent.
The objective was to investigate the hormonal parameters of volunteers over the course of at least 10 years, but preferably over 20 years. Therefore, a subset of volunteers of the BLSA was identified who visited the study center starting around the age of 50 years and continuing through their 60s and 70s. The present study was finally conducted in a subset of 539 subjects (324 men). Serum IGFBP-2 and IGF-I levels were measured at each of these consecutive visits. Body height and weight were objectively measured, and BMI was calculated by dividing body weight in kilograms by the square of height in meters (kg/m2).
Mortality
Mortality data were collected by intermittent telephone follow-up of inactive participants and correspondence with participants and their relatives. Every year, regular searches of the National Death Index were conducted to ascertain the vital status of the participants. For deceased BLSA subjects, the cause of death was determined by the consensus of three physicians reviewing all available information, including death certificates, letters from physicians and families, medical records and autopsy reports. The cause of death was classified as ‘cardiovascular’, ‘cancer’, ‘other’ or ‘unknown’.
Laboratory measures
Blood samples were obtained from participants between 07:00 and 09:30 h after a 12-h fast.
A modified oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) was performed on the participants. Fasting plasma was collected at baseline (0 min), after which subjects drank 75 g glucose in 300 mL of solution (SunDex; Fisherbrand, Pittsburgh, PA, USA), and blood samples were drawn at 5, 10, 15, 20, 40, 60, 80, 100 and 120 min (2 h) after oral administration (18).
Blood was centrifuged, and plasma and serum were stored in aliquots at −80°C. All hormones and biomedical assays were performed in the Laboratory of Clinical Investigation, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Fasting serum IGF-I was measured by human IGF-I Quantikine ELISA (R&D Systems). Intra- and inter-assay precision were in the range 3.5–4.3% and 7.5–8.3% accordingly. The minimum detectable IGF-I levels in serum ranges from 0.7 to 5.6 μg/L. No significant cross-reactivity or interference was observed by the manufacturer.
Fasting serum IGFBP-2 was measured by IGFBP-2 ELISA (Alpco, Salem, NH, USA): this assay is specific for human IGFBP-2. Importantly, there was no cross-reactivity with IGFBP-1 and IGFBP-3. The minimum detectable amount of IGFBP-2 in serum by this assay is 4.2 μg/L. The inter-and intra-assay coefficients of variability are below 10%.
Plasma insulin was measured for all time points of the OGTT using an insulin ELISA (Mercodia Inc, Uppsala, Sweden). Within-assay precision is 2.8–4.0%, and between-assay precision is 2.6–3.6%. The detection limit is 1 mIU/L calculated as two standard deviations above the Calibrator 0. Conversion factor: 1 μg/L=29 mIU/L; 1 mIU/L = 6.0 pmol/L.
Insulin sensitivity index
Originally proposed by Matsuda and DeFronzo, insulin sensitivity index-Matsuda (ISI(Matsuda)) is a whole-body ISI that reflects a composite estimate of hepatic and muscle insulin sensitivity (19). This index is calculated from plasma glucose (mg/dL) and insulin (mIU/L) concentrations in fasting state and during OGTT.
The formula for the Matsuda index is: 10 000/√G0 × I0 × Gmean×Imean, where 10 000 - simplifying constant to get numbers from 0 to 12, √correction of the nonlinear values distribution, G0 fasting plasma glucose concentration (mg/dL), I0 - fasting plasma insulin concentration (mIU/L), Gmean - mean plasma glucose concentration during OGTT (mg/ dL), from 0 to 120 min and mean-mean plasma insulin concentration during OGTT (mIU/L), from 0 to 120 min. Normal range is 2.7–9.6.
Statistical analysis
In this study, we analyzed data from 539 elderly patients to explore how serial measurements of the biomarker IGFBP2 evolve with time, and whether IGFBP2 levels are associated with the risk for death. To assess changes in IGFBP2 and BMI levels over time while accounting for the correlation between repeated follow-up measurements in each patient, we utilized the framework of linear mixed-effects models (20). For both the fixed- and random-effects parts of the model, we tested for possible nonlinear evolutions, while also correcting for age and gender. Residual plots were used to validate the model’s assumption, which led to the use of the logarithmic transformation with base 2 for the IGFBP2 (log2(BP2)) values for these analyses. To investigate the association between the serial IGFBP2 measurements and the risk for death and because IGFBP2 represents an endogenous time-dependent covariate process, we utilized the framework of joint models for longitudinal and survival data (21). These models combine the aforementioned linear mixed- effects model with a Cox regression model in order to measure the strength of the association between the two outcomes. The open source program R was used for all statistical computing and graphical outputs (R version 3.2.0 (2015–04-16)).
To investigate the association between the evolution of IGFBP-2 and BMI with age, a bivariate linear mixed model was fitted treating IGFBP-2 and BMI as outcomes. In both the fixed- and random-effects structure, we included different intercepts and linear time effects per outcome. The four random effects were assumed to be correlated, while the two error terms were assumed to be independent. The estimated correlation between the evolution of IGFBP-2 and BMI was captured by the corresponding element of the variance-covariance matrix of the random effects. To investigate whether the baseline IGFBP-2 measurement was predictive for the future profile of BMI, we included in the linear mixed model the main and interaction effects of time with the baseline IGFBP-2 measurements. All analyses were corrected for sex.
Results
Baseline characteristics are shown in Table 1.
Table 1.
Age at inclusion between |
|||
---|---|---|---|
50–60 years |
60–70 years |
70–80 years |
|
Number of measurements at follow-up | 3.6 (1.37) | 2.1 (1.2) | 1.6 (0.7) |
BMI (kg/m2) | 27 (26.5–27.4) | 27.2 (26.3–28.1) | 26.6 (25.2–28) |
Serum IGF-I (µg/L) | 80.8 (74–87.5) | 87.2 (77.7–96.7) | 106.8 (91.4–122.2) |
Serum IGFBP-2 (µg/L) | 295.6 (279.4–311.8) | 347.2 (315.4–379) | 402 (346.6–457.5) |
Insulin sensitivity index | 17.1 (7.9–26.4) | 10.6 (4.5–16.7) | 7.8 (2–13.6) |
IGF-I, insulin-like growth factor 1; IGFBP-2, insulin-like growth factor binding protein-2.
Serial IGFBP-2 measurements
IGFBP-2 and BMI
We observed that both BMI and IGFBP-2 are associated with age, with every year increase in age resulting in a 0.05 ± 0.01 kg/m2, P< 0.0001 increase in BMI and a 0.04 ± 0.005, P < 0.0001 increase in log2(BP2). Patients had on average 3.1 measurements (S.D. 1.5 measurements).
IGFBP-2 and BMI were inversely related to each other (age adjusted) with every unit increase in BMI resulting in a −0.06 ± 0.007, P<0.0001 decrease in log2(BP2). The association with age remained significant for both BMI and IGFBP-2 after adjustment for each other.
IGFBP-2 and its association with IGF-I
Subsequently, we also tested for the effect of the biomarker IGF-I in the longitudinal evolutions of log2(BP2). Due to missing values in IGF-I in this analysis 304 patients were included. We observed that IGF-I is positively correlated with log2(BP2) with a unit increase of IGF-I at any time point resulting in a 0.002 (95% CI: 9e-04–0.003) increase in log2(BP2). IGF-I concentrations increased in this population with every year increase in age resulting in 0.82 ± 0.2 μg/L, P< 0.0001 increase in IGF-I (sex, BMI and IGFBP-2 adjusted).
IGFBP-2 and its association with ISI
ISI decreased with age, with every year increase in age resulting in a 0.24 (SE 0.10) point decrease in ISI (P=0.02). We tested for the effect of the ISI in the longitudinal evolutions of log2(BP2). Due to missing values in these variables, 244 patients were included in this analysis. We observed that insulin sensitivity is positively correlated with log2(BP2) with a unit increase of ISI at any time point resulting in a 0.012 ± 0.003 (P=0.0001) increase in log2(BP2) (Table 2).
Table 2.
Estimate of the coefficient |
S.E. |
t-value |
P value |
|
---|---|---|---|---|
Intercept | 5.21 | 1.818 | 2.865 | 0.0045 |
Time | −0.02896 | 0.03142 | −0.9217 | 0.36 |
Age (years) | 0.07251 | 0.03196 | 2.269 | 0.03 |
Sex (M) | −0.0351 | 0.07514 | −0.4671 | 0.64 |
BMI (kg/m2) | −0.05681 | 0.00746 | −7.615 | <0.0001 |
ISI | 0.01201 | 0.003054 | 3.934 | 0.0002 |
ISI, insulin sensitivity index; S.E., standard error
Association between evolution of IGFBP-2 and BMI
We investigated the association between the evolution of IGFBP-2 and BMI. The estimated correlation between the evolution of IGFBP-2 and BMI was found to be −0.64 (95% CI, −0.75 to −0.49). This means that IGFBP-2 and BMI both significantly change over time in opposite directions.
We investigated whether the baseline IGFBP-2 measurement was predictive for the future profile of BMI. The interaction between the time effect and the baseline IGFBP-2 measurement was not significant, implying that no evidence of an association was found between the evolution of BMI and the baseline levels of IGFBP-2. The main effect was significant implying that for each unit increase of log2(BP2) at baseline, the BMI decreased by 2.83 ± 0.28, P< 0.001, but this decrease remained constant during follow-up (time:base_log2BP2: B = −0.02 ± 0.01, P = 0.13) (i.e., because the interaction effect was not significant). These data show that IGFBP-2 and BMI are strongly correlated during follow-up, but that IGFBP-2 is not predictive of the course of BMI.
Baseline and serial IGFBP2 measurements and risk of death
During 20 years of follow-up, there were 176 (32.7%) deaths, with 29 (6.2%) due to cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related causes, 29 (6.2%) due to cancer and 46 (9.9%) due to other causes.
Baseline and serial IGFBP-2 measurements and risk of death from all causes
We have found evidence of a relationship between the baseline IGFBP-2 and the risk for death, age, sex and BMI adjusted, with a unit increase of log2(BP2) decreases the log hazard by 0.29 ± 0.13, P = 0.02 (95% CI, 0.5–0.0). This means that lower baseline IGFBP-2 concentrations are associated with an increased risk of mortality. However, we hypothesized that this relationship might be influenced by insulin sensitivity, since subjects with lower IGFBP-2 concentrations have lower insulin sensitivity. Indeed, after additional adjustment for insulin sensitivity, we observed an inverse relationship between baseline IGFBP-2 and mortality risk, with a unit increase of log2(BP2) increasing the log hazard by 1.43 ± 0.59, P = 0.02 (95% CI, 0.3–2.6). This implies that in subjects with the same insulin sensitivity, higher baseline IGFBP-2 concentrations are associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality. Insulin sensitivity itself was not associated with mortality, after adjustment for sex, BMI and IGFBP-2. This analysis is however less reliable due to missing data.
We continued with the joint modeling analysis and postulated that at any follow-up time point, the level of IGFBP-2 is associated with the hazard at the same time point. Before adjustment for insulin sensitivity, we did not observe any evidence of a relationship between serial IGFBP-2 and the risk for death. However, after additional adjustment for ISI, we did observe a significant relationship between higher IGFBP-2 concentrations in serial measurements and an increased risk for death, with a unit increase of log2(BP2) increasing the log hazard by 1.19 (95% CI, 0.70–1.63, P < 0.001).
Baseline and serial IGFBP2 measurements and risk of death from cardiovascular disease and risk of death from cancer, age, sex and BMI adjusted
We observed evidence of an inverse relationship between baseline IGFBP-2 and the risk for death from CVD, with a unit increase of log2(BP2) decreasing the log hazard by 0.61 (95% CI, 1.2–0.0). We have not found any evidence of a relationship between serial IGFBP2 and the risk for death from CVD. Due to insufficient data, it was not possible to adjust for ISI in these associations. Neither baseline nor serial IGFBP-2 measurements showed any correlation with the risk for death from cancer.
Baseline and serial BMI measurements and risk of all events
We have found evidence of a relationship between the baseline BMI and the risk for death, with a unit increase of BMI increasing the log hazard by 0.07 (95% CI, 0.0–0.1, P < 0.001). This relation was, however, no longer present after adjustment for insulin sensitivity, with a unit increase of BMI increasing the log hazard by 0.1 (95% CI, 0–0.2, P = 0.11). We also found evidence of a relationship between serial BMI and the risk for death, with a unit increase of BMI increasing the log hazard by 0.04 (95% CI, 0.0–0.1, P = 0.01). However, after adjustment for insulin sensitivity (ISI), this relation was no longer present. Neither baseline nor serial IGFBP-2 measurements showed any correlations with the risk for death from CVD or with the risk for cancer death.
Discussion
In this longitudinal study of participants of the BLSA between the age of 50 and 80 years, we observed that IGFBP-2 concentrations increase with age, when corrected for sex, BMI, IGF-I and insulin sensitivity. Serum IGFBP-2 concentrations are strongly and inversely related with BMI and positively correlated with insulin sensitivity. IGFBP-2 and BMI change significantly over time in opposing directions. Serum IGFBP-2 concentrations, however, do not seem to predict the course of the BMI. Remarkably, mean serum IGF-I concentrations also increase with age in this population. Low IGFBP-2 concentrations at baseline were associated with an increased all-cause and CVD-related mortality. However, since low IGFBP-2 concentrations are also associated with worsening insulin sensitivity, we repeated the analyses adjusting for insulin sensitivity. Then, the opposite association was found; high baseline and serial IGFBP2 measurements were associated with an increase in mortality. These findings are in agreement with the present concept of the functional role of IGFBP-2.
IGFBP-2 is the second most abundant IGFBP and concentrations are negatively regulated by GH; that is, they are high in GH deficiency, suppressed after administration of GH in both non-deficient and GH-deficient humans, and reduced in acromegaly (22, 23). Following IGF-I administration to GH-deficient humans or patients with diabetes, there is a three- to four-fold increase in IGFBP-2 (23). Insulin and leptin upregulate IGFBP-2 expression (6, 24, 25, 26). In addition, dietary factors influence IGFBP-2 concentrations. Higher protein intake is associated with a decrease in serum IGFBP-2 concentrations, and there is some evidence of an inverse association with dairy protein and calcium intake (27, 28).
In mammals, IGFBP-2 is expressed at high levels in embryonic tissues. It decreases drastically after birth until puberty, after which it gradually increases again, especially after the age of 60 years (29, 30, 31). This is the first study that investigates the relationships between IGFBP-2, age and BMI in a longitudinal setting. Since in humans IGFBP-2 is inversely associated with BMI (5, 6, 7, 9) and in vitro studies in humans (5, 26) and animal studies (32) suggest that a change in IGFBP-2 induces changes in adipo- and lipogenesis, we investigated whether a decline in IGFBP-2 concentrations precedes a decline in BMI and therefore could be a marker of anorexia of aging. IGFBP-2 concentrations and BMI changed significantly over time and were negatively correlated. Although we demonstrated that a change in IGFBP-2 is associated with a parallel inverse change in BMI, it was difficult to show any direct causality. This might partly be due to the study population and missing data. Stored serum aliquots were not available for IGFBP-2 measurements for all participants around the ages of 55, 65 and 75 years. However, absent aliquots should be regarded as random events, and therefore, should not impact the overall findings of the study. Furthermore, volunteers participating in the BLSA are a rather selected, highly educated population. Due to the selection bias, it is difficult to make generalizations regarding the present observations. The strength of our study, however, is the longitudinal design with 20 years of serial measurements. And to our knowledge, we show for the first time in a longitudinal setting that IGFBP-2 concentrations not only change over time in proportion with BMI but also correlate positively with insulin sensitivity (when adjusted for BMI). IGFBP-2 might therefore serve as a potential marker for insulin sensitivity. Further research, however, is necessary to investigate the applicability of such a marker in daily practice.
In this study, low IGFBP-2 concentrations were initially predictive of all-cause and cardiovascular-related mortality. Although one might expect this observation since low IGFBP-2 concentrations are associated with the presence of metabolic syndrome, it is not, however, in keeping with earlier studies (9, 15). Given this obvious explanation that the relationship might be due to the inverse association of IGFBP-2 and parameters of the metabolic syndrome, we adjusted for insulin sensitivity which resulted in a positive association between IGFBP-2 and mortality. This means that in our population among subjects with the same insulin sensitivity, higher IGFBP-2 concentrations at baseline as well as in serial measurements were associated with an increased all-cause-related mortality. This is in agreement with our previous study in which we reported that high IGFBP-2 levels at baseline adjusted for insulin resistance were associated with an increased risk of 8-year all-cause mortality (9). Hu et al. also reported that in subjects older than 70 years, high IGFBP-2 concentrations were associated with an increase in 6-year mortality (15).
Previous studies show that IGFBP-2 concentrations are high in patients with various types of cancers like colorectal cancer, gliomas, prostate cancer, breast cancer and lung cancer (reviewed by Yao et al.) (33). In our study, there were no data available on the presence of malignancy. In an effort to explain this possible association, we did investigate whether IGFBP-2 correlated with cancer-related mortality. Unfortunately, of the 176 deaths, 72 causes of death could not be ascertained and due to numerical problems, these analyses could only be performed without adjustment for insulin sensitivity. Therefore, no relationship was found between IGFBP-2 levels and cancer-related mortality.
The association between high IGFBP-2 levels and an increased mortality may also be explained by a poor nutritional status. IGFBP-2 levels are known to be extremely high in patients with anorexia nervosa (34) and low in patients with a rich protein diet (27). Adjustment for BMI did not influence the association with mortality. The presence of a selection bias may be another explanation for the relationship of high IGFBP-2 concentrations with increased mortality, namely that subjects with CVDs died earlier.
Unexpectedly, mean IGF-I concentrations increased with age in this population. This is in contrast to what has been found in most human studies of older adults (35). However, most of these studies were cross-sectional with very few longitudinal studies describing the relationship between IGF-I and age. None of these studies had a follow-up time of 20 years. Although an overall slight decrease in mean IGF-I concentrations was found in these previous studies (36, 37, 38), there was a large heterogeneity in course of IGF-I with some persons exhibiting a decrease in IGF-I concentrations, while in others IGF-I concentration remained constant or even increased over time (36, 38). The increase in IGF-I levels in this study might also reflect a survival bias. Sanders et al. determined that a steeper IGF-I trajectory slope and greater variability in trajectory rather than the actual IGF-I levels were more strongly predictive of mortality (36).
In conclusion, this is the first longitudinal study demonstrating that IGFBP-2 levels increase with age after the age of 50 years and evolve in parallel with insulin sensitivity. IGFBP-2 may therefore be a potential marker for insulin sensitivity. We further show that IGFBP-2 levels can predict mortality in this aging population. However, its predictive value for mortality can only be interpreted in relation to insulin sensitivity. After adjustment for insulin sensitivity, high IGFBP-2 levels are predictive of an increased mortality. Further studies are needed to examine whether high IGFBP-2 levels may reflect the presence of a poor nutritional state and/or neoplastic disease
Acknowledgements
The authors are grateful to all participants who gave their time for this longitudinal research.
Funding
This research was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, National Institute on Aging, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Footnotes
Declaration of interest
The authors declare that there is no conflict of interest that could be perceived as prejudicing the impartiality of this study.
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